Investor Presentation • May 6, 2024
Investor Presentation
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| HIGHLIGHTS Q1 24 (Q1 23) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Revenue of DKK 2,206 million (DKK 2,050 million) |
||
| Revenues and Operational EBIT |
Operational EBIT* of DKK 710 million (DKK 565 million) |
|
| Harvest in the Faroe Islands: 14,294 tgw (11,005 tgw) |
||
| Harvest in Scotland: 7,263 tgw (8,093 tgw) |
||
| Operation | Feed sales: 27,046 tonnes (22,287 tonnes) |
|
| External fish oil sales: 4,037 tonnes (5,576 tonnes) |
||
| Sourcing of marine raw material: 136,874 tonnes (156,015 tonnes) |
||
| Cash Flow | Cash flow from operations of DKK 676 million (DKK 573 million) |
|
| Segments | Positive operational EBIT from all segments except Freshwater Scotland DKK -34 million (DKK 14 million) and Sales and other DKK -2 million (DKK 16 million) |
|
| Dividend | Dividend of DKK 8.70 per share for 2023 to be paid out around 21 May 2024 |
|
| ) EBIT aligned for fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax *) Including internal sales of 26,875 tonnes (21,809 tonnes) |




Reduced availability of large superior fish for the spot market




| HEALTHY LIVING | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SALMON MARKETS, SOLD QUANTITY | |||||
| EU/UK: 4% consumption increase | Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted weight) | ||||
| Good demand, high availability of fillets from Norway |
Estimated volumes Q1 comparison | Estimated volumes | FY comparison | ||
| Markets | Q1 2024 E Q1 2023 |
Volume % |
FY 2023 FY 2022 |
Volume % |
|
| EU+UK | 229.000 220.300 |
8.700 4% |
1.084.100 1.137.200 |
-53.100 -5% |
|
| 2% drop in US consumption | USA | 140.500 144.000 |
-3.500 -2% |
587.100 585.800 |
1.300 0% |
| Russia | 12.000 13.400 |
-1.400 -10% |
61.200 51.800 |
9.400 18% |
|
| Japan | 10.500 11.400 |
-900 -8% |
44.700 55.000 |
-10.300 -19% |
|
| 31.800 31.000 |
800 3% |
134.500 102.700 |
31.800 31% |
||
| Increased price sensitivity, high availability of substitutes |
Greater China | ||||
| ASEAN | 18.400 19.000 |
-600 -3% |
70.400 83.900 |
-13.500 -16% |
|
| Latin America | 44.000 42.800 |
1.200 3% |
184.000 179.100 |
4.900 3% |
|
| Ukraine | 3.000 5.000 |
-2.000 -40% |
18.600 18.800 |
-200 -1% |
|
| Good demand from China and Latin America |
Other markets | 68.000 67.100 |
900 1% |
298.700 329.600 |
-30.900 -9% |
| Total all markets | 557.200 554.000 |
3.200 0,6 % |
2.483.300 2.543.900 |
-60.600 -2,4 % |
|
| Strong price resilience |
|||||
| Comments: | |||||
| Japan and ASEAN | EU+UK incl. estimates for both European Union (Post-Brexit) & United Kingdom. Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) |
EU+UK incl. estimates for both European Union (Post-Brexit) & United Kingdom. Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile) All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.
Source: Kontali



| HEALTHY LIVING | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLOBAL HARVESTED VOLUME DROPPED 5% | |||||
| 5% drop in global harvest volume | Supply Development | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 Change % | ||
| | 1% increase when including inventory movements | Norway UK Faroes |
271 33 21 |
286 32 17 |
-5,4 % 3,3 % 23,0 % |
| 3% drop in European harvest volumes | Iceland Ireland |
11 3 |
11 3 |
2,4 % 6,5 % |
|
| Norway: |
Challenging biological situation and cold temperatures | Total Europe | 340 | 350 | -2,9 % |
| Faroes: |
Growth after period of building biomass | Chile | 140 | 167 | -16,2 % |
| Scotland: |
Both periods impacted by tough preceding autums |
Canada USA |
26 3 |
17 4 |
57,8 % -20,9 % |
| Iceland: |
Lower than expected volumes | Total Americas | 169 | 187 | -9,7 % |
| Other Total (Harvested quantity) |
27 536 |
26 563 |
3,8 % -4,8 % |
||
| 10% drop in American harvest | Inventory movements | 21 | -9 | -335,6 % | |
| Chile: |
Low incoming biomass and algae blooms | Total (Sold Quantity) | 557 | 554 | 0,6 % |
| Americas: |
Rebound from very low levels and introduction of new capacity in Newfoundland (Canada) |
Source: Kontali |
SUMMARY OF Q1 2024 MARKETS & SALES FINANCE & ESG OPERATIONS OUTLOOK
APPENDIX


| GROUP PROFIT AND LOSS | HIGHER REVENUE AND OPERATIONAL EBIT | HEALTHY LIVING | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | Q1 2024 | (DKK million) | Q1 24 | Q1 23 |
| Revenue (mDKK) | Operating revenue | 2,206 | 2,050 | |
| 2,050 8% |
2,206 | Operational EBITDA* | 879 | 714 |
| Operational EBIT* | 710 | 565 | ||
| Operational EBIT (mDKK) | Fair value adjustment of biological assets | -70 | 54 | |
| 565 26% |
710 | Onerous contracts | 0 | 0 |
| Fair value of biomass (mDKK) | Income from associates | 0 | 24 | |
| -70 | Revenue tax | -112 | -38 | |
| EBIT | 528 | 605 | ||
| Profit after tax (mDKK) | Net Financial items | -46 | -18 | |
| -14% | 401 | EBT | 482 | 586 |
| Taxes | -81 | -119 | ||
| Profit for the period | 401 | 467 |




*) Operational EBIT is EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax **) Earnings per share adjusted for fair value of biomass, onerous contracts provisions and tax and these.



| (DKK million) | Q1 24 | End 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 4,512 | 4,509 | |
| 6,312 | Property, plant and equipment | 6,312 | 6,220 |
| Right of use assets | 391 | 413 | |
| Financial assets | 300 | 289 | |
| Deferred tax assets | 513 | 512 | |
| Biological assets | 3,316 | 3,336 | |
| Inventory | 1,115 | 1,149 | |
| Financial derivatives | 0 | 374 | |
| Receivables | 1,058 | 850 | |
| Other receivables | 174 | 150 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 572 | 412 | |
| Total Assets | 18,262 | 17,841 | |
| Equity | 11,320 | 10,866 | |
| Deferred tax and other taxes | 2,034 | 1,953 | |
| Long-term interest-bearing debt | 3,753 | 3,944 | |
| Long-term leasing debt | 307 | 331 | |
| Short-term leasing debt | 60 | 66 | |
| Accounts and other payables | 788 | 681 |
Total Equity and Liabilities 18,262 17,841


| (DKK million) | Q1 24 | Q1 23 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations | 676 | 573 |
| Cash flow from investments | -238 | -203 |
| Cash flow from financing | -278 | -519 |
| Net change in cash | 161 | -150 |
| Cash at the end of the period | 572 | 570 |
| Undrawn facilities | 2,857 | 2,999 |


NET INTEREST-BEARING DEBT (NIBD) NIBD DECREASED DURING Q1 2024

HEALTHY LIVING







SUMMARY OF Q1 2024
MARKETS & SALES
FINANCE & ESG
OPERATIONS
OUTLOOK
APPENDIX


| PERFORMANCE PER REGION | HEALTHY LIVING | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRONG QUARTER IN FAROE ISLANDS | |||||||
| Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | ||||||
| DKK 1,000 | Scotland | Faroe Islands* |
Group | Scotland | Faroe Islands* |
Group | |
| Total operating revenues | 612.491 | 1.593.735 | 2.206.226 | 708.420 | 1.341.461 | 2.049.881 | |
| Depreciation and amortization | -39.174 | -124.769 | -163.943 | -61.115 | -83.049 | -144.164 | |
| Operating expenses | -534.161 | -798.413 | -1.332.574 | -492.425 | -848.004 | -1.340.429 | |
| Operational EBIT | 39.156 | 670.553 | 709.709 | 154.880 | 410.408 | 565.288 | |
| Operational EBITDA | 78.330 | 795.322 | 873.652 | 215.995 | 493.457 | 709.452 | |
| Volume tonnes | 7.263 | 14.294 | 21.557 | 8.093 | 11.005 | 19.098 | |
| Operational EBIT/KG | 5,39 | 46,91 | 32,92 | 19,14 | 37,29 | 29,60 | |
| - of which FOF | 0,00 | 12,37 | 8,20 | 0,00 | 11,12 | 6,41 | |
| - of which Freshwater | -4,72 | 1,50 | -0,59 | 1,75 | 2,23 | 2,03 | |
| - of which Farming | 3,35 | 33,03 | 23,03 | 15,14 | 20,72 | 18,35 | |
| - of which Services | -0,11 | 1,90 | 1,22 | -0,82 | 1,37 | 0,44 | |
| - of which Sales & Other | 3,90 | -2,14 | -0,11 | 2,88 | -0,65 | 0,85 | |
| - of which Eliminations | 2,97 | 0,25 | 1,17 | 0,19 | 2,50 | 1,52 | |
| *included a marginal contribution from US, DK, UK and FR | |||||||
| 17 |




Source: Holtermann
HEALTHY LIVING
| Volumes | Q/Q change |
Q1 24 | Q1 23 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.000 | Marine raw material sourced | -12% | 136,874 | 156,015 |
| 40.000 | Feed sold (tonnes)* | 21% | 27,046 | 22,287 |
| Feed sale 30.000 |
Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) | -5% | 13,028 | 13,775 |
| 20.000 | Fishoil sold external (tonnes) | -28% | 4,037 | 5,576 |
*Including internal sales, corresponding to 99% of feed volumes in Q1 2024 (Q1 2023: 98%)
| 0 | Margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operational EBIT | +45% | 177 | 122 | |
| Operational EBIT margin | +7% | 24% | 17% |


RAMPING UP NEW CAPACITY FROM 2023

Focus on producing consistent size & quality

| HEALTHY LIVING | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Volumes | Q/Q change |
Q1 24 | Q1 23 |
| Released number of smolt (million) |
0% | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) | -6% | 38.36 | 40.75 |
| Operational EBIT margin | -4% | 22% | 26% |



Total FO hatchery capacity will be 12,000 tonnes
Islands to exceed 24 million smolt of 500g



| SCOTLAND WITH SOME START-UP CHALLENGES |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volumes | Q/Q | Q1 24 | ||
| Applecross hatchery: | Released number of smolt (million) |
change -6% |
1.6 | |
| FRESHWATER – APPLECROSS RAMPING UP - • Ramping up production |
Average weight (g) |
+9% | 121 | |
| • Close to all smolt (8.0 million) delivered from |
HEALTHY LIVING Q1 23 1.7 111 |
| Margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) | n/a | -274.00 | 111.27 |
| Operational EBIT margin | -148% | -112% | 36% |
| Hatchery expansion, Scotland | |||
| Applecross - Construction 7m smolt at 500g 29,300m³ capacity |
Fairlie - Planning 8m smolt at 500g 32,300m³ capacity |
||
| 21 | |||

29,300m³ capacity

8m smolt at 500g 32,300m³ capacity



| HEALTHY LIVING | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Volumes | Q/Q change |
Q1 24 | Q1 23 |
| Total harvest volume (tonnes HOG) |
+30% | 14,294 | 11,005 |
| Margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) | +65% | 50.56 | 30.56 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 12% | 40% | 28% |




| PREPARING FOR Q2 2024 HARVEST | HEALTHY LIVING | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comments | Volumes | Q/Q change |
Q1 24 | Q1 23 |
| Total harvest volume (tonnes HOG) |
-10% | 7,263 | 8,093 | |
| • Biology improving • Minimizing harvest to let the fish grow |
Average harvest weight (kg) |
-13% | 4.7 | 5.3 |
| • Sea temperatures higher than the same period in 2023 |
||||
| • Low sea lice levels |
Margin | |||
| • Preparing to harvest larger fish in Q2 2024 |
Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) | -77% | 5.13 | 22.33 |


Services provided:
Low sea lice numbers across both the Faroese and Scottish farming sites
• Good capacity with gentle highly effective treatment capacities

| Margin | Q/Q change | Q1 24 | Q1 23 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) | +183% | 1.87 | 0.66 |
| Operational EBIT margin | +6% | 10% | 4% |




| SALES & OTHER LESS VOLUMES FOR VAP - GROWING SALE TO THE US MARKET |
HEALTHY LIVING | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Services provided: | Volumes | Q/Q change |
Q1 24 | Q1 23 |
| • Sales & Marketing |
Volume transferred to VAP (tgw) | -35% | 3,296 | 5,098 |
| Margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) | -113% | -0.16 | 1.25 |
| Operational EBIT margin | -1% | 0% | 1% |








Source: Kontali



• For 2024, Bakkafrost has signed contracts for around 9% of the total expected harvest volumes
• Continued high production volumes of fishmeal and normalisation of fish oil production volumes expected
CAPEX: 6,3bn DKK (2024-2028)






HEALTHY LIVING
8m smolt at 500g 32,300m³ capacity

29,300m³ capacity







| BAKKAFROST'S | NEW SEGMENTS | HEALTHY LIVING | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Previous | segments | ||
| New segments: | |||
| • FOF |
|||
| • Freshwater FO |
|||
| • Freshwater SCT |
|||
| • Farming FO |
|||
| • Farming SCT |
|||
| • Services |

| FOF | Freshwater | Farming | Services | Sales & Other | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2024: Revenue = 739M Internal Feed sale = 26,875t External Meal sale = 171t External Fish Oil sale = 4,037t |
Q1 2024: Revenue Smolt transferred Average Weight |
Q1 2024: Revenue = 98M Harvest Volume = 2.1M = 410g Average Weight |
= 1,168M = 14,294t = 5.43kg |
Q1 2024: Revenue Energy produced = 5.7 GwH |
= 259M | Q1 2024: Revenue Portion in VAP |
= 2,850M = 23% |
| OP EBIT = 177M OP EBIT % = 24% |
OP EBIT OP EBIT / KG OP EBIT % |
OP EBIT = 22M OP EBIT / KG = 25.06 = 22% OP EBIT % |
= 472M = 33.03 = 40% |
OP EBIT OP EBIT / KG OP EBIT % |
= 26M = 1.22 = 10% |
OP EBIT OP EBIT / KG OP EBIT % |
= (2.3M) = (0.11) = 0% |
| Key Ratios: OP EBIT / PPE = 49.8% Debt / EBITDA = 0.63x |
Key Ratios: OP EBIT / PPE Debt / EBITDA |
Key Ratios: = 8.5% OP EBIT / PPE = 2.39x Debt / EBITDA |
= 91.2% = 0.36x |
Key Ratios: OP EBIT / PPE Debt / EBITDA |
= 4.6% = 3.55x |
Key Ratios: OP EBIT / PPE Debt / EBITDA |
= 14.5% = 2.54x |
| Volumes: Revenue Smolt transferred Average Weight |
Volumes: Revenue = 31M Harvest Volume = 1.6M Average Weight = 121g |
= 537M = 7,263t = 4.68kg |
Market Split – Sales: Western Europe North America Asia |
= 62% = 21% = 13% |
|||
| OP EBIT OP EBIT / KG OP EBIT % |
OP EBIT = (34M) OP EBIT / KG = (178.98) OP EBIT % = (-112%) |
= 24M = 3.35 = 5% |
Eastern Europe Rest of world |
= 3% = 1% |
|||
| Revenue, EBIT & EBITDA are in DKK Key Ratios based on 12 month rolling PPE at fair value |
Key Ratios: OP EBIT / PPE Debt / EBITDA |
Key Ratios: = (5.7%) OP EBIT / PPE = (13.39x) Debt / EBITDA |
= (31.2%) = (9.29x) |


| HEALTHY LIVING | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEVELOPMENT IN SUPPLY AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN | ||||||||
| Expected supply growth in 2024 |
Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted – | HOG) | ||||||
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | |||
| 3% increase in Global supply* |
Norway | 1.198 | 1.226 | 1.383 | 1.359 | 1.329 | 1.345 | |
| 4% increase in supply* from Europe |
UK Ireland |
171 14 |
160 14 |
179 14 |
145 15 |
137 13 |
151 15 |
|
| Iceland Faroes |
22 78 |
27 72 |
35 96 |
42 89 |
29 80 |
45 94 |
||
| no supply growth from the Americas |
Total Europe | 1.484 | 1.499 | 1.707 | 1.649 | 1.589 | 1.650 | |
| Chile | 601 | 657 | 638 | 649 | 665 | 661 | ||
| * Including expected inventory movements |
Canada | 123 | 123 | 126 | 120 | 99 | 106 | |
| USA Total Americas |
19 743 |
18 798 |
17 781 |
18 787 |
17 781 |
16 783 |
||
| Others | 71 | 91 | 109 | 109 | 114 | 123 | ||
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2.298 | 2.388 | 2.597 | 2.545 | 2.484 | 2.556 | ||
| Supply growth - Global | 6% | 4% | 9% | -2% | -2% | 3% | ||
| Supply growth - Europe | 10% | 1% | 14% | -3% | -4% | 4% | ||
| Supply growth - Americas | 0% | 7% | -2% | 1% | -1% | 0% | ||
| Salmon Markets (head on gutted – | HOG) | |||||||
| EU+UK | 2019 1.017 |
2020 1.073 |
2021 1.158 |
2022 1.137 |
2023E 1.084 |
2024E 1.131 |
||
| Comments: All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes. |
USA | 471 | 506 | 571 | 586 | 587 | 586 | |
| Figures represents sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country | Japan | 53 | 64 | 66 | 55 | 45 | 44 | |
| Source: Kontali | Russia Others |
78 678 |
79 666 |
86 717 |
52 714 |
61 706 |
58 738 |
|
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2.298 | 2.388 | 2.597 | 2.544 | 2.483 | 2.556 | ||
| 35 |
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 E | 2024E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU+UK | 1.017 | 1.073 | 1.158 | 1.137 | 1.084 | 1.131 |
| USA | 471 | 506 | 571 | 586 | 587 | 586 |
| Japan | 53 | 64 | 66 | 55 | 45 | ব |
| Russia | 78 | 79 | 86 | 52 | 61 | 58 |
| Others | 678 | 666 | 717 | 714 | 706 | 738 |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 2.298 | 2.388 | 2.597 | 2.544 | 2.483 | 2.556 |


| MARKET CURRENCY | Q1 2024 Q1 Q1 2023 Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq Norway (EUR) | 9.75 | 9.70 | 0,5 % |
| UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (USD per kg) | 10,02 | 12,68 | -20,9 % |
| DKK | Q1 2024 Q1 Q1 2023 Change % | ||
| Nasdaq Norway | 72.68 | 72.19 | 0.7 % |


Nasdaq Norway (EUR) Nasdaq Norway (DKK)


HIGH DOWNGRADE SHARE IN NORWAY IMPACTED REFERENCE PRICES

Incorporates bilateral contracts of variable duration
"Production grade" fish excluded from both references
Sign of limited "superior grade" fish available


Source: Kontali


| (mDKK) | Q1 2022 |
Q2 2022 |
Q3 2022 |
Q4 2022 |
Q1 2023 |
Q2 2023 |
Q3 2023 |
Q4 2023 |
Q1 2024 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,639 | 1,684 | 1,867 | 1,940 | 2,050 | 1,670 | 1,859 | 1,562 | 2,206 | |
| Operational EBIT | 418 | 587 | 325 | 376 | 565 | 353 | 269 | 356 | 710 | |
| Profit/Loss | 405 | 845 | 249 | -154 | 467 | -123 | 219 | 392 | 401 | |
| Harvest FO (tgw) | 17,459 | 13,101 | 16,850 | 19,276 | 11,005 | 8,658 | 16,740 | 16,005 | 14,294 | |
| Harvest SCT (tgw) | 3,973 | 6,646 | 8,100 | 5,198 | 8,093 | 7,343 | 4,100 | 1,062 | 7,263 | |
| Equity ratio | 64% | 65% | 64% | 62% | 64% | 61% | 61% | 61% | 62% | |
| NIBD | 2,192 | 2,267 | 2,427 | 2,664 | 2,357 | 2,911 | 3,045 | 3,533 | 3,180 | |
| 100 50 0 -50 -100 -150 -200 -250 -300 |
50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 |
7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 0 |
1.600 1.400 1.200 1.000 800 600 400 200 0 |
|||||||
| Freshwater FO Freshwater SCT YTD 2024 YTD 2023 |
Farming FO Farming SCT Services Sales & Other YTD 2024 YTD 2023 |












• Dividend payment equals 50% of adjusted EPS
Dividend
DIVIDEND
* Adjusted EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions
** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares
*** Dividend is paid out the following year















44


HEALTHY LIVING







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