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Bakkafrost P/f

Investor Presentation May 6, 2024

7331_rns_2024-05-06_dc360f36-5d5c-44fd-a5aa-7b0859114eae.pdf

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HIGHLIGHTS Q1 24 (Q1 23)

HIGHLIGHTS Q1 24 (Q1 23)

Revenue of DKK 2,206 million (DKK 2,050 million)
Revenues and
Operational EBIT

Operational EBIT* of DKK 710 million (DKK 565 million)

Harvest in the Faroe Islands: 14,294 tgw
(11,005 tgw)

Harvest in Scotland:
7,263 tgw
(8,093 tgw)
Operation
Feed sales: 27,046 tonnes (22,287 tonnes)

External fish oil sales:
4,037 tonnes
(5,576 tonnes)

Sourcing of marine raw material: 136,874 tonnes (156,015 tonnes)
Cash Flow
Cash flow from operations
of DKK 676 million (DKK 573 million)
Segments
Positive operational EBIT from all segments except Freshwater Scotland DKK -34 million (DKK 14 million)
and Sales and other DKK -2 million (DKK 16 million)
Dividend
Dividend
of DKK 8.70 per share for 2023 to be paid out around 21 May 2024
) EBIT aligned for fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax
*) Including internal sales of 26,875 tonnes (21,809 tonnes)

0.5% increased YoY prices in EUR in Q1 2024

Increased large-fish premium

Reduced availability of large superior fish for the spot market

SALMON MARKETS, SOLD QUANTITY

EU/UK: 4% consumption increase

2% drop in US consumption

Japan and ASEAN

  • Higher airfreight cost due to war in Ukraine
  • Consumer price sensitivity in Japan

Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted weight)

HEALTHY LIVING
SALMON MARKETS, SOLD QUANTITY
EU/UK: 4% consumption increase Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted weight)

Good demand, high availability of fillets from Norway
Estimated volumes Q1 comparison Estimated volumes FY comparison
Markets Q1 2024 E
Q1 2023
Volume
%
FY 2023
FY 2022
Volume
%
EU+UK 229.000
220.300
8.700
4%
1.084.100
1.137.200
-53.100
-5%
2% drop in US consumption USA 140.500
144.000
-3.500
-2%
587.100
585.800
1.300
0%
Russia 12.000
13.400
-1.400
-10%
61.200
51.800
9.400
18%
Japan 10.500
11.400
-900
-8%
44.700
55.000
-10.300
-19%
31.800
31.000
800
3%
134.500
102.700
31.800
31%

Increased price sensitivity, high availability of substitutes
Greater China
ASEAN 18.400
19.000
-600
-3%
70.400
83.900
-13.500
-16%
Latin America 44.000
42.800
1.200
3%
184.000
179.100
4.900
3%
Ukraine 3.000
5.000
-2.000
-40%
18.600
18.800
-200
-1%
Good demand from China
and Latin America
Other markets 68.000
67.100
900
1%
298.700
329.600
-30.900
-9%
Total all markets 557.200
554.000
3.200
0,6 %
2.483.300
2.543.900
-60.600
-2,4 %

Strong price resilience
Comments:
Japan and ASEAN EU+UK incl. estimates for both European Union (Post-Brexit) & United Kingdom.
Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand)

Comments:

EU+UK incl. estimates for both European Union (Post-Brexit) & United Kingdom. Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam & Thailand subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile) All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.

Source: Kontali

GLOBAL HARVESTED VOLUME DROPPED 5% Iceland: Lower than expected volumes

5% drop in global harvest volume

3% drop in European harvest volumes

-

-

10% drop in American harvest

  • Chile: Low incoming biomass and algae blooms in Newfoundland (Canada)
HEALTHY LIVING
GLOBAL HARVESTED VOLUME DROPPED 5%
5% drop in global harvest volume Supply Development Q1 2024 Q1 2023 Change %
1% increase when including inventory movements Norway
UK
Faroes
271
33
21
286
32
17
-5,4 %
3,3 %
23,0 %
3% drop in European harvest volumes Iceland
Ireland
11
3
11
3
2,4 %
6,5 %

Norway:
Challenging biological situation and cold temperatures Total Europe 340 350 -2,9 %

Faroes:
Growth after period of building biomass Chile 140 167 -16,2 %

Scotland:
Both
periods
impacted
by
tough
preceding
autums
Canada
USA
26
3
17
4
57,8 %
-20,9 %

Iceland:
Lower than expected volumes Total Americas 169 187 -9,7 %
Other
Total (Harvested quantity)
27
536
26
563
3,8 %
-4,8 %
10% drop in American harvest Inventory movements 21 -9 -335,6 %
Chile:
Low incoming biomass and algae blooms Total (Sold Quantity) 557 554 0,6 %

Americas:
Rebound from very low levels and introduction of new capacity
in Newfoundland (Canada)
Source: Kontali

Frozen inventories reduced in the quarter

SUMMARY OF Q1 2024 MARKETS & SALES FINANCE & ESG OPERATIONS OUTLOOK

APPENDIX

GROUP PROFIT AND LOSS HIGHER REVENUE AND OPERATIONAL EBIT

GROUP PROFIT AND LOSS HIGHER REVENUE AND OPERATIONAL EBIT HEALTHY LIVING
Q1 2023 Q1 2024 (DKK million) Q1 24 Q1 23
Revenue (mDKK) Operating revenue 2,206 2,050
2,050
8%
2,206 Operational EBITDA* 879 714
Operational EBIT* 710 565
Operational EBIT (mDKK) Fair value adjustment of biological assets -70 54
565
26%
710 Onerous contracts 0 0
Fair value of biomass (mDKK) Income from associates 0 24
-70 Revenue tax -112 -38
EBIT 528 605
Profit after tax (mDKK) Net Financial items -46 -18
-14% 401 EBT 482 586
Taxes -81 -119
Profit for the period 401 467

OPERATIONAL EBIT* AND ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE**

*) Operational EBIT is EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax **) Earnings per share adjusted for fair value of biomass, onerous contracts provisions and tax and these.

BALANCE SHEET

(DKK million) Q1 24 End 2023
Intangible assets 4,512 4,509
6,312 Property, plant and equipment 6,312 6,220
Right of use assets 391 413
Financial assets 300 289
Deferred tax assets 513 512
Biological assets 3,316 3,336
Inventory 1,115 1,149
Financial derivatives 0 374
Receivables 1,058 850
Other receivables 174 150
Cash and cash equivalents 572 412
Total Assets 18,262 17,841
Equity 11,320 10,866
Deferred tax and other taxes 2,034 1,953
Long-term interest-bearing debt 3,753 3,944
Long-term leasing debt 307 331
Short-term leasing debt 60 66
Accounts and other payables 788 681

Total Equity and Liabilities 18,262 17,841

CASH FLOW

(DKK million) Q1 24 Q1 23
Cash flow from operations 676 573
Cash flow from investments -238 -203
Cash flow from financing -278 -519
Net change in cash 161 -150
Cash at the end of the period 572 570
Undrawn facilities 2,857 2,999

NET INTEREST-BEARING DEBT (NIBD) NIBD DECREASED DURING Q1 2024

NIBD was increased by:

-

NIBD was decreased by:

Financing end Q1 2024

  • NIBD: DKK 3,180 million
  • Bank facilities of EUR 722 million and an accordion of EUR 150 million.
  • Undrawn credit facilities: DKK 2,204 million

HEALTHY LIVING

ESG UPDATE

SUMMARY OF Q1 2024

MARKETS & SALES

FINANCE & ESG

OPERATIONS

OUTLOOK

APPENDIX

PERFORMANCE PER REGION STRONG QUARTER IN FAROE ISLANDS

PERFORMANCE PER REGION HEALTHY LIVING
STRONG QUARTER IN FAROE ISLANDS
Q1 2024 Q1 2023
DKK 1,000 Scotland Faroe
Islands*
Group Scotland Faroe
Islands*
Group
Total operating revenues 612.491 1.593.735 2.206.226 708.420 1.341.461 2.049.881
Depreciation and amortization -39.174 -124.769 -163.943 -61.115 -83.049 -144.164
Operating expenses -534.161 -798.413 -1.332.574 -492.425 -848.004 -1.340.429
Operational EBIT 39.156 670.553 709.709 154.880 410.408 565.288
Operational EBITDA 78.330 795.322 873.652 215.995 493.457 709.452
Volume tonnes 7.263 14.294 21.557 8.093 11.005 19.098
Operational EBIT/KG 5,39 46,91 32,92 19,14 37,29 29,60
- of which FOF 0,00 12,37 8,20 0,00 11,12 6,41
- of which Freshwater -4,72 1,50 -0,59 1,75 2,23 2,03
- of which Farming 3,35 33,03 23,03 15,14 20,72 18,35
- of which Services -0,11 1,90 1,22 -0,82 1,37 0,44
- of which Sales & Other 3,90 -2,14 -0,11 2,88 -0,65 0,85
- of which Eliminations 2,97 0,25 1,17 0,19 2,50 1,52
*included a marginal contribution from US, DK, UK and FR
17

FOF (FISHMEAL, OIL AND FEED) STRONG FEED SALES AND HIGH SOURCING

Source: Holtermann

HEALTHY LIVING

Volumes Q/Q
change
Q1 24 Q1 23
50.000 Marine raw material sourced -12% 136,874 156,015
40.000 Feed sold (tonnes)* 21% 27,046 22,287
Feed sale
30.000
Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) -5% 13,028 13,775
20.000 Fishoil sold external (tonnes) -28% 4,037 5,576

*Including internal sales, corresponding to 99% of feed volumes in Q1 2024 (Q1 2023: 98%)

0 Margin
Operational EBIT +45% 177 122
Operational EBIT margin +7% 24% 17%

Sourcing of raw material (tonnes)

RAMPING UP NEW CAPACITY FROM 2023

Focus on producing consistent size & quality

HEALTHY LIVING
Volumes Q/Q
change
Q1 24 Q1 23
Released
number
of smolt
(million)
0% 2.1 2.1
Margin
Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) -6% 38.36 40.75
Operational EBIT margin -4% 22% 26%

FRESHWATER – FAROE ISLANDS CONSTRUCTION STARTED OF NEW HATCHERY AT SKÁLAVÍK • Same design as Glyvradal and Applecross • 3,500 tonnes capacity • Built in phases to allow early start of operation • Finished late 2026 • Annual production capacity in the Faroe

Construction started of Skálavík hatchery

-

-

Total FO hatchery capacity will be 12,000 tonnes

Islands to exceed 24 million smolt of 500g

FRESHWATER – SCOTLAND

Applecross hatchery:

  • Ramping up production • Close to all smolt (8.0 million) delivered from Applecross in 2024 at around 165g on average • Increasing production in 2025 with AP 5&6 (>11m) • Self-sufficiency of smolt
      • Q1: 121g
      • Q2: 111g
      • Q3: 168g
      • Q4: 200g

Smolt strategy

-

SCOTLAND
WITH SOME START-UP CHALLENGES
Volumes Q/Q Q1 24
Applecross hatchery: Released
number
of smolt
(million)
change
-6%
1.6
FRESHWATER –
APPLECROSS RAMPING UP -

Ramping up production
Average weight
(g)
+9% 121

Close to all smolt (8.0 million) delivered from
HEALTHY LIVING
Q1 23
1.7
111
Margin
Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) n/a -274.00 111.27
Operational EBIT margin -148% -112% 36%
Hatchery expansion, Scotland
Applecross -
Construction
7m
smolt at 500g
29,300m³ capacity
Fairlie
-
Planning
8m smolt at 500g
32,300m³ capacity
21

Hatchery expansion, Scotland

29,300m³ capacity

8m smolt at 500g 32,300m³ capacity

FARMING – FAROE ISLANDS POSTPONED HARVEST TO OPTIMISE VALUE • Focus on growing larger fish • Increasing harvest volumes • All-time low sea lice levels • Good Growth rate

Good biological development

-

-

HEALTHY LIVING
Volumes Q/Q
change
Q1 24 Q1 23
Total harvest
volume
(tonnes
HOG)
+30% 14,294 11,005
Margin
Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) +65% 50.56 30.56
Operational EBIT margin 12% 40% 28%

FARMING – SCOTLAND PREPARING FOR Q2 2024 HARVEST • Biology improving • Minimizing harvest to let the fish grow • Low sea lice levels

Comments

-

-

PREPARING FOR Q2 2024 HARVEST HEALTHY LIVING
Comments Volumes Q/Q
change
Q1 24 Q1 23
Total harvest
volume
(tonnes
HOG)
-10% 7,263 8,093

Biology improving

Minimizing harvest to let the fish grow
Average harvest
weight
(kg)
-13% 4.7 5.3

Sea temperatures higher than the same period in 2023

Low sea lice levels
Margin

Preparing to harvest larger fish in Q2 2024
Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) -77% 5.13 22.33

SERVICES EFFICIENT SEA LICE MITIGATION

Services provided:

  • Fish transportation
  • Treatments
  • Farming Support
  • Harvest & Packaging
  • Waste-to-biogas production

Low sea lice numbers across both the Faroese and Scottish farming sites

• Good capacity with gentle highly effective treatment capacities

Margin Q/Q change Q1 24 Q1 23
Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) +183% 1.87 0.66
Operational EBIT margin +6% 10% 4%

All-time low sea lice levels

SALES & OTHER

Services provided:

  • Sales & Marketing
  • Freight & Logistics
  • Value added processing (VAP)
  • Reduced contract share to only 9% of the 2024 harvest volume • VAP share of 23% in Q1 2024 vs 46% in Q1 2023

SALES & OTHER
LESS VOLUMES FOR VAP
-
GROWING SALE TO THE US MARKET
HEALTHY LIVING
Services provided: Volumes Q/Q
change
Q1 24 Q1 23

Sales & Marketing
Volume transferred to VAP (tgw) -35% 3,296 5,098
Margin
Operational EBIT (NOK/kg) -113% -0.16 1.25
Operational EBIT margin -1% 0% 1%

OUTLOOK LOW UPPLY GROWTH

- Biological uncertainty in Norway

  • Assuming slight improvement in H2 2024 and 2025

General reduction in Americas driven by Chile

  • Lower smolt release (regulatory enforcement)
  • Assuming continued good biological performance

Source: Kontali

OUTLOOK GROWING VOLUME

Contracts

• For 2024, Bakkafrost has signed contracts for around 9% of the total expected harvest volumes

Fishmeal, Oil and Feed

• Continued high production volumes of fishmeal and normalisation of fish oil production volumes expected

Headlines from CMD on 6 June 2023

CAPEX: 6,3bn DKK (2024-2028)

  • 2028: 165,000kt harvest volume / 200,000kt capacity
  • FO: Sustainable growth (site optimisation & new technology) Cost-efficient (repurposed) broodstock facilities. Hatchery capacity of 24m smolt @500g
  • SCT: Build hatchery capacity of 15m smolt @500g New processing facility Improved cost-efficiency in vessel operation

LARGE HIGH-QUALITY SMOLT ARE THE KEY TO GROWTH AND IMPROVEMENT

LARGE SMOLT STRATEGY DELIVERING LARGE HEALTHY SMOLT

HEALTHY LIVING

8m smolt at 500g 32,300m³ capacity

29,300m³ capacity

165,000 TONNES HARVEST IN 2028, FAROE ISLANDS AND SCOTLAND COMBINED

BAKKAFROST'S NEW SEGMENTS HEALTHY LIVING
Previous segments
New segments:

FOF

Freshwater
FO

Freshwater
SCT

Farming
FO

Farming
SCT

Services

New segments:

-

-

-

SEGMENT OVERVIEW VOLUMES, MARGINS AND KEY RATIOS

FOF Freshwater Farming Services Sales & Other
Q1 2024:
Revenue
= 739M
Internal Feed sale
= 26,875t
External Meal sale
= 171t
External Fish Oil sale = 4,037t
Q1 2024:
Revenue
Smolt transferred
Average Weight
Q1 2024:
Revenue
= 98M
Harvest Volume
= 2.1M
= 410g
Average Weight
= 1,168M
= 14,294t
= 5.43kg
Q1 2024:
Revenue
Energy produced = 5.7 GwH
= 259M Q1 2024:
Revenue
Portion in VAP
= 2,850M
= 23%
OP EBIT
= 177M
OP EBIT %
= 24%
OP EBIT
OP EBIT / KG
OP EBIT %
OP EBIT
= 22M
OP EBIT / KG
= 25.06
= 22%
OP EBIT %
= 472M
= 33.03
= 40%
OP EBIT
OP EBIT / KG
OP EBIT %
= 26M
= 1.22
= 10%
OP EBIT
OP EBIT / KG
OP EBIT %
= (2.3M)
= (0.11)
= 0%
Key Ratios:
OP EBIT / PPE
= 49.8%
Debt / EBITDA
= 0.63x
Key Ratios:
OP EBIT / PPE
Debt / EBITDA
Key Ratios:
= 8.5%
OP EBIT / PPE
= 2.39x
Debt / EBITDA
= 91.2%
= 0.36x
Key Ratios:
OP EBIT / PPE
Debt / EBITDA
= 4.6%
= 3.55x
Key Ratios:
OP EBIT / PPE
Debt / EBITDA
= 14.5%
= 2.54x
Volumes:
Revenue
Smolt transferred
Average Weight
Volumes:
Revenue
= 31M
Harvest Volume
= 1.6M
Average Weight
= 121g
= 537M
= 7,263t
= 4.68kg
Market Split –
Sales:
Western Europe
North America
Asia
= 62%
= 21%
= 13%
OP EBIT
OP EBIT / KG
OP EBIT %
OP EBIT
= (34M)
OP EBIT / KG
= (178.98)
OP EBIT %
= (-112%)
= 24M
= 3.35
= 5%
Eastern Europe
Rest of world
= 3%
= 1%
 Revenue, EBIT & EBITDA are in DKK
 Key Ratios based on 12 month rolling
 PPE at fair value
Key Ratios:
OP EBIT / PPE
Debt / EBITDA
Key Ratios:
= (5.7%)
OP EBIT / PPE
= (13.39x)
Debt / EBITDA
= (31.2%)
= (9.29x)

DEVELOPMENT IN SUPPLY AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN

-

-

HEALTHY LIVING
DEVELOPMENT IN SUPPLY AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN
Expected
supply
growth
in
2024
Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted – HOG)
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E 2024E

3%
increase
in
Global
supply*
Norway 1.198 1.226 1.383 1.359 1.329 1.345

4%
increase
in
supply*
from
Europe
UK
Ireland
171
14
160
14
179
14
145
15
137
13
151
15
Iceland
Faroes
22
78
27
72
35
96
42
89
29
80
45
94

no
supply
growth
from
the
Americas
Total Europe 1.484 1.499 1.707 1.649 1.589 1.650
Chile 601 657 638 649 665 661
*
Including
expected
inventory
movements
Canada 123 123 126 120 99 106
USA
Total Americas
19
743
18
798
17
781
18
787
17
781
16
783
Others 71 91 109 109 114 123
Total (Sold Quantity) 2.298 2.388 2.597 2.545 2.484 2.556
Supply growth - Global 6% 4% 9% -2% -2% 3%
Supply growth - Europe 10% 1% 14% -3% -4% 4%
Supply growth - Americas 0% 7% -2% 1% -1% 0%
Salmon Markets (head on gutted – HOG)
EU+UK 2019
1.017
2020
1.073
2021
1.158
2022
1.137
2023E
1.084
2024E
1.131
Comments:
All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes.
USA 471 506 571 586 587 586
Figures represents sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country Japan 53 64 66 55 45 44
Source: Kontali Russia
Others
78
678
79
666
86
717
52
714
61
706
58
738
Total (Sold Quantity) 2.298 2.388 2.597 2.544 2.483 2.556
35
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 E 2024E
EU+UK 1.017 1.073 1.158 1.137 1.084 1.131
USA 471 506 571 586 587 586
Japan 53 64 66 55 45
Russia 78 79 86 52 61 58
Others 678 666 717 714 706 738
Total (Sold Quantity) 2.298 2.388 2.597 2.544 2.483 2.556

Q1 2024 MARKET ENVIRONMENT

-

-

MARKET CURRENCY Q1 2024 Q1 Q1 2023 Change %
Nasdaq Norway (EUR) 9.75 9.70 0,5 %
UB North East US 14-16lb HOG (USD per kg) 10,02 12,68 -20,9 %
DKK Q1 2024 Q1 Q1 2023 Change %
Nasdaq Norway 72.68 72.19 0.7 %

Source: Kontali

Nasdaq Norway (EUR) Nasdaq Norway (DKK)

Q1 2024 PRICES

HIGH DOWNGRADE SHARE IN NORWAY IMPACTED REFERENCE PRICES

Nasdaq spot price reflecting marginal pricing per week

Statistics Norway (SSB) publish average price for all whole fish sold per week

Incorporates bilateral contracts of variable duration

"Production grade" fish excluded from both references

SSB price exceeded Nasdaq in Q1 2024

Sign of limited "superior grade" fish available

Slight increase in Fish Pool forward prices

  • Expectation of tight supply in Q2 2024
  • Limited volume traded
  • Clearing being transferred from Nasdaq to Euronext

Source: Kontali

DEVELOPMENT PER QUARTER

(mDKK) Q1
2022
Q2
2022
Q3
2022
Q4
2022
Q1
2023
Q2
2023
Q3
2023
Q4
2023
Q1
2024
Revenue 1,639 1,684 1,867 1,940 2,050 1,670 1,859 1,562 2,206
Operational EBIT 418 587 325 376 565 353 269 356 710
Profit/Loss 405 845 249 -154 467 -123 219 392 401
Harvest FO (tgw) 17,459 13,101 16,850 19,276 11,005 8,658 16,740 16,005 14,294
Harvest SCT (tgw) 3,973 6,646 8,100 5,198 8,093 7,343 4,100 1,062 7,263
Equity ratio 64% 65% 64% 62% 64% 61% 61% 61% 62%
NIBD 2,192 2,267 2,427 2,664 2,357 2,911 3,045 3,533 3,180
100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
-200
-250
-300
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
7.000
6.000
5.000
4.000
3.000
2.000
1.000
0
1.600
1.400
1.200
1.000
800
600
400
200
0
Freshwater FO
Freshwater SCT
YTD 2024
YTD 2023
Farming FO
Farming SCT
Services
Sales & Other
YTD 2024
YTD 2023

• Dividend payment equals 50% of adjusted EPS

Dividend

Dividend policy

DIVIDEND

-

  • Generally, Bakkafrost shall pay a dividend to its shareholders
  • A long-term goal is that 30–50% of adjusted EPS shall be paid out as a dividend

* Adjusted EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions

** Dividend and acquisition of treasury shares

*** Dividend is paid out the following year

OUR PILLARS AND VALUES

44

PERFORMANCE

BEST PRACTICES & WELL-INVESTED VALUE CHAIN DRIVES PERFORMANCE

HEALTHY LIVING

IMPROVEMENTS OF LARGE-SMOLT QUALITY, FAROES (2021G VS. 2020G)

VALUE CHAIN INSIGHT FARMING CYCLES GETTING SHORTER WITH LARGE HIGH-QUALITY SMOLT

~ 6.3BN PLANNED INVESTMENTS 2024-2028

REDUCE BIOLOGICAL RISK, IMPROVE EFFICIENCY AND INCREASE ORGANIC GROWTH

-

- Cost-efficient broodstock (repurposing old hatcheries)

  • Increase feed capacity, including storage and logistics • Optimization of existing farming sites • Improved vessel capacity • Energy Transition • Harvest and processing plant • Site expansions • Vessel capacity for transport and treatment • Marine Site development
    • Offshore postponed

Scotland:

-

-

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