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Aker BP

Investor Presentation Jul 12, 2024

3528_rns_2024-07-12_14a2035e-314e-4830-9732-3b2a6fbd58d6.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Second quarter 2024

12 July 2024 Aker BP ASA

Highlights

Second quarter 2024

Excellent operational performance

  • High production efficiency and volumes
  • Low cost and emissions

Development projects on track

  • Fabrication and installation activities well underway
  • Cost estimates and schedule unchanged

Strong financial performance

  • High underlying cash flow in the quarter
  • Continued optimising capital structure with Euro bond

Production

1,000 barrels oil equivalents per day (mboepd)

Johan Sverdrup

A world-class oil field with excellent reservoir properties

Johan Sverdrup

Steady production at elevated plateau

  • Continued high production efficiency
  • Four new production wells online in 1H
  • Six more production wells to be added in 2H
  • Planning for retrofit multilaterals next year
  • Maturing Phase 3 subsea expansion

Johan Sverdrup production

Net to Aker BP, mboepd

Aker BP has a 31.6% interest in the Johan Sverdrup field, which is operated by Equinor. Prior to Q3-22, Aker BP's interest was 11.6%.

Production costs

A strong competitive position

Aker BP production cost USD per boe

Industry peers total operational cost1

USD per boe, 2023

Decarbonisation

A global leader in low GHG emissions

Decarbonising the business

Aker BP emission intensity, kg CO2e/boe

120 Industry net emission intensity1 Kg CO2 /boe, equity share (2023)

285 largest producing upstream companies

1

140

Project execution on track

  • Major milestones successfully reached
  • Fabrication and installation activities well underway
  • Subsea activities and drilling progressing well
  • Tyrving start-up planned for October
  • Total capex estimate in line with plans

Development projects to drive growth and value creation

Net volume ~770 mmboe I Net capex USD ~3 billion after tax I Portfolio BE at USD 35-40 per barrel1

Production outlook

mboepd

Aker BP project overview

~770 mmboe net oil and gas volume at net capex of around USD 3 billion after tax

Asset area Field development Aker BP
ownership
Gross/net volume Net capex estimate PDO submission Production
start
Frosk 80.0% 10/8 mmboe USD 0.2bn 2021 2023
Alvheim Kobra
East & Gekko
80.0% 50/40 mmboe USD 0.9bn 2021 2023
Tyrving 61.3% 25/15 mmboe USD 0.4bn 2022 2024
Hanz 35.0% 20/7 mmboe USD 0.2bn 2021 2024
Grieg/Aasen Symra 50.0% 87/49 mmboe
USD 1.3bn
2026
Solveig Phase II 65.0% 2026
Alve
North
68.1% 2027
Skarv Idun
North
23.8% 119/51 mmboe USD 1.0bn Dec-22 2027
Ørn 30.0% Dec-22
230/187 mmboe
USD 5.5bn
Dec-22
650/413 mmboe
USD 10.7bn
Dec-22
2027
Valhall Valhall PWP 90.0% 2027
Fenris 77.8% 2027
Hugin 87.7% 2027
Yggdrasil Munin 50.0% 2027
Fulla 47.7% 2027

Eventful exploration year so far

Positive exploration results

  • Successful Adriana well: Candidate for tie-in to Skarv
  • Successful Trell North well: Already included in Tyrving
  • Ringhorne North: Potential tie-in to nearby infrastructure
  • Frigg Gamma: Successful geopilot in Yggdrasil area

The unlocking of Wisting continues

  • Positive Wisting geopilot in the quarter
    • Encountered good reservoir quality
    • Important data for evaluation and development of Wisting
  • Small gas discoveries at Ferdinand and Hassel

2024 exploration program

Licence Prospect Operator Aker BP
share
Pre-drill
mmboe
Status
PL102G Trell North* Aker BP 61% 3-8 mmboe
PL1138 Ametyst Harbour Energy 30% 6-19 mmboe
PL956 Ringhorne North Vår Energi 20% 13-23 mmboe
PL211CS Adriana* Wintershall Dea 15% 23-45 mmboe
PL442 Ypsilon Aker BP 88% Dry
PL203 Alvheim Deep Aker BP 80% Dry
PL1170 Ferdinand Aker BP 35% Small gas discovery
PL1170 Hassel Aker BP 35% Small gas discovery
PL261 Storjo
West
Aker BP 70% 4
-
30
Ongoing
PL1185 Kvernbit Equinor 20% 9
-
65
Q3
PL554 Garantiana Skrustikke Equinor 30% 26
-
100
Q3
PL211CS Sabina* Wintershall Dea 15% 6
-
15
Q3
PL869 Rumpetroll South Aker BP 80% 10
-
45
Q3
PL932 Kaldafjell Aker BP 40% 12
-
140
Q3
PL1110 Njargasas Aker BP 55% 23
-
120
Q4
PL942 Kongeørn Aker BP 30% 5
-
40
Q4
PL886 Bounty Aker BP 60% 50
-
400
Q4
PL212 E-Prospect Aker BP 30% 5
-
10
Q4
PL1182S Kjøttkake DNO 30% 19
-
40
Postponed to 2025
PL1131 Elgol Vår Energi 20% 27
-
180
Postponed to 2025

Financial highlights

Sales of oil and gas

Volume sold mboepd

Realised prices USD/boe

Total income USD million

Liquids Natural gas

Liquids Natural gas

Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23 Q1-24 Q2-24

Liquids Natural gas Other

Income statement

USD million

Q1 2024
Before impairment Impairments Actual Actual
Total income 3 377 3 377 3 078
Production costs 290 290 211
Other operating expenses 13 13 11
EBITDAX 3 074 3 074 2 855
Exploration expenses 108 108 68
EBITDA 2 966 2 966 2 787
Depreciation 588 588 592
Impairments 83 83 0
Operating profit (EBIT) 2 378 (83) 2 295 2 194
Net financial items (16) (16) (104)
Profit/loss before taxes 2 362 (83) 2 279 2 090
Tax
(+) / Tax income (-)
1 718 1 718 1 559
Net profit / loss 644 (83) 561 531
EPS (USD) 1.02 0.89 0.84
Effective tax rate 73 % 75 % 75 %

461 mboepd (429) Oil and gas sales

\$80 per boe (78)

Net realised price

\$6.4 per boe (6.1)

Production cost

75% (75%)

Effective tax rate

Cash flow

USD million

Q2-24 Q1-24 Q4-23 Q3-23
Op. CF before tax and WC changes 3 133 2 986 3 204 3 235
Taxes paid (2 086) (1 054) (2 207) (862)
Changes in working capital1 100 (476) 506 (272)
Cash flow –
operations
1 147 1 456 1 503 2 101
Cash flow –
investments
(1 430) (1 117) (1 042) (944)
Free cash flow (283) 339 461 1 157
Net debt drawn/repaid 807 - (0) (2)
Dividends (379) (379) (348) (348)
Interest, leasing & misc. (119) (110) (85) (138)
Cash flow –
financing
308 (489) (433) (488)
Net change in cash 25 (150) 28 669
Cash at end of period 3 233 3 215 3 388 3 375

\$-0.28bn (0.34)

Free cash flow (FCF)

\$-0.45(0.54)

FCF per share

\$0.60 (0.60)

Dividend per share

Near-term tax payments

Sensitivity for H2-2024

Tax instalments

  • Tax for the year is paid in six bimonthly instalments with six months delay
  • Initial tax estimate for the year is made in Q2, the H2-instalments are then fixed in NOK
  • Option for voluntary additional payment in October

Assumptions for H1-25 sensitivity analysis

  • Three oil price scenarios illustrated (average for H2-24)
  • Gas prices assumed at USD 9 per mmbtu
  • USDNOK rate assumed at 10.0

Balance sheet

USD million

Assets 30.06.24 31.03.24 31.12.23
PP&E 18 620 17 819 17 450
Goodwill 13 060 13 143 13 143
Other non-current
assets
3 307 3 207 3 314
Cash and equivalent 3 233 3 215 3 388
Other current assets 1 997 2 053 1 751
Total
Assets
40 218 39 437 39 047
Equity and liabilities
Equity 12 685 12 514 12 362
Financial debt 6 589 5 791 5 798
Deferred taxes 11 691 11 058 10 592
Other long-term liabilities 4 734 4 674 4 861
Tax payable 2 512 3 444 3 600
Other current liabilities 2 007 1 955 1 833
Total
Equity and liabilities
40 218 39 437 39 047

\$6.6 bn (\$6.6)

Total available liquidity

32% (32%)

Equity ratio

0.27 (0.21)

Leverage ratio1

Continuously optimising our capital structure

Bond maturities

USD/EUR billion

Senior notes issued in May

  • EUR 750 million
  • 2032 maturity at 4.0% annual fixed coupon

Strong financial capacity and flexibility

  • A robust balance sheet
  • Maintaining financial flexibility
    • Available liquidity
    • Manage leverage ratio

Maintaining financial flexibility

3.4

Net interest-bearing debt Excl. leases, USD billion

2.4 2.4 2.6

Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23 Q1-24 Q2-24

3.1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Leverage ratio1 Targeting below 1.5 over time

0.9

0.6

0.3

0.1

0.5

Q2-21 Q4-21 Q2-22 Q4-22 Q2-23 Q4-23 Q2-24

0.2 0.2

0.2

0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

0.3

BBB Baa2 BBB 1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing 2) Liquidity available: undrawn bank facilities and cash and cash equivalents

Dividends

Strong and resilient cash flow as basis for dividend growth

Aker BP value creation plan 2023-2028 USD billion, accumulated

Dividends USD per share

  • Low-cost production gives resilient dividend capacity
  • Distributions shall reflect the capacity through the cycle
  • A quarterly dividend of USD 0.60 per share also paid in the second quarter 2024
  • ~9% dividend growth in 2024

Q1

Q3

Q4

Q2

▪ Ambition to grow dividend by minimum 5% per year

2024 guidance

Previous
guidance
Actual
Jan
-June
New
guidance
Production
mboepd
410
-440
446 420
-440
Production cost
USD/boe
~7.0 6.2 ~7.0
Capex
USD billion
~5.0 2.28 ~5.0
Exploration
USD billion
~0.50 0.25 ~0.50
Abandonment
USD billion
~0.25 0.14 ~0.25

Second quarter 2024 - Delivering on the strategy

Operate safely
and efficiently
Decarbonise
our business
Deliver high return
projects on quality,
time and cost
Establish the next
wave of profitable
growth options
Return maximum value
to our shareholders
and our society
444 mboepd with
95% efficiency
Equity GHG intensity
of 2.9 kg CO
e/boe
2
Project
portfolio
progressing as planned
Several discoveries close
to existing infrastructure
Quarterly dividend of
USD 0.60 per share
Low unit cost of
USD 6.4/boe
A
global leader in low
CO
emissions
2
Hanz on stream and
Tyrving start-up
accelerated to October
The unlocking of
Wisting continues
Successful EUR 750 mill
bond issue

Disclaimer

This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.

These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.

These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.

Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.

Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.

Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

www.akerbp.com

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