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Protector Forsikring

Investor Presentation Oct 23, 2024

3719_rns_2024-10-23_53292b30-0bfa-45e3-a0af-2394810c6ce2.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Disclaimer

This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligationsto update or correct any of the information set out herein.

These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.

This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.

Investor Presentation

Henrik Høye Chief Executive Officer

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Claims update

Q3:

  • Underlying improvement in property and motor
    • Supported by price increases above claims inflation
    • Motor affected by favorable seasonality in Sweden and Norway
  • Six (6) large loss1 events totalling 7.1% (7.8%)
    • Property claims only
  • Run-off gains driven by motor and liability
Loss ratios
Segment Q3 24
Gross
Q3 24
Net
Q3 23
Gross
03 23
Net
Norway 64% 63% 101% 99%
Sweden* 60% 64% 65% 69%
Denmark 126% 122% 71% 71%
UK 64% 68% 76% 83%
Protector 71.5% 73.6% 77.4% 80.9%
Whereof large losses 7.1 % 7.8 %
Inthornation off ر من مارك الأوروب المنتدى المنتدى المنتقب المنتقل المنتقب المنتقل المنتقب المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل المنتقل الم 0 C 0/
Loss ratios
YID 24 YID 24 YITD 23 YID 23
Segment Gross Net Gross Net
Norway 78% 79% 88% 89%
Sweden* 71% 72% 76% 80%
Denmark 117% 119% 90% 86%
UK 63% 70% 68% 69%
Protector 75.1% 79.3% 77.4% 78.5%
Whereof large losses 8.9 % 4.8 %
Whereof run-off 1.1 % -0.5 %

Large losses1 and run-off

Q3:

  • Large loss of NOKm 214.6 or 7.1% (184.0 or 7.8%)

    • Losses originating from Denmark and UK
  • Run-off gains at 2.8% (gain of 2.9%)

    • Run-off gains in NO, SE and UK, loss in DK
  • Some volatility in reserves & large losses must be expected
    • Best estimate reserving practice, run-off at 0% over time

6

Q3:

  • Growth at 15% (LCY)
    • Renewal rate at 93%, supported by price increases to counter claims inflation
    • Churn driven by one very large UK client.
      • Renewal rate excl. this one client at 101%
  • We stay disciplined to our profitable growth target
Segment 03 24 Q3 23 Growth NOK % LCY%
Norway 231 189 42 22% 22%
Sweden* 316 211 105 50% 29%
Denmark 121 67 54 81% 69%
UK 995 894 101 11% 5%
Protector 1 664 1 362 302 22% 15%
Segment YTD 24 YTD 23 Growth NOK % LCY%
Norway 2 086 1 728 358 21% 21%
Sweden* 2 372 2 274 98 4% 2%
Denmark 1 376 1 172 204 17% 15%
UK 3 811 3 189 622 20% 14%
Protector 9 645 8 363 1 282 15% 12%

Norway Sweden* Denmark UK Protector
NOKm Q3 24 Q3 23 Q3 24 Q3 23 Q3 24 Q3 23 Q3 24 Q3 23 Q3 24 Q3 23
Gross premium written 231 189 316 211 121 67 ਰੇਰੇ ਦੇ 894 1 664 1 362
Insurance revenues 589 459 704 ୧ ମସିହାର ହେଲା । ଏହା ୧୯୮୦ ମସିହାର ହେଲା ବିଧାନ ସଭାକୁ ନିର୍ବାଚନ ହେଲା ବିଧାନ ସଭାକୁ ନିର୍ବାଚନ ହୋଇଥିଲେ । ଏହା ବିଧାନ ସଭାକୁ ନିର୍ବାଚନ ହୋଇଥିବା ବିଧାନ ସଭାକୁ ନିର୍ବାଚନ ହୋଇଥିଲେ । ୧୯୮୦ ମସିହାର ହୋଇ 415 340 1 293 952 3 002 2 366
Insurance service result 178 (34) 168 106 (126) 72 284 ટર્ટ 504 । ਰੇਰੇ
Loss ratio, gross 63.8% 100.5% 59.7% 64.9% 125.8% 71.3% 64.0% 76.5% 71.5% 77.4%
Net reinsurance ratio -0.3% -1.4% 4.0% 4.5% -3.5% -0.8% 4.0% 6.6% 2.1% 3.4%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 63.5% 99.1% 63.6% 69.4% 122.3% 70.6% 68.0% 83.1% 73.6% 80.9%
Cost ratio 6.3% 8.4% 12.5% 13.4% 8.0% 8.1% 10.1% 11.1% 9.6% 10.7%
Whereof commissions to brokers and agents 2.3% 3.0% 7.6% 7.3% 0.1% -0.0% 4.0% 5.2% 3.9% 4.5%
Combined ratio 69.8 % 107.5 % 76.1 % 82.8 % 130.3 % 78.7 % 78.1 % 94.2 % 83.2 % 91.6 %
Norway Sweden* Denmark UK Protector
NOKm YTD 24 YTD 23 YTD 24 YTD 23 YTD 24 YTD 23 YTD 24 YTD 23 YTD 24 YTD 23
Gross premium written 2 086 1 728 2 372 2 274 1 376 1 172 3 811 3 189 9 645 8 363
Insurance revenues 1 687 1 379 2 095 । ਰੇਤੇ ਦ 1 181 ਰੇਵਰ 3 639 2 457 8 601 6 739
Insurance service result 239 ਦੇਤੋ 298 ਹ ਤੇ ਦ (312) ୧୫ 677 464 902 719
Loss ratio, gross 78.2% 88.2% 70.8% 75.9% 116.7% 89.8% 62.6% 67.7% 75.1% 77.4%
Net reinsurance ratio 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 3.9% 2.0% -4.2% 7.8% 0.9% 4.1% 1.1%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 79.0% 89.4% 72.5% 79.8% 118.7% 85.6% 70.4% 68.6% 79.3% 78.5%
Cost ratio 6.9% 6.7% 13.3% 13.3% 7.7% 7.4% 11.0% 12.5% 10.3% 10.8%
Whereof commissions to brokers and agents 2.6% 1.7% 7.6% 6.9% 0.1% 0.0% 4.5% 5.3% 4.2% 4.2%
Combined ratio 85.9 % 96.2 % 85.8 % 93.0 % 126.4 % 93.0 % 81.4 % 81.1 % 89.5 % 89.3 %

Quarterly net loss ratio development

Volatility must be expected, even on a company level

9

1 Our own broker satisfaction survey (handled by third party) 2 3

rd place in Finland

Quality Leadership Easy to do business with, commercially attractive and trustworthy

• The brokers are our only distribution channel • Quality definition aligned with brokers' own surveys • Confirming our own surveys' result • Measured annually Why measure quality perceived by brokers? Achievements Broker satisfaction index 20241

  • How to improve is the most important purpose
    • Understand brokers' and our roles
    • Quick response times
    • Right first time, on time, every time
    • Continuous evaluation of definition

1st (2)

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Investment performance

2.3% return in Q3 |5.4% return in YTD

  • NOKm 534, or 2.3% return in Q3
    • Equities: NOKm 85, or 2.5%
    • Put options: NOKm -11
    • Bonds: NOKm 460, or 2.4%
      • Interest rate swaps: 124 NOKm
  • NOKm 1 155, or 5.4 % return in YTD
    • Equities: NOKm 307, or 9.8%
    • Put options: NOKm -32
    • Bonds: NOKm 880, or 4.8%
      • Interest rate swaps: -38 NOKm
  • High return in quarter for Nordic HY bonds
    • DNB Nordic HY index return at 2%

Q3 investment results

Investment portfolio statistics

Bond portfolio yield at 5.2%, before cost of risk

  • Bond portfolio yielding 5.2% (5.4% in Q2), before cost of risk
    • Avg. reference rate stable from Q2
    • Decreased risk in bonds during Q3 24
      • HY portfolio totalling ≈ NOK bn vs NOK bn
      • Credit duration decreased to 1.7, down from 1.8 Q2 24
      • Average rating A+, with stable outlook

• Equity share at 15.1%, up from 14.1% in Q2

Investment portfolio statistics 30.09.24 30.09.23 30.06.24
Size bond & cash eq. (NOKm)
2
19 087 14 864 19 094
Avg. ref. rate (NIBOR, STIBOR, etc.) 3.9% 4.1% 4.0%
Avg. spread/risk premium (bps) 131 179 141
1
Bonds
Yield3 5.2% 5.9% 5.4%
Duration3 2.3 2.4 2.3
Credit duration 1.7 1.8 1.8
Avg. rating4 A+ A A
Portfolio
size (NOKm)
2
3 413 2 544 3 136
Share of total 15.1% 14.6% 14.1%
Equities Estimated
intrinsic value discount
38% 37% 37%
No. of companies 36 32 38

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

NOKm Q3 24 Q3 23 YTD 24 YTD 23 FY 23
Insurance revenue 3 002 2 366 8 601 6 739 9 386
Insurance claims expenses (2 146) (1 831) (6 460) (5 218) (7 182)
Insurance operating expenses (289) (254) (883) (729) (1 011)
Insurance service result before reinsurance contracts held 567 281 1 259 792 1 193
Reinsurance premium (168) (158) (478) (441) (584)
Amounts recovered from reinsurance 105 76 121 369 471
Net result from reinsurance contracts held (63) (82) (357) (73) (113)
Insurance service result 504 199 902 719 1 080
Net income from investments 534 3 1 155 468 1 328
Net insurance finance income or expenses (235) (47) (242) (28) (384)
Other income/costs (48) (33) (138) (65) (a1)
Profit before tax 756 122 1 677 1 094 1 933
Tax (174) (122) (386) (258) (439)
Discontinued operations (10) (3) 15
Profit for the period 581 (11) 1 291 833 1 509
Large losses, net of reinsurance 7.1 % %
7.8
8.9 % 4.8
%
5.9 %
Run-off gains/losses, net of reinsurance (2.8) % 2.6 % (1.1) % %
0.5
0.3 %
Change in risk adjustment, net of reinsurance 1.4
%
1.3 % 1.7 % 1.4
%
1.5 %
Discounting effect, net of reinsurance (3.8) % (2.8) % (4.1) % (4.1) % (4.2) %
Loss ratio 71.5% 77.4% 75.1% 77.4% 76.5%
Net reinsurance ratio 2.1% 3.4% 4.1% 1.1% 1.2%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 73.6% 80.9% 79.3% 78.5% 77.7%
Cost ratio 9.6% 10.7% 10.3% 10.8% 10.8%
Combined ratio 83.2% 91.6% 89.5% 89.3% 88.5%
Earnings per share 7.1 (0.1) 15.7 10.1 18.3

Balance sheet SCR ratio1 at 194%

In NOKm 30.06.2024 30.06.2023 31.12.2023
Financial assets 22 382 16 916 18 042
Derivatives 364 61 265
Bank deposits 110 111 324
Other assets 1 924 1 592 1 589
Discontinued
operations
0 445 655
Total assets 24 779 19 125 20 874
Total equity 5 191 3 823 4 529
Subordinated loan capital 1 892 1 245 1 892
Insurance contract liabilities 16 314 12 526 12 559
Derivatives 33 181 241
Other liabilities 1 350 1 053 1 396
Discontinued operations 0 298 258
Total equity and liabilities 24 779 19 125 20 874

*Numbers may not add up due to rounding

  • Positive technical and investment result
  • Solvency capital requirement driven by growth

SCR ratio composition

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

9.000

Solvency II SCR ratio at 194%

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

9.000

Composition of SCR:

  • Net insurance risk 66%
  • Net market risk 26%
  • Other risks 8%

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

Eligible solvency capital:

• Guarantee provision subtracted from own funds

SCR composition and development1

Flexible shareholder distribution policy Quarterly assessment of capital position vs. capital need

• Build solvency capital

Solvency ratio zone assessment:

  • Move towards 'Green' if we see e.g. profitable insurance growth, risk-taking in investment portfolio, other attractive allocation opportunities and/or market/macro turbulence.
  • Move towards 'Pink' if we see e.g. limited growth opportunities, very low risk, no near-term allocation opportunities and have good future visibility

150%

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

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