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Aker BP

Investor Presentation Oct 30, 2024

3528_rns_2024-10-30_21c5be77-76db-4e1a-8736-f5b59d196069.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Third quarter 2024

30 October 2024 Aker BP ASA

Highlights

Third quarter 2024

Excellent operational performance

  • High production efficiency and volumes despite scheduled maintenance
  • Low cost and emissions maintained
  • Upgraded full-year guidance with improved production and cost targets

Development projects on track

  • Fabrication, installation and drilling well underway
  • Cost estimates and schedule unchanged
  • Tyrving start-up accelerated to Q3

Strong financial performance

  • Record-high quarterly cash flow from operations
  • Capital structure optimised with 10-year and 30-year USD bonds
  • Dividend of USD 0.60 per share paid in the quarter

Production

Q3 impacted by scheduled maintenance

1,000 barrels oil equivalents per day, mboepd

World-class oil field Production Near-term plans

  • High production efficiency
  • Opex ~\$2 USD/boe
  • Emissions below 1 kg CO2e/boe

mboepd (gross)

  • Finalise drilling campaign
  • Retrofit multilaterals
  • Phase 3 concept select

Production costs

A strong competitive position

Aker BP production cost USD per boe

Industry peers total operational cost1

USD per boe, 2023

Decarbonisation

A global leader in low GHG emissions

Decarbonising the business

Aker BP emission intensity, kg CO2e/boe

120 Industry net emission intensity1 Kg CO2 /boe, equity share (2023)

285 largest producing upstream companies

1

140

~525

Field developments driving growth and value creation

High returns and low break-evens in investment-friendly tax system

▪ New area hub with several discoveries ▪ Significant exploration upside potential

Production outlook

mboepd

Yggdrasil Net ~415 mmboe

Valhall PWP/Fenris Net ~190 mmboe

  • New platform at Valhall and UI at Fenris ▪ Modernising Valhall field centre and enabling development of Fenris gas field
  • Capex USD 5.5bn (pre-tax)

▪ Capex USD 10.7bn (pre-tax)

Tie-back projects at Alvheim, Skarv, Grieg Net ~170 mmboe

  • Nine tie-backs to existing infrastructure four of these on production by Q3-24
  • Low breakeven oil price, high returns, and rapid payback time
  • Capex USD 4.0bn (pre-tax)

Projects on track

Successful installation activities

From prefabrication to yard assembly

Focus on quality and schedule

Total capex estimate in line with plans

Successful Tyrving start-up

Efficient execution I Ahead of schedule I Below budget

  • Delivered through our alliance model, fostering collaboration with suppliers toward shared goals and incentives
  • World-class drilling and subsea performance
  • Estimated gross recoverable resources ~25 mmboe1
  • Expected gross production over 13 mboepd by 2025
  • Exceptionally low operational emissions of only 0.3 kg CO2e/boe

Aker BP project overview

Four projects already on stream - Combined below budget and ahead of schedule

Asset area Field development Aker BP
ownership
Gross/net volume Net capex estimate PDO submission Production
start
Alvheim Frosk 80.0% 10/8 mmboe USD 0.2bn 2021 2023
Kobra
East & Gekko
80.0% 50/40 mmboe USD 0.9bn 2021 2023
Tyrving 61.3% 25/15 mmboe USD 0.4bn 2022 2024
Hanz 35.0% 20/7 mmboe USD 0.2bn 2021 2024
Grieg/Aasen Symra 50.0% USD 1.3bn Dec-22 2026
Solveig Phase II 65.0% 87/49 mmboe 2026
Skarv Alve
North
68.1% USD 1.0bn Dec-22 2027
Idun
North
23.8% 119/51 mmboe 2027
Ørn 30.0% 2027
Valhall Valhall PWP 90.0% USD 5.5bn Dec-22 2027
Fenris 77.8% 230/187 mmboe 2027
Yggdrasil Hugin 87.7% USD 10.7bn Dec-22 2027
Munin 50.0% 650/415 mmboe 2027
Fulla 47.7% 2027

Targeting the next growth phase

Develop existing resources I M&A I Exploration

Reserves and resources billion boe

Exploration strategy

Establishing new growth options Aker BP partner

Uniquely positioned on the NCS

  • Second largest player with over 200 licences
  • Present in all key NCS regions
  • Operator of ~70%

Driving innovation

  • Technology development driving efficiency and success rates
  • Data gathering and processing speed multiplied

Ambitious exploration programme

  • 10-15 exploration wells per year
  • 80% near-field 20% in new areas

Drilling ahead

High-impact wells and emerging opportunities

Skarv area – building on recent successes

  • Multiple discoveries under evaluation for development (Adriana, Lunde and Storjo)
  • Three firm wells scheduled: Sabina, Kongeørn and E-prospect
  • Additional prospects advancing towards drill decisions

Northern North Sea – an emerging exploration region

  • Substantial potential with several recent discoveries
  • Four firm wells scheduled: Kaldafjell, Njargasas, Horatio and Skrustikke
  • Additional prospects advancing towards drill decisions

Other wells to watch

  • High-potentials planned for drilling in the next 12 months: Rondeslottet, Bounty, Arkenstone and Kokopelli
  • East Frigg success unlocks additional opportunities in the Yggdrasil area

Near-term exploration programme

Licence Prospect Operator Aker BP
share
Pre-drill
mmboe
Status
PL261 Storjo Aker BP 70% 21-67 mmboe
PL1086 Falstaff DNO 20% 20
-
95
Ongoing
PL1185 Kvernbit Equinor 20% 10
-
65
Ongoing
PL211CS Sabina (appraisal) Wintershall
Dea
15% 5
-
15
Ongoing
PL932 Kaldafjell Aker BP 40% 10
-
140
Ongoing
PL1014 Arkenstone Equinor 10%* 30
-
250
Q4-24
PL1110 Njargasas Aker BP 55% 20
-
120
Q4-24
PL1131 Elgol Vår
Energi
20% 30
-
180
Q4-24
PL869 Rumpetroll South Aker BP 80% 10
-
45
Q4-24
PL1005 Rondeslottet Aker BP 40% 700
-
1,000
Q1-25
PL1090 Kokopelli Vår Energi 20%* 50
-
375
Q1-25
PL1109 Horatio OMV 20%* 20
-
70
Q1-25
PL1182S Kjøttkake DNO 30% 20
-
40
Q1-25
PL212 E-Prospect Aker BP 30% 5
-
15
Q1-25
PL554 Skrustikke Equinor 30% 25
-
100
Q1-25
PL886 Bounty Aker BP 60% 50
-
440
Q1-25
PL942 Kongeørn Aker BP 30% 5
-
30
Q1-25
PL873 Alfa Aker BP 48% 10
-
35
Q2-25
PL873 Natrudstilen Aker BP 48% 15
-
60
Q2-25
PL873 Sigma NE Aker BP 48% 5
-
20
Q2-25
PL873B Omega Aker BP 48% 5
-
35
Q2-25

14 Kongeørn Bounty Rondeslottet Kokopelli Sigma NE Omega Alfa Natrudstilen E-prospect Horatio Elgol Njargasas Arkenstone Kaldafjell Skrustikke Sabina* Kjøttkake Kvernbit Falstaff Rumpetroll Aker BP partner Aker BP operator

* Subject to government approval

Financial highlights

Sales of oil and gas

Volume sold mboepd

Realised prices USD/boe

Liquids Natural gas

Total income USD million

Liquids Natural gas

Liquids Natural gas Other

Income statement

USD million

Q3 2024 Q2 2024
Before
impairment
Impairments Actual Before
impairment
Impairments Actual
Total income 2 858 2 858 3 377 3 377
Production costs 186 186 290 290
Other operating expenses 19 19 13 13
EBITDAX 2 652 2 652 3 074 3 074
Exploration expenses 40 40 108 108
EBITDA 2 612 2 612 2 966 2 966
Depreciation 614 614 588 588
Impairments 304 304 83 83
Operating profit (EBIT) 1 998 (304) 1 695 2 378 (83) 2 295
Net financial items (68) (68) (16) (16)
Profit/loss before taxes 1 931 (304) 1 627 2 362 (83) 2 279
Tax
(+) / Tax income(-)
1 454 1 454 1 718 1 718
Net profit / loss 477 (304) 173 644 (83) 561
EPS (USD) 0.76 0.27 1.02 0.89
Effective tax rate 75 % 89 % 73 % 75 %

391 mboepd (461)

Oil and gas sales

\$78 per boe (80)

Net realised price

\$6.6 per boe (6.4)

Production cost

Technical goodwill explained

Accounting effect arising from M&A transactions

Illustrative example of goodwill formation and impairments

▪ Technical goodwill, allocated to assets during transactions, is not depreciated

  • Impaired over the asset's lifetime at a 0% tax rate, affecting EPS
  • The impairment has no effect on the company's cash flow
  • Aker BP has USD 5.9 billion in technical goodwill per Q3-24

Cash flow

USD million

Q3-24 Q2-24 Q1-24 Q4-23
Op. CF before tax and WC changes 2 595 3 133 2 986 3 204
Net taxes paid (424) (2 086) (1 054) (2 207)
Changes in working capital1 586 100 (476) 506
Cash flow from operations 2 757 1 147 1 456 1 503
Cash flow from investments (1 402) (1 430) (1 117) (1 042)
Free cash flow 1 355 (283) 339 461
Net debt drawn/repaid - 807 - (0)
Dividends (379) (379) (379) (348)
Interest, leasing & misc. (112) (119) (110) (85)
Cash flow from financing (491) 308 (489) (433)
Net change in cash 864 25 (150) 28
Cash at end of period 4 147 3 233 3 215 3 388

\$2.8 bn (1.5)

Cash flow from operations

\$2.15 (-0.45) FCF per share

\$0.60 (0.60)

Dividend per share

Near-term tax payments

Sensitivity for H1-2025

USD million

2 500

Tax instalments

  • Tax for the year is paid in six bimonthly instalments with six months delay
  • Initial tax estimate for the year is made in Q2, the H2-instalments are then fixed in NOK
  • Voluntary additional payment in October

Q4-24 assumptions for H1-25 sensitivity analysis

  • Two oil price scenarios illustrated
  • Gas prices assumed at USD 10.3 per mmbtu
  • USDNOK rate assumed at 10.5

Balance sheet

USD million

Assets 30.09.24 30.06.24 31.12.23
PP&E 19 803 18 620 17 450
Goodwill 12 757 13 060 13 143
Other non
-current
assets
3 362 3 307 3 314
Cash and equivalent 4 147 3 233 3 388
Other current assets 1 625 1 997 1 751
Total
Assets
41 693 40 218 39 047
Equity and liabilities
Equity 12 477 12 685 12 362
Financial debt 6 673 6 589 5 798
Deferred taxes 12 363 11 691 10 592
Other long
-term liabilities
5 125 4 734 4 861
Tax payable 2 904 2 512 3 600
Other current liabilities 2 152 2 007 1 833
Total
Equity and liabilities
41 693 40 218 39 047

\$7.5 bn (\$6.6)

Total available liquidity

30% (32%) Equity ratio

0.21 (0.27)

Leverage ratio

Maintaining financial flexibility

Net interest-bearing debt

Excl. leases, USD billion

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Leverage ratio1 Targeting below 1.5 over time

Investment grade credit ratings

Q1-21 Q3-21 Q1-22 Q3-22 Q1-23 Q3-23 Q1-24 Q3-24

0.2 0.2

0.2

0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

BBB Baa2 BBB

0.3 0.2

1) Leverage ratio: Net interest-bearing debt divided by EBITDAX last 12 months, excluding effects of IFRS16 Leasing 2) Liquidity available: undrawn bank facilities and cash and cash equivalents

1.2

0.9

0.6

0.3

0.1

0.5

Optimising the capital structure

New 10-year and 30-year USD senior notes issued 1 October 2024

Bond maturities USD/EUR billion

Aligning debt maturities with longevity of business profile

  • Issued USD 1.5 billion notes split equally between 10 and 30 years
  • Repurchased of USD 668 million with maturity 2025/26
  • Increased average debt maturity by 3 years

Strong demand and pricing of milestone 30-year notes illustrate investor long-term confidence

  • Demand for oil and gas
  • Attractiveness of the Norwegian basin
  • Strategy and value creation of Aker BP

Longer maturity at attractive terms

Value creation and distributions

Strong and resilient cash flow as basis for dividend growth

Aker BP value creation plan 2023-2028 USD billion, accumulated

Dividends USD per share

  • Strong and resilient dividend capacity
  • Distributions reflect financial capacity through the cycle

2.40

Q4

Q3

Q1

Q2

  • Quarterly dividend of USD 0.60 per share paid in Q3 2024
  • Approximately 9% dividend growth for the full year 2024
  • Ambition to grow dividends by at least 5% annually

2024 guidance

Previous
guidance
Actual
Jan
-Sept
New
guidance
Production
mboepd
420
-440
436 430
-440
Production cost
USD/boe
~7.0 6.3 ~6.5
Capex
USD billion
~5.0 3.5 ~5.0
Exploration
USD billion
~0.50 0.38 ~0.50
Abandonment
USD billion
~0.25 0.22 ~0.25

Delivering on the strategy

Disclaimer

This Document includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ.

These statements and this Document are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for Aker BP ASA's lines of business.

These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions.

Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for Aker BP ASA's businesses, oil prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Document.

Although Aker BP ASA believes that its expectations and the Document are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Document.

Aker BP ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Document, and neither Aker BP ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.

www.akerbp.com

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