Earnings Release • Nov 19, 2024
Earnings Release
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19 November 2024
| 12:00 | DNB towards 2027 |
Kjerstin Braathen |
|---|---|---|
| 12:25 | Well positioned to deliver on financial targets | Ida Lerner |
| 12:40 | Uniquely positioned for continued profitable growth in Personal Banking |
Maria Ervik Løvold |
| 12:50 | Leverage market leader position for further value creation in Corporate Banking Norway |
Rasmus T. Figenschou |
| 13:00 | Large Corporates & International provides a strong platform for profitable growth |
Harald Serck-Hanssen |
| 13:10 | Strong capital markets and investment banking position, further enhanced through the Carnegie acquisition |
Alexander Opstad |
| 13:20 | Solid growth platform across Wealth Management | Håkon Hansen |
| 13:30 | Q&A | Kjerstin Braathen and Ida Lerner |


1 R12: Rolling twelve months.
2 The Norwegian Financial Supervisory Authority's (FSA's) expectation from year-end 2022.
3 Assets under management in retail customers segment and defined-contribution pensions.

25.00

▪ Payout ratio >50%
100%

Gross domestic product (GDP) and inflation Actual and Norges Bank forecast, per cent
Improved household purchasing power and house prices set to continued rise Actual and Norges Bank forecast, YOY growth, per cent
Key policy rate expected to remain higher on a relative basis Actual and DNB Markets forecast, per cent


1 Statistics Norway (2023).
2 Statistics Norway (per September 2024).

1 Source: Økonomiske perspektiver, report from the Norwegian central bank, Norges Bank (2023).
2 Relative to EU member states, Source: The Statistical Reports Committee for county and municipal government finance.
>14%
Cost/income ratio
<40%
CET1 capital ratio1 >16.7%
Payout ratio
>50%
Ambition to increase the nominal dividend per share YoY

Key priorities and levers to deliver

DNB 2025-2027 Enhanced customer value
Strong trust in traditional banking services among Norwegians1
Traditional banks

Leveraging personalisation and digital sales to increase engagement Several initiatives recently launched
✓ Generating relevant and insight-driven content
✓ Building engaging and easy-to-use features
✓ Creating personalised experiences and decision-making support


Overdraft facility for small corporates, with all-digital application and decision process
Innovative product with flexible revenue-based repayments for small corporates
Seamless digital process for moving mortgages to and from DNB
DNB 2025-2027 Profitable growth
Building lifetime relationships through strategic positions

Growth companies

Startups
Building further on market-leading position in SME segment through new business area
Increasing competitiveness through two complementary brands
1 out of 3 Norwegian SMEs choose DNB as their business partner
5.5 products used on average by each customer
Digital only, self service

Multichannel, advisory services
Mobile only, challenger bank




Strong profitable growth in attractive Nordic region Further accelerating pan-Nordic ambitions by acquiring Carnegie2

| Private banking | Asset management |
Investment banking |
|---|---|---|
| ----------------- | --------------------- | ----------------------- |


1 World Economic Outlook Databases (IMF, per 2023).
2 Subject to regulatory approval.

Norway Structural drivers for further growth Ongoing trend already yielding results
Several pension reforms in recent years Driving need for and increasing attractiveness of pension savings
Stimulating growth in savings rate across the population
substantially less than people in neighbouring countries
Household saving rate compared to Norway3


86% Growth in AUM 2019–3Q 20242
DNB 2025-2027 Profitable growth

79% Growth in recurring annual savings 2019-3Q 2024

Share of mutual funds sold digitally - Leading scalable digital platforms for profitable growth
1 Source: The Norwegian Fund and Asset Management Association (VFF): Market share domestic market.
2 Assets under management in retail customers segment and defined-contribution pensions.
3 Per 2Q 2024, seasonally adjusted data. Source: Eurostat and Statistics Norway.
DNB 2025-2027 Culturally driven digital leader


DNB 2025-2027 Culturally driven digital leader
A driving force and accelerator in the sustainable transition
for sustainable activities of NOK 1 500 billion by 20303



Stopped digital fraud attempts against
customers to the value of NOK 1 500 million in 2023


- 2023 figures
~50% of which are paid to the Norwegian government, Folketrygdfondet 5 and the DNB Savings Bank Foundation
4 Ownership interest of 8.8 per cent.
5 Manager of the Government Pension Fund Norway.







Consistent track record of execution and delivery on financial targets
Uniquely positioned in an attractive environment

Clear priorities and levers to deliver on new financial targets


1

1 Adjusted for one-off reduction in pension costs of NOK 1 969 million in 2015 relating to change in pension scheme.
Income

Margin income driven by customer reprising and volume growth
Income

1 IFRS 17 – new reporting standard for insurance contracts, implemented from 1 January 2023. Figures for 2022 have been restated, where relevant.
2 FICC: Fixed Income Currency Commodities.
Income

Cost

1 Adjusted for one-off reduction in pension costs of NOK 1 969 million relating to change in pension scheme.

Gross cost reductions 2023–2024 NOK billion

▪ Decommissioned IT systems, realised synergies and leveraged scale
Cost
Leveraging a diverse toolbox to increase cost efficiency towards 2027 – C/I <40%




Cost



Capital
32


Per cent
1 The SREP, received from the FSA on 7 November 2024, states a capital requirement of 15.4 and an expectation of 16.7 per cent from 31 December 2024, a reduction of 17 bps from current requirement and expectation.
2 Repayment of capital pending FSA's approval.
Capital
Key drivers for achieving financial ambitions 2025–2027


Market leading positions in personal and corporate customer segments and strengthened position within strategic products provide solid foundation for income growth

Continuous cost measures to ensure competitiveness and efficiency

Solid and well-diversified portfolio with majority of exposure towards customers in a strong Norwegian economy

Strong profitability and solid capital position – well positioned to deliver on dividend policy


1 Visits to dnb.no, sbanken.no, logins to mobile banking apps and Spare savings app.
2 Including estimated merger effect, end 2024.

Development in deposit volume NOK billion



Pre-tax operating profit and return on allocated capital NOK million, per cent
30 000

27.0
Products per mortgage customer1 Numbers from end-September
Cards, salary accounts and savings schemes1 Per cent of mortgage customers end-September
Number of banking relationships2 Average per customer

98% have a debit or credit card 1.81
85% have salary accounts
59% have savings schemes in accounts or mutual funds

1 Excluding Sbanken.
2 Source: Norstat survey among the Norwegian population in 3Q 2024.


Growth in active users in our mobile channels

Share of population actively using


DNB's digital channels 46% 1 34% Share of population actively using the DNB/Sbanken mobile banking apps1


Active users log in on average more than 7 times per week
80% of payments and transfers via mobile banking apps
1 Norwegian population above the age of 17 who have logged in during the past three months..
2 Excluding Sbanken.

Leveraging new technologies, solutions and ways of work to better serve our customers
Reducing incoming traffic, average handling time and FTEs1 in customer service centre

1 FTE: Full-Time-Equivalent.
2 Share of customers giving customer service interaction score of 5 or 6, scale of 1-6.
Key drivers for further profitable growth 2025–2027


Market leader expanding market reach through two strong brands
No. 1 in digital services driving further digital and personalised sales

Leveraging technology to meet future customer needs and ensure cost efficiency


Total income by industry segment No. 1 position in public sector, real estate and SME segment

Market leader in financial services for commercial real estate, residential property and construction in Norway1

Municipalities, the central government, health authorities and publicly-owned companies driving deposits and payment transactions

Highly diversified portfolio for the SME segment that utilises a wide range of financial products and services.
1 DNB Factbook, Statistics Norway (SSB). Source: BankShift survey among municipalities in 3Q24.
Other

1 Figures prior to 2023 are estimated to reflect the new organisation with the split of Corporate customers into two customer segments; Corporate customers Norway and Large corporates and international customers.



DNB Markets customer income

Leading arranger of debt in the seafood sector, offering full range of Investment Banking services

Leading Nordic bank for financial advisory services relating to commercial real estate acquisitions, sales and mergers

Leading position in trade finance, optimising cash flow and securing domestic and international trade with innovative Secure Trade solutions
SMEs – a cornerstone of the Norwegian economy

99 per cent of Norwegian companies are SMEs
56 per cent of private sector workforce is employed by SMEs
54 per cent of value creation comes from SMEs
DNB has a unique position in the Norwegian corporate segment


5.5 products used on average by our customers2
1 out of 4 new businesses use DNB
Sources: The Confederation for Norwegian Enterprise (NHO), Statistics Norway (SSB), Finance Norway, The Brønnøysund Register Centre, NyAnalyse.






High customer satisfaction rating in App Store 4.6 1
111% Increase in total number of active users since 2022
23% Customers using the app actively every day


Data-driven credit and revenue-based finance launched for small corporates

Drive engagement and satisfaction with enhanced personalised experience


1 Contact frequency: number of manually handled inbound contacts in our corporate customer service center.
2 2022: Uptick in inbound traffic due to customer ID compliance efforts in addition to replacement of card systems.


Leverage leading market position to increase cross-selling opportunities for capital-light products

Continue to develop digital solutions that ensure efficiency, enhance engagement and exploit opportunities for digital sales

Continue to leverage industry competence and collaboration with Large Corporates & International


1 Figures prior to 2023 are estimated to reflect the new organisation with the split of Corporate customers into two customer segments; Corporate customers Norway and Large corporates and international customers.
2 Return on allocated capital 3Q24 R12.
▪ Strong focus on industry strategies and a diversified industry mix
Strategically positioned in relevant geographical locations






1 Risk-adjusted return on allocated capital year-to-date 3Q24.

1 Figures excl. DNB Finans.
2 Comparable figures before 2020 not available due to organisational changes. Comparable figures for Denmark and Finland not available before 2022.


No. 1 adviser in the Norwegian sustainable bond market and energy sector

Celebrated 10 active years in the sustainable bond market with 300+ transactions, helping customers raise EUR 50+ billion

Expanded our sustainable finance advisory offering from bonds and loans to include IPOs and M&A

First transition finance transaction in the Nordics
1 Finance and facilitate sustainable activities worth NOK 1 500 billion by 2030. Source: Prospera benchmark.

Global ocean industries1 ECM2 and DCM2 last 24 months

| # | Bookrunner | Volume USD million |
# of deals | Market share Per cent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DNB Markets | 7.696 | 35 | 12.1 |
| 2 | Bank #2 | 6.405 | 22 | 10.1 |
| 3 | Bank #3 | 5.503 | 21 | 8.7 |
| 4 | Bank #4 | 4.788 | 28 | 7.5 |
| 5 | Bank #5 | 3.211 | 15 | 5.0 |
| 6.0 billion Cross-sales2 |
22 per cent RAROAC2 |



Leverage our global leading positions and competitive edge through developing our industry positions, deep relationships and strong competence

Strengthen our income by cross-selling our wider product mix to a growing customer base

Accelerate the Nordic position in close collaboration with DNB Markets and Wealth Management

Key figures DNB Markets 3Q24 rolling twelve months NOK million, per cent Balanced customer income mix from a broad product portfolio



| # | Advisor | USD million | # deals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DNB Markets | 24 314 | 21 | |
| M&A | 2 | Bulge bracket | 21 567 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulge bracket | 17 534 | 5 | |
| 4 | M&A boutique | 8 800 | 2 | |
| 5 | M&A boutique | 6 481 | 9 |
| # | Bookrunner | USD million | # deals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DNB Markets | 6 093 | 57 | |
| ECM | 2 | Nordic peer | 4 760 | 52 |
| 3 | Nordic peer | 3 850 | 40 | |
| 4 | Nordic peer | 2 445 | 26 | |
| 5 | Nordic peer | 2 182 | 23 |
| # | Arranger | USD million | # deals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DNB Markets | 2 142 | 59 | |
| High yield |
2 | Nordic peer | 1 300 | 51 |
| bonds | 3 | Nordic peer | 947 | 32 |
| 4 | Nordic peer | 857 | 25 | |
| 5 | Nordic peer | 828 | 37 |
| Buy-side M&A of | Sell-side M&A |
|---|---|
| renewables platform | 30MW Hydro |
| Hydro REIN | Plant |
| USD 332 million | Undisclosed |
| 2024 | 2024 |
| Sole financial | Exclusive financial |
| adviser | adviser |


Positioned as a leading pan-Nordic investment bank with globally leading positions in selected sectors
2
Ranked no. 1 in the Nordics by customers across products, offering the best expertise and research

4
Combining advisory services with products for deal facilitation and derisking
The preferred bridge between Nordic and global markets with the strongest distribution network

6
At the front of capital markets with continuous deal flow securing unique insights for all capital sources
Agile and customer-centric, and the employer of choice

DNB Markets Carnegie Securities & Investment Banking

| FTEs | Sector expertise | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | |||||||
| >950 | Asset-heavy | ✓ ✓ ✓ |
✓ | ||||
| front office professionals |
Asset-light | ✓ ✓ |
✓ ✓ ✓ |

| Product offering | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Products | |||||
| ECM | ✓ ✓ |
✓ ✓ ✓ |
advisory mandate | ||
| DCM and debt advisory | ✓ ✓ ✓ |
✓ | |||
| M&A | ✓ ✓ |
✓ ✓✓ |
▪ | Some efficiency gains expected over time | |
| Securities sales and research | ✓ ✓ ✓ |
✓ ✓ ✓ |
|||
| Commissioned research | ✓ ✓ ✓ |
||||
| Securities finance | ✓ ✓ ✓ |
✓ | 1.6x | ||
| FX, commodities and rates | ✓ ✓ ✓ |
||||
| Securities services | ✓ ✓ ✓ |
||||
| Underwriting capabilities | ✓ ✓ ✓ |
✓ | |||
| Bridge financing | ✓ ✓ ✓ |


No.1 No. 1 positions Exponentially more profitable

1 Prospera 2023.
2 Source: Dealogic from 1 October 2019 to 30 September 2024 (a. M&A excludes PwC, Deloitte, KPMG, E&Y and BDO, b. ECM and HY DCM include deals with role as bookrunner).

Key drivers for further profitable growth 2025–2027


A well-diversified business across products and sectors create a stable and robust business in close collaboration with the other business areas

Competitive moat growing wider due to improved local market positions and regional scale

Ample growth opportunities for DNB Carnegie based on combined strengths and goal to become the leading Nordic investment bank




-
50
100
150
200
250

Leveraging DNB's strong position in the corporate banking customers segment for efficient distribution
NOK 15 billion in annual pension savings create a platform for recurring fee growth
Wage growth and new customers will contribute to increased growth going forward

Recurring annual inflow from existing definedcontribution pension schemes


600 000 individual customers from active pension schemes


Recurring annual inflow from existing mutual fund savings agreements

360 000 customers with active savings agreements in mutual funds

750 000 recurring savings agreements in mutual funds
| Growing volumes NOK billion |
Solid growth in income NOK million |
Carnegie – growth through complementarities and product breadth |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 800,00 | 3800 | ||||
| >2 x 700,00 Closest |
26.2 per cent return2 3300 |
Geographical locations | |||
| peer1 600,00 |
2 851 2 842 |
Discretionary portfolios ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ |
|||
| 500,00 | 2800 2 512 |
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Advisory solutions |
|||
| 420 401 374 371 400,00 |
2300 1 885 |
✓ ✓✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Securities |
|||
| 302 272 |
1 640 1 635 1800 |
Securities finance ✓ ✓ ✓ |
|||
| 300,00 | 1300 | ✓ ✓ ✓ Deposits |
|||
| 200,00 | ✓ ✓ Mortgages |
||||
| 100,00 | 800 | Second home financing ✓ ✓ ✓ |
|||
| 300 | ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Insurance |
||||
| - 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 3Q24 |
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -200 |
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Wealth planning |
|||
| Loans and Deposits Asset management Securities Securities finance |
R12 | ✓ Pension advisory ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ |
|||
| Carnegie | Family office ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ |
1 3Q24 presentation, closest peer.
2 Return on allocated capital, 2024 R12.

1 Per 3Q24. 2 Return on allocated capital, 2024 R12.
No.1 savings app with 730 000 total users
Spare ambition – "Preferred by active retail investors, but easy enough for everyone to use"
Engagement and ease of use drive sales
Share of one-time mutual fund purchases made in app
55 per cent
Share of new mutual fund customers onboarded in Spare
actively every week
High user satisfaction – 4.7 app-store rating


Smarter after every visit
Tap, tap, buy
Key drivers for further profitable growth 2025–2027


The leading position for Norwegian savers and investors, with a robust and well proven integrated business model

Leading digital distributor in Norway through SPARE and dnb.no, with attractive and scalable growth opportunities

Leveraging the Carnegie acquisition for Nordic growth in private banking and asset management
The statements contained in this presentation may include forward-looking statements, such as statements of future expectations. These statements are based on the management's current views and assumptions and involve both known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
Although DNB believes that the expectations implied in any such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct.
Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those set out or implied in the forward-looking statements. Important factors that may cause such a difference include, but are not limited to: (i) general economic conditions, (ii) performance of financial markets, including market volatility and liquidity, (iii) the extent of credit defaults, (iv) interest rate levels, (v) currency exchange rates, (vi) changes in the competitive climate, (vii) changes in laws and regulations, (viii) changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments, or supranational entities.
DNB assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement.
This presentation contains alternative performance measures, or non-IFRS financial measures. Definitions and calculations are presented on ir.dnb.no.

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