Earnings Release • Mar 16, 2018
Earnings Release
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"We are on track to achieve a significant step-up in free cash flow generation driven by the completion of our growth initiatives and ramp-up to run-rate production volumes across our asset base. We started the year with a continued ramp-up of IFCo and the return to high utilization levels of all our plants in North Africa, which were affected by an extended shutdown in Algeria last year. The unplanned shutdown in Algeria is expected to be covered by insurance. The combined effect has boosted our average daily production volumes already significantly to date in 2018 compared to 2017.
We are now in the final stages of an ambitious capital expenditure program through which we will have grown from a single urea plant 10 years ago into a globally diversified low-cost producer of nitrogen fertilizers and industrial chemicals. With the majority of our capex behind us, we are focused on generating significant value from our wellinvested asset base.
Our facilities are on average the youngest in the industry with approximately 50% of our production capacity under five years old, utilizing best-in-class technologies, which supports above-average utilization rates and low maintenance costs.
Our production capacity is also highly flexible with a focus on high value-added urea derivatives, in addition to downstream nitrates. We continue to be the global leader in the melamine market and are growing our footprint for diesel exhaust fluid (DEF). We have more than doubled our DEF capacity at IFCo this year and successfully produced diesel exhaust fluid in Egypt, with the first shipments already executed.
Optimizing our capital structure through lowering our cost of debt and extending maturities is a primary objective for OCI in 2018. This year, we have already successfully exchanged IFCo's 2019 and 2022 bonds for longer maturities and lower coupon rates; we refinanced OCI Partners with an upsized \$455 million Term Loan B facility, priced 250 bps below the previous facility, extending the maturity by approximately six years and upstreaming \$217 million to the parent company; and we are in the process of concluding a refinancing of debt facilities at EFC, which is expected to materially reduce EFC's cost of debt and extend maturities. We plan to opportunistically evaluate financing opportunities which may or may not include refinancing of existing OCI N.V. and/or other subsidiary debt at the OCI N.V. level. With our growth capex effectively complete and our capital structure optimization plans underway, we are well positioned to rapidly deleverage our balance sheet to achieve an investment grade profile within the next two to three years."
With the completion of our capital expenditure program, we believe that we are poised to achieve significant EBITDA growth and cash flow generation on the back of our reduced capital expenditures and our ramp-up to run-rate production volumes, driven by both our new capacity and our North African assets achieving high utilization rates:
Total capital expenditure for 2018 is expected to be in the range of \$250 to \$300 million, of which \$150 to \$200 million is maintenance capex and the balance is growth capex, primarily for the refurbishment of BioMCN's second line. For 2019 and beyond, total capital expenditure is expected to be in the range of \$150 to \$200 million.
| \$ million unless otherwise stated |
2017 | 2016 | % Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,251.5 | 1,906.5 | 18.1% |
| Gross Profit | 320.4 | 221.1 | 44.9% |
| Adjusted EBITDA2) | 634.3 | 466.5 | 36.0% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin | 28.2% | 24.5% | |
| Adjusted net income (loss) attributable to shareholders | (27.3) | 22.1 | NM |
| Reported net income (loss) attributable to shareholders | (103.6) | 167.9 | NM |
| Earnings / (loss) per share (\$) | |||
| Basic earnings per share (reported) | (0.495) | 0.802 | NM |
| Diluted earnings per share (reported) | (0.495) | 0.802 | NM |
| Total Assets | 7,143.6 | 7,260.3 | (1.6%) |
| Total Equity | 1,442.0 | 1,778.0 | (18.9%) |
| Gross Interest-Bearing Debt | 4,677.6 | 4,586.0 | 2.0% |
| Net Debt | 4,446.6 | 4,193.8 | 6.0% |
| Capital Expenditure | 147.3 | 735.9 | (80.0%) |
| Sales volumes ('000 metric tons)3) | |||
| OCI Product | 7,382.8 | 6,142.4 | 20.2% |
| Third Party Traded | 1,293.9 | 2,027.3 | (36.2%) |
| Total Product Volumes | 8,676.7 | 8,169.7 | 6.2% |
1) Further details on the results can be found in the 2017 annual report at our corporate website: www.oci.nl
2) OCI N.V. uses a few Alternative Performance Measures ('APM') to provide a better understanding of the underlying developments of the performance of the business. The APMs are not defined in IFRS and should be used as supplementary information in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. A detailed reconciliation between APM and IFRS can be found in this report
3) Fully consolidated, not adjusted for OCI ownership stake in plant
OCI's safety results were outstanding in 2017, with 8% lower lost time (LTIR) and 19% lower total recordable (TRIR) injury rates, outperforming the industry average by approximately 75%.
Four out of seven operating plants achieved zero recordable injury rates during the year, and five achieved zero lost time injury rates. OCI is proud of every employee's diligence and attention to safety, which has brought the total recordable injury rate down by 64% over the last four years, despite several turnaround programs across OCI's sites, the debottlenecking project at OCI Beaumont in 2015, the ramp-up of production in North Africa, and the startup at IFCo. Safety remains OCI's key priority, and OCI continues to target zero incidences every year.
Optimization of the capital structure through lowering our cost of debt and extending maturities is a primary objective for OCI in 2018. To that end, OCI recently successfully exchanged IFCo's 2019 and 2022 bonds for longer maturities and lower coupon rates, refinanced OCI Partners (NYSE: OCIP) and is in the process of concluding new debt facilities at EFC. OCI N.V. also increased its stake in OCIP in December 2017.
• As part of the solicitations, IFCo also received various consents that provide more flexibility, including adjustments to the cash reserve requirements.
• In December 2017, OCI N.V. acquired an additional 7.3 million common units of OCIP at a total cost of \$61 million, or \$8.40 per common unit. The units were purchased from certain minority unitholders in privately negotiated transactions. Following the transaction, OCI's ownership in OCIP increased from 79.88% to 88.25%.
Following the completion and ramp-up of Iowa Fertilizer Company, OCI has two growth projects remaining, Natgasoline in the United States and BioMCN in the Netherlands:
Including OCI's proportionate share in Natgasoline and OCI Partners, OCI's total methanol capacity will reach 2.8 million metric tons by the end of 2018, from a current capacity of 1.4 million metric tons.
| '000 metric tons | 2017 | 2016 | % Δ | Q4 2017 | Q4 2016 | % Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own Product | ||||||
| Ammonia | 1,477.8 | 1,441.4 | 2.5% | 358.8 | 335.2 | 7.0% |
| Urea1) | 2,525.2 | 1,916.5 | 31.8% | 703.0 | 517.2 | 35.9% |
| Calcium Ammonium Nitrate (CAN) | 1,189.3 | 1,028.8 | 15.6% | 232.6 | 304.8 | (23.7%) |
| Urea Ammonium Nitrate (UAN)2) | 752.4 | 425.8 | 76.7% | 371.4 | 76.2 | 387.4% |
| Total Fertilizer | 5,944.7 | 4,812.5 | 23.5% | 1,665.8 | 1,233.4 | 35.1% |
| Methanol3) | 1,285.5 | 1,180.8 | 8.9% | 357.1 | 294.7 | 21.2% |
| Melamine | 152.6 | 149.1 | 2.3% | 33.6 | 44.9 | (25.2%) |
| Total Industrial Chemicals | 1,438.1 | 1,329.9 | 8.1% | 390.7 | 339.6 | 15.0% |
| Total Own Product Sold | 7,382.8 | 6,142.4 | 20.2% | 2,056.5 | 1,573.0 | 30.7% |
| Traded Third Party | ||||||
| Ammonia | 249.9 | 220.5 | 13.3% | 95.5 | 29.3 | 225.9% |
| Urea | 102.3 | 115.3 | (11.3%) | 31.1 | 74.6 | (58.3%) |
| UAN | 157.6 | 78.3 | 101.3% | 51.1 | 24.9 | 105.2% |
| Ammonium Sulphate (AS) | 784.1 | 1,613.2 | (51.4%) | 215.7 | 483.7 | (55.4%) |
| Total Traded Third Party Product | 1,293.9 | 2,027.3 | (36.2%) | 393.4 | 612.5 | (35.8%) |
| Total Own Product and Traded Third Party | 8,676.7 | 8,169.7 | 6.2% | 2,449.9 | 2,185.5 | 12.1% |
1) Includes Diesel Exhaust Fluid product volumes (in equivalent urea tons)
2) Includes 25.9% nitrogen solution (in equivalent UAN tons)
3) Includes 10.9 kt procured by OCI Beaumont in Q2 2017 during an unplanned shutdown
OCI's fertilizer operations ramped up production during 2017 with the commissioning of IFCo, EFC returning to record levels and the return to high utilization levels of OCI's ammonia facility in Egypt (EBIC). This was partly offset by lower production at Sorfert due to an unplanned shutdown. Total own-produced fertilizer volumes improved 24.0% during 2017 compared to 2016.
• Urea volumes increased 31.8% in 2017 compared to 2016, driven by record production volumes at EFC, partly offset by lower volumes at Sorfert. In 2016, EFC was still subjected to gas curtailments, which have since been resolved through major gas discoveries by global oil & gas majors.
OCI's industrial chemicals portfolio performed well during 2017, with an increase of 8.1% in own-produced volumes and an increase in selling prices for both methanol and melamine compared to 2016.
| 2017 | 2016 | % Δ | Q4 2017 | Q4 2016 | % Δ | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammonia | NW Europe, FOB | \$/mt | 312 | 297 | 5% | 328 | 248 | 32% |
| Ammonia | US Gulf Tampa contract | \$/mt | 277 | 276 | 0% | 299 | 220 | 36% |
| Granular Urea | Egypt, FOB | \$/mt | 241 | 217 | 11% | 271 | 234 | 16% |
| CAN | Germany, CIF | €/mt | 193 | 180 | 7% | 200 | 175 | 14% |
| UAN | France, FOT | €/mt | 154 | 151 | 2% | 159 | 147 | 8% |
| UAN | US Midwest, FOB | \$/mt | 208 | 226 | (8%) | 204 | 196 | 4% |
| Melamine | Europe contract | €m/t | 1,513 | 1,390 | 9% | 1,575 | 1,390 | 13% |
| Methanol | USGC Contract, FOB | \$/mt | 402 | 274 | 47% | 393 | 326 | 21% |
| Methanol | Rotterdam FOB Contract | €/mt | 348 | 239 | 46% | 318 | 248 | 28% |
Source: CRU, Argus
• Fertilizer benchmark selling prices were on average higher in 2017 compared to 2016, but were volatile throughout the year. Prices remained well below historical mid-cycle levels and were amongst the lowest reached since 2004. However, OCI continued to benefit from sustainably low natural gas prices on average in its core markets, despite some increases compared to 2016, supporting healthy margins.
Consolidated 2017 revenue increased 18.1% to \$2,251.5 million, driven by higher product volumes sold and on average higher selling prices. Revenue for IFCo was first recognized in October 2017, when the assets were placed in service.
Higher natural gas prices offset some of the benefits of higher volumes and prices. OCI's natural gas exposure is evenly distributed between spot pricing in the Netherlands and the United States, and fixed long-term contracts in Egypt and Algeria.
Average annual Dutch TTF natural gas spot prices increased by 24% to €17.33/MWh, Houston Ship Channel spot prices increased by 21% to \$2.97/MMBtu, and Henry Hub spot prices increased by 19% to \$2.96/MMBtu.
The gas environment in Egypt continues to be positive, with future gas supply in Egypt secure for the foreseeable future as domestic natural gas production in Egypt continues to ramp up.
SG&A expenses were \$160.9 million in 2017, a decrease of 28.2% compared to \$224.1 million in 2016. The decrease was primarily due to the reduction of costs related to the construction of IFCo, the positive effect of OCI's cost savings program and a decrease in SG&A costs in Egypt because of the devaluation of the Egyptian Pound in November 2016. Excluding expenses related to expansion projects, SG&A as a percentage of revenue decreased to 5.9% in 2017 from 7.8% in 2016.
As a result, adjusted EBITDA increased 36.0% from \$466.5 million in 2016 to \$634.3 million in 2017, implying adjusted EBITDA margins of 24.5% and 28.2% respectively.
Adjusted EBITDA is an Alternative Performance Measure (APM) that intends to give a clear reflection of underlying performance of OCI's operations. APM adjustments in 2017 relate to:
| Reconciliation of reported operating income to adjusted EBITDA |
|---|
| \$ million | 2017 | 2016 | Adjustment in P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating profit as reported | 148.3 | 304.5 | |
| Depreciation and amortization | 330.9 | 317.2 | |
| EBITDA | 479.2 | 621.7 | |
| APM adjustments for: | |||
| Expenses related to expansion projects (IFCo) | 28.0 | 75.2 | SG&A and Other expenses |
| Sorfert shutdown | 95.5 | - | Revenue and COGS |
| EBIC impact of unavailability of export jetty | 15.4 | - | Revenue and COGS |
| Impact of Hurricane Harvey on OCIP | 3.2 | - | Revenue and COGS |
| Settlement of claims | 11.0 | - | Other expenses |
| Termination fee | - | (150.0) | Other income |
| Transaction costs | - | 24.8 | Other expenses |
| Result on sale of 50% and deconsolidation of Natgasoline | - | (107.9) | Other income |
| Other | 2.0 | 2.7 | Other income and expenses |
| Total APM adjustments | 155.1 | (155.2) | |
| Adjusted EBITDA1) | 634.3 | 466.5 |
1) Should IFCo be normalized for 2017, assuming management expectations of run-rate operations, capacity efficiencies and gas consumption, and using prevailing published benchmark prices for 2017, IFCo's EBITDA would have been approximately \$195 million higher, resulting in a full-year EBITDA for IFCo above \$200 million. Based on these assumptions, OCI N.V.'s normalized proforma EBITDA would have been c.\$827 million in 2017
The reported net loss (after non-controlling interest) was \$103.6 million in 2017, compared to income of \$167.9 million in 2016.
Adjusted net loss (after non-controlling interest) was \$27.3 million in 2017, compared to income of \$22.1 million in 2016. APM adjustments in net income level were:
| \$ million | 2017 | 2016 | Adjustment in P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income attributable to shareholders |
(103.6) | 167.9 | |
| Adjustments for: | |||
| APM adjustments at EBITDA level | 155.1 | (155.2) | |
| Minority interest of lost revenue due to unplanned shutdown Sorfert |
(55.0) | - | Minority interest |
| Tax effect of APM adjustments | (5.6) | 43.5 | Income tax |
| Expenses related to expansion projects | 9.7 | - | Income from equity accounted investees |
| Forex gain/loss on USD exposure | 4.9 | (48.7) | Finance expense |
| Egypt idled expenses | - | 11.3 | Various |
| Recognition of previously unused tax losses BioMCN |
(32.8) | - | Income tax |
| Other APM adjustments | - | 3.3 | Various |
| Total APM adjustments in net income | 76.2 | (145.8) | |
| Adjusted net income attributable to shareholders | (27.3) | 22.1 |
Net debt stood at \$4,446.6 million as at 31 December 2017 compared to \$4,193.8 million as at 31 December 2016 and was at approximately at the same level as at the end of the third quarter of 2017. The net effect of movement in exchange rates accounted for \$170.1 million out of the total \$252.8 million increase in net debt, mostly due to the translation of Euro-denominated loans into US\$, partly offset by a positive effect from a devaluation of the Algerian Dinar. In the fourth quarter, OCI N.V. also acquired OCI Partners units at a total cost of c.\$61 million. Total capital expenditures decreased from \$735.9 million in 2016 to \$147.3 million in 2017.
| \$ millions | 31-Dec-17 | 31-Dec-16 |
|---|---|---|
| Gross interest-bearing debt | 4,677.6 | 4,586.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 231.0 | 392.2 |
| Net debt | 4,446.6 | 4,193.8 |
The consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2017 have been prepared according to International Financial Reporting Standards as adopted by the European Union and valid as of the balance sheet date.
The full-year 2017 financial figures of OCI N.V. in the primary statements in this report are derived from the audited Financial Statements 2017. These Financial Statements have been authorized for issue on 16 March 2018. The Financial Statements have been published by law on 16 March 2018 and still have to be adopted by the general meeting of shareholders. Reference is made to the published Financial Statements 2017 for the accounting principles.
Further details on the results can be found in the 2017 annual report at our corporate website: www.oci.nl
OCI N.V. (Euronext: OCI) is a global producer and distributor of natural gas-based fertilizers & industrial chemicals based in the Netherlands. OCI produces nitrogen fertilizers, methanol and other natural gas based products, serving agricultural and industrial customers from the Americas to Asia. OCI is a leading global nitrogen fertilizer producer with over 9.6 million metric tons of capacity. OCI is also on track to become one of the world's largest methanol producers with almost 3.7 million tons of capacity. OCI is listed on Euronext in Amsterdam.
Hans Zayed Director Email: [email protected]
Tel: +31 (0) 6 18 251 367
For additional information on OCI:
OCI stock symbols: OCI / OCI.NA / OCI.AS / OCINY
Honthorststraat 19 1071 DC Amsterdam The Netherlands
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