Earnings Release • Oct 25, 2023
Earnings Release
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Amsterdam, 25 October 2023 – Heineken N.V. (HEIA; HEINY) publishes its third quarter 2023 trading update.
"We continue to focus on our EverGreen priorities and see gradual improvement in our business performance, although somewhat slower than our ambition. In half of our markets, volume trends are improving. Similarly in just over half of our markets, we are gaining or holding market share.
We returned to volume growth in the Americas, with strong performances in Brazil and Mexico. Asia Pacific improved sequentially, despite ongoing challenges in Vietnam. The Africa, Middle East & Eastern Europe region was impacted by volume declines in Nigeria and South Africa. In Europe, following the impact of adverse weather in July and August, trends improved in September and we gained share in the majority of our markets in the on-trade, with more to do to recover in the off-trade.
Heineken® grew 2.3%, with double-digit growth in 28 markets and continued momentum of Heineken® 0.0 and Heineken® Silver. Our eB2B platforms captured €8 billion in gross merchandise value by the end of this quarter, 22% more than last year. Our productivity programme remains fully on track.
Whilst inflation-led pricing is tapering, we observe a slowdown of consumer demand in various markets facing challenging macro-economic conditions. In this context, we will stay the course on executing our strategy, remain vigilant on costs and focus on rebalancing our growth. All in all, the operating profit (beia) guidance range for 2023 remains unchanged."
Throughout this report figures refer to quarterly performance unless otherwise indicated.
Revenue in the quarter was €9.6 billion (YTD: €27.0 billion). Net revenue (beia) increased organically by 4.5% (YTD: 5.8%). Total consolidated volume declined by 4.8% (YTD: 5.2% decline) and net revenue (beia) per hectolitre was up 9.7% (YTD: up 11.6%). Price mix on a constant geographic basis was up 9.5% (YTD up 10.9%), driven by pricing to mitigate inflationary pressures and premiumisation effects.
Currency translation impacted revenue by €397 million (YTD: €488 million), mainly from the devaluation of currencies in Africa and partially offset by a stronger Mexican Peso. Consolidation effects contributed €276 million (YTD: €507 million) mainly from the integration of Distell and Namibian Breweries.
| Revenue2 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in € million or %) | 3Q23 | Total growth | Organic growth | YTD 3Q23 | Total growth | Organic growth |
| Revenue (IFRS) | 9,604 | 2.0 % | 27,040 | 4.7 % | ||
| Net revenue (beia) | 8,015 | 4.5 % | 22,529 | 5.8 % |
1 Excluding Russia -4.4% in the quarter and -4.3% year to date
2 Refer to the Glossary for an explanation of organic growth and other terms used throughout this report.
Beer volume declined organically by 4.2% (YTD: 5.1% decline), given the challenging economic conditions in many of our markets and lower consumer demand following inflation-led pricing. Around half of our markets sequentially improved volume into the third quarter and into September in the case of Europe. We are gaining or holding volume market share in just over half of our markets year to date.
| (in mhl or %) | 3Q23 | Total growth | Organic growth |
YTD 3Q23 | h 2 Total growth |
Organic growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heineken N.V. | 63.2 | -5.4 % | -4.2 % | 183.3 | -5.4 % 10.9 % | -5.1 % |
| Africa, Middle East & Eastern Europe | 8.3 | -15.4 % | -10.1 % | 26.9 | -8.7 % 2.1 % | -7.7 % |
| Americas | 22.4 | 2.2 % | 2.2 % | 64.5 | -0.2 % 3.4 % | -0.2 % |
| Asia Pacific | 10.7 | -4.6 % | -4.6 % | 32 | -10.5 % 89.6 % | -10.5 % |
| Europe | 21.8 | -8.6 % | -7.6 % | 59.8 | -6.1 % 1.4 % | -5.9 % |
Premium beer volume declined by 5.7% mainly driven by Vietnam and our exit from Russia. Outside these markets, premium beer volume was down 2.0% (YTD: up 0.4%). Our premium portfolio outperformed the total portfolio in the majority of our markets, showing that premiumisation trends continue. Heineken® continued its favourable momentum and grew volume 2.3% with double-digit growth in 28 markets. Heineken® 0.0 grew 3.5%, driven by the Americas. Heineken® Silver grew close to forty percent, with continued strong growth in China, Vietnam and the launch in the USA this year.
| (in mhl or %) | 3Q23 | Organic growth | YTD 3Q23 | Organic growth | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heineken N.V. | 14.6 | 2.3 % | 40.9 | 1.9 % | |
| Africa, Middle East & Eastern Europe | 1.2 | -16.2 % | 3.9 | -15.5 % | |
| Americas | 5.9 | 6.3 % | 16.9 | 6.3 % | |
| Asia Pacific | 3.1 | 25.6 % | 8.0 | 22.2 % | |
| Europe | 4.3 | -9.0 % | 12.1 | -7.4 % |
We continued to focus on the expansion of our business-to-business digital (eB2B) platforms. In the first nine months of this year we captured €8 billion (€10.5 billion annualised) in gross merchandise value (GMV), an increase of 22% versus last year. In Europe, we accelerated the digitisation of our route-to-consumer, with the key markets of Italy, the Netherlands, France and Spain doubling their GMV versus last year. We continue to expand our customer base, achieving more than 600,000 active customers in fragmented, traditional channels, an increase of 27% compared to last year.
In Nigeria, net revenue (beia) grew organically by a low-single-digit, driven by pricing to partially mitigate significant inflation and currency devaluation. Total volume declined in the twenties, behind the market. Consumers' purchasing power continued to be under severe pressure due to inflation and the impact of structural economic reforms, affecting our premium portfolio disproportionately. In this challenging context, the leading non-alcoholic malt proposition Maltina continued to significantly outperform the market and broadly held volume.
In South Africa, revenue of Heineken Beverages declined by a mid-single-digit. 3 The decline was driven by the beer volume, down in the twenties and below the category growth, given a challenging competitive environment at the time of the integration of Distell. The beyond beer portfolio grew revenue by a low-single-digit, with a strong performance of Savanna, Bernini and 4th Street from our cider, ready-to-drink and wine portfolios. We launched Heineken® Silver with an encouraging early start.
3 Relative to the historical baseline of the carved-out business of Distell and HEINEKEN in South Africa, in local currency.
The reported net profit for the first nine months of 2023 was €1,924 million (2022: €2,199 million), including the effects from exceptional items from our exit from Russia and the sale of Vrumona among others. Following the sell-down by FEMSA of its shareholding in the company earlier this year, HEINEKEN will align its disclosure of financial information to the requirements of the Transparency Directive of the EU and as of 2024 will only disclose the reported net profit as part of its half-year and full-year results.
Based on the impact to date, and applying spot rates of 23 October 2023 to the 2022 financial results as a baseline for the remainder of the year, we calculate a negative currency translational impact of approximately €790 million in net revenue (beia), €110 million at operating profit (beia) and €30 million at net profit (beia).
| In millions of € | 3Q23 | 3Q22 | YTD 3Q23 | YTD 3Q22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (IFRS) | 9,604 | 9,415 | 27,040 | 25,816 |
| Exceptional items | -37 | — | -51 | — |
| Excise duties (beia) | (1,552) | (1,627) | (4,461) | (4,543) |
| Net revenue (beia) | 8,015 | 7,788 | 22,529 | 21,273 |
Media Investors Joris Evers José Federico Castillo Martinez Global Communications Director Investor Relations Director Michael Fuchs Mark Matthews / Chris Steyn Corporate & Financial Communication Manager Investor Relations Manager / Senior Analyst E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected] Tel: +31-20-5239355 Tel: +31-20-5239590
HEINEKEN will host an analyst and investor conference call with Harold van den Broek, Chief Financial Officer, in relation to its Third Quarter 2023 Trading Update today at 14:00 CET/ 13:00 GMT. The call will be audio cast live via the company's website: www.theheinekencompany.com. An audio replay service will also be made available after the conference call at the above web address. Analysts and investors can dial-in using the following telephone numbers:
United Kingdom (Local): 020 3936 2999
Netherlands (Local): 085 888 7233
USA (Local): 646 664 1960
For the full list of dial in numbers, please refer to the following link: Global Dial-In Numbers
HEINEKEN is the world's most international brewer. It is the leading developer and marketer of premium and non-alcoholic beer and cider brands. Led by the Heineken® brand, the Group has a portfolio of more than 300 international, regional, local and specialty beers and ciders. With HEINEKEN's over 90,000 employees, we brew the joy of true togetherness to inspire a better world. Our dream is to shape the future of beer and beyond to win the hearts of consumers. We are committed to innovation, long-term brand investment, disciplined sales execution and focused cost management. Through "Brew a Better World", sustainability is embedded in the business. HEINEKEN has a well-balanced geographic footprint with leadership positions in both developed and developing markets. We operate breweries, malteries, cider plants and other production facilities in more than 70 countries. Most recent information is available on our Company's website and follow us on LinkedIn, Twitter and Instagram.
This press release may contain price-sensitive information within the meaning of Article 7(1) of the EU Market Abuse Regulation.
This press release contains forward-looking statements based on current expectations and assumptions with regard to the financial position and results of HEINEKEN's activities, anticipated developments and other factors. All statements other than statements of historical facts are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements also include, but are not limited to, statements and information in HEINEKEN's non-financial reporting, such as HEINEKEN's emissions reduction and other climate change related matters (including actions, potential impacts and risks associated therewith). These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as "aim", "ambition", "anticipate", "believe", "could", "estimate", "expect", "goals", "intend", "may", "milestones", "objectives", "outlook", "plan", "probably", "project", "risks", "schedule", "seek", "should", "target", "will" and similar terms and phrases. These forward-looking statements, while based on management's current expectations and assumptions, are not guarantees of future performance since they are subject to numerous assumptions, known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which may change over time, that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forwardlooking statements. Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond HEINEKEN's ability to control or estimate precisely, such as but not limited to future market and economic conditions, the behaviour of other market participants, changes in consumer preferences, the ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses and achieve anticipated synergies, costs of raw materials and other goods and services, interest-rate and exchange-rate fluctuations, changes in tax rates, changes in law, environmental and physical risks, change in pension costs, the actions of government regulators and weather conditions. These and other risk factors are detailed in HEINEKEN's publicly filed annual reports. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only of the date of this press release. HEINEKEN assumes no duty to and does not undertake any obligation to update these forward-looking statements contained in this press release. Market share estimates contained in this press release are based on outside sources, such as specialised research institutes, in combination with management estimates.
All brand names mentioned in this report, including those brand names not marked by an ® , represent registered trademarks and are legally protected.
Acquisition-related intangible assets are assets that HEINEKEN only recognises as part of a purchase price allocation following an acquisition. This includes, among others, brands, customer-related and certain contract-based intangibles.
Before exceptional items and amortisation of acquisition-related intangible assets.
Changes as a result of acquisitions, disposals, internal transfer of businesses or other reclassifications.
Sales by distributors to the retail trade.
Exceptional items and amortisation of acquisitionrelated intangible assets.
Items of income and expense of such size, nature or incidence, that in the view of management their disclosure is relevant to explain the performance of HEINEKEN for the period.
Value of all products sold via our eB2B platforms. This includes our own and third-party products, including all duties and taxes.
Profit after deduction of non-controlling interests (profit attributable to shareholders' of the Company).
Revenue as defined in IFRS 15 (after discounts) minus the excise tax expense for those countries where the excise is borne by HEINEKEN.
Net revenue divided by total consolidated volume.
Growth excluding the effect of foreign currency translational effects, consolidation changes, exceptional items and amortisation of acquisitionrelated intangible assets.
Refers to the different components that influence net revenue per hectolitre, namely the changes in the absolute price of each individual sku and their weight in the portfolio. The weight of the countries in the total revenue in the base year is kept constant.
A region is defined as HEINEKEN's managerial classification of countries into geographical units.
Beer volume
Beer volume produced and sold by consolidated companies.
Brand specific volume (Heineken® volume, Amstel® volume, etc.)
Brand volume produced and sold by consolidated companies plus 100% of brand volume sold under licence agreements by joint ventures, associates and third parties.
The sum of beer volume, licensed beer volume and attributable share of beer volume from joint ventures and associates.
100% of volume from HEINEKEN's beer brands sold under licence agreements by joint ventures, associates and third parties.
Low- and non-alcoholic beer, cider & brewed soft drinks with an ABV<=3.5%.
Cider, soft drinks and other non-beer volume produced and sold by consolidated companies.
Beer sold at a price index equal or greater than 115 relative to the average market price of beer.
Volume of third-party products (beer and non-beer) resold by consolidated companies.
The sum of beer volume, non-beer volume and thirdparty products volume.
| 3Q23 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In mhl or €million unless otherwise stated & consolidated figures unless otherwise stated |
3Q22 | Currency translation |
Consolidation Impact |
Organic Growth |
3Q23 | Organic Growth % |
| Africa, Middle East & Eastern Europe | ||||||
| Net revenue (beia) | 1,054 | -357 | 233 | 101 | 1,031 | 9.6 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 12.9 | 0.5 | -1.1 | 12.3 | -8.6 % | |
| Beer Volume | 9.8 | -0.5 | -1.0 | 8.3 | -10.1 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 3.1 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 4.0 | -4.2 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | — | — | — | — | 0.6 | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 0.7 | 0.6 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 10.6 | 9.0 | ||||
| Americas | ||||||
| Net revenue (beia) | 2,516 | 58 | — | 138 | 2,713 | 5.5 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 22.4 | — | 0.5 | 22.9 | 2.1 % | |
| Beer Volume | 21.9 | — | 0.5 | 22.4 | 2.2 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 0.5 | — | — | 0.5 | -6.6 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | — | — | — | — | 1.0 | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 0.7 | 1.0 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 24.5 | 25.2 | ||||
| Asia Pacific | ||||||
| Net revenue (beia) | 1,128 | -107 | 24 | -10 | 1,035 | -0.9 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 11.4 | — | -0.5 | 10.9 | -4.7 % | |
| Beer Volume | 11.2 | — | -0.5 | 10.7 | -4.6 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 0.2 | — | — | 0.2 | -13.0 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 1.4 | 1.9 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 20.5 | 20.2 | ||||
| Europe | ||||||
| Net revenue (beia) | 3,266 | 10 | 18 | 126 | 3,420 | 3.9 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 28.9 | -0.2 | -2.4 | 26.3 | -8.4 % | |
| Beer Volume | 23.8 | -0.2 | -1.8 | 21.8 | -7.6 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 2.8 | — | -0.4 | 2.4 | -12.9 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | 2.3 | — | -0.3 | 2.1 | -11.1 % | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 0.3 | 0.2 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 24.8 | 22.7 | ||||
| Heineken N.V. | ||||||
| Net revenue (beia) | 7,788 | -397 | 276 | 347 | 8,015 | 4.5 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 75.7 | 0.3 | -3.6 | 72.4 | -4.8 % | |
| Beer Volume | 66.8 | -0.7 | -2.8 | 63.2 | -4.2 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 6.6 | 1.0 | -0.5 | 7.0 | -8.3 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | 2.4 | — | -0.2 | 2.2 | -9.6 % | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 3.1 | 3.7 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 80.5 | 77.1 |
Note: due to rounding, this table will not always cast
| YTD 3Q23 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In mhl or €million unless otherwise stated & | Currency | Consolidation | Organic | Organic | ||
| consolidated figures unless otherwise stated Africa, Middle East & Eastern Europe |
YTD 3Q22 | translation | Impact | Growth | YTD 3Q23 | Growth % |
| Net revenue (beia) | 2,909 | -580 | 388 | 281 | 2,999 | 9.7 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 38.2 | 1.0 | -2.7 | 36.6 | -7.0 % | |
| Beer Volume | 29.5 | -0.3 | -2.3 | 26.9 | -7.7 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 8.7 | 1.3 | -0.4 | 9.6 | -4.8 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | — | — | — | 0.1 | 22.0 % | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 1.8 | 1.8 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 31.6 | 29.0 | ||||
| Americas | ||||||
| Net revenue (beia) | 6,804 | 296 | — | 505 | 7,606 | 7.4 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 66.3 | — | -0.3 | 66.0 | -0.4 % | |
| Beer Volume | 64.7 | — | -0.2 | 64.5 | -0.2 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 1.5 | — | -0.1 | 1.4 | -6.5 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | 0.1 | — | — | 0.1 | -10.1 % | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 2.1 | 2.5 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 72.4 | 72.8 | ||||
| Asia Pacific | ||||||
| Net revenue (beia) | 3,360 | -193 | 51 | -164 | 3,054 | -4.9 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 36.5 | — | -3.8 | 32.7 | -10.5 % | |
| Beer Volume | 35.8 | — | -3.8 | 32.0 | -10.5 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 0.6 | — | -0.1 | 0.5 | -12.2 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | 0.1 | — | — | 0.1 | 21.1 % | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 3.4 | 4.7 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 56.3 | 54.0 | ||||
| Europe | ||||||
| Net revenue (beia) | 8,783 | -11 | 68 | 616 | 9,457 | 7.0 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 76.9 | -0.1 | -4.6 | 72.2 | -6.0 % | |
| Beer Volume | 63.7 | -0.2 | -3.7 | 59.8 | -5.9 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 7.3 | — | -0.6 | 6.7 | -8.0 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | 5.9 | 0.1 | -0.3 | 5.7 | -4.6 % | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 0.8 | 0.5 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 66.3 | 62.2 | ||||
| Heineken N.V. | ||||||
| Net revenue (beia) | 21,273 | -488 | 507 | 1,236 | 22,529 | 5.8 % |
| Total Consolidated Volume | 217.9 | 0.9 | -11.3 | 207.4 | -5.2 % | |
| Beer Volume | 193.6 | -0.5 | -9.9 | 183.3 | -5.1 % | |
| Non-Beer Volume | 18.1 | 1.3 | -1.2 | 18.2 | -6.5 % | |
| Third-Party Products Volume | 6.1 | 0.1 | -0.3 | 6.0 | -4.2 % | |
| Licensed Beer Volume | 8.1 | 9.5 | ||||
| Group Beer Volume | 226.7 | 218.0 |
Note: due to rounding, this table will not always cast
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