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Gas Plus

Investor Presentation Aug 6, 2015

4146_ip_2015-08-06_80b07e8d-9697-4a2c-b348-a6d92d31ec83.pdf

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Analyst Presentation 1H 2015 Financial Results August 6th, 2015

www.gasplus.it

INDEX

  • HIGHLIGHTS
  • FINANCIAL RESULTS

MARKET SCENARIO

Market

HIGHLIGHTS

Fin. Overview

  • Group EBITDA in line with 1H 2014 despite lower hydrocarbon prices scenario and production levels
  • E&P BU marginality still affected by the above mentioned factors partially compensated by control on operating costs and positive no recurring item related to the renegotiation of a service contract
  • Following the regional ban removal on new E&P projects, the Group will promptly re-launch its development plan related to the undeveloped reserves located in Emilia Romagna
  • Commercial Gas Assets results increase thanks to the confirmed good performance of Retail BU partially compensated by the persisting negative trend of S&S BU
  • Positive and stable profitability from Network & Transportation BU
  • Growth of Net Result vs. 1H14 and further reduction of Net Financial Position

Fin. Overview

1H 2015 – Group P&L

Group (M€) 1H15 1H14 % Change 2Q15 2Q14 % Change
Total Revenues 104.5 76.2 37.2% 29.1 21.0 38.6%
Operating Costs 84.1 56.1 50.0% 20.4 14.3 42.8%
EBITDA 20.4 20.1 1.5% 8.7 6.7 29.6%
EBIT 11.4 10.7 6.2% 3.7 2.1 78.6%
EBT 8.2 5.6 46.7% 1.8 -0.6 n.m.
Net Result 5.8 4.4 31.5% 1.4 0.8 74.6%
EPS (€) 0.13 0.10 31.5% 0.03 0.02 74.6%

1H 15 Financial results

  • Total Revenues increase mainly due to the growth of the wholesale commercial portfolio, with a low impact on the overall marginality.
  • The increase of EBITDA and EBIT is due to a positive no recurring item. Net of this effect, it reflects the decreasing price scenario, the natural depletion related to the E&P activities and the lack of contribution of new projects.
  • Net Result positively impacted by the net financial charges and the lower tax rate

FINANCIAL RESULTS Fin. Overview

FINANCIAL RESULTS

Fin. Overview

June 30, 2015 – Group Balance Sheet

June
30,
December % Change
Group (M€) 2015 31, 2014
Inventories 5.5 19.3 -71.7%
Receivables 19.0 34.5 -45.0%
Payables (16.9) (35.5) -52.4%
Other
working
Credits/Debits
(2.7) 2.4 n.m.
Non current
Assets
462.7 467.9 -1.1%
Taxes, Abandonment, Severance and Other provision (195.8) (196.2) -0,2%
Net invested capital 271.8 292.4 -7.1%
Net Financial Debt 50.3 71.2 -29.4%
of which
long term
72.0 74.0 -2.7%
of which
short term
-21.7 -2.8 n.m.
Equity 221.5 221.2 0.1%
Total Sources 271.8 292.4 -7.1%
  • The level of working capital decreased vs. previous year end thanks to the inventories and payables decrease and the seasonal reduction of receivables
  • Net Financial Debt reduction of 29.4% thanks to efficient working capital management, cash-flow generated by industrial activities and the investment postponement because of the authorization procedures delays
  • Improvement and significant reduction of D/E ratio from 0.32 to 0.23

FINANCIAL RESULTS

Fin. Overview

  • The Group continues its debt reduction path thanks to the cash flows generated by the business
  • The Group has also secured financial resources for future E&P investments thanks to a € 64 M capex line

FINANCIAL RESULTS: E&P E&P

1H 2015 P&L -
E&P contribution
E&P (M€) 1H15 1H14 % Change 2Q15 2Q14 % Change
Hydrocarbon
Production
(MScme) 79.6 92.8 -14.2% 39.4 44.7 -11.9%
of which
natural
gas
67.2 79.6 -15.6% 33.2 38.2 -13.1%
of which oil and condensate 12.4 13.2 -6.4% 6.2 6.5 -4.6%
EBITDA 14.2 15.5 -8.9% 9.1 6.5 +40.4%
Exploration Capex 1.0 1.4 -28.6% 0.6 0.4 +50.0%
Development Capex 2.2 1.8 +22.2% 1.9 1.0 +90.0%

EBITDA decrease contained vs. 1H 2014 despite lower hydrocarbon prices scenario and production levels thanks to a tight control on operating costs and, in particular, by the renegotiation of a service contract of a treatment plant

Although a production decline slightly contained in 2Q 2015 vs. previous quarters, natural depletion of mature fields not compensated by (i) new gas-in, for delays in the authorization process, and (ii) contribution to production of Garaguso concession, not operated by the Group, whose restart is foreseen in 4Q 2015

Positive outlook on production levels from next year thanks to Garaguso restart and Mezzocolle gas-in

  • Exploration & Development:
  • Domestic activity:
    • awarded the contracts for the pipeline construction, treatment and compression facilities revamping and production set up of one of the main Group projects. Works started in June 2015
    • the drilling of Faseto exploration well, carried out in July 2015, had a negative outcome
  • International activity: in Romania, analysis on Midia Deep and Midia Shallow & Pelican 3D seismic data are on-going:
    • requested current exploration phase extension on Midia Deep to complete the results interpretation
    • start of preliminary development activities on Midia Shallow & Pelican from 2H 2015
  • As of June 30th , 2015 2P hydrocarbon reserves are Bscme 4,8

Gas Assets

1H 2015 P&L - Commercial Gas Assets Contribution

Commercial Gas Assets
(MScm)
BU 1H15 1H14 % Change 2Q15 2Q14 % Change
Supply (MScm) 211.7 135.8 55.9% 57.2 59.9 -4.5%
Sales (MScm) 261.4 158.2 65.2% 56.8 37.9 49.9%
Third retail S&S 160.9 83.1 93.6% 31.3 17.3 80.9%
Balancing
(former
Trading)
S&S 40.8 19.4 110.3% 14.4 11.4 26.3%
Captive S&S 59.7 55.7 7.2% 11.1 9.2 20.7%
Residential Retail 45.6 41.5 9.9% 7.3 5.9 23.7%
Small Business/Multipod Retail 8.5 9.0 -5.6% 1.6 1.3 23.1%
Industrial Retail 5.6 5.2 7.7% 2.2 2.0 10.0%
EBITDA 2.6 0.9 188,9% -0.4 -0.2 -100.0%
of which S&S -0.4 -0.9 55,6% -0.7 -0.6 -16.7%
of which Retail 3.0 1.8 66.7% 0.3 0.4 -25.0%
  • CGA EBITDA significant increase vs. 1H 2014 with different contribution from its BUs:
  • increase in Retail BU EBITDA thanks to (i) climate conditions more favorable with respect to 1Q 2014, but still moderate, and (ii) significant increase in unitary marginality of residential and small business segments
  • reduction in marginality due to the "TTF linked" regime introduced in 4Q 2013, partially counterbalanced by increased volumes sold, still lead the S&S BU to a negative marginality
  • Following the review of the commodity business model, from the next gas year (October 2015) the Group will close the S&S BU, selling its equity production and purchasing the gas for Retail BU directly on the market

FINANCIAL RESULTS: N&T and Storage

1H 2015 P&L – N&T Contribution

NETWORK
(M€)
1H15 1H14 %
Change
2Q15 2Q14 %
Change
Distributed
Volumes
(MSmc)
101.9 91.9 10.9% 25.4 23.5 8.1%
Direct end
users (#K)
89.0 88.9 0.1% n.m. n.m. n.m.
Pipeline
(Km)
1,472.7 1,469.6 0.2% n.m. n.m. n.m.
CAPEX 0.5 0.4 3.6% 0.3 0.2 17.9%
EBITDA 3.7 3.7 0.7% 0.2 0.4 -49.7%

Network

  • Positive and stable contribution to Group results with an EBITDA in line with 1H 2014
  • Distributed volumes increased in 1H 2015 due to climate conditions more favorable with respect to 1H 2014, but still moderate
  • Evaluation of the new ATEM tenders in order, at least, to maintain the same perimeter of activities
TRANSPORTATION
(M€)
1H15 1H14 %
Change
2Q15 2Q14 %
Change
Transported
Volumes
(MSmc)
5.4 4.3 24.8% 0.8 0.8 2.2%
Pipeline (Km) 41.9 41.8 0.1% n.m. n.m. n.m.
EBITDA 0.04 0.03 61.7% 0.02 0.02 20.0%

Storage projects:

All three projects are located in Central Italy, characterized by only a few storage sites, and in the same area allowing for potential operational synergies:

  • SAN BENEDETTO (49% GPS - Operator): EIA obtained in June 2014
  • POGGIOFIORITO (100%GPS): EIA obtained in June 2014
  • SINARCA (60% GPS - Operator): Final authorization and technical assessment

COMPANY PROFILE

Shareholding as at 30 Jun 2015 Share information

N. of share: 44,909,620 Share price as of 30/06/2015: € 3.74 Share price as of 05/08/2015: € 3.97 Mkt cap 30/06/2015 : € 170.0 million Italian Stock Exchange – segment MTA Own shares as of 30/06/2015: 1,336,677

Share price performance

Group structure Management

Davide Usberti Chairman and CEO Gas Plus S.p.A.
Lino Gilioli VP and Lead Independent Director Gas Plus S.p.A.
Cinzia
Triunfo
Group General Manager and Director of Gas Plus S.p.A.
Germano Rossi Group CFO
Giovanni Dell'Orto
Massimo Nicolazzi Executive VP Gas Plus International B.V. (E&P Int. Activities)
Regulated Activity - Network
Gianmaria
Viscardi
Chairman Network

Achille Capelli Director Network

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Gas Plus. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Gas Plus to market risks and statements expressing management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ''anticipate'', ''believe'', ''could'', ''estimate'', ''expect'', ''intend'', ''may'', ''plan'', ''objectives'', ''outlook'', ''probably'', ''project'', ''will'', ''seek'', ''target'', ''risks'', ''goals'', ''should'' and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Gas Plus and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this Report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group's products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory effects arising from recategorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates; and (m) changes in trading conditions.

All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Neither Gas Plus nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.

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