Earnings Release • Oct 28, 2015
Earnings Release
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London, 28 October 2015
By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to risk and uncertainty since they are dependent upon circumstances which should be or are considered likely to occur in the future and are outside of the Company's control. These include, but are not limited to: forex and interest rate fluctuations, commodity price volatility, credit and liquidity risks, HSE risks, the levels of capital expenditure in the oil and gas industry and other sectors, political instability in areas where the Group operates, actions by competitors, success of commercial transactions, risks associated with the execution of projects (including ongoing investment projects), in addition to changes in stakeholders' expectations and other changes affecting business conditions.
Actual results could therefore differ materially from the forward-looking statements.
The Financial Reports contain analyses of some of the aforementioned risks.
Forward-looking statements are to be considered in the context of the date of their release. Saipem S.p.A. does not undertake to review, revise or correct forward-looking statements once they have been released, barring cases required by Law.
Forward-looking statements neither represent nor can be considered as estimates for legal, accounting, fiscal or investment purposes. Forward-looking statements are not intended to provide assurances and/or solicit investment.
Saipem Board of Directors' resolutions:
| 1 | Third Quarter 2015 Results Highlights |
|---|---|
| 2 | Strategy Presentation |
| 3 | Q&A |
| 1 | Third Quarter 2015 Results Highlights |
|---|---|
| 2 | Strategy Presentation |
| 3 | Q&A |
Complex offshore E&C projects delay/cancellation
Strong competition on onshore E&C projects
Delayed FIDs, especially in deepwater
Overcapacity in drilling
Challenging negotiations with clients
| Pick-up in upstream capex | E&P spending to recover from 2017 OFS demand/supply to rebalance |
|---|---|
| Offshore E&C | Near term opportunities in Egypt West Africa, Caspian and GoM mid-term opportunities FLNG and deepwater activity Industry efficiency to support spending |
| Onshore E&C | Continuing strong demand in the Middle East Iran provides additional potential Downstream supported by low feedstock prices |
| Offshore Drilling | Recovery in exploration Rebalanced rig capacity following attrition Day-rates to rise |
| Onshore Drilling | Significant activity in Middle East US and Latin America rebound |
| E&C Offshore | E&C Onshore | |
|---|---|---|
| Solid track record on breakthrough projects Strong asset base addressing varied business mix Well balanced geographical exposure Favourable client portfolio (NOCs and majors) Visible opportunities |
Recognised expertise in Downstream Well placed in the Middle East Technological edge (e.g. Urea, LNG) Distinctive ability on large/complex projects Group |
|
| Robust backlog across all segments Adaptive organisation |
Frontier focus and innovative approach | |
| High-quality fleet Reliability and HSE track record Long-term contracts Long standing relationships with top clients |
No exposure to volatile US market Good position in the Middle East Flexibility on rig regional relocation |
|
| Drilling Offshore | Drilling Onshore |
| E&C Offshore |
E&C Onshore |
Drilling Offshore |
Drilling Onshore | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment strategy |
Maintain state of the art fleet |
Maintain state of the art fleet |
||
| Commercial effort | FLNG Partnerships Early engagement |
Diversify into value added services |
Harsh environment and deepwater operations Middle East |
Consolidate presence in the Middle East |
| Disposals | Exit leased FPSOs |
Reduce engineering capacity Exit infrastructure business in Italy |
||
| Rationalisation | Reduce fabrication yard capacity Realign geographic presence |
Reduce presence in South America |
||
| Divisional positioning |
Refocus for future growth |
Selectiveness to restore profitability |
Resilient and stable |
| Commercial discipline | Rebalanced Service mix |
|---|---|
| Top management engagement on any significant commercial decision Selectiveness on opportunities Strengthened risk analysis |
More engineering and design, less construction Alternative contractual schemes — EPCM - sharing construction responsibility with clients |
| monitor, prevent and manage risks |
Group Reinforce guidelines and procedures to |
| Strategic partnerships in high value-added segments (e.g. LNG/FLNG) Manage local complexity and exploit opportunities through cooperation / partnerships (e.g. Kazakhstan) |
Commitment to execution excellence Early engagement and proactive cost-efficiency solutions |
| Partnerships | Focus on client relationship |
| E&C Offshore | E&C Onshore | Drilling | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Geographical footprint |
Reduce presence in regions with least potential Rationalise local centres Revise yard strategy |
Reduce presence in regions with least potential Rationalise eng. centres and offices Rightsize Edmonton yard |
Rationalise supporting and execution centres |
| Complexity reduction & process optimisation |
Optimise ordinary maintenance processes Improve fabrication (make vs buy) |
Review construction supervision Construction direct hiring Review tender process Supply chain optimisation |
Optimise ordinary maintenance processes Optimise land rig logistics |
| Fleet & assets | Asset scrapping (4 vessels) Asset disposals (2 FPSOs) Optimise fleet manning and cyclical maintenance |
Maximisation of asset saturation across project sites |
Asset scrapped (1 offshore rig) Optimise fleet manning and cyclical maintenance |
| G&A optimisation |
Optimise workforce and office space Rightsize overseas support functions (local and expat personnel) Review of HR policies (Expatriate and Travel Policy, Car and Telecommunication Contracts) Offshoring IT Services |
||
| EBIT | ~ € 450mn |
~€450mn | ~€100mn |
| Technology and innovative solutions | Business opportunities | |
|---|---|---|
| Risers & flowlines |
Heat Traced Pipe-in-Pipe, Ultra Deep Water risers (SIR, BIRDS) and Plastic lined pipes (FBJ) for J-lay installation |
|
| Materials | Best-in-class welding and coating technologies to improve quality at lower costs (i.e. IPW) Exotic and composite materials for subsea pipes, spools and ancillaries |
Enable Ultra Deep Water Fields Enable Stranded Fields long Tie-Backs Reduce costs of equipment & installation |
| Export Lines & trunklines |
Welding and new installation technologies, to optimise times and costs Leading edge technologies for subsea trenching, especially in very shallow waters |
|
| Subsea engineered systems |
Vertical integration of subsea engineered systems, over the full Life of Field Subsea Water Treatment and Separation tech. |
Reduce costs Enable Brownfields debottlenecking Increase/Enhance Oil Recovery Manage Subsea Fields complexity |
| FLNG | New tandem offshore LNG offloading system, with cryogenic floating hoses |
Improve operability and safety by introducing a leading edge technology |
| Onshore | Top-class proprietary Urea technology (132 licenses sold). Continuous improvement in efficiency, corrosion resistance and emissions |
Maintain and improve the level of excellence |
€3.5bn rights issue Fully underwritten
€3.2bn Term Loan/Bridge to Bond Fully underwritten
€1.5bn Revolving Credit Facility Execution expected within 1Q 2016
| Rating Outcome | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P | Moody's | ||
| Corporate credit rating | BBB- / stable |
Baa3 / stable Baa3 |
* Gross debt at draw down of €6.7bn expected in Q1 2016
| Size | €3.5bn rights issue Net leverage reduced from 4.6x (Dec-2015) to 1.7x (pro forma)* |
|---|---|
| Strategic Shareholder Support |
Irrevocable commitment for ~43% of total offering (or €1.5bn) by eni, or eni and FSI |
| Syndicate Structure |
Commitment to underwrite the remainder (€2bn) by a syndicate of 7 joint bookrunners (2 global coordinators, 5 joint bookrunners) |
| Timing | Shareholder meeting on December, 2nd 2015 Capital increase to be executed in Q1 2016 |
* Net debt to underlying Ebitda, based on 2015E Underlying EBITDA of €1.2bn
| Summary terms and conditions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridge to Bond | Term Loan | RCF | ||
| Size | €1.6bn | €1.6bn | €1.5bn | |
| Tenor | Up to 24 months | 5 years (amortizing) | 5 years | |
| Margin (bps p.a.) | Initial margin: 80bps | Margin:110bps | Margin: 80bps | |
| Ranking | Senior unsecured | Senior unsecured | Senior unsecured | |
| Financial Covenants | No financial covenants | No financial covenants | No financial covenants | |
| Syndicate Structure | Fully underwritten by a syndicate of 5 MLAs and 2 joint lead arrangers |
* For 2016, including fees
| Working Capital | |
|---|---|
| Management |
Target working capital: ca. 5% of revenues
Medium/long term capex in line with 2015 guidance
Capex/Disposals
offshore fleet and increasing fabrication capacity
Strong historical capex (around €10bn in 2007- 2011) aimed at expanding E&C and Drilling
| Metrics (€) | 2016 | 2017 | Mid Term Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | >11bn >65% covered by backlog |
>11bn >40% covered by backlog |
>12bn |
| EBIT EBIT Margin |
>600mn ~5.5% |
~700mn ~6.5% |
>900mn by 2019 >7.5% |
| CAPEX | <600mn |
<600mn |
Disciplined pursuit of growth opportunities |
| Net Financial Position | <1.5bn |
<1.0bn |
Cash neutral in 2019 Strong commitment to investment grade Attention to shareholders' remuneration |
| Offshore | Backlog coverage: ~70% in 2016 and ~30% in 2017 Contribution to group revenues: modest reduction Profitability trend : exceeding mid single digit |
|
|---|---|---|
| E&C | Onshore | Backlog coverage: ~60% in 2016 and ~55% in 2017 Revenue contribution: moderate increase Profitability trend: mid single digit |
| Offshore | Backlog coverage: ~80% in 2016 and ~60%% in 2017 Revenue contribution: stable Profitability trend: above 25% |
|
| Drilling | ||
| Onshore | Backlog coverage: ~60% in 2016 and ~30% in 2017 Revenue contribution: stable Profitability trend: high single digit |
| Differentiated business model |
Distinctive E&C offshore capabilities Strong expertise in E&C onshore High-quality drilling Longstanding relationships with key clients |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| Robust balance sheet | Financial and strategic flexibility Investment grade rating World class assets |
||
| Enhanced governance and risk management |
Governance in line with best practice Monitoring, prevention and management of risks Commercial discipline |
||
| Lean and focused organisation | Reduced cost base Streamlined geographical presence Focus on core business |
||
| Focus on cash generation |
Disciplined approach to working capital Moderate capex requirements Disposal of non-core assets |
||
| Clear objectives | Maintain current rating Grow profitability Value creation for shareholders |
| 1 | Third Quarter 2015 Results Highlights |
|---|---|
| 2 | Strategy Presentation |
| 3 | Q&A |
* Includes €15mn related to the water pipeline project in Chile; does not include contracts announced on October 9th worth >€600mn
| E&C Offshore |
E&C Onshore |
Drilling | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geographical footprint |
Yards | Angola, Brazil, Congo, Nigeria, Far East |
Canada, Iraq |
||
| Engineering centers | Emirates, United Kingdom, Brazil |
Romania, India, Mexico, Canada |
|||
| Offices | United Kingdom, Singapore, United States, Australia, Kazakhstan, Croatia, Netherlands |
India, Romania, Libya, Mexico | Latin America, Norway |
||
| Complexity reduction & process optimisation |
Commercial | All areas | Canada, Nigeria | Italy | |
| Project Execution |
All yards (Angola, Brazil, Nigeria, Indonesia, Italy, Congo, Kazakhstan) |
All on-going projects |
Saudi Arabia |
||
| Maintenance | Schiedam Base (Netherlands) and offshore fleet |
Offshore fleet |
|||
| Vessel Scrapping | Semac 1, Castoro 7, SB320, S355 |
Scarabeo 4 |
|||
| Vessel Disposal | 2 Leased FPSOs |
||||
| Fleet & assets | Maintenance & Mob. | Offshore fleet | Onshore assets and Offshore fleet |
||
| Manning | Offshore fleet | Offshore fleet | |||
| Structure Costs | |||||
| G&A optimisation |
Support Functions | Actions focused on Italy and overseas offices and location |
|||
| HR and Others |
* Maturity profile assumes €0.8bn 5-year bonds issued in 2016 and €0.8bn 7-year bonds issued in 2017
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