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Saipem

Earnings Release Oct 28, 2015

4504_ip_2015-10-28_1eda0d5a-94a9-43a6-ba15-d3818e12b89a.pdf

Earnings Release

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THIRD QUARTER 2015 RESULTS AND STRATEGY PRESENTATION

London, 28 October 2015

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to risk and uncertainty since they are dependent upon circumstances which should be or are considered likely to occur in the future and are outside of the Company's control. These include, but are not limited to: forex and interest rate fluctuations, commodity price volatility, credit and liquidity risks, HSE risks, the levels of capital expenditure in the oil and gas industry and other sectors, political instability in areas where the Group operates, actions by competitors, success of commercial transactions, risks associated with the execution of projects (including ongoing investment projects), in addition to changes in stakeholders' expectations and other changes affecting business conditions.

Actual results could therefore differ materially from the forward-looking statements.

The Financial Reports contain analyses of some of the aforementioned risks.

Forward-looking statements are to be considered in the context of the date of their release. Saipem S.p.A. does not undertake to review, revise or correct forward-looking statements once they have been released, barring cases required by Law.

Forward-looking statements neither represent nor can be considered as estimates for legal, accounting, fiscal or investment purposes. Forward-looking statements are not intended to provide assurances and/or solicit investment.

CHAIRMAN'S OPENING REMARKS

A new chapter in Saipem's History

Saipem Board of Directors' resolutions:

  • Approval of the new Strategic Plan
  • Recapitalisation and debt refinancing
  • Call a Shareholders' Meeting to approve a €3.5bn capital increase
  • 3Q 2015 Results

Acknowledgement of eni Board of Directors' resolutions

  • Divestiture of 12.5% of Saipem stake to FSI (Fondo Strategico Italiano), with a shareholders' agreement to discipline governance and proprietary structure
  • eni and FSI committed to subscribe pro-quota the capital increase

CHAIRMAN'S OPENING REMARKS

Ensure a best in-class corporate governance system

  • Independence of the Board from the controlling shareholder
  • Pivotal role of the Board in the Company's key decisions
  • Checks and balances system:
  • Internal Audit function direct report to Chairman
  • Chairman and CEO jointly proposing to the Board:
    • · Extraordinary transactions
    • · Appointment of COO, CFO and Internal Audit Manager
  • Chairman and CEO jointly in charge of managing Institutional and Shareholder Relations
  • Newly established Corporate Governance Committee aimed at constantly monitoring and improving the governance system

BUILDING A STRONGER SAIPEM

TODAY'S PRESENTATION

1 Third Quarter 2015 Results Highlights
2 Strategy Presentation
3 Q&A

9M 2015 RESULTS: HIGHLIGHTS

Highlights

  • 3Q Reported EBIT at €150mn, in line with previous year
  • E&C Onshore returning to breakeven
  • E&C Offshore impacted by South Stream
  • Slowdown in Drilling
  • 9M Reported EBIT at -€640mn, underlying at €282mn
  • Net debt at € 5.7bn
  • New awards in the quarter for a total of €1.9bn:
  • Backlog of € 17.8bn

2015 Guidance confirmed

TODAY'S PRESENTATION

1 Third Quarter 2015 Results Highlights
2 Strategy Presentation
3 Q&A

CONTEXT AND POSITIONING

OUR MARKET ENVIRONMENT

Complex offshore E&C projects delay/cancellation

Strong competition on onshore E&C projects

Delayed FIDs, especially in deepwater

  • Offshore fleet overcapacity
  • Offshore NOC activity less affected
  • Price pressure on least complex projects
  • Middle East and downstream less impacted

Overcapacity in drilling

Challenging negotiations with clients

  • Pressure on rig rates
  • Steepest decline in North America
  • Positive trend in offshore Middle East
  • Project re-scoping/slowdown to optimise costs
  • Difficult variation order/claim recognition
  • Counterparty risk

RECOVERY EXPECTED FROM 2017

Pick-up in upstream capex
E&P spending to recover from 2017

OFS demand/supply to rebalance
Offshore E&C
Near term opportunities in Egypt

West Africa, Caspian and GoM
mid-term opportunities

FLNG and deepwater
activity

Industry efficiency to support spending
Onshore E&C Continuing strong demand in the Middle East

Iran provides additional potential


Downstream supported by low feedstock prices
Offshore Drilling
Recovery in exploration

Rebalanced rig capacity following attrition

Day-rates to rise
Onshore Drilling
Significant activity in Middle East

US and Latin America rebound

The SAIPEM MODEL: WELL POSITIONED THROUGH THE CYCLE

Resilient in current markets, capturing evolving trends

E&C Offshore E&C Onshore

Solid track record on breakthrough projects

Strong asset base addressing varied business mix

Well balanced geographical exposure

Favourable
client portfolio (NOCs and majors)
Visible opportunities

Recognised
expertise in Downstream

Well placed in the Middle East

Technological edge (e.g. Urea, LNG)

Distinctive ability on large/complex projects
Group

Robust backlog across all segments

Adaptive organisation
Frontier focus and innovative approach

High-quality fleet
Reliability and HSE track record


Long-term contracts

Long standing relationships with top clients

No exposure to volatile US market
Good position in the Middle East


Flexibility on rig regional relocation
Drilling Offshore Drilling Onshore

CURRENT FLAGSHIP PROJECTS (1/4)

Shah Deniz Stage 2 – Azerbaijan

  • Client: BP (on behalf of Shah Deniz Consortium)
  • Scope of work: T&I of jackets, topsides, subsea production systems and structures; over 360 km of pipelines
  • Delivery: end of 2017
  • Saipem Caspian Fleet Employed
  • Caspian area – harsh & remote environment
  • Long-lasting relationship
  • Approx. value: \$1.8bn

Kashagan Pipelines – Kazakhstan

  • Client: North Caspian Operating Company (NCOC)
  • Scope of work: 2 x 28" cladded pipelines, 95 Km each (65 Km offshore)
  • Delivery: end of 2016
  • Saipem Caspian Fleet Employed
  • Caspian area – harsh & remote environment
  • Very shallow water swamp sub-arctic area
  • Environmental restrictions
  • Fast track project schedule
  • Approx. value: \$1.8bn

Saipem. Engineering Energy

CURRENT FLAGSHIP PROJECTS (2/4)

Kaombo FPSOs – Angola

  • Client: Total
  • Scope of work: EPCI of 2 turret-moored FPSOs and 7-years contract for operation and maintenance services
  • Delivery: 1st FPSO 1Q2017, 2nd FPSO 2Q2017
  • Large Floater EPC – West Africa
  • Fast track project
  • In-house "design one, build two" approach
  • Approx. value: > \$4bn

Egina SURF – Nigeria

  • Client: Total
  • Scope of work: EPCI of flowlines, jumpers, gas export pipelines, umbilicals and mooring & offloading systems
  • Delivery: mid 2017
  • Deepwater URF – West Africa
  • Local content
  • Approx. value: \$3bn

Saipem. Engineering Energy

CURRENT FLAGSHIP PROJECTS (3/4)

Lakach – Mexico

  • Client: Pemex
  • Scope of work: EPCI of 2 18" gas flowlines 140 Km-long, 4" coiled line pipe 58km long, 50 Km-long umbilical and SURF facilities
  • Delivery: end of 2017
  • First deepwater field development in Mexico
  • Market opening to IOCs
  • Approx. value: \$0.7bn

Jazan IGCC – Saudi Arabia

  • Client: Saudi Aramco
  • Scope of work: Package 1 EPCI of gasification unit, soot/ash removal unit, acid gas removal and hydrogen recovery units; Package 2 - EPC of 6 sulphur recovery unit (SRU) trains and relevant storage
  • World-scale integrated gasification combined-cycle plant (IGCC)
  • Remote area near Saudi border
  • Approx. value: > \$2bn

Saipem. Engineering Energy

CURRENT FLAGSHIP PROJECTS (4/4)

Saipem 10000 - Worldwide

  • Client: working for eni since 2010, current contract ending 2019
  • 5th generation Ultra Deepwater DP class 3 Drillship
  • Dual Activity operation system
  • Water depth: up to 10,000 ft (3,048 m)
  • April 2001: deepest well world record 2,791m w.d. offshore Gabon
  • Q2 2014: Agulha-2 well discovery offshore Mozambique
  • Q3 2015: Zohr-1 well discovery offshore Egypt

Drilling – Middle East

  • Countries: Saudi Arabia, U.A.E., Kuwait
  • Clients: Saudi Aramco, NDC, KOC
  • 30 Land Rigs (of which 2 starting in 2017)
  • 5 Jack-up Rigs
  • Key strategic area
  • Long-term contracts:
  • i.e. Perro Negro 5 contracted with Saudi Aramco up to 2024
  • Kuwait new market

E&C BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES

Americas

  • Transcanada Prince Rupert – offshore pipelines
  • CFE Gulf Mex – offshore pipelines
  • Transcanada Prince Rupert Pack 2, 3 – onshore pipelines1
  • Coastal Gas Link Pack 2,3 – onshore pipelines
  • CFE Tuxpan - Tula – onshore pipelines

West and North Africa

  • Eni Bahr Essalam Fields – subsea
  • Eni Shouruk development – subsea and pipelines
  • Shell Bonga South West – subsea
  • Eni Block 15-06 (West Hub) – subsea
  • BG Burullus Phase IXB – subsea
  • Eni Nenè EPC – offshore fixed facilities
  • Eni OCTP Sankofa – subsea
  • Namcor Kudu Gas Line – offshore pipelines
  • Exxon Qua Iboe Power Plant – downstream
  • Quantum Methanol – downstream

East Africa

  • Eni Coral South – subsea
  • Eni Coral – FLNG
  • Anadarko Golfinho – subsea
  • Anadarko Onshore – LNG2

Central Asia/Europe

  • Lukoil Filanovsky Phase 2 – offshore fixed facilities
  • BP Shah Deniz Ph. 2 Operational Construction Vessel – subsea
  • TAP / TANAP – offshore pipelines
  • Eni Argo Cluster – subsea
  • INA Refinery – downstream
  • Gazprom Moscow Refinery Upgrading – downstream

Middle East

  • S. Aramco Hasbah phase 2 Wasit – offshore fixed facilities
  • KNPC New Refinery pipeline – onshore pipelines
  • ADCO BAB Integrated Facilities – onshore upstream
  • S. Aramco MGS Pipelines – onshore pipelines
  • BGC Ar Ratawi NGL Gas Plant – onshore upstream
  • Oman Rail (Segment 1) – infrastructures

Asia Pacific

  • Petronas Kasawari – offshore fixed facilities
  • BP Tangguh – offshore fixed facilities and pipelines
  • Exxon Scarborough – FLNG3
  • Chevron Gehem Gendalo – FPU
  • Shell Inpex Masela FEED - FLNG
  • Petronas RAPID – downstream
  • Tangguh Onshore – LNG

Total Value of opportunities: approx. €36bn

  1. Shortlisted contractor, obtainment of permits by Client ongoing. 2. Selected contractor, award subject to client final investment decision.

STRATEGY

STRATEGIC PILLARS

BUSINESS PORTFOLIO REFOCUS 1

E&C
Offshore
E&C
Onshore
Drilling
Offshore
Drilling Onshore
Investment
strategy

Maintain state of the
art fleet

Maintain state of the
art fleet
Commercial effort
FLNG

Partnerships

Early engagement
Diversify into value

added services

Harsh environment
and deepwater
operations

Middle East
Consolidate presence

in the Middle East
Disposals
Exit leased FPSOs

Reduce engineering
capacity

Exit infrastructure
business in Italy
Rationalisation
Reduce fabrication yard capacity

Realign geographic presence

Reduce presence in
South America
Divisional
positioning

Refocus for future
growth

Selectiveness to
restore profitability

Resilient and stable

DE-RISKING THE BUSINESS MODEL

Reduce risk across the portfolio

Commercial discipline Rebalanced Service mix

Top management engagement on any significant
commercial decision

Selectiveness on opportunities

Strengthened risk analysis

More engineering and design, less construction

Alternative contractual schemes

EPCM -
sharing construction responsibility with clients

monitor, prevent and manage risks
Group
Reinforce guidelines and procedures to

Strategic partnerships in high value-added
segments (e.g. LNG/FLNG)

Manage local complexity and exploit opportunities
through cooperation / partnerships (e.g.
Kazakhstan)

Commitment to execution excellence

Early engagement and proactive cost-efficiency solutions
Partnerships Focus on client relationship

COST OPTIMISATION PROGRAMME

Programme ongoing, progress as scheduled

FOUR MAIN WORK STREAMS AND OVER 150 ONGOING INITIATIVES

E&C Offshore E&C Onshore Drilling
Geographical
footprint

Reduce presence in regions with
least potential

Rationalise
local centres

Revise yard strategy

Reduce presence in regions with
least potential

Rationalise
eng.
centres
and
offices
Rightsize
Edmonton yard
Rationalise
supporting and

execution centres
Complexity
reduction &
process
optimisation

Optimise
ordinary maintenance
processes

Improve fabrication (make vs buy)

Review construction supervision

Construction direct hiring

Review tender process

Supply chain optimisation

Optimise
ordinary maintenance
processes

Optimise land rig logistics
Fleet & assets
Asset scrapping (4 vessels)

Asset disposals (2 FPSOs)
Optimise fleet manning and

cyclical maintenance
Maximisation
of asset saturation

across project sites

Asset scrapped
(1 offshore rig)

Optimise
fleet manning and
cyclical maintenance
G&A
optimisation
Optimise
workforce and office space


Rightsize
overseas support functions (local and expat personnel)

Review of HR policies (Expatriate and Travel Policy, Car and Telecommunication Contracts)

Offshoring IT Services
EBIT ~ €
450mn
~€450mn ~€100mn

TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION

Technology and innovative solutions Business opportunities
Risers &
flowlines

Heat Traced Pipe-in-Pipe,
Ultra Deep Water risers (SIR, BIRDS) and
Plastic lined pipes (FBJ) for J-lay installation
Materials
Best-in-class welding and coating technologies
to improve quality at lower costs (i.e. IPW)

Exotic
and composite materials for subsea
pipes, spools and ancillaries

Enable Ultra Deep Water Fields

Enable Stranded Fields long Tie-Backs

Reduce costs of equipment & installation
Export
Lines &
trunklines

Welding
and new installation technologies,
to optimise
times and costs

Leading edge technologies for subsea trenching,
especially in very shallow waters
Subsea
engineered
systems

Vertical integration of subsea engineered
systems, over the full Life of Field

Subsea Water Treatment and Separation
tech.

Reduce costs

Enable Brownfields debottlenecking

Increase/Enhance Oil Recovery
Manage Subsea Fields complexity
FLNG
New tandem offshore LNG offloading system,
with cryogenic floating hoses

Improve operability
and safety
by introducing a
leading edge technology
Onshore
Top-class proprietary Urea technology
(132 licenses sold). Continuous improvement in
efficiency, corrosion resistance and emissions

Maintain and improve the level of excellence

DEBT REDUCTION AND CAPITAL DISCIPLINE

STRENGTHENING THE BALANCE SHEET

  • Reduce leverage to industry standards
  • Improve financial and strategic flexibility
  • Achieve financial independence
  • Diversify sources of funding

Transaction Rationale Current gross debt: €6.7bn*

Capital Increase

€3.5bn rights issue Fully underwritten

New Credit Facilities

€3.2bn Term Loan/Bridge to Bond Fully underwritten

RCF

€1.5bn Revolving Credit Facility Execution expected within 1Q 2016

Rating Outcome
S&P Moody's
Corporate credit rating BBB-
/ stable
Baa3 / stable
Baa3

* Gross debt at draw down of €6.7bn expected in Q1 2016

CAPITAL INCREASE: KEY FEATURES

Size
€3.5bn rights issue

Net leverage reduced from 4.6x (Dec-2015) to 1.7x (pro forma)*
Strategic
Shareholder
Support

Irrevocable commitment for ~43% of total offering (or €1.5bn) by eni, or eni
and FSI
Syndicate
Structure

Commitment to underwrite the remainder (€2bn) by a syndicate of 7 joint
bookrunners
(2 global coordinators, 5 joint bookrunners)
Timing
Shareholder meeting on December, 2nd 2015

Capital increase to be executed in Q1 2016

* Net debt to underlying Ebitda, based on 2015E Underlying EBITDA of €1.2bn

NEW CREDIT FACILITIES

Summary terms and conditions
Bridge to Bond Term Loan RCF
Size €1.6bn €1.6bn €1.5bn
Tenor Up to 24 months 5 years (amortizing) 5 years
Margin (bps p.a.) Initial margin: 80bps Margin:110bps Margin: 80bps
Ranking Senior unsecured Senior unsecured Senior unsecured
Financial Covenants No financial covenants No financial covenants No financial covenants
Syndicate Structure Fully underwritten by a syndicate of 5 MLAs and 2 joint lead arrangers

Pro forma average cost of debt: ~ 2%*

* For 2016, including fees

CAPITAL DISCIPLINE

Working Capital
Management
  • Working capital normalization process, through:
  • Continued effort to monetise unbilled revenues and outstanding amounts on legacy contacts
  • Project cash flows management since early commercial phase (focus on advances, invoicing entitlement and other payment terms)
  • Optimisation and rationalisation of inventories

Target working capital: ca. 5% of revenues

Medium/long term capex in line with 2015 guidance

Capex/Disposals

offshore fleet and increasing fabrication capacity

Strong historical capex (around €10bn in 2007- 2011) aimed at expanding E&C and Drilling

  • Calibrated level of capex going forward
  • Efficient maintenance program to preserve a state-of-the-art fleet
  • Monetisation of non-core activities

BUSINESS PLAN TARGETS

Metrics (€) 2016 2017 Mid Term Targets
Revenues
>11bn
>65% covered by

backlog

>11bn
>40% covered by

backlog

>12bn
EBIT
EBIT Margin

>600mn

~5.5%

~700mn

~6.5%

>900mn by 2019

>7.5%
CAPEX
<600mn

<600mn
Disciplined pursuit of

growth opportunities
Net Financial Position
<1.5bn

<1.0bn

Cash neutral in 2019
Strong commitment to

investment grade

Attention to shareholders'
remuneration

DIVISIONAL TARGETS

Offshore
Backlog coverage: ~70% in 2016 and ~30% in 2017

Contribution to group revenues: modest reduction
Profitability trend : exceeding mid single digit
E&C Onshore
Backlog coverage: ~60% in 2016 and ~55% in 2017
Revenue contribution: moderate increase


Profitability trend: mid single digit
Offshore
Backlog coverage: ~80% in 2016 and ~60%% in 2017
Revenue contribution: stable


Profitability trend: above 25%
Drilling
Onshore
Backlog coverage: ~60% in 2016 and ~30% in 2017

Revenue contribution: stable

Profitability trend: high single digit

TAKEAWAYS

A STRONGER SAIPEM

Differentiated
business model
Distinctive E&C offshore capabilities


Strong expertise in E&C onshore

High-quality drilling

Longstanding relationships with key clients
Robust balance sheet
Financial and strategic flexibility

Investment grade rating

World class assets
Enhanced governance and
risk management
Governance in line with best practice


Monitoring, prevention and management of risks

Commercial discipline
Lean and focused organisation
Reduced cost base

Streamlined
geographical presence

Focus on core business
Focus
on cash generation

Disciplined approach to working capital

Moderate capex requirements
Disposal of non-core assets
Clear objectives
Maintain current rating

Grow profitability

Value creation for shareholders

TODAY'S PRESENTATION

1 Third Quarter 2015 Results Highlights
2 Strategy Presentation
3 Q&A

APPENDIX A: THIRD QUARTER 2015 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS

3Q 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS YoY comparison (€ mn)

YoY comparison (€ mn) 9M 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS

9M 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS (€ mn)

3Q 2015 NET DEBT EVOLUTION (€ bn)

9M 2015 BACKLOG AND NEW ORDERS

* Includes €15mn related to the water pipeline project in Chile; does not include contracts announced on October 9th worth >€600mn

BACKLOG BY YEAR OF EXECUTION (€ mn)

APPENDIX B: COST CUTTING INITIATIVES

COST OPTIMISATION PROGRAM: ONGOING INITIATIVES BY REGION

E&C
Offshore
E&C
Onshore
Drilling
Geographical
footprint
Yards Angola, Brazil, Congo, Nigeria,
Far
East
Canada,
Iraq
Engineering centers Emirates, United Kingdom,
Brazil
Romania, India, Mexico,
Canada
Offices United Kingdom, Singapore,
United States, Australia,
Kazakhstan, Croatia,
Netherlands
India, Romania, Libya, Mexico Latin
America, Norway
Complexity
reduction &
process
optimisation
Commercial All areas Canada, Nigeria Italy
Project
Execution
All yards (Angola, Brazil,
Nigeria,
Indonesia, Italy,
Congo, Kazakhstan)
All on-going
projects
Saudi
Arabia
Maintenance Schiedam
Base (Netherlands)
and offshore fleet
Offshore
fleet
Vessel Scrapping Semac
1, Castoro
7, SB320,
S355
Scarabeo
4
Vessel Disposal 2 Leased
FPSOs
Fleet & assets Maintenance & Mob. Offshore fleet Onshore assets and Offshore
fleet
Manning Offshore fleet Offshore fleet
Structure Costs
G&A
optimisation
Support Functions Actions focused on Italy and
overseas offices and location
HR and Others

APPENDIX C: REFINANCING

REFINANCING

Evolution of Saipem's Gross Debt (€bn)

Expected maturity profile post transaction (€bn)*

  • Meaningful extension of debt maturities: from current duration of <5 years to >6 years
  • Reduction in cost of debt from 2.7% to <2% first year

* Maturity profile assumes €0.8bn 5-year bonds issued in 2016 and €0.8bn 7-year bonds issued in 2017

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