AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Gas Plus

Investor Presentation Nov 13, 2015

4146_ip_2015-11-13_7ee144c7-7b2d-472e-a03b-4f0c31a6f3e6.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Analyst Presentation 3Q 2015 Financial Results November 13th, 2015

www.gasplus.it

INDEX

  • HIGHLIGHTS
  • FINANCIAL RESULTS

MARKET SCENARIO

Market

HIGHLIGHTS

Fin. Overview

  • Group achieved stable results despite a not favorable market environment
  • E&P BU affected by lower oil price and gas production constraints:
  • is confident in the restart of Garaguso concession's production within 2015
  • has begun the construction of the facilities of a new gas field whose gas-in is planned in 1H 2016
  • gained a positive not recurring item renegotiating a gas treatment contract
  • thanks to the removal of Emilia Romagna's ban on new E&P projects, restarted the authorization processes of all the development projects located in its main basin Increase in production levels already foreseen from 2016
  • Commercial Gas Assets new model: from October 2015 (new "gas year") the activity is focused on the profitable Retail BU, leaving the less favorable wholesale market (former S&S BU)
  • Positive and stable profitability from Network & Transportation BU
  • Growth of Net Result vs. 9M14 and further reduction of Net Financial Position

Fin. Overview

9M 2015 – Group P&L

Group (M€) 9M15 9M14 % Change 3Q15 3Q14 % Change
Total Revenues 125.0 96.6 29.4% 20.4 20.4 0.0%
Operating Costs 100.6 70.0 43.6% 16.4 14.0 17.5%
EBITDA 24.4 26.6 -8.1% 4.0 6.4 -37.8%
EBIT 9.3 12.9 -28.0% -2.1 2.1 n.m.
EBT 5.4 5.1 6.6% -2.8 -0.5 n.m.
Net Result 4.6 4.2 10.8% -1.2 -0.2 n.m.
EPS (€) 0.11 0.10 10.8% -0.03 -0.01 n.m.

9M 15 Financial results

  • Total Revenues growth as effect of the larger wholesale commercial portfolio, with a low impact on the overall marginality
  • The decrease of EBITDA and EBIT is mainly related to E&P B.U. and it reflects the decreasing price scenario, the natural depletion related to the E&P activities and the lack of new gas-in during the period
  • Net Result positively impacted by the lower net financial charges, the lower tax rate and positive no recurring items

FINANCIAL RESULTS Fin. Overview

-0.7 -0.6 -4.2 -2.8 -3.5 -3.7 0.6 1.6 0.1 0.1 Short Term Financial Charges Long Term Financial Charges Charges on Funds NPV Other Financial Charges Financial Revenues 21.5 18.6 3.9 3.8 1.2 1.9 0.1 E&P Network Commercial Gas Assets Other Group Net Result evolution (M€) 9M 2015 Consolidated results EBITDA breakdown by BU (M€) 26.6 24.4 Group EBITDA evolution (M€) 9M14 9M15 7.8 9M14 9M15 Net Financial Charges evolution (M€) 5.4 2.1 1.5 3.9 0.1 9M14 EBITDA D&A Financial charges & Other Taxes 9M15 4.2 4.6 2.9 0.1 0.7 0.1 9M14 E&P Network Commercial Gas Assets Other 9M15 26.6 24.4

FINANCIAL RESULTS

Fin. Overview

September 30, 2015 – Group Balance Sheet

September
30, 2015
December
31, 2014
% Change
Group (M€)
Inventories 3.8 19.3 -80.2%
Receivables 16.9 34.5 -51.0%
Payables (20.1) (35.5) -43.4%
Other
working
Credits/Debits
7.9 2.4 n.m.
Non current
Assets
461.2 467.9 -1.4%
Taxes, Abandonment, Severance and Other provision (196.6) (196.2) 0,2%
Net invested capital 273.1 292.4 -6.6%
Net Financial Debt 52.6 71.2 -26.1%
of which
long term
72.0 74.0 -2.8%
of which
short term
-19.4 -2.8 n.m.
Equity 220.5 221.2 -0.3%
Total Sources 273.1 292.4 -6.6%
  • The decrease of working capital level is driven by the reduction of payables, inventories (mainly influenced by S&S B.U. closure) and receivables (for seasonal effects)
  • Net Financial Debt reduced by € 18.6 M. This level of net debt should be considered temporary and effect of the postponement of the main investments, already secured by a specific € 64 M capex line
  • Improvement and significant reduction of D/E ratio from 0.32 to 0.24

FINANCIAL RESULTS

Fin. Overview

  • The Group continues its debt reduction path thanks to the cash flows generated by the business
  • The Group has also secured financial resources for future E&P investments thanks to a € 64 M capex line

FINANCIAL RESULTS: E&P E&P

9M 2015 P&L -
E&P contribution
E&P (M€) 9M15 9M14 % Change 3Q15 3Q14 % Change
Hydrocarbon
Production
(MScme) 116.8 135.9 -14.5% 37.3 43.1 -13.4%
of which
natural
gas
96.9 116.0 -16.5% 29.7 36.4 -18.5%
of which oil and condensate 19.9 19.9 +0.3% 7.6 6.7 +14.3%
EBITDA 18.6 21.5 -13.7% 4.4 6.0 -26.4%
Exploration Capex 3.4 2.0 +73.2% 2.4 0.6 +310.8%
Development Capex 4.1 2.1 +93.5% 1.9 0.3 +520.8%

In the positive context of the regional ban removal on new E&P projects occurred in July, the Group has restarted its exploration and development activities through:

  • pipeline construction (almost concluded) and treatment and compression facilities revamping and production set up (already started) related to one of the main Group project. Gas-in foreseen during 1H 2016
  • drilling of a new exploration well, which had a negative outcome but still represented the restart of the exploration investments in Italy
  • The implementation of some optimization strategies allowed the Group to contain the production reduction trend (-5% vs. 2Q 2015). Moreover, from the next year, it is foreseen an increase in production levels thanks to Garaguso restart (during 4Q 2015), Mezzocolle gas-in and, following the good results of the 2014 compression tests, an higher production on the first selected concession
  • Compared to 9M 2014, EBITDA decreased as effect of lower oil prices scenario and production levels characterized by natural depletion of mature fields not compensated by (i) new gas-in, for delays in the authorization process, and (ii) contribution to production of Garaguso concession, not operated by the Group. Those effects have been partially compensated by a tight control on operating costs and, in particular, by the renegotiation of a service contract
  • As regards the international activity, in Romania the analysis on Midia Deep and Midia Shallow & Pelican 3D seismic data are on-going:
  • Midia Deep: current exploration phase extended until August 2016 to complete results interpretation
  • Midia Shallow & Pelican: on-going review of the operator's Final Technical Report related to seismic data analysis

Gas Assets

9M 2015 P&L - Commercial Gas Assets Contribution

Commercial Gas Assets
(MScm)
BU 9M15 9M14 % Change 3Q15 3Q14 % Change
Supply (MScm) 248.7 196.3 26.7% 37.0 60.5 -38.9%
Sales (MScm) 305.2 198.6 53.6% 43.8 40.4 8.2%
Third retail S&S 183.1 97.2 88.5% 22.2 14.1 58.2%
Balancing
(former
Trading)
S&S 56.2 38.2 47.2% 15.4 18.8 -18.1%
Captive S&S 65.9 63.3 4.0% 6.2 7.6 -19.1%
Residential Retail 48.9 46.0 6.3% 3.3 4.5 -26.5%
Small Business/Multipod Retail 9.4 10.4 -9.3% 0.9 1.4 -33.2%
Industrial Retail 7.5 6.9 8.8% 1.9 1.7 12.1%
EBITDA 1.9 1.2 65,8% -0.6 0.3 -347.5%
of which S&S -1.3 -1.1 -18,2% -0.9 -0.2 -350.0%
of which Retail 3.2 2.3 42.6% 0.3 0.5 -43.6%

CGA EBITDA relevant increase vs. 9M 2014 characterized by:

  • confirmed and enhancing good performances of Retail BU thanks to (i) higher volumes sold compared to 9M 2014 and, mostly, (ii) significant increase in unitary marginality of several portfolio segments, despite a reduction of the sale prices
  • persisting negative marginality of the S&S BU, due to the new prices regime, partially counterbalanced by an increase in volumes sold
  • Following the review of the commodity business model, from October 2015 (i.e. beginning of 2015/2016 gas year) the Group has closed the S&S BU, selling its equity production and purchasing the gas for Retail BU directly on the market

FINANCIAL RESULTS: N&T and Storage

9M 2015 P&L – N&T Contribution

NETWORK % %
(M€) 9M15 9M14 Change 3Q15 3Q14 Change
Distributed
Volumes
(MSmc)
124.2 115.1 8.0% 22.5 23.2 -2.9%
Direct end
users (#K)
89.1 88.9 0.2% n.m. n.m. n.m.
Pipeline
(Km)
1,473.5 1,469.6 0.3% n.m. n.m. n.m.
CAPEX 0.7 0.7 -7.1% 0.2 0.3 -25.7%
EBITDA 3.7 3.8 -3.5% 0.2 0.3 -149.4%

Network

  • Positive and stable contribution to Group results with an EBITDA in line with 9M 2014
  • Distributed volumes increased in 9M 2015 due to more stable climate conditions compared to the exceptional moderate winter of beginning of 2014
  • Evaluation of the new ATEM tenders in order, at least, to maintain the same perimeter of activities
TRANSPORTATION
(M€)
9M15 9M14 %
Change
3Q15 3Q14 %
Change
Transported
Volumes
(MSmc)
5.7 4.7 21.5% 0.3 0.4 -14.0%
Pipeline (Km) 41.9 41.8 0.2% n.m. n.m. n.m.
EBITDA 0.07 0.07 4.0% 0.02 0.04 -36.6%

Storage projects:

All three projects are located in Central Italy, characterized by only a few storage sites, and in the same area allowing for potential operational synergies:

  • SAN BENEDETTO (49% GPS - Operator): EIA obtained in June 2014
  • POGGIOFIORITO (100%GPS): EIA obtained in June 2014
  • SINARCA (60% GPS - Operator): Final authorization and technical assessment

COMPANY PROFILE

Shareholding as at 30 Sep 2015 Share information

N. of share: 44,909,620 Share price as of 30/09/2015: € 3.80 Share price as of 12/11/2015: € 3.90 Mkt cap 30/09/2015 : € 170.6 million Italian Stock Exchange – segment MTA Own shares as of 30/09/2015: 1,336,677

Share price performance

Group structure Management

Davide Usberti Chairman and CEO Gas Plus S.p.A.
Lino Gilioli VP and Lead Independent Director Gas Plus S.p.A.
Cinzia
Triunfo
Group General Manager and Director of Gas Plus S.p.A.
Germano Rossi Group CFO
Giovanni Dell'Orto Chairman Gas Plus International B.V. (E&P Int. Activities)
Massimo Nicolazzi Executive VP Gas Plus International B.V. (E&P Int. Activities)
Regulated Activity - Network
Gianmaria
Viscardi
Chairman Network

Achille Capelli Director Network

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Gas Plus. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Gas Plus to market risks and statements expressing management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ''anticipate'', ''believe'', ''could'', ''estimate'', ''expect'', ''intend'', ''may'', ''plan'', ''objectives'', ''outlook'', ''probably'', ''project'', ''will'', ''seek'', ''target'', ''risks'', ''goals'', ''should'' and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Gas Plus and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this Report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group's products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory effects arising from recategorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates; and (m) changes in trading conditions.

All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Neither Gas Plus nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.