Investor Presentation • Mar 25, 2016
Investor Presentation
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Market
Fin. Overview
FY 2015 – Group P&L Group (M€) FY15 FY14 % Change 4Q15 4Q14 % Change Total Revenues 104.6 113.9 -8,2% 26.4 30.7 -14.0% Operating Costs 73.1 75.4 -3.1% 20.6 19.9 3.4% EBITDA 31.5 38.5 -18.2% 5.8 10.8 -46.3% EBIT 3.4 15.1 -77.3% -7.1 1.1 n.m. EBT -1.4 5.7 n.m. -8.9 -1.5 n.m. Disc. operations -1.3 -2.2 -42,4% 0.2 -0.7 n.m. Net Result 7.2 16.9 -57.7% 2.5 12.7 80,3% EPS (€) 0.16 0.39 -57.7% 0.06 0.28 80,3%
Fin. Overview
The data shown in the table do not take into consideration, at the EBITDA, EBIT and EBT level, the results of the S&S business unit which is included within the specific item "discontinued operations"
Fin. Overview
| December 31, 2015 |
December 31, 2014 |
% Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group (M€) | |||
| Inventories | 4.2 | 19.3 | -78.5% |
| Receivables | 16.8 | 34.5 | -51.2% |
| Payables | (21.8) | (35.5) | -38.6% |
| Other working Credits/Debits |
2.7 | 2.4 | 13.0%. |
| Non current Assets |
447.1 | 467.9 | -4.4% |
| Taxes, Abandonment, Severance and Other provision | (184.3) | (196.2) | -6.1% |
| Net invested capital | 264.7 | 292.4 | -9.5% |
| Net Financial Debt | 41.1 | 71.2 | -42.2% |
| of which long term |
69.6 | 74.0 | -6.0% |
| of which short term |
-28.5 | -2.9 | n.m. |
| Equity | 223.6 | 221.2 | 1.1% |
| Total Sources | 264.7 | 292.4 | -9.5% |
The data shown in the table includes the S&S business unit
Fin. Overview
| FY 2015 P&L - E&P Contribution |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E&P (M€) | FY15 | FY14 | % Change | 4Q15 | 4Q14 | % Change |
| Hydrocarbon Production |
||||||
| (MScme) | 154.1 | 178.8 | -13.8% | 37.3 | 42.9 | -13.1% |
| of which natural gas |
126.8 | 152.4 | -16.8% | 29.9 | 36.4 | -17.8% |
| of which oil and condensate | 27.3 | 26.4 | +3.5% | 7.4 | 6.5 | +13.2% |
| EBITDA | 20.1 | 27.7 | -27.6% | 1.5 | 6.2 | -75.9% |
| Exploration Capex | 3.6 | 2.5 | +44.0% | 0.2 | 0.5 | -60,0% |
| Development Capex | 5.2 | 3.1 | +67.7% | 1.1 | 0.9 | +22.2% |
In the positive context of the regional ban removal on new E&P projects occurred in July, the Group has restarted its exploration and development activities through:
EBITDA decreased vs. 2014:
Gas Assets
| Commercial Gas Assets (MScm) |
BU | FY15* | FY14 | % Change | 4Q15* | 4Q14 | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supply (MScm) | 281.1 | 338.6 | n.m. | 32.4 | 142.3 | n.m. | |
| Sales (MScm) | 337.6 | 340.1 | n.m. | 32.4 | 141.2 | n.m. | |
| Third retail | S&S* | 184.0 | 169.9 | n.m. | 0.8 | 73.1 | n.m. |
| Balancing (former Trading) |
S&S* | 56.3 | 77.4 | n.m. | 0.1 | 38.3 | n.m. |
| Captive | S&S* | 97.3 | 92.8 | 4.8% | 31.5 | 29.8 | 5.7% |
| Residential | Retail | 73.5 | 68.5 | 7.3% | 24.6 | 22.7 | 8.4% |
| Small Business/Multipod | Retail | 14.1 | 14.8 | -4.7% | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.4% |
| Industrial | Retail | 9.7 | 9.5 | 2.1% | 2.2 | 2.6 | -15.4% |
| EBITDA | 4.9 | 2.7 | 80,6% | 2.9 | 1.6 | 86.1% | |
| of which | S&S* | -0.8 | -1.7 | +52,3% | 0.4 | -0.6 | n.m. |
| of which | Retail | 5.7 | 4.4 | 28.6% | 2.5 | 2.2 | 14.0% |
* S&S BU closed from October 2015
| NETWORK (M€) |
FY15 | FY14 | % Change |
4Q15 | 4Q14 | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distributed Volumes (MSmc) |
180.4 | 164.9 | 9.4% | 56.1 | 49.8 | 12.7% |
| Direct end users (#K) |
89.4 | 89.1 | 0.3% | n.m. | n.m. | n.m. |
| Pipeline (Km) |
1,475.2 | 1,471.8 | 0.2% | n.m. | n.m. | n.m. |
| CAPEX | 0.8 | 0.9 | -2.7% | 0.2 | 0.2 | 18.2% |
| EBITDA | 6.5 | 6.8 | -4.8% | 2.7 | 3.0 | -9.7% |
| TRANSPORTATION | % | % | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (M€) | FY15 | FY14 | Change | 4Q15 | 4Q14 | Change |
| Transported Volumes (MSmc) |
8.9 | 7.5 | 18.0% | 3.1 | 2.8 | 12.2% |
| Pipeline (Km) | 41.9 | 41.8 | 0.1% | n.m. | n.m. | n.m. |
| EBITDA | 0.16 | 0.07 | 128.0% | 0.09 | 0.00 | n.m. |
* Minimum Territorial Basin
All three projects are located in Central Italy, characterized by only a few storage sites, and in the same area allowing for potential operational synergies:
The Outlook 2016-2020 is focused on the ongoing business of the Group and, as a consequence, the expected results do not include any contribution in terms of revenues and costs from start-up projects in the international E&P and in the storage business
E&P:
FORECAST
N. of share: 44,909,620 Share price as of 31/12/2015: € 3.61 Share price as of 24/03/2015: € 3.10 Mkt cap 31/12/2015 : € 162.1 million Italian Stock Exchange – segment MTA Own shares as of 31/12/2015: 1,336,677
| Davide Usberti | Chairman and CEO Gas Plus S.p.A. | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lino Gilioli | VP and Lead Independent Director Gas Plus S.p.A. | ||
| Cinzia Triunfo |
Group General Manager and Director of Gas Plus S.p.A. | ||
| Germano Rossi | Group CFO | ||
| Giovanni Dell'Orto | Chairman Gas Plus International B.V. (E&P Int. Activities) | ||
| Massimo Nicolazzi | Executive VP Gas Plus International B.V. (E&P Int. Activities) | ||
| Regulated Activity - Network |
|||
| Gianmaria Viscardi |
Chairman Network |
Achille Capelli Director Network
This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Gas Plus. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Gas Plus to market risks and statements expressing management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ''anticipate'', ''believe'', ''could'', ''estimate'', ''expect'', ''intend'', ''may'', ''plan'', ''objectives'', ''outlook'', ''probably'', ''project'', ''will'', ''seek'', ''target'', ''risks'', ''goals'', ''should'' and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Gas Plus and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this Report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group's products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory effects arising from recategorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates; and (m) changes in trading conditions.
All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Neither Gas Plus nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
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