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Fincantieri

Investor Presentation Mar 31, 2016

4085_cp_2016-03-31_b0f1fdb8-281d-4f22-849b-db09d2de06e0.pdf

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31 March 2016

Safe Harbor Statement

This Presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes," "expects," "predicts," "intends," "projects," "plans," "estimates," "aims," "foresees," "anticipates," "targets," and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources, are solely opinions and forecasts reflecting current views with respect to future events and plans, estimates, projections and expectations which are uncertain and subject to risks. Market data used in this Presentation not attributed to a specific source are estimates of the Company and have not been independently verified. These statements are based on certain assumptions that, although reasonable at this time, may prove to be erroneous. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. If certain risks and uncertainties materialize, or if certain underlying assumptions prove incorrect, Fincantieri may not be able to achieve its financial targets and strategic objectives. A multitude of factors which are in some cases beyond the Company's control can cause actual events to differ significantly from any anticipated development. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. No one undertakes any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Market data used in this Presentation not attributed to a specific source are estimates of the Company and have not been independently verified. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this Presentation and are subject to change without notice. No representations or warranties, express or implied, are given as to the achievement or reasonableness of, and no reliance should be placed on, any forward-looking statements, including (but not limited to) any projections, estimates, forecasts or targets contained herein.

Fincantieri does not undertake to provide any additional information or to remedy any omissions in or from this Presentation. Fincantieri does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update industry information or forward-looking statements set forth in this Presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company.

Declaration of the Manager responsible for preparing financial reports

Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Fincantieri, Carlo Gainelli, declares that the accounting information contained herein correspond to document results, books and accounting records.

Contents

Key messages

Strategy overview

Short and medium term financial targets

Key messages

BUSINESS PLAN KEY MESSAGES STRATEGIC GOALS

Long term visibility

All time high backlog at € 18.7 BN, of which soft backlog € 3.0 BN, and substantial commercial opportunities in advanced stage

Clear strategy and defined action plan to seize opportunities and address issues:

  • Shipbuilding
  • Offshore
  • Equipment, Systems and Services

Synergies with Vard

Significant development of commercial and industrial synergies with Vard

Growth

Strengthening and development of Fincantieri global leadership in the Cruise, Naval, Offshore and high value-added Equipment, Systems and Services businesses

Profitability

Structural increase in profitability which will allow strong organic growth and fair shareholders return

Shareholders return

Positive net result foreseen for 2016 and dividend distribution starting with 2017 net income

Shipbuilding - Cruise: growing market

Dynamics of cruise ships market

Historical trends (2013-2015)

  • Starting in 2014, significant recovery of demand, with record orders in 2015 (19 units) and consequent increase of workload and shipyards production visibility
  • − Demand recovery in "traditional markets"
  • − Opening of new markets with great potential (e.g. China and Australia)
  • − New players / new brands (e.g. Virgin Cruises, Costa Asia)

Forecast (2016-2020)

  • Production capacity already filled through 2020 with ships currently in shipbuilders' backlogs (i.e. with fleet development programs already approved by shipowners)
  • Steady growth of additional demand of lower berths also beyond 2020, thanks to growing cruise guests

Source: World Tourism Organization , UNWTO – Tourism Highlights, 2015 Edition, Fincantieri estimates

Dynamics of global tourism and cruise passengers

Shipbuilding - Cruise: strategy and action plan

Description Timing/status
Revenue growth
Development of the important backlog and soft backlog as of today (over 90% of
2016-2020 revenues covered by contracts and/or MOA), driven by a strong and
dedicated management team

Commercial synergies with Vard
(e.g. recent Vard
order from Ponant: client retention)

Ongoing
Consolidation of
positive pricing trend

Demand conditions allow for consolidation of this trend

Positive impact on income statement starting from 2017

1H 2017
Backlog de-risking
Leverage of the engineering effort made for prototypes in delivery in 2016: over the
business plan horizon delivery of mostly sister ships
and quasi-sister ships

Current Cruise backlog only entails 2 full prototypes (MSC and Virgin) to be delivered in
2017-2020

Ongoing
Production/engineering
synergies with Vard

Support of Cruise production plan through:

Operational integration of Tulcea
shipyard with the Italian shipyards in order to
design and build complex sections of cruise ships

Implementation of a specific procurement strategy
to exploit low cost production
platform advantages

Support of Tulcea
yard in developing capabilities to build complete cruise vessels of
lower complexity

Utilisation
of Vard
engineering facilities

Ongoing
Capex plan
New capex to serve the important Cruise production plan and to leverage on market
dynamics (bigger cruise ships):

Improvement of workflow and capacity at Monfalcone
and Marghera
shipyards

New design tools and processes

2016-2017
Increase of workforce
productivity and
flexibility

Agreement with the trade unions
on a "second layer" labour
contract introducing new
forms of performance based compensation, based on productivity and efficiency targets
to the workforce

2016

Shipbuilding - Naval: market opportunities

Fincantieri's accessible markets

  • Countries with naval shipbuilding capabilities where the Group already operates
  • Italy: Italian Navy's fleet renewal program and other programs (e.g. FREMM)
  • US: LCS program
  • Countries with no strong local shipbuilder or with no significant naval technologies
  • − Cumulated spending programs amount to € 31.8 BN over 2016-2020
  • − 60% of estimated 2016-2020 spending for naval vessels is related to a group of 10 countries

Source: IHS Jane's – October 2015, Fincantieri analysis

Spending by country (foreign markets accessible to Fincantieri)

Source: IHS Jane's – October 2015, Fincantieri analysis

Shipbuilding - Naval: commercial strategy

Description Timing/status
Consolidation and
development of
existing programs

Italy:
execution of Italian Navy's fleet renewal program

9 vessels in backlog (7 Multipurpose Offshore Patrol units, 1 Logistic Support Ship, 1
Multipurpose amphibious unit)

options for 3 vessels (Multipurpose Offshore Patrol units)

US: completion of current backlog of LCS program and participation to the tender for

Deliveries up to 2026
the continuation of the program

9 vessels in backlog

1 option

tender for the continuation of the program

Significant share of Business Plan revenues covered by contracts, options and
commercial negotiations with high likelihood of finalisation

Deliveries up to 2020

Option to be funded in 2016

Tender from 2016 onward

Expansion in new markets, leveraging well-proven products with new potential clients

Shipbuilding: quantifying main drivers of growth and increasing profitability

Cruise ships >90k TSL: revenues per lower berth by delivery year

• Fewer prototypes to be delivered from 2017: lower execution risks, better margins

• Positive trend due to progressive kick-in of ships acquired after the crisis

• Increase towards the end of Business Plan horizon thanks to the Italian Navy program and development of opportunities abroad

Offshore: market overview

Description

Offshore Oil&Gas: forecast (2016-2020)

  • Negative outlook for PSV and AHTS demand due to oversupply following oil price fall and significant postponements of drilling projects
  • Opportunities in OSCV sub-segment, notably in Middle East region
  • Expected recovery in demand starting from 2018

New business opportunities

  • Offshore wind: expected installed capacity in 2020 at 27,9 GW (2014-2020 CAGR at 23%)
  • Aquaculture: sustained market growth with increasing complexity related to higher technological and industrial contents
  • Exploration cruise: strong market growth (e.g. recent Vard LOI from Ponant)

E&P Capex

Sources: Pareto E&P Survey 2015, 24/08/2015, E&P CAPEX estimated based on announced expenditure budget (54 E&P companies); INTSOK, Annual Offshore Market Report 2015 (2016-2019) – June 2015

Offshore wind: expected demand for SOVs(1) for O&M(2) activities of new offshore plants

Source: EWEA - Wind energy scenarios for 2020 (High Scenario)

Aquaculture: growth of aquaculture vs traditional fishing

Offshore: strategy and action plan

Description Timing/status
Revenue growth
Diversification into new vessel segments:

aquaculture

offshore wind

passenger (exploration cruise) and Offshore Patrol Vessel (OPV) in cooperation with
Fincantieri (e.g. LOI Ponant)

Expansion of offshore business in Middle East region

Started in 2015 –
100% of
Vard
2015 orders came
from new clients
Yards structure in
Europe

Focus of Norwegian yards on core market segments and highly specialised
vessels

Focus of Aukra
yard on aquaculture sector, leveraging its location in the maritime cluster
on the west coast of Norway

Development of Romanian yards to deliver complete vessels of low complexity

Consolidation of expertise in the production of cruise vessel sections, providing base load
for the Tulcea
yard in the next years

2016
Rationalisation
of
production structure in
Brazil

Phasing out of shipbuilding activities at Niterói
yard after completion of current
order book (Q2 2016)

Strategic decision to maintain a foothold in Brazil through Vard
Promar
in order to
seize local market opportunities

Process initiated with the client Transpetro
and other stakeholders to recover extra costs
incurred in LPG carrier project

Q2 2016

Ongoing
Improvement of cost
position and operating
efficiency

Continued focus on rightsizing of operations with improvements to increase
efficiency and quality

Strengthening of procurement efficiency

Increase of the scope of work in Romania to lower the average cost base

Started in 2015

Equipment, Systems and Services: strategy

Description Timing/status
Continuous growth of
traditional businesses

Systems & Components: development of the relevant backlog (e.g. renewal of
Italian Navy's fleet) and increase of non-captive business (e.g. turbines)

Naval after-sales: expansion of service range towards full lifecycle management

Ongoing
Consolidation of the
cabins business
(Marine Interiors)

Business area insourced in 2015 through an acquisition

Capex to support volumes growth included

80% of cabin supplies over 2016-2020 expected to be assigned to Marine Interiors

Ongoing
Consolidation of the
integrated systems
business (Fincantieri SI)

Business area started
up
in 2015

Expansion of product range and role as main contractor

Further development of non-captive business

Ongoing
Insourcing of other
high value added
businesses

Further insourcing
of high value added businesses:

HVAC

public areas

From 2016
  • Development in the medium term of further after-sale activities
  • − in Marine Interiors and Fincantieri SI businesses
  • − in businesses to be insourced (HVAC, public areas)
  • − with a focus on cruise business

Short and medium term financial targets (1/2)

Short and medium term financial targets (2/2)

  • Current funding needs driven by higher cruise volumes, implying a relevant amount of working capital employed in construction projects due to payment terms of cruise contracts
  • This trend is expected to continue during 2016 due to deployment of cruise backlog and production timing of naval programs
  • Fincantieri is well prepared to cover the expected funding needs thanks to the available credit lines (approx. € 1.0 BN for Fincantieri S.p.A. only, of which € 590 MM of committed revolving credit facilities, € 150 MM of committed construction loans and € 260 MM of uncommitted credit lines) and the utilization of structured funding sources (reverse factoring and other forms of construction financing currently under negotiation). Trend of working capital vs. construction loans and gross short term debt is as follows:

  • Future cash flow generation sustained by increased profitability on backlog, generating available cash once cruise growth has reached steady state, allowing for:

  • − Capex funding
  • − Net debt reduction
  • − Dividend distribution (starting with 2017 net income)

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