Investor Presentation • May 10, 2016
Investor Presentation
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May 10, 2016
Agenda
Opening remarks
EBITDA net of forex up by 7% on like-for-like basis thanks to efficiency and growth Latam grows by over 40% net of forex despite economic slowdown
Operational efficiency delivery ahead of plan 30% of yearly target already achieved
+0.2 GW of additional capacity, 1.5 GW tenders awarded +0.2 mn end users in Latam and +0.7 mn digital meters installed
Outperformance of retail business, offsets weak price environment in Italy and Iberia
Full integration of Enel Green Power since April, 1st Latam spun-off entities listed in Chile and NYSE since April, 21st
Delivery on strategic pillars
| 2016-19 strategic plan targets |
1Q 2016 delivery |
|
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Operational efficiency 2016 cash costs target: -0.9 €bn |
Total savings of 0.3 €bn |
| 2 | Industrial growth 2016 growth EBITDA target: +0.8 €bn |
0.2 €mn growth EBITDA in 1Q 2016 2016 growth EBITDA fully secured |
| 3 | Group simplification EGP integration and Latam restructuring |
EGP fully integrated Listing of spun-off entities, merger on track |
| 4 | Active portfolio management 6 €bn capital recycling over 2015-19 |
60% plan finalized - Hydro Dolomiti cashed-in Slovenske closing pending antitrust approval |
| 5 | Shareholder remuneration Minimum DPS 2016: 0.18 €/sh |
2016 DPS at 0.18 €/sh, +13% yoy |
Operational efficiency1 (€mn)
In nominal terms
Adjusted figure (net of 15 €mn one-off in 2015)
Operational efficiency: opex evolution
| Networks | -7% | -18% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €/end user | 58.5 | 56.8 | 54.3 | 47.9 |
| FY 2014 | FY 2015 | LTM | 2019 | |
| Renewables | -1% | -20% | ||
| k€/MW | 76.0 | 78.7 | 75.1 | 61.0 |
| FY 2014 | FY 2015 | LTM | 2019 | |
| Conventional | -11% | -10% | ||
| generation4 k€/MW |
43.9 | 39.9 | 39.0 | 39.3 |
| FY 2014 | FY 2015 | LTM | 2019 | |
| Staff | -% | -2 p.p. | ||
| % of Total Fixed Costs |
24% | 24% | 24% | 22% |
| FY 2014 | FY 2015 | LTM | 2019 |
Total fixed costs in nominal terms (net of capitalizations). Impact from acquisitions is not included
Adjusted figure (net of 15 €mn one-off in 2015) 3. In nominal terms 4. 2014 figure restated for delta perimeter
Industrial growth: operational achievements
Includes EGP hydro operations
Includes all other renewables
Industrial growth: capex in execution1
Industrial growth: recently awarded renewable auctions
| Mexico | Peru | Enel competitive advantage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | Solar PV |
Wind / Solar PV / Hydro |
First utility scale plants |
| Capacity | 1,000 MW | 326 MW | Global procurement |
| Production | 2,250 GWh | 1,200 GWh | Multiple bids approach |
| Capex | <900 mn USD |
<400 mn USD |
Low operating risks |
| COD | 2018 | 2018 | Deep market knowledge |
| Remuneration | 15 yrs USD PPA + 20 yrs GCs |
20 yrs USD PPA |
Synergies with existing assets |
| Returns | 12-14% equity IRR |
13-15% equity IRR |
Leveraging on its competitive advantages, Enel outbids competition preserving returns
Group simplification: update on Latam restructuring
Financial highlights (€mn)
| 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 | ∆ yoy | Like-for-like | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 17,872 | 19,970 | -11% | |
| Reported EBITDA |
4,017 | 4,023 | -% | |
| EBITDA1 Ordinary |
3,871 | 4,023 | -4% | +2% (5) |
| Reported EBIT |
2,670 | 2,625 | +2% | |
| Ordinary EBIT |
2,524 | 2,625 | -4% | |
| Reported Group net income |
939 | 810 | +16% | |
| Group net ordinary income |
795 | 810 | -2% | +11% (6) |
| Capex2 | 1,650 | 1,340 | +23% | |
| Net debt3 | 36,644 | 37,545 (4) | -2% | |
| FFO | 1,539 | 710 | +117% |
Excludes Extraordinary items 1Q 2016: +146 €mn Hydro Dolomiti capital gain
Includes assets held for sale related to Slovenske Elektrarne for 103 €mn in 2016
FY 2015: net of assets held for sale (841 €mn mainly for Slovenske Elektrarne). 1Q 2016: net of assets held for sale (1,147 €mn mainly for Slovenske Elektrarne)
As of December 31, 2015 5. Excludes 252 €mn one-offs in 2015 and 19 €mn in 2016 6. Excludes 109 €mn one-offs in 2015 and 14 €mn in 2016
Market context in the period (change yoy)
Operational highlights
Number of customers1 (mn)
Operational highlights – Generation
Operational highlights – Distribution
Ordinary EBITDA evolution (€mn)
17 1. Includes: +173 €mn CO2 swap transaction in Iberia generation, +50 €mn 3Sun in Renewables, +44 €mn in distrubution in Argentina, -16 €mn bad weather in distribution Italy; +1 €mn other
Ordinary EBITDA breakdown
Group adjusted EBITDA by business (€mn)
Mainly related to Portugal disposal
Includes Italy, Iberia, Rest of Europe and other countries
1. Related to 3Sun
Group adjusted EBITDA by geography (€mn)
EBITDA Italy by business1 (€mn)
From ordinary EBITDA to net ordinary income (€mn)
Accruals, releases, utilizations of provisions in EBITDA (i.e. personnel related and risks and charges). It includes bad debt provision accruals equal to 146 €mn
Funds from operations after working capital change
Includes SE that recorded a negative net free cash flow for -187 €mn
Net debt evolution (€mn)
Debt and financial expenses (€mn)
Forward sales1
Average hedged price
Average on clean spark spread and clean dark spread
Includes only mainland production
Closing remarks
1Q 2016 progression confirms delivery on all key strategic pillars
Strong set of results thanks to high degree of diversification
Positive contribution from Latam and resilient performance in Italy and Iberia despite challenging macro environment
2016 financial targets confirmed
From EBITDA to net income (€mn)
| 1Q 2016 reported |
1Q 2015 reported |
∆ yoy 1 |
1Q 2016 ordinary |
1Q 2015 1 ordinary |
∆ yoy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 4,017 | 4,023 | -0.1% | 3,871 | 4,023 | -3.8% |
| D&A | 1,347 | 1,398 | 1,347 | 1,398 | ||
| EBIT | 2,670 | 2,625 | 1.7% | 2,524 | 2,625 | -3.8% |
| Net financial charges | (852) | (767) | (852) | (767) | ||
| Net income from equity investments using equity method | 35 | 24 | 35 | 24 | ||
| EBT | 1,853 | 1,882 | -1.5% | 1,707 | 1,882 | -9.3% |
| Income tax | 548 | 703 | 546 | 703 | ||
| Net income | 939 | 810 | 795 | 810 | ||
| Minorities | 366 | 369 | 366 | 369 | ||
| Group net income | 1,305 | 1,179 | 10.7% | 1,161 | 1,179 | -1.5% |
| Global Generation | & Trading | Global Infrastructures & Networks |
Global Renewable Energies |
Services Retail & Other |
Total3 | Total3 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 | |
| Italy | 305 | 213 | 889 | 897 | 137 | 252 | 560 | 414 | 21 | 30 | 1,912 | 1,806 |
| Iberia | 192 | 407 | 478 | 442 | 49 | 63 | 140 | 117 | (16) | 11 | 843 | 1,040 |
| Latam | 504 | 385 | 319 | 374 | 101 | 87 | - | - | (23) | (23) | 901 | 823 |
| Argentina | 28 | 27 | 31 | 40 | - | - | - | - | (1) | - | 58 | 67 |
| Brazil | 42 | 48 | 97 | 132 | - | - | - | - | (7) | (8) | 132 | 172 |
| Chile | 204 | 102 | 55 | 55 | - | - | - | - | (15) | (11) | 244 | 146 |
| Colombia | 149 | 139 | 86 | 101 | - | - | - | - | - | (4) | 235 | 236 |
| Peru | 81 | 69 | 50 | 46 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 131 | 115 |
| East Europe | 144 | 170 | 45 | 55 | 49 | 41 | 10 | 8 | (2) | - | 246 | 274 |
| Romania | (1) | - | 45 | 55 | - | - | 10 | 8 | - | 1 | 54 | 64 |
| Russia | 37 | 66 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 66 |
| Slovakia | 108 | 103 | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 109 | 103 |
| Other1 | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | (1) | - | (2) | (1) | (3) | - |
| North America | - | - | - | - | 128 | 94 | - | - | - | - | 128 | 94 |
| Other countries2 | - | - | - | - | (2) | (1) | - | - | - | - | (2) | (1) |
| Other | (5) | (3) | 3 | - | - | - | - | - | (9) | (10) | (11) | (13) |
| Total | 1,140 | 1,172 | 1,734 | 1,768 | 462 | 536 | 710 | 539 | (29) | 8 | 4,017 | 4,023 |
Includes Belgium, Greece, France and Bulgaria
Includes South Africa and India
Includes EBITDA from Global Renewable Energies
EBITDA from Reported to Adjusted: breakdown by geography
| 1Q 2016 | Italy | Iberia | Latam | East Europe |
Global Renewable Energies |
Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | 1,775 | 794 | 800 | 197 | 462 | (11) | 4,017 |
| Extraordinary items | 146 | - | - | - | - | - | 146 |
| Ordinary | 1,629 | 794 | 800 | 197 | 462 | (11) | 3,871 |
| One-offs | - | - | - | - | - | 1 9 |
1 9 |
| Adjusted | 1,629 | 794 | 800 | 197 | 462 | (30) | 3,852 |
| 1Q 2015 | Italy | Iberia | Latam | East Europe |
Global Renewable Energies |
Services & Holding |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | 1,554 | 977 | 736 | 233 | 536 | (13) | 4,023 |
| Extraordinaty items | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ordinary | 1,554 | 977 | 736 | 233 | 536 | (13) | 4,023 |
| One-offs | (16) | 175 | 4 3 |
- | 5 0 |
- | 252 |
| Adjusted | 1,570 | 802 | 693 | 233 | 486 | (13) | 3,771 |
EBITDA from Reported to Adjusted: breakdown by business line
| 1Q 2016 | Global Generation & Trading |
Global Infrastructures & Networks |
Global Renewable Energies |
Retail | Services & Holding |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | 1,140 | 1,734 | 462 | 710 | (29) | 4,017 |
| Extraordinaty items | 146 | - | - | - | - | 146 |
| Ordinary | 994 | 1,734 | 462 | 710 | (29) | 3,871 |
| One-offs | - | - | - | - | 1 9 |
1 9 |
| Adjusted | 994 | 1,734 | 462 | 710 | (48) | 3,852 |
| 1Q 2015 | Global Generation & Trading |
Global Infrastructures & Networks |
Global Renewable Energies |
Retail | Services & Holding |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | 1,172 | 1,768 | 536 | 539 | 8 | 4,023 |
| Extraordinaty items | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Ordinary | 1,172 | 1,768 | 536 | 539 | 8 | 4,023 |
| One-offs | 177 | 9 | 5 0 |
6 | 1 0 |
252 |
| Adjusted | 995 | 1,759 | 486 | 533 | (2) | 3,771 |
Operational efficiency: opex (€mn)
Forward sales
Peru
Colombia
Brazil
Capex1
Capex by business1 (€mn)
Gross debt structure
Debt structure by instrument (€bn)
| Debt by instrument | Enel Spa | EFI | Italy | Iberia | Latam | Global Renewable Energies |
East Europe & Other |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonds | 13.56 | 18.78 | - | 0.10 | 3.38 | - | 0.43 | 36.25 |
| Bank loans | - | - | 3.26 | 0.64 | 0.84 | 3.10 | 0.45 | 8.29 |
| Tax partnership | - | - | - | - | - | 1.07 | - | 1.07 |
| Other loans | - | - | - | 0.54 | 0.19 | 0.24 | - | 0.97 |
| Other short term debt | 1.16 | - | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.06 | - | 1.49 |
| Commercial paper | - | - | - | 0.11 | - | - | - | 0.11 |
| Gross debt | 14.72 | 18.78 | 3.39 | 1.46 | 4.48 | 4.47 | 0.88 | 48.18 |
| Financial receivables | (0.01) | - | (1.07) | (0.52) | (0.83) | (0.18) | (0.46) | (3.07) |
| Tariff deficit | - | - | - | (0.16) | - | - | - | (0.16) |
| Other short term financial receivables | (0.68) | (0.01) | (1.15) | (0.06) | (0.03) | (0.07) | - | (2.00) |
| Cash & marketable securities | (1.98) | (0.21) | (0.21) | (0.21) | (1.80) | (0.41) | (1.49) | (6.31) |
| Net debt – Third Parties | 12.05 | 18.56 | 0.96 | 0.51 | 1.82 | 3.81 | (1.07) | 36.64 |
| Net debt – Intercompany | 2.76 | (19.05) | 6.70 | 3.28 | (0.15) | 2.31 | 4.15 | - |
| Net debt – Group View | 14.81 | (0.49) | 7.66 | 3.79 | 1.67 | 6.12 | 3.08 | 36.64 |
Debt maturity coverage split by typology (€bn)
Of which 13.2 €bn of long term committed credit lines with maturities beyond March 2017
Includes commercial papers
Group total net installed capacity: breakdown by technology and geography
| MW | Hydro1 | Wind | Geothermal | Solar & Other |
Nuclear | Coal | CCGT | Oil&Gas ST/OCGT |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 12,418 | 720 | 761 | 84 | - | 6,478 | 4,535 | 3,504 | 28,500 |
| Iberia | 4,763 | 1,616 | - | 46 | 3,318 | 5,168 | 5,445 | 2,417 | 22,773 |
| Latam | 9,981 | 1,314 | - | 370 | - | 835 | 4,316 | 2,588 | 19,405 |
| East Europe | 1,609 | 741 | - | 134 | 1,814 | 4,011 | 1,215 | 4,512 | 14,035 |
| Romania | - | 498 | - | 36 | - | - | - | - | 534 |
| Russia | - | - | - | - | - | 3,623 | 809 | 4,512 | 8,944 |
| Slovakia | 1,590 | - | - | 28 | 1,814 | 388 | - | - | 3,820 |
| Other2 | 19 | 242 | - | 71 | - | - | 406 | - | 738 |
| North America | 316 | 2,090 | 71 | 29 | - | - | - | - | 2,506 |
| Other Countries3 | - | 172 | - | 10 | - | - | - | - | 182 |
| Total | 29,088 | 6,653 | 832 | 674 | 5,132 | 16,491 | 15,511 | 13,022 | 87,402 |
Includes 2,665 MW of EGP (1,515 MW in Italy, 43 MW in Iberia, 772 MW in Latam, 19 MW in East Europe, 316 MW in North America)
Includes Belgium, Greece and Bulgaria
Includes South Africa and India
Group total net production: breakdown by technology and geography
| GWh | Hydro1 | Wind | Geothermal | Solar & Other |
Nuclear | Coal | CCGT | Oil&Gas ST/OCGT |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 3,434 | 435 | 1,478 | 16 | - | 7,545 | 1,731 | 49 | 14,688 |
| Iberia | 2,385 | 1,209 | - | 49 | 6,461 | 3,641 | 1,304 | 1,624 | 16,673 |
| Latam | 8,065 | 877 | - | 125 | - | 1,142 | 4,623 | 1,373 | 16,205 |
| East Europe | 613 | 525 | - | 27 | 3,787 | 5,120 | 1,113 | 4,573 | 15,758 |
| Romania | - | 367 | - | 7 | - | - | - | - | 374 |
| Russia | - | - | - | - | - | 4,684 | 815 | 4,573 | 10,071 |
| Slovakia | 593 | - | - | 2 | 3,787 | 437 | - | - | 4,819 |
| Other2 | 20 | 157 | - | 18 | - | - | 298 | - | 493 |
| North America | 288 | 2,176 | 117 | 9 | - | - | - | - | 2,591 |
| Other Countries3 | - | 44 | - | 5 | - | - | - | - | 49 |
| Total | 14,785 | 5,266 | 1,595 | 232 | 10,248 | 17,448 | 8,771 | 7,620 | 65,964 |
Includes 2,272 GWh of EGP (1,116 GWh in Italy, 52 GWh in Iberia, 796 GWh in Latam, 20 GWh in East Europe, 288 GWh in North America) 43
Includes Belgium, Greece and Bulgaria
Includes South Africa and India
EGP projects in execution: breakdown by technology and geography (MW)
| Business unit | Wind | Hydro | Geo | Solar | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 8 | 10 | - | - | 17 | 35 |
| Greece | 154 | - | - | - | - | 154 |
| Europe | 162 | 10 | - | - | 17 | 189 |
| Brazil | 442 | 102 | - | 807 | - | 1,351 |
| Chile | 224 | - | 38 | 147 | - | 409 |
| Costa Rica | - | 50 | - | - | - | 50 |
| Mexico | 229 | - | - | - | - | 229 |
| Panama | - | - | - | 42 | - | 42 |
| Latin America | 895 | 152 | 38 | 996 | - | 2,081 |
| USA | 108 | - | - | 150 | - | 258 |
| North America | 108 | - | - | 150 | - | 258 |
| Sub saharan Africa & Asia | 904 | - | - | 314 | - | 1,218 |
| Rest of World | 904 | - | - | 314 | - | 1,218 |
| Total | 2,069 | 162 | 38 | 1,460 | 17 | 3,746 |
EGP projects under construction : breakdown by technology and geography (MW)
| Business unit | Wind | Hydro | Geo | Solar | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 8 | 10 | - | - | 17 | 35 |
| Greece | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Europe | 8 | 10 | - | - | 17 | 35 |
| Brazil | 180 | 102 | - | 412 | - | 694 |
| Chile | 224 | - | 38 | 147 | - | 409 |
| Costa Rica | - | 50 | - | - | - | 50 |
| Mexico | 229 | - | - | - | - | 229 |
| Panama | - | - | - | 13 | - | 13 |
| Latin America | 633 | 152 | 38 | 572 | - | 1,395 |
| USA | 108 | - | - | - | - | 108 |
| North America | 108 | - | - | - | - | 108 |
| Sub saharan Africa & Asia | 199 | - | - | 314 | - | 513 |
| Rest of World | 199 | - | - | 314 | - | 513 |
| Total | 948 | 162 | 38 | 886 | 17 | 2,051 |
EGP projects ready to build : breakdown by technology and geography (MW)
| Business unit | Wind | Hydro | Geo | Solar | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Greece | 154 | - | - | - | - | 154 |
| Europe | 154 | - | - | - | - | 154 |
| Brazil | 262 | - | - | 395 | - | 657 |
| Chile | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Costa Rica | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Mexico | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Panama | - | - | - | 29 | - | 29 |
| Latin America | 262 | - | - | 424 | - | 686 |
| USA | - | - | - | 150 | - | 150 |
| North America | - | - | - | 150 | - | 150 |
| Sub saharan Africa & Asia | 705 | - | - | - | - | 705 |
| Rest of World | 705 | - | - | - | - | 705 |
| Total | 1,121 | - | - | 574 | - | 1,695 |
Contact us
Visit our website at:
www.enel.com (Investor Relations)
Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forwardlooking statements are based on Enel S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Enel S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Enel S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified by any independent third party.
This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Enel S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries.
Pursuant to art. 154-bis, paragraph 2, of the Italian Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Enel, Alberto De Paoli, declares that the accounting information contained herein correspond to document results, books and accounting records.
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