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Assicurazioni Generali

Earnings Release May 12, 2016

4190_10-q_2016-05-12_cdb91c93-9258-40db-9a0a-3006e4448374.pdf

Earnings Release

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GENERALI GROUP 1Q 2016 Results

The like for like change of written premiums, life net inflows, APE and NBV is on equivalent terms (on equivalent exchange rates and consolidation area).

I. 4
Profit & Loss and Balance Sheet Page
II. 10
Business Review Page
III. Backup 23
Page

2

Profit & Loss and Balance Sheet page 4

Business review page 10

Key 1Q 2016 financials at a glance

  • Operating Result: Lower by 12.3%, mainly due to the decision to realise a lower level gains in current market conditions, compared to the relatively high level of last year. Strong technical performance in both Life and P&C
  • Net Result: Follows the trend of the operating result (-13.8%)
  • Operating RoE: Annualised operating RoE at 13.3%, securing the target of >13%
  • Shareholders' equity: Up 5.8% from year end to Euro 24.9 bn, driven by a strong increase in the stock of unrealised gains (AFS reserves), and the result of the period
  • Solvency II ratio (internal model view): At 188%, down from 202%, consistent with disclosed financial market sensitivities
1Q15 1Q16 D
Operating result (Euro m) 1,326 1,163 -12.3%
Operating RoE(1) 13.4% 13.3% -0.1%pts
Net result (Euro m) 682 588 -13.8%
EPS (Euro) 0.44 0.38 -13.8%
Shareholders' equity(2) 23,565 24,924 +5.8%
Solvency II ratio (internal model view) (%)(2) 202% 188% -14%pts.

(1) The annualized operating RoE is calculated on a rolling basis, as the sum of the last four quarter operating ROE ratios

(2) Comparative data FY15

Profit & Loss 5

Operating result by segment

From operating result to net profit

Shareholders' equity Balance Sheet 7

Solvency II: Internal Model View Solvency 2

Eligible own funds vs. Required capital (Internal model view, Euro bn)

  • The Group Economic Solvency ratio remains at strong levels despite the adverse economic scenario.
  • Negative impact due to the decrease in interest rates, losses on equity values and increase in market volatilities is partially offset by the organic capital generation.
  • Overall development in line with sensitivities presented at FY15
  • Regulatory Solvency Ratio estimated at 161%

Profit & Loss and Balance Sheet page 4

Business review page 10

9

Life key financial indicators

(Euro m)

1Q15 1Q16 LFL D
Gross written premiums 13,666 13,430 -1.3%
Net inflows 4,306 4,546 +6.4%
Life operating result 823 756 -8.2%
Life operating ratio on investments (bps) 21 18 -3
APE 1,429 1,321 -6.9%
New Business
Value
322 361 +12.7%
Margin on APE (%) 22.5% 27.3% +4.8%pts.

Life Operating result by driver

(Euro m)

1Q 16 1,473 554 (1,270)
1Q 15 1,385 678 (1,240)
D % +6.4% -18.4% +2.5%
  • Decreasing investment result due to lower net realized gains, down from the exceptionally high levels of 1Q15
  • Improvement in technical margin, more than offsetting a slightly worse expense result

Life inflows and technical reserves(1)

(Euro m)

1Q15 1Q16
Italy 2,143 2,418
France 208 151
Germany 1,064 742
CEE 74 161
EMEA 588 356
Americas 43 27
Asia 156 673
International 29 17
TOTAL 4,306 4,546

(1) Including liabilities related to investment contracts

+0.8%

Life investment breakdown and performance

Life segment general account

(%) Current returns

Euro m %
1Q15 2,334 0.8%
Fixed income 1Q16 2,313 0.8%
Equity 1Q15 30 0.2%
1Q16 145 1.1%
Real Estate(1) 1Q15 153 1.5%
1Q16 150 1.6%
Total(1) 1Q15 2,598 0.8%
1Q16 2,689 0.8%

(1) Net of depreciation expenses

Life new business analysis

  • APE decline (-6.9%), mainly due to the uncertain market situation, resulting in a decrease of 22.8% of unit linked business and almost stable saving business (-0.8%). Protection business decreases by -4.8%.
  • Strong improvement of NBM(1) (+4.8%pts.) driven by Euro area with lower guarantees and improved financial conditions (based on beginning of period market levels). Asia suffers from a worsened financial situation.
  • Further marked reduction of the level of guarantees (in Euro area from 0.60% at FY15 to 0.46% at 1Q16).
(Euro m) APE NBV MARGIN ON APE
1Q15 1Q16 LFL D 1Q15 1Q16 LFL D 1Q15 1Q16 LFL D
Italy 590 590 +0.0% 167 195 +17.1% 28.3% 33.1% +4.8%pts.
France 303 238 -21.6% 30 43 +45.4% 9.9% 18.3% +8.4%pts.
Germany 238 186 -21.8% 57 70 +23.7% 23.8% 37.7% +13.9%pts.
CEE 42 36 -13.5% 11 11 -0.8% 27.3% 31.8% +4.1%pts.
EMEA 185 147 -20.1% 46 44 -3.2% 24.8% 29.9% +5.2%pts.
Americas & Asia 72 126 +96.2% 11 -3 -131.4% 15.5% -2.5% -18.3%pts.
TOTAL 1,429 1,321 -6.9% 322 361 +12.7% 22.5% 27.3% +4.8%pts.

(1) Starting from 2016 the New Business methodology has been aligned with Solvency II framework in term of reference rate and Required Capital. This change has a positive impact on NBM (+0.9%).

P&C key financial Indicators

(Euro m)

1Q15 1Q16 LFL D
Gross written premiums, of which: 6,483 6,311 -0.6%
Primary Motor 2,671 2,531 -0.9%
Primary Non Motor 3,624 3,597 -0.3%
Combined
ratio (%)
93.3% 92.0% -1.3%pts.
Nat Cat impact (%) 1.9% 0.0% -1.9%pts.
P&C operating result 505 498 -1.4%

P&C Operating result by driver

(Euro m)

1Q 16 369 201 (72)
1Q 15 288 234 (18)
D % +27.9% -14.0% n.m.

-1.4%

  • Excellent technical performance thanks to the decline of the combined ratio to 92.0% (-1.3%pts.)
  • Decrease the investment result due to lower interest rate environment
  • Other component decreasing mainly due to some non-recurring positive effects in 1Q 15

P&C gross written premiums trends

(Euro m)

1Q15 1Q16 LFL 
Italy 1,407 1,319 -6.2%
France 834 819 -1.7%
Germany 1,447 1,423 -1.7%
CEE 526 531 +0.9%
EMEA 1,638 1,678 +3.2%
Americas 318 231 +9.9%
Asia 33 40 +23.1%
International 281 269 -4.1%
Total 6,483 6,311 -0.6%

Overall flat premiums (-0.6%)

  • Italy declines -6.2% mainly driven by Motor (-11.0%, due to the exit of some large fleet contracts). Non Motor decreases -3.4% due to both Accident & Health (-2.7%) and SMEs (-3.8%)
  • -1.7% decline in France, mainly driven by soft market conditions in Commercial
  • Germany declines -1.7%, driven by both Motor (-1.7%, reflecting ongoing shift in renewal dates, expected to level off during the year) and Non Motor (-1.5%, due to portfolio pruning activities)
  • CEE grows +0.9%, with positive Motor (+2.9%) more than offsetting Non Motor (-1.9%)
  • EMEA grows +3.2%, driven mainly by good performance in Spain (+10.2%, due to both Motor and Non Motor)

Combined ratio analysis

Combined ratio by country

(%)

1Q15 1Q16 LFL 
Italy 89.3% 88.7% -0.6%pts.
France 100.3% 99.7% -0.5%pts.
Germany 93.8% 90.4% -3.5%pts.
CEE 83.7% 89.7% +6.0%pts.
EMEA 95.0% 94.3% -0.7%pts.
Americas 106.4% 98.7% -7.8%pts.
Asia 112.7% 112.2% -0.5%pts.
International
Operations
88.5% 86.7% -1.8%pts.
Total 93.3% 92.0% -1.3%pts.
  • Combined ratio in Italy further improves, mainly thanks to the absence of Nat Cat events (in 1Q15 the impact was 2.6%pts.)
  • Positive development in France (-0.5%pts.) mainly driven by the successful portfolio restructuring
  • Strong improvement in Germany, mainly thanks to the absence of Nat Cat events (in 1Q15 the impact was 5.9%pts.) and lower expenses
  • Combined ratio increase in CEE mainly due to negative market developments in Polish Motor market, though still at excellent levels
  • Strong improvement in Americas mainly thanks to actions taken to restore profitability in Brazil

P&C investment breakdown and performance

P&C segment general account

(%) Current returns

Focus on Holding & Other businesses segment

(Euro m)

1Q15 1Q16
Financial 149 89 -40.5%
of which Banca Generali(1) 115 40 -65.6%
Operating holding expenses (116) (111) -3.8%
Other businesses(2) 21 (15) n.m.
Total 54 (38) n.m.

(1) Banca Generali's operating contribution as per Generali's view

(2) Including pure financial holdings, international service activities and any other non-core businesses

Final remarks

Sound results despite the challenging operating environment

  • Resolute focus on technical profitability continues
  • Solvency remains very comfortable despite the worse financial market conditions, at 188%

Committed to delivering on our promise of attractive returns for shareholders

Agenda

III. Backup


Cost
24
page
Investments 26
page
Financial debt 32
page

1Q16 Cost development

Group operating expense development (OpEx view) (Euro bn)

1.5 1.5 1Q 15 1Q 16

Overall costs substantially flat vs previous year and in line with target

Reconciliation of general expenses from IFRS view to OpEx view

(1Q16, Euro bn)

  • Acquisition & Admin costs and Oper. Holding expenses, accounting view
  • (per segmental operating profit analysis)
  • Adjustments from accounting view
  • Adjusted general expense base (OpEx view)

Agenda

III. Backup

Cost 24
page
Investments 26
page
Financial debt 32
page

25

Assets under management

Fixed Income Portfolio

50.9 13.6 18.1 8.5 9.0 Other fixed Income Covered Corporate non fin. Corporate fin. Government Total Portfolio Euro 334 bn (%)

Bond duration FY15 1Q16
Life 8.0 8.3
P&C 5.0 5.0

(1) Italian government bond exposure is 81% of BBB

Fixed Income Portfolio by country

50.9 13.6 18.1 8.5 9.0 Other fixed Income Covered Corporate non fin. Corporate fin. Government Total Portfolio Euro 334 bn (%)

Equity & Equity-like

Alternative funds: Euro 5 bn (%)

Asset Allocation: Real Estate

Total Portfolio: Euro 24 bn(1)

(1) Data, at fair value, includes investment properties, own use assets, indirect investments and properties inventory (2) Detail, referred to direct investments in real estate only

Agenda

III. Backup

Financial debt 32
page
Investments 26
page
Cost 24
page

Focus on financial debt

(1) The amounts of financial debt includes the subordinated bond issued in October 2015, for a nominal amount of Euro 1.25 bn, to refinance June 2016 callable hybrid bonds

Financial debt breakdown by expiry date/call date

Disclaimer

Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements.

These expectations are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties.

The user of such information should recognise that actual results, performance or events may differ materially from such expectations because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond our control including, among other things, general economic and sector conditions.

Neither Assicurazioni Generali SpA nor any of its affiliates, directors, officers employees or agents owe any duty of care towards any user of the information provided herein nor any obligation to update any forward-looking information contained in this document.

The manager charged with preparing the company's financial reports, Alberto Minali, declares, pursuant to paragraph 2 of article 154 bis of the Consolidated Law on Financial Intermediation, that the accounting information contained in this presentation corresponds to document results, books and accounts records.

34

Next Events

Team

Spencer Horgan

Head of Investor & Rating Agency Relations [email protected] +44 20 7265 6480

Stefano Burrino

Senior IR Manager [email protected] +39 040 671202

Emanuele Marciante

Senior IR Manager – Credit & Rating Agency Relations [email protected] +39 040 671347

Veronica Cherini

IR Manager [email protected] +39 040 671488

Rodolfo Svara

IR Manager [email protected] +39 040 671823

Marta Porczynska

Team Assistant & Event Manager [email protected] +39 040 671402

Martina Vono

Team Assistant & Event Manager [email protected] +39 040 671548

Assicurazioni Generali

P.za Duca degli Abruzzi 2 34132 Trieste, Italy

Fax: +39 040 671338 e-mail: [email protected]

www.generali.com

Thank you

GENERALI GROUP 1Q 2016 Results

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