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Poste Italiane

Investor Presentation Mar 15, 2017

4431_10-k_2017-03-15_de718342-8b42-4f14-8851-4760b620c4de.pdf

Investor Presentation

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15 March 2017

Investor Relations

(€m)

Key Numbers

FY 2015 FY 2016 Var %
Revenues 30,739 33,112 +8%
EBIT 880 1,041 +18%
Net Profit 552 622 +13%
EPS (€) 0.42 0.48 +13%
DPS (€) 0.34 0.39 +15%

FY 2016: FIGURES HIGHLIGHTS

TOTAL ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT/ADMINISTRATION

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES (1/3) REVENUES EVOLUTION

(€m)

  1. Current accounts/Active Portfolio Management includes interests income, realized capital gain and income from financial assets at FVTPL (Fair Value through profit or loss)

  2. Transaction banking includes: payment slips, F24, money transfers, pension cheques and other revenues from current accounts. Net of intercompany values

  3. Payment Card Fees includes a one-off capital gain of €121 million related to the acquisition and merger of Visa Europe Ltd with the US-registered company, Visa Incorporated

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES (2/3) REVENUES BREAKDOWN

FY 2016 €m
FY 16 vs FY 15 (var.%)
Rationale
Return on Current
Account Deposits
1,983
+0.5%
Increase
mainly
due
to
higher
capital
gains
compensated
by
lower
interest
income
Fees from Postal
Savings Collection
1,577
-2.0%
Lower
fees
related
to
lower
recognized
commercial
costs
Lower
revenues
from
delegated
services
partially
offset
Fees from
Transaction Banking
1,048
-0.9%
by
higher
revenues
from
payments
slips
and
tax
return
forms
Distribution Fees 327
20.2%
Increase
mainly
due
to
a
better
performance
on
personal
loans
Distribution Fees
Payment Card Fees
Payment Card
Fees
359
+49.0%
Includes
a
one-off
capital
gain
from
VISA
Europe
and
higher
revenues
from
Postepay
Evolution
offset
by
lower
fees
from
debt/prepaid
cards
5,294
Total Revenues
+2.7%
----------------------------------

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES (3/3)

ACTIVE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

(€m)

AVERAGE DEPOSITS1 ACTIVE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT2

Avg deposits from Retail and Corporate customers Entirely invested in Italian Government bonds

  1. Including current accounts, time deposits and repurchase agreements

  2. Including interest income and realized capital gains

  3. Average yield calculated as interest income and realized capital gains on total financial assets

BANCOPOSTA REGULATORY FRAMEWORK AND CAPITAL POSITION

FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT

GROUP GWP AND TECHNICAL RESERVES EVOLUTION

  1. Including non-life technical reserves and net of re-insurance reserves

STRONG SOLVENCY II UNDER OUR APPROVED STANDARD MODEL POSTE VITA

FOCUS ON MAIL & PARCELS VOLUMES AND MARKET REVENUES EVOLUTION

TOTAL GROUP OPERATING COSTS EVOLUTION

Group Operating Costs

COST STRUCTURE AT CONSOLIDATED LEVEL FOCUS ON LABOUR COSTS

FROM GROUP EBIT TO NET INCOME

GROUP CAPITAL EXPENDITURES

Capex evolution (€m) Capex Breakdown by Division (%)

INDUSTRIAL NET FINANCIAL POSITION

PLAN EXECUTION (1/3) DELIVERING RESULTS

FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 CAGR
(2016
vs 2014)
Revenues (€m) 28,512 30,739 33,112 7.8%
EBIT (€m) 691 880 1,041 22.7%
Net Profit (€m) 212 552 622 71.3%
Capex (€m) 437 488 451 1.6%
Clients' Assets (€bn) 462 476 493 3.3%
DPS (€) 0.19 0.34 0.39 43.3%

Three years of solid growth in revenues, earnings and dividends

PLAN EXECUTION (2/3) DELIVERING GROUP'S ASSETS OPTIMIZATION

RATIONALIZATIONS OF 10 LEGAL ENTITIES INSIDE THE GROUP

Simplified Group structure

Focus on acquisitions towards strategic priorities

PLAN EXECUTION (3/3) OUR CHALLENGES GOING FORWARD

APPENDIX

€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
Revenue from sales and services 8,809 8,743 (0.8%)
Insurance premium revenue 18,197 19,884 9.3%
Other income from financial and insurance activities 3,657 4,421 20.9%
Other operating income 75 64 (14.7%)
Sales 30,739 33,112 7.7%
Personnel costs (6,151) (6,241) 1.5%
Other operating expenses (3,444) (3,292) (4.4%)
Net change in technical provisions for insurance business and
other claims expenses
(19,683) (21,958) 11.6%
Depreciation & amortization (581) (581) n.m.
EBIT 880 1,041 18.3%
Net interest income / (Expense) 53 15 (71.4%)
Profit before tax 933 1,056 13.2%
Tax (381) (434) 13.9%
Net income 552 622 12.7%
€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
Cash & Equivalents 3,142 3,902 24.2%
BancoPosta related Cash 3,161 2,494 (21.1%)
Receivables & Inventory 2,158 2,073 (3.9%)
Financial Assets 160,090 174,362 8.9%
Tangible and Intangible Assets 2,796 2,649 (5.3%)
Other 4,489 5,005 11.5%
Non-current assets and groups of assets held for sale 0 2,720 n.m.
Total Assets 175,836 193,205 9.9%
Trade Payables 1,453 1,506 3.6%
Financial liabilities 57,478 60,921 6.0%
Technical Reserves 100,314 113,678 13.3%
Other 6,933 6,906 (0.4%)
Liabilities related to assets held for sale 0 2,060 n.m.
Total Liabilities 166,178 185,071 11.4%
Shareholders capital 1,306 1,306 -
Reserves 8,352 6,828 (18.2%)
Totale Equity 9,658 8,134 (15.8%)
Total Liabilities & Equity 175,836 193,205 9.9%

GROUP CASH FLOW STATEMENT FY 2016

€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
Net income 552 622 12.7%
Depreciation and amortization 581 581 -
Net provisions for risks and charges 454 563 24.0%
(Use of Provisions for risks and charges) (392) (448) 14.3%
Net change in employee termination benefits and pension plans (65) (81) 24.6%
(Gains) / Losses on disposals 0 3 n.m.
Other (31) 74 n.m.
FFO 1,099 1,314 19.6%
Change in w
orking capital
2,162 40 (98.1%)
Cash flow from operations 3,261 1,354 (58.5%)
Capital expenditures (488) (451) (7.6%)
Net change in subsidiaries and associates (211) (1) (99.5%)
Disposals 5 5 -
Cash flow from investments (694) (447) (35.6%)
Dividend paid (250) (444) 77.6%
Cancellation of MEF receivables (CE 16/07/08) 535 0 n.m.
Cash Flow
from financial assets and liabilities
(1,414) 387 n.m.
Cash flow from financing (1,129) (57) (95.0%)
Net change in cash 1,438 850 (40.9%)
Net change in cash related to assets held for sale 0 (90) n.m.
Total Net change in cash 1,438 760 (47.1%)
€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
Working Capital
Trade receivables 2,346 2,172 (7.4%)
Inventories 134 137 2.2%
Other receivables and assets 3,200 3,671 14.7%
Current tax receivables 72 15 (79.2%)
Trade payables (1,453) (1,506) 3.6%
Other liabilities (2,945) (3,218) 9.3%
Current tax liabilities (53) (88) 66.0%
Working Capital 1,301 1,183 (9.1%)
Deferred tax asset 623 799 28.3%
Deferred tax liabilities (1,177) (746) (36.6%)
Working Capital and deferred taxes 747 1,236 65.5%
Working capital related to net asset held for sale 0 96 n.m.
Net deferred taxes related to net asset held for sale 0 11 n.m.
Working capital and deferred taxes related to net asset held for sale 0 107 n.m.
Working Capital and deferred taxes including net asset held for sale 747 1,343 79.8%
€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
Trade receivables 1,415 174 (87.7%)
Inventories 5 (3) n.m.
Other receivables and assets 286 (471) n.m.
Current tax receivables 587 57 (90.3%)
Trade payables 31 53 71.0%
Other liabilities 287 273 (4.9%)
Current tax liabilities 29 35 20.7%
Deferred tax assets 79 (176) n.m.
Deferred tax liabilities 130 (431) n.m.
Working capital and deferred taxes related to net asset held for sale 0 (107) n.m.
Total Change in Working capital and deferred taxes including net asset held for sale 2,849 (596) n.m.
Financial Income on discounted receivables 16 7 (56.3%)
Net w
rite-dow
ns and loss on receivables
42 (22) n.m.
Deferred tax on fair value changes and TFR actuarial income (210) 645 n.m.
Cancellation of MEF receivables (CE 16/07/08) (535) 6 n.m.
Adjustments (non monetary items and shareholders' transactions) (687) 636 n.m.
Change in Working Capital and deferred taxes as per cash flow statement 2,162 40 (98.1%)

€m

Property, plant and equipment 2,062 Totale Equity 2,758
Investment property 56
Intangible assets 430 Provisions for risks and charges 254
Investments* 1,877 Employee termination benefits and pension plans 1,324
Financial assets 1,102 Financial liabilities 1,246
Trade receivables 4 Deffered tax liabilities 25
Deferred tax assets 422 Other liabilities 68
Other receivables and assets 139
Total Non-current assets 6,092 Total Non-current liabilities 2,917
Inventories 133 Provisions for risks and charges 775
Trade receivables 1,878 Trade payables 1,374
Current tax assets 12 Current tax liabilities 73
Other receivables and assets 368 Other liabilities 1,575
Financial assets 134 Financial liabilities 701
Cash and cash equivalents 1,556
Total Current assets 4,081 Total Current liabilities 4,498
Total Assets 10,173 Totale Equity and Liabilities 10,173

Assets Equity adn Liabilities

Totale Equity 2,758
Provisions for risks and charges 254
Employee termination benefits and pension plans 1,324
Financial liabilities 1,246
Deffered tax liabilities 25
Other liabilities 68
l Total Non-current liabilities 2,917
Provisions for risks and charges 775
Trade payables 1,374
Current tax liabilities 73
Other liabilities 1,575
Financial liabilities 701
Total Current liabilities 4,498
Totale Equity and Liabilities 10.173

* It includes investments accounted for at cost in financial and insurance sectors

MAIL & PARCELS AND OTHER SERVICES NET DEBT BREAKDOWN FY 2016

€m FY 2015** FY 2016 Var.%
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,331 1,577 18.5%
Current Financial Assets 169 63 (62.7%)
Short term debt (515) (2) (99.6%)
Current part of long term debt (16) (14) (12.5%)
Other current financial liabilities (20) (22) 10.0%
Current Financial Position (551) (38) (93.1%)
Current Net Financial Position 949 1,602 68.8%
Long term debt (400) (400) -
Bonds (797) (798) 0.1%
Other non current financial liabilities (57) (50) (12.3%)
Non Current Financial Position (1,254) (1,248) (0.5%)
Net Financial Position (305) 354 n.m.
Non current financial assets 553 651 17.7%
Net Financial Position - Mail & Parcel and Other
Sercvices
248 1,005 n.m.
Intersegment financial receivables 674 522 (22.6%)
Intersegment financial payables (615) (634) 3.1%
Net Financial Position (net of intersegments) * 307 893 n.m.

* Including a Net Financial Position of Other Services (€ 48m in 2016 and € 38m in 2015)

**Poste Tributi previously included in Mail & Parcel sector has been reclassified to Financial services

€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
Total revenue 5,646 5,837 3.4%
o/w
Market revenue
5,155 5,294 2.7%
o/w
Intercompany revenue
491 543 10.7%
Personnel costs (124) (126) 2.0%
Other operating expenses (4,614) (4,896) 6.1%
EBITDA 908 815 (10.3%)
EBITDA margin 16.1% 14.0%
Depreciation and amortisation (2) (1) (21.0%)
EBIT 907 813 (10.4%)
EBIT margin 16.1% 13.9%
€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
Total revenue 21,459 23,773 10.8%
o/w
Market revenue
21,459 23,772 10.8%
o/w
Intercompany revenue
0 1 n.m.
Personnel costs (32) (39) 22.5%
Other operating expenses (20,906) (23,084) 10.4%
EBITDA 521 650 24.8%
EBITDA margin 2.4% 2.7%
Depreciation and amortisation (11) (14) 35.0%
EBIT 510 636 24.7%
EBIT margin 2.4% 2.7%
€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
Total revenue 8,213 8,362 1.8%
o/w
Market revenue
3,882 3,822 (1.5%)
o/w
Intercompany revenue
4,331 4,540 4.8%
Personnel costs (5,974) (6,059) (1.4%)
Other operating expenses (2,277) (2,204) (3.2%)
EBITDA (37) 99 365.4%
EBITDA margin -0.5% 1.2%
Depreciation and amortisation (530) (536) 1.1%
EBIT (568) (436) (23.2%)
EBIT margin -6.9% -5.2%

OTHER SERVICES POSTE MOBILE KEY FINANCIALS

€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
P&L
Total revenue 334 268 (19.7%)
o/w
Market revenue
242 224 (7.7%)
o/w
Intercompany revenue
91 44 (51.7%)
Personnel costs (22) (17) (21.6%)
Other operating expenses (242) (193) (20.5%)
EBITDA 70 58 (16.7%)
EBITDA margin 20.9% 21.7%
Depreciation and amortisation (39) (30) (22.9%)
EBIT 31 28 (8.9%)
EBIT margin 9.3% 10.6%
Non-operating income/(expenses) (1) (1) 10.9%
Profit before taxes 30 27 (9.5%)
Taxes (11) (9) (17.9%)
Profit after taxes 19 18 (4.4%)
€m FY 2015 FY 2016 Var.%
Cash flow statement
FFO 55.5 47.2 (15.0%)
Cash flow
from investments
(28.8) 17.2 159.7%
Net change in cash 1.1 4.8 321.9%
Other key data
Average number of users (sim cards -#k) 3,471 3,643 4.9%
1
ARPU (€)
5.2 4.7 (9.3%)
  1. calculated on total sim cards (active and non active sim cards)

INSURANCE AND ASSET MANAGEMENT EBIT 2015-2016 ROLLFORWARD

FINANCIAL SERVICES COST STRUCTURE AND PROFITABILITY AT DIVISIONAL LEVEL

  1. Includes intersegment revenues

FOCUS ON INSURANCE AND ASSET MANAGEMENT REVENUES BREAKDOWN

INSURANCE AND ASSET MANAGEMENT COST STRUCTURE AND PROFITABILITY AT DIVISIONAL LEVEL

  1. Includes intersegment revenues

FOCUS ON MAIL & PARCELS TOTAL REVENUES AND COST STRUCTURE

Depreciation & Amortization Intersegment Costs & Other Costs

SEGMENT FLOW DESCRIPTION FY 2016

(€m)

Mail & Parcels
Including
Network
Financial Services Insurance and
Asset Management
Poste Italiane
Group2
Market Revenues 3,822 5,294 23,772 33,112
Intersegment Revenues 4,540 543 1 0
Totale Revenues 8,362 5,837 23,773 33,112
Personnel Costs (6,059) (126) (39) (6,241)
Other operating costs1 (2,655) (392) (623) (3,873)
Net change in Technical Provisions 0 0 (21,958) (21,958)
Intersegment Costs (85) (4,506) (517) 0
Operating Costs 8,798 (5,024) (23,137) 32,071
Operating Profit (Loss) (436) 813 636 1,041
  1. Including external costs, and D&A

  2. Including Other Services (Poste Mobile)

DISCLAIMER

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Poste Italiane S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane S.p.A., Luciano Loiodice, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results, books and accounting records.

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