Earnings Release • Mar 16, 2017
Earnings Release
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The like for like change of written premiums, life net inflows, APE and NBV is on equivalent terms (on equivalent exchange rates and consolidation area).
III. Backup Page 43
I. Business Overview
Philippe Donnet – Group CEO page 4
3
Highest operating result ever
Strong cash generation and capital position supports 11% increase in dividends
Best in class performance and improving everywhere
Strong team in place, successfully accelerating the implementation of our plan
OPERATING RESULT (Euro m)
10 YEAR GERMAN GOVT. BUND YIELD (%, Average through year)
EQUITY MARKET DEVELOPMENT
(% change from beginning of year)
KEY MID-TERM FINANCIAL TARGETS 2015-2018
> € 7 bn of cumulative Net Operating Cash (2015-2018) DELIVERY TO DATE 2015-2016
€ 3.5 bn
Delivered cumulatively as at end 2016
of cumulative dividends (2015-2018)
Delivered cumulatively as at end 2016
> 13% of Operating RoE on average (2015-2018)
delivered on average by end 2016
(1) Life Admin Ratio = Administrative costs / (Operating Result + Administrative costs)
(1) New business / portfolio guarantee and reserve mix targets by end 2018. Customer retention and brand preference targets by end 2019
(1) On average of new business premium. (2) Weighted average covering 23 BUs
© Generali March 16, 2017 Results 2016
Uniquely positioned in Europe
Strong proprietary distribution
Excellent technical and operational capabilities
Momentum on innovation
Highest operating result ever
Strong cash generation and capital position supports 11% increase in dividends
Best in class performance and improving everywhere
Strong team in place, successfully accelerating the implementation of our plan
Profit & Loss and Balance Sheet page 16 Business review page 27
| FY15 | FY16 | D (LFL(1)) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VOLUMES | |||
| Gross Written Premiums (Euro m) |
74,165 | 70,513 | -3.9% |
| Life | 53,297 | 49,730 | -6.3% |
| P&C | 20,868 | 20,783 | +2.1% |
| Life Net Inflows | 14,920 | 12,049 | -18.5% |
| PROFITABILITY | |||
| Operating result (Euro m) | 4,785 | 4,830 | +0.9% |
| Operating RoE | 14.0% | 13.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Net result (Euro m) | 2,030 | 2,081 | +2.5% |
| New Business Margin | 21.0% | 25.9% | +4.8%pts |
| Combined Ratio | 93.1% | 92.5% | -0.7%pts |
| CASH & DIVIDENDS | |||
| Net operating cash generation (Parent view, Euro m) |
1,657 | 1,877 | +13.3% |
| Dividend per share (Euro) | 0.72 | 0.80 | +11% |
| CAPITAL | |||
| Shareholders' equity | 23,565 | 24,545 | +4.2% |
| Solvency II ratio (regulatory view) (%) | 171% | 177% | +6%pts |
| Solvency II ratio (internal model view) (%) | 202% | 194% | -8%pts |
| March 16, 2017 | Results 2016 |
(1) Constant perimeter and exchange rates
VOLUMES
NET RESULT increases reflecting the higher operating performance
NET OPERATING CASH GENERATION significantly higher, due to improved remittances from the operating companies to the parent
CASH & DIVIDENDS
SOLVENCY II RATIO: Regulatory Solvency II ratio improves, reflecting the successful application to bring the French Life business within the scope of the Internal model. The gap between this and the internal model view consequently significantly narrows, from 31p.p. to 17p.p
| (Euro m) | Including: (€ 62 m): Banca Generali (€ (€ |
57 m): Other Businesses (lower gains) 30 m): Higher Operating Holding Expenses |
+0.9% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,785 | 162 | 58 | (150) | (25) | 4,830 |
| FY15 | Life | P&C | Holding & Other businesses | Cons. Adj | FY16 |
| FY 16 | 3,127 | 2,044 | (91) | (251) | 4,830 |
| FY 15 | 2,965 | 1,987 | 59 | (226) | 4,785 |
| D | +5.5% | +2.9% | n.m. | +11.1% | +0.9% |
(Euro m)
(1) Net Operating Result = Operating profit by country, after deduction of taxes at normal national rates, and minority interest.
(2) Excluding parent company reinsurance result
(3) The amounts indicate the remittance towards dividend payments expected from each country. Occasionally, for capital management purposes, liquidity may be upstreamed by other means, such as loan repayments
© Generali March 16, 2017 Results 2016
Dividends paid by subsidiaries 2,019
Result of reinsurance (1) 336
| Interest & holding expenses (1) | (698) | (730) |
|---|---|---|
| Net Operating Cash generation | 1,657 | 1,877 |
| Group dividend paid / proposed | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Coverage ratio |
1.5x | 1.5x |
2016
2,435
171
(1) Operating results, net of normalised taxes and minorities
2015
CFO – Solvency 2
(Euro bn)
23
Strong development, driven by organic capital generation
(1) Eligible Own Funds in excess of Solvency Capital Requirement (full internal model view)
24
Tiering of Solvency II Capital (FY16)
| Generali Regulatory view |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Euro bn | % of total | ||
| Tier 1 | 35.6 | 86% | |
| Unrestricted Tier 1 |
31.8 | 77% | |
| Restricted Tier 1 (Hybrid) |
3.7 | 9% | |
| Tier 2 | 5.4 | 13% | |
| Tier 3 | 0.2 | 0% | |
| Total Own Funds | 41.2 | 100% | |
Regulatory SCR covered 1.4x by Unrestricted Tier 1
| Solvency II limits |
FY16 Generali Regulatory view |
|
|---|---|---|
| Restricted Tier 1 | < 20% of total Tier 1 |
9% of total Tier 1 |
| Tier 2 + Tier 3 |
< 50% of SCR |
24% of SCR |
| Tier 3 | < 15% of SCR |
1% of SCR |
Quality of capital far in excess of Solvency II requirements: Euro ~10bn of headroom against maximum limits
Profit & Loss and Balance Sheet page 16
Business review page 27
OpEX Cost development – full perimeter (Euro bn)
OpEX Cost development – Mature markets (1) (Euro bn)
(1) Including Head Office; Like for Like view
(2) Original expectation as per November 2016 investor day was 5.3bn mature market OpEx in 2019. Now targeting achievement in 2018. Assuming constant currencies and perimeter.
28
| (Euro m) | FY15 | FY16 | LFL D |
|---|---|---|---|
| VOLUMES | |||
| Gross written premiums | 53,297 | 49,730 | -6.3% |
| Net inflows | 14,920 | 12,049 | -18.5% |
| APE | 5,210 | 4,847 | -6.6% |
| PROFITABILITY | |||
| Life operating result | 2,965 | 3,127 | +5.5% |
| Life operating ratio on investments (bps) | 74 | 74 | - |
| New Business Value |
1,097 | 1,256 | +14.6% |
| Margin on APE (%) | 21.0% | 25.9% | +4.8%pts |
(Euro m)
| FY 16 | 6,027 | 2,085 | (4,985) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY 15 | 5,909 | 2,260 | (5,204) |
| D % | +2.0% | -7.7% | -4.2% |
The improving technical margin and expense result more than offset the in investment result, which declines as a consequence of lower realized gains (down from the exceptionally high levels of FY15) and higher impairments
(Euro m)
| FY15 | FY16 | |
|---|---|---|
| Italy | 7,646 | 7,197 |
| France | 1,147 | 438 |
| Germany | 2,997 | 1,560 |
| CEE | 589 | 501 |
| EMEA | 1,444 | 920 |
| Americas | 142 | 114 |
| Asia | 924 | 1,256 |
| International | 31 | 62 |
| TOTAL | 14,920 | 12,049 |
(1) Including liabilities related to investment contracts
+4.5%
| APE | NBV | MARGIN ON APE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Euro m) | FY15 | FY16 | LFL D | FY15 | FY16 | LFL D | FY15 | FY16 | LFL D |
| Italy | 2,322 | 2,129 | -8.3% | 589 | 579 | -1.8% | 25.4% | 27.2% | +1.8%pts |
| France | 944 | 939 | -0.4% | 62 | 90 | +37.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | +2.6%pts |
| Germany | 826 | 708 | -14.2% | 191 | 275 | +44.3% | 23.1% | 38.8% | +15.7%pts |
| CEE | 165 | 136 | -16.8% | 39 | 47 | +21.2% | 23.7% | 34.8% | +10.9%pts |
| EMEA | 645 | 544 | -15.4% | 174 | 212 | +23.3% | 27.0% | 39.0% | +12.3%pts |
| Americas & Asia | 308 | 391 | 32.8% | 42 | 53 | +33.2% | 13.5% | 13.5% | +0.0%pts |
| TOTAL | 5,210 | 4,847 | -6.6% | 1,097 | 1,256 | +14.6% | 21.0% | 25.9% | +4.8%pts |
(1) Starting from 2016 the New Business methodology has been aligned with Solvency II framework in terms of Reference Rate and Required Capital. This change has a positive impact on NBM (+0.6%).
| Euro m | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed income | FY15 | 9,877 | 3.4 |
| FY16 | 9,801 | 3.2 | |
| Equity | FY15 | 416 | 3.0 |
| FY16 | 520 | 3.9 | |
| Real Estate(1) | FY15 | 526 | 5.5 |
| FY16 | 543 | 5.7 | |
| Total(1) | FY15 | 11,112 | 3.4 |
| FY16 | 11,186 | 3.2 |
(1) Net of depreciation expenses
| (Euro m) | FY15 | FY16 | LFL D |
|---|---|---|---|
| VOLUMES | |||
| Gross written premiums, of which: | 20,868 | 20,783 | +2.1% |
| Primary Motor | 8,129 | 8,023 | +4.3% |
| Primary Non Motor | 12,009 | 12,009 | +0.5% |
| PROFITABILITY | |||
| Combined ratio (%) |
93.1% | 92.5% | -0.7%pts |
| Nat Cat impact (%) | 1.6% | 1.5% | -0.1%pts |
| P&C operating result | 1,987 | 2,044 | +2.9% |
| March 16, 2017 © Generali |
Results 2016 |
(Euro m)
| FY 16 | 1,396 | 945 | (297) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY 15 | 1,213 | 1,015 | (242) |
| D % | +15.0% | -6.9% | +22.8% |
| (Euro m) | FY15 | FY16 | LFL (1) | Of which: Primary Motor(2) LFL |
Of which: Primary Non-Motor(2) LFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 5,947 | 5,701 | -4.1% | -5.2% | -3.6% |
| France | 2,538 | 2,514 | -0.9% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| Germany | 3,608 | 3,651 | +1.2% | +2.3% | +0.6% |
| CEE | 1,976 | 2,041 | +3.8% | +7.1% | +0.4% |
| EMEA | 4,410 | 4,539 | +3.4% | +4.8% | +3.2% |
| Americas | 1,156 | 971 | +27.1% | +33.7% | +6.2% |
| Asia | 128 | 198 | +54.6% | +31.3% | +15.5% |
| International | 1,106 | 1,168 | +5.6% | n.m. | +8.6% |
| Total | 20,868 | 20,783 | +2.1% | +4.3% | +0.5% |
(1) Constant perimeter and exchange rates
(2) Direct premiums only – excluding reinsurance accepted
(%)
| FY15 | FY16 | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 89.1% | 89.9% | +0.9%pts |
| France | 100.2% | 99.4% | -0.8%pts |
| Germany | 92.4% | 90.0% | -2.5%pts |
| CEE | 90.1% | 89.5% | -0.6%pts |
| EMEA | 95.2% | 93.3% | -1.9%pts |
| Americas | 106.1% | 102.7% | -3.5%pts |
| Asia | 94.4% | 100.5% | +6.1%pts |
| International Operations |
85.9% | 90.0% | +4.2%pts |
| Total | 93.1% | 92.5% | -0.7%pts |
(Euro m)
| FY15 | FY16 | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial | 434 | 370 | -14.7% |
| of which Banca Generali(1) | 252 | 190 | -24.5% |
| Operating holding expenses | (429) | (459) | +7.0% |
| Other businesses(2) | 55 | (2) | n.m. |
| Total | 59 | (91) | n.m. |
(1) Banca Generali's operating contribution as per Generali's view
(2) Including pure financial holdings, international service activities and any other non-core businesses
Highest operating result ever
Strong cash generation and capital position supports 11% increase in dividends
Best in class performance and improving everywhere
Strong team in place, successfully accelerating the implementation of our plan
| • | Cost | |
|---|---|---|
| Investments | 46 page |
|
| Financial debt | 53 page |
|
| Life EV | 56 page |
|
| Solvency 2 | 59 page |
Reconciliation of general expenses from IFRS view to OpEx view (Euro bn)
| Cost | 44 page |
|
|---|---|---|
| • | Investments | 46 page |
| Financial debt | 53 page |
|
| Life EV | 56 page |
|
| Solvency 2 | 59 page |
(1) Rating changes in comparison with previous period reflect net sales as well as market movements; moreover further variations in some rating classes – mainly AAA - are due to a changed methodology in the rating attribution process, which foresees the use of internal rating when lower than the external one.
(2) Italian government bond exposure is 78% of BBB
(3) Duration gap = duration of fixed income assets – duration of liabilities x (Best estimate liabilities/Market Value of fixed income assets)
50.0 13.1 20.1 7.8 9.0 Other fixed Income Covered Corporate non fin. Corporate fin. Government Total Portfolio Euro 349 bn (%)
| Reinvestment yield |
FY15 | FY16 |
|---|---|---|
| Life | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| P&C | 2.1% | 1.4% |
3
| Market value at 31.12.2016 (Euro m) |
LIFE | P&C | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senior | 1,574 | 370 | 1,943 |
| Lower Tier 2 | 1,111 | 141 | 1,251 |
| Upper Tier 2 | 130 | 3 | 133 |
| Tier 1 | 300 | 5 | 305 |
| Other Subordinated | 27 | 2 | 29 |
| Equity | 141 | 397 | 537 |
| Total | 3,282 | 918 | 4,199 |
49 6 45 Alternative funds: Euro 5 bn (%) Equity funds: Euro 4 bn (%)
Life P&C H&O
Life P&C H&O
| Cost | 44 page |
|
|---|---|---|
| Investments | 46 page |
|
| • | Financial debt | 53 page |
| Life EV | 56 page |
|
| Solvency 2 | 59 page |
(1) The amount of financial debt as of 2015 December, 31, includes the subordinated bond issued in October 2015, for a nominal amount of Euro 1.25 bn, to refinance 2016 callable hybrid bonds
(2) The amount of financial debt as of 2016 December, 31, includes the subordinated bond issued in June 2016, for a nominal amount of Euro 850 m, to refinance 2017 callable hybrid bond
Senior Hybrid Subordinated
| Cost | 44 page |
|
|---|---|---|
| Investments | 46 page |
|
| Financial debt | 53 page |
|
| • | Life EV | 56 page |
| Solvency 2 | 59 page |
(Euro m)
| Adjusted embedded value FY15 | 30,154 | 4.1% | RoEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Embedded value earnings | 1,239 | ||
| Normalised Operating EV earnings(3) | 3,867 | 12.8% | Normalised Operating RoEV |
(1) Calculated with methodology and assumptions compliant with "Market Consistent Embedded Value Principles" as defined by CFO Forum
(2) " Other variance " includes model changes, extraordinary expenses and residual variance
(3) "Normalised Operating EV earnings" defined as NBV + Expected contribution + Operating variance
(4) Contract Boundaries
| • | Solvency 2 | 59 page |
|---|---|---|
| Life EV | 56 page |
|
| Financial debt | 53 page |
|
| Investments | 46 page |
|
| Cost | 44 page |
(FY16, Euro bn, Internal model view)
Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements.
These expectations are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
The user of such information should recognise that actual results, performance or events may differ materially from such expectations because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond our control including, among other things, general economic and sector conditions.
Neither Assicurazioni Generali SpA nor any of its affiliates, directors, officers employees or agents owe any duty of care towards any user of the information provided herein nor any obligation to update any forward-looking information contained in this document.
The manager charged with preparing the company's financial reports, Luigi Lubelli, declares, pursuant to paragraph 2 of article 154-bis of the Consolidated Law on Financial Intermediation, that the accounting information contained in this presentation corresponds to document results, books and accounts records.
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Spencer Horgan Head of Investor & Rating Agency Relations [email protected] +44 20 7265 6480
Investor Relations [email protected] +39 040 671202
Credit & Rating Agency Relations [email protected] +39 040 671347
Investor Relations [email protected] +39 040 671823
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Marta Porczynska
Event Coordinator [email protected] +39 040 671402
Anna Jagiello Event Coordinator [email protected] +39 040 671571
P.za Duca degli Abruzzi 2 34132 Trieste, Italy
Fax: +39 040 671338 e-mail: [email protected]
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