Earnings Release • Mar 16, 2017
Earnings Release
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
Mauro Moretti CEO & General Manager Gian Piero Cutillo Chief Financial Officer
London, 16 March 2017
2013 – 2016 KEY ACHIEVEMENTS
(CEO and General Manager)
2016 RESULTS AND OUTLOOK (CFO)
2017-2021 INDUSTRIAL PLAN: DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH (CEO and General Manager)
Key achievements 2013-2016
So this is what I told you we would do in January 2015…
More balanced and flexible Capital Structure to support DEVELOPMENT
… and this is what we delivered 2016 vs. 2013
EBITA (€M) - EBITA%
*Space sector consolidated under the Equity Method
*Space sector consolidated under the Equity Method
(CEO and General Manager)
2016 RESULTS AND OUTLOOK (CFO)
2017-2021 INDUSTRIAL PLAN: DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH
(CEO and General Manager)
All the Sectors with book-to-bill above 1
Lower YoY due to change in perimeter, shortfall in Helicopters and forex
EBITDA improving trend continues, margin 150bp higher YoY
EBITDA per capita +50% vs 2013, at 40k
All Sectors above 10% RoS
Target exceeded and further optimisation to come
Additional 7% reduction achieved in 2016 vs 2015
Further optimisation expected in 2017-2021 thanks to the full implementation of the "One Company"
More than doubled on lower below the line and net financial expenses
Target exceeded on investments and on track to deliver Working Capital reduction
20% reduction target and already 1x self-financing index target achieved in 2015.
Self-financing index (Depreciation / Net Investments)
Financial position and Credit Rating (as of end of December 2016)
| As of today | Before last review | Date of review | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moody's | Ba1 / Stable Outlook |
Ba1 / Negative Outlook | August 2015 |
| S&P | BB+ / Stable Outlook | BB+ / Negative Outlook | April 2015 |
| Fitch | BB+ / Positive Outlook | BB+ / Stable Outlook | October 2016 |
| FY2016A | FY2017E* | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New orders | € bn |
20.0 | 12.0 – 12.5 |
| Revenues | € bn |
12.0 | ca. 12.0 |
| EBITA | €mln | 1,252 | 1,250 – 1,300 |
| FOCF | €mln | 706 | 500 – 600 |
| Group Net Debt |
€ bn |
2.8 | ca. 2.5 |
(CEO and General Manager)
2016 RESULTS AND OUTLOOK (CFO)
2017-2021 INDUSTRIAL PLAN: DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH (CEO and General Manager)
2017 – 2021 Industrial Plan
Financial flexibility
A supportive market environment
Fastest growth in new markets (i.e. China, India, Middle East)
Specific opportunities
Robust Order Book
Eurofighter Kuwait B787
Strong Foundations Capital strenght to invest
Four Growth Pillars
To be leveraged from phase 1; more opportunities in phase 2
SUPPLY CHAIN PROCUREMENT
Productivity and efficiency programs Reduce off-load on core activities Internalisation and training plan
Industrial efficiency implementation Reduce controllable costs of establishment, overhead and hourly rates Exploit synergies between sites
Further opportunities
Centers of excellence
EBITA from €878mln to €1,252mln +43%
RoS to 11% by mid-term of the plan
At the heart of our growth agenda
Opportunities in Existing Programmes
Leader in trainers, also leveraging on new business models (i.e. Service)
Opportunities in Existing Programmes
European leader with enhanced capacity of international penetration
Strengthen positioning by managing effectively the value chain
Underpinned By Key Innovations Across Our Divisions
MAIN MEDIUM-LONG TERM DRIVERS
Battlefield of Things Manned-Unmanned
Integration
Advanced platforms with networked capabilities
Directed Energy Weapons
Nano Devices Cyber Security
NEW HUMAN MACHINE INTERACTIONS
Wearable Technologies Human Machine Interfaces Augmented Reality
Core business growth Complimented by acquisitions
HELICOPTERS
Acquiring full control of "Sistemi Dinamici" to further strengthening the unmanned business
Increase stake in Avio from 14% to about 28%, aimed at boosting the space launchers sector
DEFENCE ELECTRONICS AND CYBER
Acquisition of the US company Daylight Solutions, leader in Quantum Cascade Lasers sector, aimed at reinforcing the opto-electronics segment of Leonardo DRS
Development & Growth
Helicopters
| 4Q | FY | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € Mln |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
|
| Orders | 2,199 | 1,029 | 113.7% | 3,737 | 3,910 | (4.4%) | |
| Revenues | 1,074 | 1,267 | (15.2%) | 3,639 | 4,479 | (18.8%) | |
| EBITA | 145 | 177 | (18.1%) | 430 | 558 | (22.9%) | |
| ROS % | 13.5% | 14.0% | (0.5) p.p. | 11.8% | 12.5% | (0.7) p.p. |
Electronics, Defence & Security Systems*
| 4Q | FY | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € Mln |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
|
| Orders | 2,487 | 3,174 | (21.6%) | 6,726 | 6,974 | (3.6%) | |
| Revenues | 1,901 | 1,865 | 1.9% | 5,468 | 5,656 | (3.3%) | |
| EBITA | 289 | 258 | 12.0% | 558 | 512 | 9.0% | |
| ROS % | 15.2% | 13.8% | 1.4 p.p. | 10.2% | 9.1% | 1.1 p.p. |
| 4Q | FY | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$ Mln | 2016 | 2015 | % Change |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
| Orders | 439 | 483 | (9.1%) | 1,923 | 2,022 | (4.9%) |
| Revenues | 583 | 508 | 14.8% | 1,753 | 1,805 | (2.9%) |
| EBITA | 65 | 33 | 97.0% | 128 | 126 | 1.6% |
| ROS % | 11.1% | 6.5% | 4.6 p.p. | 7.3% | 7.0% | 0.3 p.p. |
Aeronautics
| 4Q | FY | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € Mln |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
| Orders | 368 | 482 | (23.7%) | 10,158 | 1,741 | 483.5% |
| Revenues | 1,070 | 978 | 9.4% | 3,130 | 3,118 | 0.4% |
| EBITA | 149 | 149 | 0.0% | 347 | 312 | 11.2% |
| ROS % | 13.9% | 15.2% | (1.3) p.p. | 11.1% | 10.0% | 1.1 p.p. |
FY2016 Sector results Space
| 4Q | FY | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € Mln |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
| EBITA | 34 | 10 | 240.0% | 77 | 37 | 108.1% |
Group Performance
| 4Q | FY | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € Mln |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
2016 | 2015 | % Change |
| New Orders | 4,447 | 4,580 | (2.9%) | 19,951 | 12,371 | 61.3% |
| Backlog | 34,798 | 28,793 | 20.9% | |||
| Revenues | 3,968 | 3,994 | (0.7%) | 12,002 | 12,995 | -7.6% |
| EBITDA | 714 | 692 | 3.2% | 1,907 | 1,866 | 2.2% |
| EBITDA Margin | 18.0% | 17.3% | 0.7 p.p. | 15.9% | 14.4% | 1.5 p.p. |
| EBITA | 506 | 463 | 9.3% | 1,252 | 1,208 | 3.6% |
| ROS % | 12.8% | 11.6% | 1.2 p.p. | 10.4% | 9.3% | 1.1 p.p. |
| EBIT | 351 | 285 | 23.2% | 982 | 884 | 11.1% |
| EBIT Margin | 8.8% | 7.1% | 1.7 p.p. | 8.2% | 6.8% | 1.4 p.p. |
| Net result before extraordinary transactions |
202 | 103 | 96.1% | 545 | 253 | 115.4% |
| Group Net result | 153 | 365 | (58.1%) | 505 | 487 | 3.7% |
| EPS (€ cents) |
0.267 | 0.632 | (57.8%) | 0.879 | 0.843 | 4.3% |
| FOCF | 1,094 | 1,242 | (11.9%) | 706 | 307 | 130.0% |
| Group Net Debt | 2,845 | 3,278 | (13.2%) | |||
| Headcount | 45,631 | 47,156 | (3.2%) |
Free Operating Cash-Flow (FOCF): this is the sum of the cash flows generated by (used in) operating activities (which includes interests and income 41 taxes paid) and the cash flows generated by (used in) ordinary investment activity (property, plant and equipment and intangible assets) and dividends received.
Development costs capitalised as intangible assets at 31 december 2016
| €mln | Self Funded National Security |
Self Funded Other |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan 2016 Opening Balance | 1,437 | 520 | 1,957 |
| Gross R&D capitalised | 160 | 44 | 204 |
| Depreciation and write offs |
-126 | -65 | -191 |
| Disposals | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net R&D capitalised |
34 | -21 | 13 |
| Reclassifications and exchange differences |
1 | -9 | -8 |
| 31 Dec 2016 |
1,472 | 490 | 1,962 |
Availability of
adequate
committed
liquidity lines
Liquidity Position (as of end December 2016)
In order to cope with possible swings in financing needs, Leonardo can leverage
(1) Based on rating as of 31/12/2016
(2) Average. Expected to be renewed at maturity
Acquisition of Daylight Solutions
Domestic defence budgets - Italy continues to decline
Source: IHS Janes - Jan. 2017
Source: Leonardo DRS estimates
Market environment European Defence Action Plan
47
Launch of these initiatives makes the future and choices increasingly dependent on the international context and the European co-operation
What if all the NATO countries reach the 2% GDP target?
€ Mln
| NATO countries | Total 2016 Budget | Δ "NATO 2% Target" | Total | Δ % | Among the largest EU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 43,864 | 11,316 | 55,180 | 25.8% | conuntries Italy |
| Germany | 39,743 | 33,980 | 73,723 | 85.5% | has the largest gap with the 2% |
| Netherlands | 8,952 | 8,342 | 17,294 | 93.2% | GDP target |
| Turkey | 11,935 | 6,032 | 17,967 | 50.5% | |
| Italy | 18,271 | 22,723 | 40,994 | 124.4% | |
| Spain | 10,816 | 17,582 | 28,398 | 162.6% | |
| Belgium | 4,206 | 5,918 | 10,124 | 140.7% | |
| Czech Republic | 1,809 | 2,620 | 4,429 | 144.8% | |
| Denmark | 3,535 | 3,045 | 6,580 | 86.1% | |
| USA | 664,058 | 664,058 | | ||
| UK | 59,699 | 59,699 | | ||
| Poland | 10,496 | 10,496 | | ||
| Greece | 4,773 | 4,773 | | ||
| Estonia | 467 | 467 | |
Source: Leonardo estimates based on NATO Budget, 2016
Reaching the 2% GDP in Italy would positively and materially impact Leonardo military revenues, not only by preserving the national industrial base but also by supporting potential export opportunities
A&D market dimension and sector evolution
| CAGR % 2016-2021 |
CAGR % 2021-2025 |
Segment | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elicotteri civili CIVIL HELICOPTERS |
4,9 | 3,0 | reduction mainly due to US market, with limited effects |
| Elicotteri militari MILITARY HELICOPTERS |
-6.8 | -3.4 | on Leonardo |
| Spazio SPACE |
2.4 | 4.3 | |
| Sicurezza SECURITY |
6.13 | 0 (*) | |
| DEFENCE ELECTRONICS AND Sistemi ed Elettronica SYSTEMS (**) per la Difesa |
4.6 | 0.7 | |
| Aeronautica militare MILITARY AERONAUTICS (***) |
10.7 | 5.0 | (*) Scarce visibility from 2021 onwards |
| Aeronautica civile | 3.3 | 0.9 | () Including missile systems (*) Including military UAS systems |
Source: Leonardo estimates/ IHS Jane's, 2016
| Helicopters | average annual value of ca. € 19 bn (ca. € 30 bn, including logistics and after-sales services), confirmed growth in civil / commercial and a reduction in military due to the completion of ongoing programs (mainly in US) and the lack of new programs in the given period |
|---|---|
| Space | average annual value of ca. € 100 bn, growing, with demand driven by Institutional, supported by missions for Earth observation, communications and navigation, and increasingly oriented towards end-to-end solutions including 'service'. Expected growth forecasts in satellites constellations in LEO orbit and small /medium-sized satellites (500 to 2,000 kg) for TLC |
| Security and IT Systems |
average annual value of ca. € 100 bn, with demand mainly driven by 'Security' (70% of the total), which benefits from border protection needs, also to monitor key areas and respond to emergencies (i.e. natural disasters, illegal immigration) |
| Defence Electronics and Systems |
average annual value of ca. € 127 bn. Defence Electronics is characterized by the increasing demand for (i) integrated and interoperable solutions for C4ISR modernization, and (ii) TBM (Tactical Ballistic Missile) solutions ; Defence Systems show a steady growth in tracked vehicles and MBT tied to new operating requirements, as well as moderate growth for underwater systems |
| Aeronautics / UAS |
average annual value of € 222 bn (**). Aeronautics: Civil, wide body and single aisle, retains considerable volumes (over 70% of the market), despite reduction in wide-body production rates (A380, B777, B747); volume of new orders is expected to decrease due to the completion of the demand "peak" . Growth in Military is linked to major programs 49 deliveries (EFA, F-35, Rafale, Gripen, A-400M, etc.) UAS – Military Appl: highly dynamic segment driven by ISR applications, with UCAV systems that will enter into service after 2025, and growing opportunities for rotorcraft systems. Civil Appl. Significantly growing, influenced by progress in flight safety issues, certification and regulation |
NOTE: Some of the statements included in this document are not historical facts but rather statements of future expectations, also related to future economic and financial performance, to be considered forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on Company's views and assumptions as of the date of the statements and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Given these uncertainties, you should not rely on forward-looking statements.
The following factors could affect our forward-looking statements: the ability to obtain or the timing of obtaining future government awards; the availability of government funding and customer requirements both domestically and internationally; changes in government or customer priorities due to programme reviews or revisions to strategic objectives (including changes in priorities to respond to terrorist threats or to improve homeland security); difficulties in developing and producing operationally advanced technology systems; the competitive environment; economic business and political conditions domestically and internationally; programme performance and the timing of contract payments; the timing and customer acceptance of product deliveries and launches; our ability to achieve or realise savings for our customers or ourselves through our global cost-cutting programme and other financial management programmes; and the outcome of contingencies (including completion of any acquisitions and divestitures, litigation and environmental remediation efforts).
These are only some of the numerous factors that may affect the forward-looking statements contained in this document.
The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update forward-looking statements as a result of new information since these statements may no longer be accurate or timely.
Investor Relations & Sustainable Responsible Investors (SRI)
[email protected] www.leonardocompany.com/investors
Head of Investor Relations & SRI +39 06 32473.066 [email protected]
Equity Analysts & Investors +39 06 32473.697 [email protected]
Fixed Income Analysts & Investors and relationship with Credit Rating Agencies +39 06 32473.337 [email protected]
Group Sustainability & ESG +39 06 32473.666 [email protected]
51 We do business in a sustainable manner, with a continued commitment to economic and social development and the protection of public health and the environment.
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.