Earnings Release • Jan 30, 2018
Earnings Release
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Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Introduction Raffaella Luglini, EVP External Relations, Communication, Italian Institutional Affairs, Investor Relations and Sustainability
Alessandro Profumo, CEO
Gian Piero Cutillo, MD Helicopters Division
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Lorenzo Mariani, CCO Alessandra Genco, CFO Alessandro Profumo, CEO Alessandro Profumo, CEO
Alessandro Profumo Chief Executive Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Took the right steps in weak markets…
STRONG ACTIONS ON COSTS
…hard for the business…but necessary
Created two perspectives for today…
Addressing the short-term to move forward with our long-term discussion
| Lower profitability on young products |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Some extra costs & delays |
||||
| Customer claims |
||||
| FY17E | FY17E | |||
| Revenues |
EBITA |
|||
Helicopters remains a strong and high quality business
Civil market share…
Strong profitability in Helicopters FY17e
We are entering a new phase: back to growth
trends%¹
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
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We cannot cut our way to sustainable growth…
Digitalisation
Investing in an extended representative offices network 2018-2022
Strict cost control delivered through clear actions
Doing the right things for the long-term: Sustainable profitable growth…
Return to top-line growth
Strict cost control, reinvested in growth Sustainable improvement in profitability
Focus on cash and a stronger capital structure
2018-2022 cumulated orders
Annualised savings identified
C.€200mln
5%-6% C.80%
5 yr. Revenue CAGR
Reinvested in competitiveness & capability
ROS by 2020
8%-10%
Avg. 2015-2018 CF Conversion; Accelerating FOCF from 2020
Investment grade
5yr EBITA CAGR
Credit rating
13
…2018 planting the seeds for growth
We are confident about the opportunity for Leonardo
We are going to set this business up to win
A sustainable financial strategy
Now it's time to execute
Gian Piero Cutillo MD Helicopters Division
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
We have a high quality Helicopters business with the right product strategy We are clear why we didn't perform in 2017 and we have taken action We have a great opportunity in the right areas of an improving market We are executing a plan to deliver a return to sustainable growth
The answers in two very different business/markets
Strong External Factors in the Civil Market
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Source: Internal analysis on Leonardo Helicopters reference civil market; Economic Condition 2017; third parties analysis
Leonardo 3–10 tonnes classes revenues have grown between 2012 and 2017 – taking share, but mix impacted profitability
Source: Internal analysis on Leonardo Helicopters reference civil market; Economic Condition 2017; third parties analysis
Lack of Discipline and Agility in our industrial response
Lower revenues due to
Reduced contribution from military programs in 2017
Lower profitability due to
…and we have taken action
Discipline in the governance
Well positioned in the right areas of Civil
24
Source: Internal analysis on Leonardo Helicopters reference civil market; Economic Condition 2017; third parties analysis
Catching non linear opportunities
25
Source: Internal analysis on Leonardo Helicopters reference civil market; Economic Condition 2017; third parties analysis
Key pillars for sustainable growth
Focus on Technology & Innovation Leadership
Consolidate innovation leadership and technological excellence by developing, maintaining and expanding state-ofthe-art and front-end product development & innovation capabilities across the entire Product Portfolio
Focus On Execution Excellence: Improvement Program
Continuous improvement program to deliver execution excellence and improve product market attractiveness, lower operating costs and cash generation
29
Well balanced growth across the three key segments of Civil, Military and Customer Support & Training
We have a high quality Helicopters business with the right product strategy We are clear why we didn't perform in 2017 and we have taken action We have a great opportunity in the right areas of an improving market We are executing a plan to deliver a return to sustainable growth
Alessandro Profumo Chief Executive Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Improving markets provide a strong backdrop for our future growth
More than just helicopters– strong portfolio focused on 3 core business
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We are setting up this business to win
Strong fundamental growth drivers
New US Defence and international policy
About 3% CAGR of Procurement + RDT&A in 2017-2022
Our core categories are all expected to grow
TOTAL A&D MARKET- EVOLUTION BY BUSINESS - € bn
34
Key opportunities in Space
Focus on Defence Budgets - Worldwide
Sources: IHS Jane's Nov2017 and Leonardo estimates; Exchange rate \$/€= 0,90372; IHS Janes - Nov. 2017 RID 7/17
Our domestic markets remain stable… with some opportunities
Substantially flat Defence Budget
Procurement continue to receive a limited amount
Confirmation of the Security initiatives outlined in the SDSR and funding
Increasing trend in US Defence Spending more than 3% of National GDP
Procurement expected to grow
Boosted Cyber Security funds (Cyberspace included)
Some funds allocated to Foreign Military Financing
36
Sources: IHS Jane's Nov2017 and Leonardo estimates; Exchange rate £/€= 1.22448; IHS Janes - Nov. 2017 RID 7/17
Potential opportunities from European spending and 2% GDP NATO countries target
Source: Leonardo elaboration on Budget NATO estimate, 2017
…Strong portfolio focused on 3 core divisions
| Helicopters | Defence and Electronics |
Aeronautics |
|---|---|---|
| 30% of 2016 Revenue | 45% of 2016 Revenue | 25% of 2016 Revenue |
European leader in Electronics, Defence and Security Systems
Leader in Military Defence Electronics
Exposure to the Biggest Defence Market (US) through DRS
Key programmes and technologies to sustain Aeronautics in the long term
| International Cooperation Programmes |
|---|
| Eurofighter Typhoon |
| F-35 Lightning II |
| Able to provide complete solutions in Military Training Syllabus |
| Trainer Aircraft (M-345 HET, M-346) |
| Ground Based Training System (GBTS) for pilots and ground crew |
| UAVs Evolution (UCAV) |
| Tactical Transport Aircraft & Special Mission |
| C27-J |
| Cutting Edge Technologies in structural components (i.e. B787) |
| Regional Transport Aircraft (ATR) |
We are clear on our strengths and weaknesses
Strong and innovative product portfolio
Mastering of «CORE» technologies
Too diversified portfolio compared to other international peers
Cautious exploration and adoption of «NEW» technologies
Digital transformation of products
Still too diversified product portfolio
| Main Lines of business |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civil Helicopters | | | | |||||
| HELICOPTERS | Military Helicopters | | | | ||||
| Civil Aircraft* | | | ||||||
| Military Aircraft | | | | | | |||
| AERONAUTICS | Trainers | | | | | |||
| UAS | | | | | | | | |
| Aerostructures | | | ||||||
| DEFENCE | Avionics Systems | | | | | | | |
| ELECTRONICS & |
Land and Naval Systems | | | | | | | |
| SECURITY | Security | | | | | | | |
| DEFENCE SYSTEMS | Land Armaments | | | |||||
| Naval Armaments | | | ||||||
| Missiles | | | | | | | | |
| Underwater-Torpedoes | | | | | ||||
| SPACE | Services | | | | ||||
| Manufacturing | | | | | |
Note: benchmark based on quali-quantitative evaluation with reference to: (i) revenues by segment, (ii) technology / product portfolio, (iii) market positioning, and (iv) market competitiveness
(*): Leonardo is active in the Regional Aircraft business through ATR
Still too diversified – what are we going to do about it?
Leonardo 2.0 in a Nutshell
Launch Group wide cost transformation program
Materially improve industrial performance across the entire value chain
Research and Development Activities
List of products is not exhaustive
Lorenzo Mariani Chief Commercial Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Solid Order Intake Plan
Key Strategic Campaigns
Leveraging International Presence: Offices & Subsidiaries
• Enhanced Customer Support
……back to growth
A challenging but realistic Order Intake Plan
2018-2022 Order CAGR >6%, well balanced on the three Key Business
Three Key Pillars for Growth
€ 20 bn
Customer Support Development growing market and emerging requirements
Customer intimacy ……back to growth
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Being closer to the customers and its needs
70 Key Campaigns for over € 20 bn in 2018-2020, excluding US «Big shots» in US, not included in baseline plan: T-100, UH-1N Top priority Countries accounting for over € 1 bn each Algeria Qatar Poland Pakistan
Malaysia
Saudi
Egypt
Centralised Governance challenging and control, full divisional accountability, continuous tracking, focused team
Tight link with the Country & Regional Offices, full Support of Italian & UK Institutions, coordinated UK & IT efforts on Export caimpaigns (i.e. Helicopters)
Strong opportunities to address worldwide customers needs leveraging on the «One Company» – «One Voice»
Strengthening exisisting International Representative Offices Network
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
GROUP ORDER INTAKE
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
Mid Life Upgrade (MLU):
Already applied to Land and Naval environment
Advanced Training
Training School: an innovative approach in partnership with Italian Air Force
Alessandra Genco Chief Financial Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
Entering a new phase…
…back to growth
We had to reset in challenging markets…
| FY2016A | FY2017E (as at March 2017) |
FY2017E (as at November 2017) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New orders | € bn |
20.0 | 12.0 – 12.5 |
c. 12.0 Assuming finalization of C27J export contracts |
11.3 – 11.7 |
| Revenues | € bn |
12.0 | c. 12.0 | 11.5 – 12.0 |
|
| EBITA | € mln |
1,252 | 1,250 – 1,300 |
1,050 – 1,100 |
|
| FOCF | € mln |
706 | 500 – 600 |
500 – 600 Assuming cash-in of EFA Kuwait payments related to 2017 milestones |
|
| Group Net Debt | € bn |
2.8 | c. 2.5 | c. 2.6 Including the effect of US bond buyback |
Exchange rate assumptions: €/USD 1.15 and €/GBP 0.85
Re-base in Helicopters
… continued confidence in medium-term opportunities
Leading margins
Key player in leading international programmes
Strong backlog
Attractive product portfolio (i.e. Family Trainer)
€ mln
€ mln
Operating Working Capital on Revenues, net of customer advances, almost stable/ slightly reducing thanks to initiatives
…growing Cash flow conversion rate* beyond 2019
(*) FOCF/EBITA after cash financial charges and cash taxes
Gross Debt Reduction1
Only a portion of expiring debt refinanced
TARGET REDUCTION BY 2020
(1) Bonds and EIB Loan
| As of today |
Before last review |
Date of review | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moody's | Ba1 / Positive Outlook | Ba1 / Stable Outlook |
May 2017 |
| S&P | BB+ / Stable Outlook |
BB+ / Negative Outlook | April 2015 |
| Fitch | BBB- / Stable Outlook |
BB+ / Positive Outlook | October 2017 |
In 2017 retired bonds with an average coupon of 5.5% (both in euro and in dollar buyback transaction w/\$ 200mln NPV)
(1) Year End Bonds and EIB Loan Funding Cost
| FY2017E | FY2018E | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| New orders | € bn |
11.3 – 11.7 Assuming finalization of C27J export contracts |
12.5 – 13.0 |
| Revenues | € bn |
11.5 –12.0 | 11.5 – 12.0 |
| EBITA | € mln |
1,050 – 1,100 |
1,075 – 1,125 |
| FOCF | € mln |
500 – 600 Assuming cash-in of EFA Kuwait payments related to 2017 milestones |
c.100 |
| Group Net Debt | € bn |
c. 2.6 Including the effect of US bond buyback |
c. 2.6 |
Exchange rate assumptions: €/USD 1.20 and €/GBP 0.90
…moving to growth
73
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
Alessandro Profumo Chief Executive Officer
Vergiate (VA), 30 January 2018
A plan to return to sustainable profitable growth
We are going to set this business up to win
Disciplined financial strategy
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
NOTE: Some of the statements included in this document are not historical facts but rather statements of future expectations, also related to future economic and financial performance, to be considered forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on Company's views and assumptions as of the date of the statements and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Given these uncertainties, you should not rely on forward-looking statements.
The following factors could affect our forward-looking statements: the ability to obtain or the timing of obtaining future government awards; the availability of government funding and customer requirements both domestically and internationally; changes in government or customer priorities due to programme reviews or revisions to strategic objectives (including changes in priorities to respond to terrorist threats or to improve homeland security); difficulties in developing and producing operationally advanced technology systems; the competitive environment; economic business and political conditions domestically and internationally; programme performance and the timing of contract payments; the timing and customer acceptance of product deliveries and launches; our ability to achieve or realise savings for our customers or ourselves through our global cost-cutting programme and other financial management programmes; and the outcome of contingencies (including completion of any acquisitions and divestitures, litigation and environmental remediation efforts).
These are only some of the numerous factors that may affect the forward-looking statements contained in this document.
The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update forward-looking statements as a result of new information since these statements may no longer be accurate or timely.
EVP External Relations, Communication, Italian Institutional Affairs, Investor Relations and Sustainability +39 06 32473.066 [email protected]
Equity & Fixed Income Analysts & Investors and Relationship with Credit Rating Agencies +39 06 32473.697 [email protected]
Group Sustainability & ESG +39 06 32473.666 [email protected]
© Leonardo - Società per azioni [email protected] www.leonardocompany.com/investors
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