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Poste Italiane

Earnings Release Feb 19, 2018

4431_ip_2018-02-19_a41cef9d-9155-4894-887d-8dabf63e7289.pdf

Earnings Release

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Preliminary Results FY 2017

Rome, 19 February 2018

Investor Relations

DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH OF NET PROFIT IN 2017 REACHING 689€M. DIVIDEND PAYOUT OF C.80% CORRESPONDING TO 0.42 € DPS

(€m)

FY 2016 2017P Var. Var. %
Revenues 33,112 33,441 +328 +1.0%
EBIT
EBIT Margin
1,041
3.1%
1,123
3.4%
+82 +7.8%
Normalized1
EBIT
EBIT Margin
922
2.8%
1,110
3.4%
+188 +20.4%
Net Profit
Net Profit Margin
622
1.9%
689
2.1%
+67 +10.8%
Normalized1
Net Profit
Net Profit Margin
510
1.6%
722
2.2%
+212 +41.6%
DPS (€) 0.39 0.42 +0.03 +7.7%

Payout ratio of about 80% on 2017 preliminary net profit, corresponding to a dividend of 0.42 € p.s., up by 7.7% vs. 2016

  1. 2017 non recurring items: capital gains investment portfolio (-532m), capital gain Mastercard stake disposal (-91m), early retirements incentives (+499m), real estate funds provisions (+113m) and write-offs of Alitalia stake (+82m, no impact on EBIT); tax effect on one-offs equal to -37m. 2016 non recurring items: capital gains from investment portfolio (-467m), capital gain on VISA stake disposal (-121m) early retirements incentives (+509m), real estate funds provisions (+68m), one-off revenues from USO (-108m); tax effect on one-offs equal to +6m.

PRELIMINARY RESULTS 2017: SEGMENTS HIGHLIGHTS

Mail and parcels impacted by 108 €m one-off revenue in 4Q 2016 and 23 €m one-off cost in 4Q2017

TOTAL FINANCIAL ASSETS

  1. Deposits do not include Repo and Poste Italiane liquidity

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES OVERVIEW OF MARKET REVENUES

REVENUES EVOLUTION

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES CURRENT ACCOUNTS

  1. Including current accounts, time deposits and repurchase agreements

    1. Entirely invested in floating rate deposits c/o MEF
    1. Entirely invested in Italian Government bonds
    1. It only refers to Incomes
  2. Average yield calculated as interest income and realized capital gains on total average financial assets

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES POSTAL SAVINGS

Investor Relations 7

Books

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES BANCOPOSTA REGULATORY FRAMEWORK AND CAPITAL POSITION

  1. 10.50% Min. CET1 ratio required to distribute earnings (transitionally reduced to 9.25% in 2017)

  2. ROE defined as net earnings/CET 1 capital (excluding valuation reserves)

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES

TRANSACTION BANKING - REVENUES

(€m)

FY 2016 2017P Var. Var. %
Cards 223 269 +46.9 +21.1%
Acquiring 4 5 +1.7 +45.2%
VISA/Mastercard Capital Gains 121 91 -29.6 -24.5%
Subtotal 347 366 +19.0 5.5%
Payment Slips 619 572 -46.1 -7.5%
Bank & Money Transfer 75 75 -0.5 -0.6%
Subtotal 694 647 -46.6 -6.7%
Current Accounts fees 210 212 +1.9 +0.9%
Other
Revenues
156 157 +1.4 +0.9%
Subtotal 366 369 +3.3 0.9%
Total 1,407 1,383 -24.4 -1.7%

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES TRANSACTION BANKING - VOLUMES

FY 2016 2017P Var. Var. %
Pre-Paid cards # of cards (m) 16.1 17.7 +1.6 +9.7%
Transaction Value (€m) 8,095 10,164 +2,068 +25.6%
g
n
Debit Cards # of cards (m) 7.0 7.1 +0.1 +1.5%
ri
ui
q
Transaction Value (€m) 11,457 12,643 +1,185 +10.3%
c
A
&
Credit Cards # of cards (m) 0.40 0.40 n.m. +1.3%
s
d
ar
Transaction Value (€m) 1,045 1,073 +28 +2.7%
C Acquiring # POS1 (m) 0.10 0.09 n.m. -3.1%
Transaction Value1 (€m) 11,800 12,650 +850.0 +7.2%
y
e
s,
n
er
o
nt
Payments Slips # of payments2 (m) 404.6 387.7 -16.9 -4.2%
M
sf
e
&
m
n
Tra
y
k
a
n
P
a
Bank & Money Transfer # of transactions (m) 19.1 20.1 +1.0 +5.0%
B Strong growth in electronic payments replacing traditional payment systems
  1. Including POS and transaction value from Postal Offices

  2. Including F23/F24

FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES

TRANSACTION BANKING DIGITALIZATION PROGRESS

0.71m2 Daily Average Users

€2.3bn

Transaction Value

  1. Registration includes both web and Apps

  2. Related to 4Q 2017

Daily Average Visitors

FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT KEY METRICS

(€m)

FY 2016 2017P Var. Var. %
Subscription fees 402 397 -4.9 -1.2%
Management fees 757 942 +184.8 +24.4%
1
Life
1,159 1,339 +179.8 +15.5%
Subscription fees 23 25 +2.2 +9.6%
Management fees 26 53 +27.1 +104.4%
Other Incomes 57 -2 -58.7 n. m.
Private Pension Plan 106 76 -29.3 -27.7%
Technical Margin1 63 78 +14.6 +23.2%
P&C 63 78 +14.6 +23.2%
Subscription fees 4 12 +7.6 +183.0%
Management fees 56 73 +17.8 +31.9%
ASSET MANAGEMENT 60 85 +25.4 +42.4%
Acquisition costs 495 523 +28.1 +5.7%
Labour cost 36 38 +1.9 +5.3%
Operating costs 83 85 +1.7 +2.0%
Other costs (mainly evaluation of liabilities) 138 93 -45.3 -32.9%
TOTAL COSTS 752 738 -13.7 -1.8%
EBIT Insurance & AM Services 636 840 +204.2 +32.1%
  1. Includes EBIT from Poste Welfare Servizi

FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT

GROUP GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM

FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT LIFE PREMIUMS NET INFLOWS

(€bn)

Investor Relations 14

FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT

TECHNICAL RESERVES EVOLUTION

  1. Including non-life technical reserves and net of re-insurance reserves

FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT ASSET MANAGEMENT

Agreement with Anima supporting wealth management strategy of Poste Italiane

Mifid II fully implemented across the network

Continued Growth in Asset Management thanks to Equity and Balanced products

FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT STRONG SOLVENCY RATIO

295%

17%

-32%

AVERAGE NUMBER OF PRODUCTS HELD BY RETAIL CUSTOMERS

• Insurance Services

• Asset Management

Steady increase of cross-selling overtime

FOCUS ON MAIL & PARCELS TOTAL REVENUES & EBIT

VOLUMES AND MARKET PRICE FOCUS ON MAIL & PARCELS

  1. Net of Unaddressed Mail Volumes in 2016

AVERAGE PRICE INDEX – MAIL AVERAGE PRICE INDEX – PARCELS

TOTAL GROUP OPERATING COSTS

(€m)

Depreciation and Amortization

Costs of Goods Sold

Early Retirement Incentives

Labour Cost

Strong discipline in cost management

TOTAL GROUP OPERATING COSTS FOCUS ON LABOUR COSTS

Successful track record to reduce FTE

FROM GROUP EBIT TO NET INCOME 2017P

(€m)

Non operating items impacted by write-offs (94 €m)

CAPEX EVOLUTION (€m)

CAPEX BREAKDOWN BY CATEGORY (%)

  1. Other includes infrastructure to support delivery and logistics integration

INDUSTRIAL NET CASH POSITION

NEW SEGMENTS HIGHLIGHTS

PERIMETER CHANGES AHEAD OF CMD

CURRENT REVENUES SPLIT NEW REVENUES SPLIT
Financial
1
Services

Transaction
Banking

Current
Accounts

Postal Savings

Third Parties Distribution
Products

Current
Accounts

Postal Saving

Asset
Management

Third Parties Distribution
Products
Financial
1
Services
Insurance &
2
Asset
Management

Life

Private Pension
Plan

P&C

Asset
Management

Life

Private Pension
Plan

P&C
Insurance
2
Services
3
Mail & Parcels

Mail Services

Parcels
Services

Other
Services

Distribution & Captive Services

Mail Services

Parcels
Services

Other
Services

Distribution & Captive Services
Mail,
3
Parcels &
Distributions
Other
4
Services

Telecommunication Services

Telecommunication Services

Cards
& Acquiring
Services

Money Transfer & Payments
Payments,
4
Mobile &
Digital

PERIMETER CHANGES AHEAD OF CMD INSURANCE PREMIUMS TO BE PRESENTED ON A NET BASIS

POSTE ITALIANE SEGMENT REORGANIZATION NEW SEGMENT REPORTING: REVENUES BREAKDOWN

(€m)

POSTE ITALIANE SEGMENT REORGANIZATION NEW SEGMENT REPORTING: EBIT BREAKDOWN

(€m)

2017P

CLOSING REMARKS

OUR FOCUS NOW

APPENDIX

GROUP PROFIT & LOSS STATEMENT

€m FY 2016 2017P Var. Var.%
Revenue from sales and services 8,743 8,463 (280) (3.2%)
Insurance premium revenue 19,884 20,343 459 2.3%
Other income from financial and insurance activities 4,421 4,560 139 3.1%
Other operating income 64 75 10 16.0%
Sales 33,112 33,441 328 1.0%
Personnel costs (6,241) (6,093) 148 2.4%
Other operating expenses (3,292) (3,345) (54) (1.6%)
Net change in technical provisions for insurance business and
other claims expenses
(21,958) (22,335) (377) (1.7%)
Depreciation & amortization (581) (545) 36 6.2%
EBIT 1,041 1,123 82 7.8%
Net interest income / (Expense) 15 (56) (70) (462.5%)
Profit before tax 1,056 1,067 11 1.1%
Tax (434) (378) 56 12.9%
Net income 622 689 67 10.8%

FINANCIAL SERVICES PROFIT & LOSS

€m FY 2016 2017P Var. Var.%
Total revenues 5,837 5,810 (27) (0.5%)
o/w Market revenues 5,294 5,246 (49) (0.9%)
o/w Intercompany revenues 543 565 22 4.0%
Personnel costs (126) (109) 17 13.3%
Other operating expenses (4,896) (4,927) (30) (0.6%)
EBITDA 815 773 (41) (5.0%)
EBITDA margin 14.0% 13.3% -0.6%
Depreciation and amortisation (1) (1) (0.3) (106.6%)
EBIT 813 773 (41) (5.0%)
EBIT margin 13.9% 13.3%
Net interest income / (Expense) (7) 1 8 111.4%
PROFIT BEFORE TAX 806 773 (33) (4.0%)
Tax (246) (188) 58 23.7%
NET INCOME 560 586 26 4.6%

INSURANCE AND ASSET MANAGEMENT PROFIT & LOSS

€m FY 2016 2017P Var. Var.%
Total revenues 23,773 24,354 581 2.4%
o/w Market revenues 23,772 24,353 581 2.4%
o/w Intercompany revenues 1 1 0 13.5%
Personnel costs (39) (41) (2) (5.4%)
Other operating expenses (23,084) (23,455) (371) (1.6%)
EBITDA 650 857 207 31.9%
EBITDA margin 2.7% 3.5% 0.8%
Depreciation and amortisation (14) (17) (3) (23.0%)
EBIT 636 840 204 32.1%
EBIT margin 2.7% 3.4%
Net interest income / (Expense) 49 57 7 14.9%
PROFIT BEFORE TAX 685 896 211 30.9%
Tax (262) (311) (49) (18.6%)
NET INCOME 423 586 163 38.5%
€m FY 2016 2017P Var. Var.%
Total revenues 8,362 8,129 (233) (2.8%)
o/w Market revenues 3,822 3,632 (190) (5.0%)
o/w Intercompany revenues 4,540 4,497 (43) (0.9%)
Personnel costs (6,059) (5,928) 131 2.2%
Other operating expenses (2,204) (2,213) (10) (0.5%)
EBITDA 99 (12) (112) (112.0%)
EBITDA margin 1.2% -0.1% -1.3%
Depreciation and amortisation (536) (505) 31 5.8%
EBIT (436) (517) (81) (18.5%)
EBIT margin -5.2% -6.4%
Net interest income / (Expenses) (26) (112) (86) (330.4%)
PROFIT BEFORE TAX (462) (629) (167) (36.1%)
Tax 83 127 44 52.8%
NET INCOME (379) (502) (123) (32.4%)

DISCLAIMER

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Poste Italiane S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane S.p.A., Luciano Loiodice, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results, books and accounting records.

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