Earnings Release • Feb 19, 2018
Earnings Release
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Rome, 19 February 2018
Investor Relations
(€m)
| FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var. % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 33,112 | 33,441 | +328 | +1.0% |
| EBIT EBIT Margin |
1,041 3.1% |
1,123 3.4% |
+82 | +7.8% |
| Normalized1 EBIT EBIT Margin |
922 2.8% |
1,110 3.4% |
+188 | +20.4% |
| Net Profit Net Profit Margin |
622 1.9% |
689 2.1% |
+67 | +10.8% |
| Normalized1 Net Profit Net Profit Margin |
510 1.6% |
722 2.2% |
+212 | +41.6% |
| DPS (€) | 0.39 | 0.42 | +0.03 | +7.7% |
Payout ratio of about 80% on 2017 preliminary net profit, corresponding to a dividend of 0.42 € p.s., up by 7.7% vs. 2016
Mail and parcels impacted by 108 €m one-off revenue in 4Q 2016 and 23 €m one-off cost in 4Q2017
Including current accounts, time deposits and repurchase agreements
Average yield calculated as interest income and realized capital gains on total average financial assets
Books
10.50% Min. CET1 ratio required to distribute earnings (transitionally reduced to 9.25% in 2017)
ROE defined as net earnings/CET 1 capital (excluding valuation reserves)
(€m)
| FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var. % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards | 223 | 269 | +46.9 | +21.1% |
| Acquiring | 4 | 5 | +1.7 | +45.2% |
| VISA/Mastercard Capital Gains | 121 | 91 | -29.6 | -24.5% |
| Subtotal | 347 | 366 | +19.0 | 5.5% |
| Payment Slips | 619 | 572 | -46.1 | -7.5% |
| Bank & Money Transfer | 75 | 75 | -0.5 | -0.6% |
| Subtotal | 694 | 647 | -46.6 | -6.7% |
| Current Accounts fees | 210 | 212 | +1.9 | +0.9% |
| Other Revenues |
156 | 157 | +1.4 | +0.9% |
| Subtotal | 366 | 369 | +3.3 | 0.9% |
| Total | 1,407 | 1,383 | -24.4 | -1.7% |
| FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var. % | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-Paid cards | # of cards | (m) | 16.1 | 17.7 | +1.6 | +9.7% | |
| Transaction Value | (€m) | 8,095 | 10,164 | +2,068 | +25.6% | ||
| g n |
Debit Cards | # of cards | (m) | 7.0 | 7.1 | +0.1 | +1.5% |
| ri ui q |
Transaction Value | (€m) | 11,457 | 12,643 | +1,185 | +10.3% | |
| c A & |
Credit Cards | # of cards | (m) | 0.40 | 0.40 | n.m. | +1.3% |
| s d ar |
Transaction Value | (€m) | 1,045 | 1,073 | +28 | +2.7% | |
| C | Acquiring | # POS1 | (m) | 0.10 | 0.09 | n.m. | -3.1% |
| Transaction Value1 | (€m) | 11,800 | 12,650 | +850.0 | +7.2% | ||
| y e s, n er o nt |
Payments Slips | # of payments2 | (m) | 404.6 | 387.7 | -16.9 | -4.2% |
| M sf e & m n Tra y k a n P a |
Bank & Money Transfer | # of transactions | (m) | 19.1 | 20.1 | +1.0 | +5.0% |
| B | Strong growth in electronic payments replacing traditional payment systems |
Including POS and transaction value from Postal Offices
Including F23/F24
0.71m2 Daily Average Users
€2.3bn
Transaction Value
Registration includes both web and Apps
Related to 4Q 2017
Daily Average Visitors
(€m)
| FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var. % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subscription fees | 402 | 397 | -4.9 | -1.2% |
| Management fees | 757 | 942 | +184.8 | +24.4% |
| 1 Life |
1,159 | 1,339 | +179.8 | +15.5% |
| Subscription fees | 23 | 25 | +2.2 | +9.6% |
| Management fees | 26 | 53 | +27.1 | +104.4% |
| Other Incomes | 57 | -2 | -58.7 | n. m. |
| Private Pension Plan | 106 | 76 | -29.3 | -27.7% |
| Technical Margin1 | 63 | 78 | +14.6 | +23.2% |
| P&C | 63 | 78 | +14.6 | +23.2% |
| Subscription fees | 4 | 12 | +7.6 | +183.0% |
| Management fees | 56 | 73 | +17.8 | +31.9% |
| ASSET MANAGEMENT | 60 | 85 | +25.4 | +42.4% |
| Acquisition costs | 495 | 523 | +28.1 | +5.7% |
| Labour cost | 36 | 38 | +1.9 | +5.3% |
| Operating costs | 83 | 85 | +1.7 | +2.0% |
| Other costs (mainly evaluation of liabilities) | 138 | 93 | -45.3 | -32.9% |
| TOTAL COSTS | 752 | 738 | -13.7 | -1.8% |
| EBIT Insurance & AM Services | 636 | 840 | +204.2 | +32.1% |
(€bn)
Investor Relations 14
Agreement with Anima supporting wealth management strategy of Poste Italiane
Mifid II fully implemented across the network
295%
17%
-32%
• Insurance Services
• Asset Management
Steady increase of cross-selling overtime
(€m)
Depreciation and Amortization
Costs of Goods Sold
Early Retirement Incentives
Labour Cost
Strong discipline in cost management
Successful track record to reduce FTE
(€m)
Non operating items impacted by write-offs (94 €m)
| CURRENT REVENUES SPLIT | NEW REVENUES SPLIT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial 1 Services |
• Transaction Banking • Current Accounts • Postal Savings • Third Parties Distribution Products |
• Current Accounts • Postal Saving • Asset Management • Third Parties Distribution Products |
Financial 1 Services |
| Insurance & 2 Asset Management |
• Life • Private Pension Plan • P&C • Asset Management |
• Life • Private Pension Plan • P&C |
Insurance 2 Services |
| 3 Mail & Parcels |
• Mail Services • Parcels Services • Other Services • Distribution & Captive Services |
• Mail Services • Parcels Services • Other Services • Distribution & Captive Services |
Mail, 3 Parcels & Distributions |
| Other 4 Services |
• Telecommunication Services |
• Telecommunication Services • Cards & Acquiring Services • Money Transfer & Payments |
Payments, 4 Mobile & Digital |
(€m)
(€m)
2017P
| €m | FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue from sales and services | 8,743 | 8,463 | (280) | (3.2%) |
| Insurance premium revenue | 19,884 | 20,343 | 459 | 2.3% |
| Other income from financial and insurance activities | 4,421 | 4,560 | 139 | 3.1% |
| Other operating income | 64 | 75 | 10 | 16.0% |
| Sales | 33,112 | 33,441 | 328 | 1.0% |
| Personnel costs | (6,241) | (6,093) | 148 | 2.4% |
| Other operating expenses | (3,292) | (3,345) | (54) | (1.6%) |
| Net change in technical provisions for insurance business and other claims expenses |
(21,958) | (22,335) | (377) | (1.7%) |
| Depreciation & amortization | (581) | (545) | 36 | 6.2% |
| EBIT | 1,041 | 1,123 | 82 | 7.8% |
| Net interest income / (Expense) | 15 | (56) | (70) | (462.5%) |
| Profit before tax | 1,056 | 1,067 | 11 | 1.1% |
| Tax | (434) | (378) | 56 | 12.9% |
| Net income | 622 | 689 | 67 | 10.8% |
| €m | FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 5,837 | 5,810 | (27) | (0.5%) |
| o/w Market revenues | 5,294 | 5,246 | (49) | (0.9%) |
| o/w Intercompany revenues | 543 | 565 | 22 | 4.0% |
| Personnel costs | (126) | (109) | 17 | 13.3% |
| Other operating expenses | (4,896) | (4,927) | (30) | (0.6%) |
| EBITDA | 815 | 773 | (41) | (5.0%) |
| EBITDA margin | 14.0% | 13.3% | -0.6% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (1) | (1) | (0.3) | (106.6%) |
| EBIT | 813 | 773 | (41) | (5.0%) |
| EBIT margin | 13.9% | 13.3% | ||
| Net interest income / (Expense) | (7) | 1 | 8 | 111.4% |
| PROFIT BEFORE TAX | 806 | 773 | (33) | (4.0%) |
| Tax | (246) | (188) | 58 | 23.7% |
| NET INCOME | 560 | 586 | 26 | 4.6% |
| €m | FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 23,773 | 24,354 | 581 | 2.4% |
| o/w Market revenues | 23,772 | 24,353 | 581 | 2.4% |
| o/w Intercompany revenues | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13.5% |
| Personnel costs | (39) | (41) | (2) | (5.4%) |
| Other operating expenses | (23,084) | (23,455) | (371) | (1.6%) |
| EBITDA | 650 | 857 | 207 | 31.9% |
| EBITDA margin | 2.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (14) | (17) | (3) | (23.0%) |
| EBIT | 636 | 840 | 204 | 32.1% |
| EBIT margin | 2.7% | 3.4% | ||
| Net interest income / (Expense) | 49 | 57 | 7 | 14.9% |
| PROFIT BEFORE TAX | 685 | 896 | 211 | 30.9% |
| Tax | (262) | (311) | (49) | (18.6%) |
| NET INCOME | 423 | 586 | 163 | 38.5% |
| €m | FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 8,362 | 8,129 | (233) | (2.8%) |
| o/w Market revenues | 3,822 | 3,632 | (190) | (5.0%) |
| o/w Intercompany revenues | 4,540 | 4,497 | (43) | (0.9%) |
| Personnel costs | (6,059) | (5,928) | 131 | 2.2% |
| Other operating expenses | (2,204) | (2,213) | (10) | (0.5%) |
| EBITDA | 99 | (12) | (112) | (112.0%) |
| EBITDA margin | 1.2% | -0.1% | -1.3% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (536) | (505) | 31 | 5.8% |
| EBIT | (436) | (517) | (81) | (18.5%) |
| EBIT margin | -5.2% | -6.4% | ||
| Net interest income / (Expenses) | (26) | (112) | (86) | (330.4%) |
| PROFIT BEFORE TAX | (462) | (629) | (167) | (36.1%) |
| Tax | 83 | 127 | 44 | 52.8% |
| NET INCOME | (379) | (502) | (123) | (32.4%) |
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Poste Italiane S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane S.p.A., Luciano Loiodice, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results, books and accounting records.
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