Earnings Release • May 9, 2018
Earnings Release
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9 May 2018
This presentation has been prepared by Banco BPM ("Banco BPM"); for the purposes of this notice, "presentation" means this document, any oral presentation, any question and answer session and any written or oral material discussed following the distribution of this document.
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The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements about Banco BPM. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forwardlooking statements are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "believes", "intends", "estimates" and similar expressions. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.
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***
This presentation includes both accounting data (based on financial accounts) and internal management data (which are also based on estimates).
Mr. Gianpietro Val, as the manager responsible for preparing the Bank's accounts, hereby states pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2 of the Financial Consolidated Act that the accounting data contained in this presentation correspond to the documentary evidence, corporate books and accounting records.
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
| Annexes | 39 |
Capital management actions more than compensating the IFRS 9 FTA registered in Q1 2018 at FL level
Disposal of the custodian banking activity (Q3 2018; +34bps)
The new FTA impairment model to non-performing exposures has been applied exclusively on bad loans cluster coherent with the accounting rules
| COVERAGE | ||
|---|---|---|
| 31/03/18 (IFRS 9) |
31/12/17 (IAS 39) |
|
| Total NPLs | 53.8% | 48.8% |
| Bad Loans | 66.4% | 58.9% |
| UTP Loans | 32.2% | 32.3% |
Note:
Transaction
Notes
Sale of ~€5bn of Bad Loans: GACS with accounting effects expected as of 30/06/2018
The Exodus Transaction broadly reflects the main characteristics of the existing Bad Loan portfolio: therefore, the Bad Loan composition, proforma post transaction, remains substantially unchanged
NEW COMMERCIAL NETWORK MODEL, COUPLED WITH THE DIGITAL OMNICHANNEL TRANSFORMATION, PAVING THE WAY FOR A FURTHER OPTIMISATION OF THE GROUP'S DISTRIBUTION FRANCHISE:
OVER 3,000 EMPLOYEES HAVE BEEN RECONVERTED TO NEW PROFESSIONAL ROLES Mainly: over 700 new managerial roles, 1,100 commercial roles , ~500 control functions at branch level
Notes:
2019 Targets achieved 18 months ahead of the Strategic Plan
See slide 40 for details
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
Annexes 39
Notes:
Adjusted numbers are before IFRS 9. They exclude non-recurring items: NII Q1 2017 (€32m TLTRO2 of H2 2016); operating costs Q1 2017 (-€27m DTA fee 2015 and €12m integration costs) Q1 2018 (€3m integration costs) as well as ordinary systemic charges: Q1 2017 (€62m ) Q1 2018 (€68m).
NII + Net Fees and Commissions.
Notes:
Notes: Quarterly spreads for 2017 have been adjusted to reflect the adoption of new customer portfolio perimeter and segments of the new commercial network
Notes:
Notes:
Quarters include approx. €3m of PPA
| Ordinary systemic charges (€ m) |
Q1 17 | Q1 18 |
|---|---|---|
| SRF | 62 | 68 |
| DTA (fee for tax benefit) | 7 | 6 |
| Total contribution to funds | 69 | 74 |
Notes:
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
| CHANGE | vs. 01/01/18 |
|---|---|
| Performing loans | 0.3% |
| o/w: Leasing (in run off) | -2.5% |
| NPLs | -1.8% |
| TOTAL | 0.1% |
Notes:
2018 Customer Loan data refer to Loans and advances to customers measured at Amortized Cost. It is noted that, as at 01/01/2018, €0.3bn loans were reclassified from Customer Loans measured at Amortized Cost to Other Financial Assets (see slide 42 for details).
Healthy growth in core deposits, with concurrent decline in more expensive sources of funding
Positive for funding cost reduction
assets received as collateral.
Relevant amount of unencumbered assets, almost entirely composed of Government bonds
Strong performance of 'Funds and Sicav'
Bancassurance + Managed Accounts and Funds of Funds
AuM at 59.6bn (+€1.1bn y/y and -0.9bn q/q), sustained by a good growth in 'Funds and Sicav': at €38bn
(+10.2% y/y and +1.0% q/q)
The Proforma data at 31/03/2017 exclude the AUM of the non-captive network of Aletti Gestielle (amounting to €1.8bn), which was deconsolidated after the sale of the company in December 2017.
Assets under Custody is reported net of capital-protected certificates , as they have been regrouped under Direct Funding (see slide 27).
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights
Prudent diversification, support NII and solid liquidity level
Note: 1. Management accounting data, excluding Banca Akros perimeter.
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
| Annexes | 39 |
Net NPLs
Notes:
2018 Customer Loan data refer to Loans and advances to customers measured at Amortized Cost. It is noted that, as at 01/01/2018, €0.2bn UTP loans were reclassified from Customer Loans measured at Amortized Cost to Other Financial Assets.
In Q1 2018, NPL coverage at 53.8% (+500bps vs. YE 2017), leveraging on the IFRS 9 FTA on Bad Loans, which reach a coverage of 66.4% (+750bps vs. YE 2017), paving the way for the acceleration of the derisking plan
Nominal Coverage
Notes: 2018 Customer Loan data refer to Loans and advances to customers measured at Amortized Cost.
Note: Internal management data.
| 5. | Capital Position | 36 |
|---|---|---|
| 4. | Credit Quality | 32 |
| 3. | Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights | 25 |
| 2. | Profitability Highlights | 14 |
| 1. | Strategic Delivery Update | 4 |
Annexes 39
| % | 11.92 | -180bps | +137bps | 11.50 | +60bps | 12.10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2017 RWA: €75.8bn |
IFRS 9 FTA1 With a 5-year phasing 1 |
Capital Management Actions + Q1 Performance IMPACT FROM AIRB MODEL EXTENSION & REVIEW BANCASS. REORGANISATION DIVIDENDS FROM AGOS |
31/03/2018 STATED RWA: €65.7bn |
Capital Management Actions already signed and to be finalised in Q2/Q3 2018 DIVIDENDS FROM OTHER ASSOCIATES TRANSFER OF INSURANCE RESERVES SALE OF CUSTODIAN BANK |
31/03/2018 PROFORMA |
||
| 11.92 | 13.48 | 14.05 | |||||
| CET 1 phased-in 01/01/2018 |
CET 1 phased-in 31/03/2018 STATED |
CET 1 phased-in 31/03/2018 PROFORMA |
IFRS 9 First Time Application (FTA) impact: -€1,382m pre-tax (€1,038m post-tax), mainly due to the application of the new impairment model as detailed below:
| - application of new impairment model to non-performing exposures: |
-€1,246 | m |
|---|---|---|
| - application of new impairment model to performing exposures: |
-€ | 91m |
| - application of new classification and measurement rules: |
+€ | 42m |
| - application of IFRS 9 by associates: |
-€ | 87m |
The new FTA impairment model to non-performing exposures has been applied exclusively on bad loans cluster coherent with the accounting rules
The resulting impact on the fully phased CET1 ratio as of 1 January 2018 is -180 bps
The Group has adopted the transitional arrangements to phase-in the IFRS 9 FTA impact in five years (5% for 2018)
IFRS 9 FTA provided a good opportunity to further increase the Bad Loan coverage in a meaningful way, thereby allowing the Group to:
| A | B | C | Chg. A/B | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclassified assets (€ m) | 31/03/2018 | 01/01/2018 | 31/12/17 | Value | % |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 830 | 977 | 977 | -147 | -15.0% |
| Loans and advances measured at AC | 111,839 | 111,012 | 112,682 | 827 | 0.7% |
| - Loans and advances to banks | 5,670 | 4,937 | 4,939 | 733 | 14.8% |
| - Loans and advances to customers | 106,168 | 106,074 | 107,743 | 94 | 0.1% |
| Other financial assets | 36,280 | 34,920 | 34,533 | 1,360 | 3.9% |
| - Assets measured at FV through PL | 6,251 | 6,453 | 5,185 | -201 | -3.1% |
| - Assets measured at FV through OCI | 16,712 | 16,750 | 17,129 | -38 | -0.2% |
| - Assets measured at AC | 13,317 | 11,718 | 12,220 | 1,599 | 13.7% |
| Equity investments | 1,369 | 1,262 | 1,349 | 107 | 8.5% |
| Property and equipment | 2,756 | 2,735 | 2,735 | 20 | 0.7% |
| Intangible assets | 1,304 | 1,297 | 1,297 | 7 | 0.5% |
| Tax assets | 4,852 | 4,887 | 4,520 | -34 | -0.7% |
| Non-current assets held for sale and discont. operations | 5 | 106 | 106 | -101 | -95.6% |
| Other assets | 3,018 | 3,007 | 3,007 | 11 | 0.4% |
| Total | 162,253 | 160,203 | 161,207 | 2,050 | 1.3% |
| A | B | B | Chg. A/B | ||
| Reclassified liabilities (€ m) | 31/03/2018 | 01/01/2018 | 31/03/2017 | Value | % |
| Due to banks | 29,555 | 27,199 | 27,199 | 2,356 | 8.7% |
| Direct Funding | 107,056 | 107,525 | 107,510 | -469 | -0.4% |
| - Deposits from customers | 88,683 | 87,848 | 87,848 | 835 | 1.0% |
| - Debt securities and financial liabilities desig. at FV | 18,373 | 19,677 | 19,662 | -1,304 | -6.6% |
| Other financial liabilities designated at FV | 8,414 | 8,704 | 8,708 | -290 | -3.3% |
| Liability provisions | 1,563 | 1,580 | 1,580 | -18 | -1.1% |
| Tax liabilities | 663 | 692 | 669 | -28 | -4.1% |
| Liabilities associated with assets held for sale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51.4% |
| Other liabilities | 3,872 | 3,576 | 3,576 | 296 | 8.3% |
| Minority interests | 55 | 58 | 63 | -3 | -4.7% |
| Shareholders' equity | 11,074 | 10,868 | 11,900 | 206 | 1.9% |
| Total | 162,253 | 160,203 | 161,207 | 2,050 | 1.3% |
«Deposits from customers» include also Custodian Bank, which is going to be disposed.
| € m (euro thousand) |
31/12/2017 | Classification (a) |
Measurement impacts (b) |
ECL impacts (c) |
01/01/2018 | IFRS 9 impacts (b+c) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 977 | - | - | - | 977 | - | |
| Financial assets at amortised cost | 112,682 | -347 | - | -1,324 | 111,012 | -1,324 | |
| - Due from banks | 4,939 | (1) | - | - | -2 | 4,937 | -2 |
| - Customer loans | 107,743 | (2) | -347 | - | -1,322 | 106,074 | -1,322 |
| Financial assets and hedging derivatives | 34,533 | 347 | 54 | -13 | 34,920 | 40 | |
| - Financial assets designated at FV through P&L | 5,185 | 1,283 | -15 | - | 6,453 | -15 | |
| - Financial assets designated at FV through OCI | 17,129 | (3) | -430 | 52 | - | 16,750 | 52 |
| - Financial assets at amortised cost | 12,220 | (4) | -507 | 18 | -13 | 11,718 | 4 |
| Equity investments (*) | 1,349 | - | -87 | - | 1,262 | -87 | |
| Property and equipment | 2,735 | - | - | - | 2,735 | - | |
| Intangible assets | 1,297 | - | - | - | 1,297 | - | |
| Tax assets | 4,520 | - | - | 366 | 4,887 | 366 | |
| Non-current assets held for sale and discontinued operations | 106 | - | - | - | 106 | - | |
| Other assets | 3,007 | - | - | - | 3,007 | - | |
| Total ASSETS | 161,207 | - | -33 | -971 | 160,203 | -1,004 | |
| Due to banks | 27,199 | - | - | - | 27,199 | - | |
| Direct funding | 107,510 | - | 15 | - | 107,525 | 15 | |
| - Due to customers | 87,848 | - | - | - | 87,848 | - | |
| - Debt securities issued and financial liabilities designated at FV | 19,662 | - | 15 | - | 19,677 | 15 | |
| Other financial liabilities designated at fair value | 8,708 | - | -4 | - | 8,704 | -4 | |
| Liability provisions | 1,580 | - | - | -0 | 1,580 | -0 | |
| Tax liabilities | 669 | - | 21 | 1 | 692 | 22 | |
| Liabilities associated with assets held for sale | 0 | - | - | - | 0 | - | |
| Other liabilities | 3,576 | - | - | - | 3,576 | - | |
| Total LIABILITIES | 149,243 | - | 33 | 1 | 149,277 | 34 | |
| Minority interests | 63 | - | - | -6 | 58 | -6 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 11,900 | - | -66 | -966 | 10,868 | -1,032 | |
| CONSOLIDATED SHAREHOLDERS 'EQUITY | 11,964 | - | -66 | -972 | 10,926 | -1,038 |
a) Reclassification of the IAS 39 balances according the new items of the financial assets and liabilities.
b) IFRS 9 FTA impacts from the new measurement criteria of the financial assets and liabilities (excluding ECL).
c) IFRS 9 FTA impacts from the new Expected Credit Loss (ECL) model
(*) Estimated impact on Equity investments following the new calculation of the net equity of the investments according to the IFRS 9 rules
Corresponding to the retired balance sheet item "due from banks" (5,164,715 thousand), net of assets represented by debt securities (225,492 thousand)
42 Annexes
| Reclassified income statement (in euro million) |
Q1 2018 | Reclassification IFRS9 |
Q1 2018 without reclassific. |
Q1 2017 | Q2 2017 | Q3 2017 | Q4 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 595.1 | 65.8 | 529.4 | 548.6 | 511.1 | 524.9 | 528.8 |
| Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at equity |
42.6 | 42.6 | 41.6 | 40.4 | 38.9 | 45.2 | |
| Net interest, dividend and similar income | 637.7 | 65.8 | 571.9 | 590.2 | 551.5 | 563.9 | 573.9 |
| Net fee and commission income | 476.5 | 476.5 | 515.8 | 503.6 | 458.9 | 472.1 | |
| Other net operating income | 24.2 | 24.2 | 30.3 | 14.4 | 29.4 | 24.7 | |
| Net financial result | 29.3 | 29.3 | 36.9 | 63.3 | 13.0 | 41.9 | |
| Other operating income | 530.0 | 0.0 | 530.0 | 582.9 | 581.3 | 501.3 | 538.7 |
| Total income | 1,167.7 | 65.8 | 1,101.9 | 1,173.1 | 1,132.8 | 1,065.1 | 1,112.7 |
| Personnel expenses | -442.1 | -442.1 | -456.7 | -456.7 | -450.6 | -420.8 | |
| Other administrative expenses | -279.5 | -279.5 | -260.7 | -233.1 | -273.2 | -212.3 | |
| Amortization and depreciation | -47.9 | -47.9 | -52.9 | -56.4 | -62.2 | -95.5 | |
| Operating costs | -769.5 | 0.0 | -769.5 | -770.3 | -746.2 | -786.0 | -728.6 |
| Profit (loss) from operations | 398.2 | 65.8 | 332.4 | 402.8 | 386.6 | 279.2 | 384.1 |
| Net adjustments on loans to customers | -326.2 | -65.8 | -260.5 | -292.5 | -354.5 | -340.8 | -673.1 |
| Net adjustments on other financial assets | 2.2 | 2.2 | -8.4 | -70.8 | -48.3 | -12.7 | |
| Net provisions for risks and charges | -25.0 | -25.0 | 0.5 | -9.6 | 4.6 | -9.2 | |
| Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments |
179.7 | 179.7 | 17.1 | -3.8 | 0.3 | 12.1 | |
| Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations | 228.9 | 0.0 | 228.9 | 119.6 | -52.1 | -105.0 | -298.9 |
| Tax on income from continuing operations | -7.0 | -7.0 | -27.5 | 1.1 | 45.6 | 103.2 | |
| Income (loss) after tax from discontinued operations | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 25.8 | 16.5 | 700.0 | |
| Income (loss) attributable to minority interests | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | |
| Net income (loss) for the period excluding Badwill & Impairment of goodwill and client relationship |
223.3 | 0.0 | 223.3 | 115.2 | -21.0 | -41.5 | 505.1 |
| Reclassified income statement | Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 | Chg. Y/Y | Chg. Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in euro million) | Stated | Stated | % | |
| Net interest income | 595.1 | 548.6 | 46.5 | 8.5% |
| Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at | ||||
| equity | 42.6 | 41.6 | 1.0 | 2.4% |
| Net interest, dividend and similar income | 637.7 | 590.2 | 47.5 | 8.0% |
| Net fee and commission income | 476.5 | 515.8 | -39.3 | -7.6% |
| Other net operating income | 24.2 | 30.3 | -6.2 | -20.3% |
| Net financial result | 29.3 | 36.9 | -7.5 | -20.5% |
| Other operating income | 530.0 | 582.9 | -53.0 | -9.1% |
| Total income | 1,167.7 | 1,173.1 | -5.5 | -0.5% |
| Personnel expenses | -442.1 | -456.7 | 14.6 | -3.2% |
| Other administrative expenses | -279.5 | -260.7 | -18.8 | 7.2% |
| Amortization and depreciation | -47.9 | -52.9 | 5.0 | -9.4% |
| Operating costs | -769.5 | -770.3 | 0.8 | -0.1% |
| Profit (loss) from operations | 398.2 | 402.8 | -4.7 | -1.2% |
| Net adjustments on loans to customers | -326.2 | -292.5 | -33.7 | 11.5% |
| Net adjustments on other financial assets | 2.2 | -8.4 | 10.6 | n.s. |
| Net provisions for risks and charges | -25.0 | 0.5 | -25.5 | n.s. |
| Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments |
179.7 | 17.1 | 162.6 | n.s. |
| Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations | 228.9 | 119.6 | 109.3 | 91.4% |
| Tax on income from continuing operations | -7.0 | -27.5 | 20.5 | -74.6% |
| Income (loss) after tax from discontinued operations | 0.0 | 20.0 | -20.0 | n.s. |
| Income (loss) attributable to minority interests | 1.4 | 3.1 | -1.7 | -54.4% |
| Net income (loss) for the period excluding Badwill & Impairment of goodwill and client relationship |
223.3 | 115.2 | 108.1 | 93.8% |
| Badwill | 3,076.1 | -3,076.1 | n.s. | |
| Net income (loss) for the period | 223.3 | 3,191.3 | -2,968.0 | -93.0% |
Retail and SME-oriented banking group, with franchise concentrated in Northern Italy
Note:
| CREDIT QUALITY DETAILS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € m |
|||||
| 31/03/2018 (IFRS 9) | |||||
| Gross exposure | Adjustments | Coverage | Net exposure | ||
| Bad Loans | 15,538 | 10,312 | 66.4% | 5,226 | |
| Unlikely to pay | 8,950 | 2,885 | 32.2% | 6,065 | |
| Past Due | 7 9 |
1 2 |
15.3% | 6 7 |
|
| Non-performing Loans | 24,567 | 13,209 | 53.8% | 11,358 | |
| Performing Loans | 95,199 | 388 | 0.4% | 94,810 | |
| Total Customer Loans | 119,766 | 13,597 | 11.4% | 106,168 |
| Non-performing Loans | 24,567 | 13,209 | 53.8% | 11,358 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Performing Loans | 95,199 | 388 | 0.4% | 94,810 |
| Total Customer Loans | 119,766 | 13,597 | 11.4% | 106,168 |
| 01/01/2018 (IFRS 9) | ||||
| Gross exposure | Adjustments | Coverage | Net exposure | |
| Bad Loans | 15,794 | 10,552 | 66.8% | 5,242 |
| Unlikely to pay | 9,215 | 2,974 | 32.3% | 6,241 |
| Past Due | 9 5 |
1 5 |
15.7% | 8 0 |
| Non-performing Loans | 25,104 | 13,540 | 53.9% | 11,563 |
| Performing Loans | 94,889 | 378 | 0.4% | 94,511 |
| Total Customer Loans | 119,993 | 13,918 | 11.6% | 106,074 |
| Performing Loans | 94,889 | 378 | 0.4% | 94,511 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Customer Loans | 119,993 | 13,918 | 11.6% | 106,074 | |
| 31/12/2017 (IAS 39) - EXCLUDING CUSTOMER DEBT SECURITIES | |||||
| Gross exposure | Adjustments | Coverage | Net exposure | ||
| Bad Loans | 15,794 | 9,306 | 58.9% | 6,488 | |
| Unlikely to pay | 9,546 | 3,087 | 32.3% | 6,459 | |
| Past Due | 9 5 |
1 5 |
15.7% | 8 0 |
|
| Non-performing Loans | 25,435 | 12,408 | 48.8% | 13,027 | |
| Performing Loans | 95,018 | 303 | 0.3% | 94,716 | |
| Total Customer Loans | 120,453 | 12,710 | 10.6% | 107,743 |
Notes: 2018 data refer to Loans and advances to customers measured at Amortized Cost. 2017 data restated for the exclusion of Customer Debt Securities.
Accounting coverage to 83.7% for unsecured positions and to 58.3% for secured positions
Report PWC "The Italian NPL market – Ready for Breakthrough", Dec- 2017.
Collateral FV capped at nominal value.
Starting from 31/12/2015 (25,001 units), the headcount reduction expected by 2019 is ~2,600, equal to -10% of the workforce
Notes:
Including natural turnover.
Including the 71 higher Solidarity Fund exits coming from the new agreement signed in June 2017.
| Roberto Peronaglio | +39-02-7700.2574 | |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Lucassen |
+39-045-867.5537 | |
| Arne Riscassi |
+39-02-7700.2008 | |
| Silvia Leoni | +39-045-867.5613 | |
| Andrea Agosti | +39-02-7700.7848 |
Registered Offices: Piazza Meda 4, I-20121 Milan, Italy Corporate Offices: Piazza Nogara 2, I-37121 Verona, Italy
[email protected] www.bancobpm.it (IR Section)
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