Investor Presentation • Nov 8, 2018
Investor Presentation
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Rome, 8 November 2018
Q&A
Deliver 2022 actions supporting the performance of all segments:
Solvency ratio benefitting from effective capital management actions
€ m unless otherwise stated
Deliver 2022 initiatives well on track and focus is on execution
No operational impact on business or strategic plan targets
Q&A
EBIT up, mainly supported by Mail, Parcel & Distribution Operating profitability improving thanks to positive revenue contribution from all segments
€ m unless otherwise stated
Strong mail quartely revenues, parcel growth acceleration
€ m unless otherwise stated
Continued shift from Mail to Parcel with B2C +24% in 9M 2018
Strong progression of revenues and operating profitability
€ m unless otherwise stated
Higher revenues in 9M 2018 more than offsetting lower planned capital gains
€ m unless otherwise stated
Includes revenues from electronic money services, fees for collection and payment services; 2. Includes reported revenues from custody accounts, credit cards, other revenues from distribution of third parties products;
Gross capital gains netted by minus; 4. Based on adjusted revenues from capital gains, IFRS 15 effect and MCC-BdM.
Resilient business model delivering positive net inflows with strong contribution from retail
€ bn unless otherwise stated
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
base
Total financial assets increased by 7bn in 9M
Insurance products +6.4bn of which +0.6bn unit linked and multiasset Class III, thanks to the launch of the new multiassets products in July 2018
Postal savings net inflows significantly improving in 3Q 2018, thanks to new
Deposits +4.8bn supported by Public
Mutual funds +0.4bn despite negative
Administration accounts and resilient retail
commercial initiatives
market conditions
2018, with positive net inflows of 6.8bn:
€ m unless otherwise stated
Ongoing focus on Private Pension Plan and P&C
€ m unless otherwise stated
Positive net inflows in 9M 2018, more than offsetting market effect
€ m unless otherwise stated
Proactive capital management actions supporting Solvency ratio up to a pro-forma fully loaded of ~210%
€ m unless otherwise stated
Measures under regulatory approval Countercyclical and cost effective capital strengthening measure
€ m unless otherwise stated
Q&A
Well on track to meet all 2018 Deliver 2022 financial and operational targets
Higher revenues across all business segments, better than expected performance in Mail
Continued cost discipline across the Group
Decreased reliance on capital gains
Deliver 2022: a five-year journey made up of many small steps on strategy, costs and revenues aimed at delivering shareholder value – remain focussed on execution
Confirmed positive trends of commercial KPIs across all business lines
Robust growth in digital use
REGISTERED ONLINE USERS STOCK
# m
GROWTH IN TRACK&TRACE SEARCHES3
Interest income up thanks to higher volumes offsetting lower yields
€ m unless otherwise stated
Class III and new products supporting assets under management and fee generation
€ m unless otherwise stated
EoP ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT EVOLUTION
Net inflows from mutual funds, unit linked and multiasset Class III insurance products
€ m unless otherwise stated
Changing mix within life products, higher GWP from Private Pension Plan and strong P&C
€ m unless otherwise stated
€ m unless otherwise stated
Details on portfolio and sensitivity
| Sep-17 | Dec-17 | Sep-18 | Var. YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unrealised gains (€/m) |
7,840 | 8,225 | 1,141 | -6,700 |
| Minimum guaranteed return (Class I) (%) |
0.90% | 0.88% | 0.82% | -8bps |
| Class I return (%) | 2.91% | 3.03% | 2.76% | -14bps |
Transitional measures subject to regulatory approval
Confirmed track record to manage reduction of headcounts
Solid capital ratios including the already announced capital increase
€ m unless otherwise stated
Solid liquidity position and further available undrawn facilities
Segment flow description: distribution fees 3Q 2018
| €m | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 9M 2017 | 9M 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 2,395 | 2,522 | 127 | 5% | 7,893 | 7,951 | 58 | 1% |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Mail, Parcel and Distribution | 849 | 828 | -21 | -2% | 2,661 | 2,589 | -72 | -3% |
| Payments, Mobile and Digital | 144 | 163 | 19 | 13% | 422 | 470 | 48 | 11% |
| Financial Services | 1,069 | 1,168 | 99 | 9% | 3,779 | 3,844 | 65 | 2% |
| Insurance Services | 333 | 363 | 30 | 9% | 1,031 | 1,048 | 17 | 2% |
| Total costs | 2,066 | 2,066 | 0 | 0% | 6,717 | 6,442 | -275 | -4% |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Total personnel expenses | 1,307 | 1,305 | -2 | 0% | 4,241 | 4,151 | -90 | -2% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,300 | 1,295 | -5 | 0% | 4,229 | 4,122 | -107 | -3% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 7 | 10 | 3 | 43% | 12 | 29 | 17 | n.m. |
| Other operating costs | 627 | 628 | 1 | 0% | 2,063 | 1,886 | -177 | -9% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 132 | 133 | 1 | 1% | 413 | 405 | -8 | -2% |
| EBIT | 329 | 456 | 127 | 39% | 1,176 | 1,509 | 333 | 28% |
| EBIT Margin | 14% | 18% | 15% | 19% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) and profit/(loss) on investments accounted for using the equity method |
6 | 21 | 15 | n.m. | -69 | 43 | 112 | n.m. |
| Profit before tax | 335 | 477 | 142 | 42% | 1,107 | 1,552 | 445 | 40% |
| Income tax expense | 121 | 156 | 35 | 29% | 383 | 496 | 113 | 30% |
| Profit for the period | 214 | 321 | 107 | 50% | 724 | 1,056 | 332 | 46% |
| €m | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 9M 2017 | 9M 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 849 | 828 | -21 | -2% | 2661 | 2589 | -72 | -3% |
| Intersegment revenue | 993 | 1,071 | 78 | 8% | 3,446 | 3,526 | 80 | 2% |
| Total revenues | 1,842 | 1,899 | 57 | 3% | 6,107 | 6,115 | 8 | 0% |
| Personnel expenses | 1,271 | 1,269 | -2 | 0% | 4,109 | 4,029 | -80 | -2% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,265 | 1,261 | -4 | 0% | 4,102 | 4,010 | -92 | -2% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 6 | 8 | 2 | 33% | 7 | 19 | 12 | n.m. |
| Other operating costs | 514 | 497 | -17 | -3% | 1,572 | 1,482 | -90 | -6% |
| Intersegment costs | 15 | 16 | 1 | 7% | 48 | 51 | 3 | 6% |
| Total costs | 1,800 | 1,782 | -18 | -1% | 5,729 | 5,562 | -167 | -3% |
| EBITDA | 42 | 117 | 75 | 179% | 378 | 553 | 175 | 46% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 123 | 124 | 1 | 1% | 382 | 376 | -6 | -2% |
| EBIT | -81 | -7 | 74 | 91% | -4 | 177 | 181 | n.m. |
| EBIT MARGIN | -4.4% | -0.4% | -0.1% | 2.9% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | -12 | -3 | 9 | 75% | -110 | -17 | 93 | 85% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | -93 | -10 | 83 | 89% | -114 | 160 | 274 | n.m. |
| Income tax expense | -18 | 10 | 28 | n.m. | -13 | 66 | 79 | n.m. |
| Profit for the period | -75 | -20 | 55 | 73% | -101 | 94 | 195 | n.m. |
| €m | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 9M 2017 | 9M 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 144 | 163 | 19 | 13% | 422 | 470 | 48 | 11% |
| Intersegment revenue | 79 | 78 | -1 | -1% | 247 | 243 | -4 | -2% |
| Total revenues | 223 | 241 | 18 | 8% | 669 | 713 | 44 | 7% |
| Personnel expenses | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 22 | 23 | 1 | 5% |
| of which personnel expenses | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 22 | 23 | 1 | 5% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Other operating costs | 39 | 43 | 4 | 10% | 124 | 128 | 4 | 3% |
| Intersegment costs | 124 | 132 | 8 | 6% | 364 | 390 | 26 | 7% |
| Total costs | 170 | 182 | 12 | 7% | 510 | 541 | 31 | 6% |
| EBITDA | 53 | 59 | 6 | 11% | 159 | 172 | 13 | 8% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0% |
| EBIT | 48 | 54 | 6 | 13% | 142 | 155 | 13 | 9% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 22% | 22% | 21% | 22% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 3 | 2 | -1 | -33% | 6 | 2 | -4 | -67% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 51 | 56 | 5 | 10% | 148 | 157 | 9 | 6% |
| Income tax expense | 14 | 16 | 2 | 14% | 41 | 40 | -1 | -2% |
| Profit for the period | 37 | 40 | 3 | 8% | 107 | 117 | 10 | 9% |
| €m | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 9M 2017 | 9M 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 1,069 | 1,168 | 99 | 9% | 3,779 | 3,844 | 65 | 2% |
| Intersegment revenue | 253 | 234 | -19 | -8% | 770 | 749 | -21 | -3% |
| Total revenues | 1,322 | 1,402 | 80 | 6% | 4,549 | 4,593 | 44 | 1% |
| Personnel expenses | 21 | 21 | 0 | 0% | 84 | 71 | -13 | -15% |
| of which personnel expenses | 20 | 19 | -1 | -5% | 79 | 62 | -17 | -22% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 1 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 5 | 9 | 4 | 80% |
| Other operating costs | 55 | 70 | 15 | 27% | 304 | 217 | -87 | -29% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 0 | -1 | -100% |
| Intersegment costs | 1,058 | 1,133 | 75 | 7% | 3,647 | 3,719 | 72 | 2% |
| Total costs | 1,134 | 1,224 | 90 | 8% | 4,036 | 4,007 | -29 | -1% |
| EBIT | 188 | 178 | -10 | -5% | 513 | 586 | 73 | 14% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 14% | 13% | 11% | 13% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 8 | 3 | 60% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 189 | 179 | -10 | -5% | 518 | 594 | 76 | 15% |
| Income tax expense | 51 | 44 | -7 | -14% | 147 | 166 | 19 | 13% |
| Profit for the period | 138 | 135 | -3 | -2% | 371 | 428 | 57 | 15% |
| €m | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 9M 2017 | 9M 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 333 | 363 | 30 | 9% | 1,031 | 1,048 | 17 | 2% |
| Intersegment revenue | 0 | 0 | 0 | n.m. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Total revenues | 333 | 363 | 30 | 9% | 1,032 | 1,049 | 17 | 2% |
| Personnel expenses | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 26 | 28 | 2 | 8% |
| of which personnel expenses | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 26 | 27 | 1 | 4% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0% |
| Other operating costs | 19 | 18 | -1 | -5% | 63 | 59 | -4 | -6% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 13 | 12 | -1 | -8% |
| Intersegment costs | 128 | 103 | -25 | -20% | 405 | 359 | -46 | -11% |
| Total costs | 159 | 133 | -26 | -16% | 507 | 458 | -49 | -10% |
| EBIT | 174 | 230 | 56 | 32% | 525 | 591 | 66 | 13% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 52% | 63% | 51% | 56% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 14 | 21 | 7 | 50% | 30 | 50 | 20 | 67% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 188 | 251 | 63 | 34% | 555 | 641 | 86 | 15% |
| Income tax expense | 74 | 86 | 12 | 16% | 208 | 224 | 16 | 8% |
| Profit for the period | 114 | 165 | 51 | 45% | 347 | 417 | 70 | 20% |
| OPERATIONAL KPI's | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2018 | D% YoY | 9M 2017 | 9M 2018 | D% YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAIL PARCELS & DISTRIBUTION |
Mail Volumes (#m) Parcels delivered by mailmen(#m) Parcel Volumes (#m) B2C Revenues (€m) |
697 8.9 26.1 56.6 |
652 10.9 30.6 73.7 |
-6.5% 22.5% 17.2% 30.2% |
2,324 22.0 81.1 162.2 |
2,224 30.2 88.6 202.7 |
-4.3% 37.3% 9.2% 25.0% |
| PAYMENTS, MOBILE & DIGITAL |
PostePay cards (#m) of which PostePay Evolution cards (#m) Total payment cards transactions (#bn) of which eCommerce transactions (#m) PosteMobile new products (#m) Digital e-Wallets (#m) |
17.4 4.4 0.237 39.1 0.248 1.5 |
19.0 5.9 0.320 48.8 0.241 2.5 |
9.2% 34.1% 35.0% 24.8% -2.8% 66.7% |
17.4 4.4 0.673 117.0 0.817 1.5 |
19.0 5.9 0.874 142.0 0.838 2.5 |
9.2% 34.1% 29.9% 21.4% 2.6% 66.7% |
| FINANCIAL SERVICES |
Total Financial Assets - TFAs (€/bn) Product Sales (#m) Unrealized gains (€m) |
505 2.1 1,654 |
513 2.1 -2,690 |
1.6% n.m. n.m. |
505 6.0 1,654 |
513 6.3 -2,690 |
1.6% 5.0% n.m. |
| INSURANCE SERVICES |
Gross Written Premiums (€m) GWP – Life (€m) GWP – Private Pension Plan (€m) GWP – P&C (€m) |
5,307 5,025 249 32 |
3,856 3,573 237 46 |
-27.3% -28.9% -4.9% 43.6% |
16,438 15,596 737 105 |
12,768 11,878 747 143 |
-22.3% -23.8% 1.4% 36.2% |
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Poste Italiane S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane S.p.A., Tiziano Ceccarani, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results, books and accounting records.
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