Investor Presentation • Feb 11, 2019
Investor Presentation
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11th February 2019
| Financial results FY2018 vs FY2017 |
Gross Collections: €1.96bn vs €1.84bn in 2017 (+7%), on the back of new GBV mandates Gross Revenues: €234m, +9% vs €214m in 2017, with stable base and performance fees Net Revenues: €210m, +8% vs €193m in 2017 EBITDA excluding NRI1: €84m vs €70m in 2017 (+20%), margin up from 33% to 36% Net Income excluding NRI1: €53m vs €45m in 2017 (+17%), Net Income at €51m (+13%) Net Cash Position: €68m post dividend payment, supported by positive NWC trends and limited cash taxes due to use of DTAs; Cash conversion (EBITDA-Capex) at 93% |
|---|---|
| Main events in 2018 |
Consolidation of leadership in home market via large portfolio wins: >€15bn new mandates and >€13bn already on-boarded with visible in collections Selective approach toward mandates with better pricing terms, supporting profitability 2018-2020 Business Plan and Altamira acquisition reshaping doBank's fundamentals De-banking process going ahead and expected to be completed by early Q2 '19 Progress in Greek and UTP markets with additional portfolios expected in 2019 M&A market presents further opportunities in Italy and Southern Europe, within the targeted leverage (<3x Net Debt/EBITDA) |
| What's next Notes: |
Growing markets: confirmed outlook shared at the June '18 BP presentation, with opportunities in Southern Europe (portfolio sales, outsourcing deals and platform sales) Several active processes, doBank already benefiting from a broader client/market base to be exploited in the wider region Plan execution: continued focus on cost efficiency and operational excellence, with IT platform migration to be completed by H1 '19 as planned and HR efficiency plan confirmed Updated mid-term targets and details on Altamira Acquisition synergies to be released post acquisition closing |
| 1. at |
Excluding Non Recurring Items (start-up costs for Greece and UTP and part of the costs of the acquisition of Altamira Asset Management); 2018 EBITDA reported €81.3m, 2018 Net Income reported at €50.9 |
| 2016 A | 2018 A | 2018 PF Altamira |
Highlights | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBV (€bn) | 81 | +1% 82 |
137 | Significant share of Italy's most important NPL mandates and entry into Europe's highest potential markets |
| Revenues (€m) | 206 | +14% 234 |
489 | Volume growth, resilient pricing, improving collection rates and higher diversification |
| EBITDA ex NRI (€m) (% margin) |
64 31% |
+31% 84 36% |
179 37% |
Operating leverage and continued focus on cost control, driven by IT excellence |
| Product mix |
NPL, UTP 100% |
NPL, UTP 100% |
REO 15% NPL, UTP 85% |
Higher diversification while maintaining an asset light and focused approach |
| Weight of top 3 clients |
91% | 72% | 59% | Largest client now accounting for ~20% of GBV. doBank working with some of the largest banks and investors in Europe |
| Weight of Italy AUM |
100% | 98% | 60% | Exporting Italy's success into similar markets while drastically reducing macro risk |
Organic revenue growth, profitability expansion and M&A opportunities
| Macro in line with expectations |
|
doBank planning assumptions in line with current market consensus for very limited 2019 GDP growth Real estate indicators still pointing to positive liquidity and pricing momentum Moderate but continued progress in the reduction of court timing bodes well for the future |
Italian Real Estate Pricing Trend1 266 264 262 260 258 256 254 252 250 248 Dec-12 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Sep-17 Dec-17 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-13 Jun-13 Mar-15 Jun-15 Jun-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 2018: EBA guidance (5% NPE ratio), calendar provisioning on new NPE flows and BoI significant banks driving a proactive approach to NPEs and need for specialized servicers |
guidance for less | ||||
| Supportive regulatory push |
| 2019: ECB draft SREP requirement letters recommending to increase coverage on both stock and flow of new NPEs in the medium-term |
||||
| | 2019: possible GACS extension in Italy, with potential to include UTP |
| SELLER | GBV (€bn) | Details | SELLER | GBV (€bn) | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | NPL secured and unsecured, secondary transaction |
1.8 | Mixed portfolio |
||
| 4.2 | Mixed portfolio |
1.5 | Mixed portfolio |
||
| 3.0 | Project "Sandokan Bis" |
REV | 1.5 | Mixed portfolio |
|
| 2.6 | Project "Merlino" |
1.0 | Mixed portfolio |
||
| 2.3 | NPL unsecured |
0.7 | Mixed portfolio |
||
| 2.0 | Mixed portfolio |
Others | >5 |
Notes:
Source: Bloomberg. Index=100 in Dec. 1996, latest value 263 in Dec. 2018
Source: press and EY report "The Italian NPEs market", Jan 2019
Solid deal pipeline2
NPE €bn
Ancillary revenues expansion
Deployment of operating leverage and strict cost control, enabled by IT investments in management platform
Notes: 1. EBITDA excluding Non Recurring Items (start-up costs for Greece and UTP and part of the costs of the acquisition of Altamira Asset Management); EBITDA at €81.3m in 2018 (35% EBITDA margin)
| 2017 | 2018 | ∆ (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e s u r n e e v |
Largest servicing portfolio in the Italian market |
GBV EoP | €76.7bn | €82.2bn | +7.1% | €13.2bn new servicing mandates on boarded progressively in 2018 €1.2bn inflows from existing clients |
| v ri e d R |
Best-in-class collections |
Gross collections |
€1.8bn | €2.0bn | +6.8% | Stronger H2 due to seasonality of collections, as expected |
| Visible revenue base | Gross revenues |
€213.5m | €233.5m | +9.3% | Significant volume growth and resilient average fees |
|
| L & e |
Operating leverage | Operating costs |
€123.3m €128.3m |
+4.1% | IT and SG&A efficiencies, higher HR cost as expected Fixed HR costs at 85% of total HR costs |
|
| r P u e ct pl u r m st Si |
EBITDA ex NRI1 |
€70.1m | €84.0m | +19.8% | Tangible evidence of operating leverage with a 20% expansion of EBITDA and EBITDA margin at 36% |
|
| Proven profitability | EBITDA1 margin |
32.8% | 36.0% | +3.2 p.p. | Reported EBITDA at €81.3m (35% EBITDA margin) |
|
| Net income ex NRI1 |
€45.0m | €52.6m | +17.0% | Including €0.9m (pre-tax) gain from BCC GeCre 45% stake sale to Iccrea |
||
| n o h ti a s r |
Limited capex | Cash conversion2 |
€63.5m | €75.9m | +19.0% | 93% cash conversion rate2 Most of IT and other investments expensed at income statement |
| a e C n e g |
Benefits from tax assets |
Tax Assets |
€94.0m | €81.4m | (13%) | Tax assets fully off-settable against direct and indirect taxes |
| Notes: |
Excluding Non Recurring Items (start-up costs for Greece and UTP)
EBITDA-Capex
GBV Composition
YE 2018
guarantees & other
| Loan Profile 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| # of Claims |
618k | ||
| Loan Size | €133k | ||
| % "Large" Loans (> €500k GBV) |
54% | ||
| % Corporate | 71% | ||
| % Northern/Central Italy |
68% |
Italfondiario collections for 2016 are accounted for as net cash flow consistent with their historical reporting
Stock GBV excludes new servicing mandates on-boarded progressively in 2018, not yet fully reflected in collections of the period
| Condensed consolidated income statement |
Year | Year | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2017 | Amount | % | ||
| Serv icing rev enues |
205,539 | 194,746 | 10,793 | 6% | |
| Co-inv estment rev enues |
911 | 665 | 246 | 37% | |
| Ancillary and other rev enues |
27,054 | 18,136 | 8,918 | 49% | |
| Gross Revenues |
233,504 | 213,547 | 19,957 | 9% | |
| Outsourcing fees |
(23,910) | (20,141) | (3,769) | 19% | |
| Net revenues |
209,594 | 193,406 | 16,188 | 8% | |
| Staff expenses |
(94,054) | (83,391) | (10,663) | 13% | |
| Administrativ e expenses |
(34,246) | (39,913) | 5,667 | (14)% | |
| Operating expenses |
(128,300) | (123,304) | (4,996) | 4% | |
| EBITDA | 81,294 | 70,102 | 11,192 | 16% | |
| EBITDA Margin |
35% | 33% | 2% | 6% | |
| Non-recurring items included in EBITDA |
(2,712) | - | (2,712) | n.s. | |
| EBITDA excluding non-recurring items |
84,006 | 70,102 | 13,904 | 20% | |
| EBITDA Margin excluding non-recurring items |
36% | 33% | 3% | 10% | |
| Impairment/Write-backs plant, equipment and intangible on property, assets |
(2,750) | (2,284) | (466) | 20% | |
| isions for risks Net Prov and charges |
(318) | (4,041) | 3,723 | (92)% | |
| Net Write-downs of loans |
876 | 1,776 | (900) | (51)% | |
| Net income (losses) from inv estments |
917 | 2,765 | (1,848) | (67)% | |
| EBIT | 80,019 | 68,318 | 11,701 | 17% | |
| Net financial interest and commissions |
198 | (184) | 382 | n.s. | |
| EBT | 80,217 | 68,134 | 12,083 | 18% | |
| for Income tax the year |
(29,362) | (22,750) | (6,612) | 29% | |
| Profit (loss) from group of assets sold and held for sale net of tax |
- | (390) | 390 | (100)% | |
| Net Profit (Loss) attributable to the Group |
50,855 | 44,994 | 5,861 | 13% | |
| Non-recurring items included in Profit (Loss) attributable Net to the Group |
(1,784) | - | (1,784) | n.s. | |
| Net Profit (Loss) attributable to the Group excluding non-recurring items |
52,639 | 44,994 | 7,645 | 17% | |
| Earnings per share (Euro) |
0.65 | 0.58 | 0.07 | 13% | |
| Earnings per share excluding non-recurring items (Euro) |
0.67 | 0.58 |
| Change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condensed balance sheet | 12/31/2018 | 12/31/2017 | € | % | |
| Cash and liquid securities | 74,443 | 50,364 | 24,079 | 48% | |
| Financial assets | 36,312 | 25,960 | 10,352 | 40% | |
| Equity inv estments |
- | 2,879 | (2,879) | (100)% | |
| Tangible assets | 2,810 | 2,772 | 38 | 1% | |
| Intangible assets | 8,327 | 6,041 | 2,286 | 38% | |
| Tax assets | 87,356 | 103,941 | (16,585) | (16)% | |
| Trade receiv ables |
99,224 | 99,337 | (113) | (0)% | |
| Assets on disposal | 710 | 10 | 700 | n.s. | |
| Other assets | 7,855 | 6,196 | 1,659 | 27% | |
| Total assets | 317,037 | 297,500 | 19,537 | 7% | |
| Financial liabilities: due to customers | - | 11,759 | (11,759) | (100)% | |
| Trade payables | 21,848 | 21,072 | 776 | 4% | |
| Tax Liabilities | 10,174 | 6,105 | 4,069 | 67% | |
| Employee Termination Benefits | 9,577 | 10,360 | (783) | (8)% | |
| Prov ision for risks and charges |
20,754 | 26,579 | (5,825) | (22)% | |
| Liabilities associated with non-current assets and disposal groups held for sale | 6,532 | - | 6,532 | n.s. | |
| Other liabilities | 15,362 | 14,928 | 434 | 3% | |
| Total Liabilities | 84,247 | 90,803 | (6,556) | (7)% | |
| Share capital | 41,280 | 41,280 | - | n.s. | |
| Reserv es |
140,901 | 120,700 | 20,201 | 17% | |
| Treasury shares | (246) | (277) | 31 | (11)% | |
| Result for the period | 50,855 | 44,994 | 5,861 | 13% | |
| Total shareholders' equity | 232,790 | 206,697 | 26,093 | 13% | |
| Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | 317,037 | 297,500 | 19,537 | 7% |
| Cash Flow |
12/31/2018 | 12/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 81,294 | 70,102 |
| Capex | (5,408) | (6,557) |
| EBITDA-Capex | 75,886 | 63,545 |
| as % of EBITDA |
93% | 91% |
| Adjustment for accrual on share-based incentiv e system payments |
5,814 | 2,195 |
| Changes in NWC |
889 | 1,055 |
| in assets/liabilities Changes other |
(6,471) | 6,666 |
| Operating Cash Flow |
76,118 | 73,461 |
| paid (IRES/IRAP) Tax |
(10,480) | (1,170) |
| Free Cash Flow |
65,638 | 72,291 |
| (Inv estments)/div estments in financial assets |
(8,035) | (12,509) |
| Equity (inv estments)/div estments |
2,610 | 1,694 |
| Div idend paid |
(30,907) | (52,330) |
| Net Cash Flow of the period |
29,306 | 9,146 |
| Net financial Position - Beginning of period |
38,605 | 29,459 |
| Net financial Position - End of period |
67,911 | 38,605 |
| in Financial Position Change Net |
29,306 | 9,146 |
| Key performance indicators |
12/31/2018 | 12/31/2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Book Value (Eop) - in millions of Euro - |
82,179 | 76,703 |
| Collections for the period - in millions of Euro - |
1,961 | 1,836 |
| Collections for the Last Twelv e Months (LTM) - in millions of Euro - |
1,961 | 1,836 |
| Collections/GBV (EoP) LTM |
2 4% |
2 4% |
| Collections Stock/GBV Stock (EoP) LTM |
2 .5% |
2 4% |
| Staff FTE/Total FTE |
37% | 37% |
| Collections/Serv icing LTM FTE |
2,668 | 2,510 |
| Cost/Income ratio |
61% | 64% |
| EBITDA | 81,294 | 70,102 |
| Non-recurring items |
(2,712) | - |
| excluding non-recurring items EBITDA |
84,006 | 70,102 |
| EBT | 80,217 | 68,134 |
| Margin EBITDA |
35% | 33% |
| Margin excluding non-recurring items EBITDA |
36% | 33% |
| Margin EBT |
34% | 32% |
| Earning per share (Euro) |
0 65 |
0 .58 |
| Earning excluding non-recurring items (Euro) per share |
0 67 |
0 .58 |
| EBITDA – Capex |
75,886 | 63,545 |
| Net Working Capital |
77,376 | 78,265 |
| Net Financial Position of cash/(debt) |
67,911 | 38,605 |
Excess capital to support business growth through M&A and investments as well as to remunerate investors
This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, the "Presentation") do not constitute or form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any securities, and neither this Presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this Presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness, reasonableness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of doBank S.p.A., its subsidiaries or any of their respective employees, advisers, representatives or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. The information contained in this Presentation is provided as at the date of this Presentation and is subject to change without notice.
Statements made in this Presentation may include forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by the fact that they use words such as "anticipate", "estimate", "should", "expect", "guidance", "project", "intend", "plan", "believe", and/or other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with, among other things, any discussion of results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies or developments in the industry in which we operate. Such statements are based on management's current intentions, expectations or beliefs and involve inherent risks, assumptions and uncertainties, including factors that could delay, divert or change any of them. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation regarding trends or current activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Actual outcomes, results and other future events may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements contained herein. Such differences may adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein and may result from, among other things, changes in economic, business, competitive, technological, strategic or regulatory factors and other factors affecting the business and operations of the company. Neither doBank S.p.A. nor any of its affiliates is under any obligation, and each such entity expressly disclaims any such obligation, to update, revise or amend any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this Presentation. It should be noted that past performance is not a guide to future performance. Please also note that interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.
Mauro Goatin, in his capacity as the officer responsible for preparing corporate accounting documents, certifies – pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2, of Legislative Decree 58/1998 (the Consolidated Financial Intermediation Act) – that the accounting information in this press release is consistent with the data in the accounting documentation, books and other accounting records.
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