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Investor Presentation Feb 11, 2019

4145_mda_2019-02-11_81f9d3e9-0ade-4f02-8d47-294e97dbf973.pdf

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Preliminary Financial Results Full Year 2018

11th February 2019

Summary

Financial
results
FY2018 vs
FY2017
Gross
Collections:
€1.96bn
vs
€1.84bn
in
2017
(+7%),
on
the
back
of
new
GBV
mandates

Gross Revenues: €234m, +9% vs €214m in 2017,
with stable base and performance fees


Net Revenues: €210m, +8% vs €193m in 2017
EBITDA
excluding NRI1: €84m vs €70m in 2017 (+20%), margin up from 33% to 36%

Net Income excluding NRI1: €53m vs €45m in 2017 (+17%), Net Income at €51m (+13%)


Net Cash Position: €68m post dividend payment, supported by positive NWC trends and limited
cash taxes due to use of DTAs; Cash conversion (EBITDA-Capex) at 93%
Main events
in 2018

Consolidation of leadership in home market via large portfolio wins:

>€15bn new mandates
and >€13bn already on-boarded with visible in collections
Selective approach toward mandates with better pricing terms, supporting profitability

2018-2020 Business Plan and Altamira acquisition reshaping doBank's
fundamentals


De-banking process going ahead and expected to be completed by early Q2 '19
Progress in Greek and UTP markets with additional portfolios expected in 2019

M&A market presents further opportunities in Italy and Southern Europe, within the

targeted leverage (<3x Net Debt/EBITDA)
What's next
Notes:

Growing markets: confirmed outlook shared at the June '18 BP presentation, with
opportunities in Southern Europe (portfolio sales, outsourcing deals and platform sales)

Several active processes, doBank already benefiting from a broader client/market base
to be exploited in the wider region

Plan execution: continued focus on cost efficiency and operational excellence, with IT platform
migration to be completed by H1 '19 as planned and HR efficiency plan confirmed
Updated mid-term targets and details on Altamira Acquisition synergies to be released post

acquisition closing
1.
at
Excluding
Non
Recurring
Items
(start-up
costs
for
Greece
and
UTP
and
part
of
the
costs
of
the
acquisition
of
Altamira
Asset
Management);
2018
EBITDA
reported
€81.3m,
2018
Net
Income
reported
at
€50.9

Continued execution towards a larger and stronger doBank

2016 A 2018 A 2018 PF
Altamira
Highlights
GBV (€bn) 81 +1%
82
137 Significant share of Italy's most important NPL
mandates and entry into Europe's highest
potential markets
Revenues (€m) 206 +14%
234
489 Volume growth, resilient pricing, improving
collection rates and higher diversification
EBITDA ex NRI
(€m)
(% margin)
64
31%
+31%
84
36%
179
37%
Operating leverage and continued focus on cost
control, driven by IT excellence
Product
mix
NPL,
UTP
100%
NPL,
UTP
100%
REO
15%
NPL,
UTP
85%
Higher diversification while maintaining an asset
light and focused approach
Weight of top 3
clients
91% 72% 59% Largest client now accounting for ~20% of GBV.
doBank working with some of the largest banks
and investors in Europe
Weight
of Italy
AUM
100% 98% 60% Exporting Italy's success into similar markets
while drastically reducing macro risk

Organic revenue growth, profitability expansion and M&A opportunities

Italy update: supportive environment continues

Macro in line
with
expectations


doBank planning assumptions in line with current market
consensus for very limited 2019 GDP growth
Real estate indicators still pointing to positive liquidity
and pricing momentum
Moderate but continued progress in the reduction of
court timing bodes well for the future
Italian Real Estate
Pricing Trend1
266
264
262
260
258
256
254
252
250
248
Dec-12
Sep-13
Dec-13
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Dec-14
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
Sep-16
Dec-16
Sep-17
Dec-17
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-13
Jun-13
Mar-15
Jun-15
Jun-16
Mar-17
Jun-17
Mar-18
Jun-18
2018: EBA guidance (5% NPE ratio), calendar provisioning on new NPE flows and BoI
significant banks driving a proactive approach to NPEs and need for specialized servicers
guidance for less
Supportive
regulatory
push
2019: ECB draft SREP requirement letters recommending to increase coverage on both stock and flow of
new NPEs in the medium-term
2019: possible GACS extension in Italy, with potential to include UTP

Main deals planned and in pipeline, not including structured deals (stock, flow and platform)

SELLER GBV (€bn) Details SELLER GBV (€bn) Details
6.0 NPL
secured
and
unsecured,
secondary
transaction
1.8 Mixed
portfolio
4.2 Mixed
portfolio
1.5 Mixed
portfolio
3.0 Project
"Sandokan
Bis"
REV 1.5 Mixed
portfolio
2.6 Project
"Merlino"
1.0 Mixed
portfolio
2.3 NPL
unsecured
0.7 Mixed
portfolio
2.0 Mixed
portfolio
Others >5

Notes:

  1. Source: Bloomberg. Index=100 in Dec. 1996, latest value 263 in Dec. 2018

  2. Source: press and EY report "The Italian NPEs market", Jan 2019

Solid deal pipeline2

Greece update: ideally positioned to benefit from market growth

Market update and doBank ambition

  • Continued commitment by banks to complete deleverages plan and tangible investor interest
  • doBank in discussion with main players in the local NPE ecosystem
  • Competitive scenario developing in line with expectations, supportive of doBank ambitions
  • €1.8bn Solar Project completed the business planning phase and has just started the loan management phase
  • 2019 growth based on a mix of new flows into Solar Platform, new mandates in the market and M&A options

Greek banks' deleverage plan

NPE €bn

Deal Pipeline update

  • 2018: sales of mostly unsecured and retail portfolios
  • 2019: mix shift towards SME secured and two possible structured deals (stock, flow and platform):
  • NBG: €1.6bn secured SME
  • Piraeus: €0.8bn secured + €0.9bn unsecured
  • NBG: €1bn secured +€0.7bn unsecured
  • Eurobank: €2.5bn mortgage
  • Alphabank: two projects to come to market

Group 2018-2020E guidance confirmed

  • Growth in UTP and Greece GBV
  • Improved collection efficiency
  • Collection rate >2.6% in 2020
  • Collections/Servicing FTEs >€2.8m
  • Ancillary revenues expansion

  • Deployment of operating leverage and strict cost control, enabled by IT investments in management platform

  • Cash flow conversion (EBITDA-Capex) >90% and dividend payout >65% of consolidated ordinary net income
  • Consolidated leverage up to ~3x net debt/EBITDA

Notes: 1. EBITDA excluding Non Recurring Items (start-up costs for Greece and UTP and part of the costs of the acquisition of Altamira Asset Management); EBITDA at €81.3m in 2018 (35% EBITDA margin)

2. Financial Review

Key financial highlights

2017 2018 ∆ (%)
e
s
u
r
n
e
e
v
Largest servicing
portfolio in the
Italian market
GBV EoP €76.7bn €82.2bn +7.1%
€13.2bn new servicing mandates on
boarded progressively in 2018

€1.2bn inflows from existing clients
v
ri
e
d
R
Best-in-class
collections
Gross
collections
€1.8bn €2.0bn +6.8% Stronger H2 due to seasonality of

collections, as expected
Visible revenue base Gross
revenues
€213.5m €233.5m +9.3%
Significant volume growth and resilient
average fees
L
&
e
Operating leverage Operating
costs
€123.3m
€128.3m
+4.1%
IT and SG&A efficiencies, higher HR cost
as expected

Fixed HR costs at 85% of total HR costs
r
P
u
e
ct
pl
u
r
m
st
Si
EBITDA ex
NRI1
€70.1m €84.0m +19.8%
Tangible evidence of operating leverage
with a 20% expansion of EBITDA and
EBITDA margin at 36%
Proven profitability EBITDA1
margin
32.8% 36.0% +3.2 p.p.
Reported
EBITDA at €81.3m (35%
EBITDA margin)
Net income
ex NRI1
€45.0m €52.6m +17.0%
Including €0.9m (pre-tax) gain from
BCC GeCre
45% stake sale to Iccrea
n
o
h
ti
a
s
r
Limited capex Cash
conversion2
€63.5m €75.9m +19.0% 93% cash conversion rate2


Most of IT and other investments
expensed at income statement
a
e
C
n
e
g
Benefits from tax
assets
Tax
Assets
€94.0m €81.4m (13%)
Tax assets fully off-settable against
direct and indirect taxes
Notes:
  1. Excluding Non Recurring Items (start-up costs for Greece and UTP)

  2. EBITDA-Capex

Evolution of gross book value under management

  • Strong growth in GBV to €82bn driven by new servicing mandates, confirming #1 position in Italian market
  • REV, Berenice, MPS, BP Ragusa, Project "Milano" and minor portfolios progressively on-boarded during the period
  • Greek mandate with systemic banks and €2.4 of new business to be on-boarded in the first quarter of 2019 (ICCREA and Project Riviera of Carige)

Portfolio composition: large, diversified, secured, corporate

GBV Composition

YE 2018

guarantees & other

Loan Profile 2018
#
of Claims
618k
Loan Size €133k
% "Large" Loans
(> €500k GBV)
54%
% Corporate 71%
%
Northern/Central
Italy
68%
  • Improving diversification :
  • Banks at 29% of GBV (60% at IPO)
  • Investors at 71% of GBV (40% at IPO)
  • No relevant client overlap with Altamira Asset Management expected to materially improve GBV diversification post deal closing
  • Intrum/Intesa transaction to reduce GBV by approx. €2bn in Q1 2019 offset by indemnity fees. Impact on collections already visible in Q4 '18 due to reduced activity
  • Portfolio maintains its highly secured profile, with dominance of corporate, mid to large size loans

Seasonality of collections across quarters

  1. Italfondiario collections for 2016 are accounted for as net cash flow consistent with their historical reporting

  2. Stock GBV excludes new servicing mandates on-boarded progressively in 2018, not yet fully reflected in collections of the period

Ancillary and other revenues

  • Ancillary and other revenues well above IPO target for 2019YE
  • Data remediation contracts completed on non-captive portfolios and on new GACS
  • Several due diligence closed in 4Q18 (e.g. BAMI process and others)
  • Judicial management progressing towards its run rate, only one year after start of operations
  • Others include Greek branch revenues for €3.2m, which represents cost reimbursement by the local banks

From gross to net revenues

Focus on operating expenses

NWC and net financial position

2018 Cash flow trend

  • Significant net cash flow generation driven by growth in EBITDA and reduction in Net Working Capital
  • Low capex needs and limited cash taxes support a Free Cash Flow generation of €66m, converting 81% of reported EBITDA
  • Organic cash flow generation deployed to reward investors with industry-leading dividend yields and to invest in M&A in an accretive and financially prudent transaction

Condensed consolidated income statement FY2018

Condensed
consolidated
income
statement
Year Year Change
2018 2017 Amount %
Serv
icing
rev enues
205,539 194,746 10,793 6%
Co-inv
estment
rev enues
911 665 246 37%
Ancillary
and
other
rev enues
27,054 18,136 8,918 49%
Gross
Revenues
233,504 213,547 19,957 9%
Outsourcing
fees
(23,910) (20,141) (3,769) 19%
Net
revenues
209,594 193,406 16,188 8%
Staff
expenses
(94,054) (83,391) (10,663) 13%
Administrativ
e expenses
(34,246) (39,913) 5,667 (14)%
Operating
expenses
(128,300) (123,304) (4,996) 4%
EBITDA 81,294 70,102 11,192 16%
EBITDA
Margin
35% 33% 2% 6%
Non-recurring
items
included
in
EBITDA
(2,712) - (2,712) n.s.
EBITDA
excluding
non-recurring
items
84,006 70,102 13,904 20%
EBITDA
Margin
excluding
non-recurring
items
36% 33% 3% 10%
Impairment/Write-backs
plant,
equipment
and
intangible
on property,
assets
(2,750) (2,284) (466) 20%
isions
for
risks
Net
Prov
and
charges
(318) (4,041) 3,723 (92)%
Net
Write-downs
of
loans
876 1,776 (900) (51)%
Net
income
(losses)
from
inv
estments
917 2,765 (1,848) (67)%
EBIT 80,019 68,318 11,701 17%
Net
financial
interest
and
commissions
198 (184) 382 n.s.
EBT 80,217 68,134 12,083 18%
for
Income
tax
the
year
(29,362) (22,750) (6,612) 29%
Profit
(loss)
from
group of
assets
sold
and
held
for
sale
net
of
tax
- (390) 390 (100)%
Net
Profit
(Loss)
attributable
to
the
Group
50,855 44,994 5,861 13%
Non-recurring
items
included
in
Profit
(Loss)
attributable
Net
to
the
Group
(1,784) - (1,784) n.s.
Net
Profit
(Loss)
attributable
to
the
Group
excluding
non-recurring
items
52,639 44,994 7,645 17%
Earnings
per share
(Euro)
0.65 0.58 0.07 13%
Earnings
per share
excluding
non-recurring
items
(Euro)
0.67 0.58

Condensed consolidated balance sheet FY2018

Change
Condensed balance sheet 12/31/2018 12/31/2017 %
Cash and liquid securities 74,443 50,364 24,079 48%
Financial assets 36,312 25,960 10,352 40%
Equity inv
estments
- 2,879 (2,879) (100)%
Tangible assets 2,810 2,772 38 1%
Intangible assets 8,327 6,041 2,286 38%
Tax assets 87,356 103,941 (16,585) (16)%
Trade receiv
ables
99,224 99,337 (113) (0)%
Assets on disposal 710 10 700 n.s.
Other assets 7,855 6,196 1,659 27%
Total assets 317,037 297,500 19,537 7%
Financial liabilities: due to customers - 11,759 (11,759) (100)%
Trade payables 21,848 21,072 776 4%
Tax Liabilities 10,174 6,105 4,069 67%
Employee Termination Benefits 9,577 10,360 (783) (8)%
Prov
ision for risks and charges
20,754 26,579 (5,825) (22)%
Liabilities associated with non-current assets and disposal groups held for sale 6,532 - 6,532 n.s.
Other liabilities 15,362 14,928 434 3%
Total Liabilities 84,247 90,803 (6,556) (7)%
Share capital 41,280 41,280 - n.s.
Reserv
es
140,901 120,700 20,201 17%
Treasury shares (246) (277) 31 (11)%
Result for the period 50,855 44,994 5,861 13%
Total shareholders' equity 232,790 206,697 26,093 13%
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 317,037 297,500 19,537 7%

Consolidated cash flow FY 2018

Cash
Flow
12/31/2018 12/31/2017
EBITDA 81,294 70,102
Capex (5,408) (6,557)
EBITDA-Capex 75,886 63,545
as %
of
EBITDA
93% 91%
Adjustment
for
accrual
on share-based
incentiv
e system
payments
5,814 2,195
Changes
in
NWC
889 1,055
in
assets/liabilities
Changes
other
(6,471) 6,666
Operating
Cash
Flow
76,118 73,461
paid
(IRES/IRAP)
Tax
(10,480) (1,170)
Free
Cash
Flow
65,638 72,291
(Inv
estments)/div
estments
in
financial
assets
(8,035) (12,509)
Equity
(inv
estments)/div
estments
2,610 1,694
Div
idend
paid
(30,907) (52,330)
Net
Cash
Flow
of
the
period
29,306 9,146
Net
financial
Position
- Beginning
of
period
38,605 29,459
Net
financial
Position
- End
of
period
67,911 38,605
in
Financial
Position
Change
Net
29,306 9,146

Key Performance Indicators FY 2018

Key
performance
indicators
12/31/2018 12/31/2017
Gross
Book
Value
(Eop)
- in
millions
of
Euro
-
82,179 76,703
Collections
for
the
period
- in
millions
of
Euro
-
1,961 1,836
Collections
for
the
Last
Twelv
e Months
(LTM)
- in
millions
of
Euro
-
1,961 1,836
Collections/GBV
(EoP)
LTM
2
4%
2
4%
Collections
Stock/GBV
Stock
(EoP)
LTM
2
.5%
2
4%
Staff
FTE/Total
FTE
37% 37%
Collections/Serv
icing
LTM
FTE
2,668 2,510
Cost/Income
ratio
61% 64%
EBITDA 81,294 70,102
Non-recurring
items
(2,712) -
excluding
non-recurring
items
EBITDA
84,006 70,102
EBT 80,217 68,134
Margin
EBITDA
35% 33%
Margin
excluding
non-recurring
items
EBITDA
36% 33%
Margin
EBT
34% 32%
Earning
per share
(Euro)
0
65
0
.58
Earning
excluding
non-recurring
items
(Euro)
per share
0
67
0
.58
EBITDA
– Capex
75,886 63,545
Net
Working
Capital
77,376 78,265
Net
Financial
Position
of
cash/(debt)
67,911 38,605

Regulatory capital

Excess capital to support business growth through M&A and investments as well as to remunerate investors

Tax assets

Disclaimer

This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, the "Presentation") do not constitute or form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any securities, and neither this Presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this Presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness, reasonableness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of doBank S.p.A., its subsidiaries or any of their respective employees, advisers, representatives or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. The information contained in this Presentation is provided as at the date of this Presentation and is subject to change without notice.

Statements made in this Presentation may include forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by the fact that they use words such as "anticipate", "estimate", "should", "expect", "guidance", "project", "intend", "plan", "believe", and/or other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with, among other things, any discussion of results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies or developments in the industry in which we operate. Such statements are based on management's current intentions, expectations or beliefs and involve inherent risks, assumptions and uncertainties, including factors that could delay, divert or change any of them. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation regarding trends or current activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Actual outcomes, results and other future events may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements contained herein. Such differences may adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein and may result from, among other things, changes in economic, business, competitive, technological, strategic or regulatory factors and other factors affecting the business and operations of the company. Neither doBank S.p.A. nor any of its affiliates is under any obligation, and each such entity expressly disclaims any such obligation, to update, revise or amend any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this Presentation. It should be noted that past performance is not a guide to future performance. Please also note that interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.

Certification of the financial reporting officer

Mauro Goatin, in his capacity as the officer responsible for preparing corporate accounting documents, certifies – pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2, of Legislative Decree 58/1998 (the Consolidated Financial Intermediation Act) – that the accounting information in this press release is consistent with the data in the accounting documentation, books and other accounting records.

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