Investor Presentation • Mar 19, 2019
Investor Presentation
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Rome, 19 March 2019
2018 financial targets achieved
All segments contributed to operating profit improvement
Deliver 2022 strategic plan on track
Solvency ratio benefitted from effective capital management actions
2018 DPS proposed to AGM at €0.44
| € m unless otherwise stated |
2017 | 2018 | Var. | Var. (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUES | 10,629 | 10,864 | +236 | +2.2% |
| REVENUES ADJUSTED1 | 9,939 | 10,356 | +417 | +4.2% |
| TOTAL OPERATING COSTS (INCLUDING D&A) |
9,506 | 9,366 | (140) | (1.5%) |
| EBIT EBIT MARGIN |
1,123 11% |
1,499 14% |
+376 +3p.p. |
+33.5% |
| EBIT ADJUSTED1 | 1,111 | 1,673 | +562 | +50.6% |
| NET PROFIT EPS (€/SHARE) |
689 0.53 |
1,399 1.07 |
+709 0.54 |
+102.9% |
| NET PROFIT ADJUSTED1 EPS ADJUSTED (€/SHARE) |
752 0.58 |
1,172 0.90 |
+419 0.32 |
+55.7% |
| € m unless otherwise stated |
4Q 2017 |
4Q 2018 | Var. | Var. (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUES | 2,735 | 2,913 | +178 | +6.5% |
| REVENUES ADJUSTED1 | 2,642 | 2,801 | +159 | +6.0% |
| TOTAL OPERATING COSTS (INCLUDING D&A) |
2,789 | 2,923 | +134 | +4.8% |
| EBIT EBIT MARGIN |
(54) (2.0%) |
(10) (0.3%) |
+44 +1.7p.p. |
+81.6% |
| EBIT ADJUSTED2 | 394 | 490 | +96 | +24.4% |
| NET PROFIT EPS (€/SHARE) |
(35) (0.03) |
343 0.26 |
+377 +0.29 |
n.m. |
| NET PROFIT ADJUSTED3 EPS (€/SHARE) |
285 0.22 |
349 0.27 |
+63 +0.05 |
+22.2% |
1. Excluding IFRS 9 impact on Visa, IFRS 15 impact, Anima, Mastercard 2. Excluding capital gains from Anima and Mastercard, early retirement incentives, real estate funds provisions, goodwill impairment of Postel 3. EBIT adjustments, impairments in finance income / (costs) and their tax effects. Excluding Poste Vita's DTAs
€ bn unless otherwise stated
€ m unless otherwise stated
INSURANCE SERVICES
MAIL AND PARCEL COMBINED REVENUES STABLE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN TEN YEARS
Includes Philately, Patenti Via Poste, Poste Motori, Mistral and other revenues
Includes income received by Other Segments in return for use of the distribution network and Corporate Services
Excluding net capital gains on investment portfolio and capital gain on Mastercard rebated to the network, early retirement incentives and impairment on Postel's goodwill
2018 OPERATING PROFIT PROGRESSION FUELLED BY DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH IN CARD REVENUES
€ m unless otherwise stated
€ m unless otherwise stated
POSITIVE NET INFLOWS MITIGATING THE IMPACT OF LOWER RETURNS IN A LOWER YIELD TREND
€ m unless otherwise stated
A DISCIPLINED RISK APPETITE FRAMEWORK, TARGETING SOLVENCY II RATIO AT ~200% THROUGH THE CYCLE
€ m unless otherwise stated
| €million | 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2018 | % | 2017 | 2018 | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUES REPORTED | 2,735 | 2,913 | 6% | 10,629 | 10,864 | 2% |
| NET CAPITAL GAINS | 0 | 0 | 532 | 379 | ||
| IFRS 9 IMPACT ON VISA | 0 | (7) | 0 | 9 | ||
| BDM/MCC | 0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | ||
| IFRS 15 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | ||
| ANIMA | 0 | 120 | 0 | 120 | ||
| MASTERCARD | 91 | 0 | 91 | 0 | ||
| REVENUES ADJUSTED | 2,642 | 2,801 | 6% | 9,939 | 10,356 | 4% |
| COSTS REPORTED |
2,789 | 2,923 | 9,506 | 9,366 | ||
| COSTS ADJUSTED1 | 2,248 | 2,310 | 8,828 | 8,684 | ||
| EBIT REPORTED | (54) | (10) | 82% | 1,123 | 1,499 | +34% |
| EBIT ADJUSTED | 394 | 490 | 24% | 1,111 | 1,673 | |
| IMPAIRMENTS | 0 | 62 | 94 | 62 | ||
| NET PROFIT | (35) | 343 | 689 | 1,399 | 103% | |
| NET PROFIT ADJUSTED2 | 285 | 349 | 22% | 752 | 1,172 | 56% |
KEY METRICS STEADLY INCREASING
1.3 1.5 2017 2018 +14%
# m
# m
REGISTERED ONLINE USERS STOCK
GROWTH IN CONSUMER FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS
+8.6
DAILY ONLINE USERS
+0.2
# m 1.8 2.6 2017 2018 ELECTRONIC IDENTIFICATION2 STOCK +0.7 +40%
GROWTH IN TRACK&TRACE SEARCHES3
€ m unless otherwise stated
€ m unless otherwise stated
CLASS III AND NEW PRODUCTS SUPPORTING ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT AND FEE GENERATION
€ m unless otherwise stated
€ m unless otherwise stated
€ m unless otherwise stated
1 Includes revenues from bollettino, banking accounts related revenues, commissions from INPS and money transfer, Postamat;2. Includes reported revenues from custody accounts, credit cards, other revenues from distribution of third parties product; 3-5 Explanatory notes to adjusted figures are provided in the following page
| €million | 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2018 | % | 2017 | 2018 | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUES REPORTED1 | 1,348 | 1,503 | 11% | 5,691 | 5,846 | 3% |
| NET CAPITAL GAINS | 0 | 0 | 532 | 379 | ||
| IFRS 9 IMPACT ON VISA | 0 | (7) | 0 | 9 | ||
| BDM/MCC | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | ||
| IFRS 15 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | ||
| ANIMA | 0 | 120 | 0 | 120 | ||
| MASTERCARD | 91 | 0 | 91 | 0 | ||
| REVENUES ADJUSTED | 1,254 | 1,390 | 11% | 5,000 | 5,338 | 7% |
| COSTS REPORTED |
1,216 | 1,228 | 1% | 5,045 | 4,987 | |
| COSTS ADJUSTED2 | 1,087 | 1,239 | 4,354 | 4,640 | ||
| EBIT | 132 | 274 | 646 | 859 | ||
| EBIT ADJUSTED | 168 | 152 | 646 | 698 | ||
| IMPAIRMENTS | 0 | 42 | 0 | 42 | ||
| NET PROFIT | 128 | 190 | 499 | 617 | 24% | |
| NET PROFIT ADJUSTED | 154 | 111 | 499 | 511 | 2% | |
| TRANSACTION BANKING | ||||||
| Stated revenues | 330 | 242 | (27%) | 1,063 | 965 | (9%) |
| Adjusted revenues | 239 | 250 | 4% | 972 | 956 | (2%) |
| ASSET MANAGEMENT | ||||||
| Stated revenues | 21 | 142 | n.m. | 85 | 209 | 145% |
| Adjusted revenues | 21 | 23 | 10% | 85 | 89 | 4% |
| LOANS & MORTGAGE DISTR. | ||||||
| Stated revenues | 63 | 70 | 11% | 272 | 263 | (3%) |
| Adjusted revenues | 61 | 70 | 15% | 204 | 263 | 28% |
1. Segment revenues + intersegment revenues
2. Adjustments in 2017: real estate funds provisions, IFRS 15, BdM – MCC, Mastercard, capital gains rebated to the network, early retirements incentives; in 2018 adjustments related to real estate funds provisions, capital gains rebated to the network, and early retirement incentives
€ m unless otherwise stated
€ m unless otherwise stated
| 2017 | 2018 | Var. YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unrealised gains (€/m) |
8,225 | 2,007 | -6,218 |
| Minimum guaranteed return (Class I) (%) |
0.88% | 0.78% | -10bps |
| Class I return (%) | 3.03% | 2.82% | -21bps |
€ m unless otherwise stated
| YE 2017 | YE 2018 | Var. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | 129,578 | 131,231 | +1.3% |
| Liabilities | 122,097 | 123,972 | +1.5% |
| Subordinated debt | 1,041 | 999 | -4.0% |
| Total own funds | 8,522 | 8,259 | -3.1% |
| YE 2017 | YE 2018 | Var. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market risk | 1,320 | 1,951 | +47.8% |
| Underwriting risk |
1,007 | 1,338 | +32.8% |
| Other2 | 723 | 621 | -14.1% |
| Total SCR | 3,050 | 3,910 | +28.2% |
CAPITAL POSITION TO SUPPORT SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DIVIDEND POLICY OVER THE PLAN
€ m unless otherwise stated
| €m | 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 2017 | 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 2,735 | 2,913 | 178 | 6% | 10,629 | 10,864 | 236 | 2% |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Mail, Parcel and Distribution | 971 | 991 | 20 | 2% | 3,632 | 3,580 | -51 | -1% |
| Payments, Mobile and Digital | 150 | 158 | 8 | 6% | 532 | 592 | 61 | 11% |
| Financial Services | 1,192 | 1,342 | 150 | 13% | 5,010 | 5,221 | 211 | 4% |
| Insurance Services | 423 | 422 | -1 | 0% | 1,456 | 1,470 | 15 | 1% |
| Total costs | 2,789 | 2,923 | 134 | 5% | 9,506 | 9,366 | -140 | -1% |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Total personnel expenses | 1,852 | 1,986 | 134 | 7% | 6,093 | 6,137 | 45 | 1% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,364 | 1,396 | 32 | 2% | 5,593 | 5,519 | -75 | -1% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 488 | 590 | 102 | 21% | 500 | 619 | 119 | 24% |
| Other operating costs | 804 | 773 | -32 | -4% | 2,868 | 2,659 | -209 | -7% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 133 | 164 | 31 | 23% | 545 | 570 | 24 | 4% |
| EBIT | (54) | (10) | 44 | 82% | 1,123 | 1,499 | 376 | 34% |
| EBIT Margin | -2% | -0.3% | 11% | 14% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) and profit/(loss) on investments accounted for using the equity method |
14 | -52 | -66 | n.m. | -55 | -8 | 47 | n.m. |
| Profit before tax | (39) | (62) | -22 | -56% | 1,067 | 1,490 | 423 | 40% |
| Income tax expense | (5) | (404) | -400 | n.m. | 378 | 92 | -286 | -76% |
| Profit for the period | (35) | 343 | 377 | n.m. | 689 | 1,399 | 709 | 103% |
| €m | 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 2017 | 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 971 | 991 | 20 | 2% | 3632 | 3580 | -51 | -1% |
| 718 | 694 | -25 | -3% | 2689 | 2621 | -68 | -3% | |
| Parcels | 191 | 233 | 42 | 22% | 693 | 761 | 68 | 10% |
| Other revenue | 61 | 63 | 2 | 4% | 249 | 198 | -51 | -21% |
| Intersegment revenue | 1,051 | 1,105 | 54 | 5% | 4,497 | 4,630 | 133 | 3% |
| Total revenues | 2,022 | 2,096 | 74 | 4% | 8,129 | 8,210 | 82 | 1% |
| Personnel expenses | 1,813 | 1,961 | 148 | 8% | 5,922 | 5,989 | 67 | 1% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,328 | 1,372 | 44 | 3% | 5,430 | 5,381 | -49 | -1% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 485 | 589 | 104 | 21% | 492 | 608 | 116 | 24% |
| Other operating costs | 582 | 574 | -8 | -1% | 2,155 | 2,055 | -99 | -5% |
| Intersegment costs | 15 | 17 | 1 | 8% | 64 | 68 | 4 | 6% |
| Total costs | 2,410 | 2,551 | 141 | 6% | 8,141 | 8,112 | -28 | 0% |
| EBITDA | (388) | (455) | -67 | -17% | (12) | 98 | 110 | n.m. |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 123 | 152 | 29 | 24% | 505 | 528 | 24 | 5% |
| EBIT | -511 | -608 | -96 | -19% | -517 | -430 | 86 | 17% |
| EBIT MARGIN | -25.3% | -29.0% | -6.4% | -5.2% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | -2 | -15 | -13 | n.m. | -112 | -31 | 81 | 72% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | -513 | -622 | -109 | -21% | -629 | -462 | 167 | 27% |
| Income tax expense | -114 | -155 | -42 | -37% | -127 | -89 | 38 | 30% |
| Profit for the period | -400 | -467 | -67 | -17% | -502 | -372 | 129 | 26% |
| €m | 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 2017 | 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 150 | 158 | 8 | 6% | 532 | 592 | 61 | 11% |
| Intersegment revenue | 89 | 94 | 5 | 6% | 361 | 360 | -1 | 0% |
| Total revenues | 239 | 252 | 13 | 6% | 892 | 952 | 60 | 7% |
| Personnel expenses | 9 | 8 | -1 | -11% | 31 | 31 | 0 | -1% |
| of which personnel expenses | 9 | 8 | -1 | -11% | 31 | 31 | 0 | -1% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | 0 | n.m. | 0 | 0 | 0 | n.m. |
| Other operating costs | 78 | 89 | 10 | 13% | 281 | 304 | 23 | 8% |
| Intersegment costs | 94 | 101 | 7 | 7% | 363 | 390 | 27 | 7% |
| Total costs | 181 | 197 | 16 | 9% | 675 | 725 | 49 | 7% |
| EBITDA | 58 | 55 | -3 | -5% | 217 | 227 | 10 | 5% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 6 | 6 | 1 | 11% | 22 | 24 | 1 | 6% |
| EBIT | 52 | 48 | -4 | -7% | 194 | 204 | 9 | 5% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 22% | 19% | 22% | 21% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 1 | 2 | 1 | 68% | 7 | 4 | -3 | -38% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 53 | 51 | -3 | -5% | 201 | 208 | 6 | 3% |
| Income tax expense | 14 | 14 | 0 | -1% | 55 | 55 | -1 | -1% |
| Profit for the period | 39 | 36 | -3 | -7% | 146 | 153 | 7 | 5% |
| €m | 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 2017 | 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 1,192 | 1,342 | 150 | 13% | 5,010 | 5,221 | 211 | 4% |
| Capital gains | 10 | 0 | -10 | n.m. | 547 | 404 | -143 | -26% |
| Interest income | 373 | 404 | 31 | 8% | 1,477 | 1,555 | 78 | 5% |
| Collection of postal savings | 394 | 483 | 89 | 23% | 1,566 | 1,827 | 261 | 17% |
| Transaction banking | 330 | 242 | -88 | -27% | 1,063 | 965 | -98 | -9% |
| Distribution of third-party products | 63 | 70 | 7 | 11% | 272 | 263 | -9 | -3% |
| Asset management | 21 | 142 | 122 | n.m. | 85 | 209 | 123 | 145% |
| Intersegment revenue | 166 | 161 | -6 | -3% | 695 | 649 | -46 | -7% |
| Total revenues | 1,358 | 1,503 | 145 | 11% | 5,705 | 5,871 | 165 | 3% |
| Personnel expenses | 20 | 8 | -12 | -59% | 103 | 80 | -24 | -23% |
| of which personnel expenses | 18 | 8 | -10 | -58% | 97 | 70 | -27 | -28% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 2 | 1 | -1 | -72% | 6 | 10 | 3 | 48% |
| Other operating costs | 124 | 85 | -39 | -31% | 349 | 214 | -135 | -39% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 0 | 0 | 0 | n.m. | 1 | 0 | 0 | -55% |
| Intersegment costs | 1,082 | 1,135 | 53 | 5% | 4,607 | 4,718 | 111 | 2% |
| Total costs | 1,226 | 1,228 | 2 | 0% | 5,060 | 5,011 | -49 | -1% |
| EBIT | 132 | 274 | 142 | 108% | 646 | 859 | 214 | 33% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 10% | 18% | 11% | 15% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 1 | (40) | -41 | n.m. | 6 | (32) | -38 | n.m. |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 133 | 234 | 101 | 76% | 651 | 827 | 176 | 27% |
| Income tax expense | 5 | 44 | 39 | n.m. | 152 | 210 | 58 | 38% |
| Profit for the period | 128 | 190 | 62 | 48% | 499 | 617 | 118 | 24% |
| €m | 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 2017 | 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 423 | 421 | -2 | 0% | 1,456 | 1,470 | 15 | 1% |
| Intersegment revenue | 0 | 1 | 1 | n.m. | 1 | 2 | 1 | 92% |
| Total revenues | 423 | 423 | -1 | -0.2% | 1,457 | 1,472 | 16 | 1% |
| Personnel expenses | 10 | 10 | -1 | -6% | 36 | 38 | 1 | 4% |
| of which personnel expenses | 9 | 9 | 0 | -3% | 35 | 37 | 1 | 4% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 1 | 0 | -0.4 | -42% | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1% |
| Other operating costs | 20 | 25 | 5 | 26% | 84 | 84 | 0 | 0% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19% | 17 | 17 | 0 | -1% |
| Intersegment costs | 115 | 108 | -8 | -7% | 519 | 467 | -53 | -10% |
| Total costs | 150 | 147 | -2 | -2% | 657 | 606 | -51 | -8% |
| EBIT | 274 | 275 | 2 | 1% | 799 | 866 | 67 | 8% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 65% | 65% | 55% | 59% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 14 | 1 | -13 | -96% | 44 | 51 | 7 | 15% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 287 | 276 | -11 | -4% | 843 | 917 | 73 | 9% |
| Income tax expense | 89 | (308) | -397 | n.m. | 297 | (84) | -382 | n.m. |
| Profit for the period | 198 | 584 | 386 | 195% | 546 | 1,001 | 455 | 83% |
| OPERATIONAL KPI's | 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2018 | D% YoY | 2017 | 2018 | D% YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAIL PARCELS & DISTRIBUTION |
Mail Volumes (#m) Parcels delivered by mailmen(#m) Parcel Volumes (#m) B2C Revenues (€m) |
816 11.5 32.1 73.4 |
754 14.3 38.9 98.4 |
-7.6% 24.7% 21.2% 34.0% |
3,124 33.5 113.2 235.5 |
2,951 44.5 127.4 301 |
-5.5% 32.9% 12.6% 27.8% |
| PAYMENTS, MOBILE & DIGITAL |
PostePay cards (#m) of which PostePay Evolution cards (#m) Total payment cards transactions (#bn) of which eCommerce transactions (#m) PosteMobile new products (#m) Digital e-Wallets (#m) |
17.7 4.7 0.26 47.9 0.306 1.734 |
19.0 6.3 0.31 59.6 0.256 2.843 |
7.6% 33.0% 19.2% 24.5% -16.4% 64.0% |
17.7 4.7 0.93 164.7 1.123 1.734 |
19.0 6.3 1.1 201.6 1.1 2.843 |
7.6% 33.0% 18.0% 22.4% -2.6% 64.0% |
| FINANCIAL SERVICES |
Total Financial Assets - TFAs (€/bn) Product Sales (#m) Unrealized gains (€m) |
510 2.0 1,615 |
514 2.1 -1,687 |
0.8% -3.9% n.m. |
510 8.0 1,615 |
514 8.4 -1,687 |
0.8% 4.1% n.m. |
| INSURANCE SERVICES |
Gross Written Premiums (€m) GWP – Life (€m) GWP – Private Pension Plan (€m) GWP – P&C (€m) |
3,967 3,593 338 36 |
4,029 3,636 348 44 |
1.6% 1.2% 3.0% 24.3% |
20,404 19,189 1,075 141 |
16,797 15,514 1,095 187 |
-17.7% -19.1% 1.9% 32.6% |
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect Poste Italiane's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and of the Company's Group.
These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation and are based on current expectations, reasonable assumptions and projections about future events and are therefore subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual future results and performance may indeed differ materially from what expressed or implied in this presentation, due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane to foresee, control or precisely estimate, including, but not limited to, changes in the legislative and regulatory framework, market developments and price fluctuations.
Forward-looking statements contained herein are not a guarantee of future performance and you are therefore cautioned not to place undue reliance thereon.
This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company; it does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane or any of its Group companies or other forms of financial assets, products or services.
Except as may be required by applicable law, Poste Italiane denies any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.
Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Consolidated Financial Bill of February 24, 1998, the executive (Dirigente Preposto) in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane, Tiziano Ceccarani, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results and accounting books and records.
This presentation includes summary financial information and should not be considered a substitute for Poste Italiane's full financial statements. Numbers in the presentation may not add up only due to roundings.
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