Investor Presentation • May 8, 2019
Investor Presentation
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Rome, May 8, 2019
NET PROFIT AT 439M: SOLID QUARTER CONFIRMING PROGRESS ON DELIVER 2022 TARGETS
FOCUS ON UNRIVALLED DISTRIBUTION NETWORK DELIVERING HIGHER QUALITY REVENUES AND IMPROVED OPERATING PROFITABILITY, WITH ADJUSTED EBIT UP BY 20M (+6% YOY)
MAIL REVENUES -5% YOY, IN LINE WITH THE SECULAR DECLINE EMBEDDED IN DELIVER 2022; PARCEL REVENUES UP 15% YOY, ABOVE 2017-2022 EXPECTED TREND, WITH B2C + 35% YOY
STRONG FINANCIAL SERVICES PERFORMANCE ACROSS ALL PRODUCT LINES, COUPLED WITH SOLID INSURANCE AND PAYMENT & MOBILE CONTRIBUTIONS
CONTINUED FOCUS ON COST DISCIPLINE AT HR AND NON HR LEVELS AS PER DELIVER 2022 TARGETS; WORKFORCE TRANSFORMATION CONTINUES WITH C.2,000 NEW HIRES IN KEY AREAS
| € m unless otherwise stated |
1Q 2018 |
1Q 2019 | Var. | Var. (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUES | 2,884 | 2,842 | (42) | (1.5%) |
| ADJUSTED REVENUES1 | 2,482 | 2,569 | +87 | +3.5% |
| TOTAL OPERATING COSTS (INCLUDING D&A) |
2,181 | 2,225 | +44 | +2.0% |
| EBIT EBIT MARGIN |
703 24.4% |
617 21.7% |
(86) (2.7p.p.) |
(12.2%) |
| ADJUSTED EBIT1 | 331 | 351 | +20 | +6.0% |
| NET PROFIT EPS (€/SHARE) |
485 0.37 |
439 0.34 |
(46) (0.03) |
(9.5%) |
| ADJUSTED NET PROFIT1 EPS (€/SHARE) |
220 0.17 |
231 0.18 |
+12 +0.01 |
+5.3% |
| CAPEX | 56 | 65 | +9 | +15.7% |
ADJUSTED REVENUES UP WITH MORE SUSTAINABLE MIX AND LOWER RELIANCE ON CAPITAL GAINS
€ m unless otherwise stated

€ m unless otherwise stated

MPD EBIT adjusted for 204m related to capital gain commissioning (306m in 1Q 2018), early retirements incentives for 2m (5m in 1Q18)
Refer to slide 23 for further details on adjustments 3. Refer to slide 20 for further details on adjustments
80% OF 1Q19 GROUP CAPEX SUPPORTS THE ONGOING TRANSFORMATION IN MAIL AND PARCEL


EBIT in line with expectations, on track with 2019 target
Includes Philately, Patenti Via Poste, Poste Motori, Mistral and other revenues
Includes income received by Other Segments in return for use of the distribution network and Corporate Services
1Q19 MPD EBIT adjusted for 204m related to capital gain commissioning (306m in 1Q 2018) and early retirements incentives for 2m (5m in 1Q 2018).
MAIL AND PARCEL TRENDS IN LINE WITH DELIVER 2022 EXPECTATIONS




+11%

Interest income up benefitting from higher volumes and rates
Includes revenues from bollettino, banking accounts related revenues, commissions from INPS and money transfers, Postamat; 2. Includes reported revenues from custody accounts, credit cards, other revenues from distribution of third parties products 3. Refer to slide 23 for further details on adjustments

Postal saving outflows improving supported by commercial activities and +55% digital offer
Deposits do not include Repo and Poste Italiane liquidity; 2. Including interests accrued
€ m unless otherwise stated

P&C revenues increasing with positive contribution from welfare and CPI products
Includes Poste Welfare Servizi (PWS) 2. Includes Private Pension Plan (PPP)



DELIVER 2022 PROGRESSING WELL ON TRACK, GUIDANCE CONFIRMED
IMPROVING QUALITY OF REVENUE STREAM AND REDUCED RELIANCE ON CAPITAL GAIN ALLOWING FOR SUSTAINABLE EBIT PROGRESSION
ONGOING MANAGERIAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT AGAINST MARKET VOLATILITY
JDM ROLL OUT ON TRACK, SUPPORTED BY NEW SORTING CENTER, EXPANDED ALTERNATIVE NETWORK FOR PARCELS AND LONG HAUL TRANSPORT OPTIMIZATION
STRONG PERFORMANCE OF FINANCIAL SEGMENTS, LEVERAGING ON POWERFUL DISTRIBUTION NETWORK AND DELIVER 2022 COMMERCIAL INITIATIVES

| 1Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| REPORTED REVENUES | 2,884 | 2,842 | -1% |
| GROSS CAPITAL GAINS ON INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO | 402 | 261 | |
| VISA - IFRS 9 VALUATION | 0 | 12 | |
| ADJUSTED REVENUES | 2,482 | 2,569 | 4% |
| REPORTED COSTS | 2,181 | 2,225 | |
| CAPITAL LOSSES ON INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO | 24 | 0 | |
| EARLY RETIREMENT INCENTIVES | 6 | 3 | |
| VISA - HEDGING DERIVATIVE FAIR VALUE CHANGE | 0 | 4 | |
| ADJUSTED COSTS | 2,151 | 2,218 | 3% |
| REPORTED EBIT | 703 | 617 | -12% |
| ADJUSTED EBIT | 331 | 351 | 6% |
| REPORTED NET PROFIT | 485 | 439 | -10% |
| ADJUSTED NET PROFIT | 220 | 231 | 5% |


| 1Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 REPORTED REVENUES |
1,714 | 1,678 | -2% |
| GROSS CAPITAL GAINS ON INV. PORTFOLIO | 402 | 261 | |
| VISA - IFRS 9 VALUATION | 0 | 12 | |
| ADJUSTED REVENUES | 1,312 | 1,405 | 7% |
| REPORTED COSTS | 1,475 | 1,417 | -4% |
| EARLY RETIREMENT INCENTIVES | 1 | 1 | |
| CAPITAL LOSSES ON INV. PORTFOLIO | 24 | 0 | |
| CAPITAL GAINS COMMISSIONING | 306 | 204 | |
| VISA - HEDGING DERIVATIVE FAIR VALUE CHANGE | 0 | 4 | |
| ADJUSTED COSTS | 1,144 | 1,209 | 6% |
| REPORTED EBIT | 239 | 261 | 9% |
| ADJUSTED EBIT | 169 | 196 | 16% |
| REPORTED NET PROFIT | 174 | 190 | 10% |
| ADJUSTED NET PROFIT | 123 | 142 | 15% |
HIGHER NII SUPPORTS SHIFT FROM CAPITAL GAINS TO MORE SUSTAINABLE REVENUES
€ m unless otherwise stated


MULTICLASS INSURANCE AND NEW MUTUAL FUND OFFER SUPPORTING REVENUE GENERATION










CAPITAL POSITION CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SUSTAINABLE GROWTH AND DIVIDEND POLICY




| €m | 1Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 2,884 | 2,842 | -42 | -1% |
| of which: | ||||
| Mail, Parcel and Distribution | 899 | 880 | -19 | -2% |
| Payments, Mobile and Digital | 130 | 140 | 9 | 7% |
| Financial Services | 1,532 | 1,485 | -47 | -3% |
| Insurance Services | 324 | 337 | 14 | 4% |
| Total costs | 2,181 | 2,225 | 44 | 2% |
| of which: | ||||
| Total personnel expenses | 1,430 | 1,438 | 8 | 1% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,424 | 1,435 | 11 | 1% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 6 | 3 | -3 | -50% |
| Other operating costs | 619 | 599 | -20 | -3% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 132 | 188 | 56 | 43% |
| EBIT | 703 | 617 | -86 | -12% |
| EBIT Margin | 24% | 22% | ||
| Finance income/(costs) and profit/(loss) on investments accounted for using the equity method |
8 | 6 | -2 | -23% |
| Profit before tax | 711 | 623 | -88 | -12% |
| Income tax expense | 226 | 184 | -41 | -18% |
| Profit for the period | 485 | 439 | -46 | -10% |
| €m | 1Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 899 | 880 | -19 | -2% |
| Intersegment revenue | 1,370 | 1,331 | -39 | -3% |
| Total revenues | 2,268 | 2,211 | -57 | -3% |
| Personnel expenses | 1,390 | 1,407 | 17 | 1% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,385 | 1,404 | 19 | 1% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 5 | 2 | -2 | -49% |
| Other operating costs | 477 | 460 | -17 | -4% |
| Intersegment costs | 15 | 20 | 5 | 30% |
| Total costs | 1,883 | 1,887 | 4 | 0% |
| EBITDA | 386 | 324 | -61 | -16% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 122 | 176 | 54 | 44% |
| EBIT | 263 | 148 | -115 | -44% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 11.6% | 6.7% | ||
| Finance income/(costs) | -8 | 2 | 10 | n.m. |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 255 | 151 | -105 | -41% |
| Income tax expense | 81 | 49 | -32 | -39% |
| Profit for the period | 174 | 101 | -73 | -42% |
| €m | 1Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 130 | 140 | 9 | 7% |
| Intersegment revenue | 89 | 96 | 7 | 8% |
| Total revenues | 219 | 235 | 16 | 7% |
| Personnel expenses | 8 | 9 | 1 | 12% |
| of which personnel expenses | 8 | 9 | 1 | 12% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | 0 | n.m. |
| Other operating costs | 66 | 73 | 7 | 10% |
| Intersegment costs | 83 | 91 | 8 | 9% |
| Total costs | 157 | 172 | 16 | 10% |
| EBITDA | 63 | 63 | 1 | 1% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 6 | 6 | 1 | 12% |
| EBIT | 57 | 57 | 0 | 0% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 26% | 24% | ||
| Finance income/(costs) | 1 | 2 | 1 | 51% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 58 | 59 | 1 | 1% |
| Income tax expense | 15 | 16 | 1 | 6% |
| Profit for the period | 43 | 42 | 0 | 0% |
| €m | 1Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 1,532 | 1,485 | -47 | -3% |
| Capital gains | 402 | 261 | -141 | -35% |
| Interest income | 361 | 410 | 49 | 14% |
| Collection of postal savings | 450 | 466 | 17 | 4% |
| Transaction banking | 240 | 246 | 6 | 2% |
| Distribution of third-party products | 57 | 77 | 20 | 34% |
| Asset management | 22 | 25 | 3 | 13% |
| Intersegment revenue | 182 | 193 | 11 | 6% |
| Total revenues | 1,714 | 1,678 | -36 | -2% |
| Personnel expenses | 22 | 12 | -11 | -47% |
| of which personnel expenses | 21 | 11 | -10 | -47% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 1 | 1 | -1 | -53% |
| Other operating costs | 55 | 44 | -11 | -20% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 0 | 0 | 0 | n.m. |
| Intersegment costs | 1,398 | 1,361 | -37 | -3% |
| Total costs | 1,475 | 1,417 | -58 | -4% |
| EBIT | 239 | 261 | 22 | 9% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 14% | 16% | ||
| Finance income/(costs) | 3 | 1 | -1 | -44% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 242 | 263 | 21 | 9% |
| Income tax expense | 68 | 72 | 4 | 6% |
| Profit for the period | 174 | 190 | 17 | 10% |
| €m | 1Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 324 | 337 | 14 | 4% |
| Intersegment revenue | 0 | 0 | 0 | n.m. |
| Total revenues | 324 | 338 | 14 | 4% |
| Personnel expenses | 10 | 10 | 0 | 4% |
| of which personnel expenses | 10 | 10 | 0 | 4% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | 0 | n.m. |
| Other operating costs | 22 | 23 | 1 | 6% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 4 | 6 | 2 | 46% |
| Intersegment costs | 145 | 148 | 3 | 2% |
| Total costs | 180 | 187 | 7 | 4% |
| EBIT | 144 | 151 | 7 | 5% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 44% | 45% | ||
| Finance income/(costs) | 12 | 0 | -12 | -96% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 156 | 151 | -5 | -3% |
| Income tax expense | 61 | 46 | -15 | -24% |
| Profit for the period | 95 | 105 | 10 | 11% |
| OPERATIONAL KPI's | 1Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | Δ% YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mail Volumes (#m) Parcels delivered by mailmen (#m) MAIL PARCELS & Parcel volumes (#m) DISTRIBUTION B2C Revenues (€m) |
804 10 29 63 |
717 12 35 86 |
-11% 21% 19% 35% |
| PostePay cards (#m) of which PostePay Evolution cards (#m) PAYMENTS, Total payment cards transactions (#bn) MOBILE & of which eCommerce transactions (#m) DIGITAL Mobile & land-line (#m) Digital e-Wallets (#m) |
18 5 0.25 49.7 3.9 2.0 |
19 7 0.33 55.8 4.2 3.1 |
5% 30% 32% 12% 7% 56% |
| Total Financial Assets - TFAs (€/bn) FINANCIAL Product Sales (#m) SERVICES Unrealized gains (€m) |
517 2 2,789 |
525 2 -3,093 |
1% 5% n.m. |
| Gross Written Premiums (€m) INSURANCE GWP – Life (€m) SERVICES GWP – Private Pension Plan (€m) GWP – P&C (€m) |
5,336 5,015 272 48 |
5,989 5,637 273 79 |
12% 12% 0% 64% |
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect Poste Italiane's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and of the Company's Group.
These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation and are based on current expectations, reasonable assumptions and projections about future events and are therefore subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual future results and performance may indeed differ materially from what expressed or implied in this presentation, due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane to foresee, control or precisely estimate, including, but not limited to, changes in the legislative and regulatory framework, market developments and price fluctuations.
Forward-looking statements contained herein are not a guarantee of future performance and you are therefore cautioned not to place undue reliance thereon.
This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company; it does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane or any of its Group companies or other forms of financial assets, products or services.
Except as may be required by applicable law, Poste Italiane denies any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.
Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Consolidated Financial Bill of February 24, 1998, the executive (Dirigente Preposto) in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane, Tiziano Ceccarani, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results and accounting books and records.
This presentation includes summary financial information and should not be considered a substitute for Poste Italiane's full financial statements. Numbers in the presentation may not add up only due to roundings.
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