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Banco BPM SpA

Investor Presentation Aug 6, 2019

4282_ip_2019-08-06_15b711c4-a86b-4f72-8010-e1a67f1a7453.pdf

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H1 2019 Group Results Presentation

6 August 2019

DISCLAIMER

This presentation has been prepared by Banco BPM ("Banco BPM"); for the purposes of this notice, "presentation" means this document, any oral presentation, any question and answer session and any written or oral material discussed following the distribution of this document.

The distribution of this presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law or regulation. Accordingly, persons who come into possession of this document should inform themselves of, and observe, these restrictions. To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, Banco BPM and its subsidiaries disclaim any responsibility or liability for the violation of such restrictions by any person.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Banco BPM or any member of its group or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities, nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities in Banco BPM or any member of its group, or investment decision or any commitment whatsoever. This presentation and the information contained herein does not constitute an offer of securities in the United States or to any U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 (the "Securities Act"), as amended), Canada, Australia, Japan or any other jurisdiction where such offer is unlawful.

The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and is subject to amendment, revision and updating without notice. Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements about Banco BPM. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forward-looking statements are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "believes", "intends", "estimates" and similar expressions. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.

Banco BPM does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to Banco BPM or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by this disclaimer.

None of Banco BPM, its subsidiaries or any of their respective representatives, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

By participating to the presentation of the Group results and accepting a copy of this presentation, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations regarding the information disclosed in this presentation.

This presentation includes both accounting data (based on financial accounts) and internal management data (which are also based on estimates).

***

Mr. Gianpietro Val, as the manager responsible for preparing the Bank's accounts, hereby states pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2 of the Financial Consolidated Act that the accounting data contained in this presentation correspond to the documentary evidence, corporate books and accounting records.

METHODOLOGICAL NOTES

  • The new accounting standard IFRS 16 on Leasing contracts became effective beginning on 1 January 2019 and therefore the P&L and balance sheet results of H1 2019 have been prepared in compliance with the new accounting standard. Banco BPM has chosen to carry out the first-time adoption (FTA) through the modified retrospective approach, which provides the option, established by IFRS 16, of recognizing the cumulative effect of the adoption of the standard at the date of first-time adoption and not restating the comparative information of the financial statements of first-time adoption of IFRS 16. As a result, the figures for 2019 will not be comparable with regard to the valuation of the rights of use, lease payable and related economic effects. For more information and the related impacts, please refer to the Methodological Notes included in the News Release regarding the Half Yearly 2019 consolidated results of Banco BPM.
  • Starting from 30/06/2018, ordinary and extraordinary systemic charges related to SRF and DGS have been reclassified from Other Operating Expenses to a dedicated item "Systemic charges after tax". Q1 2018 P&L schemes have been reclassified accordingly.
  • Starting from 30/06/2019, upfront fees related to the placement of Certificates have been reclassified from Net Financial Results to Net Fees & Commissions. The previous quarters (2018 and Q1 2019) have been reclassified accordingly.
  • It is also reminded that, on 16 April 2019, Banco BPM accepted the binding offer submitted by Illimity Bank S.p.A. and regarding the sale of a portfolio of Leasing Bad Loans. More in detail, the disposal concerns a portfolio for a nominal value of about €650 million at the cut-off date of 30th June 2018, mainly composed of receivables deriving from the active and passive legal relationships related to leasing contracts classified as bad loans, together with the related agreements, legal relationships, immovable or movable assets and the underlying contracts. The closure of the operation is subject to precedent conditions that are customary for transactions of this kind, including the notarial certification for the transferability of the assets, and shall be executed in various phases, with the conclusion expected by mid-2020. Starting from Q2 2019, the loans subject to this transaction (€607m GBV and €156m NBV as at 30/06/2019) have been reclassified as discontinued operations according to the IFRS5 standard.
  • On 28 June 2019, Banco BPM sold the Profamily captive business to Agos (the company subject to the disposal was renamed ProAgos S.p.A.). The non-captive business was demerged prior to this transaction through a spin-off operation in favour of a new company which keeps the name of ProFamily S.p.A. and which is 100% held by Banco BPM. Moreover, starting from Q2 2019, the assets and liabilities (mainly composed by customer loans for an amount of €1,352m) referred to this non-captive business have been classified as discontinued operations according to IFRS5 standard. In this presentation, in order to allow a proper comparison, the historic data of Customer Loans (2018 and 31/03/2019) have been adjusted excluding all ex-Profamily volumes (captive and non-captive). It is also noted that, with reference to P&L, the ProFamily contribution continues to be represented line-by-line, under the relevant P&L items.
  • In this presentation, data relating to the capital position of the Group defined as "pro-forma" are also shown. Please note that they do not represent pro-forma figures according to Consob rules, as specified above, but they are simply adjusted data calculated applying to stated figures the estimated impacts of the events described.

It is also noted that in this presentation, in line with accounting reporting, the securities portfolio is subdivided on the basis of the various accounting valuation criteria (i.e. FVOCI, Amortised Cost – also referred to as AC - and FVTPL), whereas in previous presentations the corresponding terminology related to the underlying business model was used (i.e. HTCS, HTC and HFT).

***

Agenda

1. Key H1 2019 Performance Highlights 4
2. Performance Details: 20
-
Profitability
21
-
Balance Sheet
31
-
Funding and Liquidity
32
-
Customer Loans and Focus on Credit Quality
36
-
Capital Position
40

H1 2019 HIGHLIGHTS: FROM DERISKING TO PROFITABILITY (1/2)

Key Achievements at a Glance

Notes: 1. Commission growth post reclassification of upfront fees on Certificates (+6.9%q/q pre-reclassification). 2. Net of non-recurring items. See slide 22 for details. 3. Customer Loans as at 31/03/19 adjusted excluding Profamily volumes; see Methodological Notes for details. 4. Ratios as at 31/03/2019 are calculated excluding Profamily and are here indicated post the estimated impact at that date of L-ACE transaction (signed in April); re-including Profamily, the Gross NPE ratio came in at 9.9% (as indicated in the Q1 2019 Results Presentation) and the Texas Ratio at 69.7%.

H1 2019 HIGHLIGHTS: FROM DERISKING TO PROFITABILITY (2/2)

Key Achievements at a Glance

LIQUIDITY & FIN. ASSETS

CAPITAL POSITION

  • Balanced financial position: well diversified bond portfolio, contributing to solid liquidity
  • Good performance of reserves and strong unrealised gains1

Key capital actions, announced and finalized, are included in stated ratios

PF ratios also include the deconsolidation of RWA related to L-ACE

FOCUS ON COMMERCIAL ACTIONS ONGOING COST CONTROL NORMALIZATION IN THE COST OF RISK OUTLOOK:

Notes: 1. Securities measured at FVOCI correspond to the HTCS portfolio; Securities measured at AC correspond to the HTC portfolio. 2. PF ratios only exclude the RWA related to L-ACE bad loans, while they still include the RWA as at 30/06/2019 related to Profamily non–captive loans (classified as discontinued operation as at 30/06/2019); excluding also this latter component, ceteris paribus, the CET 1 FL ratio would increase by an additional 19bps.

GROUP H1 2019 QUARTERLY PERFORMANCE


m
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Chg. q/q Comments
NII 505.2 514.8 1.9%
Fees
&
Commissions:
includes
upfront
fees
for
the
placements
of
Certificates
(previously
FEES & COMMISSIONS 434.5 453.7 4.4% under
NFR);
the
growth
came
in
at
6.9%
q/q
pre-reclassification
"CORE REVENUES" 939.7 968.5 3.1%
TOTAL INCOME 1,063.4 1,020.1 -4.1%
Total
Income:
Q1
includes
€60m
of
positive
impact
from
the
Nexi
stake
OPERATING COSTS -670.5 -675.0 0.7%
Operating
costs:
-1.2%
q/q,
excluding
-€20.0m
of
one-off
D&A
in
Q2
(vs.
-€7.5m
in
Q1)
PROFIT FROM OPERATIONS 392.9 345.2 -12.1%
Pre-tax
profit:
Q2
includes
€332.2m
of
capital
gains
from
the
sale
of
Profamily
Captive
and
LLPs -152.0 -197.7 30.1% from
the
JV
on
the
NPL
platform
(€326.2m
post-tax)
PRE-TAX PROFIT 241.6 478.0 97.9%
Net
Income
in
Q2
also
includes:

€21.0m
one-off
positive
fiscal
items
NET INCOME 150.5 442.6 194.1%
-€15.2m
extraordinary
systemic
charges
1
NET ADJUSTED INCOME
155.4 135.6 -12.8%
Net
adjusted
income:
Q1
includes
€55m
of
positive
post-tax
impact
from
the
Nexi
stake

Note: 1. All non-recurring elements excluded from the stated Net Income are shown in detail in slide 22.

NET INTEREST INCOME: HIGHLIGHTS ON Q2 2019

CORE NII: EVOLUTION BREAKDOWN

  • Resilient Core NII, thanks to a good combination of loan growth (average volumes) and lower cost of wholesale funding
  • Asset spread down 3bps q/q reflecting the competitive environment, in particular on highly-rated customers and on ST lending, as well as the impact of the back-book amortisation with higher underlying spreads
  • Y/Y Core NII down 1.4% (see slide 26 for details)

Note: 1. Other NII includes PPA as well as impacts from IFRS 9 and IFRS 16, see slide 26 for more details. 2. Non-Commercial Banking includes: financial activities, Hedging, interest on Bonds (Retail and Institutional) and other elements.

GROUP VOLUMES: CUSTOMER LOANS AND DIRECT FUNDING

Robust volume growth, confirming a solid client base and successful access to wholesale markets for direct funding

Notes: 1. Exclude GACS senior notes, REPOs and Leasing. 2. Restated excluding REPOs and including Capital Protected Certificates. 3. Include MLT Mortgages (Secured and Unsecured),Personal Loans, Pool, ST/MLT Structured Finance. Exclude Agos and Profamily volumes sold by the network (aggregate amount of €0.6bn in both H1 19 and H1 18), but not consolidated by the Group.

NET FEES & COMMISSIONS: HIGHLIGHTS ON Q2 2019

Resilient AUM & AUC running fees, thanks to the new commercial approach

AUM & AUC Upfront (management data of the commercial network)

Other Management & Advisory fees 2

Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Chg. % Chg.
Total Fees and commissions pre-reclassification 420.0 449.0 +29.0 +6.9%
Reclassification of distribution upfront for Certificates 14.5 4.6 -9.9 -68.1%
TOTAL FEES AND COMMISSIONS post-reclassification1 434.5 453.7 +19.2 +4.4%

Note: 1. Fees & Commissions include the restatement of the upfront components for the placements of Certificates (previously booked under NFR). 2. Include AUM & AUC running fees, distribution and maintenance of Non-life insurance & Third-party products, Advisory and Other.

AUM & AUC: RESILIENT SELLING ACTIVITY

  • After the decline registered in quarterly AUM & AUC placements during 2018, H1 2019 shows a good recovery, especially in Q2, reaching €3.3bn (+15.6% q/q)
  • Following the adoption of a new customer-based commercial approach in 2018, the Group has rebalanced the composition of Management & Advisory fees, registering a resilient contribution from the AUM & AUC upfront component

INDIRECT CUSTOMER FUNDING AT €89.1BN

  • Managed Accounts and Funds of Funds
  • Bancassurance
  • Funds & Sicav
  • Total Indirect Customer Funding at €89.1bn: +0.6% y/y, +2.8% YTD
  • Good performance in Funds & Sicav: +2.7% y/y and +4.7% YTD
  • Assets under Custody are stable in Q2, registering a growth of 4.4% y/y and of 4.6% YTD

Historic adjusted data exclude the volumes of the Custodian banking activity sold in September 2018 and other commercial adjustments. Management data of the commercial network.

Notes: 1. AuC data are net of capital-protected certificates, as they have been regrouped under Direct Funding (see slide 32).

Assets under Management

DEBT SECURITIES PORTFOLIO & LIQUIDITY POSITION

Increased diversification of securitites portfolio, keeping risk under control

Note: 1. Monthly LCR of June 2019. Q2 NSFR based on management data.

OPERATING COSTS: FURTHER STRONG CONTROL

Note: 1. Net adjustments on tangible and intangible assets (mostly Real Estate).

DERISKING: MATERIAL AND ONGOING IMPROVEMENT IN RATIOS

Customer Loans as at 30/06/18, 31/12/18 and 31/03/19 are adjusted excluding Profamily volumes. Refer to Methodological Notes for details.

NPE as at 30/06/2019 exclude €607m of Leasing Bad Loans (€156m net book value) to be disposed with the L-ACE transaction (agreement signed in April 2019), as they have been reclassified under Discontinued Operations.

SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN ALL ASSET QUALITY KPIs

Cost of Risk at 65bps, thanks to the solid trend in all key asset quality drivers

Note: 1. Customer Loans as at 31/12/18 and 31/03/19 are adjusted excluding Profamily volumes. Refer to the Methodological Notes for details. 2. CoR calculated including also loans classified at IFRS 5, for coherence with related LLPs

STRONG CAPITAL POSITION WITH KEY ANNOUNCED CAPITAL ACTIONS FINALIZED

  • Strong capital position, already including the TRIM impact
  • Optimized capital structure through €300m AT1 issue in April 2019

Note: 1. PF ratios only exclude the RWA related to L-ACE bad loans, while they still include the RWA as at 30/06/2019 related to Profamily non–captive loans (classified as discontinued operation as at 30/06/2019); excluding also this latter component, ceteris paribus, the CET 1 FL ratio would increase by an additional 19bps (+21bps Phased-in). 2. The TRIM impact would have been higher, but is partially offset by the removal of a market risk-related RWA add-on, for around 5bps.

Total Capital Ratio 12.4% 13.1% 14.5% 14.5%

RWA (€m) 64,034 63,942 64,971 64,769

CAPITAL OUTLOOK: CONFIDENCE IN FUTURE SCENARIOS

  • New EU rules (CRD IV art. 500) confirming that massive NPL disposals will not materially impact LGD
  • AIRB perimeter currently lower compared with competitors (45.2% vs. : pre-application in August related to Specialized Lending
  • The new AIRB models validated by the ECB in 2018 had already incorporated most of the TRIM effects; the TRIM impact registered in , represents the final quantification based on latest available official information
  • SME supporting factor allowing to sustain the real economy with a positive potential impacts on capital ratios (~20/30 bps, based on
  • Significant room for a further increase in CET1 acting on nonstrategic participations in financial companies
  • Stable return to profitability set to progressively "unleash" DTAs
  • Additional potential buffers embedded in other assets (e.g. Real Estate assets and Debt Securities at AC)

VARIOUS POTENTIAL CAPITAL SOURCES ALLOW THE GROUP TO FACE THE CHALLENGES OF THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT WITH A SOLID LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE

Note: 1. RWA AIRB on total credit RWA as of 31/03/2019. Sample composed by UCG, ISP, MPS, UBI, BPER, CE, CREVAL. 2. See note 2 on the previous slide.

FY 2019 PERFORMANCE OUTLOOK IN COMPARISON WITH 2016/2019 STRATEGIC PLAN

Outperforming plan targets on: 2019 Plan Achieved
OVERDELIVERY
ON:
Target (as
at
30/06/2019)
DERISKING

NPE stock (gross)
€23.2bn €10.7bn
RESTRUCTURING
Staff Reduction (#)
-1,888 -3,037
Branches (#)
2,082 1,727
Significantly different macro-scenario: EPS ADJUSTED3
EXPECTED
FOR FY 2019:
>€0.3
REVENUES AFFECTED BY:

ADVERSE MARKET
Euribor3M
+0.10% -0.35%
CONDITIONS
GDP
+1.0% +0.0%1
CHANGE IN PERIMETER

BTP/Bund spr.
81bps 205bps2
Capital strengthening through the
rationalisation
of the Group's structure,
implying a reduction in the perimeter

Notes: 1. Source: ISTAT preliminary estimate July 31st 2019. 2. Average BTP-Bund spread since 1 January 2017. 3. Excluding non recurrent items. EPS Adjusted expected for FY 2019 is substantially aligned with market consensus.

Agenda

  1. Key H1 2019 Performance Highlights 4
2. Performance Details: 20
-
Profitability
21
-
Balance Sheet
31
-
Funding and Liquidity
32
-
Customer Loans and Focus on Credit Quality
36
-
Capital Position
40

RECLASSIFIED P&L: QUARTERLY EVOLUTION

Reclassified income statement Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019
(in euro million) Stated Stated Stated Stated Stated Stated
Net interest income 595.1 585.0 557.8 554.7 505.2 514.8
Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at 42.6 33.4 32.8 50.7 36.8 32.6
equity
Net interest, dividend and similar income 637.7 618.4 590.6 605.4 541.9 547.5
Net fee and commission income 477.9 457.3 451.4 474.4 434.5 453.7
Other net operating income 24.2 130.0 214.5 21.1 14.6 8.3
Net financial result 27.9 73.9 46.8 -78.4 72.3 10.7
Other operating income 530.0 661.2 712.7 417.0 521.5 472.7
Total income 1,167.7 1,279.6 1,303.2 1,022.4 1,063.4 1,020.1
Personnel expenses -442.1 -437.1 -431.5 -422.2 -425.9 -418.0
Other administrative expenses -211.5 -203.1 -196.2 -205.7 -167.0 -163.1
Amortization and depreciation -47.9 -49.0 -49.5 -97.1 -77.6 -93.8
Operating costs -701.5 -689.2 -677.1 -725.0 -670.5 -675.0
Profit (loss) from operations 466.2 590.4 626.1 297.4 392.9 345.2
Net adjustments on loans to customers -326.2 -360.2 -267.4 -987.3 -152.0 -197.7
Net adjustments on other financial assets 2.2 -1.6 -1.3 4.0 -4.0 4.0
Net provisions for risks and charges -25.0 -20.7 -71.9 -227.8 4.4 -10.1
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other 179.7 -1.1 -10.3 5.1 0.2 336.6
investments
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations 296.9 206.8 275.2 -908.6 241.6 478.0
Tax on income from continuing operations -25.9 -61.3 -72.3 322.4 -50.7 -23.4
Systemic charges after tax -49.0 -18.4 -32.1 -0.7 -41.6 -15.2
Income (loss) after tax from discontinued operations 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests 1.4 2.2 0.3 5.8 1.2 3.2
Net income (loss) for the period excluding Badwill &
Impairment of goodwill and client relationship
223.3 129.3 171.9 -581.0 150.5 442.6

Starting from 30/06/2019, upfront fees related to the placement of Certificates have been reclassified from Net Financial Results to Net Fees & Commissions. The previous quarters (2018 and Q1 2019) have been reclassified coherently.

Q2 2019 ADJUSTED P&L: DETAILS ON NON-RECURRING ITEMS

Reclassified income statement Q2 2019 Q2 2019 Non-recurring items and
(in euro million) Stated Adjusted One- off extraordinary systemic charges
Net interest income 514.8 514.8 0.0
Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at equity 32.6 32.6 0.0
Net interest, dividend and similar income 547.5 547.5 0.0
Net fee and commission income 453.7 453.7 0.0
Other net operating income 8.3 8.3 0.0
Net financial result 10.7 10.7 0.0
Other operating income 472.7 472.7 0.0
Total income 1,020.1 1,020.1 0.0
Personnel expenses -418.0 -418.0 0.0
Other administrative expenses -163.1 -163.1 0.0
Amortization and depreciation -93.8 -73.9 -20.0 Adjustm
ents on tangible and intangible assets
Operating costs -675.0 -655.0 -20.0
Profit (loss) from operations 345.2 365.2 -20.0
Net adjustments on loans to customers -197.7 -197.7 0.0
Net adjustments on other assets 4.0 4.0 0.0
Net provisions for risks and charges -10.1 5.2 -15.3 Adjustm
ents on custom
er
conditions and other
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments 336.6 0.0 336.6 Disposal of Profam
ily, JV NPL platform
, other
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations 478.0 176.7 301.4
Tax on income from continuing operations -23.4 -44.3 21.0 Extraordinary positive fiscal item
s
Systemic charges after tax -15.2 0.0 -15.2 Additional contribution to Italian resolution fund
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests 3.2 3.2 0.0
Net income (loss) for the period excluding Badwill & Impairment
of goodwill and client relationship
442.6 135.6 307.1

RECLASSIFIED P&L: ANNUAL COMPARISON

Reclassified income statement H1 2018 H1 2019 Chg. Y/Y Chg. Y/Y
(in euro million) Stated Stated %
Net interest income 1,180.1 1,020.0 -160.1 -13.6%
Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at
equity 76.0 69.4 -6.6 -8.7%
Net interest, dividend and similar income 1,256.1 1,089.4 -166.7 -13.3%
Net fee and commission income 935.2 888.2 -47.0 -5.0%
Other net operating income 154.2 22.9 -131.3 -85.1%
Net financial result 101.8 83.0 -18.8 -18.4%
Other operating income 1,191.2 994.1 -197.0 -16.5%
Total income 2,447.3 2,083.5 -363.8 -14.9%
Personnel expenses -879.1 -843.9 35.3 -4.0%
Other administrative expenses -414.6 -330.2 84.4 -20.4%
Amortization and depreciation -96.9 -171.4 -74.5 76.8%
Operating costs -1,390.7 -1,345.5 45.2 -3.3%
Profit (loss) from operations 1,056.6 738.1 -318.5 -30.1%
Net adjustments on loans to customers -686.5 -349.6 336.8 -49.1%
Net adjustments on other financial assets 0.6 0.0 -0.6 -96.1%
Net provisions for risks and charges -45.7 -5.7 40.0 -87.6%
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other 178.6 336.8 158.3 88.6%
investments
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations 503.7 719.6 215.9 42.9%
Tax on income from continuing operations -87.3 -74.1 13.2 -15.1%
Systemic charges after tax -67.4 -56.9 10.6 -15.7%
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests 3.6 4.5 0.9 24.5%
Net income (loss) for the period 352.6 593.1 240.6 68.2%

Starting from 30/06/2019, upfront fees related to the placement of Certificates have been reclassified from Net Financial Results to Net Fees & Commissions. The previous quarters (2018 and Q1 2019) have been reclassified coherently.

H1 2019 ADJUSTED P&L: DETAILS ON NON-RECURRING ITEMS

Reclassified income statement H1 2019 H1 2019 Non-recurring items and
(in euro million) Stated Adjusted One- off extraordinary systemic charges
Net interest income 1,020.0 1,020.0 0.0
Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at equity 69.4 69.4 0.0
Net interest, dividend and similar income 1,089.4 1,089.4 0.0
Net fee and commission income 888.2 888.2 0.0
Other net operating income 22.9 22.9 0.0
Net financial result 83.0 83.0 0.0
Other operating income 994.1 994.1 0.0
Total income 2,083.5 2,083.5 0.0
Personnel expenses -843.9 -843.9 0.0
Other administrative expenses -330.2 -330.2 0.0
Amortization and depreciation -171.4 -144.0 -27.5 Adjustm
ents on tangible and intangible assets
Operating costs -1,345.5 -1,318.0 -27.5
Profit (loss) from operations 738.1 765.5 -27.5
Net adjustments on loans to customers -349.6 -349.6 0.0
Net adjustments on other assets 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net provisions for risks and charges -5.7 9.6 -15.3 Adjustm
ents on custom
er
conditions and other
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments 336.8 0.0 336.8 Disposal of ProAfam
ily, JV NPL platform
, other
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations 719.6 425.5 294.0
Tax on income from continuing operations -74.1 -96.9 22.8 Extraordinary positive fiscal item
s
Systemic charges after tax -56.9 -41.6 -15.2 Additional contribution to Italian resolution fund
Income (loss) after tax from discontinued operations 0.0 0.0 0.0
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests 4.5 3.9 0.6
Net income (loss) for the period excluding Badwill & Impairment
of goodwill and client relationship
593.1 291.0 302.2

H1 2019 RECLASSIFIED P&L – PPA AND IFRS 9 IMPACTS

(A-C) (A-C-F)
A B C E F
Reclassified income statement H1 19 H1 19 H1 19 H1 19
(in euro million) Stated CE ex
PPA
PPA
(Total)
CE ex PPA
and ex IFRS 9
Recl.
IFRS 9
Net interest income 1,020.0 1,011.3 8.7 1,007.7 3.6
Income (loss) from investments in associates carried at equity 69.4 69.4 0.0 69.4
Net interest, dividend and similar income 1,089.4 1,080.7 8.7 1,077.1 3.6
Net fee and commission income 888.2 888.2 0.0 888.2
Other net operating income 22.9 42.1 -19.2 42.1
Net financial result 83.0 83.0 0.0 83.0
Other operating income 994.1 1,013.3 -19.2 1,013.3 0.0
Total income 2,083.5 2,094.0 -10.5 2,090.4 3.6
Personnel expenses -843.9 -843.9 0.0 -843.9
Other administrative expenses -330.2 -330.2 0.0 -330.2
Amortization and depreciation -171.4 -165.5 -5.9 -165.5
Operating costs -1,345.5 -1,339.5 -5.9 -1,339.5 0.0
Profit (loss) from operations 738.1 754.5 -16.4 750.9 3.6
Net adjustments on loans to customers -349.6 -349.6 0.0 -346.0 -3.6
Net adjustments on other assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net provisions for risks and charges1 -5.7 -5.7 0.0 -5.7
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments 336.8 336.8 0.0 336.8
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations 719.6 736.0 -16.4 736.0 0.0
Tax on income from continuing operations -74.1 -79.4 5.3 -79.4
Systemic charges after tax -56.9 -56.9 0.0 -56.9
Income (loss) after tax from discontinued operations 0.0 0.0
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests 4.5 4.5 0.0 4.5
Net income (loss) for the period excluding Badwill
&
Impairment of goodwill and client relationship
593.1 604.3 -11.1 604.3 0.0
Impairment of goodwill and client relationship
Net income (loss) for the period 593.1 604.3 -11.1 604.3 0.0

H1 2019 RESULTS: NET INTEREST INCOME

Details of Other (Non-Core Components)

Details of Other (Non-Core Components)

H1 2019 RESULTS: NET FEES & COMMISSIONS1

  • Healthy progress in the q/q performance (+4.4%), thanks to both Management & Advisory and Commercial Banking Fees
  • The y/y comparison is affected by lower Management & Advisory Fees, mainly due to lower upfront fees, as well as the disposal of the depositary bank

Note: 1. Fees & Commissions include the restatement of the upfront for the placements of Certificates, previously booked in NFR (€7.7m in H1 2018 and €19.1m in H1 2019).

H1 2019 RESULTS: NET FINANCIAL RESULT1

  • On a quarterly basis, the reduction is essentially explained by the positive one-off impact included in Q1 2019 in relation to the stake in Nexi (€59.8m in Q1)
  • Excluding the positive Nexi impact registered in Q1 2019, the reduction of -€78.5m implied in the y/y comparison is due to a rebalancing of the securities portfolio in favour of the AC component as well as a prudent hedging strategy adopted with the aim of reducing exposure to volatility
  • The portion of the securities portfolio not marked at Fair Value embeds significant unrealized gains/reserves that could potentially/partially be realized over the coming quarters

Note: 1. NFR restated for the exclusion of the upfront for the placements of Certificates, now booked in Net Fees & Commissions (€7.7m in H1 2018 and €19.1m in H1 2019).

H1 2019 RESULTS: OPERATING COSTS

  • Operating costs down 3.3% on a yearly basis. Even better net of one-off items -4.8%
  • On quarterly basis, operating costs increased by +0.7% due to higher adjustments on tangible and intangible assets (+€12.5m q/q), mostly on Real Estate
  • In H1 2019, with the adoption of IFRS16, roughly €52m (€26m in Q1 and €26m in Q2) of costs previously included in Other Administrative Expenses are accounted under Depreciation & Amortization

H1 2019 RESULTS: LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS

  • Loan loss provisions are up +30.1% q/q, as Q1 2019 had benefited from the significant top-up registered in FY 2018
  • The annualized cost of risk registered in H1 2019 comes in at 65 bps1 , confirming the expected path of normalization
  • Positive expectations are also supported by good flows, with a reduction in both net inflows to NPE (-7.1% y/y) and flows from UTP to Bad Loans (-25.0% y/y)

Note: 1. CoR calculated adding to LLPs also the generic provisions related to the GACS Senior Notes, classified under the Item Net Adjustments on other assets (in coherence with the aggregate of Net Customer Loans) and including to Customer Loans also the volumes classified at IFRS 5 (in coherence with related LLPs).

RECLASSIFIED BALANCE SHEET AS AT 30/06/2019

OFFICIAL BALANCE SHEET, WITH PROFAMILY NON CAPTIVE BUSINESS CLASSIFIED LINE-BY-LINE AS AT 31/12/2018 AND 31/03/2019 AND CLASSIFIED AS DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS AS AT 30/06/2019. SEE SLIDE 37 FOR CUSTOMER LOAN TREND ON A LIKE-FOR-LIKE BASIS

C B A Chg. A/B Chg. A/C
Reclassified assets (€ m) 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 30/06/2019 Value % Value %
Cash and cash equivalents 922 804 795 -9 -1.1% -127 -13.8%
Loans and advances measured at AC 108,208 111,592 112,408 816 0.7% 4,201 3.9%
- Loans and advances to banks 4,193 5,123 7,308 2,186 42.7% 3,115 74.3%
- Loans and advances to customers (*) 104,015 106,470 105,100 -1,370 -1.3% 1,085 1.0%
Other financial assets 36,853 38,957 39,184 227 0.6% 2,331 6.3%
- Assets measured at FV through PL 5,869 7,551 7,496 -55 -0.7% 1,627 27.7%
- Assets measured at FV through OCI 15,352 14,882 13,764 -1,118 -7.5% -1,588 -10.3%
- Assets measured at AC 15,632 16,524 17,925 1,401 8.5% 2,292 14.7%
Equity investments 1,434 1,358 1,320 -37 -2.8% -114 -7.9%
Property and equipment 2,776 3,598 3,526 -72 -2.0% 750 27.0%
Intangible assets 1,278 1,275 1,261 -14 -1.1% -17 -1.3%
Tax assets 5,012 4,944 4,859 -85 -1.7% -153 -3.1%
Non-current assets held for sale and discont. operations 1,593 281 1,545 1,264 n.s. -48 -3.0%
Other assets 2,389 3,031 2,920 -110 -3.6% 531 22.2%
Total 160,465 165,839 167,819 1,979 1.2% 7,354 4.6%
Reclassified liabilities (€ m) 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 30/06/2019 Value % Value %
Due to banks 31,634 31,400 31,189 -211 -0.7% -445 -1.4%
Direct Funding 105,220 109,320 110,185 866 0.8% 4,965 4.7%
- Deposits from customers 90,198 95,232 95,698 466 0.5% 5,500 6.1%
- Debt securities and financial liabilities desig. at FV 15,022 14,087 14,487 400 2.8% -535 -3.6%
Debts for Leasing - 810 782 -28 -3.5%
Other financial liabilities designated at FV 7,229 7,806 8,104 298 3.8% 875 12.1%
Liability provisions 1,705 1,600 1,552 -47 -3.0% -153 -9.0%
Tax liabilities 505 512 483 -29 -5.6% -22 -4.4%
Liabilities associated with assets held for sale 3 4 40 36 n.s. 37 n.s.
Other liabilities 3,864 3,825 4,174 348 9.1% 309 8.0%
Minority interests 46 44 41 -3 -7.3% -5 -10.0%
Shareholders' equity 10,259 10,519 11,270 751 7.1% 1,010 9.8%
Total 160,465 165,839 167,819 1,979 1.2% 7,354 4.6%

Note: * "Customer loans" include the Senior Notes of the two GACS transactions (Exodus and ACE)

DIRECT FUNDING

Healthy further growth in core deposits, up at 80% of total

Direct customer funding1 (without Repos)

77.2 78.7 81.3 83.8 2.7 2.4 2.1 1.8 17.5 14.9 14.0 14.4 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.0 3.9 3.4 3.7 3.3 30/06/2018 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 30/06/2019 Capital-protected Certificates Other Bonds Time deposits C/A & Sight deposits CHANGE In % Y/Y In % YTD In % Q2 C/A & Sight deposits 8.5% 6.4% 3.1% Time deposits -31.6% -23.7% -11.9% Bonds -17.7% -3.2% 3.0% Other -14.7% -8.5% -5.9% Capital-protected Certificates -15.2% -3.2% -10.9% Direct Funding (excl. Repos) 1.6% 3.7% 2.1% € bn 103.5 101.5 103.1 105.2 (75%) (%) Share of total (78%) (79%) (80%)

Note: 1. Direct funding restated according to a management logic: it includes capital-protected certificates, recognized under 'Held-fortrading liabilities', while it does not include Repos (€8.2bn at June 2019 vs. €5.8bn at June 2018), mainly transactions with Cassa di Compensazione e Garanzia.

BOND MATURITIES: VERY MANAGEABLE AMOUNTS

Note: Managerial data based on nominal amounts, including calls.

STRONG LIQUIDITY POSITION

€ bn - Internal management data, net of haircuts

Notes: 1. Includes assets received as collateral . 2. Refers to securities lending (uncollateralized high quality liquid assets). 3. Monthly LCR of June 2019; NSFR for Q2 2019, based on management data.

SECURITIES PORTFOLIO

Prudent diversification, with solid liquidity and support of NII

€ bn

30/06/18 31/12/18 31/03/19 30/06/19 Chg. y/y Chg. YTD Chg. in
Q2
Debt securities 36.1 32.9 34.2 34.5 -4.3% 5.0% 1.0%
- o/w Total Govies 30.4 27.5 29.3 29.9 -1.8% 8.6% 1.9%
- o/w: Italian Govies 18.9 17.7 20.0 19.4 2.5% 9.9% -3.0%
IT Govies in % on Debt
Securities 52.5% 53.7% 58.5% 56.2%
Equity securities, Open-end
funds & Private equity
2.4 1.8 2.5 2.3 -1.6% 28.8% -8.0%
TOTAL SECURITIES 38.5 34.7 36.7 36.9 -4.2% 6.3% 0.4%
38.5 34.7 36.7 36.9 -4.2% 6.3% 0.4%
30/06/18 31/12/18 31/03/19 30/06/19 Chg. y/y Chg. YTD Chg. in
Q
2
15.1 11.7 11.1 10.7 -29.4% -8.9% -3.7%
8.4 6.6 6.9 6.2 -27.0% -6.3% -11.0%
6.7 5.1 4.2 4.5 -32.5% -12.3% 8.4%
13.5 15.1 15.7 16.5 22.0% 9.1% 4.4%
9.0 10.3 10.9 11.0 23.3% 6.8% 1.2%
4.5 4.7 4.8 5.4 19.5% 14.1% 11.7%
10.6%
1.6 0.8 2.2 2.2 41.7% 195.1% 1.2%
0.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 94.9% n.s. 70.8%
1.9 0.8 2.5 2.8 50.3% 272.9%
  • Modified duration of IT Govies at FVOCI: ~2.5 years1
  • Spread sensitivity (1 bps) of IT Govies at FVOCI at ~€1.8m
  • Progressive rebalacing of the portfolio in favour of securities classified at amortized cost (57% of total IT Govies vs. 47% as at 30/06/18)

Note: 1. Internal management data (including swap), excluding Akros portfolio

NET CUSTOMER LOANS

Satisfactory increase in Performing Loans, with new loan granting of €10.9bn in H1 20191

Net Customer Loans2

Customer Loans as at 30/06/18, 31/12/18 and 31/03/19 adjusted excluding Profamily volumes. Refer to Methodological Notes for details.

Notes: 1. Management data. Include MLT Mortgages (Secured and Unsecured),Personal Loans, Pool, ST/MLT Structured Finance. Exclude Agos and Profamily volumes sold by the network, but not consolidated by the Group. 2. Loans and advances to customers at Amortized Cost, including also the GACS senior notes (Exodus since June 2018 and, moreover, ACE since March 2019). Year-end 2018 data already excluded €1.3bn Bad Loans (having being classified as discontinued operation), then disposed with the ACE project in Q1 2019.

ASSET QUALITY DETAILS

GROSS EXPOSURES 30/06/2018 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 Chg. y/y Chg. YTD Chg. in Q2
€/m and % (excl. Profamily) (excl. Profamily) (excl. Profamily) 30/06/2019 Value % Value % Value %
Bad Loans 10,664 3,915 4,032 3,309 -7,355 -69.0% -606 -15.5% -723 -17.9%
UTP 8,656 7,765 7,525 7,254 -1,402 -16.2% -512 -6.6% -272 -3.6%
Past Due 84 101 91 100 16 19.2% -1 -1.2% 10 10.6%
Non-performing exposures 19,404 11,782 11,648 10,663 -8,741 -45.0% -1,119 -9.5% -985 -8.5%
Performing Loans 96,153 96,359 98,923 99,273 3,121 3.2% 2,915 3.0% 351 0.4%
TOTAL CUSTOMER LOANS 115,557 108,141 110,570 109,936 -5,620 -4.9% 1,795 1.7% -634 -0.6%
NET EXPOSURES 30/06/2018 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 Chg. y/y Chg. YTD Chg. in Q2
€/m and % (excl. Profamily) (excl. Profamily) (excl. Profamily) 30/06/2019 Value % Value % Value %
Bad Loans 3,613 1,591 1,638 1,428 -2,185 -60.5% -163 -10.2% -210 -12.8%
UTP 5,807 5,047 4,873 4,679 -1,128 -19.4% -368 -7.3% -194 -4.0%
Past Due 69 85 75 82 13 19.2% -2 -2.8% 7 9.4%
Non-performing exposures 9,489 6,723 6,587 6,190 -3,299 -34.8% -533 -7.9% -397 -6.0%
Performing Loans 95,763 95,996 98,556 98,910 3,146 3.3% 2,914 3.0% 353 0.4%
TOTAL CUSTOMER LOANS 105,253 102,719 105,143 105,100 -153 -0.1% 2,381 2.3% -43 0.0%
COVERAGE 30/06/2018 31/12/2018 31/03/2019
% (excl. Profamily) (excl. Profamily) (excl. Profamily) 30/06/2019
Bad Loans 66.1% 59.4% 59.4% 56.8%
UTP 32.9% 35.0% 35.2% 35.5%
Past Due 17.8% 16.4% 16.8% 17.8%
Non-performing exposures 51.1% 42.9% 43.4% 41.9%
Performing Loans 0.40% 0.38% 0.37% 0.37%
TOTAL CUSTOMER LOANS 8.9% 5.0% 4.9% 4.4%

Data refer to Loans and advances to customers measured at Amortized Cost, including also the GACS Senior Notes.

Customer Loans as at 30/06/18, 31/12/18 and 31/03/19 adjusted excluding Profamily volumes. Refer to Methodological Notes for details.

NPE as at 30/06/2019 exclude €607m of Leasing Bad Loans (€156m net book value) to be disposed with L-ACE transaction (signed in April 2019), as they have been reclassified under Discontinued Operations.

CONSERVATIVE COVERAGE LEVELS IN SPITE OF THE SHARP DROP IN THE SHARE OF BAD LOANS

Coverage level impacted by the sharp drop in Bad Loans and higher level of collateralized loans

  • Bad Loan coverage impacted by L-ACE transaction; on a like-for-like basis, coverage up by 40bps q/q
  • Solid coverage level confirmed in Q2 2019 also for UTP (+30bps q/q) and PD loans (+100bps q/q)

Coverage data as at 31/03/19 adjusted excluding Profamily volumes. Refer to Methodological Notes for details.

Note: 1. The IFRS 9 FTA impact on NPE coverage (specifically on Bad Loans) for new Impairment models translated into an increase of NPE Adjustments of €1.2bn as at 01/01/2018. 2. Bank of Italy: statistical data as at 31/03/2019

UTP LOANS: HIGH SHARE OF RESTRUCTURED AND SECURED POSITIONS

Breakdown of Net UTPs

  • Solid level of coverage for unsecured UTP: 47.4%
  • Net Restructured loans (€2.3bn) account for 48.2% of total net UTP: they are essentially related to formalized underlying restructuring plans and procedures (mainly under Italian credit protection procedures)
  • Net unsecured UTP other than Restructured loans are limited to €0.4bn
  • 92% of Net UTPs are located in the northern & central parts of Italy

UTP Loans as at 31/12/18 and 31/03/19 are adjusted excluding Profamily volumes. Refer to Methodological Notes for details.

CAPITAL POSITION IN DETAIL

PHASED IN CAPITAL
POSITION (€/m and %) 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 30/06/2019 RWA COMPOSITION
CET 1 Capital 7,754 8,144 8,972 (€/bn) 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 30/06/2019
T1 Capital 7,888 8,278 9,404
Total Capital 9,442 9,729 10,765 CREDIT & COUNTERPARTY
RISK
56.3 55.4 57.2
RWA 64,324 64,218 65,240 of which: Standard 27.7 29.6 30.5
MARKET RISK 1.9 2.6 2.1
CET 1 Ratio 12.05% 12.68% 13.75%
AT1 0.21% 0.21% 0.66% OPERATIONAL RISK 5.9 6.0 5.7
T1 Ratio 12.26% 12.89% 14.41% CVA 0.2 0.2 0.2
Tier 2 2.42% 2.26% 2.09% TOTAL 64.3 64.2 65.2
Total Capital Ratio 14.68% 15.15% 16.50%
FULLY PHASED CAPITAL
POSITION (€/m and %) 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 30/06/2019 RWA COMPOSITION
CET 1 Capital 6,406 6,892 7,742 (€/bn) 31/12/2018 31/03/2019 30/06/2019
T1 Capital 6,410 6,896 8,044
Total Capital 7,964 8,347 9,405 CREDIT & COUNTERPARTY
RISK
56.0 55.1 56.9
RWA 64,034 63,942 64,971 of which: Standard 27.4 29.6 30.2
CET 1 Ratio 10.00% 10.78% 11.92% MARKET RISK 2.0 2.6 2.1
AT1 0.01% 0.01% 0.46% OPERATIONAL RISK 5.9 6.0 5.7
T1 Ratio 10.01% 10.78% 12.38% CVA 0.2 0.2 0.2
Tier 2 2.43% 2.27% 2.09% TOTAL 64.0 63.9 65.0
Total Capital Ratio 12.44% 13.05% 14.47%

Note: Ratios as at 31/03/2019 and 30/06/2019 include the related net income of the period.

CONTACTS FOR INVESTORS AND FINANCIAL ANALYSTS

I N V E S T O R R E L A T I O N S

Roberto Peronaglio +39-02-9477.2090
Tom
Lucassen
+39-045-867.5537
Arne
Riscassi
+39-02-9477.2091
Silvia Leoni +39-045-867.5613
Carmine
Padulese
+39-02-9477.2092

Registered Offices: Piazza Meda 4, I-20121 Milan, Italy Corporate Offices: Piazza Nogara 2, I-37121 Verona, Italy

[email protected] www.bancobpm.it (IR Section)

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