Investor Presentation • Mar 3, 2020
Investor Presentation
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BUILDING A COMMON Future
INVESTING IN OUR People

Milan, 3 March 2020
This presentation has been prepared by Banco BPM ("Banco BPM") and includes certain forward looking statements, projections, objectives and estimates reflecting the current views of the management of the Bank with respect to future events.
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Sudden outbreak of COVID-19 resulting in uncertainty over 2020 macroeconomic outlook
and


1. The foundation of Banco BPM 2020-23 Strategic Plan: built on a strong track record and based on real delivery
An ambitious and credible Plan, addressing all stakeholders' expectations
Financial forecasts
Conclusions


Third bank in Italy, with 4m clients served


Credible team, with robust delivery track record

Solid financials, built on well-recognized areas of operational excellence

Deeply involved in the core communities
De-risking
Launch of the digital transformation program
Project "DOT": significant investments in 2018-19, over 300 colleagues involved

Over the last 3 years, the Group absorbed CET1 impact in excess of 11% without new capital injections





Note: 2015 combined figures
Calculated on the combined cost base 2. Includes 251 exits related to non-recurring corporate transactions
Based on nominal values 4. Corresponding to Nominal target (incl. write-offs) of 17.9%


…enabling the relaunch of commercial activities A solid financial position resulting from continued de-risking and operating model simplification…





% ownership



2. An ambitious and credible Plan, addressing all stakeholders' expectations
Financial forecasts
Conclusions








Sizable shareholder remuneration






19 1. Based on 2019YE. Group direct funding data, excluding repos and including capital-protected certificates 2. Sample includes UBI, ISP, UCI, MPS, CREDEM 3. External benchmark data as of 2018YE, figures rescaled at 100 4. Includes mutual funds and SICAV, insurance products and certificates Source: BBPM elaboration on market research data
| Key initiatives | ||
|---|---|---|
| Best-in-class service quality via specialization |
• Best-in-class service quality through an omni-channel experience and the enhanced specialization of service model per client segment |
|
| Commercial boost driven by technological scale-up |
• Productivity increase driven by process digitization, "Robot4Advisor" solutions, CRM analytics and roll-out of E2E off-site/remote advisory offering |
|
| Product range expansion |
• Product range expansion focusing on: – Dedicated offers to drive switching from direct funding – Evolution of management accounts and insurance offer – Boost of sustainable investments and advisory – HNWI-dedicated products (e.g. Private Insurance, Private markets, Lombard) – Integrated "all asset" advisory (e.g. |
|
| real estate, art, taxes, etc.) |

• Increasing Investment Center support and coordination
deployed across the network
20

| Key initiatives | Selected KPIs | |
|---|---|---|
| Product factories and catalogue full potential |
• Roll-out of dedicated initiatives to achieve full potential in Consumer Finance, Bancassurance and Payment services partnerships Repricing and simplification of product catalogues, especially on transaction • banking |
€1.2bn (+25% vs. '19) Consumer Finance gross annual production in 2023 |
| Analytics & new commercial proposition |
• Full implementation of Marketing Automation approach • Switching from traditional campaign to event-driven omni-channel customer journeys Based on new analytical and machine learning capabilities and on "customer – value management" across channels and clients profiles |
From €44m in 2019 to €70+ m in 2023 Non-life Bancassurance commissions |
| Digital sales |
Focus on digital / omni-channel sales growth, • – Enhanced customer experience Cost-to-serve reduction – • Webank digital sales capabilities extended to the Group with full integration in the overall commercial strategy |
Boosting omni-channel marketing automation - From 8 m to 23 m (3x) annual client interactions - From <15% to >30% overall sales contribution |




| Key initiatives | Focus: service model specialization | Selected KPIs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Specialization boost |
• Strengthen the integration and collaboration between client coverage teams and product specialists |
Strengthened client-centric coverage model |
~12% Loans market share1 in 2023 |
| Growth in new business |
Significant expansion of Structured Export Finance • businesses, set-up in 2019 • Boost leverage finance through selective Originate-to Share solutions (~€1.2bn of new origination in 2023) also in partnership with strategic investors • Specialty finance growth on Public Administration through |
FX & Derivatives Supply Structured Chain Export Finance Finance Relationship Clients Originate Manager |
% Cust. loans hedged 30 pp 60-65% 65% 35% |
| lines | non-recourse factoring, leveraging on a partnership with a leading player (~€2bn turnover in 2023) • New digital platform to launch Supply Chain Finance business through leading Fintech partner TeamSystem |
to Share CSS Public team Administration |
2019 2023 Mkt avg Structured export finance outstanding volumes (€bn) 1.8 Set-up |
| Full potential of FX and |
Unlocking full potential of Banca Akros on FX and • derivatives business, by strengthened specialist team (+30%) and promoting hedging activity on Corporate and |
• Upgrade of commercial planning solutions to increase collaboration between production and coverage • Set-up of a Capital Structure Solutions |
0.4 2019 2023 |
| derivatives and Investment Banking |
SME clients • Improved synergies between network and Banca Akros on Investment Banking activities |
(CSS) team to foster mid-cap clients' organic and external growth |
40+ New product factory specialists and skilled resources |



| Key initiatives | Focus: service model specialization | Selected KPIs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enterprise & SB dedicated service models |
Specialization of service models with dedicated • approach for Enterprise and Small Business clients |
Client segmentation by turnover €75m # clients1 es |
From ~€60m in 2019 to ~€90m in 2023 Commissions from |
| Boost presence in high potential markets |
Grow market share in selected attractive areas • • Expansion in high-growth/ESG driven industries leveraging on distinctive in-house know-how in (e.g. Agribusiness) |
pris ~40 k er nt E M E S |
cross-selling2 |
| • Pricing optimization and simplification of lending and core daily banking products Boost cross-selling both in core commercial activities • (e.g. trade finance, Italian guarantees, etc.) and wholesale banking products (e.g. hedging, M&A, |
€5m b. ~330 all k m S €0m Enterprise: specialization of • |
~€2bn (> 2x vs. 2019) New production Finanza Agevolata & FEI plafond in 2023 |
|
| Development of distinctive integrated solutions |
structured finance, etc.) • Optimization of transaction banking (e.g. instant payments, merchant services) |
service model following Corporate best practices, increasing commercial activity on cross-selling and wholesale |
Geographic expansion: |
| • Commercial refocus towards capital efficient products (e.g. MCC guarantees) |
banking products • Small Business: full deployment |
selected 8 priority areas in North and Center of Italy to bridge market share gap vs. |
|
| • Full potential of smart lending PSD2-enabled solutions Strengthen Remote advisory and Digital branch • channels for more effective interaction with clients |
of digital omni-channel model with cost-to-serve optimization |
strongholds | |
| 1. Number of NDG as of 2019YE 2. Includes export finance, commitments and guarantees, hedging and other value added services (e.g. structure finance) |
25 |
| Key initiatives | > 1.3 m potential target customers | |
|---|---|---|
| Digital integration of ERP1 • and Remote Banking to offer seamless experience for invoice management, payments and Strategic partnership financing |
~100 k Common customers |
|
| Digital Supply Chain and ERP |
• Launch of bundle offer (Banking Current Account + Integrated Invoice Financing + Light ERP solutions + VAS2 ) contributing to customer base growth and cross-selling proposition |
> 200 k only customers |
| integration | • Deployment of Digital Supply Chain Financial services on the TeamSystem platform |
> 1 m only customers |
| • Funding and Equity agreements with "TeamSystem Financial Value Chain" vehicles to provide financing solutions also on the "open market" |
Relevant further "open market" opportunities |

Digital-enabled operating model allowing high cost flexibility as a key lever

| Key initiatives | Selected KPIs | |
|---|---|---|
| • Implement a seamless experience across all channels to boost the digital adoption |
Digital branch: Strengthening FTE1 and commercial focus (FTE) |
|
| • New digital solutions built with "Mobile first" approach, capitalizing on WeBank experience |
250-300 Proactive ~140 150-200 |
|
| Omni-channel evolution |
• Scaled-up Digital Branch to focus on commercial propositions, advisory and remote sales; technical support driven by smart assistance solutions |
Mostly Reactive ~ 100 2019 2023 Branch distribution network evolution by branch type |
| • Deploy new CRM platform enabling single customer view and collaboration across channels |
(# branches, %) ~(200) 1,727 |
|
| Adoption of a paperless approach |
• Deploy a paperless relationship with the client, contributing to environment sustainability |
~1,530 28% Transactional 20% Relationship 72% 80% |
| Branch evolution and network rationalization |
• Relationship branches at the heart of the distribution network, focused on advisory and with a fully fledged product offer • Strong reduction of transactional branches, especially in areas with high concentration of presence • Further boost of self-service solutions – +30% highly automated branches |
2019 2023 Transactions on remote channels2 (%) % transactions on mobile channel +9 pp 83% 74% 7% 24% |
2019

2023
| Key initiatives | Selected KPIs |
|
|---|---|---|
| Inspirational leadership |
• Foster an inclusive and adaptive leadership style to promote trust, respect and a collaborative culture Generate value from inclusion and diversity • • Introduce ESG values & metrics into the business, operating model and in the incentive mechanisms |
Up-skilling, engagement and transformation training days (person/days) +60% 700,000 |
| Building tomorrow's talent |
• Strategic long-term planning of workforce, generational change and skills sourcing to meet the Strategic Plan goals (Managers' Academy) • Personalized career paths • New training model: personalized, flexible and technology enabled ("anytime, anywhere, anyhow" – Learning Evolution) |
430,000 2017-19 2020-23 Smart Working time1 (days) Over 6x |
| Excellent place to work |
Invest in a digital "employee-centric" organization (tools and • enablers) to facilitate collaboration and creativity (IT4People) • Increase work-life integration (i.e. Smart Working) • Strengthening of the Employee Welfare & Wellbeing plan and of the sustainable working environment (ESG in the workplace) |
200,000 30,000 <4,000 2017 2019 2023 |

| Key initiatives | Selected KPIs |
|
|---|---|---|
| Generational change |
• Launch of a strategic recruiting program aimed at attracting talents • Focus on managing and facilitating handover to accelerate knowledge transfer • Generational turnover favored by a voluntary retirement scheme (1,100 HC) |
HR cost evolution (€m) ~1,800 |
| Skill-set expansion |
• Selective introduction of specialist profiles to support business growth and build the future workforce with new capabilities – Reinforcement of product specialist teams across factories Hiring of new skills (digital, data scientists, security – experts…) • Digital Academy to accelerate the transition towards a more advanced skills set |
~1,700 ~1,660 2019 2023 inertial 2023 Including new collective labour agreement and in investments up- and re-skilling Including voluntary retirement scheme |

| Key initiatives | Selected KPIs |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| • Evolution of the infrastructure, enabling the adoption of cloud solutions to accelerate time-to-market for new business initiatives |
Total IT investments… |
… o/w digital-related |
|
| Evolve the infrastructural model |
• Implementation of "data & analytics tools" to support business expansion (e.g. enhanced cross-selling, pricing optimization) |
||
| Extensive use of automation tools (e.g. Robotics and Artificial Intelligence) • to improve and simplify processes |
€600+ m cumulative '20-'23 |
~€250 m cumulative '20-'23 |
|
| • Leverage partnerships with Fintechs, innovation centers and universities to speed up delivery and facilitate an Open Banking approach |
|||
| IT investments (€m) | |||
| Strengthen Cybersecurity |
• Further invest in Group's cybersecurity solutions in line with state of the art technology evolution |
> 40% | |
| Enhance the IT operating model |
• Enhancement of the up-skilling and re-skilling programs for IT employees to introduce innovative competences (e.g. Digital, Advanced Analytics, Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, …) |
110 | 160 |
| • Diffusion of a new way to collaborate between Business and IT functions (Agile) in order to speed up business application's delivery |
|||
| • Foster the diffusion of a company-wide digital culture through collaborative tools to support clients in adopting advanced solutions |
Annual avg. 17-19 | Annual avg. 20-23 |



ESG targets



improvement

Large disposal deals: proven evidence of value embedded in Banco BPM NPE portfolio Bank1 Deal size P/GBV % of BoP3 NPL stock €13.2bn2 28% ~77% €17.7bn 13% ~33% €25.0bn 21% ~85% €10.8bn 29% ~28% Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 1 2 out of 3 cases enabled by shareholder capital injections

35 1. Peer sample includes UCI, ISP and MPS 2. Includes: Exodus (€5.1bn), ACE (€7.4bn) and L-ACE (€0.7bn) - nominal values 3. 31/12/2016 NPL stock. 4. Peer sample includes: UCG, ISP, and MPS


Maintain strong coverage ratios
56.2%
Bad Loans
UTP
39.1%



| Advanced Credit risk data warehouse |
• Higher consistency of managerial and risk data • Strengthen granularity enabling full data analytics visibility throughout the organization supporting decision making |
|
|---|---|---|
| Strengthening credit policies |
• Higher sector specialization and integration with budgeting and MBOs Clearer focus on risk-reward perspective and support of the ESG • initiatives (focus on carbon reduction and energy saving projects) |
|
| Monitoring & Early Warning system evolution |
• Roll-out of an upgraded monitoring platform – New early warning model development, leveraging on innovative data and machine learning techniques Improved risk control ability through workflow driven strategies – – Performance-based risk prevention, operational kpi setting and monitoring |
|
| New UTP management approach |
• Roll-out of a specialized management approach for UTP exposures – Core portfolio: focus on maximization of cure and activation of viable forbearance measures – Non-core portfolio: focus on maximization of recovery via early extra-judicial solutions |



Further strengthening of the balance sheet





The foundation of Banco BPM 2020-23 Strategic Plan: built on a strong track record and based on real delivery
An ambitious and credible Plan, addressing all stakeholders' expectations
3. Financial forecasts


Key capital targets




| €m | 2019 | 2023 | Δ '19-'23 | CAGR '19-'23 (%) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit & Loss |
Total revenues | 4,288 | ~4,400 | ~110 | 0.6% |
| o/w Net interest income | 1,993 | ~1,920 | ~(70) | (0.9%) | |
| o/w Net fees & commissions | 1,795 | ~2,190 | ~400 | 5.1% | |
| Operating costs | (2,599) | ~(2,590) | ~10 | (0.1%) | |
| Loan loss provisions | (779) | ~(590) | ~190 | (6.7%) | |
| Net income | 649 | ~770 | ~120 | 4.3% | |
| Balance sheet & Capital |
Net customer loans | 105,844 | ~116,000 | ~10,150 | 2.4% |
| Direct funding1 | 108,900 | ~122,000 | ~13,100 | 2.9% | |
| Indirect funding | 89,743 | ~116,000 | ~26,250 | 6.6% | |
| AuM/ Direct funding1 | 54% | 69% | 15 p.p. | ||
| Tangible shareholders' equity | 9,486 | ~10,700 | ~1,200 | ||
| RWA | 65,856 | ~73,000 | ~7,150 | ||
| Key ratios |
Cost / Income ratio (%) | 61% | 59% | (2pp) | |
| Cost of Risk (bps) | 73 | 51 | (22) | ||
| RoTE2 (%) |
6.8% | 7.2% | 0.4pp | ||
| Net income/ RWA | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1pp | ||
| CET1 ratio FL (%) | 12.8% | 12.5% | (0.3pp) | ||
| Gross NPE ratio (%) |
9.1% | 5.9%3 | (3.2pp) |


The foundation of Banco BPM 2020-23 Strategic Plan: built on a strong track record and based on real delivery
An ambitious and credible Plan, addressing all stakeholders' expectations
Financial forecasts
4. Conclusions



Demonstrated track record of delivery in the only sizable European SSM banking merger
Concrete and direct response to internal and external stakeholders, upholding ESG best standards
Attractive shareholder remuneration (€800+m dividends in 4 years) with solid capital position, fully confirmed even under V-shaped scenario

Transformation of the "way we do business" securing future sustainability

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