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Investor Presentation May 13, 2020

4145_ip_2020-05-13_6df8b2a2-0cd8-45a4-9689-c8c0cf3032ab.pdf

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Financial Results to March 31st 2020 May 13th, 2020

1Q 2020 key messages

1 Solid quarter: new mandates, organic performance, cost containment

  • ✓ GBV growth to €136bn, new investor portfolio win in Spain for €0.7bn additional GBV
  • Forward flow agreements at 3x year-on-year to €1.3bn
  • ✓ +55% Revenue growth and +21% EBITDA ex NRI1 growth
  • ✓ Organic2 EBITDA growth in Italy at +26%; Spain NPL stable yoy despite COVID impact

2 COVID response: full operational readiness, growing cash position

  • doValue staff fully operational with remote working seamlessly activated from Day 1
  • ✓ Lockdown impacting legal activities, quarterly collections supported by backbook
  • Net Debt at €233m, stable vs YE19, with leverage at 1.4x
  • Growing cash position into April at ca. €170m, with €75m undrawn committed facilities available

3 What's next: FPS closing, finalization of REO project in Italy and Greece, capitalize on the growing servicing opportunity in Southern Europe

  • Acquisition of FPS to close within the May deadline, as expected
  • Servicing pipeline confirmed, doValue pursuing several opportunities to close in Q3/Q4

Notes: 1. Excluding Non Recurring Items (costs linked to Group reorganization process and the acquisition of Altamira Asset Management); 2. Italy 1Q19 EBITDA excluding the ca. €8m one-off indemnity fee related to part of the IntesaSanPaolo portfolio no longer under management

Health and safety of all stakeholders ensured since Day 1

  • Crisis committee in place to quickly deploy safety measures
  • Currently managing "phase 2", with progressive re-opening of offices when needed and enforcing social distancing

Operational effectiveness ensured, despite lockdown in all markets

  • Limited impact on 1Q20 collections despite legal courts, public notaries and land registry closed since March
  • doValue working from remote, adjusting credit management strategies

2Q20 to be most impacted, still limited post-lockdown visibility

  • Lockdown easing in all markets, public services to resume only progressively
  • Key scenario variables: potential new lockdown measures, timing of re-opening of public services and impact of governmental support measures on economy

Market pipeline confirmed, execution to resume in second half of 2020

expiry as market reopens

Macro scenario expected to create opportunities for Credit Servicers

  • Recession caused by COVID likely to be more severe and sudden than the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, with unprecedented double-digit GDP contractions in 2Q20
  • Italy: based on historic default rate trend, >€60bn of NPEs could be generated
  • Spain: analyst estimates at ca. 30% NPE growth, for an additional flow of €60-70bn NPEs
  • Greece: double-digit growth of NPEs from current high stock, additional €10-15bn NPE

doValue footprint and low-risk business model position it ideally to take advantage of next NPE wave

Notes: 1: NPL flows of a sample of top Italian banks, sourced from company data and sector reports; 2020E and 2021E illustrative scenario based on trend seen in 2008 financial crisis.

Solid and growing cash position to navigate current environment

  • No signs of stress in the working capital cycle, cash-generative nature of doValue business model confirmed
  • Liquidity update: positive interaction with lenders leading to increase and extension of Group credit facilities

No liquidity stress even under the most conservative scenarios

1Q20 summary financial highlights

1Q19 1Q20 ∆ (%)
e
s
u
er
n
e
v
v
ri
e
d
R
GBV EoP €83.2bn €134.8 +62%
GBV under management at €136bn including the
recently awarded portfolio in Spain
Positive trend in forward flows, no portfolio sales by
Gross collections €403m €892m +121% clients
Higher collection rates in markets ex-Italy, due to

shorter collection timing

Base fees at 37% of revenues
L
&
e
r
P
u
e
ct
pl
u
m
Gross revenues €54.4m €84.3m +55% Benefits of Altamira integration more than offset

the disruption caused by lockdown
Operating costs
ex NRIs1
€35.0m €54.8m +57%
Resilient earnings, with +21% EBITDA ex NRI
growth despite challenging comparison base (€8m
one-off indemnity fees in 1Q19)
EBITDA ex NRI1 €16.1m €19.5m +21%
Significant actions on variable and fixed costs
already in place, focused on HR, outsourcing fees
and SG&A
str
Si

Reported 2020 EBITDA at €18m
EBITDA ex NRI1
margin
30% 23% -
7 p.p.

EBITDA margin +6 p.p. if one-off is excluded from
1Q19 (17% vs 23%)
Net income ex
NRI1
€8.3m €0.1 n.m.
Net Income impacted by non-cash D&A charges, in
line with expectations
n
o
h
ati
s
er
a
C
n
e
g
Net Financial
Position (cash)
(€62.1m) €233.0m n.m.
About stable trend in leverage over the quarter,
from 1.3x to 1.4x Net Debt/EBITDA
Net Debt/
PF2
EBITDA
n.m. 1.4x n.m.
Growing liquidity position into April, providing
further comfort to the Group's solid balance sheet

Notes: 1: Excluding Non Recurring Items (costs linked to Group reorganization and the acquisition of Altamira Asset Management; 2: LTM Pro Forma EBITDA including the acquisition of Altamira Asset Management.

7

Evolution of gross book value (GBV) under management

  • Expansion of GBV driven by on-boarding of Alpha Bank portfolio in Cyprus
  • Three-fold growth in inflows from existing clients, linked to forward flow agreements with Santander and Unicredit, a key feature of our business model, increasing our resiliency in the current environment
  • New portfolio win in Spain, investor portfolio worth €1.1bn (o/w €0.4bn already managed), to be onboarded in 3Q20
  • Collections discount the negative impact of COVID lockdown measures since March (mainly legal courts closures)

GBV details: one of the most diversified portfolios in the industry

Fee structure highlights a growing share of base fees

Base fees increasing as a proportion of total revenues at 37%, providing a hedge to current scenario

  • Higher exposure to markets ex Italy, with above average base fees, supportive of trend
  • Ancillary revenues add to overall revenue resiliency, as Master Servicing and Due Diligence activities not disrupted
  • Outsourcing fees higher in absolute terms due to consolidation of Altamira Asset Management and linked to REO services, but lower as a proportion of pro-forma revenues from 14% to 13%

Focus on operating expenses

1Q20 by geographical market

  • Limited impact of COVID on collections, despite lockdown measures impacting all markets
  • Seasonally low activity in 1Q, typically accounting for ca. 20% of yearly collections
  • Italy EBITDA up strongly in organic terms, compared with 1Q19 EBITDA excluding one-off indemnities at ca. €8m (margin 1Q19 to 17%)
  • Resilient NPL trend in Spain with COVID disruption focused on REO sales
  • Extraordinary Cost efficiency measures enacted in all markets, supporting resiliency in EBITDA

NWC and net financial position

Notes: 1: LTM Pro Forma EBITDA including the acquisition of Altamira Asset Management.

1Q20 net debt trend

  • Overall organic reduction in Net Debt despite 1Q being a seasonally slow quarter and initial impact of Coronavirus
  • Free cash flow generation at €6m in 1Q20, supported by positive in Net Working Capital
  • Financial leverage measured in terms of Net Debt/EBITDA from 1.3x to 1.4x during 1Q20
  • Structurally low capex needs and no cash taxes paid

Condensed consolidated income statement 1Q20

(€/1000) 31/03/2020 31/03/2019 Change
Change
%
Servicing Revenues: 75,377 48,457 26,920 56%
o/w: NPL revenues 60,486 48,457 12,029 25%
o/w: REO revenues 14,891 - 14,891 n.s.
Co-investment revenues 141 167 (26) (16)%
Ancillary and other revenues 8,745 5,731 3,014 53%
Gross revenues 84,263 54,355 29,908 55%
NPL Outsourcing fees (4,869) (3,183) (1,686) 53%
REO Outsourcing fees (4,152) - (4,152) n.s.
Ancillary Outsourcing fees (2,197) (1,012) (1,185) 117%
Net revenues 73,045 50,160 22,885 46%
Staff expenses (38,386) (25,898) (12,488) 48%
Administrative expenses (16,444) (9,089) (7,355) 81%
Total "o.w. IT" (5,463) (3,349) (2,114) 63%
Total "o.w. Real Estate" (1,199) (1,416) 217 (15)%
Total "o.w. SG&A" (9,782) (4,324) (5,458) 126%
Operating expenses (54,830) (34,987) (19,843) 57%
EBITDA 18,215 15,173 3,042 20%
EBITDA margin 22% 28% (6)% (23)%
Non-recurring items included in EBITDA⁽¹⁾ (1,283) (931) (352) 38%
EBITDA excluding non-recurring items 19,504 16,104 3,400 21%
EBITDA margin excluding non-recurring items 23% 30% (6)% (22)%
Net write-downs on property, plant, equipment and
intangibles (14,994) (1,646) (13,348) n.s.
Net provisions for risks and charges (1,856) (266) (1,590) n.s.
Net write-downs of loans 50 84 (34) (40)%
EBIT 1,415 13,345 (11,930) (89)%
Net income (loss) on financial assets and liabilities
measured at fair value
Financial interest and commissions
(385)
(2,865)
-
(115)
(385)
(2,750)
n.s.
n.s.
EBT (1,835) 13,230 (15,065) (114)%
Income tax for the period (2,467) (5,518) 3,051 (55)%
PROFIT (LOSS) FOR THE PERIOD (4,302) 7,712 (12,014) n.s.
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to Non
controlling interests 1,327 - 1,327 n.s.
ATTRIBUTABLE PROFIT (LOSS) FOR THE PERIOD (2,975) 7,712 (10,687) (139)%
NRIs included in attributable Profit (loss) (3,260) (574) (2,686) n.s.
Attributable profit (loss) for the period
ex NRIs
121 8,286 (8,165) (99)%
Earnings per share (in Euro) (0.04) 0.10 (0.1) (138)%
Earnings per share NRIs(Euro) 0.00 0.11 (0.10) (99)%

Notes: 1: Non-recurring items in Operating expenses include the costs connected with the acquisition of Altamira Asset Management S.A. and those incurred for the Group reorganisation project

Condensed consolidated balance sheet 1Q20

(€/1000) 03/31/2020 12/31/2019 Change
Amount
Change %
Cash and liquid securities 134,279 128,162 6,117 5%
Financial assets 45,889 48,609 (2,720) (6)%
Property, plant and equipment 25,698 23,904 1,794 8%
Intangible assets 330,718 340,879 (10,161) (3)%
Tax assets 100,255 98,554 1,701 2%
Trade receivables 161,523 176,991 (15,468) (9)%
Assets held
for sale
10 10 - n.s.
Other assets 15,729 13,578 2,151 16%
TOTAL ASSETS 814,101 830,687 (16,586) (2)%
Financial liabilities: due to banks 367,304 364,627 2,677 1%
Other financial liabilities 88,056 92,036 (3,980) (4)%
Trade payables 39,252 46,969 (7,717) (16)%
Tax Liabilities 39,888 42,347 (2,459) (6)%
Employee Termination Benefits 8,122 8,544 (422) (5)%
Provision for risks and charges 23,349 25,669 (2,320) (9)%
Other liabilities 23,146 25,196 (2,050) (8)%
TOTAL LIABILITIES 589,117 605,388 (16,271) (3)%
Share capital 41,280 41,280 - n.s.
Reserves 186,863 145,885 40,978 28%
Treasury shares (184) (184) - n.s.
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to the
Shareholders of the Parent Company (2,975) 38,318 (41,293) (108)%
NET EQUITY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE
SHAREHOLDERS OF THE PARENT COMPANY 224,984 225,299 (315) (0)%
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND NET EQUITY
ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE SHAREHOLDERS OF THE
PARENT COMPANY 814,101 830,687 (16,586) (2)%

Consolidated cash flow 1Q20

(€/1000)

Key Performance Indicators 1Q20

(€/1000)
KPIs
03/31/2020 03/31/2019
[1] Gross Book Value (EoP) - Group 134,816,908 137,175,592
[2] Gross Book Value (EoP) - Italy 77,808,637 81,403,804
[3] Collections of the period - Italy 329,785 403,045
[4] LTM Collections - Italy 1,821,907 1,989,776
[5] LTM Collections - Italy - Stock 1,809,140 1,973,616
[6] LTM Collections / GBV EoP - Italy - Overall 2.3% 2.4%
[7] LTM Collections / GBV EoP - Italy - Stock 2.4% 2.5%
[8] Staff FTE / Totale FTE 35% 38%
[9] LTM Collections / Servicing FTE - Italy 2.62 2.77
[10] EBITDA 18,215 15,173
[11] Non-recurring items (NRIs) included in EBITDA (1,283) (931)
[12] EBITDA excluding non-recurring items 19,498 16,104
[13] EBITDA Margin 22% 28%
[14] EBITDA Margin excluding non-recurring items
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to the
23% 30%
[15] shareholders of the parent company
Non-recurring items included in Profit (loss) for
(2,975) 7,712
[16] the period attributable to the Shareholders of the
Profit (loss) for the period attributable to the
(3,091) (574)
[17] Shareholders of the Parent Company excluding 121 8,286
[18] Earnings per share (Euro)
Earnings per share excluding non-recurring items
(0.04) 0.10
[19] (Euro) 0.00 0.11
[20] Capex 6,647 805
[21] EBITDA - Capex 11,568 14,368
[22] Net Working Capital 122,274 83,682
[23] Net Financial Position (233,025) 62,125
[24] Leverage (Net Debt / EBITDA LTM PF) 1.4x n.a.

1) With regard to the indicator [1], in order to enhance the comparability of the figures for 2020, the effects deriving from the acquisition of Altamira were included in the 2019 data as if this had occurred from 1 January 2019

Tax assets

Disclaimer

This presentation and any materials distributed in connection herewith (together, the "Presentation") do not constitute or form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any securities, and neither this Presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this Presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness, reasonableness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of doValue S.p.A., its subsidiaries or any of their respective employees, advisers, representatives or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. The information contained in this Presentation is provided as at the date of this Presentation and is subject to change without notice.

Statements made in this Presentation may include forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by the fact that they use words such as "anticipate", "estimate", "should", "expect", "guidance", "project", "intend", "plan", "believe", and/or other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with, among other things, any discussion of results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies or developments in the industry in which we operate. Such statements are based on management's current intentions, expectations or beliefs and involve inherent risks, assumptions and uncertainties, including factors that could delay, divert or change any of them. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation regarding trends or current activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Actual outcomes, results and other future events may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the statements contained herein. Such differences may adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein and may result from, among other things, changes in economic, business, competitive, technological, strategic or regulatory factors and other factors affecting the business and operations of the company. Neither doValue S.p.A. nor any of its affiliates is under any obligation, and each such entity expressly disclaims any such obligation, to update, revise or amend any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this Presentation. It should be noted that past performance is not a guide to future performance. Please also note that interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.

Certification of the financial reporting officer

Elena Gottardo, in her capacity as the officer responsible for preparing corporate accounting documents, certifies – pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2, of Legislative Decree 58/1998 (the Consolidated Financial Intermediation Act) – that the accounting information in this presentation is consistent with the data in the accounting documentation, books and other accounting records.

Investor relation contacts: Investor relations contacts

Fabio Ruffini Investor Relations

Tel.: +39 06 4797 9154 Mail: [email protected]

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