Management Reports • Jan 15, 2021
Management Reports
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Pieve di Soligo, 15 January 2021
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The plan envisages a growth path that will allow to increase company profitability, maintaining a balanced financial structure and a stable and profitable dividend distribution
The economic-financial objectives are combined with those of the main stakeholders and are integrated with the social and environmental goals
Ascopiave Group's strategy is based on sustainable growth, developing resources and competences in order to seize the opportunities generated by new market trends
The "Sustainable Development Goals" identified by Ascopiave will be the elements on which the Group will base its sustainable growth path
Net Invested Capital 20201
Internally consolidated investments 2
Current territorial presence
Competitive context in Veneto2
Ascopiave Group – Operating data 20201
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 10 Notes: 1Preliminary. Source: 2Ascopiave elaboration on sector information and Mi.SE data 31.12.2012.
EBITDA
Constancy of economic results and cash flows guaranteed by the stability of the regulation and increase in EBITDA supported by the growth in the number of customers served over the years
Ascopiave achieves excellent profitability of operational management, confirmed by a return on investment (ROI) higher than the rate of return envisaged by the regulator (regulatory WACC)
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 11 Notes: 1Titoli di Efficienca Energetica – Energy Efficieny Certificates; 2Preliminary; 3EBIT adj. (adjusted for the amount of license fees paid to local authorities and for the alignment between accounting and tariff depreciation) / RAB.
52% 48% EBITDA 80 m€ Electricity sold 1,205 GWh Gas sold 1,003 mScm Retail customers power 312 k Retail customers gas 748 k EstEnergy – Operating data 20201 Extraordinary transaction completed with Hera in December 2019 ▪ Strategic repositioning of the Group ▪ Valorisation of sales activities ▪ Risk mitigation of commercial activities
€ ▪ Annual distribution of 100% of generated profits
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 12 Notes: 1Preliminary.
In 2020 Ascopiave subscribed an EstEnergy capital increase for 32.5m€ to service the tax relief of the higher value of the equity investments it acquired compared to the net book value. The benefits for Ascopiave will be represented by higher dividends in the years 2023-2032. If the put option is exercised, the benefits not yet obtained will be recognized as a supplement to the price.
Option that can be fully or partially exercised between December 2021 and December 2026
1. Maximisation of the strike price
2. Reinvestment of the proceeds from the sale
Ascopiave is committed to the fight against climate change and intends to contribute to the decarbonisation goals defined at national and European level, through initiatives aimed, for example, at reducing CO2 emissions and reducing the use of plastic in company offices
Ascopiave promotes the improvement of the social quality standards of corporate activity with initiatives and policies that promote social values in its organisation and in favor of the local community, for example through training and inclusion programs for employees
ESG linked loan: credit lines with a rate linked to the achievement of specific targets of some ESG indicators
In 2020 Ascopiave subscribed the first ESG linked loan with Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. for a total amount of € 50 million and a duration of 3 years
Ascopiave, as a listed company, is aligned with the Best Practices of the sector in the composition of its Board of Directors and its Board of Statutory Auditors, respecting for example the legislation on gender equality
Ascopiave Group has always paid great attention and commitment to environmental issues, with the aim of minimising the environmental impact of its activities
Renewable energy sources: thanks to a 200 kW photovoltaic system and a geothermal system, we guarantee a significant reduction in pollution and consumption at the company headquarters
CO2 emission reduction: for some time we have been implementing the best technologies for constant monitoring of consumption and instilling sustainable behaviors
Extension of the company green spaces: the company roofs were converted in gardens, for a total of 28.000 square meters of outdoor greenery equipped with an intelligent irrigation system and a rainwater collection system
Plastics: drastic reduction in the consumption of plastic bottles at the offices thanks to the installation of various dispensers in common areas and the distribution of reusable bottles to each employee
District heating/cogeneration: Through the management of 3 cogeneration plants with adjoining district heating networks serving about 700 civil-, commercial- and public customers and some heating systems serving condominiums, we contribute to the improvement of air quality in urban centers
TEE Management: Through the subsidiary Asco Energy (ESCo), Ascopiave manages the procurement of the Group's energy efficiency certificates in the most effective way
Ascopiave Group promotes the involvement of personnel in the achievement of sustainability goals and values the contribution of people in a context of mutual trust and collaboration
Formation: Ascopiave promotes the professional skills of its employees through training and continuous growth, also in order to increase the current digital skills of the staff
Inclusivity: the Group, following an inclusive approach, is sensitive to the issues of equal opportunities both for the management and for the selection of personnel, focusing on a minimum recruitment quota of 65% under 35
Work/life balance: Ascopiave pays particular attention to the work / life balance of its employees: in particular, with a 2nd level contractual agreement, the company provides flexibility in the entry and exit of the working day
Maternity: for working mothers with children up to 11 years of age, Ascopiave allows part-time work and / or have a more conciliatory working schedule
Cafeteria service: Availability of the canteen service with a focus on the provision of sustainable menus with the aim of reducing the use of water related to the production and consumption of food and CO2 emissions
Innovation Efficiency Sustainability Biomethane Hydrogen Synthetic gas
New development opportunities in
sustainable sectors
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 20
Both the European Union and Italy have based their growth targets for the next decade on the transition to a sustainable economy model
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 22 Source: 1Snam-Terna Scenario 2019 – Centralised Scenario (characterised by a strong development of centralised renewable / low carbon technologies and by the hypothesis of achieving the 2030 targets set out in the Clean energy for all Europeans Package).
A significant contribution from biomethane is expected in the future demand for gas in Italy, also thanks to its key role in decarbonisation and a circular economy
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 24 Sources: 1Snam-Terna Scenario 2019 – Centralised Scenario (characterised by a strong development of centralised renewable / low carbon technologies and by the hypothesis of achieving the 2030 targets); 2 IES Biogas.
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 25 Sources: 1Snam-Terna Scenario 2019 – Centralised Scenario (characterised by a strong development of centralised renewable / low carbon technologies and by the hypothesis of achieving the 2030 targets); 2 International Energy Agency.
Role of hydrogen2
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 26 Sources: 1Snam-Terna Scenario 2019 – Centralised Scenario (characterised by a strong development of centralised renewable / low carbon technologies and by the hypothesis of achieving the 2030 targets); 2Mebrahtu et al., Stud. Surf. Sci. Catal. 178 (2019) pag. 85.
The gas distribution sector recorded a gradual consolidation, favored by:
No. of gas distribution operators in Italy2
The energy system transformation scenario will require a renewal of the sector, in terms of:
✓ To safely allow the distribution of gas with increasing percentages of hydrogen
✓ Through operational efficiency measures aimed at greater sustainability of the activities
The current sector regulation guarantees stability and risk containment. Furthermore, the regulatory evolutions expected by ARERA will lead to greater attention on cost efficiency and innovation
Strategic pillars
Quantitative projections
Shareholder remuneration
Ascopiave's current positioning and competences in the gas distribution sector constitute solid foundations to support the growth of the perimeter of the activities managed in a sector undergoing consolidation
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 31 Notes: 1Only in case ATEM tenders are awarded; 2Of which 54 m€ for the Enterprise Value of the M&A targets and 11 m€ for subsequent maintenance and network development.
Growth Diversification Efficiency Innovation
Selection criteria for ATEM of interest
The definition and implementation of the strategy depends on the timing of publication of the tender notices and any delays in the deadlines. This implies the need to establish an order of strategic priority and a continuous updating of decisions regarding participation in future tenders
Priority to development in the Veneto region, consolidating the current leadership position 1.
2. Territorial focus: Northern Italy
3. Participation in tenders in currently managed ATEM and in other contestable ATEM
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 32 Notes: 1Deadline for submitting the application form. Source: 2Ascopiave elaboration on sector information and Mi.SE data 31.12.2020.
Growth Diversification Efficiency Innovation
The entry into activities with synergies with respect to the core business allows Ascopiave to maximise the value generated by the Group, exploiting and enhancing the internal competences
R
S
E
Growth Diversification Efficiency Innovation ▪ Focus on areas where the core business is located ▪ Investment in upgrading of existing agricultural biogas plants and exploitation of potential greenfield investments ▪ Structuring of partnerships with operators in the agricultural sector with a view to «revenue sharing», leveraging on internal management competences ACTION PLAN ▪ Presence of ten-year incentives (ca. 0.6€/Scm) on biomethane production for transport (up to production of 1.1 mScm by 2022) ▪ Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in the agricultural sector (equal to 7% of national emissions)1 ▪ Conversion of existing plants following the expiration of the incentives for the production of electricity (over 100 MW of incentivised power expiring by 2028 in Veneto)2 ▪ Infrastructural complementarity with gas distribution networks ▪ Consolidation of competences in terms of "flexible" management of distribution networks (experimentation with bidirectional REMI cabins3 ) ~10 m€ cumulated investments @ 2024 ~0.1 m€ EBITDA generated @ 2024*
*It is expected that the biomethane initiative will be fully operational starting from 2027, generating from that moment an EBITDA equal to approximately 2 m €/year and therefore does not fall within this strategic plan
S
E
R ▪ Presence of incentive mechanisms (especially for small plants) ▪ Potential development of new contractual forms to contain price fluctuations (PPA) ▪ Priority of dispatching of non-programmable RES compared to traditional sources
▪ Structuring of a plant portfolio, preferably under an incentive scheme, through M&A operations ACTION PLAN ~73 m€ cumulated investments @ 2024
▪ Consolidation of management competences through external growth and/or partnership agreements with specialised operators
~7.5 m€ EBITDA generated @ 2024
Growth Diversification Efficiency Innovation
Growth Diversification Efficiency Innovation R S ▪ Presence of medium-long term contracts with counterparties, similar to concession contracts ▪ Presence of incentive mechanisms to support investments (in particular TEE, which are an obligation for DSOs) ▪ Primary role in reducing emissions, at the heart of national and European policies (the PNIEC sets an annual savings target of 0.8% in terms of primary energy, corresponding to a cumulative savings of 51 Mtoe1 in 2021-2030)
▪ Possibility of leveraging internal competences in terms of energy service management, as well as corporate services
▪ Focus on areas where the core business is located ▪ Supervision of energy services aimed at Business customers and Public Administration, both through ESCo contracts, Project Financing and public tenders ▪ Consolidation of internal competences ACTION PLAN ~10 m€ cumulated investments @ 2024
and preparation for potential growth for external lines (through M&A) aimed at sharing know-how and achieving economies of scale
~1.5 m€ EBITDA generated
Growth Diversification Efficiency Innovation R S E ▪ Investments in partnerships with industry operators through M&A and participation in tenders for the award of the service ▪ Provision of technical services to sector operators ▪ Integration and consolidation of internal and external technical competences ACTION PLAN ▪ Regulated activity with return on invested capital through a tariff mechanism defined by the sector Authority - ARERA (WACC for the regulatory period 2020-2023 equal to 5.24%) ▪ High potential need for investments in the sector in order to reduce the infrastructure gap and contain water losses (60% of the national water network is over 30 years old and 25% over 50 years old, while the losses exceed 40%)1 ▪ Growing trend in investments (+ 24% in 7 years from 2011 to 2017) with forecast for the two-year period 2018 - 2019 of an annual amount of c. 3.5 billion €2 ▪ Complementarity from the point of view of competences in the management of network infrastructure businesses ▪ Acquisition of background for potential participation in tenders for service assignment ~25 m€ cumulated investments @ 2024 ~2 m€ EBITDA generated @ 2024
Based on the evolution of the market context, the regulatory framework and technological progress, further potential areas of development have been identified, currently not valued in the plan
Historical costs per customer1
Starting from 2016, an extensive process of reorganisation of the distribution activities was launched which involved all the companies of the Group:
This has allowed the optimisation of the use of resources, allowing the internalisation of many contracted activities to third parties in order to reduce management costs and increase the possibility of making investments
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 40 Notes: 1 Indexed costs based on the costs recorded in 2016, which incorporate both the general costs of the distribution companies and the costs for Corporate services; 2Preliminary.
Improving operating and economic efficiency is at the heart of Ascopiave's management policies which intends to follow up on the excellent results achieved over the last few years
Plan
Growth Diversification Efficiency Innovation
▪ The Group aims to install sensors capable of
physical infrastructure in order to:
pressure and odorisation
plant conditions
"green" gases
detecting, recording, transmitting and executing commands by creating a digital twin of the
o Optimise network monitoring in terms of
o Acquire data in real time and simulate
o Adapt the network for the introduction of biomethane and in the future of other
~2.1 m€ cumulated investments @ 2024
cumulated investments @ 2024
Consumption profiling
Reduction of operating costs
Intervention prioritisation
Predictive maintenance
Reduction of network losses
Growth Diversification Efficiency Innovation
The plan includes investments and initiatives aimed at improving corporate efficiency through greater sustainability in both environmental and social activities
Staff training: target of 15 hours/year of training per employee by enriching the training offer in e-learning mode and offering online training content, collected within a structured platform
Asset renewal: conversion of the first six gas compression plants into gas / electric hybrids and start of energy efficiency initiatives on existing assets
Sustainable vehicles: company fleet renewal according to the highest industry standards, also experimenting with the use of vehicles powered by alternative fuels
Renewable power: further increase in the photovoltaic power installed at the company headquarters (+87%) which will allow a saving, in terms of tonnes of CO2 avoided from 2020 to 2024, equal to 805 tonnes
Reduction of CO2 and CH4 emissions: through the implementation of interventions to improve the efficiency of the preheating in the REMI cabins and the adoption of innovative methods for the research of CH4 dispersions in the networks
Innovation management is a crucial activity for Ascopiave and targets both short and mediumlong term goals
Growth Diversification Efficiency Innovation
Interventions with immediate positive effects on income:
Strategic investments:
Group guidelines to be pursued
In the next few years Ascopiave will execute an organic program of innovative interventions aimed at the evolution of the infrastructure and the improvement of its safety and functional efficiency
Strategic pillars
Quantitative projections
Shareholder remuneration
▪ Achievement of reasonable growth targets through M&A and diversified asset investment initiatives
Cumulative net investments1 @ 2024
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 48 Notes: 1Net of € 22m deriving from divestments in current networks and plants in case ATEM tenders are awarded (Scenario B); 2Acquisition carried out in 2020 for a value of approximately 8 m€; 3Acquisition carried out in 2020 for a value of approximately 27 m€.
in case ATEM tenders are awarded (Scenario B)
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 49 Notes: 1Net of € 22m deriving from divestments in current networks and plants in case ATEM tenders are awarded (Scenario B); 2 Impianto di derivazione d'utenza – User connecting gas pipes; 3Gruppo di riduzione finale – Final pressure reduction station.
The implementation of the initiatives considered will lead, over the plan horizon, to a progressive and stable growth of the value generated in terms of EBITDA
The growth prospects, both internally and externally, will determine further consolidation of the Group in the distribution sector and diversification into synergistic sectors
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 51 Notes: 1Preliminary; 2Emissions scope 1 e 2; 3The baseline chosen for emissions is 2019, since 2020, due to the distortions brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic, cannot be considered representative.
| m€ | 20201 | 2024 Scenario A | CAGR | 2024 Scenario B | CAGR | Δ 2024 Scenario B vs A |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 216 | 270 | 6% | 332 | 11% | 62 | 23% |
| EBITDA | 62 | 87 | 9% | 107 | 15% | 20 | 23% |
| EBIT | 27 | 36 | 7% | 47 | 15% | 11 | 31% |
| Net financial income2 |
20 | 26 | 7% | 24 | 5% | -2 | -8% |
| Net income | 40 | 51 | 6% | 58 | 10% | 7 | 14% |
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 52 Notes: 1Preliminary; 2 Income from equity investments net of financial charges on debt.
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 53 Notes: 1Preliminary; 2Ratio between debt and net equity; 3Net Financial Position.
Ascopiave's strategy aims to create value for its stakeholders, distributing the wealth produced to contribute to the economic and social growth of the context in which the Group operates
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 54 Notes: 1The added value is determined by the value generated in the reference period and partly redistributed, in various forms, to the Group's stakeholders.
Strategic pillars
Quantitative projections
Shareholder remuneration
Use of financial leverage to cover the needs of planned investments
1. Efficiency of the financial structure and cost of capital 2. Financial flexibility
Value creation for shareholders
Stock performance (ASC.MI) on the stock exchange from 01.01.2015 to 31.12.2020
In the 2015-2019 period, Ascopiave distributed ordinary dividends totalling approximately 189 m€ (annual average: 17.0 c€/ share1 ), thanks to:
Ascopiave expects to distribute a dividend growing from
16 c€/share in 2020 to 18 c€/share in 2024 (+ 13%)
Ascopiave Group – Strategic Plan 2020-2024 58 Notes: 1The annual average dividend and the dividend yields were calculated considering only the ordinary dividend; 2Dividend approved and distributed during 2025 with reference to the year 2024.
Ascopiave Group is a consolidated entity active in a regulated market and with a track record of business growth
The strategy that will guide the Group's action in the coming years is based on growth of the core business, diversification into new synergistic activities, economic efficiency and innovation
The investment plan, about 500 million euros in the more prudent context, is equally intended for the current perimeter and for the expansion of company activities
The expected results lead to sustainable growth capable of creating value for shareholders and other main stakeholders
The plan provides for the distribution of a remunerative and growing dividend for the period to the benefit of the Group's shareholders
| Parameter | Hypothesis | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | 0.6% - average annual inflation over the entire plan horizon |
||
| Real pre-tax WACC (RAB distribution) |
6.3% - rate recognised in the year 2021 and for the entire plan horizon |
||
| Tariff operating costs |
X-Factor currently provided by regulation | ||
| Tariff capital costs | Continuity of the cost recognition methodology (actual costs in distribution, maintenance of depreciation rates, etc.) |
||
| EstEnergy result |
In line with the forecasts of the company's plan | ||
| Dividends from other investments |
Equal to dividends distributed in 2020 | ||
| Tax Rate | 28.2% - IRES and IRAP rates, constant throughout the plan horizon |
||
| Cost of debt | 1% - Average annual passive rate over the entire horizon of the plan |
||
| Dividends | 16 c€ in 2020, up by 0.5 c€/year in subsequent years |
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