Investor Presentation • Feb 17, 2021
Investor Presentation
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Rome, February 17, 2021
SOLID PERFORMANCE IN UNPRECEDENTED TIMES – CONFIRMING ROLE OF SYSTEMIC PLAYER IN ITALY
REVENUES UP IN Q4 – RESUMING AN UPWARD TRAJECTORY
YEARLY NET PROFIT OF € 1.2BN
POSTE ITALIANE: THE ITALIAN SYSTEMIC PLAYER – ALWAYS OPEN FOR BUSINESS 2020 KEY HIGHLIGHTS
€ m unless otherwise stated
| Var. (%) |
|---|
| (4.0%) |
| (2.0%) |
| (14.1%) |
| (10.2%) |
| POSITIVE INCOME TAX |
COMMERCIAL ACTIVITIES CONTINUE TO SHOW TANGIBLE SIGNS OF RECOVERY
8
€ m unless otherwise stated
UNPRECEDENTED PARCEL GROWTH BOOSTED BY B2C – MAIL VOLUMES DOWN IN LINE WITH Q3
RECORD B2C – INBOUND FROM CHINA CONTRIBUTING TO CUSTOMER BASE DIVERSIFICATION
12
MAIL VOLUME TREND IMPACTED BY HIGHER MARGIN PRODUCT DECLINE, PARTLY EXPECTED TO RECOVER IN 2021
€ m unless otherwise stated
RECORD HIGH NET INFLOWS AND MARKET EFFECT RESULTING IN € 33BN TFA INCREASE
HIGHLIGHTS (item by item)
€ m unless otherwise stated
HIGHLIGHTS
18
Excluding legal disputes with employees
Excluding other Non-HR operating costs amounting to 228m in FY-19 and 142m in FY-20
Due to the reassessment of residual life and residual value of real assets, partly offset by increased capex in the last years
CONTINUED OPERATING PROFIT PROGRESSION BEGINNING IN Q2
€ m unless otherwise stated
POSTE ITALIANE SYSTEMIC ROLE CONFIRMED
| Q4-19 | Q4-20 | € m | % | FY19 | FY20 | € m | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REPORTED REVENUES | 2,924 | 2,964 | 40 | +1% | 10,960 | 10,526 | (434) | (4%) |
| NET CAPITAL GAINS ON INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO | 84 | 131 | 339 | 365 | ||||
| VISA - FAIR VALUE VALUATION/ FAIR VALUE HEDGE | 2 | (0) | 10 | (3) | ||||
| VISA - CAPITAL GAIN ON SHARE DISPOSAL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| ADJUSTED REVENUES | 2,839 | 2,834 | (5) | (0%) | 10,609 | 10,164 | (445) | (4%) |
| REPORTED COSTS | 2,690 | 2,685 | (6) | (0%) | 9,186 | 9,002 | (184) | (2%) |
| EARLY RETIREMENT INCENTIVES | 328 | 423 | 342 | 434 | ||||
| REAL ESTATE FUNDS PROVISIONS | 0 | (18) | 0 | (32) | ||||
| ADJUSTED COSTS | 2,362 | 2,280 | (82) | (3%) | 8,844 | 8,600 | (244) | (3%) |
| REPORTED EBIT | 234 | 280 | 46 | +20% | 1,774 | 1,524 | (250) | (14%) |
| ADJUSTED EBIT | 477 | 554 | 77 | +16% | 1,765 | 1,564 | (201) | (11%) |
| IMPAIRMENTS | (42) | 0 | (42) | 19 | ||||
| TAX ONE-OFF BENEFIT | 0 | (96) | 0 | (96) | ||||
| REPORTED NET PROFIT | 259 | 308 | 49 | +19% | 1,342 | 1,206 | (136) | (10%) |
| ADJUSTED NET PROFIT | 380 | 408 | 28 | +7% | 1,281 | 1,158 | (122) | (10%) |
As of Dec-20
Debt capacity consistent with current rating (based on the Moody's credit opinion as of October 2020 and available for future potential financing operations)
€ m unless otherwise stated
Excluding other Non-HR operating costs amounting to 64m in Q4-19 and (9)m in Q4-20
Due to the reassessment of residual life and residual value of real assets, partly offset by increased capex in the last years
Δ Y/Y
| Q4-19 | Q4-20 | € m | % | FY19 | FY20 | € m | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEGMENT REPORTED REVENUES | 1,351 | 1,349 | (2) | (0%) | 5,135 | 4,945 | (190) | (4%) |
| NET CAPITAL GAINS ON INV. PORTFOLIO | 84 | 131 | 339 | 365 | ||||
| VISA - FAIR VALUE VALUATION/ FAIR VALUE HEDGE | 2 | 0 | 10 | (3) | ||||
| VISA - CAPITAL GAIN ON SHARES DISPOSAL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| SEGMENT ADJUSTED REVENUES | 1,265 | 1,218 | (47) | (4%) | 4,784 | 4,583 | (201) | (4%) |
| INTERSEGMENT REVENUES | 171 | 186 | 15 | +9% | 691 | 665 | (25) | (4%) |
| ADJUSTED TOTAL REVENUES | 1,436 | 1,404 | (33) | (2%) | 5,475 | 5,248 | (226) | (4%) |
| REPORTED COSTS | 1,274 | 1,248 | (26) | (2%) | 4,951 | 4,745 | (207) | (4%) |
| EARLY RETIREMENT INCENTIVES | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| CAPITAL GAINS COMMISSIONING | 65 | 104 | 265 | 289 | ||||
| REAL ESTATE FUNDS PROVISIONS | 0 | (18) | 0 | (32) | ||||
| ADJUSTED COSTS | 1,209 | 1,162 | (47) | (4%) | 4,685 | 4,487 | (198) | (4%) |
| REPORTED EBIT | 248 | 287 | 39 | +16% | 874 | 866 | (9) | (1%) |
| ADJUSTED EBIT | 228 | 242 | 14 | +6% | 790 | 761 | (29) | (4%) |
| IMPAIRMENTS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | ||||
| TAX ONE OFF BENEFIT | 0 | (23) | 0 | (23) | ||||
| REPORTED NET PROFIT | 200 | 240 | 40 | +20% | 640 | 647 | 7 | +1% |
| ADJUSTED NET PROFIT | 186 | 186 | (0) | (0%) | 577 | 569 | (8) | (1%) |
€ bn unless otherwise stated
Deposit @ MEF3
€ m unless otherwise stated
SWAP 30Y
0.63 0.04 (0.01) (0.03) (0.02)
AVERAGE POSTAL SAVINGS1 POSTAL SAVINGS NET INFLOWS
€ m unless otherwise stated
€ m unless otherwise stated
AVERAGE ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT EVOLUTION – EoP
POSITIVE NET INFLOWS THANKS TO MULTICLASS CLASS III COMPONENT OF INSURANCE PRODUCTS
€ m unless otherwise stated
AN ASSET GATHERER WITH A CAPITAL LIGHT BALANCE SHEET
INSURANCE SERVICES SOLVENCY II EVOLUTION
€ m unless otherwise stated
Multiclass
GROUP NET TECHNICAL PROVISIONS1 LIFE NET TECHNICAL PROVISIONS EVOLUTION3
€ m unless otherwise stated
LOW RISK INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO
YEARS
| OPERATIONAL KPI's | Q4-19 | Q4-20 | Δ% YoY | FY19 | FY20 | Δ% YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mail Volumes (#m) Parcels delivered by mailmen (#m) MAIL PARCEL & Parcel volumes (#m) DISTRIBUTION B2C Revenues (€m) |
695 14 44 125 |
603 21 70 205 |
(13%) +49% +59% +63% |
2,735 52 148 383 |
2,280 74 210 603 |
(17%) +44% +42% +57% |
| PostePay cards (#m) of which PostePay Evolution cards (#m) Total payment cards transactions (#bn) PAYMENTS & MOBILE of which eCommerce transactions (#m) Mobile & land-line (#m) Poste Italiane Digital e-Wallets (#m) |
21.5 7.2 1.4 249.9 4.4 5.4 |
21.7 7.7 1.6 397.0 4.6 7.4 |
+1% +7% +9% +59% +5% +36% |
|||
| Total Financial Assets - TFAs (€/bn) FINANCIAL Unrealized gains (€m) SERVICES |
536 1,115 |
569 4,653 |
+6% +317% |
|||
| Gross Written Premiums (€m) GWP – Life (€m) INSURANCE SERVICES GWP – Private Pension Plan (€m) GWP – P&C (€m) |
4,064 3,659 351 54 |
4,475 4,044 378 53 |
+10% +11% +8% (3%) |
17,972 16,643 1,088 240 |
16,898 15,566 1,095 237 |
(6%) (6%) +1% (1%) |
| INTERSEGMENT COST FLOWS | INDICATIVE MAIN MAIN RATIONALE REMUNERATION SCHEME |
€ m | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|
| • Payments and Mobile remunerates: a) Mail, Parcel and Distribution for providing IT, a) Number of payment transactions |
a) 52 | +10% | |
| Mail, Parcel & Distribution |
delivery volume and other corporates services1 ; flat fee (depending on the product) b) Financial Services for promoting and selling card b) Fixed % of revenues payments and other payments (e.g. tax payments) throughout the network; |
b) 56 Total: 108 |
- |
| • Insurance Services remunerates: |
|||
| Payments & a) d) Mobile |
c) Financial Services for promoting and selling insurance products2 and for investment management c) Fixed % of upfront fees |
c) 130 | +15% |
| g) e) Insurance h) Services |
services3 ; d) Depending on service/product d) Mail, Parcel and Distribution for providing corporate |
d) 14 | n.m. |
| services1 ; |
Total: 143 | ||
| f) c) b) |
• Financial Services remunerates: e) Mail, Parcel and Distribution for promoting and e) Fixed % (depending on the selling Financial, Insurance and PMD products |
e) 1,186 | +2% |
| throughout the network and for proving corporate product) of revenues services4 ; f) Depending on service/product f) Payments & Mobile for providing certain payment |
f) 71 | (14%). | |
| Financial | services5 | Total: 1,251 | |
| Services | • Mail, Parcel and Distribution remunerates: |
||
| g) Payments & Mobile for acquiring services and g) Annual fee postman electronic devices |
g) 9 | (7%) | |
| h) Financial Services as distribution fees related to h) Flat fee for each «Bollettino» "Bollettino DTT" |
h) 10 | +11% | |
| 1. Corporate Services such as communication, anti money laundering, IT, back office and call centers 2. Which, in turn, remunerates Mail, Parcel and Distribution 3. Investment management | Total: 19 | 49 |
services provided by BancoPosta Fondi SGR. 4. E.g. Corporate services are remunerated according to number of allocated FTEs, volumes of sent letters and communication costs 5. E.g. 'Bollettino'
| €m | Q4-19 | Q4-20 | Var. | Var. % | FY19 | FY20 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 2,924 | 2,964 | 40 | +1% | 10,960 | 10,526 | (434) | (4%) |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Mail, Parcel and Distribution | 937 | 950 | 13 | +1% | 3,492 | 3,201 | (292) | (8%) |
| Payments and Mobile | 187 | 215 | 28 | +15% | 664 | 737 | 74 | +11% |
| Financial Services | 1,351 | 1,349 | (2) | (0%) | 5,135 | 4,945 | (190) | (4%) |
| Insurance Services | 450 | 451 | 1 | +0% | 1,669 | 1,643 | (26) | (2%) |
| Total costs | 2,690 | 2,685 | (6) | (0%) | 9,186 | 9,002 | (184) | (2%) |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Total personnel expenses | 1,776 | 1,760 | (15) | (1%) | 5,896 | 5,638 | (258) | (4%) |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,452 | 1,341 | (111) | (8%) | 5,561 | 5,204 | (356) | (6%) |
| of which early retirement incentives | 328 | 423 | 94 | +29% | 342 | 434 | 93 | +27% |
| of which legal disputes with employees | 5 | 3 | (2) | (32%) | 6 | 1 | (5) | n.m. |
| Other operating costs | 715 | 741 | 26 | +4% | 2,515 | 2,664 | 149 | +6% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 200 | 183 | (17) | (8%) | 774 | 700 | (75) | (10%) |
| EBIT | 234 | 280 | 46 | +20% | 1,774 | 1,524 | (250) | (14%) |
| EBIT Margin | +8% | +9% | +16% | +14% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) and profit/(loss) on investments accounted for using the equity method |
76 | 25 | (51) | (67%) | 99 | 52 | (46) | (47%) |
| Profit before tax | 310 | 305 | (5) | (2%) | 1,873 | 1,576 | (296) | (16%) |
| Income tax expense | 51 | (3) | (54) | (106%) | 530 | 370 | (160) | (30%) |
| Profit for the period | 259 | 308 | 49 | +19% | 1,342 | 1,206 | (136) | (10%) |
| E-MARKET SDIR |
|---|
| CERTIFIED |
| €m | Q4-19 | Q4-20 | Var. | Var. % | FY19 | FY20 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenues | 937 | 950 | 13 | +1% | 3,492 | 3,201 | (292) | (8%) |
| Intersegment revenue | 1,219 | 1,253 | 34 | +3% | 4,723 | 4,633 | (90) | (2%) |
| Total revenues | 2,156 | 2,203 | 47 | +2% | 8,215 | 7,833 | (382) | (5%) |
| Personnel expenses | 1,746 | 1,736 | (11) | (1%) | 5,782 | 5,539 | (242) | (4%) |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,418 | 1,313 | (105) | (7%) | 5,442 | 5,107 | (335) | (6%) |
| of which early retirement incentives | 328 | 422 | 95 | +29% | 340 | 432 | 92 | +27% |
| Other operating costs | 557 | 615 | 58 | +10% | 1,985 | 2,143 | 158 | +8% |
| Intersegment costs | 18 | 19 | 1 | +6% | 72 | 73 | 1 | +2% |
| Total costs | 2,321 | 2,370 | 49 | +2% | 7,838 | 7,755 | (83) | (1%) |
| EBITDA | (165) | (167) | (2) | (1%) | 377 | 78 | (299) | (79%) |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 186 | 178 | (8) | (5%) | 724 | 667 | (58) | (8%) |
| EBIT | (351) | (344) | 7 | +2% | (347) | (588) | (241) | (69%) |
| EBIT MARGIN | (16%) | (16%) | (4%) | (8%) | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | (43) | 6 | 49 | n.m. | (36) | 12 | 48 | n.m. |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | (394) | (338) | 55 | +14% | (384) | (577) | (193) | (50%) |
| Income tax expense | (98) | (96) | 2 | +2% | (77) | (158) | (80) | n.m. |
| Profit for the period | (296) | (242) | 54 | +18% | (306) | (419) | (113) | (37%) |
| €m | Q4-19 | Q4-20 | Var. | Var. % | FY19 | FY20 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 187 | 215 | 28 | +15% | 664 | 737 | 74 | +11% |
| Intersegment revenue | 94 | 81 | (13) | (14%) | 375 | 341 | (34) | (9%) |
| Total revenues | 280 | 296 | 16 | +6% | 1,039 | 1,079 | 40 | +4% |
| Personnel expenses | 8 | 6 | (1) | (19%) | 31 | 25 | (6) | (19%) |
| of which personnel expenses | 7 | 6 | (1) | (17%) | 31 | 25 | (6) | (19%) |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | (0) | n.m. | 0 | 0 | (0) | n.m. |
| Other operating costs | 101 | 115 | 14 | +14% | 322 | 384 | 62 | +19% |
| Intersegment costs | 103 | 108 | 4 | +4% | 418 | 385 | (32) | (8%) |
| Total costs | 212 | 229 | 17 | +8% | 771 | 795 | 24 | +3% |
| EBITDA | 68 | 67 | (1) | (2%) | 268 | 284 | 16 | +6% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 7 | 4 | (3) | (42%) | 27 | 25 | (2) | (6%) |
| EBIT | 61 | 63 | 2 | +3% | 241 | 259 | 18 | +7% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 22% | 21% | 23% | 24% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 93 | 2 | (91) | n.m. | 99 | 8 | (91) | n.m. |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 155 | 66 | (89) | (58%) | 340 | 267 | (74) | (22%) |
| Income tax expense | 17 | 17 | (0) | (0%) | 68 | 73 | 4 | +6% |
| Profit for the period | 138 | 49 | (89) | (65%) | 272 | 194 | (78) | (29%) |
| €m | Q4-19 | Q4-20 | Var. | Var. % | FY19 | FY20 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 1,351 | 1,349 | (2) | (0%) | 5,135 | 4,945 | (190) | (4%) |
| Intersegment revenue | 171 | 186 | 15 | +9% | 691 | 665 | (25) | (4%) |
| Total revenues | 1,522 | 1,535 | 13 | +1% | 5,826 | 5,610 | (215) | (4%) |
| Personnel expenses | 11 | 11 | (0) | (3%) | 43 | 40 | (3) | (7%) |
| of which personnel expenses | 11 | 10 | (0) | (3%) | 42 | 39 | (3) | (7%) |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | (0) | (3%) | 2 | 1 | (0) | (27%) |
| Other operating costs | 18 | (13) | (32) | (172%) | 107 | 46 | (61) | (57%) |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 0 | 0 | 0 | +21% | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4% |
| Intersegment costs | 1,245 | 1,251 | 6 | +0% | 4,801 | 4,658 | (142) | (3%) |
| Total costs | 1,274 | 1,248 | (26) | (2%) | 4,951 | 4,745 | (207) | (4%) |
| EBIT | 248 | 287 | 39 | +16% | 874 | 866 | (9) | (1%) |
| EBIT MARGIN | 16% | 19% | 15% | 15% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 11 | 3 | (8) | n.m. | 6 | (9) | (15) | n.m. |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 258 | 289 | 31 | +12% | 881 | 857 | (24) | (3%) |
| Income tax expense | 58 | 49 | (9) | (15%) | 240 | 210 | (30) | (13%) |
| Profit for the period | 200 | 240 | 40 | +20% | 640 | 647 | 7 | +1% |
| €m | Q4-19 | Q4-20 | Var. | Var. % | FY19 | FY20 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 450 | 451 | 1 | +0% | 1,669 | 1,643 | (26) | (2%) |
| Intersegment revenue | 0 | 1 | 1 | +299% | 1 | 1 | 1 | +119% |
| Total revenues | 450 | 452 | 1 | +0% | 1,670 | 1,644 | (25) | (2%) |
| Personnel expenses | 11 | 8 | (3) | (28%) | 40 | 33 | (7) | (17%) |
| of which personnel expenses | 11 | 8 | (3) | (28%) | 40 | 32 | (8) | (19%) |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | 0 | n.m. | 0 | 1 | 1 | n.m. |
| Other operating costs | 39 | 25 | (14) | (36%) | 102 | 92 | (10) | (10%) |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 6 | 1 | (5) | (81%) | 24 | 8 | (15) | (66%) |
| Intersegment costs | 118 | 143 | 26 | +22% | 499 | 523 | 25 | +5% |
| Total costs | 174 | 177 | 3 | +2% | 664 | 656 | (8) | (1%) |
| EBIT | 276 | 274 | (2) | (1%) | 1,006 | 988 | (18) | (2%) |
| EBIT MARGIN | 61% | 61% | 60% | 60% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 15 | 14 | (1) | (5%) | 30 | 41 | 12 | +39% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 291 | 289 | (2) | (1%) | 1,035 | 1,029 | (6) | (1%) |
| Income tax expense | 73 | 27 | (46) | (63%) | 298 | 245 | (54) | (18%) |
| Profit for the period | 218 | 262 | 44 | +20% | 737 | 784 | 47 | +6% |
This document contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect Poste Italiane's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and of the Company's Group.
These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this document and are based on current expectations, reasonable assumptions and projections about future events and are therefore subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual future results and performance may indeed differ materially from what is expressed or implied in this presentation, due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane to foresee, control or estimate precisely, including, but not limited to, changes in the legislative and regulatory framework, market developments, price fluctuations and other risks and uncertainties, such as, for instance, risks deriving from the recent Covid-19 pandemic and from the restrictive measures taken by each Country to face it.
Forward-looking statements contained herein are not a guarantee of future performance and you are therefore cautioned not to place undue reliance thereon.
This document does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company; it does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane or any of its Group companies or other forms of financial assets, products or services.
Except as may be required by applicable law, Poste Italiane denies any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.
Pursuant to art. 154- BIS, par.2,of the Consolidated Financial Bill of February 24, 1998, the executive (Dirigente Preposto) in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane, Alessandro Del Gobbo, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results and accounting books and records.
This presentation includes summary financial information and should not be considered a substitute for Poste Italiane's full financial statements.
Numbers in the document may not add up only due to roundings.
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