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Banco BPM SpA

Investor Presentation Nov 5, 2021

4282_ir_2021-11-05_f94bbcd4-3811-4ae5-a226-754a74844950.pdf

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9M 2021 Group Results Presentation

5 November 2021

DISCLAIMER

This presentation has been prepared by Banco BPM ("Banco BPM"); for the purposes of this notice, "presentation" means this document, any oral presentation, any question and answer session and any written or oral material discussed following the distribution of this document.

The distribution of this presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law or regulation. Accordingly, persons who come into possession of this document should inform themselves of, and observe, these restrictions. To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, Banco BPM and its subsidiaries disclaim any responsibility or liability for the violation of such restrictions by any person.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Banco BPM or any member of its group or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities, nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities in Banco BPM or any member of its group, or investment decision or any commitment whatsoever. This presentation and the information contained herein does not constitute an offer of securities in the United States or to any U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 (the "Securities Act"), as amended), Canada, Australia, Japan or any other jurisdiction where such offer is unlawful.

The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and is subject to amendment, revision and updating without notice. Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements about Banco BPM. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts and are based on information available to Banco BPM as of the date hereof, relying on scenarios, assumptions, expectations and projections regarding future events which are subject to uncertainties because dependent on factors most of which are beyond Banco BPM's control. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forward-looking statements are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "believes", "intends", "estimates" and similar expressions. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Banco BPM does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. All subsequent written and oral forwardlooking statements attributable to Banco BPM or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by this disclaimer.

None of Banco BPM, its subsidiaries or any of their respective representatives, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

By participating to the presentation of the Group results and accepting a copy of this presentation, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations regarding the information disclosed in this presentation.

*** This presentation includes both accounting data (based on financial accounts) and internal management data (which are also based on estimates).

Mr. Gianpietro Val, as the manager responsible for preparing the Bank's accounts, hereby states pursuant to Article 154-bis, paragraph 2 of the Financial Consolidated Act that the accounting data contained in this presentation correspond to the documentary evidence, corporate books and accounting records.

METHODOLOGICAL NOTES

  • Before 30/09/2020, the impact from the change in own credit risk on certificates classified as financial liabilities measured at fair value through profit or loss was accounted under the item "Net Financial Results" of the Reclassified P&L scheme. Starting from 30/09/2020, this impact net of tax has been reclassified in one new single P&L item: "FV on Own Liabilities net of Tax"; the previous quarters of 2020 have been reclassified accordingly.
  • Starting from 31/12/2020, an exposure in separate P&L items after tax is also provided for those non-recurring, particularly significant results deriving from extraordinary decisions (restructuring charges for the use of the redundancy fund, redundancy incentives, branch closure rather than benefits resulting from the decision to realign the fiscal values to the higher accounting values).
  • It follows that, all the above mentioned items, together with those already shown in previous years after the net result of current activities ("Charges relating to the banking system after taxes" and "Impairment on goodwill") are placed after the aggregate of the "Net income from current operations", with the aim of allowing a more immediate understanding of the results of current operations. In light of the new classification criteria, the economic data relating to the previous periods under comparison have been restated on a consistent basis.
  • In the area of companies consolidated with the equity method, the second quarter of 2020 has seen the entry of Anima Holding S.p.A., in which Banco BPM holds a stake of 19.385%. In the light of the changes brought about in the governance of the company, this stake, which is considered of strategic nature and which is destined to be held on a stable basis, is deemed to represent a situation of significant influence on the side of Banco BPM.
  • Group capital ratios calculated including the net profit of the period and deducting the amount of the dividend pay-out expected for the year.

1. Summary 4

  1. 9M 2021 Performance Details 14

9M 2021 AT A GLANCE: STRONG PERFORMANCE, DRIVEN BY ROBUST CORE REVENUES

CORE REVENUES1
(Incl. Income
from Associates)
PRE-PROVISION
INCOME
COST OF RISK3
& ASSET QUALITY
CAPITAL POSITION AND
BUFFERS
€3,106m
(+10.3% Y/Y)
€1,533m
(+20.8% Y/Y)
Gross NPE ratio down at
5.9% (4.8% EBA definition)4
CET1 FL 13.3%
MDA buffer: +453bps
Quarterly level
Total revenues at €3.4bn
consistently
(+10.5% Y/Y)
above €1bn
Net NPE ratio at 3.2x%
Texas ratio at 29.2%
Capital strengthened:
CET1 FL
(+45bps vs. Jun 21)
Default rate at 0.9%5
Strong growth in Fees

(+15.5% Y/Y)
Robust NII (+4.2% Y/Y)
Ongoing focus
on cost control
(-0.2% Y/Y2
)
Sound capital position
with solid buffers despite
Solid contribution from
strategic partnerships:
at €144.9m6
(+35.3% Y/Y)
Cost/Income
at 55%
(down from 59% in 9M 20)
provisioning approach
and
frontloading of further
derisking
(ptf. disposals
raised to €0.65bn)
the inclusion of all
regulatory FY 2021
headwinds (-95bps)

NET INCOME AT €472M IN 9M 2021 STRONG POTENTIAL TO SUSTAIN AMBITIOUS PROFITABILITY

Note: 1. Core Revenues; NIII + Net Fees & Commission + Net Income from Associates 2. Normalised figures for an homogeneous comparison (positive elements for ~€80m in 9M20, €14.4m in 9M21) 3. Annualised figure. 4. As per the EBA Transparency exercise. 5. 9M 2021 annualised. 6. Income from Associates.

KEY P&L HIGHLIGHTS: 9M 2021 NET INCOME AT €472M

E-MARKET
SDIR
CERTIFIED
P&L STATED P&L STATED
€ m Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 9M 2020 9M 2021 Y/Y
NET INTEREST INCOME 497 522 516 1,474 1,536 4.2%
NET FEES & COMMISSIONS 471 479 475 1,235 1,425 15.5%
INCOME FROM ASSOCIATES 42 57 47 107 145 35.3%
CORE REVENUES 1,010 1,058 1,039 2,815 3,106 10.3%
NFR 100 117 36 241 252 4.7%
OTHER REVENUES 18 22 26 43 66
TOT. REVENUES 1,128 1,196 1,101 3,099 3,424 10.5%
OPERATING COSTS -644 -632 -616 -1,830 -1,891
PRE-PROVISION INCOME 484 564 485 1,269 1,533 20.8%
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS -217 -256 -201 -801 -673
OTHER1 -8 -42 -23 -19 -72
PROFIT FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS (pre-tax) 259 267 262 449 788 75.3%
TAXES -83 -51 -83 -61 -217
NET PROFIT FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS 176 216 179 388 571 47.3%
SYSTEMIC CHARGES AND OTHER2 -76 -34 -68 -125 -178 €565m
REALIG. OF FISCAL VALUES TO ACCOUNT. VALUE 0 79 0 0 79 adjusted3
NET INCOME 100 261 111 263 472 79.8%

Notes:.1. Includes: Profit (loss) on FV measurement of tang. assets, Net adj . on other financial assets, Net provisions for risks & charges, Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other investments. 2. Other includes: PPA and other elements (after tax). See slides 21 and 22 for details of P&L. 3. See slide 23 for details of adjustment elements.

NET INTEREST INCOME GROWTH IN 9M 2021

Notes: 1. Includes: ALM, financial activities, Hedging, interest on Bonds (Retail and Institutional) and other elements.

STRONG FEES & COMMISSIONS: GROWTH IN COMMERCIAL BANKING FEES COMPENSATING Q3 SEASONALITY

  • Management & Advisory fees reach €713.5m in 9M 2021, registering a growth of +21.5% Y/Y, with an important increase also in the running component
  • Commercial banking fees reach €711.8m in 9M 2021 (+10.0% Y/Y)
  • In Q3 2021, Net fee and commission income comes in at €475.3m (+13.8% vs. Q3 20), with commercial banking fees at €248.6m (+7.6% Q/Q), thanks to traditional banking activities and payment services

Investment product placements: trend1

Note: 1. Management data of the commercial network. Include Funds & Sicav, Bancassurance, Certificates and Managed Accounts & Funds of Funds.

OPERATING COSTS: STRONG FOCUS WITH FURTHER SAVINGS

HEALTHY VOLUME GROWTH, WITH A FURTHER REDUCTION IN MORATORIA LOANS AND SAFE LIQUIDITY PROFILE

Note: 1. As at 30/09/21, o/w: Government Moratoria €4.15bn and ABI Moratoria €0.05bn. 2. Monthly LCR (Sept. 2021) 3. Quarterly NSFR (Q3 2021). 4. Nominal amount.

DE-RISKING STRATEGY: ACHIEVING THE 5% THRESHOLD

MATERIAL IMPROVEMENT IN CREDIT QUALITY, ACCELERATED ALSO BY NEW DE-RISKING STRATEGY

LLPs & CoR: in line with guidance, even including provisions frontloaded for the higher de-risking target

9M 2021 «CORE» CoR
48BPS
annualised
(52BPS H1 21)

NON-CORE DRIVERS 35BPS IN 9M 2021 annualised: -Provisions for new derisking strategy (incl. Project Rockets and increased portfolio disposal target)

-Tightening of Stage 2 criteria and model changes for some selected portfolios

CAPITAL: SOLID POSITION AND BUFFERS, AT TOP LEVEL SINCE THE MERGER Further strengthening of capital adequacy, with excellent buffers even after the absorption of regulatory headwinds in 2021 (-95bps)

Note: All data include also the Net Income of the pertinent quarters. 1. Dividend accrual with an underlying payout ratio of about 40%.

FY 2021 OUTLOOK CONFIRMED BY CONSISTENT 9M 2021 RESULTS

1. Summary 4

2. 9M 2021 Performance Details 14

NEW LENDING: STILL FOSTERED BY STATE-GUARANTEED MEASURES

€16.9BN NEW LOANS IN 9M 2021, O/W €6.1BN COVID-19 MEASURES GUARANTEED BY THE STATE

  • Strong yearly performance of new lending to Households: +35.4%
  • Quarterly and yearly trend of new lending to Enterprises & Corporate impacted by seasonality and a lower level of Covid-19 Measures (-€1.0bn y/y and -€0.6bn q/q)
  • Well above TLTRO III net lending targets: minimum requirement exceeded for the first observation period (ended in March 2021) with >€7bn2 ; current buffer for the observation period ending at end 2021 at €2.5bn3

Management data

Note: 1. M/L-term Mortgages (Sec. and Unsec.), Personal Loans, Pool and Structured Finance (including revolving). 2. Valid for the application of the Deposit Facility Rate and the Special Interest Rate up until 23 June 2021. 3. Valid for the application of the Deposit Facility Rate and the Special Interest Rate from 24 June 2021 to 23 June 2022 and the application of the Deposit Facility Rate after 23 June 2022.

COVID-19 MORATORIA: 73% REDUCTION WITH VERY LOW DEFAULT RATE

STRONG RESILIENCE OF THE MORATORIA PORTFOLIO:

Outstanding Performing Moratoria down to €4.2bn:

  • - representing a very limited portion of gross performing customer loans (4.0%)
  • Composition of loans under Moratoria by rating classes - concentrated in the best rating classes (71%), with Mid-High + High risk rating classes reduced by €2.7bn y/y
  • Marginal Default Rate of expired Moratoria ~1%, down vs 1.25% of positions expired before June 2021

Market share of 6.2%1

Notes: 1. Moratoria system data sourced by Covid-19 Task Force Press Release

16 2. 9M 2021 Performance Details issued on 6/10/21. 2. Includes also Moratoria not perfected. 3. O/W: Government Moratoria €4.15bn and ABI Moratoria €0.05bn.

FOCUS ON GOVIES PORTFOLIO

6.2 6.3 4.3 30/09/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 6.1 6.9 6.9 30/09/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 4.4 6.0 5.5 30/09/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 14.8 13.2 12.7 30/09/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 € bn Italian Govies at AC Italian Govies at FVOCI € bn € bn € bn Non-IT Govies at AC Non-IT Govies at FVOCI € bn € bn -8.8% -32.4% -3.8% -0.1% -13.7% -31.4% -35.7% +12.7% +25.5% +53.8% Basis Point Value1 -€1.3m -€1.1m Basis Point Value1 -€4.3m -€1.6m -€1.1m -€1.5m -€1.5m -€1.8m -€1.2m -€1.0m -€2.0m -€1.3m

Italian Govies at FVTPL

0.4 0.7 0.6 30/09/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 Non-IT Govies at FVTPL -19.9%

Notes: 1. Sensitivity per 1 bps change in rates. Management data, including Swaps, Options & Forward 2. 9M 2021 Performance Details

FURTHER IMPROVEMENT IN KEY AQ INDICATORS

Notes: 1. Gross NPE ratio calculated as per EU Transparency Exercise. 2. Net NPEs over Tangible Net Equity (Shareholders' Net Equity - Intangible assets net of fiscal effect). 3. Including loans at FV. 4. Managerial view.

FINANCIAL PORTFOLIO: NET FINANCIAL RESULT – RESERVES & UNREALISED GAINS

Included neither in the P&L results, nor in the Capital Position 875 631 590 31/12/20 30/06/21 30/09/21

9M 2021 QUARTERLY P&L RESULTS

Reclassified income statement (€m) Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21 Chg.
Q/Q
Chg.
Q/Q %
Net interest income 474.1 479.5 519.9 509.0 496.8 522.4 516.4 -5.9 -1.1%
Income (loss) from invest. in associates carried at equity 22.3 48.0 36.8 23.7 41.5 56.5 46.8 -9.7 -17.2%
Net interest, dividend and similar income 496.4 527.5 556.7 532.7 538.4 578.9 563.2 -15.7 -2.7%
Net fee and commission income 440.6 376.4 417.7 429.2 471.4 478.7 475.3 -3.4 -0.7%
Other net operating income 16.7 14.9 11.7 12.7 18.2 21.7 26.3 4.5 20.9%
Net financial result 0.8 82.7 157.3 77.8 99.7 116.5 35.9 -80.7 -69.2%
Other operating income 458.1 473.9 586.7 519.8 589.3 617.0 537.5 -79.5 -12.9%
Total income 954.4 1,001.5 1,143.3 1,052.5 1,127.7 1,195.9 1,100.7 -95.2 -8.0%
Personnel expenses -419.0 -398.0 -357.0 -407.2 -426.9 -417.1 -409.8 7.3 -1.8%
Other administrative expenses -154.6 -154.1 -159.8 -125.3 -154.1 -153.9 -144.0 9.9 -6.4%
Amortization and depreciation -61.4 -61.7 -64.8 -67.2 -62.9 -60.6 -61.8 -1.2 1.9%
Operating costs -635.0 -613.8 -581.5 -599.8 -643.9 -631.6 -615.6 16.0 -2.5%
Profit (loss) from operations 319.5 387.7 561.8 452.8 483.8 564.2 485.1 -79.1 -14.0%
Net adjustments on loans to customers -213.2 -263.0 -324.3 -536.2 -217.1 -255.5 -200.6 54.9 -21.5%
Profit (loss) on FV measurement of tangible assets -0.3 -5.1 -0.3 -31.0 0.1 -37.0 -7.8 29.1 -78.9%
Net adjustments on other financial assets -4.7 -3.7 0.1 7.2 -0.4 0.9 0.2 -0.7 -74.2%
Net provisions for risks and charges 2.2 -9.8 0.9 -35.6 -7.2 -5.6 -15.5 -9.9 n.m.
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other invest. 0.1 0.1 1.3 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 0.4 0.8 n.m
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations 103.5 106.2 239.5 -143.1 259.1 266.7 261.8 -4.9 -1.8%
Tax on income from continuing operations -25.7 -13.3 -22.5 47.9 -82.7 -50.6 -83.3 -32.6 64.5%
Income (loss) after tax from continuing operations 77.8 92.9 217.0 -95.2 176.4 216.0 178.5 -37.5 -17.4%
Restructuring costs 0.0 0.0 0.0 -187.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Systemic charges after tax -57.5 -18.2 -53.0 -10.2 -59.2 -19.3 -61.7 -42.3 n.m.
Realignment of fiscal values to accounting values 0.0 0.0 0.0 128.3 0.0 79.2 0.0 -79.2
Goodwill impairment 0.0 0.0 0.0 -25.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests 0.0 1.5 2.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -64.1%
Purchase Price Allocation after tax -6.6 -12.0 -11.4 -11.5 -10.3 -9.7 -10.2 -0.5 4.8%
Fair value on own liabilities after Taxes 137.9 -110.7 2.2 -41.1 -6.8 -5.1 4.0 9.1 n.m
Net income (loss) for the period 151.6 -46.4 157.3 -241.7 100.1 261.2 110.7 -150.5 -57.6%

P&L: 9M 2021 STATED AND ADJUSTED COMPARISON

Reclassified income statement (€m) 9M 20 9M 21 Chg. Y/Y
%
9M 20
adjusted
9M 21
adjusted
Chg. Y/Y
%
Net interest income 1,473.5 1,535.6 4.2% 1,473.5 1,535.6 4.2%
Income (loss) from invest. in associates carried at equity 107.1 144.9 35.3% 107.1 144.9 35.3%
Net interest, dividend and similar income 1,580.6 1,680.5 6.3% 1,580.6 1,680.5 6.3%
Net fee and commission income 1,234.6 1,425.4 15.5% 1,234.6 1,425.4 15.5%
Other net operating income 43.3 66.2 53.0% 43.3 66.2 53.0%
Net financial result 240.8 252.1 4.7% 240.8 252.1 4.7%
Other operating income 1,518.7 1,743.7 14.8% 1,518.7 1,743.7 14.8%
Total income 3,099.3 3,424.2 10.5% 3,099.3 3,424.2 10.5%
Personnel expenses -1,173.9 -1,253.9 6.8% -1,205.5 -1,268.2 5.2%
Other administrative expenses -468.5 -452.0 -3.5% -468.5 -452.0 -3.5%
Amortization and depreciation -187.9 -185.2 -1.4% -185.5 -183.9 -0.8%
Operating costs -1,830.3 -1,891.1 3.3% -1,859.4 -1,904.2 2.4%
Profit (loss) from operations 1,269.0 1,533.1 20.8% 1,239.8 1,520.0 22.6%
Net adjustments on loans to customers -800.6 -673.2 -15.9% -800.6 -479.2 -40.1%
Profit (loss) on FV measurement of tangible assets -5.7 -44.7 n.m. 0.0 0.0
Net adjustments on other financial assets -8.3 0.8 n.m -8.3 0.8 n.m
Net provisions for risks and charges -6.7 -28.3 n.m. -6.7 -28.3 n.m.
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other invest. 1.5 0.0 n.m 0.0 0.0
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations 449.2 787.6 75.3% 424.3 1,013.3 n.m.
Tax on income from continuing operations -61.5 -216.6 n.m. -53.1 -289.5 n.m.
Income (loss) after tax from continuing operations 387.8 571.0 47.3% 371.2 723.8 95.0%
Systemic charges after tax -128.7 -140.2 9.0% -110.5 -120.9 9.4%
Realignment of fiscal values to accounting values 0.0 79.2 n.m. 0.0 0.0
Goodwill impairment 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests 4.0 0.1 -96.5% 3.8 0.1 -96.3%
Purchase Price Allocation after tax -29.9 -30.2 0.9% -29.9 -30.2 0.9%
Fair value on own liabilities after Taxes 29.4 -8.0 n.m 29.4 -8.0 n.m
Net income (loss) for the period 262.5 472.0 79.8% 263.9 564.8 n.m.

22 2. 9M 2021 Performance Details

ADJUSTED P&L: DETAILS ON NON-RECURRING ITEMS

Reclassified income statement (€m) 9M 21 9M 21
adjusted
One-off Non-recurring items
Net interest income 1,535.6 1,535.6 0.0
Income (loss) from invest. in associates carried at equity 144.9 144.9 0.0
Net interest, dividend and similar income 1,680.5 1,680.5 0.0
Net fee and commission income 1,425.4 1,425.4 0.0
Other net operating income 66.2 66.2 0.0
Net financial result 252.1 252.1 0.0
Other operating income 1,743.7 1,743.7 0.0
Total income 3,424.2 3,424.2 0.0
Personnel expenses -1,253.9 -1,268.2 14.4 Covid-related savings
Other administrative expenses -452.0 -452.0 0.0
Amortization and depreciation -185.2 -183.9 -1.3 Adjustments on tangible assets
Operating costs -1,891.1 -1,904.2 13.1
Profit (loss) from operations 1,533.1 1,520.0 13.1
Net adjustments on loans to customers -673.2 -479.2 -194.0 Additional frontloading for the increase in the NPE disposal
Profit (loss) on FV measurement of tangible assets -44.7 0.0 -44.7 Fair value assessments on properties
Net adjustments on other financial assets 0.8 0.8 0.0
Net provisions for risks and charges -28.3 -28.3 0.0
Profit (loss) on the disposal of equity and other invest. 0.0 0.0 0.0
Income (loss) before tax from continuing operations 787.6 1,013.3 -225.7
Tax on income from continuing operations -216.6 -289.5 72.9
Income (loss) after tax from continuing operations 571.0 723.8 -152.7
Systemic charges after tax -140.2 -120.9 -19.3 Additional contribution to Italian Resolution Fund
Realignment of fiscal values to accounting values 79.2 0.0 79.2 Related to realignment of fiscal values to accounting values
Goodwill impairment 0.0 0.0 0.0
Income (loss) attributable to minority interests 0.1 0.1 0.0
Purchase Price Allocation after tax -30.2 -30.2 0.0
Fair value on own liabilities after Taxes -8.0 -8.0 0.0
Net income (loss) for the period 472.0 564.8 -92.8

RECLASSIFIED BALANCE SHEET AS AT 30/09/2021

Reclassified assets (€ m) Chg. y/y Chg. YTD Chg. in Q3
30/09/20 31/12/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 Value % Value % Value %
Cash and cash equivalents 806 8,858 20,718 19,732 18,926 n.m. 10,874 122.8% -986 -4.8%
Loans and advances measured at AC 125,680 120,456 117,948 120,556 -5,123 -4.1% 101 0.1% 2,608 2.2%
- Loans and advances to banks 16,962 11,121 8,574 11,824 -5,138 -30.3% 703 6.3% 3,250 37.9%
- Loans and advances to customers (*) 108,718 109,335 109,374 108,733 15 0.0% -602 -0.6% -642 -0.6%
Other financial assets 46,954 41,176 45,956 42,869 -4,085 -8.7% 1,694 4.1% -3,086 -6.7%
- Assets measured at FV through PL 10,548 9,119 8,586 8,560 -1,988 -18.9% -559 -6.1% -26 -0.3%
- Assets measured at FV through OCI 13,853 10,711 15,447 12,870 -983 -7.1% 2,159 20.2% -2,577 -16.7%
- Assets measured at AC 22,553 21,346 21,922 21,440 -1,114 -4.9% 93 0.4% -483 -2.2%
Equity investments 1,638 1,665 1,689 1,732 93 5.7% 67 4.0% 43 2.6%
Property and equipment 3,497 3,552 3,435 3,384 -113 -3.2% -169 -4.8% -51 -1.5%
Intangible assets 1,248 1,219 1,221 1,214 -34 -2.7% -4 -0.4% -7 -0.6%
Tax assets 4,618 4,704 4,680 4,613 -5 -0.1% -91 -1.9% -67 -1.4%
Non-current assets held for sale and discont. operations 111 73 100 128 18 15.9% 56 76.4% 28 28.4%
Other assets 2,101 1,983 2,784 2,552 451 21.5% 569 28.7% -232 -8.3%
Total 186,654 183,685 198,530 196,781 10,127 5.4% 13,096 7.1% -1,749 -0.9%
Reclassified liabilities (€ m) 30/09/20 31/12/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 Value % Value % Value %
Direct Funding 115,417 116,937 120,146 119,004 3,587 3.1% 2,067 1.8% -1,143 -1.0%
- Due from customers 99,424 102,162 106,883 105,306 5,883 5.9% 3,144 3.1% -1,577 -1.5%
- Debt securities and financial liabilities desig. at FV 15,993 14,774 13,263 13,697 -2,296 -14.4% -1,077 -7.3% 434 3.3%
Due to banks 31,888 33,938 44,269 44,084 12,196 38.2% 10,146 29.9% -186 -0.4%
Debts for Leasing 672 760 722 705 32 4.8% -56 -7.3% -17 -2.4%
Other financial liabilities designated at FV 19,588 14,015 12,683 13,356 -6,232 -31.8% -659 -4.7% 673 5.3%
Liability provisions 1,187 1,415 1,277 1,244 57 4.8% -172 -12.1% -33 -2.6%
Tax liabilities 638 465 312 309 -329 -51.6% -156 -33.6% -3 -1.0%
Liabilities associated with assets held for sale 3 0 2 0 -3 -100.0% 0 n.m. -2 -100.0%
Other liabilities 4,804 3,928 6,199 5,099 295 6.1% 1,171 29.8% -1,100 -17.7%
Minority interests 22 2 1 1 -21 -94.3% -1 -33.9% 0 -2.9%
Shareholders' equity 12,436 12,225 12,918 12,980 544 4.4% 755 6.2% 62 0.5%

Note: * "Customer loans" include the Senior Notes of the three GACS transactions. 2. 9M 2021 Performance Details

DIRECT FUNDING

Solid position confirmed in Core funding

30/09/20 31/12/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 % chg. Y/Y % chg. YTD % chg. Q/Q C/A & Sight deposits 94.8 98.5 103.0 101.4 6.9% 2.9% -1.6% Time deposits 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.1 -31.9% -24.8% -4.6% Bonds 15.9 14.7 13.2 13.7 -14.3% -7.0% 3.4% Other 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.6 -6.3% -10.1% 0.1% Capital-protected Certificates 3.3 3.7 3.6 3.7 11.1% -0.5% 1.7% Direct Funding (excl. Repos) 117.4 120.1 122.6 121.4 3.4% 1.1% -1.0% 94.8 98.5 103.0 101.4 30/09/2020 31/12/2020 30/06/2021 30/09/2021 Capital-protected Certificates Other Bonds Time deposits C/A & Sight deposits € bn 117.4 +1.1% +3.4% (80.8%) (83.5%) 120.1 (% Share on total) (82.0%) 122.6 +€6.6bn Y/Y 121.4 (84.0%)

Note: 1. Direct funding restated according to a management accounting logic: includes capital-protected certificates, recognized essentially under 'Held-for-trading liabilities', while it does not include Repos (€1.3bn on 30/09/2021 vs. €1.2bn on 30/06/2021, €0.5bn on 31/12/2020 and €1.3bn on 30/09/2020), mainly consisting of transactions with Cassa di Compensazione e Garanzia.

INDIRECT CUSTOMER FUNDING AT €96.6BN

Assets under Management (AuM)

Assets under Custody (AuC) 1

Funds & Sicav Bancassurance Managed Accounts and Funds of Funds

  • Total Indirect Customer Funding at €96.6bn: +9.2% Y/Y and +5.5% YTD
  • Increase in AuM to €63.7bn: +9.7% Y/Y, thanks mostly to the excellent performance of Funds and Sicav (+13.2%), due to both the price and the volume effects. YTD growth at +6.9%.
  • AuC at €32.9bn: +8.3% Y/Y, thanks to the price effect. YTD growth at +2.9%.

Management data of the commercial network. AuC historic data restated for managerial adjustments. Note: 1. AuC data are net of capital-protected certificates, as they have been regrouped under Direct Funding (see the previous slide).

BONDS OUTSTANDING: PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS

Bonds Outstanding as at 30/09/2021

Wholesale bonds issued since 2017 Focus on Wholesale bonds issued in 2020/September 2021

€ bn

Managerial data based on nominal amounts.

Note: 1. Include also Repos with underlying retained Covered Bonds.

BOND MATURITIES: LIMITED AND MANAGEABLE AMOUNTS

Managerial data based on nominal amounts.

Notes: 1. Reimbursements in 9M 2021: €1.01bn Senior Preferred and €0.77bn Subordinated (with negligible impact on T2 Capital). 2. Include also the maturities of Repos with underlying retained Covered Bonds: €0.47bn in H2 2021 and €0.50bn in FY 2022. 3. With low impact on T2 Capital.

SECURITIES: SIGNIFICANT WEIGHT OF THE AC PORTFOLIO

€ bn 30/09/20 31/12/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 Chg. y/y Chg. YTD Chg. in Q3
Debt securities 39.9 33.9 39.7 36.8 -7.7% 8.7% -7.3%
Equity securities, Open-end funds & Private equity 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.3 78.0% 39.3% 11.1%
TOTAL SECURITIES 41.8 36.3 42.7 40.2 -3.9% 10.7% -6.0%

Focus on Debt Securities: Evolution & Composition

SOLID LIQUIDITY POSITION: LCR AT 209% & NSFR >100%1

TLTRO III exposure at €37.5bn as at 30/09/21, stable in Q3 and +€10bn YTD

▪ TLTRO III maximum take-up of €39.2bn

Internal management data, net of haircuts. Notes: 1. Monthly LCR (Sept. 2021) and Quarterly NSFR (Q3 2021). 2. Includes assets received as collateral and is net of accrued interests. 3. Refers to securities lending (uncollateralized high quality liquid assets).

NET CUSTOMER LOANS

Satisfactory increase in Performing Loans, with new loans granted at €16.9bn in 9M 20211

CHANGE
NET PERFORMING LOANS 30/09/20 31/12/20 30/06/21 30/09/21 In % y/y In % YTD In % q/q
Core customer loans 96.5 98.4 99.8 99.7 3.2% 1.3% -0.2%
- Medium/Long-Term loans 71.3 74.0 76.3 77.1 8.0% 4.1% 1.0%
- Current Accounts 8.5 8.0 8.3 8.3 -2.9% 3.3% -0.7%
- Cards & Personal Loans 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.6 -16.0% -16.8% -10.0%
- Other loans 14.8 14.5 13.4 12.7 -14.0% -11.9% -5.2%
Leasing 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 -13.0% -10.4% -3.7%
Repos 3.9 3.5 2.5 2.4 -37.7% -30.0% -4.5%
GACS Senior Notes 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.4 4.8% 3.0% -3.0%
Total Net Performing Loans 103.6 105.0 105.7 105.3 1.6% 0.2% -0.4%

Net Performing loans in Stage 2 at €11.1bn as at 30/09/21 (€11.0bn as at 30/06/21, €6.9bn as at 31/12/20)

with a coverage at 3.0% (3.0% as at 30/06/21, 4.3% as at 31/12/20)

Notes: 1. Management data. See slide 15 for details. 2. Loans and advances to customers at Amortized Cost, including also the GACS senior notes.

ANALYSIS OF PERFORMING LOAN PORTFOLIO

Notes: 1. GBV of on balance-sheet performing exposures. Financials include REPOs with CC&G. Management data. 2. Includes all performing customer loans subject to the internal rating process (AIRB) + loans assisted by State Guarantess towards counterparties potentially subject to A-IRB. Based on 11 rating classes for rated performing loans.

31/12/2020 31/03/2021 30/06/2021 30/09/2021

ASSET QUALITY DETAILS – LOANS TO CUSTOMERS AT AC

GROSS EXPOSURES
Chg. y/y
Chg. YTD
Chg. in Q3
30/09/2020
31/12/2020
30/06/2021
30/09/2021
€/m and %
Value
%
Value
%
Value
%
Bad Loans
3,615
3,578
2,123
2,148
-1,467
-40.6%
-1,431
-40.0%
25
1.2%
UTP
6,076
4,946
4,825
4,386
-1,690
-27.8%
-560
-11.3%
-439
-9.1%
Past Due
100
62
114
63
-38
-37.4%
1
1.2%
-51
-44.8%
NPE
9,791
8,586
7,062
6,596
-3,195
-32.6%
-1,990
-23.2%
-465
-6.6%
Performing Loans
104,064
105,508
106,123
105,724
1,660
1.6%
215
0.2%
-399
-0.4%
TOTAL CUSTOMER LOANS
113,855
114,095
113,185
112,320
-1,535
-1.3%
-1,774
-1.6%
-864
-0.8%
NET EXPOSURES
Chg. y/y
Chg. YTD
Chg. in Q3
30/09/2020
31/12/2020
30/06/2021
30/09/2021
€/m and %
Value
%
Value
%
Value
%
Bad Loans
1,532
1,462
947
934
-598
-39.0%
-528
-36.1%
-13
-1.4%
UTP
3,480
2,785
2,674
2,485
-995
-28.6%
-300
-10.8%
-189
-7.1%
Past Due
78
46
96
52
-26
-33.3%
7
14.6%
-44
-45.5%
NPE
5,091
4,293
3,717
3,472
-1,619
-31.8%
-821
-19.1%
-245
-6.6%
Performing Loans
103,627
105,042
105,658
105,261
1,634
1.6%
219
0.2%
-397
-0.4%
TOTAL CUSTOMER LOANS
108,718
109,335
109,374
108,733
15
0.0%
-602
-0.6%
-642
-0.6%
Data
refer
to
Loans
to
customers
measured
at
Amortized
COVERAGE
30/09/2020
31/12/2020
30/06/2021
30/09/2021
%
Cost,
including
also
the
GACS
Senior
Notes.
Bad Loans
57.6%
59.1%
55.4%
56.5%
UTP
42.7%
43.7%
44.6%
43.3%
Past Due
21.8%
26.4%
15.6%
16.6%
NPE
48.0%
50.0%
47.4%
47.4%
Performing Loans
0.42%
0.44%
0.44%
0.44%
TOTAL CUSTOMER LOANS
4.5%
4.2%
3.4%
3.2%

NPE FLOWS

Outflows from NPEs to Perf. Loans

Flows from UTP to Bad Loans

GROSS NPEs DOWN BY €23.4BN VS. YE 2016

NPE REDUCTION SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE MERGER

NPEs (GBV€ bn)

Notes: 1. Includes a restatement for managerial purposes (inclusion of a portion of write-offs, in coherence with the restatement done in 2017). 2. Includes also single name disposals, part of the ordinary workout activity.

UTP LOANS: HIGH SHARE OF RESTRUCTURED & SECURED POSITIONS

31/12/2018 31/12/2019 31/12/2020 30/09/2021

UTP Coverage: +8.3p.p. since YE 2018

43.7% 43.3%

35.0% 39.1%

UTP analysis

Breakdown of Net UTPs

31/12/20 30/09/21 % Chg.
Forborne 1.8 1.7 -6.7%
- Secured 1.3 1.3 1.5%
- Unsecured 0.5 0.4 -26.8%
Other UTP 1.0 0.8 -17.8%
- Secured 0.7 0.6 -11.0%
- Unsecured 0.3 0.2 -37.7%
2.8 2.5 -10.8%
o/w:
- North 74.7% 74.0%
- Centre 18.0% 17.3%
- South, Islands
& not resident
7.3% 8.8%
  • Solid level of coverage for unsecured UTP: 64.8%
  • Net unsecured UTP other than Forborne loans are limited to €0.2bn
  • 91% of Net UTPs are located in the northern & central parts of Italy

CAPITAL POSITION IN DETAIL

PHASED IN CAPITAL
POSITION (€/m and %)
30/09/2020 31/12/2020 30/06/2021 30/09/2021
CET 1 Capital 9,785 9,597 9,676 9,654
T1 Capital 10,589 10,397 10,853 10,830
Total Capital 12,253 12,304 12,921 12,782
RWA 63,381 65,606 68,789 66,374
CET 1 Ratio 15.44% 14.63% 14.07% 14.54%
AT1 1.27% 1.22% 1.71% 1.77%
T1 Ratio 16.71% 15.85% 15.78% 16.32%
Tier 2 2.63% 2.91% 3.01% 2.94%
Total Capital Ratio 19.33% 18.75% 18.78% 19.26%
PHASED IN
RWA COMPOSITION
(€/bn)
30/09/2020 31/12/2020 30/06/2021 30/09/2021
CREDIT & COUNTERPARTY
RISK
55.0 54.9 58.0 56.0
of which: Standard 29.0 30.6 31.5 29.7
MARKET RISK 2.2 3.5 3.5 3.0
OPERATIONAL RISK 6.0 7.0 7.0 7.0
CVA 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
TOTAL 63.4 65.6 68.8 66.4

Leverage ratio Phased-In as at 30/09/2021: 5.86%

FULLY PHASED CAPITAL
POSITION (€/m and %)
30/09/2020 31/12/2020 30/06/2021 30/09/2021
CET 1 Capital
T1 Capital
Total Capital
9,006
9,704
11,369
8,736
9,431
11,338
8,827
9,920
11,988
8,815
9,908
11,860
RWA 63,869 65,868 68,579 66,167
CET 1 Ratio 14.10% 13.26% 12.87% 13.32%
AT1 1.09% 1.06% 1.59% 1.65%
T1 Ratio 15.19% 14.32% 14.46% 14.97%
Tier 2 2.61% 2.89% 3.02% 2.95%
Total Capital Ratio 17.80% 17.21% 17.48% 17.92%
FULLY PHASED
RWA COMPOSITION
(€/bn)
30/09/2020 31/12/2020 30/06/2021 30/09/2021
CREDIT & COUNTERPARTY
RISK
55.5 55.2 57.8 55.8
of which: Standard 29.5 30.9 31.3 29.5
MARKET RISK 2.2 3.5 3.5 3.0
OPERATIONAL RISK 6.0 7.0 7.0 7.0
CVA 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
TOTAL 63.9 65.9 68.6 66.2

Leverage ratio Fully Loaded as at 30/09/2021: 5.38%

  1. 9M 2021 Performance Details Note: All data include also the Net Income of the pertinent quarters, net of dividend accrual. 31/12/2020 data are net of the dividend paid in April 2021, for a total of €90.9m.

37

CONTACTS FOR INVESTORS AND FINANCIAL ANALYSTS

I N V E S T O R R E L A T I O N S

Roberto Peronaglio +39-02-9477.2090
Tom
Lucassen
+39-045-867.5537
Arne
Riscassi
+39-02-9477.2091
Silvia Leoni +39-045-867.5613
Carmine
Padulese
+39-02-9477.2092

Registered Offices: Piazza Meda 4, I-20121 Milan, Italy Corporate Offices: Piazza Nogara 2, I-37121 Verona, Italy

[email protected] www.bancobpm.it (IR Section)

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