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Gas Plus

Investor Presentation Apr 14, 2022

4146_ip_2022-04-14_f98837fb-5705-403c-bc81-8ddaf468f37f.pdf

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Gas Plus Group

Analyst Presentation FY 2021 Financial Results

April 14th, 2022*

0 * This document is updated on 6 months basis, occurring after 31 December and 30 June closing Agenda

Market Scenario

Agenda

E&P Italian Activities

  • ✓ Significantly higher margins due to the recovery in energy scenarios. The effects of this price increase were, however, largely tempered by the commodity price hedging policies put in place in the first part of 2021 after the exceptional collapse in energy scenarios in 2020.
  • ✓ Completion of the first of three new development wells for the Longanesi project.

E&P International Activities

✓ Romania: the project to develop the two gas fields in Romania has entered its final phase, with gas-in confirmed during the second half of 2022. The recovery in gas prices that is being recorded on international markets has brought prices in that country in line with those of the Western European market, therefore at higher values compared to those estimated in the economic assessments made at the start of the project.

Retail

  • ✓ The EBITDA in FY2021 was largely impacted (-46.1% YOY) by gas price scenario rise recorded in Q4, affecting unitary margins of fixed price and variable with cap price commercial offers previously subscribed.
  • ✓ Volumes sold increased in the period (+2.7% YOY) despite the moderate shrinking of the clients portfolio and the pandemic.

Network & Transportation

✓ Slight increase of EBITDA despite the decrease in regulatory revenue cap.

Outlook 2022

✓ Positive outlook 2022 with substantial growth in profitability in the second half of the year.

Agenda

FY 2021 P&L -
E&P contribution
E&P (MScme) FY21 FY20 ∆ (%)
Hydrocarbon
Production
128.2 133.3 (3.8%)
of which
natural
gas
93.9 100.0 (6.1%)
of which oil and condensate 34.5 33.3 3.6
EBITDA (M€) 10.1 (0.6) n.a
Exploration Capex 0.2 0.3 (33.3%)
Development Capex 15.1 17.1 (11.7%)
E&P Reserves
E&P (MScme) Dec
31, 2021
Dec 31, 2020 ∆ (%)
Hydrocarbon Reserves 4,288.9 4,493.8 (4.6%)
of which
domestic
3,563.9 3,765.8 (5.4%)
of which international 725.0 725.0 0%

2021 Results:

  • Significant increase in Revenues (+6.4 M€) and EBITDA (+10.7 M€), mainly due to the recovery of energy scenarios, in particular in the second part of the year
  • EBITDA is affected by the prudent hedging strategy applied which has partially limited the effect of the energy prices recovery

Domestic activities:

  • "Longanesi" project: completion of preliminary activities related to civil works and start of drilling activities with Longanesi 2 dir well fully drilled and Longanesi 3 well currently being drilled.
  • Necessary verification and study activities will be carried out, following the adoption of the PITESAI, as such plan affects also the Group's mining license, providing, among other things, in the cases set out by the PITESAI itself, the performance of cost-benefit analyses.
  • International activities in Romania - Offshore concession "Midia Shallow XV ":
  • despite the persistence of Covid-19, continuation of development phase, reaching 82% of project, with the gas-in expected for 2H of 2022
  • completion of the installation of the 128km offshore pipeline connecting the coast to the Ana platform, which is already installed and ready for gas-in. In addition, the first ANA 100 well was drilled and completed, and the drilling campaign is underway with the drilling of further three wells in the ANA field and one in the DOINA field.
  • COVID-19 case and current situation, price revisions were granted to the General Contractor (amounting to around 7% of the initial value of the investment). However, the increase would be fully offset by the increase in the gas sales price on the Romanian market, which continues to approach that of other European hubs

Longanesi Project - Italy

Longanesi Project consists of the Longanesi gas field (roughly 1.100 Msm3 reserves Gas Plus share) which were discovered in 2004 /2005 of latest , is of Pliocene age.

Longanesi Project consists of 5 production wells (3 new wells and 2 existing wells) that will be connected through a 5 km pipeline to reach the gas treatment plant, undergoing revamping for the tenders. At the moment, one new well has been drilled and second new well currently being drilled.

MGD Project - Romania

Midia Gas Development project (MGD project) consists of the Ana and Doina gas fields (roughly 725 Msm3 reserves Gas Plus share) which were discovered in 2007 and 1995 respectively. Both are of latest Miocene to Dacian age.

MGD project consists of 5 production wells (1 well at Doina field and 4 wells at Ana field) a subsea gas production system over the Doina well which will be connected through an 18 km pipeline with a new unmanned production platform located over Ana field. At the moment, 3 wells have been drilled, and one is being drilled. A 121 km subsea pipeline will ensure the delivery of the gas from Ana platform to the shore, where a 4.1 km underground pipeline will connect to the new GTP. The processed gas will be delivered into the NTS operated by Transgaz at the gas metering station to be found within the GTP.

Retail FY21 FY20 ∆ (%)
Sales (MScm) 76.8 74.7 2.7%
Residential 60.8 59.5 2.2%
Small Business/Multipod 8.1 7.6 5.8%
Industrial 8.0 7.7 3.9%
EBITDA (M€) 2.5 4.8 (46.1%)
  • Volumes sold in FY 2021 posted a moderate increase on the previous year due to temperatures slightly more rigid during winter-time
  • The EBITDA in 2021 marked a negative YOY performance, reflecting the sharp worsening of the unitary marginality (- 31.9% on FY 2020). In detail:
  • ‐ Small Business clients unitary margin decreased by 52.6% YoY
  • ‐ Residential clients were down 17.6% YoY
  • Unit margin drop was driven by some fixed and variable with cap commercial offerings which have been severely impacted by gas price scenario hike
  • From a cost perspective, year-end result highlights a cautious spending to preserve overall margin

TTF Gas Price – Quarter Ahead FY 2021 P&L – Network & Transportation Contribution

FY21 FY20 ∆ (%)
Distributed Volumes (MScm) 228.1 207.9 9.7%
Direct end users (#K) 109.2 109.0 0.2%
Pipeline (Km) 1,822.0 1,819,30 0.2%
EBITDA (M€) 7.6 7.5 1.3%
Capex (M€) 2.6 2.8 (7.1%)
  • The lower temperature registered during 2021 have led to an increase in the distributed volumes of gas (+9.7%) compared to last year.
  • Notwithstanding the additional restrictions on revenues cap from gas distribution, EBITDA results in slight increase compared to 2020.
  • Slight Capex decrease (-7.1%).
  • Limited impact of Covid-19 on BU Network: secured the essentials activities. No significant impact on collection from customers.
  • The installation of the new G4-G6 smart meters is ongoing: 58% of the total was installed as of December 31st 2021, in line with the deadline set by the Authority (85% by 31/12/2023)
  • No ATEM tenders involving Group concession have been launched to date. The Group intends to evaluate the new ATEM tenders in order to maintain the same perimeter of activities as a minimum

Group (M€) FY 21 FY 20 ∆ (%)
Revenues 84.8 75.5 12.3%
Operating Costs 66.9 65.4 2.3%
EBITDA 17.9 10.1 77.9%
EBIT 14.2 (107.7) (113.1%)
EBT 3.4 (113.2) (103.0%)
Net Result 3.1 (34.2) (109.1%)
EPS (€) 0.07 (0.79) (108.9%)
  • Revenues increase mostly due to the recovery of energy scenarios
  • Operating costs relatively stable
  • Increase in EBITDA thanks to the strong contribution on margin of BU E&P
  • Reassessment on assets previously depreciated (+13M€) thanks to the recovery of hydrocarbon prices
  • Positive net result after other net charges (3,4 M€) and financial charges (7,3M€)

Financial Results

December 31, 2021 TTF Gas Price – Quarter Group Balance Sheet Ahead

Group (M€) Dec 31,
2021
Dec 31,
2020
∆ (%)
Inventories 3.4 3.2 6.2%
Receivables 37.1 24.1 53.9%
Payables (32.5) (25.6) 27.0%
Other Working Credits/Debits (25.7) 4.7 n.a.
Non Current Assets 380.9 360.7 5.6%
Taxes, Abandonment, Severance and
Other provision (110.0) (104.0) 5.8%
Net invested capital 253.2 263.1 (3.8%)
Net Financial Debt 82.2 85.2 (3.5%)
of which long term 73.6 55.2 33.3%
of which short term 8.6 30.0 (71.3%)
Equity 171.0 177.9 (3.9%)
Total Sources 253.2 263.1 (3.8%)
  • Strong reduction in Working Capital due to the effect of negative value of hedging derivatives on commodities
  • Increase of Non Current Assets due to investments for € 18,1 M and net reassessment on E&P assets (+13M€)
  • Decrease in Net Financial Debt despite the investments (18,1 M€), as effect of the positive cash flows deriving from the main Business Units. At the beginning of the year, the Group obtained additional loans of € 20 M from its lending banks.
  • Debt/equity ratio at 0.48 in line with FY 2020 (0.48 at 31/12/2020) despite the effects of negative value of hedging derivates on equity

  • The NFP remains at low levels, with a decrease compared to 2020 despite the investments (from 2019 onwards it also includes the effects of IFRS 16 on leasing contracts equal to -4.2 M € in December 2021)
  • Positive cash flow from operating activities in FY2021 (€18,1M), despite the Covid-19 pandemic

Company Profile

Shareholding as at 1 March 2022 Share information N. of share: 44,909,620 Share price as of 31.12.2021: € 3.36 Share price as of 13.04.2022: € 3,9 Mkt cap 31.12.2021: € 150,9 million Italian Stock Exchange – Euronext Milan Own shares as of 31.12.2021: 1.336.677 Share price performance Group structure* Management 73,94% 14,60% 2,98% 8,48% Us.Fin. Srl Findim Investments S.A. Treasury Shares Floating

Stefano Cao Chairman –
Gas Plus S.p.A.
Davide Usberti CEO Gas Plus S.p.A.
Cinzia
Triunfo
Group General Manager and Director of Gas Plus S.p.A.
Germano Rossi Group CFO
Massimo Nicolazzi Executive Director Dacia S.R.L.
Regulated Activity -
Network
Leonardo Dabrassi Chairman –
GP Infrastrutture
S.r.l
Achille
Capelli
Network Manager

(*) Gas Plus Group Structure as of 31 december 2021

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Gas Plus. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Gas Plus to market risks and statements expressing management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ''anticipate'', ''believe'', ''could'', ''estimate'', ''expect'', ''intend'', ''may'', ''plan'', ''objectives'', ''outlook'', ''probably'', ''project'', ''will'', ''seek'', ''target'', ''risks'', ''goals'', ''should'' and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Gas Plus and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this Report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group's products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory effects arising from re-categorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates; and (m) changes in trading conditions.

All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Each forwardlooking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Neither Gas Plus nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.

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