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Generalfinance

Investor Presentation Aug 8, 2022

4077_10-q_2022-08-08_0b382f36-9b4c-4f0d-9b08-d211317fd988.pdf

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Disclaimer

This presentation may contain written and oral "forward-looking statements", which includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number or assumptions, expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of Generalfinance S.p.A. (the "Company").

There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus, such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of futures performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise expect as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision.

The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advise or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any State or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the "Other Countries"), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form apart of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries.

Pursuant the consolidated law on financial intermediation of 24 February 1998 (article 154-bis, paragraph 2) Ugo Colombo, in his capacity as manager responsible for the preparation of the Company's financial reports declares that the accounting information contained in this Presentation reflects the Generalfinance documented results, financial accounts and accounting records. Neither the Company nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.

Today's presenters

Massimo Gianolli

CEO

Main results and business updates

Ugo Colombo CFO

Review of the financial performance

Main results and business updates

Massimo Gianolli

CEO

IPO and updated shareholder base

Turnover – historical series

2022 annual growth rate (71%) above the CAGR '19-'21

Sources: Company financial statements; Management accounts Note: Turnover includes Future receivables

Main KPIs behind our H1 results - adjusted figures

Source: Company financial statements

Note: Turnover includes Future receivables; Net Income Adj, see slide 15 for the detailed calculation

Asset quality – Cost of Risk and NPE ratio

GENERALFINANCE HAS A LOWER COST OF RISK AND A NON-PERFORMING EXPOSURE COMPARED TO THE MARKET THANKS TO ITS UNIQUE AND EFFECTIVE BUSINESS MODEL ENABLING A CONSTANT MITIGATION OF CREDIT RISK

A unique business model

The peculiarity of Generalfinance's business model is the choice of Seller–Debtor, where clients (Sellers) typically have a low credit rating (turnaround situation) while the Debtors underlying customer loans refer to a high credit rating (investment grade) S&P Fitch

Source: Management

Notes: 1) Generalfinance data refers to 1H 2022; Assifact data refers to FY 2021; 2) Assifact data net of household debtors.

Turnover breakdown vs system average (1/2)

AT THE CORE OF THE BUSINESS MODEL, GENERALFINANCE HAS A PERFECT BALANCE IN TERMS OF:

Note: Generalfinance Turnover data refers to 1H 2022; Assifact Turnover data refers to FY 2021 Source: Management

Turnover breakdown vs system average (2/2)

Notes: 1) Generalfinance Turnover data refers to 1H 2022; Assifact Turnover data refers to FY 2021; 2) Household debtors have not been included Source: Management

From Funding to Operations

Digital factoring – L12M KPI

Review of the financial performance

Ugo Colombo

CFO

Income statement 1H 2022 – adjusted net income

Income Statement (€m) H2 2022 Adj H2 2022 Adj
Interest income and similar income 6,4 0,0 6,4
Interest expense and similar charges (2,6) 0,0 (2,6)
INTEREST MARGIN 3,8 0,0 3,8
Fee and commission income 12,9 0,0 12,9
Fee and commission expense (2,0) 0,0 (2,0)
NET FEE AND COMMISSION INCOME 10,8 0,0 10,8
Dividends and similar income 0,0 0,0 0,0
Net profi (loss) from trading (0,0) 0,0 (0,0)
Net results of other financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value through profit or loss 0,0 0,0 0,0
NET INTEREST AND OTHER BANKING INCOME 14,6 0,0 14,6
Net value adjustments / write-backs for credit risk (0,2) 0,0 (0,2)
a) Financial assets measured at amortised cost (0,2) 0,0 (0,2)
NET PROFIT (LOSS) FROM FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 14,4 0,0 14,4
Administrative expenses (6,4) 1,2 (5,2)
a) Personnel expenses (3,0) 0,3 (2,8)
b) Other administrative expenses (3,4) 0,9 (2,5)
Net provision for risks and charges (0,0) 0,0 (0,0)
b) Other net provisions (0,0) 0,0 (0,0)
Net value adjustments / write-backs on property, plan and equipment (0,4) 0,0 (0,4)
Net value adjustments / write-backs on intangible assets (0,2) 0,0 (0,2)
Other operating income and expenses (0,1) 0,0 (0,1)
OPERATING COSTS (7,0) 1,2 (5,8)
PRE-TAX PROFIT (LOSS) FROM CURRENT OPERATIONS 7,4 1,2 8,6
Income tax for the year on current operations (2,5) (0,4) (2,9)
PROFIT (LOSS) FOR THE YEAR 4,9 0,8 5,7

Extraordinary costs booked in H1 2022, related to the IPO Process, ~ 1,2 € M Adjusted net income 5.7 € M, +47% YoY

Note: the tax rate used for the purposes of the adjustment, is equal to the Generalfinance's average tax rate for the period

Our 1H 2022 in a nutshell - adjusted figures

POSITIVE INCOME
TREND
FURTHER
INCREASE
OF
DISTRESSED
FINANCING
BUSINESS
€14,6M
NET
BANKING
INCOME
+39%
vs H1 2021
€933M
TURNOVER
+71%
vs H1 2021
€5,7M
NET
INCOME
ADJ
+47%
vs H1 2021
€776M
DISBURSED
AMOUNT
+80%
vs H1 2021
39,7%
COST
INCOME
RATIO
ADJ
vs 47% in H1 2021 €362M
RECEIVABLES
+69%
vs H1 2021
25,0%
ROE ADJ
confirming
the high profitability
of the
business model, after the capital
increase
completed
through
the
IPO
~ 76% disbursement backed
by the historical and strategic
partnership
with Allianz Trade
EXCELLENT
CREDIT
QUALITY
SOLID
CAPITAL
POSITION
Gross NPE
not affected
ratio and Cost of Risk substantially
by geopolitical tensions
Strong capital buffers well above
regulatory requirements, after the capital increase

Note: Turnover includes Future receivables; Income statement data as of 1H 2022 adjusted. ROE adj = annualized net income adj / (equity-net profit)

The main KPIs behind our business – adjusted figures

Income Statement (€m) 2019A 2020A 2021A CAGR '19-'21 H1 2021 H1 2022 adj YoY
Interest Margin 3,4 4,1 6,2 35,0% 2,7 3,8 38%
Net Fee and Commission Income 10,1 13,1 17,7 32,4% 7,8 10,8 39%
Net Interest and Other Banking Income 13,5 17,2 23,9 33,1% 10,5 14,6 39%
Operating Costs (6,9) (8,4) (9,8) 19,2% (4,9) (5,8) 18%
Profit for the year 4,2 5,3 9,5 50,4% 3,9 5,7 47%
(€m) 2019A 2020A 2021A CAGR '19-'21 H1 2021 H1 2022 YoY
Turnover 590,0 761,0 1.403,0 54,2% 545,5 932,6 71,0%
Disbursed Amount 445,0 562,0 1.118,0 58,5% 432,2 776,8 79,7%
LTV 75,4% 73,9% 79,7% 2,8% 79,2% 83,3% 5,1%
Net Banking Income / Average Loan (%) 12,2% 11,2% 9,6% (11,3%) 10,7% 8,6% (20,4%)
Interest Margin / Net Banking Income (%) 25,4% 23,8% 26,0% 1,2% 25,9% 25,8% (0,4%)
Cost Income Ratio 51,0% 48,7% 40,9% (10,4%) 46,9% 39,7% (15,2%)
ROE (%) 27,6% 30,9% 42,0% 23,4% 34,7% 25,0% (27,9%)
Balance Sheet (€m) 2019A 2020A 2021A CAGR '19-'21 H1 2021 H1 2022 YoY
Cash & Cash Equivalents 16,8 24,2 33,5 41,2% 19,5 32,2 65,6%
Financial Assets 131,9 176,5 321,0 56,0% 214,6 361,7 68,6%
Other Assets 9,7 9,5 10,8 5,5% 9,8 13,2 35,3%
Total Assets 158,4 210,2 365,3 51,9% 243,8 407,2 67,0%
Financial Liabilities 129,0 175,4 314,6 56,2% 204,9 332,5 62,3%
Other Liabilities 10,0 12,2 18,7 36,7% 12,6 24,0 90,0%
Total Liabilities 139,0 187,6 333,3 54,8% 217,5 356,5 63,9%
Shareholder's Equity 19,4 22,6 32,0 28,4% 26,3 50,7 92,8%

Note: Turnover includes Future receivables; Income statement data as of 1H 2022 adjusted. ROE adj = annualized net income adj / (equity-net profit)

Costs Structure & Bottom Line – adjusted figures

Notes: ; Operating costs as of 1H 2022 adjusted; Other items = Net provision for risks and charges + Net value adjustments / write-backs on property, plan and equipment + Net value adjustments / write-backs on intangible assets + Other operating income and expenses

Balance sheet overview and regulatory capital

Funding evolution

Closing Remarks

Massimo Gianolli

Strong profitability during H1 2022, with an Adjsuted Net Income up +47% YoY

Elevated adjusted ROE (25%) and low adjusted Cost Income Ratio (40%), confirming the high profitability of the business model

Ample capital buffer (Total Capital Ratio 19.2%, 11.2% of capital buffer) after the capital increase completed through the IPO process

Strong commercial dynamic with 933 € M Turnover, +71% YoY

The strong results of the H1 2022 rapresent a good step to beat the 2022 target presented to the market

New Industrial Plan «Post Money» will be presented in autumn, with a substantial increase of the «pre money» Turnover level (2024F 2.7 € B)

Annexes

Top line components

SIMPLE AND TRANSPARENT P&L PAIRED WITH ALMOST NO VOLATILITY OF FAIR VALUE / CREDIT ADJUSTMENT

Revenues' generation – example

PRO
SOLVENDO
TRANSACTION
Formula Accounting
(fattura)
Valore
nominale
cessione
100
000
00
,
a
%
anticipazione
80% b
Importo
lordo
erogato
80
000
00
,
b
c
= a
x
Giorni
erogazione
(data
scadenza-data
erogazione)
88 e
Tasso
contrattuale
4
00%
f
Interessi
contrattuali
789
04
= (
(e+2)
)
/
f
365
g
c
x
x
ricavi
riscontati
fino
scadenza
a
Giorni
credito
(data
scadenza-data
pratica)
90 h
Tasso
commissionale
0
50%
i
Commissioni
contrattuali
500
1
00
,
l
i
(h/30)
= a
x
x
ricavi
riscontati
fino
scadenza
a
Totale
ricavi
economico
conto
a
2
289
04
,
+ l
m
= g
ricavi
riscontati
fino
scadenza
a
Importo
erogato
netto
77
710
96
,
n
= c
- m
Giorni
tardato
pagamento
5 o
Interessi
tardato
contrattuali
pagamento
5
00%
p
Commissioni
tardato
pagamento
0
50%
q
Interessi
tardato
pagamento
54
79
= (
o)
/
365
r
c
x
p
x
ricavi
tardato
pagamento
per
cassa
Commissioni
tardato
pagamento
83
33
(o
/
30)
s
= a
q
x
x
ricavi
tardato
pagamento
per
cassa
Ricavi
tardato
pagamento
138
13
t
= r
+ s
ricavi
tardato
pagamento
per
cassa
Importo
anticipato
non
20
000
00
,
= a
- c
u
Liquidato
netto
19
861
87
,
- t
v
= u

Note: Pro soluto Factoring regarding full rights purchase IAS compliant

Revenues Breakdown

NET BANKING INCOME (€M)

Valuation Framework

Scoring debtor

Macro score Indicator Assessment
details
1
Commercial
score
BRI
Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic
and financial aspects, the history of the company, the
shareholders structure, etc.
CGS
Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic
and financial aspects, the history of the company, the
shareholders structure, etc.
Rating
Score
Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic

and financial aspects, the history of the company, the
shareholders structure, etc.
Delinquency
Score

Probability
of late payments over the next
12 months
Failure
Score
Company probability of default over the next 12 months
2
Payments
Paydex
Score on the counterparty's payment performance
score Payline
Score on the counterparty's payment performance
3
Credit
Grade Allianz
Trade

Degree of credit insurability
insurability
score
DRA
Degree of credit insurability

Coface

in progress
4
Credit
insurance
Insurance Insurance partnership with Allianz Trade to insure up to 100% of the

credit cross, starting from amounts above 30k

Capital Stack – A capital light lending business

An attractive market with key growth drivers

In the overall fast growing factoring market (turnover in Italy is expected to grow from € 250bn in 2021 up to €269-€275bn in 2022) Generalfinance focuses on distressed sellers (UTP, forborne and past due) with a portfolio of performing debtors (in bonis)

Large Corporate (250€M+)

Notes: (1) range of values estimated in the last Assifact report «ForeFact» 22

Source: Assifact, Banca d'Italia, Banca IFIS Market Watch, report PWC, company balance sheets and website

Regulatory Framework

Calendar
Provisioning
New definition
of default
Default Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Secured
A
- - 25% 35% 55% 70% 80% 85% 100% more
than
90
days.
Secured
B
- - 25% 35% 55% 80% 100% - - From
January
1
st
Unsecured - - 35% 100%

Based on the March 2018 BCE addendum, NPEs should be clustered in terms of default period and level of security, with a distinction between secured ('Secured A') other collateral ('Secured B') and unsecured ('Unsecure') properties. For each cluster, banks are expected to apply the above provisioning schedule such that the impaired exposure (NPLs and UTPs) is fully removed from the balance sheet by 2026.

The main implications are:

  • development of a strategy for effective NPE reduction
  • limiting inflows of impaired exposures into banks with a high NPE ratio
  • Acceleration of credit recovery processes through the transfer / sale of positions

According to CRR 178, a default occurs when any of the following conditions occur: (i) probable default, or (ii) exposures past due by more than 90 days.

From January 1 st , 2020 the European Banking Authority has introduced stricter rules to define if an exposure is in default.

Previous
Reg.
NEW REG.
Thresholds Client in default if arrears
for more than 90 days,
equal to at least 5% of
their exposure towards
the bank
Client in default if arrears of € 100
for individuals or € 500 for other
exposures for more than 90 days,
and at least 1% of their exposure
towards the bank.
(Bank of Italy can decide
between 0 and 2.5%)
Compensation Offsetting of overdue
amounts against unused
credit lines is possible
No compensation
granted
Thresholds Default status expires
when the client settles the
position
The default status remains for at
least 90 days after the client
settles the position

Other "Basel III" regulatory impacts

The envisaged tightening of current account overdrafts, which until now did not require capital provisions but could in future be subject to risk weighting for credit institutions, may have a significant impact in Italy, where they are widely used for household and PMI financing.

Vulnerable companies and new non-bankruptcy procedures

More than 40% of SMEs are in vulnerability or risk condition An annual average of 1,494 companies entered non-bankruptcy procedures since 2016

31

The potential market for Generalfinance

  • The 2020 recession has affected the trend of the UTP/Past Due/Forborne stock, which is the best proxy of the Generalfinance's niche market, with an expected growth from 70bn in 2021E to 90bn in 2023E

EVOLUTION OF NON-PERFORMING EXPOSURES IN ITALY (€bn)

Notes: 1) Excluding Repo and Current Accounts

Source: Assifact, Prometeia, Banca d'Italia, Banca IFIS Market Watch, report PWC, company balance sheets and website

Income Statement

Income Statement (€m) 2019A 2020A 2021A H1 2021 H2 2022
Interest income and similar income 4,6 5,7 9,2 3,9 6,4
Interest expense and similar charges (1,2) (1,6) (3,0) (1,2) (2,6)
INTEREST MARGIN 3,4 4,1 6,2 2,7 3,8
Fee and commission income 11,5 14,7 20,8 9,3 12,9
Fee and commission expense (1,4) (1,6) (3,1) (1,5) (2,0)
NET FEE AND COMMISSION INCOME 10,1 13,1 17,7 7,8 10,8
Dividends and similar income 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0
Net profi
(loss) from trading
(0,0) (0,0) (0,0) (0,0) (0,0)
Net results of other financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value through profit or loss 0,0 (0,0) 0,0 0,0 0,0
NET INTEREST AND OTHER BANKING INCOME 13,5 17,2 23,9 10,5 14,6
Net value adjustments / write-backs for credit risk (0,4) (0,7) (0,2) (0,0) (0,2)
a) Financial assets measured at amortised
cost
(0,4) (0,7) (0,2) (0,0) (0,2)
NET PROFIT (LOSS) FROM FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 13,2 16,5 23,7 10,5 14,4
Administrative expenses (6,8) (7,2) (8,7) (4,2) (6,4)
a) Personnel expenses (3,8) (4,3) (5,2) (2,6) (3,0)
b) Other administrative expenses (3,0) (3,0) (3,4) (1,6) (3,4)
Net provision for risks and charges (0,0) (1,1) (0,2) (0,2) (0,0)
b) Other net provisions (0,0) (1,1) (0,2) (0,2) (0,0)
Net value adjustments / write-backs on property, plan and equipment (0,6) (0,7) (0,7) (0,4) (0,4)
Net value adjustments / write-backs on intangible assets (0,2) (0,2) (0,2) (0,1) (0,2)
Other operating income and expenses 0,8 0,8 0,1 (0,1) (0,1)
OPERATING COSTS (6,9) (8,4) (9,8) (4,9) (7,0)
PRE-TAX PROFIT (LOSS) FROM CURRENT OPERATIONS 6,3 8,1 13,9 5,6 7,4
Income tax for the year on current operations (2,1) (2,8) (4,5) (1,7) (2,5)
PROFIT (LOSS) FOR THE YEAR 4,2 5,3 9,5 3,9 4,9

Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet (€m) 2019A 2020A 2021A H1 2021 H2 2022
ASSET ITEMS
Cash and cash equivalents 0,0 24,2 33,5 19,5 32,2
Financial assets measured at fair value through profit or loss 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0
Financial assets measured at amortised
cost
148,7 176,5 321,0 214,6 361,7
Property, Plan and Equipment (PPE) 5,3 5,1 4,9 4,9 4,7
Intangible assets 0,4 0,8 1,7 1,0 1,8
Tax assets 0,9 1,4 1,2 0,6 1,9
a) current 0,5 0,7 0,9 0,4 1,7
b) deferred 0,4 0,8 0,3 0,3 0,2
Other assets 3,1 2,2 3,0 3,2 4,8
TOTAL ASSETS 158,4 210,2 365,3 243,8 407,2
LIABILITY AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY ITEMS
Financial liabilities measured at amortised cost 129,0 175,4 314,6 204,9 332,5
a) payables 175,4 283,6 204,9 296,2
b) outstanding securities 129,0 0,0 31,0 0,0 36,3
Tax liabilities 0,6 0,9 1,2 0,5 1,6
Other liabilities 7,6 8,3 15,8 10,5 20,8
Severance pay 1,2 1,4 1,4 1,4 1,4
Provision for risk and charges 0,6 1,6 0,3 0,2 0,1
Share capital 3,3 3,3 3,3 3,3 4,2
Share premium reserve 5,8 5,8 7,8 7,8 25,4
Reserves 6,2 8,2 11,4 11,4 16,2
Valuation reserves (0,1) (0,1) (0,0) (0,1) (0,0)
Profit (loss) for the year 4,2 5,3 9,5 3,9 4,9
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS'S EQUITY 158,4 210,2 365,3 243,8 407,2

Source: Company financial statements

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