Investor Presentation • Aug 8, 2022
Investor Presentation
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This presentation may contain written and oral "forward-looking statements", which includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number or assumptions, expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of Generalfinance S.p.A. (the "Company").
There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus, such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of futures performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise expect as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advise or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any State or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the "Other Countries"), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form apart of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries.
Pursuant the consolidated law on financial intermediation of 24 February 1998 (article 154-bis, paragraph 2) Ugo Colombo, in his capacity as manager responsible for the preparation of the Company's financial reports declares that the accounting information contained in this Presentation reflects the Generalfinance documented results, financial accounts and accounting records. Neither the Company nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.
CEO
Main results and business updates
Ugo Colombo CFO
Review of the financial performance
CEO
2022 annual growth rate (71%) above the CAGR '19-'21
Sources: Company financial statements; Management accounts Note: Turnover includes Future receivables
Source: Company financial statements
Note: Turnover includes Future receivables; Net Income Adj, see slide 15 for the detailed calculation
GENERALFINANCE HAS A LOWER COST OF RISK AND A NON-PERFORMING EXPOSURE COMPARED TO THE MARKET THANKS TO ITS UNIQUE AND EFFECTIVE BUSINESS MODEL ENABLING A CONSTANT MITIGATION OF CREDIT RISK
The peculiarity of Generalfinance's business model is the choice of Seller–Debtor, where clients (Sellers) typically have a low credit rating (turnaround situation) while the Debtors underlying customer loans refer to a high credit rating (investment grade) S&P Fitch
Notes: 1) Generalfinance data refers to 1H 2022; Assifact data refers to FY 2021; 2) Assifact data net of household debtors.
Note: Generalfinance Turnover data refers to 1H 2022; Assifact Turnover data refers to FY 2021 Source: Management
Notes: 1) Generalfinance Turnover data refers to 1H 2022; Assifact Turnover data refers to FY 2021; 2) Household debtors have not been included Source: Management
Ugo Colombo
CFO
| Income Statement (€m) | H2 2022 | Adj | H2 2022 Adj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interest income and similar income | 6,4 | 0,0 | 6,4 |
| Interest expense and similar charges | (2,6) | 0,0 | (2,6) |
| INTEREST MARGIN | 3,8 | 0,0 | 3,8 |
| Fee and commission income | 12,9 | 0,0 | 12,9 |
| Fee and commission expense | (2,0) | 0,0 | (2,0) |
| NET FEE AND COMMISSION INCOME | 10,8 | 0,0 | 10,8 |
| Dividends and similar income | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Net profi (loss) from trading | (0,0) | 0,0 | (0,0) |
| Net results of other financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value through profit or loss | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| NET INTEREST AND OTHER BANKING INCOME | 14,6 | 0,0 | 14,6 |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs for credit risk | (0,2) | 0,0 | (0,2) |
| a) Financial assets measured at amortised cost | (0,2) | 0,0 | (0,2) |
| NET PROFIT (LOSS) FROM FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT | 14,4 | 0,0 | 14,4 |
| Administrative expenses | (6,4) | 1,2 | (5,2) |
| a) Personnel expenses | (3,0) | 0,3 | (2,8) |
| b) Other administrative expenses | (3,4) | 0,9 | (2,5) |
| Net provision for risks and charges | (0,0) | 0,0 | (0,0) |
| b) Other net provisions | (0,0) | 0,0 | (0,0) |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs on property, plan and equipment | (0,4) | 0,0 | (0,4) |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs on intangible assets | (0,2) | 0,0 | (0,2) |
| Other operating income and expenses | (0,1) | 0,0 | (0,1) |
| OPERATING COSTS | (7,0) | 1,2 | (5,8) |
| PRE-TAX PROFIT (LOSS) FROM CURRENT OPERATIONS | 7,4 | 1,2 | 8,6 |
| Income tax for the year on current operations | (2,5) | (0,4) | (2,9) |
| PROFIT (LOSS) FOR THE YEAR | 4,9 | 0,8 | 5,7 |
Note: the tax rate used for the purposes of the adjustment, is equal to the Generalfinance's average tax rate for the period
| POSITIVE | INCOME TREND |
FURTHER INCREASE OF DISTRESSED FINANCING BUSINESS |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €14,6M NET BANKING INCOME |
+39% vs H1 2021 |
€933M TURNOVER |
+71% vs H1 2021 |
||
| €5,7M NET INCOME ADJ |
+47% vs H1 2021 |
€776M DISBURSED AMOUNT |
+80% vs H1 2021 |
||
| 39,7% COST INCOME RATIO ADJ |
vs 47% in H1 2021 | €362M RECEIVABLES |
+69% vs H1 2021 |
||
| 25,0% ROE ADJ |
confirming the high profitability of the business model, after the capital increase completed through the IPO |
~ 76% disbursement backed by the historical and strategic partnership with Allianz Trade |
|||
| EXCELLENT CREDIT QUALITY |
SOLID CAPITAL POSITION |
||||
| Gross NPE not affected |
ratio and Cost of Risk substantially by geopolitical tensions |
Strong capital buffers well above regulatory requirements, after the capital increase |
Note: Turnover includes Future receivables; Income statement data as of 1H 2022 adjusted. ROE adj = annualized net income adj / (equity-net profit)
| Income Statement (€m) | 2019A | 2020A | 2021A | CAGR '19-'21 | H1 2021 | H1 2022 adj | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Margin | 3,4 | 4,1 | 6,2 | 35,0% | 2,7 | 3,8 | 38% |
| Net Fee and Commission Income | 10,1 | 13,1 | 17,7 | 32,4% | 7,8 | 10,8 | 39% |
| Net Interest and Other Banking Income | 13,5 | 17,2 | 23,9 | 33,1% | 10,5 | 14,6 | 39% |
| Operating Costs | (6,9) | (8,4) | (9,8) | 19,2% | (4,9) | (5,8) | 18% |
| Profit for the year | 4,2 | 5,3 | 9,5 | 50,4% | 3,9 | 5,7 | 47% |
| (€m) | 2019A | 2020A | 2021A | CAGR '19-'21 | H1 2021 | H1 2022 | YoY |
| Turnover | 590,0 | 761,0 | 1.403,0 | 54,2% | 545,5 | 932,6 | 71,0% |
| Disbursed Amount | 445,0 | 562,0 | 1.118,0 | 58,5% | 432,2 | 776,8 | 79,7% |
| LTV | 75,4% | 73,9% | 79,7% | 2,8% | 79,2% | 83,3% | 5,1% |
| Net Banking Income / Average Loan (%) | 12,2% | 11,2% | 9,6% | (11,3%) | 10,7% | 8,6% | (20,4%) |
| Interest Margin / Net Banking Income (%) | 25,4% | 23,8% | 26,0% | 1,2% | 25,9% | 25,8% | (0,4%) |
| Cost Income Ratio | 51,0% | 48,7% | 40,9% | (10,4%) | 46,9% | 39,7% | (15,2%) |
| ROE (%) | 27,6% | 30,9% | 42,0% | 23,4% | 34,7% | 25,0% | (27,9%) |
| Balance Sheet (€m) | 2019A | 2020A | 2021A | CAGR '19-'21 | H1 2021 | H1 2022 | YoY |
| Cash & Cash Equivalents | 16,8 | 24,2 | 33,5 | 41,2% | 19,5 | 32,2 | 65,6% |
| Financial Assets | 131,9 | 176,5 | 321,0 | 56,0% | 214,6 | 361,7 | 68,6% |
| Other Assets | 9,7 | 9,5 | 10,8 | 5,5% | 9,8 | 13,2 | 35,3% |
| Total Assets | 158,4 | 210,2 | 365,3 | 51,9% | 243,8 | 407,2 | 67,0% |
| Financial Liabilities | 129,0 | 175,4 | 314,6 | 56,2% | 204,9 | 332,5 | 62,3% |
| Other Liabilities | 10,0 | 12,2 | 18,7 | 36,7% | 12,6 | 24,0 | 90,0% |
| Total Liabilities | 139,0 | 187,6 | 333,3 | 54,8% | 217,5 | 356,5 | 63,9% |
| Shareholder's Equity | 19,4 | 22,6 | 32,0 | 28,4% | 26,3 | 50,7 | 92,8% |
Note: Turnover includes Future receivables; Income statement data as of 1H 2022 adjusted. ROE adj = annualized net income adj / (equity-net profit)
Notes: ; Operating costs as of 1H 2022 adjusted; Other items = Net provision for risks and charges + Net value adjustments / write-backs on property, plan and equipment + Net value adjustments / write-backs on intangible assets + Other operating income and expenses
Massimo Gianolli
❑ Strong profitability during H1 2022, with an Adjsuted Net Income up +47% YoY
❑ Elevated adjusted ROE (25%) and low adjusted Cost Income Ratio (40%), confirming the high profitability of the business model
❑ Ample capital buffer (Total Capital Ratio 19.2%, 11.2% of capital buffer) after the capital increase completed through the IPO process
❑ Strong commercial dynamic with 933 € M Turnover, +71% YoY
The strong results of the H1 2022 rapresent a good step to beat the 2022 target presented to the market
New Industrial Plan «Post Money» will be presented in autumn, with a substantial increase of the «pre money» Turnover level (2024F 2.7 € B)
SIMPLE AND TRANSPARENT P&L PAIRED WITH ALMOST NO VOLATILITY OF FAIR VALUE / CREDIT ADJUSTMENT
| PRO SOLVENDO TRANSACTION |
Formula | Accounting | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (fattura) Valore nominale cessione |
100 000 00 , |
a | |
| % anticipazione |
80% | b | |
| Importo lordo erogato |
80 000 00 , |
b c = a x |
|
| Giorni erogazione (data scadenza-data erogazione) |
88 | e | |
| Tasso contrattuale |
4 00% |
f | |
| Interessi contrattuali |
789 04 |
= ( (e+2) ) / f 365 g c x x |
ricavi riscontati fino scadenza a |
| Giorni credito (data scadenza-data pratica) |
90 | h | |
| Tasso commissionale |
0 50% |
i | |
| Commissioni contrattuali |
500 1 00 , |
l i (h/30) = a x x |
ricavi riscontati fino scadenza a |
| Totale ricavi economico conto a |
2 289 04 , |
+ l m = g |
ricavi riscontati fino scadenza a |
| Importo erogato netto |
77 710 96 , |
n = c - m |
|
| Giorni tardato pagamento |
5 | o | |
| Interessi tardato contrattuali pagamento |
5 00% |
p | |
| Commissioni tardato pagamento |
0 50% |
q | |
| Interessi tardato pagamento |
54 79 |
= ( o) / 365 r c x p x |
ricavi tardato pagamento per cassa |
| Commissioni tardato pagamento |
83 33 |
(o / 30) s = a q x x |
ricavi tardato pagamento per cassa |
| Ricavi tardato pagamento |
138 13 |
t = r + s |
ricavi tardato pagamento per cassa |
| Importo anticipato non |
20 000 00 , |
= a - c u |
|
| Liquidato netto |
19 861 87 , |
- t v = u |
Note: Pro soluto Factoring regarding full rights purchase IAS compliant
NET BANKING INCOME (€M)
| Macro score | Indicator | Assessment details |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Commercial score |
BRI | ▪ Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic and financial aspects, the history of the company, the shareholders structure, etc. |
| CGS | ▪ Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic and financial aspects, the history of the company, the shareholders structure, etc. |
|
| Rating Score |
Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic ▪ and financial aspects, the history of the company, the shareholders structure, etc. |
|
| Delinquency Score |
▪ Probability of late payments over the next 12 months |
|
| Failure Score |
Company probability of default over the next 12 months ▪ |
|
| 2 Payments |
Paydex | ▪ Score on the counterparty's payment performance |
| score | Payline | ▪ Score on the counterparty's payment performance |
| 3 Credit |
Grade Allianz Trade |
▪ Degree of credit insurability |
| insurability score |
DRA | ▪ Degree of credit insurability ▪ Coface – in progress |
| 4 Credit insurance |
Insurance | Insurance partnership with Allianz Trade to insure up to 100% of the ▪ credit cross, starting from amounts above 30k |
In the overall fast growing factoring market (turnover in Italy is expected to grow from € 250bn in 2021 up to €269-€275bn in 2022) Generalfinance focuses on distressed sellers (UTP, forborne and past due) with a portfolio of performing debtors (in bonis)
Large Corporate (250€M+)
Notes: (1) range of values estimated in the last Assifact report «ForeFact» 22
Source: Assifact, Banca d'Italia, Banca IFIS Market Watch, report PWC, company balance sheets and website
| Calendar Provisioning |
New definition of default |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Default Period | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Secured A |
- | - | 25% | 35% | 55% | 70% | 80% | 85% | 100% | more than 90 days. |
| Secured B |
- | - | 25% | 35% | 55% | 80% | 100% | - | - | From January 1 st |
| Unsecured | - | - | 35% | 100% |
Based on the March 2018 BCE addendum, NPEs should be clustered in terms of default period and level of security, with a distinction between secured ('Secured A') other collateral ('Secured B') and unsecured ('Unsecure') properties. For each cluster, banks are expected to apply the above provisioning schedule such that the impaired exposure (NPLs and UTPs) is fully removed from the balance sheet by 2026.
The main implications are:
According to CRR 178, a default occurs when any of the following conditions occur: (i) probable default, or (ii) exposures past due by more than 90 days.
From January 1 st , 2020 the European Banking Authority has introduced stricter rules to define if an exposure is in default.
| Previous Reg. |
NEW REG. | |
|---|---|---|
| Thresholds | Client in default if arrears for more than 90 days, equal to at least 5% of their exposure towards the bank |
Client in default if arrears of € 100 for individuals or € 500 for other exposures for more than 90 days, and at least 1% of their exposure towards the bank. (Bank of Italy can decide between 0 and 2.5%) |
| Compensation | Offsetting of overdue amounts against unused credit lines is possible |
No compensation granted |
| Thresholds | Default status expires when the client settles the position |
The default status remains for at least 90 days after the client settles the position |
The envisaged tightening of current account overdrafts, which until now did not require capital provisions but could in future be subject to risk weighting for credit institutions, may have a significant impact in Italy, where they are widely used for household and PMI financing.
More than 40% of SMEs are in vulnerability or risk condition An annual average of 1,494 companies entered non-bankruptcy procedures since 2016
31
Notes: 1) Excluding Repo and Current Accounts
Source: Assifact, Prometeia, Banca d'Italia, Banca IFIS Market Watch, report PWC, company balance sheets and website
| Income Statement (€m) | 2019A | 2020A | 2021A | H1 2021 | H2 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest income and similar income | 4,6 | 5,7 | 9,2 | 3,9 | 6,4 |
| Interest expense and similar charges | (1,2) | (1,6) | (3,0) | (1,2) | (2,6) |
| INTEREST MARGIN | 3,4 | 4,1 | 6,2 | 2,7 | 3,8 |
| Fee and commission income | 11,5 | 14,7 | 20,8 | 9,3 | 12,9 |
| Fee and commission expense | (1,4) | (1,6) | (3,1) | (1,5) | (2,0) |
| NET FEE AND COMMISSION INCOME | 10,1 | 13,1 | 17,7 | 7,8 | 10,8 |
| Dividends and similar income | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Net profi (loss) from trading |
(0,0) | (0,0) | (0,0) | (0,0) | (0,0) |
| Net results of other financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value through profit or loss | 0,0 | (0,0) | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| NET INTEREST AND OTHER BANKING INCOME | 13,5 | 17,2 | 23,9 | 10,5 | 14,6 |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs for credit risk | (0,4) | (0,7) | (0,2) | (0,0) | (0,2) |
| a) Financial assets measured at amortised cost |
(0,4) | (0,7) | (0,2) | (0,0) | (0,2) |
| NET PROFIT (LOSS) FROM FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT | 13,2 | 16,5 | 23,7 | 10,5 | 14,4 |
| Administrative expenses | (6,8) | (7,2) | (8,7) | (4,2) | (6,4) |
| a) Personnel expenses | (3,8) | (4,3) | (5,2) | (2,6) | (3,0) |
| b) Other administrative expenses | (3,0) | (3,0) | (3,4) | (1,6) | (3,4) |
| Net provision for risks and charges | (0,0) | (1,1) | (0,2) | (0,2) | (0,0) |
| b) Other net provisions | (0,0) | (1,1) | (0,2) | (0,2) | (0,0) |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs on property, plan and equipment | (0,6) | (0,7) | (0,7) | (0,4) | (0,4) |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs on intangible assets | (0,2) | (0,2) | (0,2) | (0,1) | (0,2) |
| Other operating income and expenses | 0,8 | 0,8 | 0,1 | (0,1) | (0,1) |
| OPERATING COSTS | (6,9) | (8,4) | (9,8) | (4,9) | (7,0) |
| PRE-TAX PROFIT (LOSS) FROM CURRENT OPERATIONS | 6,3 | 8,1 | 13,9 | 5,6 | 7,4 |
| Income tax for the year on current operations | (2,1) | (2,8) | (4,5) | (1,7) | (2,5) |
| PROFIT (LOSS) FOR THE YEAR | 4,2 | 5,3 | 9,5 | 3,9 | 4,9 |
| Balance Sheet (€m) | 2019A | 2020A | 2021A | H1 2021 | H2 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASSET ITEMS | |||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 0,0 | 24,2 | 33,5 | 19,5 | 32,2 |
| Financial assets measured at fair value through profit or loss | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Financial assets measured at amortised cost |
148,7 | 176,5 | 321,0 | 214,6 | 361,7 |
| Property, Plan and Equipment (PPE) | 5,3 | 5,1 | 4,9 | 4,9 | 4,7 |
| Intangible assets | 0,4 | 0,8 | 1,7 | 1,0 | 1,8 |
| Tax assets | 0,9 | 1,4 | 1,2 | 0,6 | 1,9 |
| a) current | 0,5 | 0,7 | 0,9 | 0,4 | 1,7 |
| b) deferred | 0,4 | 0,8 | 0,3 | 0,3 | 0,2 |
| Other assets | 3,1 | 2,2 | 3,0 | 3,2 | 4,8 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 158,4 | 210,2 | 365,3 | 243,8 | 407,2 |
| LIABILITY AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY ITEMS | |||||
| Financial liabilities measured at amortised cost | 129,0 | 175,4 | 314,6 | 204,9 | 332,5 |
| a) payables | 175,4 | 283,6 | 204,9 | 296,2 | |
| b) outstanding securities | 129,0 | 0,0 | 31,0 | 0,0 | 36,3 |
| Tax liabilities | 0,6 | 0,9 | 1,2 | 0,5 | 1,6 |
| Other liabilities | 7,6 | 8,3 | 15,8 | 10,5 | 20,8 |
| Severance pay | 1,2 | 1,4 | 1,4 | 1,4 | 1,4 |
| Provision for risk and charges | 0,6 | 1,6 | 0,3 | 0,2 | 0,1 |
| Share capital | 3,3 | 3,3 | 3,3 | 3,3 | 4,2 |
| Share premium reserve | 5,8 | 5,8 | 7,8 | 7,8 | 25,4 |
| Reserves | 6,2 | 8,2 | 11,4 | 11,4 | 16,2 |
| Valuation reserves | (0,1) | (0,1) | (0,0) | (0,1) | (0,0) |
| Profit (loss) for the year | 4,2 | 5,3 | 9,5 | 3,9 | 4,9 |
| TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS'S EQUITY | 158,4 | 210,2 | 365,3 | 243,8 | 407,2 |
Source: Company financial statements
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