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Gas Plus

Investor Presentation Sep 8, 2022

4146_ip_2022-09-08_86f98a64-8199-4873-9041-5680e8892dcb.pdf

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Gas Plus Group

Analyst Presentation IH 2022 Financial Results

September 8th, 2022*

0 * This document is updated on 6 months basis, occurring after 31 December and 30 June closing

Agenda

Market Scenario

Agenda

The first half of the year 2022 ended with a negative result deriving exclusively from the extra-profit tax (i.e. "contributo straordinario contro il caro bollette") which impacted the income statement by more than 8 M€.

Notwithstanding the effects of this component, in the extraordinary scenario of high gas prices, the Group's performance during the period was positive, and within the end of 1H 2022, one of the Group's main E&P projects, the Midia project in the Romanian Black Sea, has started production.

With reference to the E&P and Retail Business Units, the highlights are:

  • E&P: Strong EBITDA growth (13.1 M€ in IH 2022 vs 5.1 M€ in IH 2021), thanks to the unprecedented increase in gas (four times higher than 1H 2021, reaching 1,03€/scm) and oil (+66%) prices, with production nearly stable (-4.4%), despite a significant portion of gas production being hedged at price levels far below those recorded in the semester.
  • Retail: Notwithstanding the increase in revenues, the gas price fluctuations on fixed-price and variable-price-with-cap contracts determined a temporary negative performance on EBITDA (-6.1 M€), as previously envisaged, and for which a provision of EUR 4.1 million had been set aside at the end of the previous year.

Outlook 2022:

On 20 May 2022, the Group informed the market that, in light of the increased rate and the prolonged application of the extra-profit tax, the 2022 outlook had been updated, forecasting a negative FY 2022 net result, however potentially subject to improvement in particular by an acceleration of gas production in Romania from the MGD project. The achievement of the gas-in of the MGD project on 15 June 2022 has now made possible the revision of the 2022 Outlook, providing a turnaround in annual results driven by:

  • ✓ the doubling of gas production, thanks to Romanian gas;
  • ✓ the positive contribution of Italian E&P activities, benefitting also from a lower effect of price hedging;
  • ✓ significantly reduced losses of the BU Retail.

Agenda

IH 2022 P&L -
E&P contribution
E&P (MScme) IH22 IH21 ∆ (%)
Hydrocarbon Production 64.2 67.2 (4.4%)
of which natural gas
of which oil and condensate
49.8
14.4
49.5
17.7
(0.6%)
(18.6%)
EBITDA (M€) 13.1 5.1 156.9%
Exploration Capex 0 0.1 -71.4%
Development Capex 18.3 5.7 221.1%
E&P Reserves
E&P (MScme) Jun 30, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 ∆ (%)
Hydrocarbon Reserves 4,224.7 4,288.9 (1.5%)
of which domestic 3,503.5 3,563.9 (1.7%)
of which international 721.2 725.0 (0.5%)

EBITDA:

  • ― Unprecedented increase in energy prices
  • ― Production volumes hedged at the beginning of last year before the price increase
  • ― Increased production thanks to Romania's contribution (approx. €2M every 15 days)

Domestic activities:

  • ― Stable production
  • ― "Longanesi" project: drilling activities and production tests of the Longanesi 2 dir and Longanesi 3 dir wells were completed.
  • International activities in Romania - Offshore concession "Midia Shallow XV ":
  • ― Achievement of the project gas-in on June 15th, with a 100% production of about 3 MScm per day.
  • ― The drilling campaign was successfully completed.
  • ― Due to the pandemic, the General Contractor has been requested price revisions, which have been granted for approx. 9% of the total amount. On the other side, Romanian market prices are aligning with the ones of the other European hubs and are significantly higher than the initial projections estimated in the evaluation phase of the project.
Retail IH22 IH21 ∆ (%)
Sales (MScm) 40.6 43.6 (6.9%)
Residential 31.8 35.1 (9.4%)
Small Business/Multipod 4.4 4.6 (4.3%)
Industrial 4.4 3.9 12.8%
EBITDA (M€) (6.1) 2.1 (390,5%)
  • The first semester of 2022 has been characterized by the exponential and constant increase of gas prices
  • This scenario negatively effected EBITDA due to the continuous sharp deterioration of unitary marginality, started at the end of 2021, related to customers with fixed price or variable price with cap. It is expected a recovery starting with the new gas-year (from 1st October) due to expiration of economic conditions of most of negative margin contacts
  • Thanks to securization agreement put in place from the Group, there is no impact on solvency despite the strong increase on receivables' value due to price increase
  • Volumes sold in IH 2022 posted a decrease versus the previous year due to warmer temperatures in 2Q and a slight decrease of customer (-5%)

TTF Gas Price – Quarter Ahead IH 2022 P&L – Network & Transportation Contribution

IH 22 IH 21 ∆ (%)
Distributed Volumes (MScm) 120.2 123.3 (2.5%)
Direct end users (#K) 109.0 109.0 0.0%
Pipeline (Km) 1,823.5 1,820.0 0.2%
EBITDA (M€) 3.3 4.1 (19.5%)
Capex (M€) 1.5 1.4 7.1%
  • The warmer temperature registered during IH 2022 have led to a decrease in the distributes volumes of gas (-2,5%) compared to last year.
  • EBITDA results lower than last year (- 19.5%). The main causes of the decrease are the additional restrictions on regulatory revenues cap from gas distribution and the increase in the main costs relating to the business, caused by the actual electricity scenario.
  • Slight Capex increase (+7.1%).
  • The installation of the new G4-G6 smart meters is ongoing: 61% of the total was installed as of June 30st 2022, in line with the deadline set by the Authority (85% by 31/12/2023)
  • No ATEM tenders involving Group concession have been launched to date. The Group intends to evaluate the new ATEM tenders in order to maintain the same perimeter of activities as a minimum
Group (M€) IH 22 IH 21 ∆ (%)
Revenues 77.1 41.0 88.1%
Operating Costs 68.0 30.9 120.2%
EBITDA 9.1 10.1 (10.1%)
EBIT 0.8 1.9 (58.6%)
EBT 1.5 (0.6) (336.3%)
Net Result (6.9) (0.3) (2,175.4%)
EPS (€) (0.15) (0.01) (1,400.0%)
  • Strong growth in Revenues and Operating costs thanks to exceptionally high prices. Revenues are affected by the negative effect of hedging derivatives (-21,5 M€), while operating costs discount the higher gas purchase costs (+30,7 M€).
  • Decrease in EBITDA due to the negative margins of the BU Retail, despite the recovery of BU E&P margins
  • Amortization and depreciation and financial charges in line with 1H21
  • Negative net result due to the estimated full year impact of the extraprofit tax (i.e. "contributo straordinario contro il caro bollette") for € 8 M.

Financial Results

June 30, 2022 TTF Gas Price – Group Balance Sheet – Quarter Ahead

Group (M€) Jun 30,
2022
Dec 31,
2021
∆ (%)
Inventories 4.3 3.4 26.5%
Receivables 26.0 37.1 (29.9%)
Payables (26.0) (32.5) (20.0%)
Other Working Credits/Debits (37.8) (25.7) 47.1%
Non Current Assets 396.1 380.9 4.0%
Taxes, Abandonment, Severance and
Other provision
(108.2) (110.0) (1.6%)
Net Invested Capital 254.4 253.2 (0.5%)
Net Financial Debt 97.0 82.2 (18.0%)
of which long term (*) 64.3 73.6 (12.6%)
of which short term (*) 32.7 8.6 280.2%
Equity 157.4 171.0 (8.0%)
Total Sources 254.4 253.2 0.5%
(*) It
does
nottake into
account the temporary reclassification
due to the breach
of financial
covenants.
  • Increase in Non Current Asset Net after investmentsfor € 19,8 M
  • Strong reduction in Working Capital due to the negative value of hedging derivatives on commodities and the increase in tax debts (royalties, Windfalltax, extra-profit tax - i.e. "contributo straordinario contro il caro bollette")
  • Increase in Net Financial Debt as effect of negatives margins of BU Retail and investments of the period
  • The Group has obtained an amendment to the existing financing not to consider the covenants related to 1H22 and to increase the ones related to FY 22. Since it was formalized in July, all the bank loan over 12 months was temporary considered as short term due to breach of covenants on the 30th of June 2022
  • Debt/equity ratio at 0.62 (vs 0.48 at 31/12/2021) due to negative net result and the effects of negative value of hedging derivates on equity

  • The NFP grows due to investments (€ 19,8 M) and temporary negative cash flows of the BU Retail in 1H22

  • The NFP also includes the effects of IFRS 16 on leasing contracts equal to € -4.1 M

Company Profile

Shareholding as at 30 June 2022 Share information Share price performance 73,94% 11,93% 2,98% 11,15% Us.Fin. Srl Findim Investments S.A. Treasury Shares Floating N. of share: 44,909,620 Share price as of 30.06.2022: € 3.37 Share price as of 07.09.2022: € 3.50 Mkt cap 30.06.2022: € 151.3 million Italian Stock Exchange – segment MTA Own shares as of 30.06.2022: 1,336,677

Group structure*

Stefano Cao Chairman –
Gas Plus S.p.A.
Davide Usberti CEO Gas Plus S.p.A.
Cinzia
Triunfo
Group General Manager and Director of Gas Plus S.p.A.
Germano Rossi Group CFO
Massimo Nicolazzi Executive Director Gas Plus Dacia S.r.L.
Regulated Activity -
Network
Leonardo Dabrassi Chairman –
GP Infrastrutture
S.r.l
Achille
Capelli
Network Manager

(*) Gas Plus Group Structure as of 30 June 2022

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Gas Plus. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Gas Plus to market risks and statements expressing management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ''anticipate'', ''believe'', ''could'', ''estimate'', ''expect'', ''intend'', ''may'', ''plan'', ''objectives'', ''outlook'', ''probably'', ''project'', ''will'', ''seek'', ''target'', ''risks'', ''goals'', ''should'' and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Gas Plus and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this Report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group's products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory effects arising from re-categorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates; and (m) changes in trading conditions.

All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Each forwardlooking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Neither Gas Plus nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.

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