Investor Presentation • Feb 28, 2023
Investor Presentation
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February 28th, 2023
This communication does not constitute an offer or an invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities.
Forward-looking statements contained in this presentation regarding future events and future results are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections about the industries in which Saipem S.p.A. (the "Company") operates, as well as the beliefs and assumptions of the Company's management.
These forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors beyond the Company' control that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. These include, but are not limited to: forex and interest rate fluctuations, commodity price volatility, credit and liquidity risks, HSE risks, the levels of capital expenditure in the oil and gas industry and other sectors, political instability in areas where the Group operates, actions by competitors, success of commercial transactions, risks associated with the execution of projects (including ongoing investment projects), the Coronavirus outbreak (including its impact across our business, worldwide operations and supply chain); in addition to changes in stakeholders' expectations and other changes affecting business conditions.
Therefore, the Company's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. They are neither statements of historical fact nor guarantees of future performance. The Company therefore caution against relying on any of these forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, economic conditions globally, the impact of competition, political and economic developments in the countries in which the Company operates, and regulatory developments in Italy and internationally. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Company speak only as of the date they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in the Company's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein.
The Financial Reports contain analyses of some of the aforementioned risks.
Forward-looking statements neither represent nor can be considered as estimates for legal, accounting, fiscal or investment purposes. Forward-looking statements are not intended to provide assurances and/or solicit investment.
The Company, its advisors and its representatives decline all liability (for negligence or any other cause) for any loss occasioned by the use of this presentation or its contents.
The Manager responsible for preparing the Company's financial reports declares, in accordance with art. 154- bis, para. 2, of the "Consolidated Financial Act" (Legislative Decree No. 58/1998), that the accounting information contained in this document corresponds to documentary records, ledgers and accounting entries.
Financial and business performance
Strategic update
Closing remarks
Appendix
2.9 B€ Group Revenues1
150 M€
Group Adjusted EBITDA1
Driven by offshore
6.0 B€
+72% YoY
+3% QoQ
Order Intake1
~ 14 B€2 in FY 2022, 1.4x Book-to-bill
56 M€
Net Cash pre-IFRS 16
264 M€ Net debt post-IFRS 16
4 2. FY 2022 order intake (o/w E&C Offshore 8.4 B€, E&C Onshore 3.7 B€ and Drilling Offshore 1.7 B€), excluding discontinued operations (Drilling Onshore) and pre-cancellation of ~ 1 B€ backlog in 1Q22. FY 2022 order intake net of order cancellations is ~ 13 B€
Excluding discontinued operations (Drilling Onshore)
FY 2022 guidance: revenue >9 B€ (excluding discontinued operations), adjusted EBITDA >550 M€ (excluding discontinued operations), net debt post-IFRS 16 c.300 M€
Post-IFRS 16
Pre cancellations of ~ 1 B€ backlog in 1Q 2022 in E&C Onshore
Leveraging offshore drilling
• Offshore Drilling fleet: zero idleness1 in 2022
• Booked 87%2 in 2023 and 70%2 in 2024
Phased approach for offshore wind
in KCA Deutag Cash actions to unlock liquidity
Strategic update
Closing remarks
Appendix
E&C Offshore
| Adjusted1 Group – |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | ||||
| M€ | FY 21 | FY 22 | Var. | |
| Revenue | 6,528 | 9,980 | 3,452 | |
| Total costs | (7,802) | (9,385) | (1,583) | |
| EBITDA | (1,274) | 595 | 1,869 | |
| margin | n.m. | 6.0% | ||
| D&A | (400) | (445) | (45) | |
| EBIT | (1,674) | 150 | 1,824 | |
| Financial expenses | (137) | (195) | (58) | |
| Result from equity investments | 9 | (65) | (74) | |
| EBT | (1,802) | (110) | 1,692 | |
| Income taxes | (59) | (153) | (94) | |
| Minorities | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Discontinued operations | (53) | 124 | 177 | |
| Net Result | (1,914) | (139) | 1,775 |
| Group – Reported Income Statement |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| FY 21 FY 22 |
|||
| 6,528 | 9,980 | ||
| (8,252) | (9,437) | ||
| (1,724) | 543 | ||
| n.m. | 5.4% | ||
| (495) | (445) | ||
| (2,219) | 98 | ||
| (137) | (195) | ||
| 9 | (65) | ||
| (2,347) | (162) | ||
| (59) | (153) | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| (61) | 106 | ||
| (2,467) | (209) |
11 1. Excluding special items of 70 M€ mainly related to Covid-19 costs (29 M€) and redundancy costs (50 M€). Out of 70 M€, 52 M€ is at EBITDA and EBIT level and 18 M€ in discontinued operations. See slide 35 for special items
Cash in JV and others
Available cash & cash equivalent
Pro-forma liquidity includes actual liquidity at year-end 2022 and the new facilities signed in February 2023 (new term loan, 70% guaranteed by SACE, and new undrawn RCF)
FY 2022 average cost of debt, including treasury hedging and fees
8.4B€ E&C Offshore
1.7B€ Drilling Offshore
3.7B€2 E&C Onshore Awards concentrated in Saipem's sweet spots, as targeted in the business plan: ~ 73% in Offshore (E&C and drilling)
Achieved over a third of 2022-25 E&C Offshore plan acquisitions in year one3
Pre-cancellation of ~ 1 B€ backlog in 1Q22
FY 2022 E&C offshore acquisitions ~ 8.4 B€ vs ~ 24 B€ 2022-25 target for E&C offshore (as per March 2022 Strategic Plan)
1. Order intake do not include discontinued operations (Drilling Onshore). FY 2022 order intake pre-cancellation of ~ 1 B€ backlog in 1Q22 (in E&C Onshore). Order intake net of order cancellations is ~ 13 B€
As of 31st December 2022
As of 31st December 2021
22,985 M€ 10,756 45% 1,494 6% 11,767 49% Drilling Offshore E&C Offshore E&C Onshore 24.0 B€ 51% Offshore
Note: 31st December 2022 backlog does not include the residual backlog (114 M€) of drilling onshore geographies still under disposal (Latam)
Non-consolidated backlog @ 31 December 2022 equal to 359M€, of which 251 M€ in Russia (~ 800 M€ of non-consolidated projects in Russia removed in 9M 2022, see slide 34)
Offshore wind projects well under execution
Large projects in backlog nearing completion1
4Q & Full year 2022 highlights
Financial and business performance
Closing remarks
Appendix
Exploit the positive market context and growing clients' demand, while strengthening Saipem competitive positioning in subsea
Ensuring the possibility to utilise HVO1 as biofuel for our vessels in collaboration with Eni2to meet net zero target
Focus acquisitions in Africa, Guyana and Middle East secure execution capabilities
Secure execution capabilities
• New deepwater heavy lift and pipelay vessel (leased) to execute new awards globally
Strengthen positioning and offering in subsea
strengthen current commercial alliances
Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil
Expected order intake 2023-26 24.1 B€ (50% of total acquisitions) of which: SURF 11.3 B€
Conventional 12.8 B€
Exploit positive market momentum and possible fleet monetization opportunities
Ensuring the possibility to utilise HVO2 as biofuel for our vessels in collaboration with Eni3to meet net zero target
• Potential valorisation of shallow water
Expected order intake 2023-26 2.8 B€ (6% of total acquisitions) Fleet booking1 2023 87%
2024 70%
Short-term focus on backlog
Leveraging on lesson learned for new acquisition
Explore partnerships to access required vessels and mitigate risks
Expected order intake 2023-26
3.6 B€ (7% of total acquisitions)
Position Saipem in the energy transition, stabilize cash flows and managing portfolio execution risks
Position Saipem in the energy transition
• Growth on Operation & Maintenance and engineering services
Managing portfolio execution risks
Target NRRP1 projects, focusing on high-tech railway infrastructures
Potential to expand internationally
• Synergies with current Saipem global footprint
Expected order intake 2023-26
1.6 B€ (3% of total acquisitions)
Industrialized solutions for low-carbon energy with digitally enabled product-to-service business model
Expected order intake 2023-26
1.9 B€ (4% of total acquisitions)
• Scope: using biofuels on Saipem drilling and construction offshore fleet
• Focus on operations in the Mediterranean Sea
27
| Revenues | 1 Adj. EBITDA |
Capex | 2 FCF |
Net Debt | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | > 11 B€ | ~ 850 M€ Double-digit margin from 2025 |
~ 450 M€ |
Breakeven | Positive Net cash pre-IFRS 16 Net debt ~ 500 M€ post-IFRS 16 |
| 2026 | > 12 B€ | > 1.2 B€ | 1.2 B€ ~ cumulative 2023-26 |
> 0.6 B€ | Positive Net cash > 0.7 B€ post-IFRS 16 |
Excluding special items
Free cash flow pre-IFRS 16, computed as EBITDA reported pre-IFRS 16, after capex, delta net working capital, financial charges, taxes and dividends
4Q & Full year 2022 highlights
Financial and business performance
Strategic update
Closing remarks
QoQ comparison - (M€)
4Q 2022 group results
Excluding Drilling Onshore (discontinued operations)
Excluding special items. See slide 36 in the appendix for special items and slide 11 for reported results
(M€)
• Exit completed, no further impacts
Sizeable backlog provides support for the mid-term
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025+ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 331 | 17 | 11 | M€ |
Note: 31st December 2022 backlog does not include the residual backlog (114 M€) of drilling onshore geographies still under disposal (Latam) Non-consolidated backlog @ 31 December 2022 equal to 359 M€, of which 251 M€ in Russia (~ 800 M€ of non-consolidated projects in Russia removed in 9M 2022, see slide 33)
Cost mainly related to management of pandemic and safeguarding people's health
Special items of 70 M€ mainly related to Covid-19 costs (29 M€) and redundancy costs (50 M€). Out of 70 M€, 52 M€ is at EBITDA and EBIT level, while 18 M€ in discontinued operations.
Drilling Onshore has been classified as discontinued operations following the sale agreement with KCA Deutag. (First closing on 28th October 2022)
• Taxes at 153 M€ in FY 2022
• FY 2023 expected broadly in line with FY 2022
Taxes1
| Billion € | FY 22 |
|---|---|
| Gross Debt | 2.63 |
| o/w Banks | 0.53 |
| Bonds | 2.00 |
| Accruals and other financial debt |
0.10 |
| Total liquidity | (2.69) |
| Net Debt (pre IFRS 16) | (0.06) |
| IFRS 16 | 0.32 |
| Net Debt (post IFRS 16) | 0.26 |
Note: FY 2022 average cost of debt ~ 5%, including treasury hedging and fees; average tenor at 31 December 2022 ~ 2.6 years.
Restricted liquidity mainly related to projects and local currencies
Revolving Credit Facility of 470 M€ and Term loan of 390 M€ (70% guaranteed by SACE)
Drilling Vessel Engagement Map (2022-24)
| ESG Rating1 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ||||||
| Saipem | 79/100 | 87/100 | 4.2/5 | 79.3/100 | 61/100 | 18.1(100<0) |
| E&C peers average3 |
23/100 | 74/100 | 2.6/5 | 53.2/100 | n.a. | 25.9 (100<0) |
| Saipem ranking4 |
st 1 |
st 1 |
st 1 |
st 1 |
st 1 |
rd 3 |
Rating as of 31 December 2022
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