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Fly Play hf.

Earnings Release Oct 24, 2024

6604_ip_2024-10-24_4c5ffee3-63e8-42c3-8f49-07707d8c47f5.pdf

Earnings Release

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C Results /

Questions to [email protected]

PLAY at a glance Q3 2024

PLAY most punctual airline in KEF™

Continued strong on-time performance versus main competitor

Monthly on-time performance (OTP)

All arrivals

Versus main competitor(ppts)2)3)

1)

2) Difference in on-time performance in percentage points compared to main competitor

3) Since August 2023, competitor's on-time performance data aggegates domestic and international flights only

4

PLAY with most "Positive Impact" on Icelandic society

  • › PLAY was awarded as the airline that Icelanders believe has the most positive impact on Icelandic society1)
  • PLAY earned an impressive score of 73, placing it at the top of the list among Icelandic airlines
  • In the overall ranking of all companies in Iceland, PLAY was in seventh place

New destinations launched in Q3

Faro, Portugal Expanding Southern Europe reach with Algarve's popular beaches

Pula, Croatia

New gateway to Istria's historic charm and coastal attractions, plus increased frequency to Split

Aalborg, Denmark Creating connections to a Scandinavian cultural hotspot

Valencia, Spain Entering Spain's vibrant, artsy Mediterranean city

PLAY joins forces with Sabre and partners with easyJet

Partnership with Sabre

  • Partnership with Sabre Corporation grants travel agencies direct access to PLAY's content

  • Significant expansion of reach across our markets, providing travelers with more options and enhancing our visibility in key markets

350 unique city pairs with easyJet

  • › The addition of easyJet content to the PLAY Connect platform has opened 350 unique city pairs
  • 39% of 2024 revenue from Connect platforms is Icelanders connecting further
  • Continuously improving the PLAY Connect platform, driven by Dohop

Revenue by quarters from Connect platforms

150% increase in revenue Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023

+150%

Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22 Q1-23 Q2-23 Q3-23 Q4-23 Q1-24 Q2-24 Q3-24

7

Growing customer satisfaction

Customer satisfaction (NPS)1)

› Growing 17% in the first nine months of the year compared to the same period in 2023

Proactive engagement

› Our focus on proactive customer engagement has driven significant improvements in customer satisfaction

Commitment to excellence

We are dedicated to continuously enhancing the customer experience through the whole customer journey

Net Promoter Score (NPS)

Financial results

Questions to [email protected]

Financial snapshot Q3 2024

Financial highlights

Q3 2024

  • Revenue: Decreased by 8.8% from USD 110.2 million to USD 100.5 million compared to Q3 last year
  • ASK: Decreased by 5% YoY

  • EBIT for Q3 2024: Positive USD 9.6 million, down USD 3.7 million from USD 13.4 million in Q3 2023
  • Yield Impact: Load factor increased YoY; > however, lower yields per passenger on North American routes had a significant impact, resulting in lower EBIT for 2024

  • Cash: Position of USD 39.8 million including restricted cash
  • Debt: No external interest-bearing debt >

12

Income statement Q3 2024

Operating income

  • › Q3 2024 saw a 0.8 percentage point rise in load factor alongside a 5% decrease in available seat kilometers (ASKs), compared to Q3 2023
  • Operating income for Q3 2024: USD 100.5 million, reflecting a stable income base despite a challenging market environment
  • Strong ancillary revenue: Ancillary revenue remained robust at USD 30.1 million, accounting for 44% of airfare revenue. At USD 58 per passenger, the figure remains consistent with Q3 2023, highlighting strong demand for additional services
  • Ten aircraft were in operation in Q3 2024, the same as in Q3 2023
USD million Q3 2024 Q3 20231) Change
Airfare revenue 68.5 76.9 -8.5
Ancillary revenue 30.1 32.0 -1.8
Cargo revenue 1.1 0.9 0.3
Other revenue 0.8 0.5 0.3
Operating income 100.5 110.2 -9.71
Salaries and related expenses -14.8 -13.6 -1.2
Fuel & emissions expenses -29.9 -35.2 5.3
Other aviation expenses -25.4 -28.5 3.1
Other operating expenses -5.2 -4.6 -0.6
Operating expenses -75.3 -81.9 6.6
Depreciation and amortisation -15.5 -14.9 -0.6
=311 9.6 13.4 -8.71
EBIT% 10% 12% -2.8ppt
Financial expenses -5.5 -7.2 1.7
EBT 4.1 6.2 -2.1
Income tax -0.6 -1.5 0.9
Net result for the period 3.5 4.7 -1.2
Other comprehensive (loss) income -1.4 5.3 -6.6

Operating income

Airfare

PLAY

Down 9% YoY due to increased competition in the transatlantic market, resulting in lower yields

Ancillary revenue

Maintained steady average ancillary revenue per passenger from 2023 despite challenging market

TRASK

Slight load factor increase, decrease in airfare results in lower yields and TRASK was down 5% compared to Q3 2023

1) Total Revenue per Available Seat Kilometer

Decline in unit revenue driven by significant capacity increases to/from North America

1)

2) Europe leisure includes routes to/from Oracial taly, Portugal and Spain. Europe City includes routes to/from all other European countries

3) Refers to change in seat capacity on direct flights between Europe and North America

15

Operating expenses

Total unit cost (CASK) decreased by 1% from 5.32 US cents in Q3 2023 to 5.26 US cents in Q3 2024, however, ex-fuel CASK is up by 4%: from 3.39 to 3.53 US cents

  • › In Q3 2024, fuel and emissions costs were 0.20 US cents lower compared to Q3 2023. However, airport, handling and navigation costs rose by 0.04 US cents
  • The 5% year-over-year decline in ASK resulted in a 0.13 US cents negative impact on CASK. If adjusted to last year's operations, CASK would be 5.29 US cents, slightly above the actual 5.26 US cents
  • CASK rose by 0.04 US cents because of crew salary hikes
  • Improved on-time performance and better management of irregularities contributed to 0.04 US cents saving on CASK

Balance sheet

Cash position remains stable

› Cash stood at USD 39.8 million as of September 2024, up from USD 21.6 million in December 2023 and slightly higher than USD 39.2 million in September 2023

Equity improvement but still low

Equity increased to USD 6.6 million by September 2024, up from USD 1.9 million in December 2023, but still significantly below the USD 25.6 million in September 2023

Decrease in non-current assets

The decline in non-current assets was primarily due to the depreciation of right-of-use assets, leading to a fluctuation in total assets from USD 493.8 million in September 2023 to USD 458.9 million in September 2024

USD million 30.9.2024 31.12.2023 30.9.2023
Intangible assets 13.9 14.2 13.5
Right-of-use assets 306.0 338.4 363.6
Operating assets 16.1 11.9 12.5
Deposits 12.1 13.2 13.8
Tax assets 33.4 26.3 19.7
Non-current assets 381.5 404.0 423.1
Inventories 0.5 0.2 0.5
Trade and other receivables 34.4 33.0 27.9
Prepaid expenses 2.6 2.8 3.1
Cash and cash equivalents 39.8 21.6 39.2
Current assets 77.4 57.5 70.7
Total assets 458.9 461.5 493.8
Shareholders equity 6.6 1.9 25.5
Provisions 62.8 76.0 70.5
Lease liabilities 236.8 247.8 261.4
Non-current liabilities 299.5 323.7 331.9
Provisions 20.8 20.4 27.6
Lease liabilities 27.2 25.3 26.2
Trade and other payables 50.5 43.7 42.0
Deferred income 54.3 46.5 40.7
Current liabilities 152.8 135.9 136.4
Total liabilities 452.3 459.6 468.4
Total equity and liabilities 458.9 461.5 493.8

PLAY

Cash flow Q3 2024

Net operating cash flow

Negative USD 12.2 million in Q3 2024, mainly due to working capital changes and lease repayments

Positive operating contribution

› USD 23.6 million, offset by a USD 18.6 million negative impact from working capital, driven by a decrease in deferred income due to seasonality

Higher lease repayments

Totaled USD 17.2 million, USD 1.9 million influenced by seasonal rent, which will decrease during the low season11

Closing balance end of Q3 USD 39.8 million

Restricted cash of USD 8.9 million and cash and cash equivalents of USD 30.9 million

Cash flow bridge

USD million

Fuel price development and fuel hedging

Hedge strategy

  • › 1-3 months Up to 60%
  • 4-6 months Up to 40%
  • 7-12 months Up to 30%
  • Current spot (\$/MT) 1) @ 23.10.2024 - \$713.91

Hedge coverage

› Highest at 56% for Q4 2024, decreasing to 12% by Q3 2025, aligning with a strategy to reduce exposure over time

Market trend

› Recent fuel price development favorable

Fuel hedging

Current position (Hedge %, Hedge price \$/MT)

Jet fuel price Monthly average \$/MT

  • \$/MT = US dollar pr. metric ton
  • 2)
  • 3) Effective Fuel Price = Weighted average of Hedge Price and Market Price

Cash flow insights: Key takeaways for winter

Stable cash position

Cash balance stands at USD 39.8 million, slightly higher than the same period last year

The airline is well-prepared for the winter season, thanks to key strategic actions and positive trends:

  • Reduced lease payments USD 4.3 million, seasonal lease adjustments1)

  • › Adjusted our schedule to fit better with seasonal fluctuations in demand
  • › Secured a new ACMI agreement for the winter
  • › Lower fuel prices compared to forecast
  • Improved forward sales,TRASK up from last year

CEO Update & Outlook

PLAY forward

Questions to [email protected]

Hub-and-Spoke and Point-to-Point out of lceland at PLAY

Introducing PLAY forward

PLAY is implementing major changes to the business model to address challenges and adapt to evolving market conditions, such as capacity changes and disruptive innovation in aviation

PLAY business model evolution

New business model What is happening?
Point-to-Point Core operational model Leveraging PLAY's strong position as the preferred airline for
lcelandic leisure travelers, PLAY will put more emphasis on
flights from Iceland to S-Europe and to a lesser extent, N-Africa
and Asia
Hub-and-Spoke Serves as a complementary
offering
PLAY will reduce transatlantic capacity, as performance of this
market segment has been consistently below expectations
Charter/ACMI Deploying our assets in long-term
ACMI and charter operations globally
Adapting to the changing market environment to optimize fleet
utilization and maximize profitability, entering charter/ACMI

The Hub-and-Spoke network has consistently underperformed versus leisure network

Contribution per trip by market type1)

The change in PLAY's business model

1) Contribution (USD millions) refers to contribution after cash lease and maintenance reserves payments, total crew cost but excluding overhead, last 12 months

2) Estinated contribution (USD million after cash lease and mainterance reserves payments, total crev or sharges in mainer en

3) First aircraft on Maltese AOC in spring 2025 & PLAY forward fully implemented by 2026

4) Aircraft based in Tenerife mostly expected to operate Point to Iceland (Keflavik and Akureyri)

- ››

The hub-and-spoke model is under increased threat

Russia overflight restrictions are forcing airlines to re-deploy free assets across the Atlantic

  • Several European airlines have decided to suspend or terminate their services to China due to the competitive disadvantage they face against Chinese airlines that are able to overfly Russia

  • › Aircraft re-deployed to other markets, e.g., the transatlantic market

Business travel slow to recover -> passenger shift between cabins

  • › Business travel has not fully recovered
  • › This means that more affluent leisure travelers will continue to move to premium classes, not occupied by business travelers, resulting in an oversupply of economy seats, especially during off-peak periods

EU Fit for 55 reduces KEF's competitiveness as connecting point1)

  • › This legislative package aims to reduce the EU's greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% by 2030
  • › Iceland will continue to receive additional free allowance up to and including 2026 to mitigate the impact but these measures are only temporary

Aggressive capacity deployment in a changing market

  • New ownership of SAS and more aggressive capacity deployment will result in more services bypassing KEF, undermining KEF as a hub in the long-term

  • › Boston Copenhagen capacity is growing +80% in 2024 compared to 20232)
  • SAS launching Copenhagen Seattle and Delta launching Minneapolis - Copenhagen in 2025

Extended range of narrowbody aircraft disrupts the transatiantic market

New aircraft technology enabling more growth puts pressure on KEF as a connecting point

  • In 2024/25, airlines on both sides of the Atlantic will start to take delivery of some of the 160 Airbus A321XLRs they have on order1)

  • Initially the XLR will be used to replace older generation aircraft, e.g., Boeing 7572), but over time these aircraft will be used for growth
  • › Longer range and fuel efficiency of this aircraft offer airlines the chance to connect point-to-point, distant cities on either side of the Atlantic
  • › More cities in North America will get direct connections to Europe, which puts pressure on KEF as a connecting hub

Range circles for various aircraft types from London

28

PLAY, the airline Icelanders choose The Icelandic leisure market

Market size and characteristics

  • One million seats planned between Iceland and Southern Europe in 20241)

  • Less seasonal than the rest of KEF market

  • › Growth in recent years +20% annually

Playing towards our strengths

  • Low-cost carriers have a combined 63% market share in this market in Iceland vs up to 75% in other countries

  • Most passengers look for the lowest fare and good basic service, i.e., good on-time performance

PLAY's leisure performance

  • › 40% market share of the Icelandic leisure market
  • › Increased capacity in leisure markets has resulted in equivalent increase in contribution margin
  • › Leisure market performance consistently good PLAY is very competitive
  • › Growth by leveraging our strong leisure network and sell other value enhancing products, e.g., packages, loyalty

Year-on-Year Forward TRASK improvement Winter 2024-2025

30

Deploying capacity profitably

Aircraft delivery crisis and ongoing engine issues

› Boeing and Airbus continue to face significant challenges in meeting aircraft delivery dates. Ongoing supply chain disruptions, engine issues1, and labor shortages are continuing to severely delay delivery of new aircraft27

Strong ACMI market

› These delays create high aircraft demand. PLAY is in possession of a young and highly sought-after fleet3 of 10 aircraft

Favorable lease agreements

  • › Current market lease for aircraft equivalent to PLAY's fleet is USD 53-55 million per year, compared to PLAY's USD 40 million
  • Lease agreements not transferable, to reap benefits PLAY must operate all aircraft

  • Talks already commenced with interested parties for use of some of PLAY's aircraft in long-term projects, outside of Iceland

PW1000G recalls on A320 NE0

2) Disruption in aircraft production of both main plane makers and backlog of aircraft delivery and aircraft being grounded due to engine shortages has led to capacity constraints resulting in high demand for additional capacity.

PLAY has applied for Maltese AOC

Maltese AOC application

  • PLAY has already applied for an Air Operator License in Malta and expects to start operations under this licence in the spring of 2025

  • PLAY plans to deploy 3-4 of its aircraft to the Maltese AOC and most of those will be assigned to long-term charter/ACMI projects around the world

Why another AOC? Why Malta?

  • › Over 50 airlines already have AOC in Malta, including one lcelandic airline
  • Aircraft on Maltese AOC will mostly be deployed outside of Iceland. Such projects require locally based crews for them to be cost/price competitive

  • There is no plan for PLAY to operate flights in/out of Malta

Extreme seasonality of demand in Iceland

Seasonality in Iceland is more extreme than in Europe and the rest of the world

PLAY

  • › 51% capacity difference between high and low season in Iceland
  • Rest of the world has on average more balanced demand across the year than Iceland
  • › PLAY will counter seasonality in Iceland by leasing out capacity in short term projects during winter and lease in temporary capacity during summer

PLAY has signed an agreement with GlobalX to base an aircraft in Miami in winter 2024-2025

Capacity difference between high and low season

Difference as % of winter1)

Cost optimization and effect of changed business model

Network and fleet Fewer destinations and simplified network, will result in lower network, commercial,
marketing and IT budget
Operational efficiency Fuel-saving initiatives, optimized crew utilization, and reduction of IRROPS costs, while
maintaining excellent on-time performance
Simplifying processes and workflows for leaner operations, more digital automation
Further outsourcing of non-core functions
Impactful savings Q4 2024: Early benefits from cost initiatives
2H 2025: Full impact of cost improvement initiatives and business model change

Key takeaways

Disappointing results

Results for the quarter worse than expected impacted by overcapacity in Hub-and-Spoke market

New business model

Focus on Point-to-Point out of lceland, complemented by Hub-and-Spoke ACMI and charter operations

globally

Cash

Cash position better than at same time last year, winter outlook good

Capital requirements

Cash position and cash flow projections are better than last winter

000 (m)

In connection with PLAY's new AOC and associated agreements with partners, PLAY might decide to raise capital during the coming winter or spring, somewhere in the organisational structure

Questions to [email protected]

Disclaimer

This Presentation has been prepared by Fly Play hf. ("PLAY"). The information is based on sources that PLAY considers reliable. However, the information may be subject to updates, completion, revision and amendments resulting in material changes to the contents of this Presentation.

No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made by PLAY and/or its respective employees, board members, and parties as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this Presentation and any reliance the recipient places on them will be at their own sole risk.

Any statement contained in this Presentation that refers to an estimated future results or future activities are forward-looking statements that reflect current analysis of existing trends, information and plans. Forward-looking statements are subject to several risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially and adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. As a result, these statements are not guarantees of future performance, and the recipient is cautioned not to place undue reliance on them.

This Presentation is for informational purposes only and shall not be construed as an offer or solicitation for purchasing or selling any securities or financial instruments. In furnishing this Presentation, PLAY undertakes no obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this Presentation.

Any recipient of this Presentation is encouraged to seek their own financial advice and familiarizing themselves with various risks associated with possible investments.

PLAY does not accept any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising, directly, from use of or reliance on this Presentation or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

PLAY is the owner of all works of authorship in this Presentation unless otherwise explicitly stated.

Any recipient or user of this Presentation shall be held to have accepted these terms by virtue of thereof.

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