Investor Presentation • Mar 23, 2023
Investor Presentation
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GENERALFINANCE
March 23, 2023
This presentation has been prepared by Generalfinance and contains certain information of a forward-looking nature, projections, targets, and estimates that reflect Generalfinance management's current views related to future events. Forward-looking information not represent historical facts. Such information includes financial projections and estimates as well as related assumptions, information referring to plans, objectives, and expectations regarding future operations, products, and services, and information regarding future financial results. By their very nature, forwardlooking information involves a certain amount of risk, uncertainty and assumptions so that actual results could differ significantly from those expressed or implied in forward-looking information. These forward-looking statements have been developed from scenarios based on a set of economic assumptions related to a given competitive and regulatory environment.
There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus, such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of futures performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise expect as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advise or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any State or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the "Other Countries"), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form apart of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries.
Pursuant the consolidated law on financial intermediation of 24 February 1998 (article 154-bis, paragraph 2) Ugo Colombo, in his capacity as manager responsible for the preparation of the Company's financial reports declares that the accounting information contained in this Presentation reflects the Generalfinance documented results, financial accounts and accounting records. Neither the Company nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.
Long Standing Experience, Specialisation and Unique Positioning
* Assifact NPE Ratio (%) as at 30.09.2022 and 31.12.2021 1) Cost of Risk has been computed as Credit Risk Adjustments / Annual Disbursed Loans; Cost of Risk Adj calculated net of Insurance indemnities 2) Gross NPE («Non-Performing Exposure») Ratio has been computed as Gross NPE / Gross Loans to Customers
Default rate: NPE inlfow of the year / loans disbursement flow of the year
CREDIT RESIDUAL LIFE AND DSO
Generalfinance boasts a portfolio quality, both in terms of Payment Conditions and Payment Delays, higher than the rest of the market
The peculiarity of Generalfinance's business model is the choice of Seller–Debtor, where clients (Sellers) typically have a low credit rating (turnaround situation) while the Debtors underlying customer loans refer to a high credit rating (investment grade) S&P Fitch
Notes: 1) Generalfinance data refers to 2022; Assifact data refers to 3Q 2022; 2) Assifact data net of household debtors.
Organizational chart as at 31th december 2022 New / changed department
| Macro score | Indicator | Assessment details |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRI | ▪ Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic and financial aspects, the history of the company, the shareholders structure, etc. |
| CGS | ▪ Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic and financial aspects, the history of the company, the shareholders structure, etc. |
|
| Commercial score |
Rating Score |
Counterparty summary assessment considering the economic ▪ and financial aspects, the history of the company, the shareholders structure, etc. |
| Delinquency Score |
▪ Probability of late payments over the next 12 months |
|
| Failure Score |
Company probability of default over the next 12 months ▪ |
|
| 2 Payments |
Paydex | ▪ Score on the counterparty's payment performance |
| score | Payline | ▪ Score on the counterparty's payment performance |
| 3 Credit |
Grade Allianz Trade |
▪ Degree of credit insurability |
| insurability score |
DRA | ▪ Degree of credit insurability ▪ Coface – in progress |
| 4 Credit insurance |
Insurance | Insurance partnership with Allianz Trade to insure up to 100% of the ▪ credit cross, starting from amounts above 30k |
| Statement (€m) Income |
2022A | Adj | Adj 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Interest income and similar income |
14 0 , |
0 0 , |
14 0 , |
| similar Interest expense and charges |
(6 7) , |
0 0 , |
(6 7) , |
| INTEREST MARGIN |
7 3 , |
0 0 , |
7 3 , |
| and commission income Fee |
27 4 , |
0 0 , |
27 4 , |
| Fee and commission expense |
(3 8) , |
0 0 , |
(3 8) , |
| COMMISSION INCOME NET FEE AND |
23 6 , |
0 0 , |
23 6 , |
| Dividends and similar income |
0 0 , |
0 0 , |
0 0 , |
| profi (loss) from trading Net |
(0 0) , |
0 0 , |
(0 0) , |
| Net results of other financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value through profit or loss |
0 0 , |
0 0 , |
0 0 , |
| INTEREST OTHER BANKING INCOME NET AND |
30 9 , |
0 0 , |
30 9 , |
| adjustments write-backs for credit risk Net value / |
(1 2) , |
0 0 , |
(1 2) , |
| a) Financial assets measured at amortised cost |
(1 2) , |
0 0 , |
(1 2) , |
| (LOSS) NET PROFIT FROM FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT |
29 7 , |
0 0 , |
29 7 , |
| Administrative expenses |
(13 0) , |
6 1 , |
(11 5) , |
| a) Personnel expenses |
(6 7) , |
0 2 , |
(6 5) , |
| b) Other administrative expenses |
(6 3) , |
1 3 , |
(5 0) , |
| provision for risks Net and charges |
(0 0) , |
0 0 , |
(0 0) , |
| b) Other net provisions |
(0 0) , |
0 0 , |
(0 0) , |
| value adjustments / write-backs , plan and equipment Net on property |
(0 7) , |
0 0 , |
(0 7) , |
| Net value adjustments / write-backs on intangible assets |
(0 3) , |
0 0 , |
(0 3) , |
| Other operating income and expenses |
0 1 , |
0 0 , |
0 1 , |
| OPERATING COSTS |
(13 2) , |
(1 6) , |
(11 6) , |
| PROFIT (LOSS) FROM CURRENT OPERATIONS PRE-TAX |
16 5 , |
(1 6) , |
18 0 , |
| for operations Income tax the year on current |
(5 6) , |
0 4 , |
(6 0) , |
| PROFIT (LOSS) FOR THE YEAR |
10 9 , |
(1 2) , |
12 1 , |
Extraordinary costs booked in 2022, related to the IPO Process, ~ 1,6 € M
Adjusted Net income 12,1 € M, +27% YoY
Note: the normalized tax rate used for the purposes of the adjustment excludes the effects related to non-deductible extraordinary expenses
| Income Statement (€m) | 2020A | 2021A | 2022A | YoY | CAGR '20-'22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Margin | 4,1 | 6,2 | 7,3 | 17,7% | 33,4% |
| Net Commission | 13,1 | 17,7 | 23,6 | 33,3% | 34,2% |
| Net Banking Income | 17,2 | 23,9 | 30,9 | 29,3% | 34,0% |
| Operating Costs | (8,4) | (9,8) | (11,6) | 18,4% | 17,5% |
| Net Profit | 5,3 | 9,5 | 12,1 | 27,4% | 51,1% |
| (€m) | 2020A | 2021A | 2022A | YoY | CAGR '20-'22 |
| Turnover | 761 | 1.403 | 2.009 | 43,2% | 62,5% |
| Allocated Amount | 562 | 1.118 | 1.674 | 49,7% | 72,6% |
| LTV | 74% | 80% | 83% | 4,5% | 6,2% |
| Net Banking Income / Average Loan (%) | 11,2% | 9,6% | 8,7% | (9,0%) | (11,7%) |
| Interest Margin / Net Banking Income (%) | 23,8% | 26,0% | 23,5% | (9,4%) | (0,5%) |
| Cost Income Ratio | 48,7% | 40,9% | 37,7% | (7,9%) | (12,1%) |
| ROE (%) | 30,9% | 42,0% | 26,3% | (37,5%) | (7,8%) |
| Balance Sheet (€m) | 2020A | 2021A | 2022A | YoY | CAGR '20-'22 |
| Cash & Cash Equivalents | 24 | 34 | 44 | 30,4% | 34,4% |
| Financial Assets | 177 | 321 | 385 | 20,1% | 47,8% |
| Other Assets | 10 | 11 | 15 | 35,2% | 24,0% |
| Total Assets | 210 | 365 | 444 | 21,5% | 45,3% |
| Financial Liabilities | 175 | 315 | 368 | 17,1% | 44,9% |
| Other Liabilities | 12 | 19 | 19 | (1,1%) | 23,1% |
| Total Liabilities | 188 | 333 | 387 | 16,1% | 43,6% |
| Shareholder's Equity | 23 | 32 | 57 | 77,5% | 58,5% |
57444
Total Liabilities and Equity
Equity
Note: CET1 Ratio and Total Capital Ratio calculated taking into account total dividends to be distributed in 2023 (payout 50% of net profit)
Note: «Securitization» includes only senior financing and exlcuding around 53 €M of Mezzanine Notes
Notes: (1) Interest income + Delayed payment Interest over average loans (current and previous year); (2) Calculated as interest expense / average financial liabilities (current and previous year); (3) Calculated as Net Interest income/ average loans (current and previous year)
Note: (1) other net revenues and risk charges; (2) Operating Costs / Net Banking Income. Operating Costs on Adjusted basis
SHARE PERFORMANCE
| Distribution of Profit (Euro) Net |
2022A |
|---|---|
| Net profit |
10 885 387 |
| Number of shares |
12 635 066 |
| Dividend share per |
0 43 , |
| dividends Total |
5 433 078 |
| Retained earnings |
452 309 5 |
| Payout ratio |
50% |
| Dividend Yield |
6 0% , |
In the overall fast growing factoring market (turnover in Italy is expected to grow from € 287bn in 2022 up to €294-€303bn in 2023) Generalfinance focuses on distressed sellers (UTP, forborne and past due) with a portfolio of performing debtors (in bonis)
Notes: (1) range of values estimated in the last Assifact report «ForeFact» 23 n.1
Source: Assifact, Banca d'Italia, Banca IFIS Market Watch, report PWC, company balance sheets and website
▪ The 2022 recession has affected the trend of the UTP/Past Due/Forborne stock, which is the best proxy to estimate the Generalfinance's niche market, with an expected growth from € 107bn in 2022 to € 124bn in 2024E
Notes: 1) Excluding Repo and Current Accounts; (2) UTP transferred and not transferred Source: Assifact, Prometeia, Banca d'Italia, Banca IFIS Market Watch, report PWC, company balance sheets and website
Potential outstanding – Pre Money Potential turnover – Pre Money
32
| Top Line (€ bn) |
2021A | 2022A ADJ |
2024E | CAGR '21-'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turnover | 4 1 , |
2 0 , |
3 4 , |
34% |
| Allocated Amount |
1 1 , |
1 7 , |
2 8 , |
36% |
| (2) LTV |
80% | 83% | 83% | n.a. |
| P&L (€ mn) |
2021A | 2022A ADJ |
2024E | CAGR '21-'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin Interest |
6 2 , |
3 7 , |
13 7 , |
30% |
| Commision Net |
17 7 , |
23 6 , |
35 7 , |
26% |
| Net Banking Income |
23 9 , |
30 9 , |
49 3 , |
27% |
| Operating costs |
(9 8) , |
(11 6) , |
(14 7) , |
14% |
| Profit Net |
9 5 , |
12 1 , |
21 5 , |
31% |
| BS (€ mn) |
2021A | 2022A ADJ |
2024E | CAGR '21-'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash Cash Equivalents & |
33 5 , |
43 7 , |
54 7 , |
18% |
| Financial Assets |
321 0 , |
385 4 , |
697 9 , |
30% |
| Other Assets |
10 8 , |
14 6 , |
13 8 , |
9% |
| Total Assets |
365 3 , |
443 8 , |
766 5 , |
28% |
| Financial Liabilities |
314 6 , |
368 4 , |
648 5 , |
27% |
| Other Liabilities |
18 7 , |
17 4 , |
36 7 , |
25% |
| Shareholder's Equity |
32 0 , |
58 0 , |
81 3 , |
36% |
| Liabilities Total |
365 3 , |
443 8 , |
766 5 , |
28% |
| (%) KPI |
2021A | 2022A ADJ |
2024E | CAGR '21-'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking Net Income / Average Loans |
6% 9 , |
7% 8 , |
0% 8 , |
n.a. |
| Interest Margin / Net Banking Income |
26 0% , |
23 5% , |
27 8% , |
n.a. |
| Cost Ratio Income |
40 9% , |
37 7% , |
29 7% , |
n.a. |
| ROE | 0% 42 , |
3% 26 , |
0% 36 , |
n.a. |
| CET1 Ratio |
9 4% , |
14 6% , |
11 2% , |
n.a. |
| Total Capital Ratio |
13 7% , |
6% 17 , |
13 3% , |
n.a. |
Note: 2022A ADJ means that the values are neutralized from IPO costs € 1,6 mn (2) LTV: Loan to Value
The offsetting mechanism is a specific technicality of the Factoring Agreement, which is elaborated consistently with the Assifact standard
"The Factor will be entitled to retain sums and set off the debts (of every kind) due by the Factor to the Seller against the Receivables (of every kind) due from the Seller to the Factor, including the Receivables due from the Seller to third parties and assigned to/guaranteed by the Factor. Should the Seller default on any of its payment obligations, the Factor will be able to treat its Receivables as liquid and payable, even if not already fallen due. Offsets by the Seller require the prior written consent of the Factor".
| Seller A | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ID Borrower | Nominal Value (A) | LTV (B) |
Disbursement (C) = (A x B) |
Unpaid | Amount Collected (D) |
Amounts not advanced to be settled (D - C) |
| 1 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | Yes | - | - |
| 2 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 3 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 4 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 5 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 6 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 7 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 8 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 9 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 10 | 100.000,00 | 80% | 80.000,00 | No | 100.000,00 | 20.000,00 |
| 1.000.000,00 | 800.000,00 | 900.000,00 | 180.000,00 | |||
| Debts of the Factor | 180.000,00 | |||||
| Unpaid debts compensated | 80.000,00 | |||||
| Netting to be liquidated | 100.000,00 |
In FY 2021, Generalfinance paid an average advance equal to 80% of Turnover. With regard to the prosolvendo factoring, Generalfinance is entitled to set off amounts owed by the Sellers to it against amounts owed by Generalfinance to the Sellers based on specific clauses included in the factoring agreement.
The Company has a high Debtor/Seller ratio equal to 58, growing steadily over the last 3 financial years, against an average of the Italian factoring market calculated excluding private assigned Debtors - equal to 101 , which expands the possibilities of offsetting between receivables and debit items against the Sellers as part of pro-solvendo transactions.
| PRO SOLVENDO TRANSACTION | Formula | P&L Accounting | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invoice's nominal value | 100.000 | a | |
| Advance rate | 80,00% | b | |
| Gross disbursed amount | 80.000 | c = a x b | |
| Maturity of disbursed amount (days) | 88 | e | |
| Contractual interest rate | 4,00% | f | |
| Interest revenues | 789,04 | g = ( c x f x (e+2) ) / 365 | Prepayment |
| DSO | 90 | h | |
| Monthly commission rate | 0,50% | i | |
| Commission revenues | 1.500,00 | l = a x i x (h/30) | Prepayment |
| Total revenues | 2.289,04 | m = g + l | Prepayment |
| Net disbursed amount | 77.710,96 | n = c - m | |
| Delay in payment (days) | 5 | o | |
| Delay in payment interest rate | 5,00% | p | |
| Delay in payment commission rate | 0,50% | q | |
| Delay in payment interest revenues | 54,79 | r = ( c x p x o) / 365 | Cash basis |
| Delay in payment commission revenues | 83,33 | s = a x q x (o/30) | Cash basis |
| Delay in payment total revenues | 138,13 | t = r + s | Cash basis |
| Non-advance amount | 20.000 | u = a - c | |
| Net settlement | 19.861,87 | v = u - t |
45
GENERALFINANCE
March 23, 2023
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