Investor Presentation • Mar 24, 2023
Investor Presentation
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Bologna – 24 March 2023
The data contained herein are preliminary in nature and based on valuations and reasonable estimates available to the date hereof and, therefore, may be subject to further variations.
This document has been prepared by Unipol Gruppo S.p.A. and by UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A. solely for information purposes in the context of the presentation of their Guidance on the impacts of the IFRS 17/ 9. The updated information on the effects of the transition to the new IFRS 17/9 will be reported in the 2023 financial statements as set forth by the regulation in force.
Please note that these data are explanatory and/or based on assessments and preliminary expectations and are unaudited.
The content of this document does not constitute a recommendation in relation to any financial instruments issued by the companies or by other companies of the Group, nor it constitutes or forms part of any offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation to purchase any financial instruments issued by the companies or by other companies of the Group, nor it may be relied upon for any investment decision by its addressees.
Unless otherwise specified, all figures reported in this presentation refer to Unipol Gruppo.
Luca Zaccherini, Senior Executive responsible for drawing up the corporate accounts of Unipol Gruppo S.p.A. and UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A., declares, in accordance with Article 154-bis, para 2, of the 'Consolidated Finance Act', that the accounting information reported in this document corresponds to the document contents, books and accounting records.
4 Impact on P&L
7 Key Messages 2
Focus on IFRS 9
5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs
8
Glossary
Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity
3
IFRS 17&9 Key Methodological and Accounting Choices
4 Impact on P&L
7 Key Messages
Focus on IFRS 9
5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs
8 Glossary 3
Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity
| Possibili Options adopted alternative |
Rationale | |
|---|---|---|
| Accounting Models |
• PAA: c.92% of Non-Life contracts • BBA: c.8% of Non-Life contracts and c.6% of Life contracts • VFA: c.94% of Life contracts |
• Compliance with the characteristics of the different types of contracts • PAA to ensure simplicity and consistence in financial reporting |
| Transition | • MRA 53% and FVA 47% of Life business • MRA 11% and FVA 89% of Non-Life business |
• Allow margins to be recognized over the residual life of the contracts |
| Discount Rate | • Bottom-up approach (illiquidity premium added to the risk-free curve) • OCI option in case of change in discount rates |
• Alignment with Solvency II • Reduce P&L volatility through consistent ALM approach |
| Risk Adjustment | • Base calibration on 75° percentile with range up to 98° percentile for Non-Life business • Calculation based on metrics derived from Solvency II framework |
• Prudential approach for Non-Life business to factor in the uncertainty in the current scenario |
| Investment | • Fixed income assets largely recognised at FVOCI • Equities mainly recognised at FVOCI |
• Reduce P&L volatility |
The BBA model is applied to the residual portion of the Life portfolio (non-revaluable policies)
Valuation of the insurance liabilities at current values with discounting rate based on the so called bottom-up approach (riskfree curve adjusted to an Illiquidity Premium consistent with the volatility adjustment Solvency II methodological framework, but also considering the characteristics of the assets portfolio underlying the insurance liabilities)
booked at OCI for the other contracts
Adjustment for non-financial risk (Risk Adjustment RA) calculated using metrics derived from the Solvency II framework
Total* Risk Margin and Risk Adj. at 1 Jan 2022
4 Impact on P&L
7 Key Messages 2
Focus on IFRS 9
5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs
8 Glossary 3
Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity
4 Impact on P&L
7 Key Messages 2
Focus on IFRS 9
5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs
8
Glossary
3 Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity
€bn
€bn
At 1 January 2022
4 Impact on P&L
7 Key Messages
Focus on IFRS 9
5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs
8 Glossary 3 Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity
A convergence towards historical results under previous accounting standards is expected, despite a slight increase in the volatility of financial result arising from the application of IFRS 9
4 Impact on P&L
7 Key Messages
Focus on IFRS 9
5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs
8 Glossary 3 Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity
| IMPACTS | NOTES | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial KPIs | net profit* Cumulative consolidated 2022-2024 |
Target confirmed | ||
| Cumulative dividends 2022-2024 | No impact | Target confirmed | ||
| Non-Life Premiums | Target confirmed | |||
| No impact | Non-Life premiums still a disclosed KPI | |||
| Insurance KPIs | CoR Non-Life (net of reinsurance) |
Owing to different calculation, with no effect on insurance services result |
||
| Life premiums | No impact | Target confirmed Life premiums still a disclosed KPI |
||
| Present Value Future Profit Margin | No impact | Target confirmed |
* Normalised consolidated profit (excluding Employee Solidarity Fund) calculated on the basis of accounting standards in force in 2022
Accounting Choices
4 Impact on P&L
7 Key Messages 2
Focus on IFRS 9
5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs
8
Glossary
3 Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity
4 Impact on P&L
7 Key Messages
Focus on IFRS 9
5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs
8 Glossary 3
Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity
No impact on the Group's insurance strategy, dividend policy and Solvency II ratio
Financial disclosure improved, with few variationsin Non-Life and better predictability in Life
Shareholders' Equity slightly reduced at the transition date, but much more stable in the future
Insurance and financial targets of the 2022-24 Strategic Plan "Opening New Ways" confirmed
4 Impact on P&L
7 Key Messages 2
Focus on IFRS 9
5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs
8 Glossary 3
Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity
| AFS | Available for Sale Reserve | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALM | Asset and Liability Management | |||
| BBA | Building Block Approach or GMM |
General accounting model for all contracts without direct participation (GMM=General Measurement Model) | ||
| BEL | Best Estimate Liabilities | Present value of future discounted cash flows (best estimate without prudential margins) | ||
| COR | Combined Ratio |
|||
| CSM | Contractual Service Margin |
Insurance liability suspending the expected profit overtime, recognising it in the P&L consistently with the insurance service provided |
||
| DAC | Deferred Acquisition Costs | Under IFRS 17 they are not recognized as assets, but included in FCF and then reflected in the insurance liabilities | ||
| ECL | Expected Credit Loss |
Estimate weighted for the possible losses over the entire residual life of the financial assets |
||
| FCF | Fulfilment Cash Flows |
Expected weighted cash flows, discounted and adjusted for the economic value of time and risk |
||
| FRA | Full Retrospective Approach (Transition) |
As if IFRS 17 had always been applied |
||
| FVA | Fair Value Approach (Transition) |
CSM at transition is the difference between the fair value of the contracts portfolio and the FCF compliant to IFRS 13. |
||
| FVOCI | Fair Value Through Other Comprehensive Income | |||
| FVTPL | Fair Value Through Profit and Loss | |||
| LIC | Liability for Incurred Claims | |||
| LRC | Liability for Remaining Coverage | Liability for covered events relating to future insurance services | ||
| MRA | Modified Retrospective Approach (Transition) |
Similar to the FRA with simplification in the items implying difficult retrospective estimate, such as cash flows, discount rates and risk adjustment |
||
| MVBS | Market Value Balance Sheet | |||
| PAA | Simplified accounting model for one-year contracts, or contracts deemed as eligible based on a negligible fulfilment cash flows volatility throughout Premium Allocation Approach the coverage |
|||
| PVFCF | Present Value of Future Cash Flows | Discounted estimate which is probability-weighted of future cash flows |
||
| PVFP | Present Value of Future Profits | |||
| RA | Risk Adjustment | Insurance liability reflecting the remuneration requested by the issuer to bear the uncertainty in the cash flows amount and timing deriving from non-financial risks |
||
| RM | Risk Margin | |||
| S2 | Solvency 2 | |||
| SF | Segregated Funds | |||
| SPPI | Solely Payments of Principal and Interest test | Test to establish the correct recognition of financial assets |
||
| TP | Technical Provisions | |||
| 26 |
VFA Variable Fee Approach Accounting model for contracts with direct participation
Adriano Donati Head of Investor Relations
[email protected] [email protected]
Carlo Latini Tel +39 051 507 6333 Eleonora Roncuzzi Tel +39 051 507 7063 Giancarlo Lana Tel +39 011 654 2088 Giuseppe Giuliani Tel +39 051 507 7218 Silvia Tonioli Tel +39 051 507 2371
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