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Unipolsai

Investor Presentation Mar 24, 2023

4413_ip_2023-03-24_6ffd2644-a853-4c70-a59e-0bff1e249411.pdf

Investor Presentation

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IFRS 17&9 Guidance

Bologna – 24 March 2023

This document includes, among the other information and data, also statements on future expectations and other forecast estimates.

The data contained herein are preliminary in nature and based on valuations and reasonable estimates available to the date hereof and, therefore, may be subject to further variations.

This document has been prepared by Unipol Gruppo S.p.A. and by UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A. solely for information purposes in the context of the presentation of their Guidance on the impacts of the IFRS 17/ 9. The updated information on the effects of the transition to the new IFRS 17/9 will be reported in the 2023 financial statements as set forth by the regulation in force.

Please note that these data are explanatory and/or based on assessments and preliminary expectations and are unaudited.

The content of this document does not constitute a recommendation in relation to any financial instruments issued by the companies or by other companies of the Group, nor it constitutes or forms part of any offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation to purchase any financial instruments issued by the companies or by other companies of the Group, nor it may be relied upon for any investment decision by its addressees.

Unless otherwise specified, all figures reported in this presentation refer to Unipol Gruppo.

Luca Zaccherini, Senior Executive responsible for drawing up the corporate accounts of Unipol Gruppo S.p.A. and UnipolSai Assicurazioni S.p.A., declares, in accordance with Article 154-bis, para 2, of the 'Consolidated Finance Act', that the accounting information reported in this document corresponds to the document contents, books and accounting records.

4 Impact on P&L

7 Key Messages 2

Focus on IFRS 9

5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs

8

Glossary

Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity

3

1

IFRS 17&9 Key Methodological and Accounting Choices

4 Impact on P&L

7 Key Messages

2

Focus on IFRS 9

5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs

8 Glossary 3

Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity

Possibili
Options adopted
alternative
Rationale
Accounting
Models

PAA: c.92% of Non-Life contracts

BBA: c.8% of Non-Life contracts
and c.6% of Life contracts

VFA: c.94% of Life contracts

Compliance with the characteristics
of the
different
types
of contracts

PAA to ensure simplicity and consistence in
financial reporting
Transition
MRA 53% and FVA 47% of Life business

MRA 11% and FVA 89% of Non-Life business

Allow
margins
to be recognized
over the residual
life of the contracts
Discount Rate
Bottom-up approach
(illiquidity
premium added
to the risk-free curve)

OCI option in case of change
in discount rates

Alignment
with Solvency II

Reduce P&L volatility
through
consistent
ALM
approach
Risk Adjustment
Base calibration
on 75°
percentile with range up to 98°
percentile for
Non-Life business

Calculation
based
on metrics
derived
from Solvency II framework

Prudential approach
for Non-Life business to
factor
in the uncertainty
in the current
scenario
Investment
Fixed
income
assets largely
recognised
at
FVOCI

Equities mainly
recognised
at
FVOCI

Reduce P&L volatility
  • The VFA model is applied to almost the entire Life portfolio (segregated funds and units with significant insurance content)
  • The BBA model is applied to the residual portion of the Life portfolio (non-revaluable policies)

  • Valuation of the insurance liabilities at current values with discounting rate based on the so called bottom-up approach (riskfree curve adjusted to an Illiquidity Premium consistent with the volatility adjustment Solvency II methodological framework, but also considering the characteristics of the assets portfolio underlying the insurance liabilities)

  • Illiquidity Premium (differentiated by business type) based on the yield of the specific underlying assets portfolio
  • Changes in the discount rate will be:
  • absorbed by the CSM for VFA contracts
  • booked at OCI for the other contracts

  • Adjustment for non-financial risk (Risk Adjustment RA) calculated using metrics derived from the Solvency II framework

  • Base calibration on 75° percentile for both Non-Life and Life businesses and with an extended range for Non-Life up to 98° percentile, to factor in the uncertainty in the current scenario
  • RA at transition stands on levels similar to the Solvency II Risk Margin
  • RA/LIC around 8.1% for Unipol
  • A part of the loss component accounted at inception may not translate into an actual loss when claims are settled

Total* Risk Margin and Risk Adj. at 1 Jan 2022

4 Impact on P&L

7 Key Messages 2

Focus on IFRS 9

5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs

8 Glossary 3

Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity

IFRS 9 – CLASSIFICATION OF FINANCIAL ASSETS vs IAS 39*

4 Impact on P&L

7 Key Messages 2

Focus on IFRS 9

5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs

8

Glossary

3 Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity

TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY – FROM IFRS 4/IAS 39 TO IFRS 17/9

€bn

Key Points

  • Model changes in reserves:
  • from IFRS 4 to IFRS 17 best-estimate cash flows
  • insurance cash flows discount
  • CSM at transition delivers an indication of the expected profit on insurance contracts that will be released to the P&L according to the insurance service provided for the relevant contracts
  • CSM amounts to about 3.2€bn o/w 1.1 Non-Life and 2.1 Life
  • Total shareholders' equity under IFRS 17/9 is expected to be more stable in the future, although decreasing by 9% in comparison with the one calculated under IFRS 4/IAS 39 at transition

TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY – FROM IFRS 17/9 TO SOLVENCY II

€bn

At 1 January 2022

Key Points

  • Inclusion of CSM (3.2€bn expected profits to be recognised over the residual life of contracts under IFRS 17/9 )
  • Elimination of intangible assets (2€bn), mainly related to goodwill not recognized in Solvency II
  • Mark to model valuation of Non-Life and Life provisions, according to the various discount curves used, the difference between Solvency II best estimate Non-Life premium provisions vs IFRS 17 PAA, etc.
  • Other adjustments, relating to the treatment of RT1 capital instruments qualified as shareholders' equity in the consolidated financial statements and mark to market valuation of other investments, mainly Real Estate and other investments at cost
  • Deferred tax, following the changes in fair value for the aforesaid items
  • Solvency II adjustments on sub-debts, accrued dividends and other deductions

4 Impact on P&L

7 Key Messages

2

Focus on IFRS 9

5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs

8 Glossary 3 Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity

Key Points

  • The impact of the application of IFRS 17 on EBT is expected to be positive, compared to the previous accounting standards, as a result of the transition
  • The impact of the application of IFRS 9 on EBT is expected to be negative, compared to IAS 39, as a consequence of securities measured at FVPL.
  • Overall 2022 EBT is then assumed to be lower vs IFRS 4/IAS 39
  • In the forthcoming years a convergence towards historical results under previous accounting standards is expected, despite a slight increase in the volatility of financial result arising from the application of IFRS 9

NON-LIFE – INSURANCE SERVICES RESULT UNDER NEW STANDARDS

Key Points

A convergence towards historical results under previous accounting standards is expected, despite a slight increase in the volatility of financial result arising from the application of IFRS 9

  • Profitability of linked portfolio, in scope of IFRS9 A
  • Changes in technical items: B
  • Actual vs expected expenses and claims
  • Risk Adjustment release
  • Investment result includes the economic result of free capital and nonrevaluable business, as well as its share of unwinding of the discount rate C
  • IFRS 17 grants a more predictable view of Life results since profitability mainly comes from CSM release, including the financial margin of revaluable business D
  • No significant change in cost allocation E

4 Impact on P&L

7 Key Messages

2

Focus on IFRS 9

5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs

8 Glossary 3 Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity

IMPACTS NOTES
Financial KPIs net profit*
Cumulative consolidated
2022-2024
Target confirmed
Cumulative dividends 2022-2024 No impact Target confirmed
Non-Life Premiums Target confirmed
No impact Non-Life premiums still a disclosed KPI
Insurance KPIs CoR
Non-Life (net of reinsurance)
Owing
to different
calculation, with no
effect
on insurance services result
Life premiums No impact Target confirmed
Life premiums still a disclosed KPI
Present Value Future Profit Margin No impact Target confirmed

* Normalised consolidated profit (excluding Employee Solidarity Fund) calculated on the basis of accounting standards in force in 2022

1 IFRS 17&9 Key Methodological and

Accounting Choices

4 Impact on P&L

7 Key Messages 2

Focus on IFRS 9

5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs

8

Glossary

3 Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity

4 Impact on P&L

7 Key Messages

2

Focus on IFRS 9

5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs

8 Glossary 3

Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity

No impact on the Group's insurance strategy, dividend policy and Solvency II ratio

Financial disclosure improved, with few variationsin Non-Life and better predictability in Life

Shareholders' Equity slightly reduced at the transition date, but much more stable in the future

Insurance and financial targets of the 2022-24 Strategic Plan "Opening New Ways" confirmed

4 Impact on P&L

7 Key Messages 2

Focus on IFRS 9

5 Impact on Strategic Plan Targets and KPIs

8 Glossary 3

Impact on Total Shareholders' Equity

AFS Available for Sale Reserve
ALM Asset and Liability Management
BBA Building Block Approach
or GMM
General accounting model for all contracts without direct participation (GMM=General Measurement Model)
BEL Best Estimate Liabilities Present value of future discounted cash flows (best estimate without prudential margins)
COR Combined
Ratio
CSM Contractual
Service Margin
Insurance liability suspending
the expected
profit overtime, recognising
it
in the P&L consistently
with the insurance service provided
DAC Deferred Acquisition Costs Under IFRS 17 they are not recognized as assets, but included in FCF and then reflected in the insurance liabilities
ECL Expected
Credit Loss
Estimate weighted
for the possible
losses
over the entire
residual
life of the financial
assets
FCF Fulfilment
Cash Flows
Expected
weighted
cash flows, discounted
and adjusted
for the economic
value
of time and risk
FRA Full Retrospective
Approach
(Transition)
As
if
IFRS 17 had
always
been
applied
FVA Fair Value
Approach (Transition)
CSM at
transition
is
the difference
between
the fair value
of the contracts
portfolio and the FCF compliant
to IFRS 13.
FVOCI Fair Value Through Other Comprehensive Income
FVTPL Fair Value Through Profit and Loss
LIC Liability for Incurred Claims
LRC Liability for Remaining Coverage Liability for covered events relating to future insurance services
MRA Modified
Retrospective
Approach
(Transition)
Similar
to the
FRA with simplification
in the items implying
difficult
retrospective
estimate, such
as
cash flows, discount rates and risk adjustment
MVBS Market Value Balance Sheet
PAA Simplified accounting model for one-year contracts, or contracts deemed as eligible based on a negligible fulfilment cash flows volatility throughout
Premium Allocation
Approach
the coverage
PVFCF Present Value of Future Cash Flows Discounted
estimate which
is
probability-weighted
of future cash flows
PVFP Present Value of Future Profits
RA Risk Adjustment Insurance liability reflecting
the remuneration
requested
by the issuer to bear the uncertainty
in the cash flows amount
and timing deriving
from
non-financial
risks
RM Risk Margin
S2 Solvency 2
SF Segregated Funds
SPPI Solely Payments of Principal and Interest test Test to establish
the correct
recognition
of financial
assets
TP Technical Provisions
26

VFA Variable Fee Approach Accounting model for contracts with direct participation

Adriano Donati Head of Investor Relations

[email protected] [email protected]

Carlo Latini Tel +39 051 507 6333 Eleonora Roncuzzi Tel +39 051 507 7063 Giancarlo Lana Tel +39 011 654 2088 Giuseppe Giuliani Tel +39 051 507 7218 Silvia Tonioli Tel +39 051 507 2371

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