Investor Presentation • Nov 7, 2023
Investor Presentation
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● 9M-23 REVENUES UP 7% Y/Y TO €8.9BN – SUPPORTED BY PARCELS, PAYMENTS AND NII
● EBIT PROGRESSION AT €2.1BN SUPPORTED BY COST DISCIPLINE IN INFLATIONARY ENVIRONMENT
● CONTINUED POSITIVE INFLOWS IN NET SAVINGS & INVESTMENT PRODUCTS – RESILIENT INSURANCE INFLOWS
● SOLID BALANCE SHEET WITH IMPROVING NET FINANCIAL POSITION
● INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT OF €0.237 P/S (€307M) ON 22 NOVEMBER 2023, UP 13% FROM 2022
UPGRADED FY-23 EBIT GUIDANCE TO €2.6BN DRIVEN BY FINANCIAL OUTPERFORMANCE
€ m unless otherwise stated
| Q3-22 | Q3-23 | VAR. | VAR. (%) | 9M-22 | 9M-23 | VAR. | VAR. (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUES | 2,728 | 2,827 | +99 | +3.6% | 8,315 | 8,878 | +562 | +6.8% |
| TOTAL COSTS | 2,071 | 2,289 | +217 | +10.5% | 6,242 | 6,773 | +531 | +8.5% |
| EBIT | 657 | 539 | incl -90 due to one-off bonus (118) |
(18.0%) | 2,073 | 2,105 | incl -90 due to one-off bonus and +109 related +32 |
to sennder +1.5% |
| NET PROFIT | 454 | 382 | (72) | (15.9%) | 1,439 | 1,522 | +83 | +5.8% |
Note: Figures reported under IFRS17 starting from 2023. 2022 figures restated accordingly; 1. Includes 109 of capital gain from the additional stake received in sennder Tech accounted at the latest fair value (new stake in sennder Tech c. 10.2%)
Note: Figures reported under IFRS17 starting from 2023. 2022 figures restated accordingly
1. Includes dividend payment of €307m to be paid in November 2023; 2. 2018 and 2020 targets: Deliver 2022 – Feb 2018; 2019 target: 2019 Guidance – Mar 2019; 2021 target: 24 SI – Mar 2021; 2022 target: 24SI Plus – Mar 2022; 2023 target CMD 2023 – Mar 2023
1. Includes Tax Credit contribution, Digital Identities fees, vaccination plan related expense recovery, EGI, Poste Air Cargo, Patenti Via Poste, Philately, Poste Motori, Poste Welfare Service, Agile Lab and Sourcesense; 2. Includes income received by other segments in return for use of the distribution network and Corporate Services
1. Parcel tariffs adjusted for COVID-19 related contract for PPE logistics and sennder Italia; 2. Including mix effect
Active portfolio management Transaction banking2 Net interest income Loan & mortgage distribution3 Postal savings Asset management Intersegment revenues1 (o.w. insurance) Net profit EBIT ● NII growth supported by GROSS REVENUES EBIT& NET PROFIT Q3 HIGHLIGHTS 525 566 400 374 185 201 49 39 29 205 (145) 36 0 Q3-22 28 208 (155) Q3-23 1,445 1,400 (45) (3%) +37% +2% (8%) (43%) (7%) n.m +8% € m unless otherwise stated 244 192 178 146 Q3-22 Q3-23 (52) (21%) (32) (18%) 335 1,381 1,675 1,200 1,202 554 573 185 90 107 9M-22 602 (436) 661 (509) 168 133 9M-23 4,348 4,519 +171 +4% +20% +10% +3% (28%) 0% (50%) +21% 649 648 447 483 9M-22 9M-23 (1) (0%) +36 +8% +7% +17%
1. Includes intersegment distribution revenues; 2. Includes revenues from payment slips (bollettino), current accounts related revenues, fees from INPS and money transfer; 3. Includes reported revenues from custody accounts, credit cards and other revenues from third party products distribution
1. EoP figures, 2022 Insurance Reserves restated to exclude the Deferred Policyholders' Liabilities "DPL" (-14bn as of Dec-22), in line with local GAAP; 2. Includes Moneyfarm; 3. Includes deposits and Assets Under Custody; 4. Deposits do not include REPOs and Poste Italiane liquidity; 5. Insurance reserves exclude Protection; 6. Includes net flows into postal savings, Mutual Funds, Moneyfarm, Insurance Reserves, Deposits and Assets Under Custody; 7. Includes net flows into Mutual Funds, Moneyfarm, Postal Bonds, Insurance reserves, and Assets under Custody
1. Net of claims; includes Poste Insurance Broker; 2. Includes 8 from Net Insurance (o.w 1 P&C) in Q3 and 15 (o.w 5 P&C) in 9M, consolidated from1 Apr 2023; 3. Includes 6 from Net Insurance in Q3 and 11 in 9M; 4. Since 2022 lapse rate is calculated as surrenders divided by average reserves; 5. Protection includes total P&C and Life Protection (Class I-IV), 63 related to Net Insurance in Q3-23 and 130 in 9M-23; 6. Protection CoR reclassified as insurance expenses, net reinsurance expenses, other technical income and expenses, not directly attributable expenses divided by gross insurance revenues, net of reinsurance
1. EoP figures; 2. Net of foreseeable dividend
€ m unless otherwise stated
1. Excluding one-off bonus of 90; 2. Unpaid leave and provisions for holidays, extraordinary items on bonuses and compensation, turnover and other
● 9M-23 REVENUES UP 7% Y/Y TO €8.9BN – SUPPORTED BY PARCELS, PAYMENTS AND NII
● EBIT PROGRESSION AT €2.1BN SUPPORTED BY COST DISCIPLINE IN INFLATIONARY ENVIRONMENT
● CONTINUED POSITIVE INFLOWS IN NET SAVINGS & INVESTMENT PRODUCTS – RESILIENT INSURANCE INFLOWS
● SOLID BALANCE SHEET WITH IMPROVING NET FINANCIAL POSITION
● INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT OF €0.237 P/S (€307M) ON 22 NOVEMBER 2023, UP 13% FROM 2022
UPGRADED FY-23 EBIT GUIDANCE TO €2.6BN DRIVEN BY FINANCIAL OUTPERFORMANCE
€ m unless otherwise stated
1. Shareholders' equity net of revaluation reserves and IFRS 17 restatement effects; 2. Other includes buyback, the coupon on the hybrid bond, the purchase of options for minority acquisitions, TFR, reserve variation related to incentive schemes (IFRS 2)
1. Includes dividends from subsidiaries, dividends to shareholders, coupons on hybrid instruments and buyback. In 2022 includes M&A and downstream of capital to subsidiaries (1,435)
POSITIVE IMPACT FROM RISING INTEREST RATES AND INCREASING RETAIL DEPOSITS YEAR-ON-YEAR
1. Includes short term REPO and collateral 2. Entirely invested in floating rate deposits c/o MEF; 3. Includes business current accounts, PostePay business, Long-term REPO, Poste Italiane liquidity and other customers debt; 4. Includes Tax Credits & Others; 5. Average yield calculated as net interest income on average deposits
€ m unless
INSURANCE SERVICES SOLVENCY II EVOLUTION
SWAP (BP)
(BP)
● Solvency II ratio sensitivity to Swap rate (+100bp):
35
€ m unless otherwise stated
1. Includes 66 of life protection, 226 of PPP and 36 of Net Life in Q3-23; 2. Includes P&C Intercompany contracts and Life P&C Integration; 3. Includes 27 of Net Insurance of which 15 products sold via third parties (Other) and 12 credit protection related products; 4. Protection includes total P&C and Life Protection (Class I-IV), 63 related to Net Insurance in Q3-23
1. EoP figures, 2022 Insurance Reserves restated to exclude the Deferred Policyholders' Liabilities "DPL" (-14bn as of Dec-22), in line with local GAAP. Includes non-life insurance reserves. Life Protection is included under Protection; 2. Includes PPP and Other reserves; 3. EoP figure; 4. Includes interests, upfront fees and other minor items
1. Includes financial assets covering Class I technical provisions and free surplus investments according to local GAAP
1. Including social measures related cards; 2. Including payments, top-ups and withdrawals; 3. Includes e-commerce and web transactions on Poste Italiane channels; 4. An innovative electronic tool associated to a single customer, able to authorize in app payment transactions
1. Refers to PostePay SpA transaction value; 2. Osservatorio Innovative Payments
| € m unless otherwise stated |
MAIN RATIONALE |
INDICATIVE MAIN REMUNERATION SCHEME |
3Q-22 | 3Q-23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • a) b) |
Payments and Mobile remunerates: Mail, Parcel and Distribution for providing IT, delivery volume, promoting and selling SIMs and energy contracts and other corporates services1 ; Financial Services for promoting and selling card payments and other payments (e.g. tax payments) throughout the network; |
a) b) |
Number of payment transactions flat fee (depending on the product) Fixed % of revenues |
a) 54 b) 66 Total: 120 |
a) 63 b) 64 Total: 127 |
||||||
| • c) d) |
Insurance Services remunerates: Financial Services for promoting and selling insurance products2 and for investment management services3 ; Mail, Parcel and Distribution for providing corporate services1 ; |
c) d) |
Fixed % of upfront fees Depending on service/product |
c) 145 d) 19 Total: 164 |
c) 159 d) 21 Total: 180 |
||||||
| Insurance Services reported intersegment costs under IFRS17, remunerating MPD only4 | Total: 9 | Total: 7 | |||||||||
| • e) f) |
Financial Services remunerates: Mail, Parcel and Distribution for promoting and selling Financial, Insurance and PMD products throughout the network and for proving corporate services5 ; Payments & Mobile for providing certain payment services6 |
e) f) |
Fixed % (depending on the product) of revenues Depending on service/product |
e) 1,122 f) 50 Total: 1,1737 |
e) 1,131 f) 45 Total: 1,1767 |
||||||
| • g) h) |
Mail, Parcel and Distribution remunerates: Payments & Mobile for acquiring services and postman electronic devices Financial Services as distribution fees related to "Bollettino DTT" |
g) h) |
Annual fee Flat fee for each "Bollettino" |
g) 7 h) 0 Total: 7 |
g) 10 h) 0 Total: 10 |
1. Corporate Services such as communication, anti money laundering, IT, back office and call centres; 2. Which, in turn, remunerates Mail, Parcel and Distribution; 3. Investment management services provided by BancoPosta Fondi SGR; 4. Under IFRS17 costs directly attributable to insurance policies – incl. distribution costs to remunerate Poste Italiane network – are attributed to Insurance Services' revenues; 5. E.g. Corporate services are remunerated according to number of allocated FTEs, volumes of letters sent and communication costs; 6. E.g. "Bollettino"; 7. Excluding interest charges
MEMBERSHIPS
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| €m | Q3-22 | Q3-23 | Var. | Var. % | 9M-22 | 9M-23 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 2,728 | 2,827 | +99 | +4% | 8,315 | 8,878 | +562 | +7% |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Mail, Parcel and Distribution | 843 | 860 | +16 | +2% | 2,648 | 2,755 | +107 | +4% |
| Financial Services | 1,240 | 1,192 | (48) | (4%) | 3,745 | 3,858 | +113 | +3% |
| Insurance Services | 348 | 371 | +23 | +7% | 1,144 | 1,142 | (1) | 0% |
| Payments and Mobile | 297 | 405 | +109 | +37% | 779 | 1,122 | +344 | +44% |
| Total costs | 2,071 | 2,289 | +217 | +10% | 6,242 | 6,773 | +531 | +9% |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Total personnel expenses | 1,156 | 1,263 | +107 | +9% | 3,542 | 3,695 | +153 | +4% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,144 | 1,170 | +26 | +2% | 3,532 | 3,597 | +65 | +2% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 12 | 2 | (10) | (84%) | 17 | 6 | (11) | (66%) |
| of which legal disputes with employees | 1 | 91 | +91 | n.m | (7) | 92 | +99 | n.m |
| Other operating costs | 722 | 825 | +103 | +14% | 2,130 | 2,460 | +330 | +15% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 193 | 200 | +7 | +4% | 569 | 617 | +48 | +8% |
| EBIT | 657 | 539 | (118) | (18%) | 2,073 | 2,105 | +32 | +2% |
| EBIT Margin | +24% | +19% | +25% | +24% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) and profit/(loss) on investments accounted for using the equity method |
7 | 12 | +5 | +68% | 11 | 76 | +65 | n.m |
| Profit before tax | 663 | 550 | (113) | (17%) | 2,085 | 2,181 | +96 | +5% |
| Income tax expense | 210 | 168 | (41) | (20%) | 646 | 659 | +13 | +2% |
| Profit for the period | 454 | 382 | (72) | (16%) | 1,439 | 1,522 | +83 | +6% |
| €m | Mail, Parcels & Distribution |
Payment & Mobile |
Financial Services |
Insurance Services |
Adjustments & eliminations1 |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| External Revenues | 2,755 | 1,122 | 3,858 | 1,142 | 0 | 8,878 |
| Intersegment Revenues | 3,870 | 196 | 661 | (116) | (4,612) | 0 |
| TOTAL REVENUES | 6,625 | 1,319 | 4,519 | 1,026 | (4,612) | 8,878 |
| Labour cost | 3,949 | 38 | 36 | 8 | (336) | 3,695 |
| COGS | 1,776 | 540 | 26 | 7 | (46) | 2,303 |
| Other Costs | 115 | 11 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 177 |
| Capitalised Costs and Expenses | (40) | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (40) |
| Impairment Loss/(Reversal) on debt instruments, receivables and other assets |
4 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Intersegment Costs | 26 | 376 | 3,751 | 22 | (4,176) | 0 |
| TOTAL COST | 5,829 | 974 | 3,870 | 39 | (4,558) | 6,155 |
| EBITDA | 796 | 345 | 649 | 987 | (54) | 2,723 |
| D&A | 642 | 28 | 0 | 1 | (54) | 617 |
| EBIT | 154 | 317 | 648 | 986 | (0) | 2,105 |
| Finance income/(cost) | 5 | 22 | 18 | 32 | (0) | 76 |
| PBT | 159 | 339 | 666 | 1,018 | (0) | 2,181 |
| Tax cost/(income) | 36 | 107 | 183 | 333 | 0 | 659 |
| NET PROFIT | 123 | 232 | 483 | 685 | (0) | 1,522 |
1. IFRS17 requires the attribution of costs directly attributable to insurance policies – incl. distribution costs to remunerate Poste Italiane network – to Insurance Services' revenues. To ensure full elimination of intersegment costs we make an adjustment at Group level, allocating such costs to Labour costs, COGS and D&A
| €m | Q3-22 | Q3-23 | Var. | Var. % | 9M-22 | 9M-23 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 843 | 860 | +16 | +2% | 2,648 | 2,755 | +107 | +4% |
| Intersegment revenue | 1,194 | 1,215 | +22 | +2% | 3,675 | 3,870 | +195 | +5% |
| Total revenues | 2,037 | 2,075 | +38 | +2% | 6,323 | 6,625 | +302 | +5% |
| Personnel expenses | 1,227 | 1,340 | +114 | +9% | 3,763 | 3,949 | +185 | +5% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,215 | 1,338 | +123 | +10% | 3,747 | 3,943 | +197 | +5% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 11 | 2 | (10) | (84%) | 17 | 5 | (11) | (67%) |
| Other operating costs | 588 | 610 | +23 | +4% | 1,776 | 1,854 | +79 | +4% |
| Intersegment costs | 7 | 10 | +3 | +38% | 29 | 26 | (3) | (11%) |
| Total costs | 1,822 | 1,961 | +139 | +8% | 5,569 | 5,829 | +261 | +5% |
| EBITDA | 215 | 114 | (101) | (47%) | 755 | 796 | +41 | +5% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 202 | 207 | +5 | +2% | 599 | 642 | +43 | +7% |
| EBIT | 13 | (93) | (106) | n.m | 155 | 154 | (1) | (1%) |
| EBIT MARGIN | +1% | (4%) | +2% | +2% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | (6) | (5) | +1 | +15% | (2) | 5 | +7 | n.m |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 7 | (98) | (105) | n.m | 153 | 159 | +6 | +4% |
| Income tax expense | 9 | (31) | (40) | n.m | 68 | 36 | (32) | (47%) |
| Profit for the period | (2) | (67) | (65) | n.m | 85 | 123 | +38 | +45% |
| €m | Q3-22 | Q3-23 | Var. | Var. % | 9M-22 | 9M-23 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 1,240 | 1,192 | (48) | (4%) | 3,745 | 3,858 | +113 | +3% |
| Intersegment revenue | 205 | 208 | +3 | +2% | 602 | 661 | +58 | +10% |
| Total revenues | 1,445 | 1,400 | (45) | (3%) | 4,348 | 4,519 | +171 | +4% |
| Personnel expenses | 10 | 11 | +1 | +10% | 31 | 36 | +4 | +14% |
| of which personnel expenses | 10 | 11 | +1 | +12% | 31 | 35 | +4 | +14% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | (0) | (100%) | 0 | 0 | (0) | (6%) |
| Other operating costs | 17 | 20 | +3 | +19% | 66 | 83 | +17 | +26% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 0 | 0 | (0) | (48%) | 0 | 0 | (0) | (48%) |
| Intersegment costs | 1,173 | 1,176 | +3 | +0% | 3,601 | 3,751 | +150 | +4% |
| Total costs | 1,200 | 1,208 | +7 | +1% | 3,699 | 3,870 | +172 | +5% |
| EBIT | 244 | 192 | (52) | (21%) | 649 | 648 | (1) | (0%) |
| EBIT MARGIN | 17% | 14% | 15% | 14% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | (0) | 10 | +10 | n.m | (22) | 18 | +40 | n.m |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 244 | 202 | (42) | (17%) | 626 | 666 | +40 | +6% |
| Income tax expense | 67 | 56 | (11) | (16%) | 180 | 183 | +4 | +2% |
| Profit for the period | 178 | 146 | (32) | (18%) | 447 | 483 | +36 | +8% |
| €m | Q3-22 | Q3-23 | Var. | Var. % | 9M-22 | 9M-23 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 348 | 371 | +23 | +7% | 1,144 | 1,142 | (1) | (0%) |
| Intersegment revenue | (36) | (34) | +2 | +6% | (109) | (116) | (7) | (6%) |
| Total revenues | 312 | 336 | +25 | +8% | 1,034 | 1,026 | (8) | (1%) |
| Personnel expenses | 2 | 3 | +1 | +55% | 5 | 8 | +2 | +43% |
| of which personnel expenses | 2 | 3 | +1 | +55% | 5 | 8 | +2 | +43% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | +0 | n.m | 0 | 0 | +0 | n.m |
| Other operating costs | 2 | 4 | +2 | n.m | 5 | 9 | +4 | +89% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 0 | (0) | (1) | n.m | 3 | 1 | (2) | (55%) |
| Intersegment costs | 9 | 7 | (1) | (13%) | 21 | 22 | +1 | +3% |
| Total costs | 13 | 15 | +2 | +15% | 35 | 41 | +6 | +17% |
| EBIT | 299 | 322 | +23 | +8% | 1,000 | 986 | (14) | (1%) |
| EBIT MARGIN | 96% | 96% | 97% | 96% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 13 | (1) | (14) | n.m | 36 | 32 | (4) | (11%) |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 312 | 321 | +9 | +3% | 1,036 | 1,018 | (18) | (2%) |
| Income tax expense | 105 | 107 | +2 | +2% | 320 | 333 | +12 | +4% |
| Profit for the period | 207 | 214 | +7 | +3% | 715 | 685 | (30) | (4%) |
| €m | Q3-22 | Q3-23 | Var. | Var. % | 9M-22 | 9M-23 | Var. | Var. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 297 | 405 | +109 | +37% | 779 | 1,122 | +344 | +44% |
| Intersegment revenue | 65 | 65 | (0) | (1%) | 201 | 196 | (5) | (2%) |
| Total revenues | 362 | 470 | +108 | +30% | 980 | 1,319 | +339 | +35% |
| Personnel expenses | 8 | 12 | +4 | +44% | 22 | 38 | +16 | +71% |
| of which personnel expenses | 8 | 12 | +3 | +41% | 22 | 38 | +16 | +70% |
| Other operating costs | 128 | 204 | +76 | +60% | 323 | 559 | +237 | +73% |
| Intersegment costs | 120 | 127 | +7 | +6% | 352 | 376 | +24 | +7% |
| Total costs | 256 | 343 | +87 | +34% | 698 | 974 | +276 | +40% |
| EBITDA | 106 | 127 | +21 | +20% | 282 | 345 | +63 | +22% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 5 | 9 | +4 | +86% | 12 | 28 | +15 | n.m |
| EBIT | 101 | 118 | +17 | +17% | 270 | 317 | +47 | +18% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 28% | 25% | 28% | 24% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | (0) | 7 | +8 | n.m | (0) | 22 | +22 | n.m |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 100 | 125 | +25 | +25% | 270 | 339 | +70 | +26% |
| Income tax expense | 29 | 37 | +8 | +27% | 77 | 107 | +30 | +38% |
| Profit for the period | 72 | 89 | +17 | +24% | 192 | 232 | +40 | +21% |
This document contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect Poste Italiane's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and of the Company's Group.
These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this document and are based on current expectations, reasonable assumptions and projections about future events and are therefore subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual future results and performance may indeed differ materially from what is expressed or implied in this presentation, due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane to foresee, control or estimate precisely, including, but not limited to, changes in the legislative and regulatory framework, market developments, price fluctuations and other risks and uncertainties, such as, for instance, risks deriving from the direct and indirect effects resulting from the international conflict in Eastern Europe.
Forward-looking statements contained herein are not a guarantee of future performance and you are therefore cautioned not to place undue reliance thereon.
This document does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company; it does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane or any of its Group companies or other forms of financial assets, products or services.
Except as may be required by applicable law, Poste Italiane denies any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.
Pursuant to art. 154- BIS, par.2,of the Consolidated Financial Bill of February 24, 1998, the executive (Dirigente Preposto) in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane, Alessandro Del Gobbo, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results and accounting books and records.
This presentation includes summary financial information and should not be considered a substitute for Poste Italiane's full financial statements.
Numbers in the document may not add up only due to roundings.
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