Investor Presentation • Mar 6, 2024
Investor Presentation
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This document and all of its contents are property of CAREL. All unauthorised use, reproduction or distribution of this document or the information contained in it, by anyone other than CAREL, is severely forbidden.
6th March 2024
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By attending this meeting and accepting this presentation (the "Presentation"), you will be deemed to have agreed that: (i) you will not disclose information contained herein to anyone within your firm (other than subject to these restrictions) or outside your firm and (ii) these restrictions will apply to your entire firm. You further agree to be bound by the following limitations, qualifications and restrictions.
IMPORTANT: please read the following before continuing. The following applies (i) to this Presentation, which has been prepared by Carel Industries S.p.A. (the "Company") for the sole purpose of the presentation made to you concerning the Company and its subsidiaries (together, the "Group"); (ii) to the oral presentation of the information in this Presentation by members of the Company's management; and (iii) to any question-and-answer session that follows the oral presentation (collectively, the "Information"), each of which should be considered together and not taken out of context. The Information is strictly confidential, is in summary draft form, is solely for discussion and feedback purposes and must not be relied upon for any purpose. Disclosure of the Information to anyone outside of your firm is prohibited. This Presentation may not be copied, distributed, reproduced or passed on, directly or indirectly, in whole or in part, or disclosed by any recipient, to any other person (other than as required to those within your organization who agree to be bound by these restrictions) or published in whole or in part, for any purpose or under any circumstances.
This document does not constitute or form part of any offer to sell or issue or invitation to purchase or subscribe for, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of the Company or any other member of the Group, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date of the presentation and are subject to change without notice. Neither the Company nor the Group nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this Presentation unless otherwise required by applicable laws.
No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made by the Company or the Group or any of its of their respective directors, officers, employees, advisors or agents ("Representatives") or any other person as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the Information or the opinions contained therein or any other statement made or purported to be made in connection with the Company or the Group, for any purpose whatsoever, including but not limited to any investment considerations. No responsibility, obligation or liability whatsoever, whether arising in tort, contract or otherwise, is or will be accepted by the Company or the Group or any of their respective Representatives or any other person for any loss, cost or damage howsoever arising from any use of the Information, or for information or opinions or for any errors, omissions or misstatements contained therein or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from official or third-party sources. Third-party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While the Company reasonably believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, none of the Company or the Group or any of their respective Representatives has independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the markets in which the Company and the other members of the Group operate. While the Company reasonably believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change and correction without notice. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in this presentation.
The Information is indicative, preliminary in nature, subject to change, updating, correction and amendment and does not purport to be comprehensive. None of the Company, the Group, any of their respective their respective Representatives accepts any responsibility or liability whatsoever for/or makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the truthfulness, accuracy or completeness of the information in this presentation (or whether any information has been omitted from the presentation) or any other information relating to the Group, whether written, oral or in a visual or electronic form, and howsoever transmitted or made available or for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
This document is not for publication, release or distribution in or into the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan or in any other jurisdiction where to do so would constitute a violation of the relevant laws of such jurisdiction nor should it be taken or transmitted into such jurisdiction and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions.
2 This presentation and the information contained therein do not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for, or otherwise invest in, securities in the United States as such term is defined in Regulation S under the US Securities Act). The ordinary shares of the Company have not been, and will not be, registered under the US Securities Act or under any securities laws of any state of the United States and may not be offered or sold in the United States except pursuant to an exemption from, or a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the US Securities Act and applicable state or local securities laws or unless registered under the US Securities Act and in compliance with the relevant state securities laws. There will be no public offering of any securities in the United States.
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Forward-Looking Statements: this document may include projections and other "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. In particular, all statements that address expectations or projections about the future, including statements about operating performance, market position, industry trends, general economic conditions, expected expenditures, cost-savings, synergies and financial results, are forward-looking statements. Consequently, any statements contained herein that are not statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations and involve a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results, levels of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forwardlooking statements. Accordingly, actual events or results or actual performance of the Company or the Group may differ significantly, positively or negatively, from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements made herein. Factors that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to, the risks that business strategy and plans may not receive the level of market acceptance anticipated; disruptions in general economic and business conditions, particularly in geographic areas where business may be concentrated (e.g. escalation of the conflict in Ukraine); impact of public health crises, such as pandemics (including Covid-19) and epidemics and any related company or government policies; higher interest rates, higher loan costs or less desirable loan terms, all of which could increase our costs of funding; continued high levels of, or increases in, unemployment and a general slowdown in commercial activity; leverage and ability to refinance existing indebtedness or incur additional indebtedness; an increase in debt service obligations; the ability to generate a sufficient amount of cash from operations to satisfy working capital requirements and to service existing and future indebtedness; the ability to achieve improvements in operating efficiency; foreign currency fluctuations; the ability to retain senior management and attract and retain qualified and experienced employees; the ability to retain existing bank partnership or develop new ones. The Group and all other persons expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to any of the information, opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this document to reflect any events or circumstances occurring after the date of the presentation of this document. No representation or warranty is made as to the achievement or reasonableness of and no reliance should be placed on such forward-looking statements.
Projections: any projection or forecast in this document is based on estimates and assumptions, described in this document, about future events and, as a consequence, is subject to significant economic and competitive uncertainty and other contingencies, none of which can be predicted with any certainty and some of which are beyond the Group's control. Each recipient of this document should be aware that these projections do not constitute a forecast or prediction of actual results and there can be no assurance that the projected results will be realized or achieved, and actual results may be higher or lower than those indicated. None of the Company, the Group, nor any of their respective security-holders, directors, officers, employees, advisors or affiliates, or any representatives or affiliates, assumes responsibility for the accuracy of the projections presented herein.
Non-IFRS measures: This Presentation contains alternative performance indicators that are not recognized by IFRS. Different companies and analysts may calculate these non-IFRS measures differently, so making comparisons among companies on this basis should be done very carefully. These non- IFRS measures have limitations as analytical tools, are not measures of performance or financial condition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or construed as substitutes for operating profit or net profit as an indicator of our operations in accordance with IFRS.
For the third consecutive year CAREL reported a >20% revenue growth rate (constant FX) and >21% adj. Ebitda margin -
All segments/geographies positively contributed to the performance thanks to a mix of organic growth and M&A, despite a sequential slow down in HP (with a steep deceleration in Q4) and a soft Refrigeration market due mainly to the weak macro-economic scenario (inflation/interest rate)
EBITDA margin equal to 21.1%, higher than FY 2022 (20.5%). The expected decrease on 9M 2023 is due to a seasonal effect. Excluding the one-off costs related to M&A (~2.7m€), the Adj. EBITDA margin reported would stand at 21.5% (top end of the guidance).
• Net of the IFRS 16 accounting effect (~33m€), the NFP would be virtually zero. This remarkable results was achieved mainly thanks to a very robust cash generation (cashconversion cycle equal to approximately ~75%(2) )
(1)At constant exchange rate – (2) Excluding M&A and Share Capital Increase – Calculated as (EBITDA-ΔNWC-Capex)/EBITDA
| m€ | FY 2022 |
FY 2023 |
Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 9 544 |
650 2 |
19 3% |
| Organic Revenue |
544 9 |
4(1) 599 |
10 0% |
| EBITDA | 111 7 |
137 2 |
22 8% |
| EBITDA(2) Adj |
114 7 |
139 9 |
9% 21 |
| /Revenue Adj EBITDA |
1% 21 |
21 .5% |
|
| Profit Net |
62 1 |
70 9 |
14 2% |
| Capex | 26 8 |
27 4 |
2% 2 |
(1) Excl. ~58.7m€ (change in the consolidation perimeter) and ~7. 9m€ (negative FX impact); (2)Adjustments mainly related to M&A costs.
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Americas (South) The good results reported in Brazil were partly offset by the impact of the macro-economic scenario in other regions.
HVAC: Excellent growth in 2023 (~14% excluding M&A) partly hampered by a sequential sharp slow-down in the second half of the year in the heat pump sector in Europe.
This document and all of its contents are property of CAREL. All unauthorised use, reproduction or distribution of this document or the information contained in it, by anyone other than CAREL, is severely forbidden.
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| EBITDA | 725 111 , |
137 183 , |
22 8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| D&A | -24 414 , |
-32 783 , |
|
| EBIT | 87 311 , |
104 400 , |
19 6% |
| Financial (charges)/income |
-3 173 , |
-9 705 , |
|
| gains/losses FX |
-861 | -3 763 , |
|
| Gain/Losses from FV liabilities for on options minorities on |
-2 235 , |
1 660 , |
|
| Companies consolidated with method eq. |
2 360 , |
613 | |
| EBT | 83 402 , |
93 205 , |
8% 11 |
| Taxes | -18 603 , |
-18 732 , |
|
| Minorities | -2 675 , |
-3 531 , |
|
| profit Group net |
62 124 , |
70 942 , |
14 2% |
184.0
Flexibility
In March, the 5th generation of CAREL's software development environment, named Stone, will be launched at the MCE Exhibition in Milan.
It will natively support all CAREL products.
before building expensive physical prototypes.
same project.
connection.
generative AI-based features.
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Ideal development path
A (multi-location) team starts developing the software with the possibility of re-using software modules already developed, capitalizing on previous investments.
The team can focus on the high value-added parts of the logic of the end unit, continuously testing in real time the functionality of the SW. The less important but highly time-consuming part of the code is left to the AI.
Once the end unit has been commissioned, the SW development/maintenance team can intervene remotely avoiding significant downtimes and the deployment of on-field personnel. 3
In case of a HW failure a possible replacement with non-original spare parts is prevented by the software.
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Security
Remote installation, maintenance
Artificial intelligence
- Thanks to the ature, it prevents the installation of any unauthorized non-original software on the control, creating a shield against possible attacks and protecting OEMs' spare parts business.
- Optimized teamwork allowing multiple people to work simultaneously on the
- Opportunity to reuse modules already developed on previous architectures.
- It natively supports the usage of generative AI to automatically write parts of the software. Existing roadmap for the development of further
Creation of digital twins of the customer unit to validate the software
It enables secure remote maintenance on the end unit software without having any operator on-field even without a permanent internet
- Real time automatic test to validate the functionality of the code.
Following the acquisition of Kiona a steering committee has been established and consists of a number of key managers from CAREL and Kiona.
The main tasks of the committee are to accelerate the Kiona/CAREL integration and the development of synergies.
A CAREL manager with a long-standing expertise in the software and services sector has been appointed as post-merger integration manager.
She has the responsibility for the correct and timely implementation of the steering committee decisions and initiatives and will be also a member of the Kiona's Board of Directors.
Keeping Kiona HW-agnostic, CAREL field controls will be natively integrated in Kiona's software libraries allowing for a seamless usage optimization between the two. Combining CAREL+Kiona could lead to an even simpler (and cheaper) installation.
Integration between CAREL Digital Services and Kiona 24/7 alarm management system.
In 2023 the company posted approximately 24m€ revenues with a 22% increase on 2022
Adjusted EBITDA margin (excluding costs mainly related to the acquisition) was slightly lower than 20%.
In January 2024 the company reported a >20% revenues growth rate in spite of a challenging European macroeconomic scenario.
A growth in the profitability compared to 2023 is expected.
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FY 2023 Results
Extraordinary operations
CDP raised its score on CAREL for the second consecutive year (from B- to B).
Macro-economic scenario deteriorated in H2 2023 due mainly to the impact of high interest rates. This was particularly true in heat pumps: despite the presence of a solid structural trend, 2023 HP sales in Europe marked a 5% decrease.
The first months of 2024 confirmed the dynamics of the last part of 2023; hence, the Group expects to close Q1 2024 with total revenue not far from Q4 2023. As regards the rest of the year, expectations are for a gradual improvement linked to the recovery of the investment cycle in the refrigeration sector (the first slight signs of which are already present), the disposal of inventory accumulated in the HP supply chain and the improvement of the European macroeconomic scenario (interest rates).
*Excluding M&A and Share Capital Increase – Calculated as (EBITDA-ΔNWC-Capex)/EBITDA
| K€ | FY | FY | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | % | |
| Revenues | 650 | 544 | 19 |
| 247 | 852 | 3% | |
| , | , | ||
| Other revenues |
6 007 , |
5 780 , |
3 9% |
| Operating costs |
(519 070) , |
(438 906) , |
18 3% |
| Operating adj costs |
(516 399) , |
(435 888) , |
18 5% |
| EBITDA | 137 | 111 | 22 |
| 183 | 725 | 8% | |
| , | , | ||
| EBITDA | 139 | 114 | 21 |
| ADJ | 854 | 743 | 9% |
| , | , | ||
| Depreciation | (32 | (24 | 34 |
| and | 783) | 414) | 3% |
| impairments | , | , | |
| EBIT | 104 | 87 | 19 |
| 400 | 311 | 6% | |
| , | , | ||
| EBT | 93 | 83 | 11 |
| 205 | 402 | 8% | |
| , | , | ||
| Taxes | (18 | (18 | 7% |
| 732) | 603) | 0 | |
| , | , | ||
| Net result of the period |
74 473 , |
64 799 , |
9% 14 |
| Non | 3 | 2 | 0% |
| controlling | 531 | 675 | 32 |
| interest | , | , | |
| Group | 70 | 62 | 2% |
| result | 942 | 124 | 14 |
| net | , | , |
| K€ | FY | 2022* | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | FY | % | |
| Capital Fixed |
507 725 , |
313 282 , |
62 10% |
| Capital Working |
77 509 , |
85 899 , |
9 80% - |
| Employees defined benefit plans |
8 479 - , |
8 129 - , |
4 30% |
| Net | 576 | 391 | 50% |
| invested | 755 | 053 | 47 |
| capital | , | , | |
| Equity | 396 | 221 | 10% |
| 174 | 247 | 79 | |
| , | , | ||
| Non | 144 | 73 | 90% |
| liabilities | 918 | 965 | 95 |
| currrent | , | , | |
| financial (asset) Net position |
35 664 , |
95 841 , |
62 80% - |
| Total | 576 | 391 | 47 |
| 755 | 053 | 50% | |
| , | , |
*Restated
This document and all of its contents are property of CAREL. All unauthorised use, reproduction or distribution of this document or the information contained in it, by anyone other than CAREL, is severely forbidden.
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Source: Company information
Source: Company information Note: 1) developed with partners 17
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CAREL general strategy for 2023-2026 will be oriented to the research for new innovative technological solutions with a major focus on energy saving, transition to natural refrigerants, widening high-efficiency solutions offer and geographical expansion
Source: Company information
HVAC to consolidate its market leadership
A
B
C
Innovation
Industrial Footprint and Lean Approach
Increase focus on Services
Refrigeration to increase market share
Disciplined bolt-on M&A
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Globally
In Europe
Source: Company elaborations as of 31 December 2022 based on Building Services Research and Information Association data as of 31 December 2021
Note: 1) the rest of the market is mainly driven by proprietary solutions 2) tested by third-party laboratory compared to Top-ten EU benchmarks; 3) compared to average semi-hermetic
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digitalisation and environmental focus
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Source: Company elaborations as of 31 December 2022 based on Building Services Research and Information Association data as of 31 December 2021
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Leveraging on HVAC experience… …CAREL is a leader in innovation HEOS SISTEMA 2014
HEEZ 2015
award 2018 2020
Highly customizable controller with advanced connectivity
IJ
Source: Company information and elaborations
| 2014 | Large diversified competitors |
EM / Low cost competitors |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertical niche approach |
✓✓✓ | ✓✓ | ✓✓✓ | |
| HECU SISTEMA High efficiency condensing unit control for multi-split refrigeration system |
Innovation pace & knowledge of final applications |
✓✓✓ | ✓✓ | ✓ |
| 2017 | Integrated solutions | ✓✓✓ | ✓✓ | ✓ |
| Global operations | ✓✓✓ | ✓✓✓ | ✓ | |
| EMJ Winner at China Refrigeration award 2018 |
Flexibility for tailored solutions |
✓✓✓ | ✓✓ | ✓✓✓ |
| 2020 | Economies of scale |
✓✓✓ | ✓✓ | ✓ |
This document and all of its contents are property of CAREL. All unauthorised use, reproduction or distribution of this document or the information contained in it, by anyone other than CAREL, is severely forbidden.
This document and all of its contents are property of CAREL. All unauthorised use, reproduction or distribution of this document or the information contained in it, by anyone other than CAREL, is severely forbidden.
Source: Company information Note: 2015-2023 IFRS
Note: 1) Including the contribution from M&A and the impact of the non recurring IPO Costs (~8m€ in 2018) 2) Operating cash calculated as cash flow from operations – Net Capex;
Pursuing additional opportunities improving services offer with IoT and advanced monitoring solutions
Cross-selling and upselling exploiting high-efficiency trends
Consolidation of leadership positions in HVAC Growth in Refrigeration
Geographical expansion through the introduction of innovative solutions in new geographies
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CAREL has performed detailed analyses and scouting of potential targets, thus promoting an opportunistic approach with a focus on 3 MAIN EXPANSION AREAS:
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• Company profile: Klingenburg GmbH and Klingenburg International Sp. Z.o.o. are leading producers of a wide range of products used mainly for heat recovery in ventilation and humidification systems, adiabatic cooling and air purification.
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*The transaction included the real estate complex that houses the company's headquarters, which was valued separately.
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