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Avio

Investor Presentation Mar 13, 2024

4127_10-k_2024-03-13_66221ea5-5f36-415b-af50-0e4c3af56c2c.pdf

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MARCH 13, 2024

Avio FY 2023 Results

Disclaimer

This document has been prepared by Avio S.p.A. ("Avio" or the "Company"). This document might contain certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Avio's current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Avio to control or estimate. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forwardlooking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Avio does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. Any reference to past performance or trends or activities of Avio shall not be taken as a representation or indication that such performance, trends or activities will continue in the future. This document does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy Avio's securities, nor shall the document form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision relating thereto, or constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of Avio.

Agenda

Highlights 1.

Giulio Ranzo, Chief Executive Officer

2.

FY 2023 Financials

Alessandro Agosti, Chief Financial Officer & Head of Investor Relations

Outlook and opportunities Giulio Ranzo, Chief Executive Officer

2023 in line with Guidance, record-breaking intakes and backlog

  • FY 2023 results in line with guidance
  • Net Order Backlog exceeding expectations, record-high in Company history
  • Vega C return-to-flight program on track:
    • new nozzle design approved
    • Z40 static firing test confirmed for May / June
    • Vega C return-to-flight by Q4 2024
  • Ariane 6 maiden flight expected by June / July 2024 (according to ESA, Ariane Group, CNES communication)
  • New technological development programs on track towards 2026 goals
  • Substantial growth of defence propulsion production volumes
  • Net income improved, exceeding expectation: proposal of dividend and new share buy-back program

Summary of 2023 results

Figures in €m

2022
Actual
2023
Actual
2023
Guidance
2023
Consensus
Backlog 1.014 1.359 1.150 - 1.250 1.215
Revenues 357,3 338,7 330 -350 338,0
EBITDA Reported 21,4 20,5 19 - 25 20,7
EBITDA Adjusted 27,8 28,0 25 - 31 * 27,3
Net Income 1,3 6,6 2 - 6 4,0
Net Financial Position 74,4 76,1 45 - 66 ** 65,4

*Projected on the EBITDA Reported Guidance plus the indication of €5 M of Non-recurring costs given in September 2022 **Min & Max values of consensus

VEGA-C Return-to-flight on track for Q4 2024

Status update and next steps

  • January 2024: Z40 Nozzle Critical Design Review and Technological Validation key point
  • February 2024: Z40 Solid Rocket Motor Performance Key Point
  • Q2 / Q3 2024: QM3 and QM4 Firing Tests
  • Return-to-flight expected for Q4 2024

Sardinia Test Facility refurbished after Z40 QM2 failure

Carbon-Carbon nozzle throat insert (AGS)

Nozzle Upper cone

Z40

Ariane 6 maiden flight expected for June / July 2024

  • On November, 23 2023 Ariane 6 successfully completed the long-duration hot-fire of the entire flight phase of the core stage
  • The main stage and the upper stage of the launcher are in the Launcher Assembly Building (BAL) at the ELA4 launch complex in French Guiana
  • ESA, CNES and ArianeGroup targeting the first launch of Ariane 6 between 15 June and 31 July 2024

Vulcain 2.1 hot firing test on launch pad in French Guiana

The first Ariane 6 maiden flight launcher arriving in French Guiana

Ariane 6 stages currently in the Launcher Assembly Building in Guiana

P160C booster upgrade for Ariane 6 and Vega C well on track

PROGRESS STATUS

PRELIMINARY DESIGN REVIEW CRITICAL DESIGN REVIEW

IMC SHIPMENT

QUALIFICATION TESTLMC CASTING LMC DELIVERY

GROUND QUALIFICATION REVIEW

OPERATIONAL

CAPABILITY

DEMONSTRATION

FULL

Customer: European Space Agency

Objective: P160C Solid Rocket Motor ("SRM") is the evolution of Qualified P120C SRM. P160C will be devoted to Ariane 6 Block 2 and VEGA-E Launch Vehicles (LV)

Status update:

SRM Critical Design Review: completed in March 2024

Qualification Model #3 (QM3): Insulated Motor Case (IMC) Manufacturing ongoing (Inspections before IMC Acceptance Tests), IMC shipment scheduled in June 2024

ON QM3

IMC, Thermal Protection after machining IMC,Composite

case during winding (initial phase)

IMC, Composite Case winding

IMC, Composite case after thermal curing

VEGA-E Program progressing well on both flight and ground segments PROGRESSSTATUS

PRELIMINARY DESIGN REVIEW SUB-SYSTEMS PRELIMINARY DESIGN REVIEW CRITICAL DESIGN

REVIEW GROUND QUALIFICATION REVIEW QUALIFICATION FLIGHT FLIGHT QUALIFICATION

Customer: European Space Agency

Objective: VEGA-E Launcher aims to increase the Payload launch capability by 25% with respect to VEGA-C, leveraging the "M10" Liquid Oxygen and Liquid Methane engine for the upper stage

Status update:

Wind Tunnel tests completed in 2023 (as part of the Launch Vehicle Design Review process)

M10 Engine Firing Tests successfully performed in AVIO SPTF in Sardinia

ZL3 launch complex assigned to Vega E

Wind Tunnel tests completed in 2023 (as part of the Launch Vehicle Design Review process)

DM1 (2022) and DM2 (2023) M10 Engine Firing Tests

"ZL3" launch complex

REVIEW

LAUNCH

Space Rider: the innovative spaceplane now in the ground testing phase

UCMEC TEST

PRELIMINARY DESIGN REVIEW CRITICAL DESIGN REVIEW HWIL STEP #1 HWIL STEP #2 HWIL STEP #3 HWIL STEP #4 AOM-RM JOINT TEST

Customer: European Space Agency

Objective: Development of a reusable orbital and re-entry system aimed to manage multiple commercial and institutional applications (e.g. microgravity, IOV/IOD, Earth and Space Observation applications, etc.)

Status update:

HWIL campaign started in December 2023 First test tranche successfully completed

HWIL:Hardware in the Loop test campaign UCMEC:Mechanical/Environment test campaign

Availability of Avionic items for HWIL Test campaign

PSIU EM(Temis)

Magneto MeterEM (Lusospace)

PCDU EM (LDO)

QUALIFICATION

REVIEW

REVIEW

READINESS

ALEK cylinder (BG) manufacturing completed

HWIL Test Setup (AVUM+ALEK)

HWIL campaign step1 successfully completed

Technological Development Projects to prepare next-gen launchers progressing as expected

Space Transportation Systems High Thrust Engine Multi-Purpose Green Engine In-Orbit Servicing module

Customer: European Space Agency

Objective: Accelerating the development and know-how by acquiring experience directly from inflight tests. Design, manufacturing and launch of two small Flight Demonstrators

Start of HWIL activities in apr-24

M10 for IFD1 Flight: manufacturing on going, TCA and Nozzle Printed in house

HWIL:Hardware in the Loop test campaign

Customer: European Space Agency

Objective: achieving a full scale hot firing demonstration of a complete 60ton thrust class LOX-Methane engine by 2026

Pre-burner subscale firing test by the end of March 2024

Assembly line for M10 & M60 engines achieved Critical design review. Operative by end of 2024

Customer: Italian Space Agency

Objective: Creating a highly versatile "Green" engine for orbital propulsion and in-orbit services and logistics

Manufacturing and integration of the first two engine models for the Quick and Dirty test campaign by June 2024

Thrust chamber

Customer: Italian Space Agency

Objective: Develop enabling technologies to fulfill in-orbitservicing mission objectives (satellite relocation, life extension, refueling, deorbiting,.) in partnership with Thales Alenia Space

Concept design architecture established

System Requirement Review passed

Route to Preliminary Design Review established

11

ALL IP Rights Reserved by ASI. For the purpose of publication, we thank ASI, in its capacity as exclusive owner of the Intellectual Property rights of the MPGE and IOS Programs, for the kind granting of the license

Defence propulsion: consolidating growth in both backlog and production volumes – now becoming an important profit contribution overall

  • 2023 record year for defence propulsion orders
  • Current backlog for defence propulsion beyond

€300m providing visibility for 5+ years

Defence propulsion orders (€m) Defence propulsion production (volumes eq.)

▪ Steep increase in Aster production, not yet including expected ramp-up implicit in current backlog

Agenda

Highlights Giulio Ranzo, Chief Executive Officer

FY 2023 Financials

Alessandro Agosti, Chief Financial Officer & Head of Investor Relations

2.

Outlook and opportunities Giulio Ranzo, Chief Executive Officer

2023 record in terms of orders intakes and backlog

Figures in €m

Vega and Defence propulsion accounts for 50% and 20% of 2023 yearend backlog. 60% of backlog is for production and 40% for development activities

Main comments

  • Record-breaking backlog scoring €1.4bn (+34% vs. 2022)
  • New contracts signed in 2023 for ~€0.7bn (~+40% vs. 2022) mainly referred to:
    • Technology Development projects for ~€370m (e.g. in-flight demonstrator, High Trust Engine, Multi-Purpose Green Engine)
    • Defence propulsion production (i.e. ASTER, CAMM-ER) for €120m
    • P120C development and production activities for ~€100m
    • Vega C / Space Rider production and development activities ~€100m
  • Growth in order backlog associated with growth in cash advances

Net revenues evolution 2021-2023

Figures in €m

In 2023 production revenues lower than 2022 for P120 and Vega C (due to return to flight activities) partially offset by increase in Technology Development projects and defence propulsion activities

FY 2023 results vs 2022

AVIO Group Main financials
2022
Actual
(€m)
2023
Actual
(€m)
2023 vs. 2022
(€m)
NET REVENUES 357 1.
339
(18,6)
EBITDA REPORTED
% on net revenues
21,4
6,0%
N/R
20,5
6,1%
N/R
(0,9)
EBITDA ADJUSTED
% on net revenues
6
4
7
27,8
,
7,8%
5
28,0
,
2.
3.
8,3%
0,2
EBIT REPORTED
% on net revenues
2,2
0,6%
5,2
1,5%
3,0
EBIT ADJUSTED
% on net revenues
8,6
2,4%
4.
12,7
3,8%
4,1
PROFIT BEFORE TAX
% on net revenues
1,4
0,4%
6,6
2,0%
5,3
NET INCOME
% on net revenues
1,3
0,4%
6,6
5.
2,0%
5,3

NET CASH POSITION 74,4 76,1 1,7

Main comments

  • Slightly lower revenues (-5%) as a result of lower Vega C (due to return to flight) and P120 production activities partially offset by boost in technology development projects and defence propulsion 1.
  • 2. EBITDA adjusted in line with previous year for the combined effect of lower energy costs and lower utilization rate of production facilities for slow-down of launchers production activities
  • 3. Non-recurring costs mainly related to Vega C return-to-flight and exploration of new potential business
  • Positive effect on EBIT also driven by lower depreciations following the review of economic useful lives of certain production assets in connection with the phase-out/phase-in of both Ariane (A5>A6) and Vega (Vega>Vega C)
  • Net result at ~€7m also benefited from positive financial incomes (also thanks to cash advances) and neutral tax burden

16

Cash from new contracts contributes to a structurally negative working capital

Figures in €m

AVIO Group Sources and uses
2022
Actual
(€m)
2023
Actual
(€m)
1.
WORKING CAPITAL (140,9) (171,0) 1. 2.
DEFERRED TAX ASSETS 81,5 81,2
PROVISIONS (62,9) (52,8) 2.
GOODWILL 91,8 89,2 3.
FIXED ASSETS 257,4 285,6 3.
FINANCIAL RECEIVABLES 2,0 2,0
NET INVESTED CAPITAL 228,8 234,2
NET CASH POSITION 74,4 76,1 4. 4.
EQUITY (303,3) (310,4) 5. 5.
TOTAL SOURCES (228,8) (234,2)

Main comments

  • Working capital structurally negative thanks to cash advances from order intakes 1.
  • Decrease in provisions mainly related to extraordinary costs for Vega C Return to Flight activities (net of ESA compensations) and for the execution of future programs provided for in previous year 2.
  • Mainly for capex for Vega cadence increase, technological innovation projects, A.I. and development of new launchers of Vega family, net of depreciation 3.
  • Net cash position in line with 2022 4.
  • Increase in equity mainly for net income 2023

2022 – 2023 Net Cash Position bridge

Figures in €m

EBITDA generation heavily concentrated in Q4

Figures in €m

57,2

74,5

76,1

Proposed dividend distribution in 2024 and shares buy-back

  • Robust 2023 net income drives proposal for return to dividend distribution in 2024
  • Board of Directors has proposed to the Annual Shareholder's meeting on 23rd April:
    • dividends distribution for €6.0m(1) with dividend yield of 2.55%
    • shares buy-back program for an amount of €4.9m

Agenda

Highlights Giulio Ranzo, Chief Executive Officer

3.

FY 2023 Financials

Alessandro Agosti, Chief Financial Officer & Head of Investor Relations

Giulio Ranzo, Chief Executive Officer

Where is 2024 along the cycle

FY2024 Guidance

  • 10%-15% growth vs 2023
  • New orders from defence propulsion business
  • Backlog expected to start roll-out
  • 10% growth vs 2023
  • Growth on defence propulsion activities and Technological Development Projects
  • 10% growth vs 2023

  • Backlog roll-out to "unlock" production and economies of scale
  • 10%-20% growth vs 2023
  • Marginal effect of financial charges and taxation

Beyond 2024

  • Net Order backlog to remain high and stable in spite of growing annual revenues
  • Potential new product lines possible to enable orbital services businesses

  • Sustained growth both in space launch and defence propulsion
  • Growing volumes in P120/P160 production to sustain Ariane 6 / Vega C ramp-up
  • Completion of technology innovation projects to expand future product range

  • Margin expansion objectives linked to three main drivers:
    • Progressively higher utilization of installed production capacity
    • Insourcing of «Launch service provider» and «Launch operator» activities
    • Higher contribution from the defence propulsion business
  • Upside opportunities in the defence propulsion activities
    • New product developments for existing customers
    • New markets/customers for additional production activities

Exploring upside potential opportunities in the US defence market

  • The defence propulsion business is experiencing an accelerating growth globally
  • Avio has received an increase in orders for Aster / CAMM-ER and new sub-system developments
  • The US market is facing a production capacity gap due to the substantial acceleration in demand
  • Avio has started to explore the US market for medium-term opportunities:
    • ✓ Established 100%-owned subsidiary (Avio USA) with USD 3 million capital to start operations
    • ✓ Hired a US team with deep sector competencies and relevant experience
    • ✓ Started to map opportunities with a view to engage in discussions with prospective customers
  • Avio is continuing on this effort in the course of 2024

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

Agenda

Highlights

Giulio Ranzo, Chief Executive Officer

FY 2023 Financials

Alessandro Agosti, Chief Financial Officer & Head of Investor Relations

Outlook and opportunities Giulio Ranzo, Chief Executive Officer

4.Appendix

Expected roll-out of currently contracted defence propulsion volumes

Figures in # of equivalent rocket motors

Main comments

  • ~1,300 rocket motors to be produced between 2024 and 2028 on the basis of the existing contracts (mainly ASTER, CAMM-ER and MARTE)
  • Excludes development contracts (e.g., NAREW) and other potential upside opportunities under discussion

CONTACTS [email protected]

The information contained in this document is Avio S.p.A. proprietary and is disclosed in confidence. It is the property of Avio S.p.A. and shall not be used, disclosed to others or reproduced, without the express written consent of Avio S.p.A.

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