Investor Presentation • Feb 16, 2016
Investor Presentation
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TELECOM ITALIA GROUPLondon, February 16th, 2016
FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements appear in a number of places in this presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the customer base, estimates regarding future growth in the different business lines and the global business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the Telecom Italia Group. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors. Consequently, Telecom Italia makes no representation, whether expressed or implied, as to the conformity of the actual results with those projected in the forward looking statements.
Forward-looking information is based on certain key assumptions which we believe to be reasonable as of the date hereof, but forward looking information by its nature involves risks and uncertainties, which are outside our control, and could significantly affect expected results. Analysts and investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Telecom Italia undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telecom Italia business or acquisition strategy or planned capital expenditures or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Analysts and investors should consult the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on Form 6-K, which are on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission which may identify factors that affect the forward looking statements included herein.
The 2015 preliminary financial results of the Telecom Italia Group and the data of the previous years provided for comparison were drafted in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards issued by the International Accounting Standards Board and endorsed by the European Union (designated as "IFRS").
The accounting policies and consolidation principles adopted in the preparation of the preliminary financial results for the 2015 FY and the 2016-2018 Industrial Plan have been applied on a basis consistent with those adopted in the Annual Financial Statements at 31 December 2014, to which reference should be made, except for the new standards and interpretations adopted by the Telecom Italia Group starting from 1 January 2015 which had no effects on the 2015 preliminary financial results and 2016-2018 Industrial Plan. Therefore, the latter financial information doesn't take into account the new following standards that, among other things, are not yet endorsed by the European Union: IFRS 15 Revenue from Contracts with Customers, IFRS 9 Financial Instruments and IFRS 16 Leases.
In addition, the 2015 preliminary financial results have not been verified by the independent auditors.
Starting from the fourth quarter 2013, the Sofora - Telecom Argentina group is classified as a disposal group (Discontinued operations/Non-current assets held for sale) and therefore the Sofora - Telecom Argentina group is no longer separately presented as a business unit.
•FY 2015 Preliminary Results
(1) Before non recurring items (2) +25.1% YoY net of spectrum acquisitions in 2014 and in 2015 (3) +27.7% net of 2015 license acquisitions (4) net of spectrum acquisitions in 2014 and in 2015 (5) urban population
(1) Figure does not include 115k SULL (2) Urban population
FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
…keeping a strong YoY uptrend
(1) YoY performance incorporates Dec. 2015 wholesale prices revision & Nov. 2014 monthly rental fee increase
Marco Patuano FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
(1) TIM Consumer
TIM BB Flat Customer Base Growth
'000223 269 284 3755656 58 1551Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15+107%YoYTIM Vision Fixed TIM Vision Mobile+SKY279 325 341 530TV Customer Base
(1) «Smart Mobile» (adsl flat, pricing voice pay-per-use, sim mobile with traffic and data included) (2) «Smart Casa» (adsl flat, flat voice f-f & f-m, sim mobile with traffic and data included)
Service Revenues, Reported data, YoY
Infrastructure Management, IT Device Management IT Application, Trust, Parallels
Fixed Voice, Mobile Voice, SMS. Monthly Rental Fee Fixed & Mobile Data Transmission, IT Network Management
FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
Bln€
2015 pre-closing Source: SIRMI, internal estimates
Opportunities
Marco Patuano
TI Capex acceleration – to be reversed after 2018 - is limited in time with near-term tangible results:
(1) Net of spectrum acquisition equivalent to 347 mln€
| B i l d i t u n g |
f I i 6 0 % t o n n o v a v e ~ ( ) 1 C T l t a p e o n o a x |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C I i t n n o a e a v v |
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| N G N |
B l € 3 6 ( B l € O l d P l ) n 0. 7 ~+ n s a n v ~ |
i C 8 4 % F b e r o e r a g e • v L C f t e s s o s s r o m a n |
i f h K E b l P l t s e e n a e r o o r a n y u ; f f i i C N k t t e c e n o r e e o r w |
||||||
| L T E |
1 2 B l € ( B l € O l d P l ) n 0. 3 ~+ n v s a n ~ |
T I M G I l d d i L T E i 4 7 0 % t t t c o e r s a a n r e s p e n e r a o n • v y v ~ |
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| C f l d & P l t o a o r m s u |
0 7 B l € ( O ) n 0. 2 B l € l d P l ~+ n s a n v ~ |
F h l i A d j M k f b h t t t t t u e r e e w a y n o a c e n a r e s o r o • H h l d d E i t o u s e o s a n n r e p r s e s |
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| T f i t r a n s o r m a o n |
0 5 B l € ( f l B l € O l d P l ) n t a n v s a n ~ ~ |
F h l i t t t u r e r e v o u o n o • C f D t o s s r o m e c o m m |
d A l l- I P N k L t w a r s a n e w o r e s s ; i i i s s o n n g |
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| C i l o m m e r c a |
0 3 B l € ( O ) n 0. 3 B l € l d P l ~+ n s a n v ~ |
C i l i t o m m e r c a n v e s m • ( d b t- t m o e m s, s e o p o |
f i b l d d i t t e n s o n e r- r e a e e v c e s ) f B B d i t t t t x e s e c. o o s e r a o p o n |
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| S k l p a r e |
0 4 B l € ( B l € O l d P l ) n 0. 2 ~+ n v s a n ~ |
E l B i v o v e u s n e s s m o • i D T t t t a a r a s p o r n o » S i e r c e s v » |
C d l f i & t e r o m o m m u n c a e « C i i & E b l D l t t o n n e c n a e g a « |
(1) Net of One-Offs Capex
2015 2018
** « » + « « + « « « + refarming
*** « « + « « + « « « + « « « + L- Band
* 800 + 1.800 + 2.600 MHz
= carrier aggregation:
LTE Population Coverage by Speed Peak
Marco PatuanoFY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
2015 2018
• Speed up our NGN Plan: TI is the referencecompany for Fiber in Italy and defends its strong access leadership
• 100% of «Cluster A» and «Cluster B» citiesand towns will be covered with TI Fiberby 2018
Support platformbased new services(Entertainment & ICT)
(1) Passed
•
Organic data
| G r o p u |
D i t o m e s c |
B i l r a z |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| i O t p e r a n g T t a r g e s |
E B I T D A Y Y o S i i i i b l 2 0 1 6 t t a a o n n z E B I T D A Y Y G h t o r o w i 2 0 1 d 2 0 1 8 7 n a n |
i R G r o n g e e n e w v u S h a r e I i E B I T D A n c r e a s n g i m a r g n |
|||||
| ( ) 1 C a p e x C '1 '1 6- 8 m u |
B l € 1 2 n < |
\$ B l R 1 4 n < |
|||||
| 2 0 1 8 N D b t t e e / A d j E b i d t a |
( ) 2 B l 3 e o w x |
(1) Excluding Domestic and Brazilian Frequencies
(2) On Reported Ebitda; Average and YE €\Real 2018: 4.6. Ratio includes Mandatory Convertible equity strengthening effect for 1.3€Bln in November 2016, Argentina Disposal, Inwit Valorisation
Note: Organic data exclude impact from change in scope of consolidation and FX, and are based on 2015 average exchange rates
25Marco PatuanoFY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
| i i T l t t o a n o n r e c u r r n g e m s |
- | 3 9 3 - |
5 3 - |
5 8 2 - |
1, 0 2 8 - |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C f P i i & R i k t r o v s o n s o s s o r s s d S l t t t a n e e m e n s |
- | 3 6 9 - |
3 4 - |
1 9 6 - |
-5 9 9 |
| E l R d i P l t m p o y e e e u c o n a n |
- | 2 4 - |
1 9 - |
3 8 6 - |
4 2 9 - |
| Q '1 1 5 |
Q '1 2 5 |
Q '1 3 5 |
Q '1 4 5 |
F Y '1 5 |
(1) Organic= Before non recurring Items
Mln€
Mln€
(1) TI Group figures include TI Media & other subs. (2) includes 29 mln€ for spectrum clean up in Brazil
Piergiorgio Peluso FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
(1) Includes: 1,478 mln€ from Financial Leasing (IAS 17) of Domestic Real Estate trasformation project and Brazilian towers lease-back; (186) mln€ unsecured Equity-link bond and (34) mln€ financial accruals
Piergiorgio Peluso FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
Mln€
€ 30.593 mln is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding Mandatory Convertible Bond (€ 1.300 mln), discontinued operations (€ 348 mln), IAS adjustments (€ 1.454 mln) and current financial liabilities (€ 908 mln), the gross debt figure of € 34.602 mln is reached.
FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
Mln€
Piergiorgio Peluso FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
Net impact of the reversal to the Income statement of prepaid expenses related to personnel costs. These prepaid expenses are related to activities that generate long-term benefits (eg. Network Delivery). The Prepaid costs deferred over the 3-year Plan are decreasing due to efficiency in delivery, while the amount subject to reversal to income statement derived from the costs incurred in previous years remains relatively stable, with a negative net impact on personnel costs
Piergiorgio Peluso FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
Bln€
Source: latest IMF estimates for GDP; Internal Estimates for Exchange Rates forecast, Inflation, MTR Value, SIM/user and market revenues trend
38Rodrigo Abreu
² Data = Data connectivity, Content, Other VAS, SMS
¹ Coverage calculated by Teleco website (www.teleco.com.br)
FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update
* Excluding Spectrum
FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update Rodrigo Abreu
Targets reaffirm commitment to long-term value creation for all shareholders
| K P I s |
T t a r g e s |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S i R e r v c e e v e n u e s |
D i f 2 0 1 6 f t t a a a s m a n r e v e n u e c o m p o n e n r o m o c u s o n , R S h e v e n u e a r e |
||||||||
| O p e x |
\$ i i R 1 b l 2 0 1 5 1 7 n s a n g s n > v - |
||||||||
| E B I T D A M i a r g n |
M i i f b 2 0 1 6 1 8 t a r g n e p a n s o n o r e e r e a r e e e n x v y y w - |
||||||||
| * C a p e x |
\$ R 1 4 b l b 2 0 1 6 1 8 t n e w e e n < - |
* Excluding Spectrum
FY 2015 Preliminary Results & 2016-2018 Plan Update Rodrigo Abreu
•FY 2015 Preliminary Results
'000, YoY, mln€
46Marco Patuano - Piergiorgio Peluso – Rodrigo Abreu
Marco Patuano - Piergiorgio Peluso – Rodrigo Abreu
Annual Churn Rate
Telco Differentiation vs OTT
(1) Premium Users
Bln€
Bln€
| 20 14 |
20 15 |
% Yo Y |
|||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IQ | IIQ | IIIQ | IVQ | FY | IQ | IIQ | IIIQ | IVQ | FY | IQ | IIQ | IIIQ | IVQ | FY | |
| Re R ed ort ve nu es ep |
3. 72 8 |
3. 80 3 |
3. 80 5 |
3. 96 7 |
15 .30 3 |
3. 63 1 |
3. 74 4 |
3. 75 2 |
3. 87 4 |
15 .00 1 |
-2, 6% |
-1, 6% |
-1, 4% |
-2, 3% |
-2, 0% |
| Se rvi ce |
3.5 54 |
3.5 67 |
3.5 94 |
3.6 19 |
14 .33 4 |
3.4 35 |
3.5 05 |
3.5 39 |
3.5 78 |
14 .05 8 |
-3,3 % |
-1,7 % |
-1,5 % |
-1,1 % |
-1,9 % |
| Eq uip nt me |
17 4 |
23 6 |
21 1 |
34 8 |
96 9 |
19 6 |
23 9 |
21 3 |
29 6 |
94 3 |
12 ,3% |
1,3 % |
0,7 % |
-15 ,0% |
-2,7 % |
| Op R ed ort ex ep |
( 1.9 36 ) |
( 2.0 94 ) |
( 2.0 10 ) |
( 2.2 65 ) |
( 8.3 05 ) |
( 2.0 21 ) |
( 2.5 08 ) |
( 2.0 73 ) |
( 2.8 32 ) |
( 9.4 34 ) |
-4, 4% |
-19 ,8% |
-3, 1% |
-25 ,0% |
-13 ,6% |
| E B I T D A Re d te p or |
1. 9 2 7 |
1. 0 9 7 |
1. 9 7 5 |
1. 0 2 7 |
6. 9 9 8 |
1. 6 1 0 |
1. 2 3 6 |
1. 6 9 7 |
1. 0 4 2 |
6 5. 5 7 |
-10 ,2% |
-27 ,7% |
-6, 5% |
-38 ,8% |
-20 ,4% |
| Re O nic rga ve nu es |
3. 74 2 |
3. 81 9 |
3. 81 9 |
3. 97 9 |
15 .35 9 |
3. 63 1 |
3. 74 4 |
3. 75 2 |
3. 87 4 |
15 .00 1 |
-3, 0% |
-2, 0% |
-1, 8% |
-2, 6% |
-2, 3% |
| Op Or nic rin g i ex t n tem ga ne on re cur s |
( 1.9 45 ) |
( 2.1 76 ) |
( 2.0 19 ) |
( 2.2 81 ) |
( 8.4 21 ) |
( 2.0 21 ) |
( 2.1 15 ) |
( 2.0 20 ) |
( 2.2 50 ) |
( 8.4 06 ) |
-3, 9% |
2,8 % |
0,0 % |
1,4 % |
0,2 % |
| E B I T D A Or ic t n g an ne on in i te g re cu rr m s |
1. 7 9 7 |
1. 6 4 3 |
1. 8 0 0 |
1. 6 9 8 |
6. 9 3 8 |
1. 6 1 0 |
1. 6 2 9 |
1. 7 3 2 |
1. 6 2 4 |
6. 5 9 5 |
-10 ,4% |
-0, 9% |
-3, 8% |
-4, 4% |
-4, 9% |
| o/ No n R rin Ite g w ec ur ms |
( 5) |
66 | ( 5) |
4 | 60 | - | ( 39 3) |
( 53 ) |
( 58 2) |
( 1.0 28 ) |
|||||
| Exc han Rat e F luct uat ion ge |
(5) | (5) | (5) | (4) | (19 ) |
||||||||||
| Rel e T IS/ OLI vis ion ing eas pro |
72 | 2 | 14 | 88 | |||||||||||
| Em plo red uct ion pla yee n |
(1) | (12 ) |
(13 ) |
- | (24 ) |
(19 ) |
(38 6) |
(42 9) |
|||||||
| Pro vis ion s fo r ris ks and oth nd ost er c s a set tlem ent s |
- | (1) | (1) | 6 | 4 | - | (36 9) |
(34 ) |
(19 6) |
(59 9) |
|||||
| Ot he r D isc tin uit ies on |
60 | ( 41 ) |
( 27 ) |
( 27 ) |
( 35 ) |
( 43 ) |
( 9) |
( 38 ) |
( 68 ) |
( 15 8) |
( 12 3) |
||||
| Lab st d isco ntin uiti our co es |
19 | - | - | 18 | 37 | (23 ) |
(18 ) |
(38 ) |
(37 ) |
(11 6) |
(15 4) |
||||
| Oth off item er o ne- s |
41 | (41 ) |
(27 ) |
(45 ) |
(72 ) |
(20 ) |
9 | - | (31 ) |
(42 ) |
|||||
| E B I T D A Or ic g an Un de ly in g r |
1. 7 3 6, 7 |
1. 6 8 4 |
1. 8 2 7 |
1. 7 2 5 |
6. 9 7 3 |
1. 6 5 2, 8 |
1. 6 3 8 |
1. 7 7 0 |
1. 6 9 2 |
6. 7 5 3 |
-4, 8% |
-2, 7% |
-3, 1% |
-1, 9% |
-3, 2% |
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