Investor Presentation • Mar 14, 2016
Investor Presentation
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We should all feel nothing but shame for the reputation that finance has earned itself in the last few years, but if you manage to guide healthy capital from successful businesses and the assets of families that wish to invest them intelligently in companies that want to grow, you are genuinely doing one of the most beneficial jobs in the world.
@TamburiTip
| Cons. data in Euro mln | Sales | Ebitda | notes on profits |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amplifon | 1.034 | 167 | all time record |
| Be | 115 | 15 | All time record |
| Bolzoni | 138 | 14 | ~ 20% from record |
| Eataly | ~380 | 25/30 | all time record |
| Ferrari | 2.854 | 748 | all time record |
| Hugo Boss | 2.809 | 594 | all time record |
| Interpump | 895 | 180 | all time record |
| Moncler | 880 | 300 | all time record |
| Prysmian | 7.361 | 623 | ~ 4% from record (raw materials effect) |
| Roche Bobois | ~250 | 25/30 | all time record |
| Asset class | 9/11/05 | 6/11/15 | Cash multiple | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIP | 1,8 | (**) 4,8 |
2,67 x | Total return T.I.P. (last 5 years) |
+119,4% |
| S&P500 | 1.218,6 | 2.579,6 | 2,12 x | Yearly average T.I.P. total return | |
| S&P global property | 146,2 | 201,6 | 1,38 x | (last 5 years) | +23,9% |
| S&P global luxury | 975,7 | 2.281,3 | 2,34 x | Total return T.I.P. last year |
-4,4% |
| S&P private equity | 139,6 | 137,2 | 0,98 x | Total return T.I.P. | +20,2% |
| Gold | 461,4 | 1.088,9 | 2,36 x | from Dec. 31st, 2014 | |
| Silver | 7,6 | 14,7 | 1,93 x | Performance warrant T.I.P. 15-20 vs. reference price of Borsa Italiana as at |
+122,0% |
| Brent | 59,7 | 44,4 | 0,74 x | 24.7.2015 (0,1784 euro) | |
| US dollar | 0,8 | 0,9 | 1,10 x | as at 9/3/2016 |
(*) Consensus value – for listed companies – reported on Bloomberg
(**) TIP value is calculated considering the price as at 6/11/2015, the dividends distributed (in case of re-investment of proceeds in TIP shares on the ex-date), the value as at 6/11/2015 of treasury shares attributed for free, the price of warrants 2010/15 on the last trading day and the price as at 6/11/2015 of warrants 2015/20
We remain confident that the real economy, its businesses and their ability to generate value added are crucial and we believe that this is only a transition stage, a period of adjustment between on one side a system which is drunk on finance and on other side a continued growth (+3,4% in 2016, based on a recent update by the IMF) although wobbly, perhaps due to an excess of misleading information.
In our opinion the real reasons behind the current financial market turmoil should not be found in the slowdown of the growth pace in China, in oil price or commodities, or even in the difficulties of certain emerging markets or in the implications of the upcoming tightening phase in the United States. For sure these are not the correct answers; or, at least, not the key ones.
The most relevant reasons behind the current situation should be found in the practical impossibility to manage the massive liquidity injected by central banks in the system, resulting in the alleged "need" for computers and algorithms to replace experienced and knowledgeable brains who should have managed it.
The general market turmoil described above is about to reach a peak once we realize that Netflix is trading at over 100x EBITDA or Amazon (based on Thomson Reuters data) is trading at over 300x 2016 P/E but when Apple hits the \$100 resistance it eventually bounces back, despite announcing record-breaking results.
It is, in fact, reasonable that companies which are ahead of their time or have a greater technology exposure should enjoy a higher valuation - in particular if compared to those which we are still pleased to define as "old economy" - but why should Apple be valued at 10x its net profits when Alibaba or Facebook are trading at 30x ? Perhaps Apple's 200 billion dollar cash holdings turn out to have a negative value ?
The foolish predominance of finance over the real economy, fundamentals seems to be still ignored.
www.tipspa.it/homepage
* excluding the investment on Hugo Boss by the Marzotto family of about 500 million Euro.
** *including the effect of the mandatory tender offer on Bolzoni announced on February 15, 2016 6
Amounts related to cash have been calculated net of short-term financial liabilities and gross of bonds outstanding due to their long-term nature.
Consensus estimates: includes the analytical valuation of each investment based on analyst estimates (Bloomberg) as at 31/12/2015
Intrinsic value estimates: analytical evaluation of each investment elaborated by TIP considering the medium-term outlook of the companies
*Investment companies index: panel that includes Camfin, CIR, Mittel, Dea Capital, Exor, Intek / KME and Italmobiliare.
Since TIP/TIPO first investment the total aggregate of the main investee companies has increased:
Investments in more than 10 companies with worldwide leadership positions
"Value consensus" of the investments as at today, including club deals ~1,9 billion Euro
Average Ebitda margin of the main investee companies of about16%
TIP industrial "content" in the last few years has been*: (i) technology: between 25% and 41%; (ii) luxury / design: between 12% and 39%; (iii) healthcare / third age: between 10% and 17%; (iv) other industries: between 16% and 30%; (v) cash: 0% / 17%.
*considering the intrinsic value: analytical valuation of the assets elaborated based on investee companies' forecasts
Average net profit before tax in the last 5 years 20 million Euro
Aggregate net profit before tax of the last 5 years 101 million Euro
Total investment of about 40 million euro for a stake of about 12% of the share capital
Investment of about 10
million euro
| Acquisition of 100% of the | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| group | (club | deal | + | ||
| entrepreneur) for |
|||||
| approximately 200 million | |||||
| Euro |
TIP has invested, through a capital increase and with subsequent purchases on the market, about 5 million euro and today represents the first single shareholder with a share of over 18%; Digital Magics has allocated part of the proceeds of the capital increase to raise its stake in Talent Garden to 28%
| Booming market |
Digital is now pervasive in every sector Seed capital - early stage is one of the most promising market |
|
|---|---|---|
| Leadership | Digital Magics is the main Italian incubator Talent garden is the main European hub of co working |
1. "Preferred" access to digital markets |
| Open innovation + seed capital + early stage |
53 startups in portfolio More than 60 startups have joined incubation programs More than 500 jobs created Open innovation programs with major Italian companies such as Poste Italiane, Nice, RCS, Uvet, Il Fatto Quotidiano and others |
2. Support to TIP / TIPO investee companies to approach digital markets and identify "contiguous" startups |
| Growth | Digital Magics: total revenue of the startups in 2015 of over 32 million euro (18 million euro in 2014, + 74%). Target 2017: 100 million euro TAG: 17 campuses in 4 countries. Target 2017: 50 campus in Italy and Europe |
3. Investment opportunities in the most promising startups for TIP / TIPO |
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