Earnings Release • Mar 1, 2017
Earnings Release
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UPSTREAM MID-DOWNSTREAM FINANCIALS FINANCIALS
2017 startups ahead of schedule
FCF: €2.3 bln
MID-DOWNSTREAM
G&P set to breakeven in 2017
EFFICIENCY
* proforma including 40% of Zohr disposal BEATING TARGETS AND FUELLING GROWTH
4
AVG 2014-2016 UEC < \$1 /BOE
Peers: Total, Chevron, Statoil, BP, Shell, Conoco Philips, Exxon
*139%, considering 40% of Zohr disposal
7
2017-2020 targets
Targets
and emerging markets
portfolio
** E&P post portfolio
16,0 € Bln
26
2017 DIVIDEND €0.8/SHARE (FULLY CASH)
Unrivalled exploration
Fast cash generation
Low breakeven portfolio Highly leveraged to oil price
Strong balance sheet
Energy Solutions installed capacity
| 4YP Scenario | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bl) | 55 | 60 | 65 | 70 |
| FX avg (€/\$) |
1.08 | 1.13 | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bl) | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 5.5 |
| NBP (\$/mmbtu) |
5.2 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Cracker Contribution Margin (€/ton) | 270 | 260 | 254 | 255 |
| 4YP sensitivity* | Ebit adj (bln €) |
Net adj (bln €) |
FCF (bln €) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent (-1\$/bl) |
-0.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1\$/bl) | +0.2 | +0.1 | +0.2 |
| Exchange rate €/\$ (+0.05 \$/euro) |
-0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Main start ups 2017-2018 |
country | op | start up | Equity peak in 4 YP (kboed) |
Working Interest |
Liquids/Gas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nenè Ph.2A | Congo | yes | Achieved | 20 | 65% | Liquids |
| Block 15-16 East Hub | Angola | yes | Achieved | 20 | 37% | Liquids |
| OCTP Oil | Ghana | yes | 1H17 | 20 | 56% | Liquids |
| Jangkrik | Indonesia | yes | 2H17 | 45 | 55% | Gas |
| Zohr | Egypt | yes | 2H17 | 175 | 60% | Gas |
| OCTP Gas | Ghana | yes | 1H18 | 20 | 56% | Gas |
| West Hub (Ochigufu) | Angola | yes | 1H18 | <10 | 37% | Liquids |
| Bahr Essalam Ph. 2 | Libya | yes | 2H18 | 70 | 50% | Liquids/gas |
| Baltim SW (Barakish) | Egypt | yes | 2H19 | 20 | 50% | Gas |
| West Hub (Vandumbu) | Angola | yes | 2H19 | <10 | 37% | Liquids |
| Start ups post 2020 |
country | op | start up | Equity peak (kboed) |
Working Interest |
Liquids/Gas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argo Cluster | Italy | yes | >2020 | <10 | 60% | Gas |
| Marine XII Full Field | Congo | yes | >2020 | 30 | 65% | Liquids |
| Coral FLNG | Mozambique | yes | >2020 | 50 | 50% | Gas |
| Johan Castberg | Norway | no | >2020 | 55 | 30% | Liquids |
| Mamba T1-T2 | Mozambique | yes | >2020 | 135 | 50% | Gas |
| Merakes | Indonesia | yes | >2020 | 30 | 85% | Gas |
| Bonga SW | Nigeria | no | >2020 | 20 | 10% | Liquids |
| Karachaganak EP | Kazakhstan | yes | >2020 | 40 | 29% | Liquids/Gas |
| Kashagan CC01 | Kazakhstan | no | >2020 | 15 | 17% | Liquids/Gas |
| Loango | Congo | yes | >2020 | <10 | 43% | Liquids |
| A-E structures | Libya | yes | >2020 | 70 | 50% | Liquids/Gas |
| Perla ph2 | Venezuela | yes | >2020 | 85 | 50% | Gas |
| Mamba next trains | Mozambique | yes | >2020 | >100 | 50% | Gas |
| Coral Phase 2 | Mozambique | yes | >2020 | 50 | 50% | Gas |
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