Investor Presentation • Mar 7, 2018
Investor Presentation
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This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of future growth in the different business lines and the global business, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the TIM Group.
Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors.
The financial results of the TIM Group are prepared in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards issued by IASB and endorsed by the EU (IFRS). The accounting policies and consolidation principles adopted in the preparation of the financial results for the FY17 and the 18-20 Industrial Plan have been applied on a basis consistent with those adopted in the 2016 Consolidated Financial Statements.
As a result of this, the Industrial Plan doesn't take into account the following IFRS: IFRS 15 Revenue from Contracts with Customers, IFRS 9 Financial Instruments and IFRS 16 Leases.
The financial results for the FY17 have not yet been verified by the independent auditors. Segment information is consistent with the prior periods under comparison.
FY'17 and 2018-'20 Plan
2018-'20 Plan: Key Drivers and KPI Evolution
Targets and Take-Aways
Organic data(1) , figures in €mln, % YoY
(2) Targets: Service Revenues stability & EBITDA YoY low single digit growth
(3) Targets: Service Revenues & EBITDA positive in all quarters (4) Adjusted
€mln, %YoY, Organic Performance(1)
| Organic data, €mln, % YoY, ARPU €/month |
K, Rounded | numbers, % YoY, 4Q'17 %QoQ | 4Q'17 Net Adds/Losses |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,275 +1.9% 620 |
TOT. CB | 29,617 | +3.8% | 30,755 | +470, +1.6% |
| TOT. ACTIVE | 25,651 | +5.2% | 26,992 | +405, +1.5% | |
| Total -0.6% 4,655 +1.6% 199 |
NOT HUMAN(2) | +21.9% | +517, +7.5% | ||
| Product 1,225 +0.5% Services |
HUMAN | flat | -112, -0.6% | ||
| 4Q'17 FY'17 |
o/w Voice & Mess. Only |
7,757 | -1,084 | 6,674 | |
| o/w BB Users | 11,804 | +1,091 | 12,895 | ||
| Continued YoY Service Revenues growth sustained by robust increase in data usage and innovative services |
4G Users | 7,613 | +2,132 | 9,745 | 76% of MB CB +348 QoQ |
| ARPU Human(1) | FY'16 | FY'17 | |||
Total CB growth (+1,137k YoY) driven by M2M, Large Screen and reduction of inactive customers
BroadBand CB reaches 12,895k users (+1,091k YoY)
Active customer penetration increase: 1,342 k more calling lines,
~20% of Consumer BB CB is single-bill F/M Convergent, another ~28% has also a TIM Mobile Line while paying 2 bills
(1) VoIP not included. FY'17 Line Performance including VoIP was -111k (2) M2M ARPU is ~0.7€/month in FY'17 (3) Including mobile TIM Vision customers are 1.5mln
4G Penetration(3)
R\$mln, Organic Performance, ARPU in R\$, Rounded numbers
Organic data, €mln
Organic data, €mln
Domestic Capex evolution composed by:
€mln
| FY17 | FY16 | YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA (1) Adjusted |
8,673 | 8,199 | 474 |
| CAPEX (ex-Spectrum) | -5,071 | -4,876 | -195 |
| ∆WC (2) Adjusted |
-219 | -467 | 248 |
| OpFCF (ex-Spectrum) |
3,383 | 2,856 | 527 |
| (4) Total Financial Expenses |
-1,572 | -1,659 | 87 |
| Cash taxes | -1,113 | -218 | -895(5) |
| (6) Other impacts |
266 | -371 | 636 |
| EFCF (7) | 964 | 608 | 356 |
| Dividends | -235 | -227 | -8 |
| Change in Equity | 16 | 1,304 (8) | -1,288 |
| Net Cash Flow before M&A, Spectrum & IAS 17 |
744 | 1,685 | -940 |
| M&A | 21 | 692 (3) | -671 |
| (9) Spectrum |
-887 | 0 | -887 |
| IAS 17 (10) | -68 | -218 | 150 |
| Net Cash Flow | -189 | 2,159 | -2,348 |
| Opening Net Debt | 25,119 | 27,278 |
| 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2016 | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2,460 | 2,168 | 292 |
| -1,820 | -1,769 | -51 |
| 858 | 549 | 309 |
| 1,498 | 948 | 550 |
| -413 | -386 | -27 |
| -309 | -101 | -208 |
| 186 | -107 | 293 |
| 963 | 354 | 609 |
| -17 | 0 | -17 |
| 0 | 1,304(8) | -1,304 |
| 946 | 1,658 | -712 |
| -4 | 4 | -8 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -22 | -47 | 24 |
| 920 | 1,615 | -696 |
| 26,228 | 26,735 |
(1) Reported EBITDA excluding Provisions for €883mln in 2017 and €197mln in 2016
(2) Reported ∆WC excluding Provisions for €883mln in 2017, Spectrum Clean-Up (Brazil) for €257mln in 2017 and
provisions for €197mln in 2016
(3) o/w disp. Argentina (€665mln)
(4) Financial expenses correlated to debt.
(5) In 2017 higher taxes related to 2016 final payment (€556mln) and 2017 advanced payment (€339mln)
(6) Delta FY17 vs FY16 = €636mln, o/w Exchange Rate Impact (€516mln), IAS17 Brazil (€68mln) (7) NCF before dividends, IAS17 & ex-spectrum
(8) TIM Mandatory Covertible Bond maturity covered via ord. Shares issuance for €1.3bln value (9) Spectrum Clean-Up Brazil (€257mln), GSM Licence Italy (€630mln) (10) Financial Leases
A record year, driven by ultra broadband growing penetration
Strong performance from main subsidiaries
Networks in Italy and Brazil faster and wider than ever
TIM recognized as most successful Italian brand among the top 500 in the world(1)
4Q'17 and FY Main Results
2018-'20 Plan: Key Drivers and KPI Evolution
Targets and Take-Aways
Appendix
Best in class customer engagement through digital and agile customer journey redesign
Leadership positioning by sustaining premium customer base and capturing new growth opportunities in and outside the core
Acceleration of cash-flow generation to strengthen balance sheet and increase total shareholder return
Agile organization, performance based and data driven culture
| Domestic | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 • • • Leadership positioning 4 • • • |
Consumer Sustain premium base through convergence (data and exclusive content) Extract more value from CB accelerating fiber migration and new avenues of growth Transform customer engagement through Digital journeys and new simplified portfolios |
2 Business • Sustain traditional revenue base through convergence, fiber and VOIP migration • Accelerate evolution towards an "ICT Company" to capture new growth opportunities (e.g., cloud, ICT on SMEs) |
3 Wholesale • Sustain traditional revenues through fiber migration (e.g., NetCo) • Step-change growth of non-regulated sales by radically improving customer engagement • Optimize coverage to improve competitive positioning |
||
| TIM Brasil Win share on affluent segments (e.g., post-paid SMB) leveraging premium infrastructure and improving customer digital engagement Further deliver on fixed and mobile UBB by expanding coverage Accelerate cash generation through smart CAPEX and efficiency program |
5 Inwit • Strengthen leadership on Italian tower market leveraging on new mobile opportunities and leading network densification phase |
6 Sparkle • Sustain traditional business, expand commercial footprint on new geographies and accelerate data/VAS services |
|||
| Cash-flow generation |
7 OPEX efficiency • Create a lean efficient and zero-based cost structure leveraging the digital transformation and data analytics |
8 CAPEX effectiveness • infrastructure |
Maximize value driven CAPEX deployment leveraging current UBB | ||
| Agile organization |
9 Digital • Enable superior customer engagement and omnichannel experience while unlocking efficiency |
10 Advanced Analytics and AI • (e.g., predictive maintenance) |
Implement leading capabilities to capture value both on customer engagement (e.g., predictive CLM) and cash flow generation |
11 • engagement |
People, culture & organization Drive accountability, transparency and performance based culture via agile organization and high employee |
| Execution 12 |
• Drive implementation pace and drastically streamline internal processes with end-to-end Transformation Office
New avenues of growth: Mobile-adv, SmartHome, TIM Personal
Channel mix optimization towards digital and direct
Maintain #1 position for Best quality
Consolidate and extend to Fixed #1 position in CSI by 2019
-30% Human-operated interactions
Optimization of service delivery and caring costs
-15% Order-to-delivery time
-10% Customer care call volumes
• Value and demand driven deployment of fiber with smart mix
Strengthening of Equality of Access for all operators
-32p.p. claim rate
60% faster E2E FTTC delivery time
+20% Field force productivity
of FFTH and FTTC
Superior Field Force productivity through automation and reward system optimization
Continued expansion of the best fixed and mobile infrastructure (4G, Fiber) to differentiate experience
>4K Cities covered by 4G (96% of Urban Population)
>2X growth of e-bill and e-pay penetration
~5X growth in My-TIM App users
4X growth of residential BB CB (1)
≥40% EBITDA margin in 2020 ≥20% EBITDA-CAPEX on revenues in 2020
| Strategic actions | Impact by 2020 | |
|---|---|---|
| • Focus on winning new stakes of MNO's tower demand, leveraging on high quality portfolio • Extend leadership to next generation infrastructures (e.g., 5G, small cells) |
~400 New sites ~1k Fiber Links ~10k Small cells |
|
| • Enhance cost base through revised lease/purchase strategy |
2.1x Tenancy ratio -4% Lease costs/site ~1.5k Lands owned |
|
| • Focus on data services to monetize consumption growth and to improve market reach • Enhancement of service portfolio, focus on VAS (e.g., data center, security as a service) • Retention of core voice business |
+25 IP POP 30% Capex focused on transformation |
|
| • Delayering and decommissioning of obsolete technologies, virtualization to improve network • Review of pricing paradigm toward a scalable "pay-as-you-grow" model (vs. fixed capacity) • Organization streamlining |
100% Infrastructure at 100Gb 100% Voice traffic processed by virtual nodes |
|
| FY'17 and 2018-'20 Plan 21 Milan, March 7 2018 |
| €mln Cost area |
Addressable Domestic baseline 2017 | Strategic actions | Impact by 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial | Devices & other COGS Content & VAS Acquisition Customer management Advertising |
2,030 170 360 400 160 |
• Optimize specifications & vendor portfolio, apply procurement excellence practices • Shift to digital channels (acquisition & top up); lower overall volumes (lower churn) • Migration toward digital self-caring (App, IVR, chat bots) • Analytics driven media mix modeling |
20% Online fixed (1) acquisitions -18% Customer care calls |
| Industrial | Network operations Rent & Power |
360 660 |
• Transition towards Network-as-a-Service: Decommissioning/delayering Virtualization and automation Field force productivity and data driven dispatching |
Central Offices decommissioning begins -35% Energy and rental costs |
| G&A and Labour | G&A incl. IT Labour cost |
530 2,570 |
• Real estate streamlining and consolidation • Contracts re-negotiation • Digitalization of work processes and automation of recurring tasks • Organization simplification and de-layering • Use of early retirements and other instruments to right size the organization |
-25% Organizational units 20% Digital-enabled productivity improvement |
| Addressable Baseline 2017 |
7,240 | ~80% of total OPEX(2) |
1 Consumer only 2 Not considering capitalization of OPEX
| CPE and success based | +9 p.p. | • Strong growth on Fiber migration on Consumer and ICT offer on Business |
|---|---|---|
| Mobile expansion | +9 p.p. | • Capacity upgrade on 4G • 4.5G/5G deployment leveraging value driven analytics |
| Transport capacity, run and maintain |
+4 p.p. | • 3x mobile and 7x fixed network capacity increase • Network-as-a-Service transformation as enabler for OPEX reduction |
| IT Transformation | -1 p.p. | • New CRM and billing systems completed and released in 2017 • Aggressive application decommissioning |
| Fixed access | -20 p.p. | • Selected improvements leveraging existing coverage (77% FTTx YE2017) to achieve 100 cities with FTTH and increasing our ~80% FTTx coverage on a demand-driven basis |
Aggressive IT decommissioning and simplification plans
Deployment of Agile operating model at scale
From website to eCommerce catalogue Single Convergent App for fixed and mobile
~20% Productivity enabled by Digital ~80% Smart phone customers never calling call center
Reduction of labor costs leveraging early retirements and other instruments
Implementation of a new LTI for key people at the organization. TIM LTI is designed as a share incentive plan, with KPIs aligned to share performance and to cumulated Equity FCF generation for 2018-'20.
Plan to be approved at next AGM
-20% Organizational units
~4,000 exits
Strong Management engagement
4Q'17 and FY Main Results
2018-'20 Plan: Key Drivers and KPI Evolution
Targets and Take-Aways
Appendix
| GOALS | DRIVERS | TARGETS / KPIs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sustain Top Line & Profitability |
• Focus on value maximization via accelerated convergence and new services • Drive digital and analytics as core differentiators (both cost and revenues) • Look for growth in and outside the core (eg. Cloud, IoT, Mobile Advertising, Data Monetization) • In Italy, TIM Fixed UBB lines (Retail + WHS) to grow to ~9 million by 2020 (3x 2017 figure) |
• Domestic Service Revenues : Broadly Stable • Domestic EBITDA: Low single digit 2017-'20 CAGR (1) • Brazil & Inwit: Continued Growth in (2) Revenues and Ebitda |
O v P e la r 2 n 0 P 1 e 8 ri - 2 o 0 d 2 0 |
| Strong Deleverage and drop in Capex Intensity |
• Enhanced cash generation, supported by operational and financial discipline, will lower our Group Net Debt/Ebitda ratio by end 2018 • Domestic Capex / Sales moving back to normal intensity, having now completed catch-up phase |
• Group Adj. NFP/EBITDA ~2.7x in 2018, further reducing both in 2019 and (3) 2020 • Domestic Capex/Sales <20% by YE2019 |
2 0 1 8 a n d 2 0 1 9 |
| Relevant Step-up in 3-Years Cumulated Free Cash Flow |
• Selective growth investments to maximize ROI • Lower capital intensity following network rollout • Reduce costs while improving customer satisfaction through agile customer journey redesign |
• 2018-'20 Group Cumulated Equity Free Cash Flow (4) of ~ €4.5bn excluding spectrum and pre-dividend |
2 0 2 0 |
| (1) On Organic basis |
(3) Spectrum not included |
FY'17 and 2018-'20 Plan |
(1) On Organic basis (2) Specific Company guidance is in the Annex section
(4) Cumulative '15-'17 Equity Free Cash Flow at €1.6bln, excl. M&A
Agile organization, performance based and data driven culture
End-to-end transformation across all BUs, leveraging on cross-functional enablers
4Q'17 and FY Main Results
2018-'20 Plan: Key Drivers and KPI Evolution
Targets and Take-Aways
Appendix
| SHORT TERM | LONG TERM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| GOALS | DRIVERS | TARGETS / KPIs | TARGETS / KPIs |
| Sustain Top Line Growth |
• Further improve Mobile Service Revenue Share • Expand Residential BB Revenues contribution |
Service Revenues Growth: 5-7% in 2018 |
Service Revenues Growth: Mid to High Single Digit CAGR '17-'20 |
| Improve Profitability |
• Zero Base approach on Traditional Efficiency • Capture Digitalization initiatives potencial |
EBITDA: Double Digit growth in 2018 |
EBITDA Margin: ≥40% in 2020 |
| Expand Cash Generation |
• Smart Capex "More with less" approach • Optimize Tax Rate • Optimize Debt and Shareholders' Remuneration |
Ebitda-Capex on Revenues: ≥13% in 2018 |
Ebitda-Capex on Revenues: ≥20% in 2020 Capex: ~12B R\$ in '18-'20 (~20% on Rev. in 2020) |
| SHORT TERM | LONG TERM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| GOALS | DRIVERS | TARGETS / KPIs | TARGETS / KPIs |
| Maintain leadership |
• Maintain top-of-mind positioning on asset quality • Additional tenants on existing towers • Lead network densification phase |
Tenancy Ratio: 1.9x tenants per site in 2018 |
Revenues Growth: Mid single Digit CAGR '17-'20 |
| Address next generation infrastructures market |
• Reinforce leadership on small cell neutral host market • Start sharing model on fiber backhauling • Prepare for "5G driven" new services |
New Sites: 0,6k sites by 2018 Small Cells: 4k remote units in 2018 |
CAPEX: 300 mln € in 2018/20 |
| Improve cash-flow generation |
• Win stake of demand from new players and FWA • Take off of new businesses • Keep up lease cost renegotiation effort and lean organization |
EBITDA: Low Teens CAGR '15-'18 |
Recurring FCF*: Low Teens CAGR '17-'20 |
Tackle Potential Consolidation Opportunities: Business developments open to M&A opportunities, supported by INWIT strong balance sheet
FY'17 and 2018-'20 Plan Milan, March 7 2018
* EBITDA – Recurring Capex – Change in Working capital – Cash Taxes – Cash Interests
€/month, k lines
€mln
(1)€29,345mln is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€820mln) and current financial liabilities (€984mln), the gross debt figure of €31,149mln is reached. (2) Considered the new Revolving Credit Facility stipulated in January 2018.
€mln
Average m/l term maturity: 7.75 years (bond only 8.07 years)
Around 33% of outstanding bonds (nominal amount) denominated in USD and GBP and is fully hedged
Cost of debt: ~4.8 %
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