Investor Presentation • Mar 16, 2018
Investor Presentation
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This document contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In addition, Eni's management may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'targets', 'goals', 'projects', 'intends', 'plans', 'believes', 'seeks', 'estimates', variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Eni's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Eni's Annual Reports on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") under the section entitled "Risk factors" and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to:
Fluctuations in the prices of crude oil, natural gas, oil products and chemicals;
Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Eni's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further disclosures Eni may make in documents it files with or furnishes to the SEC and Consob.
Take or Pay recovery Cost reduction
Production efficiency Logistics rationalization 2 sites converted to bio- plants
6
Consolidation of industrial footprint Focus on differentiated products International development
EFFICIENCY
DIGITALIZATION &
1 BLN BOE 3P/3C equity of which >300 Mln Boe P1
ZOHR JV 50% Eni (operator) 30% Rosneft 10% BP 10% Mubadala
44% WI
2018: 185 kboed Plateau: 545 kboed @2021
Start up: 1H 2019 Progress: under FID Plateau: 90 kboed @2022
2018: 210 kboed Progress: ph.3: under FID Plateau: 210 kboed @2018
Start up: 2H 2020 Progress: under FID Plateau: 70 kboed @2023
Nenè - Marine XII 65% WI 2018: 35 kboed
Progress: ph. 2a: 82% Plateau: 54 kboed @ 2021
25% WI
Start up: 1H 2022 Progress: 10% Plateau: 100 kboed @ 2023
OCTP Start up: 1H 2018 (gas)
Progress: 91 % Plateau: 110 kboed @ 2020
Start up: 2H 2022 Progress: <5% Plateau: 205 kboed @2024
* All production levels reported in the slide are gross values (100%)
Retail
Feedstock diversification and "circular" economy
Focus on wholesale
EBIT | € bln
Acquisitions/partnerships on new technologies
New industrial platforms from renewable sources
* Operated Assets
Direct Emissions Upstream | tCO2eq / toe
GROSS OPERATED 2018-2021 Capex >€ 550 Mln
TARGETS @ 2025
| UPS UNITARY | -43% | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIRECT EMISSIONS | vs 2014 | |||
| ROUTINE GAS FLARING |
zero | |||
| FUGITIVE | -80% | |||
| EMISSIONS MtCH4 | vs 2014 |
PORTFOLIO FOCUSED ON CONVENTIONAL RESOURCES
PROJECTS ROBUST EVEN AT IEA SDS*
* SDS: Sustainable Development Scenario
Green capacity up to 560 kton/y (from 2021)
Green capacity up to 720 kton/y
P. Torres: JV integrated chemical complex from renewable
Total capacity bio-intermediates: 70 kton/y
Africa & Asia (development of Solar PV, Wind and Hybrid projects)
| 4YP Total investment | > € 1.8 BLN |
|---|---|
| 4YP Total CO saving* 2 |
28 Mton |
BREAKEVEN
Data @ 1.17 €/\$ exchange rate
| 2017-2020 | 2017-2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| today | previous plan |
||
| Exploration discoveries | 2.6 bln boe |
2-3 bln boe |
|
| Production CAGR | >3% | 3% | |
| LNG sales by 2025 | 14 MTPA | 10 MTPA | |
| New projects breakeven | < \$ 30/bbl | \$ 30/bbl | |
| Business | |||
| Mid-Downstream CFFO | € 8.3 bln |
€ 7.9 bln |
|
| Capex | € 31.6 bln |
€ 31.4 bln |
|
| Organic free cash flow | € 17.4 bln |
€ 14.9 bln |
|
| Disposals | € 5.5 bln |
€ 5-7 bln |
|
| Financials |
All figures at the same scenario
| 4YP Scenario | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bl) | 60 | 65 | 70 | 72 | |||
| FX avg (\$/€) |
1.17 | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.25 | |||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bl) | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | |||
| NBP (\$/mmbtu) |
5.8 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.8 | |||
| PSV (€/kmc) |
188 | 178 | 171 | 175 | |||
| Sensitivity* | EBIT adj (€ |
mln) net adj |
(€ mln) |
FCF (€ mln) |
|||
| Brent (-1 \$/bl) |
-310 | -175 | -205 | ||||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (-1 \$/bl) | -160 | -115 | -160 | ||||
| Exchange rate \$/€ (+0.05 \$/€) |
-310 | -120 | -200 |
* sensitivity 2018. Sensitivity is applicable for limited variations of prices
| Main start ups 2018-2021 |
Country | Op | Start-up | Equity peak in 4 YP |
Working | Liquids/Gas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kboed | Interest | |||||
| Zohr | Egypt | yes | Achieved 12/2017 |
200 | 50% | Gas |
| West Hub (Ochigufu) |
Angola | yes | Achieved 03/2018 |
<10 | 37% | Liquids |
| Wafa Compression |
Libya | yes | 1H18 | 25 | 50% | Liquids/Gas |
| OCTP Oil+Gas | Ghana | yes | Oil: 5/17 Gas:1H18 |
49 | 44% | Liquids/Gas |
| Bahr Essalam Ph. 2 |
Libya | yes | 1H18 | 45 | 50% | Liquids/Gas |
| Mexico Area 1 | Mexico | yes | 1H19 | 60 | 100% | Liquids |
| Baltim SW (Barakish) | Egypt | yes | 2H19 | 29 | 50% | Liquids/Gas |
| West Hub (Vandumbu) | Angola | yes | 2H19 | <10 | 37% | Liquids |
| Merakes (Jangkrik area) |
Indonesia | yes | 2H20 | 50 | 85% | Gas |
| Cassiopea | Italy | yes | 2H20 | 16 | 60% | Gas |
| Nenè phase 2B | Congo | yes | 2H20 | 14 | 65% | Liquids |
| Melehia deep phase 2 |
Egypt | yes | 2H21 | <10 | 100% | Liquids/Gas |
| Recommendation | ANNUAL REPORT | SUSTAINABILITY REPORT |
|---|---|---|
| GOVERNANCE Disclose the organization's governance around climate-related risks and opportunities. |
a Key elements |
a Disclosure |
| STRATEGY Disclose the actual and potential impacts of climate-related risks and opportunities on the organization's businesses, strategy, and financial planning where such information is material. |
a Key elements |
a Disclosure |
| RISK MANAGEMENT Disclose how the organization identifies, assesses, and manages climate-related risks. |
a Key elements |
a Disclosure |
| METRICS & TARGETS Disclose the metrics and targets used to assess and manage relevant climate-related risks and opportunities where such information is material. |
a Key elements |
a Disclosure |
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