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Telecom Italia Rsp

Investor Presentation Apr 18, 2018

4448_rns_2018-04-18_3af76cd0-174d-47e5-a793-b0aa443bf09c.pdf

Investor Presentation

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TIM Group

April 2018 Investor Meetings

Safe Harbour

This presentation has been prepared by the management in order to support the meeting with the financial community and is based on the public data available in the "Industrial Plan" and the internal records of the company and other public sources.

This presentation is aimed at providing to the market a fair representation of the matters included to the best of the knowledge of the Company's management and at clarifying (and, to the extent reasonably possible, avoiding) different public miscommunications with regards to the same matters.

This presentation contains forward-looking statements about the TIM Group's intentions, beliefs and current expectations with regard to its financial results and other aspects of the TIM Group's operations and strategies.

Nothing in this presentation is to be considered has a commitment to future results and actions. Readers of this presentation should not place undue reliance on such results and/or actions, as final results and/or actions may differ significantly from those contained in this presentation owing to a number of factors, the majority of which are beyond the TIM Group's control.

Introduction and Context of this Presentation

  • On March 6 th 2018, the Board of TIM approved unanimously the 2018-2020 Industrial Plan prepared by Management (the "Management Plan")
  • On April 9 th 2018, Elliott Funds ("Elliott") proposed through a dedicated website¹ an alternative value creation plan for TIM ("Elliott Plan"), whose main driver is a significant reduction in the perimeter of TIM
  • In this context, TIM Management (the "Management") has prepared this presentation with the objective of providing TIM investors with management's considerations on Elliott's alternative value creation plan, in the context of the Management Plan

2

The best strategy to create value is to address TIM transformation through the execution of its Management Plan

Management
Plan is focused
on industrial
transformation

Management believes that the Management Plan is the right way to address the industrial transformation of the Company, as it represents the best
strategy to create sustainable growth and long term and lasting value for all shareholders, resulting in an expected share price appreciation

Implementation of the Management Plan is well on track
Elliott Plan
proposes a
break-up of TIM1

The Elliott plan proposes a radical reduction of the Company's current asset perimeter based on:

Fixed network ("NetCo") deconsolidation

Further reduction of TIM interest in Inwit, including potential sale of its entire shareholding in the Company

Selling control of Sparkle

Elliott further refers to a potential combination of TIM Brazil with a local peer

All these actions had been already carefully evaluated by Management and, with the exception of further exploring potential options for Sparkle,
they had not been included in the Management Plan as they are mostly considered premature / not feasible. Furthermore, in the current context and
regulatory environment, they would carry material financial and execution implications

One of the key objectives of the Management Plan is to strengthen TIM's financial and operational profile allowing return to Investment Grade
rating, which could be undermined by potential asset disposals and premature significant shareholder distributions

Elliott Plan is based on a significant reduction in the perimeter of the Company which is not consistent with the Management Plan

Elliott's slides

The Management Plan is underpinned by substantially maintaining the current asset base

Change of current perimeter indicated by Elliott1

€0.3
Management Plan for NetCo (legal separation with 100% ownership) is the most sensible action in the current context and regulatory framework
p.s.
NetCo
Deconsolidation

Management is open to evaluate any further action, such as selling a minority stake and/or consolidating the Italian fibre infrastructure market, subject to (i)
a careful assessment of all necessary regulatory, commercial, technological and competitive matters and, (ii) an overall objective of retaining control and
full consolidation

No conclusive evidence from a limited number of precedents that value unlocking will be achieved just through separation and not a strategy being pursued
by any of the major telecom operators in Europe

NetCo
valuation (and potential multiple re-rating) entirely dependent on its financial profile, which ultimately is the result of the regulatory framework and
the competitive landscape as well as take-up of new technologies

Limited comparability of Netco
with other regulated utilities (mainly due to different regulatory and competitive framework)

Value of ServiceCo
also dependent on a number of specific factors (e.g. competitive position / regulatory framework, separation costs, etc.)

In the current context, ServiceCo
would become a minor player in Europe, competing with far larger international competitors in its domestic market
B
Appropriate capital structure and rating implications for NetCo
and ServiceCo
would need to be assessed based on regulatory and market framework,
amongst others
Further
Inwit
has key strategic relevance for TIM, especially in light of 5G development and increasing tower utilisation
monetisation of
Further monetisation
would need to be assessed
vis-à-vis strategic and financial benefits and subject to the right conditions
Inwit
Final impact on net financial position to be assessed under new accounting standards (i.e. IFRS 16); also, limited expected impact on credit metrics
Combination of
TIM Brazil

A combination with a local peer such as Oi (the most speculated option, due to its potential relevance) could result in significant incremental short term
financial pressure for TIM, given the financial profile of Oi, thus, potentially jeopardizing the successful implementation of the Management Plan, as it would
drastically change the cash generation profile of TIM's Brazilian operations, as well as materially increase its risk profile
Selling control of
Sparkle

Sparkle's competitive positioning,
together with "Golden Power" regulation, would need to be carefully considered in assessing potential strategic options

Management already evaluating steps in this direction

Potential ordinary dividend reinstatement within the Management Plan horizon once investment grade metrics are achieved

p.s.
A significant portion of Elliott Plan for value creation hinges on ServiceCo
re-rating thanks to (i) deleverage through disposal of NetCo, and (ii)
reintroduction of the ordinary dividend
ServiceCo
deleverage and
dividend
reintroduction
Disposal of NetCo

Disposal of a majority stake in NetCo at 8.3x EV / 2018 EBITDA assumed by Elliott is based on benchmarks of companies that have different
characteristics from current NetCo configuration (e.g. regulated utilities)

The Elliott Plan¹ assumes debt deconsolidation of 4.0x Net Debt / EBITDA for NetCo. Optimal capital allocation between NetCo and ServiceCo
will
ultimately depend on regulatory framework and competitive landscape, which are not yet stable
ServiceCo
re-rating and reintroduction of ordinary dividend

Cash flow and dividend projections for ServiceCo
by Elliott appear not in line with the current Management Plan

ServiceCo's
FCF is higher than the projections of the Management Plan: Elliott's estimate of €1.7bn of FCF for 2019 alone just for the ServiceCo
compares with the 2018-'20 TIM Group Cumulated FCF total of ~
€4.5bn² estimated by Management

ServiceCo
business profile would be challenged by NetCo
deconsolidation and large dividend outflows, potentially leading to weaker credit profile
C
Management will consider proposing to the Board reinstatement of a progressive ordinary dividend policy, once the Company achieves Investment Grade
rating metrics; Management expects that this could happen within the horizon of the Management Plan
€0.1
p.s.
Elliott assumes a dividend privilege of €0.0275 per saving share (€166m p.a. in total)³ which is accurate only when ordinary shares pay no dividend
Savings
When ordinary dividend per share is considered, the EPS accretion is only c. 3-4%³ vs c. 12-14% as reported in the Elliott's presentation
conversion
Conversion of the saving shares is routinely assessed by Management, but conditions must be right
A
The ultimate decision on saving shares conversion sits with the Board and with TIM shareholders
Investor Meetings
1 Source: Elliott's presentation with the title "Transforming TIM" dated 9-Apr-2018 (www.transformingtim.com).
2 Source: TIM's 2018-2020 strategic plan. 3 When

ordinary shares pay dividend, saving share privilege is only €0.011 (€66m p.a. in total).

€0.4

Value creation per share as per Elliott's presentation

Key Take-Aways

  • The Management Plan focuses on the industrial transformation of the Company and addresses TIM operational and financial challenges
  • The Management Plan is the best strategy to create sustainable long term and lasting value for all shareholders and bondholders
  • TIM competes mostly against large, diversified and established international players in the domestic market. Current perimeter of TIM maximises strategic flexibility for the future and provides TIM with the right scale to compete in the market
  • A radical reduction of the Company's current asset perimeter is neither a longterm sustainable strategy, nor the best strategy to create value in TIM

7

Appendix- TIM Plan

Management Plan 2018-'20 Targets

GOALS DRIVERS TARGETS / KPIs
Sustain
Top Line &
Profitability

Focus
on
value
maximization
via
accelerated
convergence
and
new
services

Drive
digital
and
analytics
as
core
differentiators
(both
cost
and
revenues)

Look
for
growth
in
and
outside
the
core
(eg.
Cloud,
IoT,
Mobile
Advertising,
Data
Monetization)

In
Italy,
TIM
Fixed
UBB
lines
(Retail
+
WHS)
to
grow
to
~9
million
by
2020
(3x
2017
figure)

Domestic Service Revenues:
Broadly Stable

Domestic
EBITDA:
Low single digit 2017-'20
CAGR1

Brazil & Inwit:
Continued Growth in
Revenues and EBITDA
O
v
P
e
la
r
2
n
0
P
1
e
8
ri
-
2
o
0
d
2
0
Strong
Deleverage
and drop
in
Capex
Intensity

Enhanced
cash
generation,
supported
by
operational
and
financial
discipline,
will
lower
our
Group
Net
Debt/Ebitda
ratio
by
end
2018

Domestic
Capex
/
Sales
moving
back
to
normal
intensity,
having
now
completed
catch-up
phase

Group Adj. NFP/EBITDA
~2.7x in 2018, further
reducing both in 2019 and
20202

Domestic
Capex/Sales
<20% by YE2019
2
0
1
8
a
n
d
2
0
1
9
Relevant
Step-up
in
3-Years
Cumulated
Free Cash
Flow

Selective
growth
investments
to
maximize
ROI

Lower
capital
intensity
following
network
rollout

Reduce
costs
while
improving
customer
satisfaction
through
agile
customer
journey
redesign

2018-'20 Group Cumulated
Equity
Free Cash Flow
of ~ €4.5bn3
excluding
spectrum and pre-dividend
2
0
2
0

Implementation of the Management Plan is well on track

DigiTIM is a portfolio value driven strategy with solid execution enablers

Best in class customer engagement

Domestic
Leadership
positioning
1
Consumer

Sustain premium base through convergence
(data and exclusive content)

Extract more value from CB accelerating
fiber migration and new avenues of growth

Transform customer engagement through
Digital journeys and new simplified portfolios
2
Business

Sustain traditional revenue base through
convergence, fiber and VOIP migration

Accelerate evolution towards an "ICT
Company" to capture new growth
opportunities (e.g., cloud, ICT on SMEs)
3
Wholesale

Sustain traditional revenues through fiber
migration (e.g., NetCo)

Step-change growth of non-regulated sales
by radically improving customer engagement

Optimize coverage to improve competitive
positioning
4
TIM Brasil

Win share on affluent segments (e.g., post-paid SMB) leveraging
premium infrastructure and improving customer digital engagement

Further deliver on fixed and mobile UBB by expanding coverage

Accelerate cash generation through smart CAPEX and efficiency
program
5
Inwit

Strengthen leadership on
Italian tower market leveraging
on new mobile opportunities
and leading network
densification phase
6
Sparkle

Sustain traditional business,
expand commercial footprint on
new geographies and
accelerate data/VAS services
Cash-flow
generation
7
OPEX efficiency

Create a lean efficient and zero-based cost structure leveraging the
digital transformation and data analytics
8
CAPEX effectiveness

Maximize value driven CAPEX deployment leveraging current UBB
infrastructure
Agile
organization
9
Digital

Enable superior customer engagement
and omnichannel experience while
unlocking efficiency
10
Advanced Analytics and AI

(e.g., predictive maintenance)
Implement leading capabilities to capture
value both on customer engagement (e.g.,
predictive CLM) and cash flow generation
11

engagement
People, culture & organization
Drive accountability, transparency and
performance based culture via agile
organization and high employee
Execution
12

• Drive implementation pace and drastically streamline internal processes with end-to-end Transformation Office

Management Plan Take-Aways

  • Best in class customer engagement through digital and agile customer journey redesign
  • Leadership positioning by sustaining premium customer base and capturing new growth opportunities in and outside the core
  • Acceleration of cash-flow generation to strengthen balance sheet and increase total shareholder return
  • Agile organization, performance based and data driven culture

Relentless focus on execution: delivery is utmost priority

End-to-end transformation across all BUs, leveraging on cross-functional enablers

Investor Meetings April 2018

Investor

New organization and way of thinking

2

1

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