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Telecom Italia Rsp

Investor Presentation Feb 22, 2019

4448_rns_2019-02-22_17cabcff-2313-45ea-8f6c-d1ef80e47a99.pdf

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TIM Group

FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan TIMe to deliver and delever

February 22nd, 2019

Luigi Gubitosi Piergiorgio Peluso

Safe Harbour

This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of future growth in the different business lines and the global business, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the TIM Group.

The financial results of the TIM Group are prepared in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards issued by IASB and endorsed by the EU (IFRS). The accounting policies and consolidation principles adopted in the preparation of the financial results for the FY18 and the 19-21 Industrial Plan have been applied on a basis consistent with those adopted in the 2017 Consolidated Financial Statements.

Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors.

The FY 2018 results include the effects arising from the adoption, starting from 1 January 2018, of the new standards IFRS 9 (Financial Instruments) and IFRS 15 (Revenue from Contracts with Customers). To enable the year-on-year comparison of the economic and financial performance, this presentation shows "comparable" statement of financial position figures and "comparable" income statement figures, prepared in accordance with the previous accounting standards applied (IAS 39, IAS 18, IAS 11, and relative Interpretation). The FY18 results have not yet been verified by independent auditors. Segment information is consistent with the prior periods under comparison.

FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan

1 CEO Introduction

2 2018 Highlights

3 2019-'21 Strategic Plan

4 Outlook

CEO Introduction Where TIM stands today

Longstanding brand value and awareness

Largest customer base in Italy

Most complete "one-stop-shop" offering for B2B

Largest commercial footprint across all segments

Best mobile network quality and fixed backbone infrastructure

Best performing player in the Italian market, resilient to challenging market environment on top line …

Unique assets Unresolved issues

  • Resiliency in top-line at the expense of:
  • Rising cost structure
  • Cash-flow erosion
    • Working capital absorption
    • Increasing need for investments
  • Strategic priorities identified by previous plans still not executed
  • Employees engagement
  • Short term and tactical business conduct
  • Siloed, functionally and geographically fragmented organization

CEO Introduction The First 100 Days

Revamp Culture and Organization

Strategic Initiatives

2019-2021 Strategic plan: TIMe to deliver and delever

  • Revamp management team: new managers appointed
  • Delivery Units launched: focus on execution
  • People Accountability
  • Network sharing partnership with Vodafone Italia on both active and passive infrastructure
  • Signed non-binding memorandum of understanding
  • Active sharing: partnership for 5G technologies
  • Passive sharing: potential Business Combination of respective passive infrastructures
  • Potential partnership in fiber roll-out with Open Fiber
  • NDA signed and advisors appointed
  • Both parties are exploring all potential options with the objective of maximising synergy realisation, including full business combination
  • Persidera: received an additional non-binding offer, started exclusive negotiations
  • Execution: discipline, focus and simplicity
  • Revamp domestic business: value and quality positioning, modernization, efficiency
  • Further develop Brazil: ride growth waves and efficiency plan

CEO Introduction Network Sharing Partnership with Vodafone Italia Principles of the Transaction

Transaction rationale

Transaction structure

  • TIM and Vodafone Italia signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding to enter into a new network sharing agreement Current status
  • Accelerate and enhance the deployment of 5G technology and use network infrastructure more efficiently
  • Expansion of existing passive sharing agreement and potential Business Combination of Inwit and Vodafone Italia passive infrastructure in a single entity
  • Active network sharing partnership
  • Open architecture approach: competitors welcome
  • Co-operation to upgrade their respective fibre transmission networks for mobile backhauling
  • No mandatory tender offer on Inwit will be triggered
  • Parties will have equal shareholding and governance rights
  • Closing subject to all necessary regulatory approvals is expected by end of 2019

CEO Introduction Network Sharing Partnership with Vodafone Italia

Expansion of existing passive sharing agreement and new active network sharing agreement

Description Envisaged Benefits
Passive
Infrastructure
Expansion of current passive sharing agreement

to a nationwide agreement
Potential Business Combination of Inwit
and

Vodafone Italia towers infrastructure
Combined portfolio of c. 22,000 towers
Accelerate
deployment of 5G

Increased infrastructure mutualisation

Cost / CAPEX optimisation

New revenue
streams and site

decommissioning
for Inwit
Active
Infrastructure
Joint roll-out of 5G infrastructure

Joint ownership of active equipment to remain

with TIM and Vodafone
Accelerate
5G deployment

Wider
geographic coverage

Significant OPEX and CAPEX synergies
Backhauling Upgrade of respective fiber
transmission

networks with higher capacity optic fibre cables
Increased capital efficiency

Improved customer experience, allowing

development of new use cases
Faster
speed

Lower
latency
FY'18 Results
and 2019-'21 Plan

6

CEO Introduction Potential Partnership in Fiber Roll-out Update on Dialogue with Open Fiber

Rationale of the
project

TIM
strongly
believes
in
the
value
potentially
generated
by
a
single
state-of-the-art
network
infrastructure,
delivering
benefits
for
all
the
stakeholders:
TIM
and
OF,
market,
shareholders,
Italian
citizens
and
the
whole
Country

In
light
of
this,
TIM
has
started
a
dialogue
with
OF
to
explore
all
the
potential
options,
including
commercial
partnership,
co-investment
agreement
or
full
business
combination
between
NetCo
and
OF
Status
and next steps

In
order
to
analyse
a
potential
deal
between
TIM
and
OF,
the
following
actions
have
been
taken:

Confidentiality
agreement
has
been
signed
and
advisors
have
been
appointed
by
both
parties

Various
teams,
including
financial
advisors,
external
technical
advisors
and
selected
corporate
functions,
are
working
already
in
order
to
support
TIM
and
OF

Induction
presentations
have
been
already
organized
and
activities
will
proceed
in
the
forthcoming
weeks
to
refine
analyses
on
the
nature,
structure
and
implications
of
the
various
options
available
for
a
potential
deal
between
TIM
and
OF
Regulatory framework
supportive

In
December
2018,
the
Parliament
approved
the
"Collegato
Fiscale"
aimed
at
encouraging
the
development
of
investments
in
ultra-broadband
network
infrastructure

Most
stakeholders
have
expressed
interest
and
support
for
a
single
network

FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan

1 CEO Introduction

2 2018 Highlights

3 2019-'21 Strategic Plan

4 Outlook

FY'18 Main Results FY'18: Stable revenues and growing Operating Free Cash Flow, despite challenges

Organic data (1), €mln

xxx Group service revenues +0.4% on a full year basis: Brazil growing mid single digit, domestic almost flat, overperforming competitors

Market dynamics and non-linear items impacting 4Q domestic service revenues and EBITDA

FY EBITDA less CAPEX growing double digit excluding license payments

Stable Group net debt despite payment of a total of €513m on licenses in 2018 (€477m for 5G in Italy) and NWC absorption (-€964m(3))

(1) Excluding exchange rate fluctuations & non recurring items; before IFRS 9, 15, 16

(2) Adjusted EBITDA growth: excluding non-linear items (€195m FY and €105m 4Q: €45m liability reversal, €26m vendor rebates, €34m accounting adjustments). See annex

FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan

(3) CAPEX and NWC net of License: 2017 €630m, 2018 €2,399m for Italian 5G (of which €477m paid) and €36m for Brazilian spectrum clean up (4) Adjusted

FY'18 Domestic Wireline 4Q FSR +1.2% yoy, driven by consumer ARPU growth, business, wholesale

Consumer

  • Positive net effect on revenues from two price increases (€1.95 net of VAT in July and €1.2 in Nov) led to strong ARPU growth at the expense of line losses
  • Head of Business now in charge of Consumer. Focus on upselling rather than repricing. Line loss trend improving from Q1 as a result
  • TIM Vision reaching ~1.7 mln registered clients

Business

  • Benefiting from quality perception and pricing power. Growing in 4Q as well as on a FY basis
  • ICT grew 15% YoY, strong contribution from Cloud services to PA, growing further in 2019
ICT Revenue (€ mln)
168 188 191 217
1Q'18 2Q'18 3Q'18 4Q'18

Wholesale

  • Domestic WHS grew 1.7% yoy in 4Q despite 3.2% drag from regulated prices (expected to fade). Strong growth in VULA demand more than offsetting decline in LLU
  • Sparkle revenues stabilized in 4Q

Wireline Revenues

FY'18 Domestic Wireline Strong fixed ARPU growth from FTTx conversion and repricing

Strong migration to fiber: TIM retail fiber subs +47% yoy (42% penetration on BB customer base, +14 p.p. yoy); wholesale fiber lines +129%

Consumer ARPU growth accelerating to 8.7% yoy (+6.4% in Q3) with BB ARPU +15.4% yoy (+11.8%) positively impacted by repricing actions during 2018 and offsetting the 28-days to monthly billing effect

Market is starting to follow TIM's rationality: strong promos cooling down, several price increases in recent weeks

Peak impact on line losses in 4Q churn related. January on an improving path thanks to end of 28-day billing noise and competitors' price increase

ARPU - Pricing trends(3)

Line Losses (2)

Line losses impacted by repricing and voice-only churn (~ -200k in 4Q'18), progressively easing in 1Q 2019

FY'18 Domestic Mobile TIM best-in-class in defending its customer base from new entrant/MVNOs

4Q mobile service revenues affected by ARPU pressure (lower out of bundle, very low entry level prices) Market prices on customer acquisition now on an increasing trend

Positioning on quality to be enhanced further in the new plan

FY'18 TIM Brasil Strong Results Rewarding a Year of Many Challenges in the Brazilian market

Organic Performance, R\$mln, Rounded numbers

FY'18 SERVICE REVENUES EBITDA EBITDA-CAPEX FY'17 FY'18 4Q'18 4Q'17 4Q'18 Mobile ARPU R\$ 23.7 in 4Q'18 +8% YoY 12 Months Postpaid Net Adds +2.4 Mln (CB: 20.2 Mln) TIM Live ARPU R\$ 82.1 in 4Q'18 +14% YoY 12 Months TIM Live Net Adds +75k (CB: 467k) FTTH HH (1) +1.1Mln vs YE'17 Mobile 14,703 +4.5% 15,369 Total 15,474 +4.7% 16,205 3,867 4,003 5,894 6,505 1,758 1,853 +10.4% +5.4% 1,746 2,528 97 444 +44.8% +357.7% Total 4,075 +3.7% 4,225 +3.5% TIM Live Revs R\$ 383 mln in FY'18 +39.4% YoY Service Revenues up 3.7% YoY in 4Q and +4.7% in 2018 MSR increased 3.5% YoY in 4Q and +4.5% in 2018 TIM Live Revenues up by 37.5% YoY in 4Q and +39.4% in 2018 Solid network development:510 new cities out of 1,426 with 700 Mhz9 new cities out of 14 with FTTH in 2018 2018 Guidance delivered

FY'18 Domestic OPEX: one-offs affect YoY comps; action taken to improve underlying performance

Commercial: higher COGS and commissioning to support revenue generation, higher bad debt and credit costs(1). New plan envisages new commercial structure

Industrial: energy efficiency on industrial sites

G&A, IT: positive impact of "zero-based" approach and real estate space reduction (sqm -500k)

Labour: headcount decrease related to Art.4, partially off-set by lower Solidarity impact vs. '17

Other costs comparison heavily impacted by one offs: e.g. liabilities reversal €112m in '17, vendor rebates €83m

FY'18 Domestic CAPEX on a decreasing trend. 5G spectrum provides competitive advantage

UBB coverage extended in line with Plan. Further expansion will now continue in synergy with 5G (FWA)

4G access CAPEX will benefit from up-and-coming VRAN technology

Heavy traffic growth fully supported

Procurement optimization on the way: number of suppliers and unitary costs on a falling path expected to accelerate

5G spectrum auction (€2.4bn) creating a 2-tier market, with TIM playing in «premium league»

FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan

FY'18 TIM Group Net financial position affected by license payments and NWC absorption

€mln; (-) = Cash generated, (+) = Cash absorbed, excluding call-outs

FY'18 TIM Group Key Take-aways on 2018

A challenging year

Mixed results

Time to turnaround

  • Competition: Iliad launch, competitors reaction to Iliad's launch, aggressive fiber promos
  • Comparability: positive 2017 and adverse effect of non linear items
  • Regulatory: 28 days billing roll-back, wholesale prices, roam-like-at-home
  • Stable FY'18 revenues, thanks to Brazil's growth and resilience of domestic business
  • EBITDA impacted by OPEX dynamics, non-linear items and commercial push
  • Net Debt: stable on 2017, despite €0.5bn spectrum payments (5G in Italy) and NWC absorption
  • Early signs of market dynamics improving and competitive intensity easing
  • Time to tackle unresolved issues in TIM
  • Time to deliver and delever

FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan

1 CEO Introduction

2 2018 Highlights

3 2019-'21 Strategic Plan

4 Outlook

2019-'21 Strategic Plan: TIMe to deliver and delever 2019-'21 Plan

Revamp domestic ROIC
Commercial
Quality positioning
tion
Technology
Modernization, simplifica
and intelligence
Boost return on
capital invested
(stabilize revenues,
Execution Operations
Quality and reliability on all
customer touchpoints
Efficiency
Structurally leaner cost
base
cut costs and NWC
absorption)

Optimize invested
discipline,
focus and
simplicity
Further develop Brasil capital (new
industry paradigm)
Commercial
Growth waves on
Consumer
postpaid, Mobile
B2B, Digital
Infrastructure
Fiber deployment
acceleration,
global deals for
network access
Efficiency
Continuous
improvement
Delever

Commercial – Consumer: «Quality is the name of the game»

Our assets Key Strategic Priorities KPIs evolution
Network
quality
New
quality
offer

From "number of GB" to "quality of service and speed"
on mobile (premium connectivity on video, gaming)

Premium positioning with "best speed and security"
concept on fixed (modular adds-on, family convergence,
modem and home devices)

From repricing to continuous upselling based on
valuable services (e.g. security, 5play, priority network,
assistance)
UBB penetration(1), %
+35 pp.
45%
2018
ARPU
80%
2021
Scale Channel
simplifi
cation

Partners' consolidation with focus on mono-brand
and stricter commissioning to maximize NPV

Flexible tactical alternative channels (e.g. telesales)
++
2018
2021
Technical
capabilities
Caring
evolution

Unified fixed-mobile and content caring

Scale-up self care
(i.e. IVR, self SMS, APP), monetize
human caring

Process efficiency
(e.g. automation, process revision,
offer simplification)
Customer Base
-
2018
2021

Commercial – Business: evolution towards a solution provider

Large Evolve towards a solution provider

SME

Evolve offer and proposition towards "one stop shop"

Reinforce operating model

Key Strategic Priorities

– Maintain leadership in connectivity (e.g. FWA, flexible connectivity packages, premium profiles based on network slicing, smart manufacturing)

– Step-up from carrier to service manager (e.g. vertical app smart cities, public safety), hyperconvergence and multi-cloud

Boldly entering ICT arena (partnerships and potential M&A)

  • 100% IP-based offer: fiber connection and only VOIP cloudbased services
  • "Real convergence": single number, single invoice including managed services / unified communication layer
  • Tangible value added services (e.g. security, office assistance, insurance) and contiguous market offerings (e.g. ICT, energy)
  • Reskilling direct sales force as a core asset
  • Contract-to-delivery time reduction, streamlining and further automating provisioning and activation processes

21

Commercial – Wholesale: maintain access market leadership, grow in not regulated

Key Strategic Priorities KPIs evolution

UBB take-up by new pricing models and service rules (e.g. pay
per use UBB for vacation houses)

OLOs(1)
Fast access to services especially for non-infrastructured
Not Regulated Revenues,
% on Total Wholesale Revenues
(e.g. temporary offering for exchanges not yet activated) +4 pp

Expand value chain offering (e.g. internal house wiring on
demand)
19% 23%

Complete remaining FTTC coverage and continue to develop
FTTH access
2018 2021
Fiber accesses

Connectivity and
big deals:
(VULA + BTS NGA, m)

Leverage
new network capabilities (e.g. automation, API) to
allow greater flexibility and faster time to market for customers
+2x
2.1
4.1

Introduce new pricing model based on volume and
geographical areas
2018 2021

Digital Services and
mobile:

Evolve
core
offering portfolio (e.g. IoT wholesale, FWA) and
introduce new cloud services (e.g. VoIP hosting)
GEA(2)
direct pre-sale
leadtime, # days
GEA indirect pre-sale
leadtime,
# days

Improve
customer experience with new digital channels and
process simplification
-30% -60%

Improve
sales effectiveness through better billing, targeted
marketing campaigns
2018
2021
2018
2021
FY'18 Results
and 2019-'21 Plan

Regulated Defend access market and maintain UBB coverage leadership

Not regulated Grow in connectivity, dark fiber and boost sales effectiveness

(1) Other Licensed Operator (2) Gigabit Ethernet Aggregator service

Technology – Modernization, simplification & intelligence

Key Strategic Priorities KPIs evolution
Modernization
& innovation
as business
enablers
New 5G and vRAN(1)

stacks, complete migration to
all-IP for both core and transport

Automation of activities at scale on target platforms
(5G, vRAN) and tactically on legacy platforms

OSS/BSS architecture renewal, completing to build a
new digital and convergent "operating system"
Data centers,
# cumulated
-8
23
2018
15
2021
Simplification
and decom
missioning to
unlock
savings

Stop investments on legacy platforms as of 2019

Decommissioning of legacy platforms, equipment and
applications as soon as possible

Consolidation of ICT infrastructure and
transformation into hybrid-cloud
IT applications,
# cumulated
-279
617
2018
338
2021
Intelligence
for long term
opportunities

Shift from technical to ROI-based coverage planning

Expose data, network capabilities and services to all
LoB
and selectively to 3rd parties

Drive TIM-wide Advanced Analytics roadmap bringing
3-4 new use cases at scale per quarter
Event
management
automated,
%
+20 pp
2%
2018
22%
2021

23

Efficiency – Cost Base Resizing: Main Optimization Initiatives and Impacts

Addressable baseline Main initiatives Impact
2018
€ mln

Sales channels optimization and partners consolidation
OPEX view (IAS)
Commercial 1,511(2)
Self caring (i.e. IVR(1), APP), back office automation
and
artificial intelligence
-8%

Equipment vendor management optimization

Improvement of credit management practices and processes

Processes redesign and automation to improve on-field
productivity
2018
Industrial 1,009(3)
Energy efficiency
(incl. decommissioning, network
virtualization, co-generation)
2021
G&A 523
Office
space rationalization and disposal of non-strategic
buildings
Cash view
-14%

Facility management optimization
Labour 2,537
Workforce
rightsizing (incl. de-layering, functions
consolidation, etc.),
leveraging on early retirement
instruments
5,126(4) ~60%(5)
of total 2018 OPEX
2018 2021
(1) Interactive Voice Response
(3) includes capitalized costs (e.g. provisioning)
baseline (EUR 8,618 m)
(2) Excludes €432 m of COGS not addressable and includes capitalized costs (e.g. commissioning)
(4) Includes -€454 m of other costs (e.g. capitalized labour)
FY'18 Results
and 2019-'21 Plan
(5) Remaining ~40% includes: interconnection, equipment and COGS
24

ROIC-driven focused CAPEX Allocation 2019-'21 Plan

Baseline Main initiatives Impact
Commercial $2018, \in \text{mln}$
618
Customer equipment (e.g., CPE) service and procurement excellence
Capacity 1,079 Sustain premium quality positioning on Fixed and Mobile
Consolidate buildings and improve energy footprint
Dismiss legacy and modernize platforms increasing automation
~2.2 ~23.0 $-0.2$
~23.0
~2.0
Fixed 714 Complete FTTC deployment
Accelerate FTTH coverage prioritizing areas with higher take-up rate
Mobile 381 Deploy 5G, improve 4G coverage with a ROIC-driven approach
Progressively adopt vRAN at scale
IT & Other 442 Accelerate digital transformation and processes improvement
Complete OSS and BSS renovation and Data transformation
Consolidate Data Centers infrastructure
2018 2019 2020 2021
3,235 FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan 25

TIM Brasil: Key Strategic Priorities for 2019-2021 Plan 2019-'21 Plan

Areas Key Strategic Priorities
Growth waves
Consumer

Mobile Pre Paid –
offer simplification to improve CEx
while evolving digital channels

Mobile Post Paid consumer ("the controle
wave")

Growth based on a "Mobile Challenger" approach pushing migration and upselling

Leverage of 4G coverage leadership benefits and
loyalty initiatives
ARPU
Blended
(R\$)
22.4
2018
2021
Mid to high
single digit
growth (CAGR)
Mobile B2B
Gain relevance in overall Business
revenues leveraging on:

Revision of value proposition and more convergent approach offering E2E solutions

Increase in efficiency
and sales productivity
Churn
(%)
2018
2021
Double digit
decrease
Digital
New revenues opportunity from being a platform provider (analytics, BD, mobile adv, …)

Increased role in IoT growing ecosystem (beyond connectivity)

Content offer aggregation to support mobile+fixed
service revenue growth
bn
~1
Reais
Opportunity size by 2021
>30
m
lines
Infrastructure
deployment

Fiber deployment acceleration (backbone, backhaul and FTTH), with FTTH offer in selected
regions

Launch of global deals for network access, according to spectrum mix evolving towards
significant use of 4G vs. 2G and 3G by 2021
FTTCITY
FTTH
(m HH)
601
2018
1.1
2018
>1,500
2021
>4
2021
Efficiency Plan
Successful efficiency plan still leveraging TIM results

Digital transformation acceleration in customer facing activities and internal processes

Continuous margin improvement, reaching more than 40% in 2020, due to rigid cost control
(OPEX growth below inflation)
Human
Interac
tions
(%)
-60%
2018
2021
FY'18 Results
and 2019-'21 Plan

FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan

1 CEO Introduction

2 2018 Highlights

3 2019-'21 Strategic Plan

4 Outlook

Outlook Outlook – pre IFRS 9/15 and IFRS 16

Group Domestic Brasil
YoY growth rates 2019 2020-21 2019 2020-21 2019 2020-21
Organic
Service revenues
Low single
digit decrease
Low single
digit growth
Low single
digit decrease
Almost stable +3% -
+5%
(YoY)
Mid single
digit growth
Organic
EBITDA
Low single
Low single
digit decrease
digit growth
Low to Mid
single digit
decrease
Low single
digit growth
Mid to High
single digit
growth (YoY)
EBITDA
margin ≥ 40%
in 2020
Capex -- ~EUR 3 bn / Year ~R\$ 12.5 bn cumulated
Eq
FCF
Cumulated ~EUR 3.5 bn.
To
actions presently not included
be enhanced through inorganic -- --
Adjusted
Net Debt
~EUR 22 bn by 2021 -- --

IFRS 9/15 impact over coming years roughly stable vs. 2018.

IFRS 16 impact: Net Debt / EBITDA After Lease adoption implies no impact on leverage ratio based on preliminary analysis

Figures @ avg. Exchange Rate actual 4.31 Reais/Euro
FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan

28

Q&A Session

Annex

Annex TIM Group IFRS 9-15 impacts

As from January 1, 2018, IFRS 9 (Financial Instruments) and IFRS 15 (Revenues from Contracts with Customers) have to be applied. In order to allow comparison of the results for FY'18 with those for the previous year, financial statements data are also prepared under previous accounting principles

IFRS 9 impacts the determination of expected losses on trade receivables and other financial assets (change from the incurred loss model provided by IAS 39 to the expected credit loss model).

IFRS 15 impacts the revenue recognition of fixed and mobile offerings as well as the recognition of relevant contractual costs, without any impacts on cash flows.

Revenues Services Revenues EBITDA
FY '18 old
IFRS
D IFRS
15
FY '18
new IFRS
FY '18 old
IFRS
D IFRS
15
FY '18
new IFRS
FY '18 old
IFRS
D IFRS
9 - 15
FY '18
new IFRS
TIM Group 19.109 (169) 18.940 17.561 (182) 17.379 7.713 (310) 7.403
Domestic 15.185 (154) 15.031 13.834 (183) 13.650 6.221 (266) 5.955
Brazil 3.959 (16) 3.943 3.763 0 3.763 1.511 (44) 1.467

Annex TIM Brasil - Outlook

GOALS DRIVERS SHORT TERM TARGETS (2019) LONG TERM TARGETS
Revenue
Growth
Sustainability

Further improve mobile ARPU

Expand Residential BB Revenues
contribution

Tap B2B opportunity
Service Revenues
Growth:
3% –
5% (YoY)
Service Revenues
Growth:
Mid single digit
(CAGR '18-'21)
Improve
Profitability

Accelerate digitalization efficiencies

Maintain zero-based approach and
traditional initiatives

Improve risk management models
EBITDA Growth:
Mid to High single
digit growth (YoY)
EBITDA Margin:
≥40% in 2020
Infrastructure
Development

Additional Capex to grow fiber and
improve mobile capacity
Capex on Revenues:
Low 20's
Capex:
~R\$ 12,5 bln
(cumulated '19-'21)
Expand Cash
Generation

Increase cash flow from operations

Continue with debt and tax rate
optimization
EBITDA-Capex on
Revenues:
>15%
EBITDA-Capex on
Revenues:
≥20% in 2021

Annex 2018 Domestic EBITDA performance net of non-linear items

Organic Data
$mln \in$ FY'17 FY'18 Δ Δ ΥοΥ 4Q17 4Q18 Δ Δ ΥοΥ
Domestic EBITDA organic 7,050 6,629 (421) $-6.0%$ 1,778 1,544 (234) $-13.2%$
Non-linear items
Liability reversal (one-off)
Vendor Rebates
Accounting adjustment
$-216$
$-112$
$-104$
$-21$
$-21$
195
112
83
$-71$
$-45$
$-26$
34
34
105
45
26
34
Domestic EBITDA net of non-linear items 6,834 6,608 (226) $-3.3%$ 1,707 1,578 (129) $-7.6%$
Group EBITDA organic 8,404 8,121 (283) $-3.4%$ 2,179 1,963 (216) $-9.9%$
Group EBITDA net of non-linear items 8,188 8,100 (88) $-1.1%$ 2,108 1,997 (111) $-5.3%$

Annex EBITDA-CAPEX (ex licenses) growing, but Equity Free Cash Flow affected by DNWC

TIM Group Domestic
mln € 2017 2018
EBITDA 7.790 7.713
CAPEX (5.701) (6.558)
Licences (630) (2.399)
EBITDA - CAPEX ex licenses 2.719 3.554
EBITDA - CAPEX 2.089 1.155
∆ WORKING CAPITAL 407 922
NET OPERATING FCF 2.496 2.077
Add back Licences Domestic 630 477
Add back Brazil Spectrum Clean-up installments
NET OPERATING FCF ex licenses
257
3.383
36
2.590
Lower capex
Financial Expenses (1.572) (1.302)
Cash Taxes
Other impacts (FX)
(1.113)
266
(739)
29
Eq FCF 964 578
deferred
costs
license
D WC
licenses
payments
non
recurring
2018
922

( 2,399

513) -
408 -1,372
=
-1,372
-964

NWC absorption net of contribution

• ΔNWC inflow thanks to licence payment over 5 years and EUR 408m non cash one offs items (mainly restructuring costs)

  • Group Recurring Operating ΔNWC absorbing EUR 1,372m
  • Lower capex
  • Absorption in domestic due to personnel exit (Fornero Law), VAT split payment, billing and deferred costs
Recurring Operating ΔWorking
Recurring
Operating WC Capital (Group)
license
non
payments
recurring
2018
2018
2019
2019
2020
2020
2021
2021
= -1,372
-1,372
mln € 2017 2018
Operating WC & Other 573 946
5G License (2.399)
5G License paid in the year 477
Non recurring items (not paid) (883) (408)
Recurring
Operating WC
(310) (1.384)
Inventory (41) (90)
Trade Receivables 138 (74)
Trade Payables 56 (160)
Other Operating Payables/Receivables & Funds (463) (1.061)
-
o/w Litigations
& Settlements
(95) -
-
o/w Payables vs. Personnel
- (71)
-
o/w Personnel
Exit (Fornero Law)
(166) (267)
-
o/w VAT split payment
- (373)
-
o/w Litigations
& Settlements
- -
-
o/w Billing (1)
- (114)
-
o/w Deferred Costs & Revenues
(346) (194)

from licence deferred payment Improvement expected over time as some one off items will not be repeated (e.g. billing, VAT split payment) and action has been taken

Focus on Domestic

Annex Well diversified and hedged debt

€mln

Maturities and Risk Management

7.62 years (bond 7.75 years only)

Fixed rate portion on gross debt approximately 71%

Around 33% of outstanding bonds (nominal amount) denominated in USD and GBP and fully hedged

Cost of debt: ~4.4 %

N.B. The figures are net of the adjustment due to the fair value measurement of derivatives and related financial liabilities/assets, as follows:

  • the impact on Gross Financial Debt is equal to € 1,540 mln (of which € 215 mln on bonds);

  • the impact on Financial Assets is equal to € 815 mln.

Therefore, the Net Financial Indebtedness is adjusted by € 725 mln

FY'18 Results and 2019-'21 Plan N.B. The difference between total financial assets (€ 4,162 mln) and C&CE and marketable securities (€ 3,043 mln) is equal to € 1,119 mln and refers to positive MTM derivatives (accrued interests and exchange rate) for € 935 mln, financial receivables for lease for € 125 mln, deposits beyond 3 months for € 0 mln and other credits for € 59 mln.

(1) Includes € 545 mln repurchase agreements that will expire in January 2019 for € 450 mln and in March 2019 for the remaining amount (2) € 27,341 mln is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€ 781 mln) and current financial liabilities (€ 1,310 mln), the gross debt figure of € 29,432 mln is reached

Annex

Sparkle: Multiple Strategic Options for Transformation and Growth

Our Vision Key Strategic Priorities Main KPIs
New
Infrastructure
to Expand
Footprint

Scale up Sparkle infrastructure presence and Italian role in the Mediterranean
and Africa/Middle East:

Leverage on
huge volumes from Asia/ Sub Saharan
to Europe

New markets (KSA/ Gulf Region)

Investing in two significant projects: Mediterranean Cable (Blue: Sicily-East
Med)/ Red Sea cable (Red: Aqaba-Djibouti)

Total Capex: EUR 211 m

~6,000 km submarine cable

Up to 120/ 160 Terabit upload

Ready for service in 2021

Payback
@2028 (12% IRR)
Growth in
Enterprise
Networking &
Cloud

Capture the opportunities of cloud/ SD-WAN technologies

Customer experience-focused platform

New PoPs

Sales channel expansion

Expand current South Europe DC facilities and create new DC hub in Caribbean

Evaluate partnerships to accelerate growth

>2x Connectivity, DC and
Cloud revenues

~10x
# of customers

~3x
PoPs
Efficiency in
Voice, Develop
Mobile
Opportunities

Automate Voice process

Clearing and settlements through block-chain based applications

Progressively expand
the high-growth A2P message market

LatAm
& Africa/MENA as target geographies

Global Roaming through the eSIM
technology

~3x
Mobile revenues growth

Annex Ultra Broadband network

  • ~19.4 mln HH passed FTTC
  • ~113,5 k cabinets passed
  • ~429 k FTTH OTB installed
  • 2,676 cities with commercial active service, o/w:
  • 2,558 cities FTTC
  • 118 cities FTTH/FTTC

  • >22,6k LTE nodes

  • 7,401 LTE cities with commercial active service, o/w:
  • 1,635 with 4Gplus
  • 12 cities with 4.5G

Organic data(1), €mln, % YoY

Annex FY'18 service revenues: Brazil, domestic wholesale and business, INWIT grew yoy

  • Mobile: service revenues resilient until 3Q and slowing in 4Q due to Consumer ARPU decrease and price competition from other players and the new entrant. Competitive intensity peaked in 3Q, more rationality since YE 2018
  • Fixed: retail service revenues up +1.3% for re-pricing activities and ARPU increase.

  • Business: positive contribution from ICT, cloud offsetting the competitive dynamics of traditional services

  • Consumer: growth in fixed offset by mobile
  • National Wholesale: fiber services growth (VULA) offset copper decrease
  • Sparkle: revenue mix shifting towards higher margin services, from voice to data
  • Inwit: revenue increase driven by volumes for higher tenancy ratio (1.9x vs. 1.8x) and +1.4k new small cells

  • Mobile: MSR increased 3.5% YoY in 4Q and +4.5% in 2018, following customer mix evolution towards higher ARPU customers (post-paid and controle)

  • Fixed: revenue growth supported by TIM Live Revenues up +39.4% in 2018

For further questions please contact the IR Team

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