AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Eni

Investor Presentation Mar 15, 2019

4348_rns_2019-03-15_98f275db-8d8e-478f-99e3-7f127ef802c3.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

STAKEHOLDER VALUE THROUGH THE ENERGY TRANSITION

IINFO

DIGITAL
SIGN

Disclaimer

This document contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In addition, Eni's management may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'targets', 'goals', 'projects', 'intends', 'plans', 'believes', 'seeks', 'estimates', variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Eni's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Eni's Annual Reports on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") under the section entitled "Risk factors" and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to:

Fluctuations in the prices of crude oil, natural gas, oil products and chemicals;

  • Strong competition worldwide to supply energy to the industrial, commercial and residential energy markets;
  • Safety, security, environmental and other operational risks, and the costs and risks associated with the requirement to comply with related regulation, including regulation on GHG emissions;
  • Risks associated with the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, including the risk that exploration efforts may be unsuccessful and the operational risks associated with development projects;
  • Uncertainties in the estimates of natural gas reserves;
  • The time and expense required to develop reserves;
  • Material disruptions arising from political, social and economic instability, particularly in light of the areas in which Eni operates;
  • Risks associated with the trading environment, competition, and demand and supply dynamics in the natural gas market, including the impact under Eni take-or-pay long-term gas supply contracts;
  • Laws and regulations related to climate change;
  • Risks related to legal proceedings and compliance with anti-corruption legislation;
  • Risks arising from potential future acquisitions; and
  • Exposure to exchange rate, interest rate and credit risks.

Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Eni's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further disclosures Eni may make in documents it files with or furnishes to the SEC and Consob.

OUR DISTINCTIVE FACTORS

Fast monetisation of discoveries Financial discipline Access to new acreage Original renewables model Strong exploration results

Fast. Efficient. Responsible.

2019-22 STAKEHOLDER VALUE THROUGH THE ENERGY TRANSITION

STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

DRIVING VALUE THROUGH TECHNOLOGY

* Estimated on a 100% share basis

UPSTREAM KEY TARGETS

A GLOBAL RANGE OF EXPLORATION OPPORTUNITIES

FOCUS BLOCK 15/06 STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

TECHNOLOGY: OUR COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE

START UPS DRIVING GROWTH

PRODUCTION GROWTH 4YP MAIN START UPS
Mboed
1.88
1.85
>2.1 2.4 CAGR
2018-22
2019
Algeria

Berkine
& BRN Pipeline
Egypt

Baltim
SW
Mexico

Area 1
Norway

Trestakk
2020
Indonesia -
Merakes
Congo
-
Nené
ph.2B
Egypt
-
Meleiha
ph.2
Norway
-
Smorbukk
= new project start-ups and ramp-ups 3.5 % 2021
Angola

Cabaça
North,
Northern
Gas Complex
Italy
-
Cassiopea
Norway

Fenja, Balder
X
2022
Congo –
Nené
ph.3
Libya

A/E Structures
Mozambique

Coral FLNG
Norway

Johan Castberg
UAE –
Dalma gas

LONG TERM GROWTH: CAGR @ 2025 3.5%

AREAS OF UPSTREAM GROWTH

LONG PIPELINE OF NEW PROJECTS

Coral ph.2
(Mozambique)
2019 -
2022
Bonga SWA
(Nigeria)
Kalimba
cluster
(Angola)
# MAIN FIDs
(Libya)
Balder
X
Meleiha
ph.2
(Norway)
(Egypt)
Dalma gas
Berkine
(UAE)
(Algeria)
A/E Structures
Nené
ph.3
(Congo)
Lower Zakum Rovuma LNG ph.2
(Mozambique)
Minsala
(Congo)
Lower Zakum
LTDP-2
(UAE)
18
FID
2019
2020 2021 -
2022
2023-2030
Umm Shaif
gas ph.1
Hail
& Ghasha
(UAE)
(UAE)
NGasComplex
Rovuma LNG ph.1
(Angola)
(Mozambique)
Bouri
GUP
(Libya)
Umm Shaif
(UAE)
UDR gas
LTDP-1 Umm Shaif
LTDP-2
(UAE)
Kalamkas
(Kazakhstan)
2019 -
2022
RRR
Kashagan
(Kazakhstan)
Compression (UAE)
Karachaganak
ph.3
(Kazakhstan)
Umm Shaif
gas ph.2
(UAE)
D
Structure
(Libya)
>100%
F/Q Structures
(Libya)
CAPEX UPSTREAM CFFO € bln
14
~ € 6.5 BLN
PER YEAR
13
12 13.6
FCF 2019 -
2022
11 11.5
10
22 2019 2022

bln
Brent \$/bl 62 70
Exchange Rate €/\$ 1.15 1.21

~2X COVERAGE OF DIVIDEND WITH UPSTREAM FCF

MID-DOWNSTREAM KEY TARGETS

RETAIL WILL DOUBLE EBIT RESULT

FAST GROWING CUSTOMER BASE

TOTAL CUSTOMERS IN 2022 +26% vs 2018 12 mln

HIGH VALUE CUSTOMER BASE

EXTRA - COMMODITY

LNG: DOUBLING OUR PORTFOLIO

GAS: A KEY TRANSITIONAL RESOURCE

R&M – BIGGER AND MORE PROFITABLE

* Include the pro-forma contribution of ADNOC Refining

DECARBONISATION:

THATA

AHATA

HATTA

AHARAN

HARTHART

HARTHART

THE DUAL CHALLENGE OF ENERGY STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

Energy Demand IEA New Policies Scenario 21 CO2 Emissions IEA Sustainable Development Scenario

UPSTREAM NET ZERO EMISSIONS* BY 2030 (SCOPE 1)

DIRECT INTERVENTION IN FORESTRY

> 20 MTON CO2/Y CAPTURED @ 2030

CIRCULAR ECONOMY

CAPEX 2019-2022 > € 950 Mln

10:30 11:00 $11:30$ $12:00$ FINANCIAL PLANAND DISTRIBUTION POLICY

GBPUSD

EUR 1,17 USU

USD 785 HKD

USD 110,35 JPY

GBR 1,33 USD

USD 1,33 CAD

$12:30$

1.30 +0.0032(0.24 %

USDCAD

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

B400 ABOOO 00099:0088

8100.00000 CEP/USD 8000.00000 7900,00000 7800.00000

7700,00000

7600,00000

7500,00000

Step 1

Step 2

USDHKD

USD/JPY

$\approx$

Change

EUR/USD

400.00000

Change

Exchange Rate:

8/25/2018

USDYIPY

$10:00$

2021

2022

2023

. . . . . . . . . .

$9:30$

2019

2020

OUR CAPEX PLAN STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

BALANCING CAPITAL DISCIPLINE AND SUSTAINABLE LONG TERM GROWTH

STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

UPSTREAM: FOCUS ON PROJECTS UNDER DEVELOPMENT

CASH FLOW GROWTH STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

All figures @ 2019 scenario: Brent \$ 62 /bl, Italian gas price (PSV) € 266 /kcm, \$/€ exchange rate 1,15

REMUNERATION POLICY STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

2019 2020-2022
DIVIDEND
0.86 € per share
DIVIDEND
progressive with underlying earnings and FCF
BUYBACK
€ 400 mln
BUYBACK
When leverage steady below 20%:
€ 400 mln/year @ Brent \$60 -
65/bbl
€ 800 mln/year @ Brent >65/bbl
Balance Sheet
@ 1/1/2019
Cash Flow
2019
Income
Statement
2019
Capital
Employed
Net Debt
~6 € bln
~6 € bln
Free Cash
Flow
~1 € bln Operating
profit
Net Profit
~0,3 € bln
~
~
Year
end Leverage:
~10 p.p.

AMBITIONS TO 2030

BACK-UP

ASSUMPTIONS AND SENSITIVITY

4YP Scenario 2019 2020 2021 2022
Brent dated (\$/bl) 62 65 68 70
FX
avg
(\$/€)
1.15 1.17 1.19 1.21
Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bl) 5.0 5.5 5.5 4.7
NBP
(\$/mmbtu)
8.2 6.7 6.8 6.9
PSV
(€/kmc)
266 225 222 220
Sensitivity
2019
EBIT adj
(€ mln)
net adj (€ mln) FCF (€ mln)
Brent
(+1 \$/bl)
+285 +170 +195
Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 \$/bl) +150 +105 +150
Exchange rate \$/€
(-0.05 \$/€)
+395 +175 +170

Brent sensitivity assumes oil and gas changes are directional and proportional Sensitivity is valid for limited price variations

KEY PROJECTS 1/2

STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

KEY PROJECTS 2/2

STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

CONGO Nené
ph.2B
65% WI NORWAY Balder
X
70% WI
LIQ Progress: 5%
Start up: 2H 2020
Peak 100%: 13 kboed
@2021 LIQ Progress: under FID (2019)
Start up: 2H
2021
Plateau 100%: 40 kboed
@2023
MOZAMBIQUE
GAS
Coral FLNG 25% WI ABU DHABI
GAS
Dalma Gas 25% WI
Progress: 29%
Start up: 1H
2022
Plateau 100%: 97 kboed
@2023 LIQ Progress: under FID (2019)
Start up: 1H 2022
Plateau 100%: 55 kboed
@2023
NORWAY Johan Castberg 21% WI LIBYA
GAS
A & E Structures 50% WI
LIQ Progress:
20%
Start up:
2H 2022
Plateau 100%: 205 kboed
@2024 Progress: under FID (2020)
Start up: 2H
2022
Plateau 100%: 160 kboed
@2025
MOZAMBIQUE
GAS
Rovuma LNG 25% WI ABU DHABI
GAS
Hail
& Ghasha
25% WI
Progress: under FID (2019)
Start up: 2024
Plateau 100%: 425 kboed
@2026 LIQ Progress: under FID (2019)
Start up: 2024
Plateau 100%: 290 kboed
@2026

35

PRODUCTION DETAILS

STRATEGY PRESENTATION 2019-2022

2018-2021
today
2018-2021
previous
plan
Exploration discoveries 2.5 bln
boe
2 bln
boe
Production CAGR ~3.5% 3.5%
Upstream projects breakeven \$ 25/bbl \$ 30/bbl
LNG contracted volumes 2025 16 MTPA 14 MTPA
Refining breakeven LT \$ 1.5/bbl \$ 3/bbl
Decarbonization
strategy
Zero Upstream
carbon footprint
by 2030

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.