Investor Presentation • May 20, 2019
Investor Presentation
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May 21st, 2019
Luigi Gubitosi Piergiorgio Peluso
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of future growth in the different business lines and the global business, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the TIM Group.
The Q1 '19 financial and operating data have been extracted or derived, with the exception of some data, from the press release relating to Q1 '19 Financial Results of the TIM Group, which has been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards issued by the International Accounting Standards Board and endorsed by the EU (designated as "IFRS"). Such information is unaudited.
The accounting policies and consolidation principles adopted in the preparation of the Q1 '19 Financial Results are the same as those adopted in the TIM Group Annual Audited Consolidated Financial Statements as of 31 December 2018, to which reference can be made, except for the adoption of the new accounting principle (IFRS 16 - Lease), adopted starting from 1 January 2019. In particular, TIM adopts IFRS 16, using the simplified retrospective approach, without restatement of prior period comparatives. The implementation of the new standard has not been fully completed; the impact of the adoption of IFRS 16 is unaudited and may be subject to change until the publication of TIM's 2019 Annual Report. It should be noted that, starting from 1 January 2018, the TIM Group adopted IFRS 15 (Revenues from contracts with customers) and IFRS 9 (Financial instruments).
To enable the year-on-year comparison of the economic and financial performance for the first quarter of 2019, "comparable" financial position figures and "comparable" income statement figures, prepared in accordance with the previous accounting standards applied (IAS 17 and related Interpretations) are provided, for the purposes of the distinction between operating leases and financial leases and the consequent accounting treatment of lease liabilities.
Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors.
The TIM Group, in addition to the conventional financial performance measures established by IFRS, uses certain alternative performance measures in order to present a better understanding of the trend of operations and financial condition. In particular, such alternative performance measures include: EBITDA, EBIT, Organic change and impact of non recurring items on revenue, EBITDA and EBIT; EBITDA margin and EBIT margin and net financial debt. Moreover, following the adoption of IFRS 16, the TIM Group provides the following further financial indicators:
Such alternative performance measures are unaudited.
1
Q&A
Highlights
1
Organic data (1), €m
First quarter showing material improvements in cashgeneration:
Q1 '19 Results (1) Excluding exchange rate fluctuations & non recurring items. CAPEX excluding license
(2) Domestic Service Revenue: MSR net of "Prova TIM" (now included in "Handsets and handsets bundle")
(3) Total service revenues growth excluding Sparkle's International Wholesale revenues, net of elimination, with no impact on EBITDA (4) Adjusted Net Debt
Q1 '19 Results
Strong migration to fiber continues: 6m lines reached, +10% QoQ Lines x 1,000 and +58% YoY
ARPU consumer at 35.6 €/month, accelerating growth in Q1 (+9.4% YoY vs. +8.7% in Q4) following repricing in 2018 and activation fees introduced in Q2 2018. BB ARPU +16.2% (vs. +15.4%)
Market discipline 2019: competitors' increases in fixed pricing reducing gap vs. TIM's premium positioning. Competitors' repricing of existing client base will occur in July and August
OPEX on a reduction path at €2,034m, -€86m YoY (-4%). Net of deferred costs, on a cash view, the reduction is higher
~3.5 mln HH connected FTTH on over 4m HH passed
~440 k FTTH OTB installed
Organic Performance, R\$m, Rounded numbers
(2) €26.306m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and fair value valuations (€734m) and current financial liabilities (€694m), the gross debt figure of €27.734m is reached
Group net working capital +€506m
Under the new After Lease metric, results show slight improvements vs. the IFRS 9/15 view:
Reported data, €m, Rounded numbers
(1) Excluding exchange rate fluctuations
Guidance unchanged, updated to reflect the IFRS 9/15 and the IFRS 16 "After Lease" view adoption
| YoY growth rates | Group | Domestic | Brasil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020-'21 | 2019 | 2020-'21 | 2019 | 2020-'21 | ||
| Organic Service revenues |
Low single digit decrease |
Low single digit growth |
Low single digit decrease1 |
Almost stable | +3% - +5% (YoY) |
Mid single digit growth |
|
| Organic EBITDA-AL |
Low single digit decrease |
Low single digit growth |
Low to Mid single digit decrease |
Low single digit growth |
Mid to High single digit growth (YoY) |
EBITDA margin ≥ 39% in '20 ≥ 40% pre IFRS 9/15 |
|
| CAPEX | -- | ~EUR 2.9 bn / Year ~EUR 3 bn |
/ Year pre IFRS 9/15 | ~R\$ 12 bn cumulated ~R\$ 12.5 bn pre IFRS 9/15 |
|||
| Eq FCF |
Cumulated ~EUR 3.5 bn To be enhanced through inorganic actions presently not included |
-- | -- | ||||
| Adjusted Net Debt AL |
~EUR 20.5 bn by 2021 ~EUR 22 bn |
pre IFRS 9/15 (3) | -- | -- |
1) Domestic revenue growth excluding Sparkle's zero-low margin voice traffic business stopped (no impact on EBITDA)
2) Figures @ avg. Exchange Rate actual 4.31 Reais/Euro
3) Guidance provided last February under old principles includes debt reduction from finance leases reimbursement, which remains but is not visible in an After Lease view
Q1 '19 Results
3
1
Q&A
1
New Revenues Segments Reporting Structure (no impact on total revenues)
| Reporting 2018 New Reporting |
Unità di misura (1000=Bn, 1=M) New revenues |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018FY € Bn | Pre IFRS 9/15 |
D IFRS 9/15 |
Post IFRS 9/15 |
DNewRevs DNewRep Reporting DIFRS16 D IFRS 16 |
IFRS 16 | D IFRS16 | D IAS17 | "After lease" |
1 | reporting 1000 no impact on total |
|
| Domestic | 15.2 | -0.2 | 15.0 | 1 | 15.0 | 15.0 | revenues | ||||
| REVENUES | o/w Services Brasil |
13.8 4.0 |
-0.2 -0.0 |
13.7 3.9 |
-0.3 | 13.4 3.9 |
13.4 3.9 |
2 o |
IFRS16 impacts OPEX | ||
| Group | 19.1 | -0.2 | 18.9 | 2 | 18.9 | 3 | 18.9 | (operating leases | |||
| EBITDA | Domestic Brasil |
6.6 1.5 |
-0.3 -0.0 |
6.4 1.5 |
+0.4 +0.3 |
6.7 1.8 |
-0.4 -0.3 |
-0.3 -0.1 |
6.0 1.4 |
removed) and Net Debt (operating leases |
|
| organic | Group | 8.1 | -0.3 | 7.8 | +0.7 | 8.5 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 7.4 | liabilities added) | |
| EBITDA reported |
Domestic Brasil |
6.2 1.5 |
-0.3 -0.0 |
6.0 1.5 |
+0.4 +0.3 |
6.4 1.8 |
-0.4 -0.3 |
-0.3 -0.1 |
5.6 1.4 |
3 o |
For "After Lease" view, both IAS17 and |
| Group | 7.7 | -0.3 | 7.4 | +0.7 | 8.1 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 7.0 | IFRS16 effects are removed and all |
||
| CAPEX | Domestic 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 -0.1 Brasil 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 -0.0 |
leases reclassified as OPEX. |
|||||||||
| ex spectrum | Group | 4.2 | -0.1 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | Net Debt is net of all | ||||
| Net Debt (Group) |
Net Debt Debt / EBITDA |
25.3 3.1x |
25.3 3.2x |
+3.6 | 28.9 3.4x |
-3.6 | -1.9 | 23.3 3.1x |
lease liabilities | ||
€m
Average m/l term maturity: 7.4 years (bond 7.6 years only)*
Fixed rate portion on medium-long term debt approximately 70%
Around 33% of outstanding bonds (nominal amount) denominated in USD and GBP and is fully hedged
Cost of debt: ~4.1% including cost of finance leasing
* Without IFRS 16 *
N.B. The figures are net of the adjustment due to the fair value measurement of derivatives and related financial liabilities/assets, as follows:
the impact on Gross Financial Debt is equal to €1,740m (of which €270m on bonds);
the impact on Financial Assets is equal to €1,030m.
Therefore, the Net Financial Indebtedness is adjusted by €710m
N.B. The difference between total financial assets (€4,601m) and C&CE and marketable securities (€3,251m) is equal to €1,350m and refers to positive MTM derivatives (accrued interests and exchange rate) for €1,088m, financial receivables for lease for €123m and other credits for €139m
(1) €28,226m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and fair value valuations (€752m) and current financial liabilities (€694m), the gross debt figure of €29,672m is reached
Q1 '19 Results
(1) €31,723m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and fair value valuations (€767m) and current financial liabilities (€694m), the gross debt figure of €33,184m is reached
Q1 '19 Results
Sparkle: service revenues impacted by elimination of activities with zero/low-margin
Mobile: MSR resilient growth amid tough macro and competition dynamics in prepaid
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