Investor Presentation • Aug 1, 2019
Investor Presentation
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August 2nd, 2019
Luigi Gubitosi Giovanni Ronca
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of future growth in the different business lines and the global business, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the TIM Group.
The 2Q'19 and 1H'19 financial and operating data have been extracted or derived, with the exception of some data, from the TIM Group Half-year Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements as of and for the six months ended 30 June 2019, which has been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards issued by the International Accounting Standards Board and endorsed by the European Union (designated as "IFRS"). Please note that the limited review by the external auditors (E&Y) on the TIM Group Half-year Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements at 30 June 2019 has not yet been completed.
The accounting policies and consolidation principles adopted in the preparation of the TIM Group Half-year Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements as of and for the six months ended 30 June 2019 are the same as those adopted in the TIM Group Annual Audited Consolidated Financial Statements as of 31 December 2018, to which reference can be made, except for the adoption of the new accounting principle (IFRS 16 - Lease), adopted starting from 1 January 2019. In particular, TIM adopts IFRS 16, using the simplified retrospective approach, without restatement of prior period comparatives. The implementation of the new standard has not been fully completed; the impact of the adoption of IFRS 16 is unaudited and may be subject to change until the publication of TIM's 2019 Annual Report. It should be noted that, starting from 1 January 2018, the TIM Group adopted IFRS 15 (Revenues from contracts with customers) and IFRS 9 (Financial instruments).
To enable the year-on-year comparison of the economic and financial performance for the first half of 2019, "IFRS 9/15" income statement figures, prepared in accordance with the previous accounting standards applied (IAS 17 and related Interpretations) are provided, for the purposes of the distinction between operating leases and financial leases and the consequent accounting treatment of lease liabilities
Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors.
The TIM Group, in addition to the conventional financial performance measures established by IFRS, uses certain alternative performance measures in order to present a better understanding of the trend of operations and financial condition. In particular, such alternative performance measures include: EBITDA, EBIT, Organic change and impact of non recurring items on revenue, EBITDA and EBIT; EBITDA margin and EBIT margin and net financial debt. Moreover, following the adoption of IFRS 16, the TIM Group provides the following further financial indicators:
Such alternative performance measures are unaudited.
1
Q&A
Highlights
1
Organic data (1), €m
Second quarter showing continuous improvement in cashgeneration:
(1) Excluding exchange rate fluctuations & non recurring items. CAPEX excluding license (2) Total service revenues growth excluding Sparkle's International Wholesale revenues, without any impact on EBITDA. Sparkle's EBITDA growing +17% YoY in Q2 (3) Adjusted Net Debt
| Churn rate |
Customer Base k, Rounded numbers |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -86 31,748 31,662 |
|||||
| 7.6% 6.2% 6.0% |
Not Human 9,492 9,706 +214 |
||||
| 5.2% 4.3% |
Human -300 22,256 21,956 Calling human -230 vs -289 |
||||
| Q2 '18 Q3 Q4 Q1 '19 Q2 |
in Q1 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 |
Migration to fiber continues: 6.3m lines reached, +5.6% QoQ and Lines x 1,000 +45% YoY although Q2 focus was on migrating voice only to ADSL
Expected improvement in regulatory framework
and incremental sales force
AGCOM access market analysis envisages:
Geo-marketing approach
FWA launch
Distribution processes tightened
Strong push on premium content
Content strategy to increase fixed arpu and decrease churn rate
OPEX on a reduction path at €2,023m, down €129m YoY (-6%)
Net of deferred costs, on a cash view, the reduction reaches €204m (-9% YoY)
Organic data, R\$m, Rounded numbers
In 2017 Brazilian Supreme Court stated that ICMS (State Tax) cannot be included in the calculation basis of PIS and COFINS (Federal Tax).
PIS/COFINS are levied on revenues and the Supreme Court stated that ICMS cannot be considered a revenue.
R\$ 3,418m (1) Gross tax credits
To be used in ~3/4 years (2) Now booked in NWC it will gradually improve net debt when used
€m; (-) = Cash generated, (+) = Cash absorbed, excluding call-outs
(1) Includes € 490 mln repurchase agreements that will expire within August 2019
(2) €25,139m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and fair value valuations (€514m) and current financial liabilities (€831m), the gross debt figure of €26,484m is reached
Q2 '19 Results
Reported data, €m, Rounded numbers
Under the After Lease view, results show slight improvements vs. the IFRS 9/15 view:
3
1
Q&A
| Group | Domestic | Brasil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YoY growth rates | 2019 | 2020-'21 | 2019 | 2020-'21 | 2019 | 2020-'21 |
| Organic Service revenues |
Low single digit decrease |
Low single digit growth |
Low single digit decrease1 |
Almost stable | +3% - +5% (YoY) |
Mid single digit growth |
| Organic EBITDA-AL |
Low single digit decrease |
Low single digit growth |
Low to Mid single digit decrease |
Low single digit growth |
Mid to High single digit growth (YoY) |
EBITDA margin ≥ 39% in '20 ≥ 40% pre IFRS 9/15 |
| CAPEX | -- | ~EUR 2.9 bn / Year ~EUR 3 bn / Year pre IFRS 9/15 |
~R\$ 12 bn cumulated ~R\$ 12.5 bn pre IFRS 9/15 |
|||
| Eq FCF |
Cumulated ~EUR 3.5 bn To be enhanced through inorganic actions presently not included |
-- | -- | |||
| Adjusted Net Debt AL |
~EUR 20.5 bn by 2021 ~EUR 22 bn |
pre IFRS 9/15 (2) | -- | -- |
(1) Domestic revenue growth excluding Sparkle's zero-low margin voice traffic business stopped (no impact on EBITDA; Sparkle EBITDA actually grew 18% YoY in H1) (2) Guidance provided last February under old principles includes debt reduction from finance leases reimbursement, which remains but is not visible in an After Lease view - Figures @ avg. Exchange Rate of 4.31 Reais/Euro
Q2 '19 Results
1
(€ 531m) and current financial liabilities (€ 831m), the gross debt figure of € 28,397m is reached
€m
Average m/l term maturity: 7.7 years (bond 7.8 years only)*
Fixed rate portion on medium-long term debt approximately 70%
Around 25% of outstanding bonds (nominal amount) denominated in USD and GBP and is fully hedged
* Without IFRS 16
N.B. The figures are net of the adjustment due to the fair value measurement of derivatives and related financial liabilities/assets, as follows:
the impact on Gross Financial Debt is equal to € 1,975m (of which € 327 m on bonds);
the impact on Financial Assets is equal to € 1,279m.
Therefore, the Net Financial Indebtedness is adjusted by € 696m
N.B. The difference between total financial assets (€ 3,675m) and C&CE and marketable securities (€ 2,704m) is equal to € 971m and refers to positive MTM derivatives (accrued interests and exchange rate) for € 798m, financial receivables for lease for € 113m and other credits for € 59m
| New revenues 1 DNewRevs "After reporting Pre Post D DNewRep 2018FY € Bn IFRS 16 D IFRS16 D IAS17 Reporting DIFRS16 IFRS 9/15 IFRS 9/15 IFRS 9/15 lease" no impact on total D IFRS 16 revenues 1 Domestic 15.2 15.0 15.0 15.0 -0.2 o/w Services 13.8 -0.2 13.7 -0.3 13.4 13.4 REVENUES 2 o IFRS16 impacts OPEX Brasil 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 -0.0 |
|
|---|---|
| 1000 | |
| (operating leases Group 19.1 18.9 18.9 18.9 -0.2 2 3 |
|
| removed) and Net Domestic 6.6 6.4 6.7 6.0 -0.3 +0.4 -0.4 -0.3 |
|
| EBITDA Debt (operating leases Brasil 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.4 -0.0 +0.3 -0.3 -0.1 |
|
| liabilities added) organic Group 8.1 7.8 8.5 7.4 -0.3 +0.7 -0.7 -0.4 |
|
| 3 o For "After Lease" Domestic 6.2 6.0 6.4 5.6 -0.3 +0.4 -0.4 -0.3 |
|
| EBITDA view, both IAS17 and Brasil 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.4 -0.0 +0.3 -0.3 -0.1 |
|
| reported IFRS16 effects are Group 7.7 7.4 8.1 7.0 -0.3 +0.7 -0.7 -0.4 |
|
| removed and all | |
| Domestic 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 -0.1 leases reclassified as CAPEX |
|
| Brasil 0.9 -0.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 OPEX. ex spectrum |
|
| Group 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 -0.1 Net Debt is net of all |
|
| lease liabilities Net Debt Net Debt 25.3 25.3 28.9 23.3 +3.6 -3.6 -1.9 |
|
| Debt / EBITDA (Group) 3.1x 3.2x 3.4x 3.1x |
Reported, €m
| Revenues | Service Revenues | EBITDA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1' 19 IFRS 9-15 |
Δ IFRS 16 |
H1' 19 IFRS 9-15-16 |
H1' 19 IFRS 9-15 |
Δ IFRS 16 |
H1' 19 IFRS 9-15-16 |
H1' 19 IFRS 9-15 |
Δ IFRS 16 |
H1' 19 IFRS 9-15-16 |
|
| TIM Group | 8,994 | - | 8,994 | 8,227 | - | 8,227 | 4,065 | 326 | 4,391 |
| Domestic | 7,069 | - | 7,069 | 6,386 | - | 6,386 | 2,749 | 180 | 2,929 |
| Brazil | 1,946 | - | 1,946 | 1,862 | - | 1,862 | 1,321 | 146 | 1,467 |
| Q2 '19 IFRS 9-15 |
Δ IFRS 16 |
Q2 '19 IFRS 9-15-16 |
Q2 '19 IFRS 9-15 |
Δ IFRS 16 |
Q2 '19 IFRS 9-15-16 |
Q2 '19 IFRS 9-15 |
Δ IFRS 16 |
Q2 '19 IFRS 9-15-16 |
|
| TIM Group | 4,523 | - | 4,523 | 4,142 | - | 4,142 | 2,273 | 172 | 2,445 |
| Domestic | 3,567 | - | 3,567 | 3,231 | - | 3,231 | 1,302 | 93 | 1,395 |
| Brazil | 967 | - | 967 | 922 | - | 922 | 974 | 80 | 1,054 |
Under the After Lease metric, results show slight improvements vs. the IFRS 9/15 view:
Reported, €m
| 1 Half | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1'19 IFRS 9-15 |
$\triangle$ IFRS 16 | H1'19 IFRS 9-15-16 |
|||
| REVENUES | 8,994 | 8,994 | |||
| Opex | (3,427) | 326 | (3, 101) | ||
| Personnel | (1,502) | (1,502) | |||
| EBITDA | 4,065 | 326 | 4,391 | ||
| Depreciation and amortization Gains (losses) & writedown |
(2, 186) (8) |
(310) | (2,496) (8) |
||
| EBIT | 1,871 | 16 | 1,887 | ||
| Net Financial Income/Expenses | (650) | (104) | (754) | ||
| Income/Loss from Equity Invest. | (1) | (1) | |||
| Profit/Loss before Tax | 1,220 | (88) | 1,132 | ||
| Taxes | (422) | 30 | (392) | ||
| Net Income Ante Minorities | 798 | (58) | 740 | ||
| Minorities | (206) | 17 | (189) | ||
| Net Income Post Minorities | 592 | (41) | 551 |
(€ 547m) and current financial liabilities (€ 831m), the gross debt figure of € 32,003m is reached
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